The Wires
powered by Surfing Waves
Help!

To keep the Conversation going, please help me by linking news articles, opinion pieces and other political content in today's Comments section.

Link Code:   <a href="URL">text</a>

OR here's a link generator. The one I had posted died, then Akhilleus found one, but it too bit the dust. He found yet another, which I've linked here, and as of September 23, 2024, it's working.

OR you can always just block, copy and paste to your comment the URL (Web address) of the page you want to link.

Note for Readers. It is not possible for commenters to "throw" their highlighted links to another window. But you can do that yourself. Right-click on the link and a drop-down box will give you choices as to where you want to open the link: in a new tab, new window or new private window.

Thank you to everyone who has been contributing links to articles & other content in the Comments section of each day's "Conversation." If you're missing the comments, you're missing some vital links.

INAUGURATION 2029

Marie: I don't know why this video came up on my YouTube recommendations, but it did. I watched it on a large-ish teevee, and I found it fascinating. ~~~

 

Hubris. One would think that a married man smart enough to start up and operate his own tech company was also smart enough to know that you don't take your girlfriend to a public concert where the equipment includes a jumbotron -- unless you want to get caught on the big camera with your arms around said girlfriend. Ah, but for Andy Bryon, CEO of A company called Astronomer, and also maybe his wife, Wednesday was a night that will live in infamy. New York Times link. ~~~

Commencement ceremonies are joyous occasions, and Steve Carell made sure that was true this past weekend (mid-June) at Northwestern's commencement:

~~~ Carell's entire commencement speech was hilarious. The audio and video here isn't great, but I laughed till I cried.

CNN did a live telecast Saturday night (June 7) of the Broadway play "Good Night, and Good Luck," written by George Clooney and Grant Heslov, about legendary newsman Edward R. Murrow's effort to hold to account Sen. Joe McCarthy, "the junior senator from Wisconsin." Clooney plays Murrow. Here's Murrow himself with his famous take on McCarthy & McCarthyism, brief remarks that especially resonate today: ~~~

     ~~~ This article lists ways you still can watch the play. 

New York Times: “The New York Times Company has agreed to license its editorial content to Amazon for use in the tech giant’s artificial intelligence platforms, the company said on Thursday. The multiyear agreement 'will bring Times editorial content to a variety of Amazon customer experiences,' the news organization said in a statement. Besides news articles, the agreement encompasses material from NYT Cooking, The Times’s food and recipe site, and The Athletic, which focuses on sports. This is The Times’s first licensing arrangement with a focus on generative A.I. technology. In 2023, The Times sued OpenAI and its partner, Microsoft, for copyright infringement, accusing the tech companies of using millions of articles published by The Times to train automated chatbots without any kind of compensation. OpenAI and Microsoft have rejected those accusations.” ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: I have no idea what this means for "the Amazon customer experience." Does it mean that if I don't have a NYT subscription but do have Amazon Prime I can read NYT content? And where, exactly, would I find that content? I don't know. I don't know.

Washington Post reporters asked three AI image generators what a beautiful woman looks like. "The Post found that they steer users toward a startlingly narrow vision of attractiveness. Prompted to show a 'beautiful woman,' all three tools generated thin women, without exception.... Her body looks like Barbie — slim hips, impossible waist, round breasts.... Just 2 percent of the images showed visible signs of aging. More than a third of the images had medium skin tones. But only nine percent had dark skin tones. Asked to show 'normal women,' the tools produced images that remained overwhelmingly thin.... However bias originates, The Post’s analysis found that popular image tools struggle to render realistic images of women outside the Western ideal." ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: The reporters seem to think they are calling out the AI programs for being unrealistic. But there's a lot about the "beautiful women" images they miss. I find these omissions remarkably sexist. For one thing, the reporters seem to think AI is a magical "thing" that self-generates. It isn't. It's programmed. It's programmed by boys, many of them incels who have little or no experience or insights beyond comic books and Internet porn of how to gauge female "beauty." As a result, the AI-generated women look like cartoons; that is, a lot like an air-brushed photo of Kristi Noem: globs of every kind of dark eye makeup, Scandinavian nose, Botox lips, slathered-on skin concealer/toner/etc. makeup, long dark hair and the aforementioned impossible Barbie body shape, including huge, round plastic breasts. 

New York Times: “George Clooney’s Broadway debut, 'Good Night, and Good Luck,' has been one of the sensations of the 2024-25 theater season, breaking box office records and drawing packed houses of audiences eager to see the popular movie star in a timely drama about the importance of an independent press. Now the play will become much more widely available: CNN is planning a live broadcast of the penultimate performance, on June 7 at 7 p.m. Eastern. The performance will be preceded and followed by coverage of, and discussion about, the show and the state of journalism.”

