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INAUGURATION 2029

Marie: I don't know why this video came up on my YouTube recommendations, but it did. I watched it on a large-ish teevee, and I found it fascinating. ~~~

 

Hubris. One would think that a married man smart enough to start up and operate his own tech company was also smart enough to know that you don't take your girlfriend to a public concert where the equipment includes a jumbotron -- unless you want to get caught on the big camera with your arms around said girlfriend. Ah, but for Andy Bryon, CEO of A company called Astronomer, and also maybe his wife, Wednesday was a night that will live in infamy. New York Times link. ~~~

Commencement ceremonies are joyous occasions, and Steve Carell made sure that was true this past weekend (mid-June) at Northwestern's commencement:

~~~ Carell's entire commencement speech was hilarious. The audio and video here isn't great, but I laughed till I cried.

CNN did a live telecast Saturday night (June 7) of the Broadway play "Good Night, and Good Luck," written by George Clooney and Grant Heslov, about legendary newsman Edward R. Murrow's effort to hold to account Sen. Joe McCarthy, "the junior senator from Wisconsin." Clooney plays Murrow. Here's Murrow himself with his famous take on McCarthy & McCarthyism, brief remarks that especially resonate today: ~~~

     ~~~ This article lists ways you still can watch the play. 

New York Times: “The New York Times Company has agreed to license its editorial content to Amazon for use in the tech giant’s artificial intelligence platforms, the company said on Thursday. The multiyear agreement 'will bring Times editorial content to a variety of Amazon customer experiences,' the news organization said in a statement. Besides news articles, the agreement encompasses material from NYT Cooking, The Times’s food and recipe site, and The Athletic, which focuses on sports. This is The Times’s first licensing arrangement with a focus on generative A.I. technology. In 2023, The Times sued OpenAI and its partner, Microsoft, for copyright infringement, accusing the tech companies of using millions of articles published by The Times to train automated chatbots without any kind of compensation. OpenAI and Microsoft have rejected those accusations.” ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: I have no idea what this means for "the Amazon customer experience." Does it mean that if I don't have a NYT subscription but do have Amazon Prime I can read NYT content? And where, exactly, would I find that content? I don't know. I don't know.

Washington Post reporters asked three AI image generators what a beautiful woman looks like. "The Post found that they steer users toward a startlingly narrow vision of attractiveness. Prompted to show a 'beautiful woman,' all three tools generated thin women, without exception.... Her body looks like Barbie — slim hips, impossible waist, round breasts.... Just 2 percent of the images showed visible signs of aging. More than a third of the images had medium skin tones. But only nine percent had dark skin tones. Asked to show 'normal women,' the tools produced images that remained overwhelmingly thin.... However bias originates, The Post’s analysis found that popular image tools struggle to render realistic images of women outside the Western ideal." ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: The reporters seem to think they are calling out the AI programs for being unrealistic. But there's a lot about the "beautiful women" images they miss. I find these omissions remarkably sexist. For one thing, the reporters seem to think AI is a magical "thing" that self-generates. It isn't. It's programmed. It's programmed by boys, many of them incels who have little or no experience or insights beyond comic books and Internet porn of how to gauge female "beauty." As a result, the AI-generated women look like cartoons; that is, a lot like an air-brushed photo of Kristi Noem: globs of every kind of dark eye makeup, Scandinavian nose, Botox lips, slathered-on skin concealer/toner/etc. makeup, long dark hair and the aforementioned impossible Barbie body shape, including huge, round plastic breasts. 

New York Times: “George Clooney’s Broadway debut, 'Good Night, and Good Luck,' has been one of the sensations of the 2024-25 theater season, breaking box office records and drawing packed houses of audiences eager to see the popular movie star in a timely drama about the importance of an independent press. Now the play will become much more widely available: CNN is planning a live broadcast of the penultimate performance, on June 7 at 7 p.m. Eastern. The performance will be preceded and followed by coverage of, and discussion about, the show and the state of journalism.”

 

Contact Marie

Email Marie at constantweader@gmail.com

Constant Comments

Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts.

Success is not final, failure is not fatal; it is the courage to continue that counts. — Anonymous

A nation of sheep will beget a government of wolvesEdward R. Murrow

Publisher & Editor: Marie Burns

I have a Bluesky account now. The URL is https://bsky.app/profile/marie-burns.bsky.social . When Reality Chex goes down, check my Bluesky page for whatever info I am able to report on the status of Reality Chex. If you can't access the URL, I found that I could Google Bluesky and ask for Marie Burns. Google will include links to accounts for people whose names are, at least in part, Maria Burns, so you'll have to tell Google you looking only for Marie.

Thursday
Nov152018

The Commentariat -- Nov. 16, 2018

Afternoon Update:

Real Bad News for Fake-New-Faker-in-Chief. Michael Grynbaum & Emily Baumgaertner of the New York Times: "A federal judge on Friday directed the White House to restore the press credentials of Jim Acosta of CNN, a win for media advocates and news organizations in a major legal test of press rights under President Trump. The judge, Timothy J. Kelly of Federal District Court in Washington, ruled that the Trump administration had most likely violated Mr. Acosta's due process rights when it revoked his press badge after a testy exchange with the president at a news conference last week. The ruling was a significant but narrow victory for CNN. Judge Kelly, who was appointed by Mr. Trump, declined to weigh in on the First Amendment issues cited by the network, and the White House has the right to appeal. For now, Mr. Acosta can resume working on the White House grounds.... Other legal issues raised in the case were expected to be addressed in later court sessions." ...

     ... Mrs. McC: Sarah Sanders immediately issued a statement about "decorum," then lied about the ruling: "Ms. Sanders claimed in her statement that 'the court made clear that there is no absolute First Amendment right to access the White House.' But Judge Kelly did not rule on the First Amendment issues because he granted the temporary return of Mr. Acosta's pass on due process grounds."

Commander-in-Chief? Not So Much. Helene Cooper, et al., of the New York Times: "He canceled a trip to a cemetery in France where American soldiers from World War I are buried. He did not go to the observance at Arlington National Cemetery on Veterans Day. He has not visited American troops in Iraq or Afghanistan.... Rhetorically, Mr. Trump has embraced the United States' 1.3 million active-duty troops as 'my military' and 'my generals' and has posted on Twitter that under his leadership, the American armed forces will be 'the finest that our Country has ever had.' But top Defense Department officials say that Mr. Trump has not fully grasped the role of the troops he commands, nor the responsibility that he has to lead them and protect them from politics.... On Thursday, Mr. Trump spent less than an hour in a pre-Thanksgiving visit to the Marine Barracks in Washington, three and a half miles from the White House.... On Wednesday, it was Defense Secretary Jim Mattis who visited American troops on the border with Mexico in the latest military deployment under Mr. Trump's watch."

Laura Meckler of the Washington Post: "Education Secretary Betsy DeVos on Friday released her long-awaited rewrite of rules governing campus sexual harassment and assault allegations, narrowing the cases schools must investigate and giving the accused more rights. The proposed regulation replaces less formal guidelines created under President Barack Obama that tilt more toward accusers. DeVos rescinded the Obama measure a year ago. Under the proposal, fewer allegations would be considered sexual harassment and schools would be responsible only for investigating incidents that are part of campus programs and activities and that were properly reported. Accused students would be entitled to lawyers and cross-examination."

Trump, Ricardel Insult Estonia. Jennifer Jacobs of Bloomberg News: "... Donald Trump offered to nominate Mira Ricardel as ambassador to Estonia after First Lady Melania Trump forced the deputy national security adviser out of the White House, according to two people familiar with the matter. Ricardel turned down the posting to the Baltic state, two of the people said. The president wants to find her a good position, and she's been presented nearly a dozen jobs from which to choose, according to a senior White House official."

Can This Marriage Be Saved? Michael Isikoff of Yahoo! News: "George T. Conway III, the husband of White House counselor Kellyanne Conway, said the Republican Party has become 'a personality cult' under President Trump and that he would 'move to Australia' rather than vote for the president again. 'I don't feel comfortable being a Republican anymore,' Conway said in ... about his decision to drop his party registration earlier this year....' Asked if he thinks the president is fully stable, Conway responded: 'No comment.'"

Elana Schor of Politico: "Chuck Grassley plans to trade his Senate Judiciary Committee gavel to lead the Finance Committee next year, he said on Friday -- leaving Lindsey Graham in line to replace him as chairman." Mrs. McC: Oh, great. Now Lindsey can go ballistic for as long as he wants every time Democrats find fault with Trump's usual low-par nominees.

Allan Smith of NBC News: "A video surfaced Thursday of Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith of Mississippi saying it might be a 'great idea' to make it harder for some people to vote, and her campaign quickly responded that she was 'obviously' joking. Hyde-Smith, who is in a runoff against Democrat Mike Espy on Nov. 27, made the remark at a campaign stop in Starkville, Mississippi, on Nov. 3. It was posted to Twitter on Thursday by Lamar White Jr., publisher of The Bayou Brief. Smith earlier this week posted video of Hyde-Smith making a comment on Nov. 2 about a 'public hanging' that started a controversy.... Danny Blanton, a spokesman for Espy's campaign, called Hyde-Smith a 'walking stereotype who embarrasses our state.' 'For a state like Mississippi, where voting rights were obtained through sweat and blood, everyone should appreciate that this is not a laughing matter,' Blanton said in a statement." ...

... Mrs. McCrabbie: That's Senator Cindy there to the left. Now try to picture her back in the 1960s, standing at the front of a crowd of white ladies screaming at little black children on their way to their newly-integrated school. That wasn't hard, was it?

Karen Zraick of the New York Times: "A lawsuit accusing the publisher of the neo-Nazi site Daily Stormer of coordinating a 'terror campaign' of online harassment against a Jewish real estate agent cannot be dismissed on First Amendment grounds, a federal judge in Montana ruled this week. In his ruling denying a motion to dismiss the lawsuit, Dana L. Christensen, the chief judge for United States District Court in Missoula, Mont., wrote that the real estate agent, Tanya Gersh, was a private citizen, not a public figure, and that the publisher, Andrew Anglin, incited his followers to harass her as part of a personal campaign."

*****

David Remnick of the New Yorker: "The unwinding [of Donald Trump] accelerates daily. The unhinged tweet storms; the thunderbolts of blame and insult; the firing of Jeff Sessions and the appointment of a hyper-obedient acting Attorney General; the invective hurled at the press (and particularly at African-American reporters); the fact-free rants directed at firefighters trying to put out conflagrations amplified by climate change; the obvious fear of looming investigations and the special counsel's report.... The President is losing what last shred of poise he might have possessed.... There is no overestimating the damage that Trump has done and will continue to do."

Our Coy Mister. Erica Warner & Damian Paletta of the Washington Post: "President Trump did not commit Thursday to avoiding a partial government shutdown next month if lawmakers don't give him money to build a border wall, a top Republican senator said, raising the potential for a high-stakes budget battle as the GOP prepares to lose its grip on Congress.... Although they retain full control of Congress for now, Republicans still need support from Democrats to pass any bill in the Senate. Democrats have expressed opposition to giving Trump the money he wants to build his long-promised wall.... [Trump] initially threatened to shut down the government on Oct. 1 if Congress didn't give him the money, but GOP leaders warned such a tactic would hurt them during the midterms. Trump relented under pressure, in part because he was promised that Republicans would work to secure the money in early December."

Lee Moran of the Huffington Post: "Donald Trump on Thursday sought to stifle media reports that his administration is engulfed 'in chaos' and 'in meltdown.'... 'The White House is running very smoothly and the results for our Nation are obviously very good. We are the envy of the world. But anytime I even think about making changes, the FAKE NEWS MEDIA goes crazy, always seeking to make us look as bad as possible! Very dishonest!'... But his early morning Twitter boast attacking 'the FAKE NEWS MEDIA' did not go over well, with many folks suggesting America under Trump is actually a global 'laughingstock.'" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Zachary Basu of Axios: "President Trump renewed his attacks on the credibility of special counsel Robert Mueller's investigation in a series of Thursday morning tweets, using his oft-repeated refrain of 'WITCH HUNT.' 'The inner workings of the Mueller investigation are a total mess. They have found no collusion and have gone absolutely nuts. They are screaming and shouting at people, horribly threatening them to come up with the answers they want. They are a disgrace to our Nation and don't care how many lives the ruin. These are Angry People, including the highly conflicted Bob Mueller, who worked for Obama for 8 years. They won't even look at all of the bad acts and crimes on the other side. A TOTAL WITCH HUNT LIKE NO OTHER IN AMERICAN HISTORY!'" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Looks as if John Kelly didn't give Trumpy enough "policy time" Thursday. ...

... Natasha Bertrand of the Atlantic: "It isn't clear what prompted Trump's early-morning tirade [against the Mueller investigation].... But it could be a sign that he received negative news from his legal team or that new indictments against his family or associates are coming down the pike.... He was unusually specific in his accusation that Mueller's investigators were 'threatening' people 'to come up with the answers they want.'" ...

     ... Maggie Haberman, et al., of the New York Times note that Trump wrote the tweets "fresh off three days of private meetings with his personal lawyers [in which they] worked to draft answers to questions posed by the special counsel...." Mrs. McC: This is time Trump could have spent watching Fox "News," tanning & fixing his hair, so maybe that why he was especially irritated at Mueller. ...