 

Contact Marie

Email Marie at constantweader@gmail.com

Constant Comments

Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts.

Success is not final, failure is not fatal; it is the courage to continue that counts. — Anonymous

A nation of sheep will beget a government of wolvesEdward R. Murrow

Publisher & Editor: Marie Burns

I have a Bluesky account now. The URL is https://bsky.app/profile/marie-burns.bsky.social . When Reality Chex goes down, check my Bluesky page for whatever info I am able to report on the status of Reality Chex. If you can't access the URL, I found that I could Google Bluesky and ask for Marie Burns. Google will include links to accounts for people whose names are, at least in part, Maria Burns, so you'll have to tell Google you looking only for Marie.

Tuesday
Oct232018

The Commentariat -- October 24, 2018

Late Morning/Afternoon Update:

I will always remember where I was when the president responded to a mass internal assassination attempt with a powerful, stirring 'Ditto!' -- Joel Stein, in a tweet today ...

... Marcus Gilmar of Mashable: "As authorities investigated explosive devices sent to the home of Hillary Clinton, the office of Barack Obama, and the building that houses CNN's New York office..., Donald Trump incurred the wrath of Twitter for putting in the least possible effort condemning the threats by quote-tweeting Vice President Pence. Earlier in the day, Pence sent a tweet condemning the actions as 'cowardly' and 'despicable,' the kind of message you expect from a leader. Trump, then, decided the best he could do was a quote tweet of Pence with an added line that amounts to 'Yeah, what he said!'... Later on Wednesday afternoon, both First Lady Melania Trump and the president gave fuller statements on the incidents, though President Trump didn't mention any of the recipients by name." ...

... William Rashbaum of the New York Times: "Explosive devices were sent to former President Barack Obama and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, as well as to CNN's offices in New York, sparking an intense investigation on Wednesday into whether a bomber is going after targets that have often been the subject of right-wing ire. The three devices were similar to one found Monday at the home of George Soros, the billionaire philanthropist and liberal donor who has come under fierce criticism from conservatives and conspiracy theorists. None of the devices harmed anyone. Law enforcement officials said they were investigating whether all the devices were sent by the same person or persons. Mrs. Clinton, Mr. Obama, Mr. Soros and CNN have all figured prominently in the pantheon of conservative political attacks -- many of which have been led by President Trump. He has often referred to major news organizations as 'the enemy of the people,' and has had a particular animus for CNN."

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Good for the Times for implicitly laying the blame on Trump. And think of that: the POTUS* is -- as we've said for a long time -- inciting violence against his political enemies. This is, needless to say, a first in modern American history. Investigators certainly will find the perp. ...

     ... Update: According to Pete Williams of MSNBC, the package sent to CNN was addressed to former CIA Director John Brennan at CNN's New York address. Also, the fake return address name on the devices was Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D), who has also received a suspicious package at her Sunrise, Florida office, which may or may not be a similar device. ...

     ... Update 2: MSNBC is reporting that a bomb always was sent to former AG Eric Holder, but it was intercepted before it got to him.

     ... Update 2a: The device sent to Wasserman Schultz was actually one meant for Holder. The address for Holder was wrong, & the perp had made Wasserman Schultz's address the return address.

     ... Update 3: CNN is reporting that Rep. Maxine Waters (D) also received a suspicious package. As you know, Trump often targets Waters. Mrs. McC: Doesn't seem like a coincidence to me. ...

... Tucker Higgins of CNBC: "The U.S. Secret Service said Wednesday that reports of a suspicious package addressed to the White House are 'incorrect.'" ...

... Josh Margolin, et al., of ABC News: "Explosive devices addressed to Hillary Clinton's home and the house of former President Barack Obama were intercepted, and the Time Warner Center that is home to CNN in New York City was evacuated after a suspicious package was sent there, officials said." ...

... Democrats Did It. Kelly Weill & Will Sommer of the Daily Beast: "Minutes after news broke of 'potential explosive devices' being mailed to the homes of former Presidents Barack Obama and Bill Clinton, along with CNN's New York City studio, the dark corners of the conservative Internet were declaring it a plot to gin up empathy for Democrats. Cries that the bomb threats was merely a 'false flag' operation were evident on Twitter and pro-Trump forums. Many of the personalities pushing the claim were fringe types. But not all of them. Popular talk radio host Rush Limbaugh hinted that the attempted bombings were set-up by Democrats, saying they would serve a political 'purpose.' 'It's happening in October,' Limbaugh said. 'There's a reason for this.'"