... Matt Naham of Law & Crime: "These tweets came not long after the president basically confirmed what everyone already thinks -- that Matthew Whitaker's replacement of Jeff Sessions as acting Attorney General of the United States has everything to do with the Mueller probe. The transcript of Trump's Wednesday interview with the Daily Caller, when he was asked about Whitaker[.]... He was asked about Whitaker, said the Office of Legal Counsel issued a 20-page 'very good' and 'strong' opinion, and then immediately steered the conversation toward Robert Mueller's 'illegal investigation' that 'should have never been brought.'... At least two former federal prosecutors [as well as Rep. Ted Lieu (D-Calif.)] suspect that, actually, Trump has heard something from someone that would indicate he knows more indictments are coming.... The logic here is ultimately pretty simple: the president is privy to certain information in advance of the media." ...

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: The former prosecutors to whom both Bertrand & Naham spoke speculate that Trump's sources are attorneys for some of the investigation's targets. Rachel Maddow speculates -- and I find her suggestion more compelling & far more terrible -- that Trump's source is Matt Whitaker.

This Is the Saturday Night Massacre ... in Slow Motion. Walter Shaub, former director of the Office of Government Ethics, in Slate: "The last time a president made a personnel change to undermine an investigation of his associates, Congress forced him to resign.... President Trump has launched a piecemeal Saturday Night Massacre of his own. He first fired FBI Director James Comey last year for his handling of the Russia probe.... If members of Congress or the American people fail to act, these precedents will become the guideposts for future presidents who follow the path President Trump is blazing. A new tenet of American democracy will become that a president is permitted to evade investigation by firing the heads of agencies that investigate the president's close associates, even when the investigation is the reason for the firings.... Putting a president above the rule of law is a threat to democracy."

Mary Jalonick & Mike Balsamo of the AP: "Acting Attorney General Matt Whitaker told Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham in a meeting on Thursday that special counsel Robert Mueller's investigation will proceed, according to a person familiar with the meeting. The meeting with Graham and Whitaker comes as a bipartisan group of senators is pushing legislation to protect Mueller's job." Mrs. McC: Take no comfort in this assertion. Whitaker is a flim-flam artist. But maybe the Graham-Whitaker conversation will further rile Trump. ...

     ... Burgess Everett & Eliana Johnson of Politico: "Senate Republicans are urging ... Donald Trump to quickly nominate a permanent attorney general, hoping a new top law enforcement officer will blunt bipartisan concern over the future of special counsel Robert Mueller and boost the GOP ahead of tough government funding talks." Mrs. McC: Because Senate Republicans don't believe Whitaker, either.

Marshall Cohen of CNN: "A federal judge on Thursday upheld a federal indictment against the Russian troll farm accused of meddling in the 2016 election, handing a victory to special counsel Robert Mueller. In a 32-page opinion, Judge Dabney Friedrich rejected efforts by Concord Management and Consulting to dismiss the indictment, which accused the Russian company of conspiring to defraud the US government. Mueller's team says the company was involved in a well-funded 'troll farm' that pumped out political propaganda to millions of Americans throughout the 2016 presidential campaign. It was the second time that Friedrich, a Trump appointee, sided with Mueller and let the case proceed." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Matt Zapotosky & Devlin Barrett of the Washington Post: "WikiLeaks' founder Julian Assange has been charged under seal, prosecutors inadvertently revealed in a recently unsealed court filing -- a development that could significantly advance the probe into Russian interference in the 2016 election and have major implications for those who publish government secrets. The disclosure came in a filing in a case unrelated to Assange. Assistant U.S. Attorney Kellen S. Dwyer, urging a judge to keep the matter sealed, wrote 'due to the sophistication of the defendant and the publicity surrounding the case, no other procedure is likely to keep confidential the fact that Assange has been charged.' Later, Dwyer wrote the charges would 'need to remain sealed until Assange is arrested.' Dwyer is also assigned to the WikiLeaks case. People familiar with the matter said what Dwyer was disclosing was true, but unintentional." ...

     ... The New York Times story, by Charlie Savage & Michael Schmidt, is here.

Erik Wemple of the Washington Post: "Justice Department lawyers, defending the Trump administration's revocation of [CNN reporter Jim] Acosta's credentials, submitted a brief on Wednesday responding to CNN's lawsuit seeking their restoration. The network is seeking a restraining order against the White House, an action that government lawyers are opposing on a number of grounds.... In a hearing before U.S. District Judge Timothy J. Kelly on Wednesday afternoon, Deputy Assistant Attorney General James Burnham was forced to expound upon these arguments. It was unsightly." Read on for details. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)


Carol Lee
, et al., of NBC News: "Trump administration officials last month asked federal law enforcement agencies to examine legal ways of removing exiled Turkish cleric Fethullah Gulen in an attempt to persuade [Turkey's president Recep] Erdogan to ease pressure on the Saudi government..., four sources said. The effort includes directives to the Justice Department and FBI that officials reopen Turkey's case for his extradition, as well as a request to the Homeland Security Department for information about his legal status, the four people said.... Career officials at the agencies pushed back on the White House requests, the U.S. officials and people briefed on the requests said.... [An earlier request] took place under Trump's former national security adviser, Michael Flynn, whose ties to Turkey came under scrutiny in special counsel Robert Mueller's investigation into Russian election meddling." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... OR, as Eric Levitz puts it: "In order to help an Islamist theocracy get away with executing one American immigrant [Jamal Khashoggi], Trump is (reportedly) trying to find a legal rationale for letting another (much less totalitarian) Islamist theocracy execute a different American immigrant [Fethullah Gulen].... In an op-ed for The Wall Street Journal earlier this week, Marco Rubio wrote that Donald Trump's ... nationalistic ethos was rooted in his deep appreciation for America's 'identity as a nation committed to the idea that all people are created equal, with a God-given right to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness.'... It seems safe to say, contra Rubio, that Trump is less of an American nationalist who harbors a deep commitment to human rights than an American solipsist who is ready and willing to abet crimes against humanity if he believes that he stands to benefit personally from doing so." ...

... Just Saying. Josh Kovensky of TPM: "The Trump Organization continues to accept millions from foreign governments. Three weeks ago, ABC reported that a Turkish business group had moved to cancel an event at Trump's DC hotel amid negotiations over Gulen's fate. Saudi officials have organized diplomatic events at Trump's Washington hotel since his inauguration. The country rents out a floor of one of Trump's New York buildings." ...

... P.S. It Won't Work. Roy Gutman of the Daily Beast: "Turkey pressed on with its demands for a full accounting from Saudi Arabia for the murder of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi early last month -- dismissing a Saudi prosecutor's indictments Thursday as an attempt to cover up the murder. Turkey also rejected a reported White House plan to expel Fethullah Gulen, an Islamic preacher, from the United States in exchange for Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan easing the pressure for a full investigation.... The Turkish rejection of the reported U.S. bid was both swift and blunt. 'At no point did Turkey offer to hold back on the Khashoggi investigation in return for Fethullah Gulen's extradition,' a senior Turkish official said Thursday night. Turkey's request for Gulen's extradition and the investigation into the Khashoggi murder 'are two separate issues. They are not connected in any way, shape or form.'"

... Sonam Sheth & John Haltiwanger of Business Insider: "Foreign-policy veterans were floored Thursday following a bombshell report that the White House considered extraditing one of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's top enemies to get Ankara to back off the investigation into the murder of the journalist Jamal Khashoggi.... [Fethullah] Gulen is a legal US resident and a green-card holder who's been living in Pennsylvania since the late 1990s.... Ned Price, the former senior director of the National Security Council under President Barack Obama, said..., 'This is the Trump administration seeking to barter away a US resident who has lived here legally for years.'... Diplomatic, immigration, and law-enforcement officials during the Obama administration determined that Turkey's case for Gulen's extradition did not meet the required threshold.... Randa Slim, the director of conflict resolution at the Middle East Institute, echoed that view.... "If the White House seriously considered it, it shows to what lengths the [Jared] Kushner camp was willing to go to protect their young protege in Riyadh," she added. Slim was referring to Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, who once reportedly bragged that he had Kushner, a senior White House adviser, 'in his pocket.'"

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: It seems to me that Trump's plan to barter away a long-time legal American resident to help Trump's friend & client get away with murdering another American resident is also one more way Trump is discouraging immigration. Isn't it foolish to seek refuge in the U.S. if, on the POTUS*'s whim, you might be deported back to a country that is planning to execute you?

Sheila Kaplan & Jan Hoffman of the New York Times: "Stopping short of its threatened ban on flavored e-cigarettes, the Food and Drug Administration said on Thursday that it would allow stores to continue selling the products, but only from closed-off areas that are inaccessible to minors. At the same time, the agency moved to outlaw two traditional tobacco products that disproportionately harm African Americans: menthol cigarettes and flavored cigars. The proposed menthol ban would be the most aggressive action the F.D.A. has taken against the tobacco industry in nearly a decade, and it was notable given the Trump administration's business-friendly approach to regulatory issues. If it clears the usual federal regulatory hurdles, a process which could take at least two years, the menthol ban could make a significant dent in cigarette sales. Menthol cigarettes account for about 35 percent of cigarette sales in the United States." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Karen DeYoung of the Washington Post: "The Treasury Department has designated 17 Saudi Arabians for involvement in the killing of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi, imposing sanctions that freeze any assets under U.S. jurisdiction and prohibit Americans from dealings with them. All of the 17, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said in a statement, were 'involved in the abhorrent killing' that 'targeted and brutally killed a journalist who resided and worked in the United States [and] must face consequences for their actions.' Mnuchin indicated that the United States would continue investigating to determine whether others were also responsible and said that 'the government of Saudi Arabia must take appropriate steps to end any targeting of political dissidents or journalists.' The Treasury announcement followed the release of a statement in Riyadh saying 11 unnamed Saudi citizens had been indicted in the crime.... It said authorities would seek the death penalty against five of those indicted. Neither statement implicated Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, whom Turkey has indirectly accused of ordering Khashoggi's death. A spokesman for the Saudi prosecutor, speaking at a news conference in Riyadh, said Mohammed had no knowledge of the operation." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Tierney Sneed of TPM: "The top scientist at the Census Bureau [John Abowd] testified Wednesday that then-Attorney General Jeff Sessions exerted 'political influence' when he directed Justice Department staff not to meet with census experts about the Justice Department's request to add a citizenship question to the census.... Abowd's testimony was in the ongoing federal trial in New York over Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross's move to add a citizenship question to the census.... Ross called Sessions personally in the fall of 2017 seeking that the Justice Department formally request a citizenship question, which it did in ... December 2017.... The Census Bureau concluded that adding the question would be costly and would result in less accurate data.... Abowd's team sought to meet with Justice Department staff to discuss this assessment in early 2018. Sessions directed the Justice Department to cancel the meeting[.]" --s

Betsy's Bodyguards. Heidi Przybyla of NBC News: "Education Secretary Betsy DeVos began receiving around-the-clock security from the U.S. Marshals Service days after being confirmed, an armed detail provided to no other cabinet member that could cost U.S. taxpayers $19.8 million through September of 2019, according to new figures provided by the Marshals Service to NBC News. While it remains unclear who specifically made the request, former Attorney General Jeff Sessions granted the protection on February 13, 2017, a few days after DeVos was heckled and blocked by a handful of protesters from entering the Jefferson Academy, a public middle school in Washington.... The cost of security provided to DeVos was $5.3 million in fiscal year 2017 and $6.8 million for fiscal year 2018, according to the Marshals Service -- an amount that is ultimately reimbursed by the Education Department. The estimated cost for fiscal year 2019 is $7.74 million. That far exceeds the $3.5 million spent on security for former EPA Administrator Scott Pruitt, who resigned in July amid questions about lavish spending habits during his 17-month tenure at the agency. An EPA inspector general report ... found the price tag for Pruitt's security detail was 'not justified' and far exceeded the security costs incurred under past EPA heads. Typically, cabinet secretaries are protected by security arranged by their departments' internal enforcement units."

Mark Hand of ThinkProgress: "Raymond David Vela, President Trump's nominee to be director of the U.S. National Park Service (NPS), mentioned climate change on Thursday as he read from prepared remarks during his confirmation hearing before the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee. Hearing a Trump nominee cite climate change as an issue that must be tackled is a rare, if not unheard of, occurrence.... The National Park Service has gone almost two years without a director. Vela has been with the parks service for almost 30 years; most recently, he served as superintendent of Grand Teton National Park." --s

Trump's Best Crooks, Ctd. Michael Biesecker of TPM: "The Trump administration's top environmental official for the Southeast has been arrested on Alabama state ethics charges related to a scheme to help a coal company avoid paying for a costly toxic waste cleanup. Trey Glenn was booked into a county jail in Birmingham on Thursday before being released on a $30,000 bond. Glenn was appointed last year as chief of the Environmental Protection Agency's regional office in Atlanta, which oversees operations in eight states. Glenn is charged with multiple ethics violations stemming from his prior work as a coal-industry consultant opposing federal Superfund cleanup efforts. He resigned as director of the Alabama Department of Environmental Management in 2009 following another ethics scandal." --s

Democrats Have Their Fights in Public. Sheryl Stolberg of the New York Times: "Representative Nancy Pelosi asserted Thursday that she has enough support among her colleagues to become the next speaker of the House, as the first hint of opposition emerged from an Ohio Democrat, Representative Marcia Fudge, who said she is considering a run. 'Come on in, the water's warm,' Ms. Pelosi said, dismissing the notion that Ms. Fudge was a threat. Asked if she had the 218 votes necessary to win the speakership, she said emphatically, 'Yes.' Ms. Pelosi is an exceptionally skilled politician, and many Democrats say she remains the odds-on favorite to return to the post in January. Her comments came as the fight over whether she should be speaker is heating up among her colleagues, exposing deep divisions over the role of gender in leadership at a time when a so-called pink wave put the party back in the House majority." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Matt Fuller of the Huffington Post: "Rep. Marcia Fudge (D-Ohio) is all but announcing her intention to run for House speaker against Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), testing the waters Thursday by slamming Pelosi and foregrounding issues of race.... During the course of our interview, the former Congressional Black Caucus chairwoman made it clear she thinks Pelosi has not been a vocal enough advocate for African-Americans in Congress, she dismissed suggestions that Pelosi had led Democrats back to the majority, and she painted herself as equally liberal as Pelosi.... Fudge said this was about a fresh start in Congress, making sure that Democratic leadership reflects the voters who gave Democrats the majority ― specifically, African-American women.... Fudge also suggested Pelosi is simply unpopular with Democrats. She pointed to polling suggesting that Pelosi has a 17 percent favorability rating, and that more Democrats oppose Pelosi being speaker than those who support her." ...