Kevin Sullivan & William Branigin of the Washington Post: "In his first public comments since the killing of journalist Jamal Khashoggi by Saudi security agents in Istanbul three weeks ago, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman said Wednesday that his country is doing all it can to complete an investigation and bring the perpetrators to justice. Addressing a gathering of more than 3,000 business leaders from around the world at the Future Investment Initiative, Saudi Arabia's signature economic forum, often called 'Davos in the Desert,' Mohammed acknowledged no responsibility in the case. He called the killing 'a heinous crime' that was 'really painful to all Saudis' and to all other people. He accused unidentified critics of trying to use the case to 'drive wedge' between Saudi Arabia and Turkey and pledged that this would not happen as long as his father is king and he is the crown prince."

Jacqueline Alemany of the Washington Post: "Republicans are starting to point to evidence -- and some fresh numbers -- that their chances of retaining the House majority when voters go the polls in 13 days may have slightly improved. And even some Democrats agree.... Most of the battleground House races are being fought on Republican turf (63 out of 69 seats, according to a new Washington Post-Schar School poll). That means that Democrats have a built-in edge that makes it easier to capture the net 23 seats needed to regain House control. But there's decent evidence those House races remain tight or could be tightening. That's not to say Democrats aren't still favored to take over the House -- by polls, history and sky-high enthusiasm to vote against President Trump."

Michelle Boorstein of the Washington Post: "Virginia Attorney General Mark Herring announced Wednesday that his office is running an 'ongoing investigation' into the state's two Catholic dioceses and whether there has been any sexual abuse and coverup. The announcement comes a day after D.C.'s top prosecutor made a similar announcement. The statement said the probe was launched in response to the Pennsylvania grand jury report released this summer, 'that documented decades of sexual abuse and coverup by Catholic clergy in Pennsylvania.' It also announced the creation of a hotline staffed by state police investigators and a website for reporting clergy abuse."

*****

Mark Landler & Edward Wong of the New York Times: "President Trump on Tuesday condemned Saudi Arabia's account of the killing of the journalist Jamal Khashoggi as 'the worst cover-up ever,' and his administration warned for the first time that it would impose human rights sanctions on those who took part in the plot. Mr. Trump's latest criticism, and the threat of sanctions delivered by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, highlighted the mounting pressure on the White House after Turkey's president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan described the killing of Mr. Khashoggi in the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul as a premeditated and 'savage' murder. Speaking to reporters in the Oval Office, Mr. Trump said, 'They had a very bad original concept, it was carried out poorly, and the cover-up was one of the worst in the history of cover-ups.' Mr. Pompeo said the United States will revoke visas from and is considering imposing economic sanctions on the Saudis it had identified as being involved in the operation. But he did not name the Saudis to whom the punishments would apply, and he left open the possibility that people at the very top level of the Saudi royal court who might have ordered the killing could remain untouched. The chief State Department spokeswoman said later that 21 Saudi suspects would have their visas revoked or be barred from getting a visa to the United States. The United States would take action under the Global Magnitsky Act...." ...

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: That's funny, because on Saturday, Trump said the very same nonsensical cover story was "credible." The NYT reporters don't bother to note that Trump's changing "assessment" is just as pathetic as the Saudis'. As for Pompeo's so-called sanctions, how tough is it exactly to revoke the visas of men who will probably be spending a few years in a Saudi jail and to impose economic sanctions on police functionaries who probably have very little money? These measures are an insult to Jamal Khashoggi's loved ones. ...

... MBS Gets a Standing O. Alan Rappeport of the New York Times: "Saudi Arabia's crown prince, Mohammed bin Salman, received a standing ovation as he made an unannounced appearance at a global investment conference here on Tuesday, further clouding an event that has been thrown into disarray after the killing of a dissident Saudi journalist. The crown prince, who is suspected of playing a role in the killing of Jamal Khashoggi, appeared just ahead of a late afternoon presentation about technology but did not give any remarks. His presence came as American business executives attending the conference tried to keep a low profile and Saudi business leaders attempted to distance themselves from Mr. Khashoggi's murder." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Just in case you thought global investors had an ounce of decency. ...

... Josh Lederman of NBC News: "The 15-man team sent by Saudi intelligence to Istanbul planned to hold Jamal Khashoggi against his will for up to two days in a safe house in Turkey while persuading him to return to his home country, Saudi officials said, adding another element to the kingdom's evolving explanation about the journalist's killing. Although Saudi Arabia has acknowledged that its operatives killed Khashoggi, it has maintained that the goal was not to kill him but to bring him back to Saudi Arabia, and that the exfiltration turned violent when Khashoggi resisted, leading to a fatal fistfight or strangulation. Turkish authorities have steadfastly disputed that account, with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan using a major speech Tuesday to say Turkey believes Khashoggi's murder was 'premeditated.' 'We have strong signs that this murder did not stem from a momentary incident, but it is rather a planned operation,' Erdogan said in Turkish." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Isn't it odd to confuse a "fistfight" with a "strangulation"? Obviously, one doesn't strangle a person with his "fists" but with open hands. ...

... Alex Crawford of Sky News: "Body parts belonging to murdered journalist Jamal Khashoggi have been found, according to two Sky sources. The sources have told Sky News the writer had been 'cut up' and his face 'disfigured'. One source also suggested Mr Khashoggi's remains were discovered in the garden of the Saudi consul general's home - situated around 500 metres away from the consulate. It contradicts the explanation being made by Saudi officials that the body was rolled up in a carpet and handed to a local collaborator who was tasked with disposing of the evidence." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)


Linda Qiu of the New York Times: "There is no evidence that 'unknown Middle Easterners' have infiltrated the migrant caravan heading toward the United States' southern border. Reporters with The New York Times and other news media outlets traveling with the caravan say they have not seen any Middle Easterners in the group. No government agency has confirmed Mr. Trump's claim.... Nowhere in the White House's newly released 25-page counterterrorism policy or in testimony this month by Homeland Security Department and National Counterterrorism Center officials was the threat of terrorists infiltrating the nation's southern border raised.... 'We do not see any evidence that ISIS or other Sunni terrorist groups are trying to infiltrate the southern U.S. border,' said an American counterterrorism official...." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Julie Davis of the New York Times goes in a vain search for some evidence to back up Trump's claim that Middle Easterners had joined the largely-Honduran caravan. Trump administration departments were not helpful. Trump blew up at Jonathan Karl of ABC News when Karl asked him directly about evidence. Finally, "Mr. Trump, questioned by reporters in the Oval Office about his assertions about the caravan, says, 'There's no proof of anything, but there very well could be' Middle Easterners who have joined the group. Minutes later, Tyler Q. Houlton, the spokesman for the Department of Homeland Security, tweeted, 'Citizens of countries outside Central America, including countries in the Middle East, Africa, South Asia, and elsewhere are currently traveling through Mexico toward the U.S.'" Okay then. ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: There "could be"? There could be gorillas & intergalactic aliens, too. War of the Worlds, people. I'm terrified! More under "Election 2018" below. ...

Who Knew that President Dumbo Was an Epistemological Nihilist: "There's No Proof of Anything":

... Trump Warns of Terror Penguins:

... Alyza Sebenius of Bloomberg: "Facebook Inc. and Twitter Inc. haven't detected Chinese meddling in the 2018 elections, company officials said, casting doubt on claims by ... Donald Trump that the Asian nation is trying to interfere. The social media giants have reported online disinformation campaigns ahead of the Nov. 6 elections that appear to originate from Russia and Iran. But press representatives for both companies, who spoke on condition they not be identified by name, said they haven't found evidence so far of such activity from China. Facebook and Twitter are the latest in a string of tech companies that have made findings undercutting Trump's claim. Last week, top cybersecurity firms -- FireEye Inc., Symantec Corp., and Crowdstrike Inc. -- said that, in working to help safeguard the November elections, they haven't seen evidence of digital interference by China." ...

... Trump Is Getting Worse. Amber Phillips of the Washington Post: We "compared Trump's Monday night speech in Texas to one he made as a presidential candidate and found that what Trump is saying in the past few weeks makes some of his 2016 rhetoric look fairly tame. Whereas Trump in 2016 allowed for some nuance that, say, 'some' immigrants in the country illegally might be good people, in 2018, he routinely describes cities 'overrun' with violent, illegal immigrant gangs. In 2016, he focused plenty on murders allegedly committed at the hands of immigrants in the country illegally, but now, he seems to revel in describing the violence committed at the hands of immigrants in the country illegally. Whereas in 2016, the Washington establishment was to blame for all this, in 2018, it's the Democrats." Phillips provides examples: "They carve you up with a knife" is a nice one. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: It seems to me that the actual carving of bodies in the news is the work of Donald & Jared's buddy Mohammmed bin Salman. ...