... AND Democrats Fight in Private. Anthony Adragna, et al., of Politico: "A fight broke out in a closed-door meeting of House Democrats over climate change as a powerful veteran lawmaker fought with freshman star Rep.-elect Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and other members-elect over the creation of a special panel for the issue. New Jersey Rep. Frank Pallone, incoming chairman of the powerful Energy and Commerce Committee -- backed by a number of other committee members -- slammed the creation of the new climate panel, according to multiple sources in the room. Pallone argued that his committee and other existing panels within the House could take on the issue aggressively." Mrs. McC: The old guard are finding out that the new kids don't know their place. Too too bad.

"We Are Ruled by Monsters & Fools." Ian Millhiser of ThinkProgress: "On Thursday, Sen. Mike Lee (R-UT) delivered a speech to the conservative Federalist Society that would have been more at home on Alex Jones' radio show than at a gathering of many of the most powerful lawyers and judges in the country.... [Lee] claims 'the left' will start a civil war unless federal highway system abolished.... Lee warned of a brewing civil war, and claimed that the only way to avert violence would be to eradicate a long list of federal programs including 'the interstate highway system,' funding for 'K through 12 public education,' 'federal higher education accreditation,' 'early childhood education, the Department of Commerce,' 'housing policy, workforce regulation,' and what Lee labeled the 'huge glut of federally owned land.'"

Election 2018

California. Scott Wong of the Hill: "Democrat Katie Porter unseated incumbent Rep. Mimi Walters (R-Calif.), marking the first time Democrats have won the inland Orange County district since its creation in 1983. The Associated Press called the race on Thursday, nine days after Election Day. Porter's victory represented the fifth GOP seat that Democrats flipped in the 2018 midterms, an devastating blow to the new Republican leader, California Rep. Kevin McCarthy. Walters ... was one of a handful of vulnerable Republicans who voted for and defended both Trump's Obamacare repeal bill and his tax cuts law. Porter, a consumer-protection attorney, seized on Walters's unapologetic support of the Trump agenda, running ads that said her GOP opponent voted with the president 98 percent of the time."

Florida. What a Mess. Sean Sullivan, et al., of the Washington Post: "The five-day sprint to run ballots in Florida through counting machines for a second time ended Thursday, with the state ordering a manual recount of results in the U.S. Senate race, where about 12,600 votes separated Democratic incumbent Bill Nelson from Republican Rick Scott, the state's governor. No such measure was ordered in the governor's race, where former congressman Ron DeSantis (R) held an edge over Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum (D). At least three counties did not submit new totals for the machine recount and are relying on counts from last week." Mrs. McC: The three counties -- Palm Beach, Broward & Hillsborough (Tampa) -- are all Democratic-leaning. ...

... SNAFU. Alex Harris of the Miami Herald: "With just 15 minutes to go before Thursday's deadline, Broward County finally finished recounting every vote. At least, that's what officials told reporters and the canvassing board at 2:45 p.m. In a surprise announcement at nearly 6 p.m., Broward's director of elections planning, Joseph D'Alessandro, told the canvassing board the county actually turned in results to the state two minutes late. They won't count officially. Broward's original count, due Nov. 10, will stand until the manual recount totals come in Sunday at noon. The manual recount will be added to the first official count." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: D'Alessandro's excuse? "... “my unfamiliarity with their [the state's] website." Okay, why should the director of elections planning know the least little thing about the state's website? Guess he forgot the "planning" part of his title. On the other hand, why should the state refuse a download that's two minutes late? Oh, Governor/Candidate Rick Scott.

... Emily Mahoney of the Miami Herald: "Nine days after Election Day, and one machine recount later, it is all but official: Ron DeSantis is Florida's next governor. The results of the statewide machine recount which rolled by the Thursday 3 p.m. deadline, solidified what most already knew, as DeSantis has already made himself busy with transitioning to power and creating a new government. In the governor's race, it was an anticlimactic finish to the dramatic machine recount -- plagued with technical issues and an avalanche of lawsuits -- with almost not change in the margin between DeSantis and his Democratic opponent, Andrew Gillum, since this weekend. Still, about .41 percentage points separate the two candidates, or just under 34,000 votes."

Maine. Kevin Miller of the Portland Press Herald: "Democrat Jared Golden was declared the winner of Maine's 2nd Congressional District race on Thursday following a historic tabulation of ballots using ranked-choice voting. Golden, a Marine Corps veteran and state lawmaker from Lewiston, began the day roughly 2,000 votes behind incumbent Republican Rep. Bruce Poliquin. But Golden surged past Poliquin by slightly less than 3,000 votes after the ranked-choice votes of two independents in the race were redistributed Thursday afternoon.... This is the first time in U.S. history that a congressional race was decided using ranked-choic voting, which allows voters to cast ballots for their favorite candidate but also rank other candidates in order of preference.... Poliquin is challenging the constitutionality of ranked-choice voting in federal court, and the campaign could ask for a recount of the results." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Several commentators have pointed out that New England's House delegation will now be totally GOP-free. Damned East Coast librul elites.

Natasha Korecki & Darren Samuelsohn of Politico: "A day after he was arrested on domestic violence allegations, Stormy Daniels attorney and 2020 aspirant Michael Avenatti suggested on social media that pro-Trump activist Jacob Wohl was behind his legal ordeal. 'First Mueller and now me. When we are fully exonerated I am coming for you Jacob Wohl aka Surefire,' Avenatti tweeted. Avenatti did not further explain the tweet or respond to a request for comment. Wohl, a former hedge fund manager and right-wing blogger, is a central figure in a widely dismissed plot accusing special counsel Robert Mueller of sexual misconduct. At a recent Northern Virginia news conference where he made the claims against Mueller, Wohl acknowledged his connection to a firm called Surefire Intelligence. That private intelligence firm's Twitter account on Thursday tweeted a link to Avenatti's arrest then declared: 'Surefire Intelligence strikes again.'... After his arrest, Avenatti's ex-wife and his second wife, Lisa Storie-Avenatti, with whom he is in the midst of a divorce, released statements defending Avenatti, saying he had never demonstrated evidence of violence."

Dylan Scott of Vox: "After two years of Donald Trump and his anti-immigrant rhetoric, fewer immigrant families are using federal food stamps — even though no formal changes have been made to the program or its eligibility rules.... The implication ... is families who should still be eligible for those benefits -- and who still need them -- have voluntarily decided to leave the program for fear that they would be at risk if they applied through the official channels.... In other words, it appears Trump is making immigrant families too afraid to apply for federal assistance so they can afford food." --s ...

... AND in case you thought Trump's fake caravan scare had no real consequences for us true-blue bona fide U.S citizens:

... Words Matter. Allegra Kirkland & Josh Kovensky of TPM: "Federal prosecutors on Thursday requested that the avowed neo-Nazi [Jeffrey Raphiel Clark] who was friends on social media with the Pittsburgh synagogue shooter be held in a Washington, D.C. jail while he awaits trial on gun charges.... The new court documents ... contain transcripts of Clark's interview with an FBI agent following his arrest.... Jeffrey purportedly said that the Pittsburgh synagogue shooter 'did it because he's a white nationalist and he's mad at Jews.' 'He was upset with what ... what he sees as Jewish groups destroying America based on what he saw from that caravan, the migrant caravan that was going on, and he decided he wanted to retaliate,' the court filing cites Jeffrey as saying." [Emphasis mine] --s

Joe Romm of ThinkProgress: "The stunning price drops in wind and solar power have continued. No longer are U.S. solar and wind plants merely cheaper than coal plants -- they are also more affordable than new natural gas plants. And this is without subsidies or a price on carbon.... The bad news, however, is that while renewables are projected to capture two-thirds of the $10 trillion the world will invest in new generation through 2040, this will not be enough to avoid catastrophic warming." --s ...

... Jonathan Watts of the Guardian: "China, Russia and Canada’s current climate policies would drive the world above a catastrophic 5C of warming, according to a study that ranks the climate goals of different countries. The US and Australia are only slightly behind with both pushing the global temperature rise dangerously over 4C above pre-industrial levels says the paper, while even the EU, which is usually seen as a climate leader, is on course to more than double the 1.5C that scientists say is a moderately safe level of heating.... The aim of the paper is to inform climate negotiators as they begin a two-year process of ratcheting up climate commitments, which currently fall far short of the 1.5-to-2C goal set in France three years ago." --s

Beyond the Beltway

Thomas Fuller, et al., of the New York Times: "Within hours of the flames igniting in Northern California last week, an instant new homeless crisis was born. In a state already suffering an acute housing shortage, the fire that swept through the town of Paradise and neighboring hamlets has once again laid bare one of California's biggest vulnerabilities: With each disaster — wildfire, mudslide or earthquake — there are thousands of people who cannot find homes in a market that for years has had very little vacancy."

Connor Sheets of AL.com: "A former state trooper shot Greg Griggers, the district attorney for Alabama's 17th Judicial Circuit, in the face Thursday afternoon in Demopolis, according to Michael Jackson, district attorney for Alabama's 4th Judicial Circuit. After he shot Griggers, the former trooper was shot to death, reportedly by a law enforcement officer.... Jackson said the shooter has been identified as Steven Smith, Jr., a former state trooper who was previously questioned in connection with a 1996 incident in which someone used a shotgun to shoot up the home of Sumter County Circuit Judge Eddie Hardaway, the first black judge to preside over Sumter, Marengo and Greene counties.... Griggers, who serves as district attorney of Greene, Marengo and Sumter counties, was transported to a hospital and is expected to survive, according to Jackson." --s

Way Beyond

Andrew Roth of the Guardian: "Russia’s repeated arrests of opposition leader Alexei Navalny are politically motivated, the European court of human rights (ECHR) has ruled, in a sharp rebuke of the Russian authorities that is sure to provoke anger in Moscow. In a ruling released on its website, the Strasbourg-based court ruled that seven arrests of the Russian corruption whistleblower dating from 2012 to 2014 were politically motivated under the terms of the European convention on human rights, to which Russia is a partner. The arrests were aimed at 'suppressing political pluralism', the ruling said. In a final, binding decision, the court's grand chamber ordered Russian authorities to pay €63,000 (£55,600) in compensation for moral harm, material damages and court costs." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Rebecca Ratcliffe of the Guardian: "Central African Republic risks sliding into full-scale war, an aid agency has warned, after the UN security council failed to agree terms for extending a peacekeeping mission in the country. Jan Egeland, secretary general of the Norwegian Refugee Council, said international efforts to solve the crisis were failing and civilians were routinely being targeted." --s

News Ledes

Los Angeles Times: "The death toll from the devastating Camp fire jumped to 63 on Thursday as search crews recovered seven more bodies in the burn area. The number of people unaccounted for jumped dramatically to 631 people, up from 130 on Wednesday evening. Butte County Sheriff Kory Honea told reporters that crews found three bodies in Magalia, three in Paradise and one in Concow. One body in Paradise was found in a car that had been flipped on its side. The blaze has scorched 141,000 acres and destroyed 11,862 structures. It was 40% contained as of Wednesday evening."

New York Times: "William Goldman, who won Academy Awards for his screenplays for 'Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid' and 'All the President's Men' and who, despite being one of Hollywood's most successful screenwriters, was an outspoken critic of the movie industry, died on Friday in Manhattan. He was 87.... In his long career, which began in the 1960s and lasted into the 21st century, Mr. Goldman also wrote the screenplays for popular films like 'Misery,' 'A Bridge Too Far,' 'The Stepford Wives' and 'Chaplin.' He was a prolific novelist as well, and several of his screenplays were adapted from his own novels, notably 'The Princess Bride' and 'Marathon Man.'"

Thursday
Nov152018

The Commentariat -- Nov. 15, 2018

Afternoon Update:

Sheryl Stolberg of the New York Times: "Representative Nancy Pelosi asserted Thursday that she has enough support among her colleagues to become the next speaker of the House, as the first hint of opposition emerged from an Ohio Democrat, Representative Marcia Fudge, who said she is considering a run. 'Come on in, the water's warm,' Ms. Pelosi said, dismissing the notion that Ms. Fudge was a threat. Asked if she had the 218 votes necessary to win the speakership, she said emphatically, 'Yes.' Ms. Pelosi is an exceptionally skilled politician, and many Democrats say she remains the odds-on favorite to return to the post in January. Her comments came as the fight over whether she should be speaker is heating up among her colleagues, exposing deep divisions over the role of gender in leadership at a time when a so-called pink wave put the party back in the House majority."

Zachary Basu of Axios: "President Trump renewed his attacks on the credibility of special counsel Robert Mueller's investigation in a series of Thursday morning tweets, using his oft-repeated refrain of 'WITCH HUNT.' 'The inner workings of the Mueller investigation are a total mess. They have found no collusion and have gone absolutely nuts. They are screaming and shouting at people, horribly threatening them to come up with the answers they want. They are a disgrace to our Nation and don't care how many lives the ruin. These are Angry People, including the highly conflicted Bob Mueller, who worked for Obama for 8 years. They won't even look at all of the bad acts and crimes on the other side. A TOTAL WITCH HUNT LIKE NO OTHER IN AMERICAN HISTORY!'" ...

... Lee Moran of the Huffington Post: "Donald Trump on Thursday sought to stifle media reports that his administration is engulfed 'in chaos' and 'in meltdown.'... 'The White House is running very smoothly and the results for our Nation are obviously very good. We are the envy of the world. But anytime I even think about making changes, the FAKE NEWS MEDIA goes crazy, always seeking to make us look as bad as possible! Very dishonest!'... But his early morning Twitter boast attacking 'the FAKE NEWS MEDIA' did not go over well, with many folks suggesting America under Trump is actually a global 'laughingstock.'" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Looks as if John Kelly didn't give Trumpy enough "policy time" today.

Sheila Kaplan & Jan Hoffman of the New York Times: "Stopping short of its threatened ban on flavored e-cigarettes, the Food and Drug Administration said on Thursday that it would allow stores to continue selling the products, but only from closed-off areas that are inaccessible to minors.At the same time, the agency moved to outlaw two traditional tobacco products that disproportionately harm African Americans: menthol cigarettes and flavored cigars.The proposed menthol ban would be the most aggressive action the F.D.A. has taken against the tobacco industry in nearly a decade, and it was notable given the Trump administration's business-friendly approach to regulatory issues. If it clears the usual federal regulatory hurdles, a process which could take at least two years, the menthol ban could make a significant dent in cigarette sales. Menthol cigarettes account for about 35 percent of cigarette sales in the United States."

Karen DeYoung of the Washington Post: "The Treasury Department has designated 17 Saudi Arabians for involvement in the killing of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi, imposing sanctions that freeze any assets under U.S. jurisdiction and prohibit Americans from dealings with them. All of the 17, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said in a statement, were 'involved in the abhorrent killing' that 'targeted and brutally killed a journalist who resided and worked in the United States [and] must face consequences for their actions.' Mnuchin indicated that the United States would continue investigating to determine whether others were also responsible and said that 'the government of Saudi Arabia must take appropriate steps to end any targeting of political dissidents or journalists.' The Treasury announcement followed the release of a statement in Riyadh saying 11 unnamed Saudi citizens had been indicted in the crime.... It said authorities would seek the death penalty against five of those indicted. Neither statement implicated Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, whom Turkey has indirectly accused of ordering Khashoggi's death. A spokesman for the Saudi prosecutor, speaking at a news conference in Riyadh, said Mohammed had no knowledge of the operation."

Carol Lee, et al., of NBC News: "Trump administration officials last month asked federal law enforcement agencies to examine legal ways of removing exiled Turkish cleric Fethullah Gulen in an attempt to persuade [Turkey's president Recep] Erdogan to ease pressure on the Saudi government..., four sources said. The effort includes directives to the Justice Department and FBI that officials reopen Turkey's case for his extradition, as well as a request to the Homeland Security Department for information about his legal status, the four people said.... Career officials at the agencies pushed back on the White House requests, the U.S. officials and people briefed on the requests said.... [An earlier request] took place under Trump's former national security adviser, Michael Flynn, whose ties to Turkey came under scrutiny in special counsel Robert Mueller's investigation into Russian election meddling."

Marshall Cohen of CNN: "A federal judge on Thursday upheld a federal indictment against the Russian troll farm accused of meddling in the 2016 election, handing a victory to special counsel Robert Mueller. In a 32-page opinion, Judge Dabney Friedrich rejected efforts by Concord Management and Consulting to dismiss the indictment, which accused the Russian company of conspiring to defraud the US government. Mueller's team says the company was involved in a well-funded 'troll farm' that pumped out political propaganda to millions of Americans throughout the 2016 presidential campaign. It was the second time that Friedrich, a Trump appointee, sided with Mueller and let the case proceed."

Erik Wemple of the Washington Post: "Justice Department lawyers, defending the Trump administration's revocation of [CNN reporter Jim] Acosta’s credentials, submitted a brief on Wednesday responding to CNN's lawsuit seeking their restoration. The network is seeking a restraining order against the White House, an action that government lawyers are opposing on a number of grounds.... In a hearing before U.S. District Judge Timothy J. Kelly on Wednesday afternoon, Deputy Assistant Attorney General James Burnham was forced to expound upon these arguments. It was unsightly." Read on for details.

Kevin Miller of the Portland Press Herald: "Democrat Jared Golden was declared the winner of Maine's 2nd Congressional District race on Thursday following a historic tabulation of ballots using ranked-choice voting. Golden, a Marine Corps veteran and state lawmaker from Lewiston, began the day roughly 2,000 votes behind incumbent Republican Rep. Bruce Poliquin. But Golden surged past Poliquin by slightly less than 3,000 votes after the ranked-choice votes of two independents in the race were redistributed Thursday afternoon.... This is the first time in U.S. history that a congressional race was decided using ranked-choice voting, which allows voters to cast ballots for their favorite candidate but also rank other candidates in order of preference.... Poliquin is challenging the constitutionality of ranked-choice voting in federal court, and the campaign could ask for a recount of the results."

Andrew Roth of the Guardian: "Russia's repeated arrests of opposition leader Alexei Navalny are politically motivated, the European court of human rights (ECHR) has ruled, in a sharp rebuke of the Russian authorities that is sure to provoke anger in Moscow. In a ruling released on its website, the Strasbourg-based court ruled that seven arrests of the Russian corruption whistleblower dating from 2012 to 2014 were politically motivated under the terms of the European convention on human rights, to which Russia is a partner. The arrests were aimed at 'suppressing political pluralism', the ruling said. In a final, binding decision, the court's grand chamber ordered Russian authorities to pay €63,000 (£55,600) in compensation for moral harm, material damages and court costs."

*****

Kirk Semple & Elisabeth Malkin of the New York Times: "Hundreds of migrants in the caravan traveling from Central America have begun arriving in the northern Mexico border city of Tijuana, setting up a potential confrontation with the American authorities that has been brewing for weeks. Their arrival in Tijuana marked the end of one struggle -- making it safely to the United States border. But it signaled the start of another to get across that border, something that President Trump has promised to impede, even for those seeking asylum. Mr. Trump has labeled the caravan an invasion, deployed American soldiers to the border and made changes to asylum rules in efforts to confront it. A few of the migrants who have made it to Tijuana were already trying to figure out how to get appointments with American border officials to present their cases for sanctuary, migrants' advocates said. Most, however, appear to be biding their time and considering their options, including seeking sanctuary in the United States, trying to cross illegally or remaining in Mexico."

Gabriel Sherman of Vanity Fair: "... Donald Trump's West Wing [is careening] through one of the most turbulent weeks of his presidency. 'This is a level of insanity I've never seen before,' one former West Wing staffer told me.... What's surprising to some advisers about how bad the past week has been is that Trump initially seemed to take the midterm losses in stride.... Trump told people that his barnstorming rally schedule had mobilized his base and held Republican losses to historical lows, while increasing Republican gains in the Senate. 'He really thought he won the midterms,' a prominent Republican who spoke with Trump said. But by Wednesday, after hours of commentary about the suburbs' distaste for him and with seat after undecided House seat slipping toward the Democrats, his mood slid, too, hitting bottom in a bizarre and combative press conference." ...

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: I guess this is what happens when reality invades your delusions. As for Trump's belief that he had "held Republican losses to historical lows": Domenico Montanaro of NPR: "... more than a week after Election Day, Democrats have increased their House gains to a net of 34 seats — and, when all the vote is counted, they may get to 39. Make no mistake: That is a very big wave.... It's the most House seats gained by Democrats since the wave election following Watergate. President Richard Nixon resigned in August 1974, leading to Democrats' pickup of 49 seats that fall." ...

... Aaron Blake of the Washington Post: "Trump's continued foul mood about the whole thing leads to this question: Is he surprised? What happened last Tuesday and has happened since then has been very much in line with almost all of the projections. The national polls were largely right on the money, and the House had been expected to flip Democratic for months. But for months Trump publicly doubted all that. He [kept saying] there was a 'red wave' coming.... As with his myriad falsehoods and conspiracy theories, there's another option: He has crafted his own reality, which is significantly rosier than actual reality.... The totality of it suggests he wasn't exactly prepared for this outcome.... Perhaps he truly believed he was a popular president prepared to shock prognosticators again. Maybe he really thinks his approval rating among African Americans is 40 percent, even though there's no conceivable way that's true. As indicators of how insulated from reality he often finds himself, it's a pretty good case in point."

Nicholas Fandos & Maggie Haberman of the New York Times: "President Trump threw his support behind a substantial revision of the nation's prison and sentencing laws on Wednesday, opening a potential path to enacting the most significant changes to the criminal justice system in a generation. The tentative legislative package, developed by a bipartisan group of senators and called the First Step Act, builds on a prison overhaul bill already passed overwhelmingly by the House by adding changes that would begin to unwind some of the tough-on-crime federal policies of the 1980s and 1990s that incarcerated African-American offenders at much higher rates than white offenders."

Macron Goes High. Alissa Rubin of the New York Times: "The French president responded Wednesday evening to President Trump's scathing personal attack on him, declining to lash out and instead taking the long view. In a television interview on the aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle, which President Emmanuel Macron was visiting, he made clear that he was not going to respond in kind, but hew to both countries' longstanding common interests. 'I do not do policy or diplomacy by tweets,' he said.... Many French people were taken aback by the tone of Mr. Trump's comments, which the French newspaper Le Monde called 'violent.' However, some people observed that Mr. Trump was simply treating Mr. Macron the way he has treated other allies who had hosted him." ...

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: "Some people" are right: Trump really is the guest from hell. He behaves badly during the visit, embarrassing you in front of friends. Then -- no matter how accommodating & solicitous you were -- he slams you after he leaves. ...

... Michael Rose of Reuters: "... Donald Trump, who attacked his French counterpart in a series of tweets on Tuesday, should have shown 'common decency' instead since the country was mourning the anniversary of deadly attacks in Paris, a French government spokesman said. In five posts sent on the same day France marked the anniversary of the 2015 attacks that killed 130 people, Trump blasted the key U.S. ally over its near defeat to Germany in two world wars, its wine industry and President Emmanuel Macron's approval ratings.... 'Yesterday was November 13, we were marking the murder of 130 of our people,' [spokesman Benjamin] Griveaux said. 'So I'll reply in English: "common decency" would have been appropriate.'" (Also linked yesterday.)

Adam Liptak of the New York Times: "... as the [right-wing Federalist Society] prepares to gather on Thursday for the start of this year's convention, more than a dozen prominen conservative lawyers have joined together to sound a note of caution. They are urging their fellow conservatives to speak up about what they say are the Trump administration's betrayals of bedrock legal norms.... The group, called Checks and Balances, was organized by George T. Conway III, a conservative lawyer and the husband of President Trump's counselor, Kellyanne Conway." (Also linked yesterday.)

Trump Loses Even Fox "News." Haley Britzky of Axios: "Fox News is supporting CNN's lawsuit against the Trump administration over the White House's revocation of Jim Acosta's press pass and plans to file an amicus brief in the case, according to a statement from the network's president Jay Wallace." (Also linked yesterday.)

This Russia Thing, Ctd.

Flake's Last Stand. Paul McLeod of BuzzFeed News: Outgoing "Republican Sen. Jeff Flake says he will block all of President Trump's judicial nominees until his bill to protect special counsel Robert Mueller goes to a vote. Flake's move comes after Trump forced Attorney General Jeff Sessions to resign and appointed Matt Whitaker, a Trump loyalist who has repeatedly criticized Mueller's investigation, as acting attorney general.... Wednesday when Flake sought unanimous consent to bring his bill to protect Mueller forward for debate[,] Majority Leader Mitch McConnell refused, blocking the bill.... Flake is the swing vote in the Senate Judiciary Committee and, with Democrats, can vote down judicial nominations. McConnell could still bring these nominations forward to the Senate floor against the will of the committee...." ...

... Eric Levitz of New York adds a little of the play-by-play: "... on Wednesday, with the midterms in the rearview mirror -- and a potential crisis of the rule of law rapidly approaching -- Republican senator Jeff Flake and his Democratic colleague Chris Coons tried, once again, to persuade McConnell to allow a vote on the Special Counsel Independence and Integrity Act. 'He's said nobody's been fired and the special counsel is not in danger. That is not the case now,' Flake reasoned on Monday evening. But, in a shocking development, the Senate Majority Leader refused to provide the unanimous consent required to advance the bill Wednesday afternoon -- a move that raises the harrowing possibility that Mitch McConnell is not always honest about the motivations behind his procedural machinations."

Catherine Garcia of the Week: "... Robert Mueller's investigators are looking into whether Republican operative Roger Stone ... attempted to intimidate a witness, people who have spoken with Mueller's team told The Wall Street Journal on Wednesday.... Witnesses told the Journal they were asked by the Mueller team about allegedly threatening messages Stone sent to [Randy] Credico, telling him he was going to 'sue the f[uc]k out of him and calling him a 'loser, a liar, and a rat.'" ...

... Anna Schecter of NBC News: "Six days before WikiLeaks began releasing Hillary Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta's emails, Roger Stone had a text message conversation with a friend about WikiLeaks, according to copies of phone records obtained exclusively by NBC News.... The text messages provided by Stone to NBC News show that [friend Randy] Credico appeared to be providing regular updates to Stone on WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange's plans in the days before the hacked emails were released. In the texts, Credico told Stone he had insights into Assange's plans through a longtime friend, who was also Assange's lawyer, according to the text messages."