... William Saletan of Slate: "Trump has been testing the GOP's tolerance for demagoguery that explicitly promotes brutality. And so far, Republicans seem willing to go along." Saletan puts Republican "leaders"' responses into several categories: 1. No comment, 2. It's not news, 3. Nobody got hurt this time, 4. It's fun, 5. It's just politically incorrect, 6. It shows strength. "A day after Trump celebrated [Greg] Gianforte's [violent physical] assault on [Guardian reporter Ben] Jacobs, [who asked Gianforte about his position on health care,] a Republican official in Montana called in to a radio show to say she would have gone further. 'If that kid had done to me what he did to Greg, I would have shot him,' she said. Don';t pretend it can't happen here. It's happening." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: So in the view of this official, a reporter should be shot for asking a political candidate -- right before an election -- his position on a topic of interest to most Americans and one on which he would be, if elected, in a position to decide. If there's anything worse than murdering a dissident opinion writer in cold blood, shooting a reporter for asking a question would be it. ...

... His Subjects Hop to the Tune the Mad King Plays. Philip Rucker & Ashley Parker of the Washington Post: "The great election-eve middle-class tax cut began not as a factual proposal, but as a false promise. When President Trump abruptly told reporters over the weekend that middle-income Americans would receive a 10 percent tax cut before the midterm elections, neither officials on Capitol Hill nor in his administration knew anything about such a tax cut. The White House released no substantive information. And although cutting taxes requires legislation, Congress is not scheduled to be back in session until after the Nov. 6 elections. Yet Washington's bureaucratic machinery whirred into action nonetheless -- working to produce a policy that could be seen as supporting Trump's whim.... The mystery tax cut is only the latest instance of the federal government scrambling to reverse-engineer policies to meet Trump's sudden public promises -- or to search for evidence buttressing his conspiracy theories and falsehoods." ...

... Okay, We're All Dancing. Elliot Hannon of Slate: "Early on [in his presidency, [Donald Trump] recognized the positive feedback loop of saying unthinkably dumb things out loud. Doing so set off a frenzied chain reaction of analysis, reporting, and speculation about what was meant by whatever came out of his mouth that didn't make any sense at all.... And it's not that Trump is dumb himself that irks, although he very much is; it's how baldly dumb the things he says are, all the time.... The lying grates, but how poorly crafted and executed the lies are, how telegraphed they are in his own interest, and how unmoored from any semblance of reality they are, makes them particularly crushing."

Ted Kemp & Joanna Tan of CNBC: "... Donald Trump directly accused Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell of endangering the U.S. economy by raising interest rates, according to The Wall Street Journal. '"I'm just saying this: I'm very unhappy with the Fed because Obama had zero interest rates,' Trump told the Journal on Tuesday. 'Every time we do something great, he raises the interest rates.' The president said Powell 'almost looks like he's happy raising interest rates,' but declined to elaborate, according to the Journal. Trump acknowledged that the Fed is traditionally independent of political influence, the Journal reported, but he still pressed his attacks and appeared to view the United States' current economic performance as a competition between himself and President Barack Obama." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Here's what Prof. Trumpity-Doo-Dah understands about macroeconomics: __________. ...

... Matt Phillips of the New York Times: "Stocks declined in early trading on Wall Street on Tuesday, as the American industrial firms Caterpillar and 3M reported earnings that failed to ease investors' growing concerns about China's slowing economy and growing trade tensions. The Standard & Poor's 500-stock index was down more than 1.5 percent late Tuesday morning in New York. Stock markets in China, Japan and Germany -- some of the countries most heavily exposed to a slowdown in global trade -- all dropped earlier." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

     ... Update. Patti Domm of CNBC: "By late afternoon, the Dow reversed much of a more-than-500-point loss...."

We're in a hell of a mess in every direction.... Respect for government, respect for the Supreme Court, respect for the president, it's all gone. Even respect for the Federal Reserve.... How can you run a democracy when nobody believes in the leadership of the country? -- Former Fed Chair Paul Volcker to Andrew Sorkin of the New York Times

Ellen Nakashima of the Washington Post: "U.S. Cyber Command has begun targeting Russian operatives, warning them that the military is tracking their activities in an attempt to deter them from disrupting the fast-approaching midterm elections, according to defense officials. Begun in recent days, the operation is the first under a new presidential order easing restrictions on offensive cyberspace actions against foreign networks and represents Cyber Command's initial foray into safeguarding U.S. elections, officials said. The news comes as President Trump's national security adviser, John Bolton, warned officials in Moscow this week that he considered Russian interference in the American election process 'intolerable.'"