Jonathan Chait: "The point [of Robert Mueller's investigation] is to establish legal accountability for the president. Well-functioning democracies don't have criminal oligarchies running the country with legal impunity. The kind of deep systemic corruption Trump is implementing, in which establishing a political alliance with a ruling family is a key step in amassing and protecting wealth, depends on selective legal enforcement. More to the point, it requires business partners. Maybe Donald Trump can't be hauled off to prison, but his partners can. And that prospect can scare off the collaborators Trump needs. Second, and more to the point, even if Robert Mueller can't kick Trump out of the White House directly and the Senate won't, there's a body of people who can: the 2020 electorate. And the Trump investigations are building a powerful case that will be brought to bear on that election.... The breadth of Trump's legal exposure exceeds that of any president in American history.... He barely managed to win the presidency as a brash, controversial novelty. He will have to win it a second time as a known crook." (Also linked yesterday.) ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: One thing Chait is not figuring into his 2020 calculation is that Americans like to give their presidents a second term even when the president isn't especially popular. Gerald Ford lost because Richard Nixon. Jimmy Carter lost because of double-digit inflation, an energy crisis (gas lines) & other problems like the Iran hostage fiasco. Bush I lost in a three-way race; Ross Perot was the "decider" of 1992 election. (Also linked yesterday.)

Melanie Gets Her Gal. Anne Gearan, et al., of the Washington Post: "As [Melania Trump's staff] prepared the flight manifest for the [first lady's trip to Africa], deputy national security adviser Mira Ricardel became angry that [no] seats on the first lady's government jet were assigned to ... Ricardel or another NSC staffer.... [Ricardel] threatened to revoke NSC resources associated with the trip, meaning no policy staff would advise the first lady during her visits to Ghana, Kenya, Malawi and Egypt. Bad blood between Ricardel and Melania Trump and her staff continued for weeks after the trip, with the first lady privately arguing that the NSC's No. 2 official was a corrosive influence in the White House and should be dismissed. But national security adviser John Bolton rebuffed the first lady and protected his deputy, prompting the first lady's spokeswoman, Stephanie Grisham, to issue an extraordinary statement to reporters Tuesday effectively calling for Ricardel's firing.... The first lady's statement came after months of tension in the White House over Ricardel's abrasive interactions with staffers in both the East Wing and the West Wing, according to several current and former staffers.... After an uncomfortable day of limbo, White House press secretary Sarah Sanders announced Wednesday evening that Ricardel was leaving the White House." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: If half of Ricardel's rap sheet is accurate, she has no business working anywhere she has to deal with, you know, people. Or animals. Or plants. Whining about a seat on the plane? I guess Ricardel didn't remember what happened to crybaby Newt Gingrich.

Nicole Gaouette & Elizabeth Landers of CNN: "... Donald Trump has nominated handbag designer Lana Marks to be the next US ambassador to South Africa. Marks a Florida resident and member of Trump's exclusive Mar-a-Lago resort, according to a source familiar with the club, was born and raised in South Africa, where she attended the University of the Witwatersrand and the Institute of Personnel Management in Johannesburg, the White House said in a statement.... Marks is known for luxury handbags in exotic animal skins, such as ostrich and alligator, with prices that can hover above $19,000. One of her more expensive creations, a $400,000 clutch, has been carried on the red carpet.... Described by the Palm Beach Daily as 'like Trump, a relentless self-promoter,' Marks speaks Afrikaans and Xhosa, two of South Africa's languages, according to the White House." Mrs. McC: According to New York mag (no link), "She'll be the fourth member of the club to be picked by Trump for an ambassadorship." Anyhow, she should fit right in with South Africa's political leaders. Maybe she can sell them some nice handbags.

Shawn Boburg & Robert O'Harrow of the Washington Post: "... Matthew G. Whitaker's path to the top of the Justice Department was decidedly offbeat. Over the past two decades, Whitaker -- now the acting attorney general -- has owned a day-care center, a concrete supply business and a trailer manufacturer, state records show. He led a taxpayer-subsidized effort to build affordable housing in Des Moines, but he walked away from the stalled project two years ago after the city threatened him with a lawsuit. In 2004, when he started a five-year stint as U.S. attorney in the Southern District of Iowa, Whitaker cited a personal-injury case and a dispute involving a dry-cleaning business as some of his most consequential legal work. When he left office, he started a modest legal practice and a short-lived lobbying and consulting firm.... One White House official acknowledged that Whitaker, who had been [Jeff] Sessions's chief of staff, received little vetting.... In a statement, Justice Department spokeswoman Kerri Kupec said he underwent 'all the usual vetting and procedures' and is qualified for the job. 'Acting AG Whitaker has litigated both criminal and civil cases, both as a U.S. Attorney and throughout his years in private practice,' she said." ...

... Tom Hamburger, et al., of the Washington Post: "Acting attorney general Matthew G. Whitaker received early warnings that customers were complaining that an invention-marketing company he advised might be a fraud, according to several people familiar with his role, but Whitaker vigorously defended the company and remained on its board until joining the Justice Department in 2017.... The company shut down in May and agreed to pay a settlement of nearly $26 million to resolve a wide-ranging Federal Trade Commission complaint that it bilked customers.... Ed Magedson, the founder of the Arizona-based Ripoff Report, said he received a phone call from Whitaker in early 2015 after the website posted complaints about World Patent Marketing. 'He threatened me, using foul language,' said Magedson, whose website sells companies a program to improve their reputation among consumers. 'He threatened to sue and to ruin my business if I did not remove the "false reports."' At one point, Whitaker said he would refer Ripoff Report to the Department of Homeland Security, Magedson said.... 'He was yelling.'... Justice Department officials have said Whitaker served in a limited capacity as an outside legal adviser to World Patent Marketing and was not involved in the company's day-to-day operations.... When the FTC subpoenaed Whitaker for his records related to the company in October 2017, he failed to provide any information, telling investigators that he was busy at that time moving from Iowa to Washington for a new job, the people said. At the time, Whitaker was preparing to assume his post as chief of staff to then-Attorney General Jeff Sessions." ...

... ** Jack Holmes of Esquire writes "An Exhaustive Timeline of Our New Acting Attorney General's Astoundingly Crooked Career. Year by year, the onetime Iowa tight end descended into grifting and scamming. He's a perfect match for his new boss.... Trump has appointed an unscrupulous grifter to be Acting Attorney General of the United States, because that is exactly the kind of person he attracts. He does this because he thinks he can get away with it. His base, and the spineless Republicans in the Senate, will let him. Will the rest of us?" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie Note: When I played the video, it had an ad (Elizabeth Warren scolding about something for me; maybe something different for you) halfway thru, but there was more to following.

... Ryan Reilly of the Huffington Post: "The Justice Department's quasi-judicial Office of Legal Counsel told ... Donald Trump before he forced former Attorney General Jeff Sessions to resign that he could appoint an official who had not been confirmed by the Senate, like acting Attorney General Matt Whitaker, to take his place. A 20-page OLC opinion authored by Assistant Attorney General Steven Engel, released by the Justice Department on Wednesday, states that OLC had 'previously advised that the President could designate a senior Department of Justice official, such as Mr. Whitaker, as Acting Attorney General.' The OLC opinion conceded that it was rare for the acting attorney general to be an individual not confirmed by the Senate. The only example they found was from 1866, before the creation of the Justice Department. Nevertheless, the opinion concluded that Trump's appointment of Whitaker would be legitimate." The article includes a copy of the opinion. (Also linked yesterday.)

Laura Meckler of the Washington Post: "Education Secretary Betsy DeVos is set to release a sweeping overhaul of how colleges and universities must handle allegations of sexual assault and harassment, giving new rights to the accused, including the ability to cross-examine their accusers, people familiar with the matter said. The proposal is set for release before Thanksgiving, possibly this week, and replaces less formal guidance issued by the Obama administration in 2011. The new rules would reduce liability for universities, tighten the definition of sexual harassment, and allow schools to use a higher standard in evaluating claims of sexual harassment and assault.... The new direction has been welcomed by men's rights groups, who say the Obama guidelines were weighted in favor of the accusers, and by some university administrators who found the Obama version overly prescriptive and confusing. The proposed rule will dodge a related controversial matter regarding the rights of transgender students."

Suzy Khimm, et al., of NBC News: "From his earliest days in office, HUD Secretary Ben Carson has repeatedly said he joined the Trump administration to fix the 'rats, roaches, bed bugs, mold, lead and violence' that he witnessed as a surgeon in low-income communities. Under the Trump administration, the number of HUD apartments cited for unsafe, unhealthy and physically deteriorating living conditions has been on the rise. An NBC News investigation has found that more than 1,000 out of HUD's nearly 28,000 federally subsidized multifamily properties failed their most recent inspection -- a failure rate that is more than 30 percent higher than in 2016, according to an analysis of HUD records.... HUD has lost hundreds of staff members in the wake of a hiring freeze mandated by ... Donald Trump. HUD's enforcement office, tasked with going after the worst landlords, now has the lowest staff levels since 1999, according to a federal watchdog.... A dozen current and former HUD officials -- both political appointees and career staff -- also describe a climate of inertia under Carson that they say is undermining the department's work."

Bad, Worse, Worst. Ed Kilgore: "... Kevin McCarthy was elected House Minority Leader in a surprisingly easy 159-43 victory over conservative leader Jim Jordan of Ohio, a founding member of the ever-fractious House Freedom Caucus. McCarthy, previously the second-ranking House Republican, will succeed retiring Speaker Paul Ryan as leader of a diminished GOP band in the lower chamber.... House Republicans quietly lifted Steve Scalise to the No. 2 leadership position (he retains the same title, Whip), while electing Liz Cheney -- you-know-who's daughter -- to the No. 3 position as chair of the House GOP Conference." ...

... Kyle Cheney, et al., of Politico: "House Republicans immediately resumed a wartime posture Wednesday after electing their new leadership -- vowing to aggressively resist Democrats' agenda and work to recapture the House majority after being routed in last week's elections. In his first news conference after Republicans chose him to be House minority leader next year, Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) largely attributed the GOP wipeout to historical trends while also repeatedly blaming spending by former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg as the cause of several Republican defeats in close contests." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: According to Open Secrets, Democrats took in about $1,463MM, or nearly $1.5BB, in contributions this election cycle. Mike Bloomberg reportedly gave (or at least pledged) $100MM to Democratic candidates for the House & Senate. That is a boatload of money, but it also is less than seven percent of Democrats' total take. HOWEVER, Mike Bloomberg is Jewish. He has a "Jewish-sounding" name. He was mayor of a city with the largest Jewish population in the world. If you don't think McCarthy's fingering Bloomberg was another anti-Semitic dogwhistle to the GOP bigot base, then you don't know Kevin McCarthy.

Election 2018

Of the White Men, By the White Men, For the White Men. Ben Jacobs of the Guardian: "Pictures of the newly elected members of the House of Representatives have highlighted a stark difference between the diversity of incoming Democrats and incoming Republicans.... The proportion of white men within the Democratic caucus is set to drop from 41% to 38% next year, while the same percentage is set to rise among Republicans from 86% to 90%."

Florida. Sean Sullivan & Isaac Stanley-Becker of the Washington Post: "Florida's historic recount was thrown once more into uncertainty Thursday when a federal judge ruled that voters whose mail-in and provisional ballots were rejected because of issues with their signatures will have two more days to resolve the problems and possibly have their votes counted. The decision by Judge Mark Walker of the U.S. District Court in Tallahassee came just hours ahead of the Thursday afternoon deadline for elections officials to complete a machine recount. It is particularly notable in the too-close-to-call Senate race, in which Gov. Rick Scott (R) leads Sen. Bill Nelson (D) by fewer than 13,000 votes.... The judge concluded that mail-in voters weren't notified of the discrepancy until it was too late to fix, while state law gives provisional voters no opportunity to resolve apparent signature irregularities." ...

... Glenn Thrush, et al., of the New York Times: "At least 5,000 ballots from all voters -- and perhaps twice that many -- were left uncounted across Florida as a result of signature mismatches, according to various estimates from the Florida secretary of state and analysts examining the latest data.... A particular vulnerability was documented in a pre-election study by the American Civil Liberties Union in Florida, which found that young voters were more likely to have their mail-in ballots rejected because, in part, they did not use their handwriting enough to develop a steady signature.... Most schools, parochial or otherwise, no longer teach penmanship -- and only about 10 states still retain cursive writing requirements in their curriculum guides.... Yet the signature remains the main means of identifying voters in Florida and many other states, despite research showing that signatures change as people age, become ill, fall out of practice or are simply in a rush." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: One Floridian whose ballot was rejected because of a so-called signature mismatch: "Patrick Murphy, a former Democratic congressman from South Florida... He only found out after the 5 p.m. deadline on Nov. 6 had passed." So a former Congressman's vote didn't count. I too voted absentee, so I don't know if my vote counted (tho I did not get a reject notification). ...

... Crazy Old White Guy Invents New Voter Fraud Conspiracy Theory. David Smith of the Guardian: "Donald Trump has claimed without evidence that people wear disguises to vote illegally in Florida.... 'The Republicans don't win and that's because of potentially illegal votes,' Trump told the conservative Daily Caller website. 'When people get in line that have absolutely no right to vote and they go around in circles. Sometimes they go to their car, put on a different hat, put on a different shirt, come in and vote again. Nobody takes anything. It's really a disgrace what's going on.' He also called for new national ID laws with a bizarre assertion: 'If you buy a box of cereal -- you have a voter ID.'" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Yes, Donald, the surly clerks at the Piggly Wiggly are always making me show my voter ID card. Even when I wear my "I voted" sticker, they card-check me. This past summer, Trump falsely claimed Americans needed picture IDs to buy groceries. Now he's upped it to a voter IDs. This would mean that you have to register to vote to buy groceries. A non-citizen, an ex-felon, a 16-year-old -- anyone who is ineligible to vote -- will starve to death if he can't forage for food. The claim is beyond absurd. No one would believe this one. Well, maybe someone: if you notice a person showing his voter ID at Publix, he's a Trumpbot.