"I Don't Know Much about KKK Art, But I Know What I Like." Lisa Rein of the Washington Post: "A senior official at the Department of Veterans Affairs said he removed a portrait of the Ku Klux Klan's first grand wizard from his Washington, D.C., office after offended employees began signing a petition to present to VA Secretary Robert Wilkie. David J. Thomas Sr. is deputy executive director of VA's Office of Small and Disadvantaged Business Utilization, which certifies veteran-owned businesses seeking government contracts. His senior staff is mostly African American. Thomas said he took down the painting Monday after a Washington Post reporter explained that its subject, Nathan Bedford Forrest, was a Confederate general and slave trader who became the KKK's first figurehead in 1868. He said he was unaware of Forrest's affiliation with the hate group, which formed after the Civil War to maintain white control over newly freed blacks through violence and intimidation. A basic Google search of Forrest's name returns various biographies detailing his role in the Confederacy and the white-supremacist strains of its aftermath. 'It was just a beautiful print that I had purchased, and I thought it was very nice,' Thomas said. He said he knew of Forrest only 'as a Southern general in the Civil War' and kept the portrait in his basement before decorating a new and larger office at VA's administrative headquarters a few months ago. Thomas, who has worked at VA since 2013, is a civil servant employed by the federal government -- not a political appointee posted there by President Trump..." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Let's assume you didn't know Bedford was a KKK founder. Still, why the hell would you hang a "beautiful print" of "a Southern general in the Civil War" in your office, especially when most of your staff are African-Americans? Seems like an intimidation tactic to me. Put that "very nice" print back in your basement, you dimwitted honky. And apologize.

Robert Barnes of the Washington Post: "To a far greater degree than its predecessors, the Trump administration has sought to bypass adverse lower-court rulings on some of its signature issues by seeking extraordinary relief from a refortified conservative Supreme Court. Attorney General Jeff Sessions and Solicitor General Noel J. Francisco have repeatedly gone outside the usual appellate process to get issues such as the travel ban, immigration and greater authority for top officials before the justices. They were rewarded Monday night when the court, in an unsigned opinion, put a hold on a planned deposition of Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross. Ross had been ordered to submit to questioning because of shifting versions he has given about why he wanted to add a question to the 2020 Census regarding a respondent's citizenship."

Robert Barnes: "Retired Supreme Court justice Sandra Day O'Connor, who became the first female justice in 1981 and then one of the court's most influential members, announced Tuesday that she suffers from dementia and is 'no longer able to participate in public life.' In a letter released by her family, O'Connor, 88, said she wanted to 'be open about these changes, and while I am still able, share some personal thoughts.'" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Election 2018

Lachlan Markay, et al., of the Daily Beast: "Donald Trump and his political allies have embarked on an aggressive, end-of-the-campaign effort to drum up fear among voters about a caravan of poor migrants several thousand miles from the U.S.-Mexico border. Much of it is mistruths and embellishments, but Trumpland could care less. 'It doesn't matter if it's 100 percent accurate,' a senior Trump administration official told The Daily Beast. 'This is the play.' Over the past few days, Trump has issued cryptic warnings about the southern border being overrun. His vice president has amplified baseless accusations that terrorists may have infiltrated the group of -- largely -- Honduran asylum seekers. And conservative media have provided 'round-the-clock coverage of what they depict as a mob gaining in size and steam. Stoking immigration fears is a tried and true political winner for the Republican Party." ...

... James Poniewozik, the New York Times' TV critic, on how Fox "News" latched onto fear of ISIS & immigrants as a 2014 vote-getter, how Donald Trump picked up on the trend then & how both are going back to the same playbook this election season. Poniewozik's analysis of Trump's Twitter "focus-group" method is interesting. Remember, "It doesn't matter if it's 100 percent accurate"! Or, you know, even 10%.

Connecticut. Max Reiss of NBC Connecticut: "In a grainy video recorded over the summer at a campaign event, Bob Stefanowski, the Republican candidate for governor, shared some of his thoughts on childhood immunization laws.... [A] member of the audience ... asked, 'Do you think the state should dictate [immunizations] or should local [Boards of Education] handle that?' Stefanowski responded by saying, 'I think it depends on the vaccination. We shouldn't be dumping a lot of drugs into kids for no reason.' Connecticut mandates that students receive certain vaccinations at different points in their education."

Florida. Ali Vitali & Adam Edelman of NBC News: "A racist robocall that refers to Andrew Gillum as a 'negro' and a 'monkey' is making the rounds in Florida, prompting a furious response from the Democratic gubernatorial candidate's campaign. Florida voters who receive the call -- audio of which was obtained by NBC News -- hear a man impersonating the African-American politician.... A spokesperson for [Gillum's GOP opponent Ron] DeSantis said the campaign had 'absolutely nothing to do with' the robocall 'and joins those in condemning it.'" Mrs. McC: I won't repeat the text of the robocall, but you can read it on the linked page.