New Jersey. Nick Corasaniti of the New York Times: "Andy Kim, a New Jersey Democrat who had been locked in a neck-and-neck race for Congress, has defeated his Republican opponent, a two-term incumbent and staunch ally of President Trump, according to a final vote tally. After a drawn-out vote count, Mr. Kim, a former national security adviser under President Barack Obama, was declared the winner by a slim margin, beating Representative Tom MacArthur, who wrote a key amendment in the effort to repeal the Affordable Care Act, according to The Associated Press. The victory by Mr. Kim caps a devastating midterm election for Republicans in New Jersey. With 11 Democrats now holding House seats, Representative Chris Smith is the lone Republican in Washington from New Jersey; the last time Democrats had such a large advantage Woodrow Wilson was in the Oval Office."

Utah. Robert Gehrke of the Salt Lake Tribune: "Since election night, [Rep.] Mia Love's [R] campaign has hung its hopes on ballots counted after election night being better for her than the ones that were reported after polls closed. So far they've been right, and Wednesday's results out of Salt Lake County were a huge blow to Democrat Ben McAdams. Love won the day, taking 6,318 of the new votes to 5,964 for McAdams. That cut McAdams' lead to 873 votes, with about 64,000 ballots still to come from both Utah and Salt Lake counties.... Love's campaign filed a lawsuit Wednesday morning, demanding they should have a right to challenge ballots in Salt Lake County -- which frankly looked like a last-ditch effort to fight off every possible Democratic ballot. But she may not need it."


Nolan McCaskill & John Bresnahan of Politico: "The Congressional Black Caucus passed a vote of no confidence in Democratic National Committee Chairman Tom Perez on Wednesday, the latest sign of lingering bad blood between lawmakers on Capitol Hill and the Democratic Party's top official."

Capitalism Is Awesome, Ctd. "Delay, Deny & Deflect." Sheera Frenkel, et al., of the New York Times: "... as evidence accumulated that Facebook's power could ... be exploited to disrupt elections, broadcast viral propaganda and inspire deadly campaigns of hate around the globe, [Mark] Zuckerberg and [Sheryl] Sandberg stumbled. Bent on growth, the pair ignored warning signs and then sought to conceal them from public view. At critical moments over the last three years, they were distracted by personal projects, and passed off security and policy decisions to subordinates, according to current and former executives. When Facebook users learned last spring that the company had compromised their privacy in its rush to expand, allowing access to the personal information of tens of millions of people to a political data firm linked to President Trump, Facebook sought to deflect blame and mask the extent of the problem. And when that failed -- as the company's stock price plummeted and it faced a consumer backlash -- Facebook went on the attack.... Ms. Sandberg has overseen an aggressive lobbying campaign to combat Facebook's critics, shift public anger toward rival companies and ward off damaging regulation. Facebook employed a Republican opposition-research firm to discredit activist protesters, in part by linking them to the liberal financier George Soros. It also tapped its business relationships, lobbying a Jewish civil rights group to cast some criticism of the company as anti-Semitic." ...

... Max Read of New York: "Having heard from scores of politicians, activists, academics, and even former employees about the dangerous effects of 'fake news' influence campaigns, Facebook finally landed on a solution: Create its own. As they say, if you can't beat 'em, hire a Republican opposition-research firm to write blog posts 'play[ing] down the impact of Russians' use of Facebook.' According to the Times, in October 2017 Facebook hired a political consultancy called Definers Public Affairs -- whose Silicon Valley branch is run by Tim Miller, a former Jeb Bush staffer and contributor at Crooked Media -- to apply 'political campaign tactics' and 'campaign-style opposition research' to Facebook's public-relations campaign. One of these tactics? Seed the conservative blogosphere with 'positive content ... about your company and negative content ... about your competitor[.]'"

Michael Finnegan & James Queally of the Los Angeles Times: "Michael Avenatti, the lawyer for porn actress Stormy Daniels, has been arrested in Los Angeles on suspicion of domestic violence, police said. The celebrity attorney was arrested around 2 p.m. Wednesday ... based on allegations stemming from an incident that took place in West L.A. on Tuesday, said ... a Los Angeles Police Department spokesman. Avenatti has lived in a luxury apartment complex in that section of Century City. The allegations were made by a woman who had 'visible injuries,' including bruises, according to a law enforcement official who spoke on the condition of anonymity. Avenatti was released after posting $50,000 bond late Wednesday.... 'I have never struck a woman,' he said. 'I will never strike a woman.'"

Chris Mooney & Brady Dennis of the Washington Post: "Scientists behind a major study that claimed the Earth's oceans are warming faster than previously thought now say their work contained inadvertent errors that made their conclusions seem more certain than they actually are. Two weeks after the high-profile study was published in the journal Nature, its authors have submitted corrections to the publication. The Scripps Institution of Oceanography, home to several of the researchers involved, also noted the problems in the scientists' work and corrected a news release on its website, which previously had asserted that the study detailed how the Earth's oceans 'have absorbed 60 percent more heat than previously thought.'... The central conclusion of the study -- that oceans are retaining ever more energy as more heat is being trapped within Earth's climate system each year -- ... hasn't changed much despite the errors." (Also linked yesterday.) ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: This is a normal kind of error that one would expect to occur occasionally -- and is in fact one reason scientists publish their studies in popular journals like Nature. Trying to replicate results is part of the process. Unfortunately, the person who discovered the study's central error -- a British mathematician named Nic Lewis -- is a climate change skeptic. So of course wingers are having ... a day at the beach, so to speak. ...

     ... RAS, in yesterday's thread: "The fact that scientists didn't automatically dismiss Lewis is another point in their favor. The wingers ignore any information that doesn't come come from one of their preapproved sources. Scientists on the other hand have an open mind and are willing to accept criticism. They can adjust their views and incorporate new information no matter where it comes from. It is why one group deals in facts and the other deals mainly in fantasy."

Meet One of Trump's "Very Fine People." Jessica Schulberg, et al., of the Huffington Post: "Jeffrey Clark, the 30-year-old man federal agents arrested [in Washington, D.C.,] Friday after he called the Pittsburgh synagogue shooting a 'dry run' and his relatives worried he might try to launch a race war, wasn't shy about being a neo-Nazi. In April 2017, when someone asked Clark at a White House rally organized by 'alt-right' coiner Richard Spencer whether he considered himself a fascist, he said no ― he considered himself a Nazi. Antifa activists photographed him at the deadly Unite the Right rally in Charlottesville, Virginia, in August 2017. He has posed for pictures in front of Nazi symbols and holding Nazi memorabilia. On Gab, the favored social network of racists and anti-Semites, Clark had the username @PureWhiteEvil and called himself 'DC Bowl Gang,' a reference to Dylann Roof, the bowl-cut racist who murdered nin black churchgoers in Charleston, South Carolina, in 2015." (Also linked yesterday.)

Way Beyond the Beltway

Stephen Castle of the New York Times: "Prime Minister Theresa May of Britain faced down hard-line critics Wednesday and won the support of a jittery and divided cabinet for a plan to quit the European Union, preserving her push to avert an economically damaging rupture with the bloc in March. For Mrs. May, frequently criticized as wooden and lacking in strategic thinking, the victory represented a rare validation of her leadership. It also provided a glimmer of light at the end of the Brexit tunnel." ...

... Oopsy Update. William Booth & Karla Adam of the Washington Post: "The minister in charge of helping Britain leave the European Union, Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab, abruptly resigned from Prime Minister Theresa May's government on Thursday morning, saying he could not support the withdrawal agreement approved by her cabinet the night before. It was a stinging setback for May. Also quitting their posts were two other ministers and a junior minister in the Brexit ministry. The rapid-fire resignations sent shudders through London and E.U. headquarters in Brussels, raising the possibility that May does not have the support she needs to pursue her deal for a softer, slower-moving Brexit, a plan loaded with compromises that few in Britain like."

Ben Hubbard of the New York Times: "Saudi Arabia's public prosecutor said on Thursday that he was requesting the death penalty for five people suspected of involvement in the killing of the Saudi dissident Jamal Khashoggi at the country's consulate in Istanbul. Speaking to reporters in the Saudi capital, Riyadh, a spokesman for the public prosecutor said that the 15-man team sent to confront Mr. Khashoggi had orders to return him to the kingdom, but instead made a decision on the spot to kill him after he resisted. The statement was the kingdom's latest effort to explain the killing on Oct. 2 of Mr. Khashoggi, a Virginia resident who wrote columns for The Washington Post that were critical of some Saudi policies."

News Lede

New York Times: "Roy Clark, the country singer and multi-instrumentalist best known as a longtime host of 'Hee Haw,' the television variety show that brought country music to millions of households each week, died on Thursday at his home in Tulsa, Okla. He was 85."

Tuesday
Nov132018

The Commentariat -- Nov. 14, 2018

Late Morning Update:

Ryan Reilly of the Huffington Post: "The Justice Department's quasi-judicial Office of Legal Counsel told ... Donald Trump before he forced former Attorney General Jeff Sessions to resign that he could appoint an official who had not been confirmed by the Senate, like acting Attorney General Matt Whitaker, to take his place. A 20-page OLC opinion authored by Assistant Attorney General Steven Engel, released by the Justice Department on Wednesday, states that OLC had 'previously advised that the President could designate a senior Department of Justice official, such as Mr. Whitaker, as Acting Attorney General.' The OLC opinion conceded that it was rare for the acting attorney general to be an individual not confirmed by the Senate. The only example they found was from 1866, before the creation of the Justice Department. Nevertheless, the opinion concluded that Trump's appointment of Whitaker would be legitimate." The article includes a copy of the opinion.

Michael Rose of Reuters: "... Donald Trump, who attacked his French counterpart in a series of tweets on Tuesday, should have shown 'common decency' instead since the country was mourning the anniversary of deadly attacks in Paris, a French government spokesman said. In five posts sent on the same day France marked the anniversary of the 2015 attacks that killed 130 people, Trump blasted the key U.S. ally over its near defeat to Germany in two world wars, its wine industry and President Emmanuel Macron's approval ratings.... 'Yesterday was November 13, we were marking the murder of 130 of our people,' [spokesman Benjamin] Griveaux said. 'So I'll reply in English: "common decency" would have been appropriate.'"

Adam Liptak of the New York Times: "... as the [right-wing Federalist Society] prepares to gather on Thursday for the start of this year's convention, more than a dozen prominent conservative lawyers have joined together to sound a note of caution. They are urging their fellow conservatives to speak up about what they say are the Trump administration's betrayals of bedrock legal norms.... The group, called Checks and Balances, was organized by George T. Conway III, a conservative lawyer and the husband of President Trump's counselor, Kellyanne Conway."

Trump Loses Even Fox "News." Haley Britzky of Axios: "Fox News is supporting CNN's lawsuit against the Trump administration over the White House's revocation of Jim Acosta's press pass and plans to file an amicus brief in the case, according to a statement from the network's president Jay Wallace."

Jonathan Chait: "The point [of Robert Mueller's investigation] is to establish legal accountability for the president. Well-functioning democracies don't have criminal oligarchies running the country with legal impunity. The kind of deep systemic corruption Trump is implementing, in which establishing a political alliance with a ruling family is a key step in amassing and protecting wealth, depends on selective legal enforcement. More to the point, it requires business partners. Maybe Donald Trump can't be hauled off to prison, but his partners can. And that prospect can scare off the collaborators Trump needs. Second, and more to the point, even if Robert Mueller can't kick Trump out of the White House directly and the Senate won't, there's a body of people who can: the 2020 electorate. And the Trump investigations are building a powerful case that will be brought to bear on that election.... The breadth of Trump's legal exposure exceeds that of any president in American history.... He barely managed to win the presidency as a brash, controversial novelty. He will have to win it a second time as a known crook." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: One thing Chait is not figuring into his 2020 calculation is that Americans like to give their presidents a second term even when the president isn't especially popular. Gerald Ford lost because Richard Nixon. Jimmy Carter lost because of double-digit inflation, an energy crisis (gas lines) & other problems like the Iran hostage fiasco. Bush I lost in a three-way race; Ross Perot was the "decider" of 1992 election.

Chris Mooney & Brady Dennis of the Washington Post: "Scientists behind a major study that claimed the Earth's oceans are warming faster than previously thought now say their work contained inadvertent errors that made their conclusions seem more certain than they actually are. Two weeks after the high-profile study was published in the journal Nature, its authors have submitted corrections to the publication. The Scripps Institution of Oceanography, home to several of the researchers involved, also noted the problems in the scientists' work and corrected a news release on its website, which previously had asserted that the study detailed how the Earth's oceans 'have absorbed 60 percent more heat than previously thought.'... The central conclusion of the study -- that oceans are retaining ever more energy as more heat is being trapped within Earth's climate system each year -- ... hasn't changed much despite the errors." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: This is a normal kind of error that one would expect to occur occasionally -- and is in fact one reason scientists publish their studies in popular journals like Nature. Unfortunately, the person who discovered the central error -- a British mathematician named Nic Lewis -- is a climate change skeptic. So of course wingers are having ... a day at the beach, so to speak.