Georgia. Thanks, New York Times. Ed Kilgore: "I Remember Stacey Abrams's 1992 'Flag-Burning' Incident. It Was a Small, Peaceful Protest [against the inclusion of the Confederate flag on the state flag].... [A minor 1992 protest] would be a forgotten footnote to the long story of social change in the Deep South had not one of those protesters at the Georgia Capitol been Stacey Abrams.... Someone dug up a 1992 article from the Atlanta Journal-Constitution that showed Abrams among the flag-burners, and posted it on Facebook. The New York Times wrote it all up, omitting most of the context.... The protests in which Abrams participated were righteous then and now, and posed no threat to public safety or order.... Abrams's underlying position on the flag is now, of course, accepted by everyone other than hard-core neo-Confederates." Mrs. McC: So Abrams has been cool for decades. Kudos. ...

... Jamil Smith of Rolling Stone: Secretary of State & GOP goobernatorial nominee Brian Kemp [R] is upset that Georgians are exercising their right to vote." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Nevada. Just to remind you what a real campaign speech sounds like:


William Rashbaum
of the New York Times: "Federal authorities believe that an explosive device found Monday in a mailbox at the home of George Soros, the billionaire philanthropist who has been a focus of right-wing vitriol and conspiracy theorists, was left there by someone and was not delivered by the Postal Service, several law enforcement officials said Tuesday. Mr. Soros]s home is in a suburb of New York City. The device was constructed from a length of pipe about six inches long filled with explosive powder, and it was 'proactively detonated' by bomb squad technicians, according to one of the officials, all of whom were briefed on the investigation.... Mr. Soros, who made his fortune in finance and is now a full-time philanthropist and political activist, is often a subject of the ire of right-wing groups. In recent days, some have falsely speculated that he funded a caravan of migrants moving north in Mexico.... His activism has made him a villain to conservative groups and the target of anti-Semitic smears. Roseanne Barr called him a Nazi in an infamous tweetstorm." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: One would think that in the neighborhood of the rich & famous, there would be CCTV cameras trained on the roads.

We Are Not Surprised. Talal Ansari of BuzzFeed News: "The wife of Richard Spencer, the white nationalist leader, has accused him of being 'physically, emotionally, verbally and financially abusive' throughout their marriage, according to divorce filings in Flathead County District Court in Montana. Nina Koupriianova, who married Spencer in August 2010 and has two young children with him, alleges that Spencer physically abused her, including instances where she was 'being hit, being grabbed, being dragged around by her hair, being held down in a manner causing bruising, and being prevented from calling for help.... Much of the abuse has occurred in the presence of the parties' children.'... Koupriianova said that Spencer’s favorite statement to her was, 'The only language women understand is violence.' He also allegedly told her once, 'I'm famous, and you are not! I'm important, and you are not!'" Mrs. McC: This is the same "argument" Trump uses to belittle reporters: "I'm president, and you're not" (here and here).

Annals of "Journalism," Ha Ha Ha. Mrs. McCrabbie: Maybe you forgot about Megyn Kelly because she has a show on NBC that nobody watches. Well, somebody watches it because Opheli Lawler of New York (and some others) noticed that Kelly (and three other white people on her show) decided that it was okay for white kids to dress up in blackface for Halloween, "as long as you were dressing like a character." Like a "character" who'd been lynched, or what? Following a backlash, Kelly sent a note to colleagues apologizing for not being "more sensitive in this day and age." No doubt Megyn is looking forward to a "day and age" she doesn't have to be so "sensitive."

Beyond the Beltway

Sophie Weiner of Splinter: "... what appeared to be a vintage plane painted in Nazi insignia crashed onto the 101 freeway in Agoura Hills, a city in Los Angeles County.... The plane was decorated to resemble World War II craft flown by the Nazi Luftwaffe air force.... According to Jalopnik, the plane was identified as a North American T-6 Texan.... This isn't even the first time a plane like this has crashed on an American freeway in the last two years. In 2017, another small plane painted in a Luftwaffe design had to make an emergency landing on a freeway in Gwinnett County, Georgia. The pilot, Fred Meyer, told AJC at the time that the Nazi paint job was 'just for fun.'... But in a time when our president is slamming 'globalists' on TV while crypto-white nationalists keep emerging from his administration, it's a little harder to justify celebrating Nazi imagery as 'just for fun.'" Also according to Jalopnik, "The plane allegedly belonged to the Condor Squadron, a history group that flies old planes often in World War II-era liveries, and was dressed up to look like a WWII-era German Wermacht plane...." Mrs. McC: Nice metaphor, anyway.