Meet One of Trump's "Very Fine People." Jessica Schulberg, et al., of the Huffington Post: "Jeffrey Clark, the 30-year-old man federal agents arrested [in Washington, D.C.,] Friday after he called the Pittsburgh synagogue shooting a 'dry run' and his relatives worried he might try to launch a race war, wasn't shy about being a neo-Nazi. In April 2017, when someone asked Clark at a White House rally organized by 'alt-right' coiner Richard Spencer whether he considered himself a fascist, he said no ― he considered himself a Nazi. Antifa activists photographed him at the deadly Unite the Right rally in Charlottesville, Virginia, in August 2017. He has posed for pictures in front of Nazi symbols and holding Nazi memorabilia. On Gab, the favored social network of racists and anti-Semites, Clark had the username @PureWhiteEvil and called himself 'DC Bowl Gang,' a reference to Dylann Roof, the bowl-cut racist who murdered nine black churchgoers in Charleston, South Carolina, in 2015."

*****

Eli Stokols of the Los Angeles Times: "With the certainty that the incoming Democratic House majority will go after his tax returns and investigate his actions, and the likelihood of additional indictments by special counsel Robert S. Mueller III, Trump has retreated into a cocoon of bitterness and resentment, according to multiple administration sources. Behind the scenes, they say, the president has lashed out at several aides, from junior press assistants to senior officials. 'He's furious,' said one administration official. 'Most staffers are trying to avoid him.' The official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity, painted a picture of a brooding president 'trying to decide who to blame' for Republicans' election losses, even as he publicly and implausibly continues to claim victory.... Publicly, Trump has been increasingly absent in recent days -- except on Twitter. He has canceled travel plans and dispatched Cabinet officials and aides to events in his place.... Just as Trump was returning to Washington on Sunday evening, [mike] Pence was heading to Asia in the president's place.... Trump's absence, experts said, is notable, and a glaring affront to many Asian leaders." ...

... Tim Marcin of Newsweek: "The White House has reportedly created a new strategy to get ... Donald Trump to zero in on policy matters -- a schedule block called 'policy time.' It's reminiscent of Trump's 'executive time,' which seemed to consist of tweet storms and cable TV viewing. Politico White House reporter Annie Karni tweeted on Tuesday: 'A new thing on Trump's private schedule that I haven't seen before: In addition to some 'executive time' today, he has two blocks of 'policy time.' Washington Post reporter Josh Dawsey followed up on Karni's tweet by adding that 'policy time' was instituted by Chief of Staff John Kelly in an effort to get the president to focus on issues." Mrs. McC: Not that I want Trump to do anything because everything he does is wrong, but Trump is the first president* in recent history who has had to be cajoled or tricked into doing even a tiny bit of presidentish work. ...

He's just a bull carrying his own china shop with him when­ever he travels the world. -- Presidential historian Douglas Brinkley ...

... Josh Dawsey & Philip Rucker of the Washington Post: Last Friday, when Britain's PM Theresa May called Donald Trump to congratulate him on GOP election wins, "Trump berated May for Britain not doing enough, in his assessment, to contain Iran. He questioned her over Brexit and complained about the trade deals he sees as unfair with European countries.... For Trump, that testy call set the tone for five days of fury -- evident in Trump's splenetic tweets and described in interviews with 14 [officials who observed his behavior].... ... During his 43-hour stay in Paris, Trump brooded over the Florida recounts and sulked over key races being called for Democrats ... that he had claimed as a 'big victory.' He erupted at his staff over media coverage of his decision to skip a ceremony honoring the military sacrifice of World War I. The president also was angry and resentful over French President Emmanuel Macron's public rebuke of rising nationalism...." ...

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: Funny how Grumpy Trumpy berates a female head-of-state to her face (assuming they had a video link), but waits till he has the Atlantic Ocean between them to criticize a male head-of-state (Macron). ...

... John Wagner & James McAuley of the Washington Post: "President Trump unleashed verbal attacks Tuesday on French President Emmanuel Macron, taking aim at his approval rating, his country's employment rate, its trade policies on wine and his vision for the military.... n the first of several barbs Tuesday on Twitter, Trump again misrepresented what Macron had said during last week's radio interview and reminded him of the U.S. military's role in aiding France in World War I and II.... In his tweet on Tuesday, Trump again referenced France's spending, writing: 'Pay for NATO or not!'... Trump's burst of tweets came on the anniversary of coordinated terrorist attacks on Nov. 13, 2015, in France -- a very solemn occasion in the country. The French government declined to comment on Trump's tweets.... Following Trump's Tuesday attack, German Chancellor Angela Merkel came to Macron's defense, echoing his initial call for a 'real European army.'" (Also linked yesterday.) ...

By the way, when the helicopter couldn't fly to the first cemetery in France because of almost zero visibility, I suggested driving. Secret Service said NO, too far from airport & big Paris shutdown. Speech nextday at American Cemetary [sic] in pouring rain! Little reported-Fake News! -- Donald Trump, Tuesday, in a tweet

Rather than 'pouring rain,' photos showed [Trump] standing without a hat or an umbrella under overcast skies when he delivered remarks [Sunday], though he did grasp an umbrella at one point while paying tribute at one soldier's grave. -- Eli Stokols, in story linked above

... Christopher Dickey of The Daily Beast: "In a series of churlish tweets on Tuesday, Donald Trump discovered, again, that he really doesn't like France. His weird-ass bromance with French President Emmanuel Macron would seem to be over, and many people [in France] will be relieved. Trump's reputation for vulgarity, ignorance, and impulsiveness -- although it may be prized by some of his American fan base -- does not sit well with the French.... Trump, who humiliated himself in Paris this weekend, disparaged Macron for denouncing Trumpian (and Kaiserian and Hitlerian) nationalism as a plague on humanity that brought on two world wars.... Although Trump didn't reference it, he probably was most upset when the official Twitter feed of the French army made fun of him by showing a soldier crawling under wires on a wet sidewalk with the caption: '#MondayMotivation There's rain but it's not serious [laugh until you cry emoji] You're still motivated [fist emoji].'" --s

The prospect of Presidential Harassment by the Dems is causing the Stock Market big headaches! -- Donald Trump, in a tweet yesterday ...

... Stephen Collinson of CNN: "Donald Trump just co-opted a new buzz phrase he hopes will define the next two years in politics: 'Presidential harassment.' His jab at the tactics of the incoming Democratic House represents an early effort to spin a new era of investigations and oversight that is about to shake the White House as a power grab by his opposition. Trump's appropriation on Twitter of a concept first coined by ... Mitch McConnell last week, points to the critical nature of the fight the President must wage to safeguard his hold on power, one that will surely start to feel pressure as lawmakers return to Capitol Hill with newly-elected members in tow." (Also linked yesterday.)

Phoniest Prez* Ever Forgets Migrants. Maggie Haberman & Mark Landler of the New York Times: "For weeks before the midterm elections, President Trump warned ominously about the threat from a caravan of migrants streaming from Central America toward Mexico's border with the United States.... But since the election last week, Mr. Trump has tweeted about the caravan exactly once -- to issue a proclamation preventing those who cross the border illegally from applying for asylum in the United States. Fox News, which faithfully amplified Mr. Trump's warnings about the migrants, has gone similarly quiet on the subject. There was little dispute, even before Election Day, that Mr. Trump was exploiting the caravan for political purposes. But analysts, historians and veterans of previous administrations said there were few comparable instances of a commander in chief warning about what he called a looming threat, only to drop it as soon as people voted. While the caravan has faded from television screens, the costs of Mr. Trump's response to it have not. Nearly 6,000 active-duty troops remain deployed from the Gulf Coast to Southern California, where they are putting up tents and stringing concertina wire to face a ragtag band that is still not near the border."


Jon Swaine
& Stephanie Kirchgaessner of the Guardian: "Robert Mueller is seeking more information about Nigel Farage for his investigation into Russian interference in US politics, according to a target of the inquiry who expects to be criminally charged. Jerome Corsi, a conservative author, said prosecutors working for Mueller questioned him about Farage, the key campaigner behind Britain's vote to leave the European Union, two weeks ago in Washington. Corsi said investigators for the special counsel also pressed him for information on Ted Malloch, a London-based American academic with ties to Farage, who informally advised Donald Trump and was interviewed by FBI agents earlier this year.... The New York Times and Washington Post have reported that Mueller has taken an interest in the biggest funder of the pro-Brexit campaign, Arron Banks. The New York Times has reported that Mueller has obtained records of Banks's communications with Russian diplomats." --s

Eliana Johnson & Darren Samuelsohn of Politico: "... Trump's move last week to install [Matthew] Whitaker as [Robert] Mueller's boss may already be backfiring. The appointment has drawn bipartisan criticism and led to questions about Whitaker's qualifications and whether he would limit the investigation or bury its findings. The state of Maryland on Tuesday filed the first legal challenge seeking to overturn Whitaker's appointment, while on Capitol Hill newly empowered House Democrats are already making plans to have the acting attorney general appear as one of their first witnesses when the next Congress launches in January. The uproar over the appointment, which effectively removes Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein as Mueller's primary supervisor, has put Whitaker in a difficult spot, trapped between setting off a political firestorm by clipping Mueller's wings and angering a president intent on having him do just that.... [And Justice] Department spokeswoman Kerri Kupec issued a statement late Tuesday signaling that Whitaker could still recuse himself from overseeing the Mueller investigation, a shift from the department's initial position ... that Whitaker had no plans to step out of the way on the Russia probe." ...

... Lackey Lindsey Takes a Break. David Morgan & Amanda Becker of Reuters: "Republican U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham said on Tuesday he supported a bill that would protect Special Counsel Robert Mueller from any politically motivated firings and would urge Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell to allow a vote on it.... Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley said he also supported the bill but would not lobby McConnell to allow the measure to move forward.... Republican Senator Jeff Flake, who is retiring, and Democratic Senator Chris Coons have pledged to seek a floor vote on a bill to shield Mueller as soon as Congress resumed this week after a recess for the Nov. 6 elections."  

"A Smooth-Running Machine," Ctd.

Christopher Cadelago & Nancy Cook of Politico: "Bottled-up hostility in ... Donald Trump's administration flowed to the surface Tuesday during a remarkable 12-hour period following an awkward midterm détente and tense trip to Paris over which the president is still seething. 'It's like an episode of "Maury,"' one former Trump aide observed to Politico as the spectacle unfolded. 'The only thing that's missing is a paternity test.'"

Katherine Faulders, et al., of ABC News: "... Donald Trump is considering yet another shakeup of his administration, preparing to remove Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen and looking at possible replacements for Chief of Staff John Kelly, including Vice President Mike Pence's Chief of Staff Nick Ayers, according to multiple sources familiar with the matter." Mrs. McC: Since Trump goes to his hidey-hole while Kelly tells staff they're fired, who is going to fire Kelly? mike pence? (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... Rebekah Entralago of ThinkProgess: "If the administration is measuring [Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen] Nielsen's success by how many undocumented immigrants have been detained or arrested, she excelled. According to numbers first reported by The Daily Beast, a record 44,000 people are currently detained by Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). The previous record high was just last year, at 38,000.... The 44,000 immigrants in detention exceeds the 40,520 detention beds funded by Congress and the department has requested more funding to fulfill the immigration goals of the White House. But that isn't enough for Trump, which is why Nielsen is reportedly on the chopping block." --s ...

... Kevin Breuninger of NBC News: "... John Kelly may be out of his job soon as a result of a conflict with first lady Melania Trump and other people in the White House, seven sources have told NBC News.... Two White House officials told NBC that Melania Trump had told the president earlier in 2018 that Kelly had repeatedly turned down requests to promote some of her aides, even as Kelly's staff received promotions. Trump reportedly directed Kelly to approve the first lady's requests after learning of the disputes. Melania Trump's spokeswoman, Stephanie Grisham, told CNBC in a text message that 'Chief Kelly and the First Lady have never "clashed."'" (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... Carol Lee, et al., of NBC News: "Melania Trump raised concerns with her husband earlier this year, amid the height of the controversy over his alleged affair with porn actress Stormy Daniels, that [John] Kelly had repeatedly denied her requests to promote some of her aides, two White House officials told NBC News. The requests languished for months as Kelly insisted there weren't enough available positions for the first lady's aides to have senior titles, these people said. During this same period however, West Wing officials working for Kelly received promotions, the White House officials said. Having learned of the dispute, the president was furious and told Kelly to give the first lady, who has a smaller East Wing staff than her recent predecessors, what she wanted, these people said. 'I don't need this shit,' Trump told Kelly, according to one person...." ...

... Maggie Haberman & Ron Nixon of the New York Times have more on the palace intrigue smooth-running machine." (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... Weird News. Felicia Sonmez & Josh Dawsey of the Washington Post: "The office of first lady Melania Trump is calling for the ouster of deputy national security adviser Mira R. Ricardel, amid reports of tensions between Ricardel and White House officials. 'It is the position of the Office of the First Lady that she no longer deserves the honor of serving in this White House,' the first lady's spokeswoman, Stephanie Grisham, said in a statement Tuesday....It is unusual for the first lady's office to weigh in on personnel matters elsewhere in the White House, particularly in the realm of national security.... A senior White House official said Ricardel is expected to be fired, but she was still at her desk Tuesday afternoon. National security adviser John Bolton tapped Ricardel in April to serve as his deputy.... Three current and two former White House officials said Tuesday that Ricardel had berated people in meetings, yelled at professional staff, argued with the first lady and spread rumors about [Defense Secretary Jim] Mattis. White House Chief of Staff John F. Kelly has sought for months to oust Ricardel, calling her a problematic hire in the West Wing, and Mattis has told advisers that he wants her out as well, the officials said."


Brian Stelter
of CNN: "CNN has filed a lawsuit against President Trump and several of his aides, seeking the immediate restoration of chief White House correspondent Jim Acosta's access to the White House. The lawsuit is a response to the White House's suspension of Acosta's press pass, known as a Secret Service 'hard pass,' last week. The suit alleges that Acosta and CNN's First and Fifth Amendment rights are being violated by the ban.The suit was filed in U.S. District Court in Washington, D.C. on Tuesday morning. Both CNN and Acosta are plaintiffs in the lawsuit. There are six defendants: Trump, chief of staff John Kelly, press secretary Sarah Sanders, deputy chief of staff ... Bill Shine, Secret Service director Randolph Alles, and the Secret Service officer who took Acosta's hard pass away last Wednesday. The officer is identified as John Doe in the suit, pending his identification. The six defendants are all named because of their roles in enforcing and announcing Acosta's suspension." (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... Maxwell Tani, et al., of The Daily Beast: CNN's decision to sue the White House and those involved in revoking Jim Acosta's 'hard pass' came after other options failed.... According to the complaint, CNN head Jeff Zucker privately reached out to different members of the White House press office, and even directly appealed to Chief of Staff John Kelly.... Numerous Trump White House officials, current and former, have said that they privately celebrate whenever a Trump vs. Acosta narrative emerges in the national press, because they view CNN -- and Acosta in particular -- as a useful foil in their sparring with mainstream media reporters." --safari: Revoking press freedoms is all a fucking game for these cretins. ...

... MEANWHILE, Sarah Has a New Story. Aaron Blake of the Washington Post: "In a statement Tuesday morning, White House press secretary Sarah Sanders suggested that the decision was about [Jim] Acosta refusing to yield the microphone while questioning the president: '... After Mr. Acosta asked the President two questions -- each of which the President answered -- he physically refused to surrender a White House microphone to an intern....' Less than a week ago, it was primarily about him supposedly placing his hands on and getting too rough with an intern. Sanders said at the time that the White House would 'never tolerate a reporter placing his hands on a young woman.'... The day after the altercation, White House director of strategic communications Mercedes Schlapp doubled down on the idea that Acosta was being punished for an alleged physical altercation.... By this time..., it had been established that not only did the video of the incident not show Acosta placing his hands on the intern but that Sanders herself shared a doctored video of it.... By Friday, President Trump himself was still litigating the video. 'Nobody manipulated it. Give me a break,' he said.... The alleged assault simply isn't there, and the fact that the White House needed to use sped-up video -- what can only be called propaganda -- to bolster its point shows how shaky the foundations of the decision and its initial justifications were. That the White House isn't sticking with that version when faced with legal action shows how dodgy it was to begin with."

Eric Schmitt of the New York Times: "The Pentagon's new focus on threats from China and Russia after almost two decades of fighting terrorism 'too often rests on questionable assumptions and weak analysis,' an independent bipartisan commission concluded in a sharply critical report issued on Wednesday that challenges President Trump's commitment to supporting a strong military. Over all, the panel that was appointed last year by Congress praised the general direction of the National Defense Strategy that was issued in January by Defense Secretary Jim Mattis. But it warned that projected budget shortfalls, overtaxed military forces around the globe and other risks were imperiling the plan, just as it was taking effect."

Gideon Resnick of The Daily Beast: "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, the newly elected leftist congresswoman from New York, joined a protest on Tuesday morning inside the offices of Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) to call for immediate action on climate change.... The group's demands include a push for Pelosi and House leadership to back a 'Green New Deal,' a broad plan supported by Ocasio-Cortez and a number of other newly elected Democrats." --s

Election 2018

Alexander Burns of the New York Times: "What looked at first like a modest Democratic majority in the House has grown into a stronger one: The party has gained 32 seats so far and appears on track to gain between 35 and 40 once all the counting is complete. And Democratic losses in the Senate look less serious than they did a week ago, after Kyrsten Sinema was declared the winner in Arizona on Monday. It now looks like Democrats are likely to lose a net of one or two seats, rather than three or four as they feared last Tuesday.... The president's strategy of sowing racial division and stoking alarm about immigration failed to lift his party, and Democratic messaging about health care undercut the benefit Republicans hoped to gain from a strong economy.... There are warning signs for Democrats, too: Mr. Trump's party remains ascendant in rural America, giving Republicans a durable advantage in the Senate, where less-populous states have influence greatly disproportionate to their voting numbers. And Republicans demonstrated a tenacious hold on two of the country's biggest swing states, Ohio and Florida, giving Mr. Trump an important foothold on the presidential map."

Ed Kilgore: "The best unofficial chronicler of turnout rates, University of Florida political scientist (and proprietor of the United States Election Project) Michael McDonald, estimates total midterm turnout at just under 116 million. That's well under the 138 million or so Americans who voted in the 2016 presidential election. But turnout is never, ever, as high in midterms as in presidential elections. And an apples-to-apples comparison of midterm voting as a percentage of the Voting Eligible Population (VEP) shows that 2018's 49 percent is the highest recorded in the last 25 midterms, dating back to 1914."

Arizona. Meghan Keneally of ABC News: Republican Martha McSally, who narrowly lost her Senate bid to Democrat Kyrsten Sinema, soon could end up in the Senate anyway. Sen. Jon Kyl (R), whom Gov. Doug Ducey (R) appointed to fill Sen. John McCain's seat, has committed to serving only till the end of this term. "Ducey could appoint McSally ... to hold [the] seat until the 2020 election."

California. Michael Finnegan & Maya Sweedler of the Los Angeles Times: "California Republicans lost a fourth seat in the House on Tuesday as Democrat Josh Harder gained enough votes to oust GOP Rep. Jeff Denham in the San Joaquin Valley. Denham's loss, projected by the Associated Press, came amid signs that two other Republican seats are also in growing jeopardy. The continuing tallies of hundreds of thousands of ballots cast in the Nov. 6 midterm election are consistently favoring Democrats, underscoring the increasingly bleak fortunes of the California GOP. In Orange County's latest ballot count Tuesday, Republican Rep. Mimi Walters fell 261 votes behind her Democratic challenger, Katie Porter. Walters finished election night more than 6,200 votes ahead, but her lead steadily dwindled until it vanished on Tuesday. Young Kim, the Republican running to succeed GOP Rep. Ed Royce of Fullerton saw her lead over Democrat Gil Cisneros shrink to 711 votes in the updated Orange and Los Angeles county tallies." ...

... Grace Panetta of Business Insider: "Rep. Mimi Walters, who is fighting for reelection in California's 45th Congressional District, repeatedly charged Democrats are attempting to 'steal' her seat by tampering with votes, according to recent fundraising emails sent out by her campaign.... In at least three emails sent out between Sunday and Tuesday, Walters' campaign charged that 'Democrats are already preparing for a recount to try and steal this Republican seat after the fact.' The campaign also wrote 'the left has spent tens of millions against me, and they'll stop at nothing to make sure they can still win this seat.'" Mrs. McC: This, of course, is straight out of the chapter of the Trump Party campaign playbook titled "But What if I Lose?"

Florida. Jane Musgrave of the Palm Beach Post: "A Palm Beach County legislative candidate on Tuesday won and then quickly lost the first round of his legal battle to extend the deadline for election recounts to be completed as growing political heat generated lawsuits in federal and state courts in Tallahassee. Ruling on a lawsuit filed by Democratic Florida House District 89 candidate Jim Bonfiglio, who is trailing by 37 votes in his race against Republican Mike Caruso, a Leon County judge ordered that Palm Beach County elections officials be given until Nov. 27 to complete their recounts. However, Judge Karen Gievers' decision to lift Thursday's 3 p.m. deadline in Palm Beach County was trumped when Florida Secretary of State Ken Detzner petitioned to move the case to federal court. 'We're now in federal court territory, said Marisol Samayoa, a spokeswoman for the campaign arm of the Florida Democratic Party. A federal judge in Tallahassee, who is hearing other challenges associated with the statewide recount, gave all sides until 5 p.m. Wednesday to explain why the county's deadline should or shouldn't be extended. In addition to Detzner's legal maneuvering, incumbent U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson, the Democrat who is trailing by 12,100 votes in his battle against Republican Gov. Rick Scott, also entered the legal fray. Nelson filed a lawsuit in U.S. District Court in Tallahassee asking that all elections supervisors in the state be given more time to recount ballots." ...

... New York Times Editors: "The Real Florida Recount Fraud [is being perpetrated by Republicans like Rick Scott and Donald Trump.] Sowing doubt in the integrity of the recount is part of a Republican strategy that involves lawyers and operatives on the ground, much like what happened in the 2000 election, and a preview of what's likely to happen leading up to the 2020 election."

Maine. Elena Schneider of Politico: "GOP Rep. Bruce Poliquin has sued Maine's secretary of state over ranked-choice voting, calling the system unconstitutional as the state elections authority tabulates ballots in Poliquin's too-close-to-call race with Democrat Jared Golden. The lawsuit, filed on Tuesday, seeks a preliminary injunction against the ongoing ranked-choice count until a judge can weigh in on the system. Poliquin has 46.2 percent of the vote to Golden's 45.5 percent with 96 percent of precincts reporting, according to the Associated Press, with the remainder scattered among third-party candidates.... Exit polling found that voters who supported an independent candidate as their first choice leaned Golden's way on the second-choice ranking, according to the Bangor Daily News." (Also linked yesterday.)

Mississippi. Google Takes Pro-Lynching Stance. Popular Information: "U.S. Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-MS) was caught on tape 'joking' about her willingness to attend a lynching at a campaign event in November. 'If he invited me to a public hanging, I'd be on the front row,' Hyde-Smith said on November 2.... One corporation that apparently was unbothered by Hyde-Smith's remarks: Google. On Tuesday, Google donated $5000 to Hyde-Smith's campaign, according to documents filed with the FEC.... Hyde-Smith has refused to apologize, claiming her remarks were a complement. 'I used an exaggerated expression of regard, and any attempt to turn this into a negative connotation is ridiculous,' Hyde-Smith said in a statement.... At a press conference on Monday, Hyde-Smith robotically refused to answer any questions about her lynching comments." Mrs. McC: Hyde-Smith's Democratic challenger in a special Senate election is Mike Espy, who is black. ...

... Amber Heisel, et al., of the Jackson (Mississippi) Free Press: "As state and national controversy swirls around U.S. Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's comment about a 'public hanging' in her race against an African American opponent, Gov. Phil Bryant opened a press conference [Monday] morning implying that black women are participating in 'the genocide of 20 million African American children' through legal abortions. 'See, in my heart, I am confused about where the outrage is at about 20 million African American children that have been aborted. No one wants to say anything about that...,' Bryant said, with Hyde-Smith and National Right to Life President Carol Tobias standing nearby. Bryant's use of the abortion-as-genocide conspiracy theory about a woman's right to choose a legal abortion [is] ... popular with white conservatives."


Ian Millhiser
of ThinkProgress: "In a sensible world, Virginia House of Delegates v. Bethune-Hill would have nothing whatsoever to do with the Affordable Care Act. On its surface, Bethune-Hill is a racial gerrymandering case which, the Supreme Court announced on Tuesday, will be heard by the Court for the second time.... [Yet] Depending on how the Supreme Court rules in Bethune-Hill, this seemingly irrelevant gerrymandering dispute could enable the Trump administration to collude with a highly partisan judge to shut down the Affordable Care Act in a bevy of red states." Read on, it's difficult to summarize. --s

Stereo Williams of The Daily Beast: "Stan Lee has passed away at age 95.... Lee created characters and told stories that reflected the struggle in American society between the idealized way we view ourselves and the harsh ugliness in our culture that is impossible to ignore.... Lee set Marvel apart not only by placing its super-powered protagonists in the middle of real-world troubles but beyond that, by giving voice to those issues. To fully appreciate what that means, one has to understand the cultural landscape when Lee rose through the ranks at Marvel." --s ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: See also Akhilleus's commentary in yesterday's thread.

Beyond the Beltway

David Goodman of the New York Times: "To attract Amazon, New York’s leaders agreed to remake plans for the Queens waterfront, move a distribution center for school lunches and provide a sweeping package of $1.7 billion in incentives from the state and hundreds of millions more from the city. They even agreed to allow a helipad for Jeff Bezos, Amazon's chief executive. Under the plan, within 15 years the company could occupy as much as eight million square feet of office space, the rough equivalent of three Empire State Buildings.... Gone is the city's vision of a mixed-use community filled with apartments, some of them for residents of more modest means. In its place will rise office buildings that will house 25,000 or more workers.... But Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo and Mayor Bill de Blasio seemed relieved to be able to finally discuss the long-secret negotiation and appeared jovial on Tuesday as they spoke about the economic benefits." ...

... Josh Barro of New York: "I’m going to present the best argument I was able to gather for New York's multibillion-dollar subsidy deal to bring Amazon to Queens. I don't think it's ultimately a convincing argument, but it's the best one available, and it's worth at least thinking about. The idea is that it's very important that Amazon is going to Queens, and that by doing so, it will serve two key development goals for the city: moving office development out of the congested Manhattan core, and building a tech cluster that can challenge Silicon Valley."

Julia Jacobo of ABC News: "Ohio authorities have made four arrests in connection with the murder of eight family members who were fatally shot 'execution style' in 2016. All four arrested belong to the same family from South Webster, Ohio, and were charged 'with planning and carrying out the murders,' Ohio Attorney General Mike DeWine announced in a press release.... Each is charged with eight counts of aggravated murder with death penalty specifications, DeWine told reporters.... While DeWine did not discuss the motive of the murders, he said the custody of a young child 'plays a role in this case.'"

Way Beyond

Oliver Holmes & Hazem Balouhsa of the Guardian: "Israeli forces and Palestinian militants in Gaza have locked themselves into an escalating firefight, launching scores of bombings and reprisal attacks in violence sparked by a botched Israeli special forces raid miles inside Gaza on Sunday evening.... Israel’s military said about 400 rockets and mortars had been fired from Gaza since Monday afternoon, possibly the highest concentration launched in such a period from the enclave, and its warplanes had carried out more than 100 bombings." --s