Monday
Oct222018

The Commentariat -- October 23, 2018

Afternoon Update:

Linda Qiu of the New York Times: "There is no evidence that 'unknown Middle Easterners' have infiltrated the migrant caravan heading toward the United States' southern border. Reporters with The New York Times and other news media outlets traveling with the caravan say they have not seen any Middle Easterners in the group. No government agency has confirmed Mr. Trump's claim.... Nowhere in the White House's newly released 25-page counterterrorism policy or in testimony this month by Homeland Security Department and National Counterterrorism Center officials was the threat of terrorists infiltrating the nation's southern border raised.... 'We do not see any evidence that ISIS or other Sunni terrorist groups are trying to infiltrate the southern U.S. border,' said an American counterterrorism official...." ...

... Trump Is Getting Worse. Amber Phillips of the Washington Post: We "compared Trump's Monday night speech in Texas to one he made as a presidential candidate and found that what Trump is saying in the past few weeks makes some of his 2016 rhetoric look fairly tame. Whereas Trump in 2016 allowed for some nuance that, say, 'some' immigrants in the country illegally might be good people, in 2018, he routinely describes cities 'overrun' with violent, illegal immigrant gangs. In 2016, he focused plenty on murders allegedly committed at the hands of immigrants in the country illegally, but now, he seems to revel in describing the violence committed at the hands of immigrants in the country illegally. Whereas in 2016, the Washington establishment was to blame for all this, in 2018, it's the Democrats." Phillips provides examples: "They carve you up with a knife" is a nice one. ...

... AND speaking of actually carving people up with knives, let's check in with Mohammmed bin Salman, Donald & Jared's buddy:

MBS Gets a Standing O. Alan Rappeport of the New York Times: "Saudi Arabia's crown prince, Mohammed bin Salman, received a standing ovation as he made an unannounced appearance at a global investment conference here on Tuesday, further clouding an event that has been thrown into disarray after the killing of a dissident Saudi journalist. The crown prince, who is suspected of playing a role in the killing of Jamal Khashoggi, appeared just ahead of a late afternoon presentation about technology but did not give any remarks. His presence came as American business executives attending the conference tried to keep a low profile and Saudi business leaders attempted to distance themselves from Mr. Khashoggi's murder." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Just in case you thought global investors had an ounce of decency. ...

... Alex Crawford of Sky News: "Body parts belonging to murdered journalist Jamal Khashoggi have been found, according to two Sky sources. The sources have told Sky News the writer had been 'cut up' and his face 'disfigured'. One source also suggested Mr Khashoggi's remains were discovered in the garden of the Saudi consul general's home - situated around 500 metres away from the consulate. It contradicts the explanation being made by Saudi officials that the body was rolled up in a carpet and handed to a local collaborator who was tasked with disposing of the evidence."

Matt Phillips of the New York Times: "Stocks declined in early trading on Wall Street on Tuesday, as the American industrial firms Caterpillar and 3M reported earnings that failed to ease investors' growing concerns about China's slowing economy and growing trade tensions. The Standard & Poor's 500-stock index was down more than 1.5 percent late Tuesday morning in New York. Stock markets in China, Japan and Germany -- some of the countries most heavily exposed to a slowdown in global trade -- all dropped earlier." ...

We're in a hell of a mess in every direction.... Respect for government, respect for the Supreme Court, respect for the president, it's all gone. Even respect for the Federal Reserve.... How can you run a democracy when nobody believes in the leadership of the country? -- Former Fed Chair Paul Volcker to Andrew Sorkin of the New York Times

Robert Barnes of the Washington Post: "Retired Supreme Court justice Sandra Day O'Connor, who became the first female justice in 1981 and then one of the court's most influential members, announced Tuesday that she suffers from dementia and is 'no longer able to participate in public life.' In a letter released by her family, O'Connor, 88, said she wanted to 'be open about these changes, and while I am still able, share some personal thoughts.'"

Jamil Smith of Rolling Stone: Georgia Secretary of State & GOP goobernatorial nominee Brian Kemp is upset that Georgians are exercising their right to vote."

*****

National Emergy." Zachary Basu of Axios: "In a string of Monday morning tweets about the caravan of Honduran migrants currently in Mexico, President Trump stated the United States will begin cutting off foreign aid to Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador. 'Sadly, it looks like Mexico's Police and Military are unable to stop the Caravan heading to the Southern Border of the United States. Criminals and unknown Middle Easterners are mixed in. I have alerted Border Patrol and Military that this is a National Emergy. Must change laws! ... Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador were not able to do the job of stopping people from leaving their country and coming illegally to the U.S. We will now begin cutting off, or substantially reducing, the massive foreign aid routinely given to them.'... Critics argue Trump's approach would over the long-term actually increase immigration from the three countries, which are struggling with high rates of poverty and violent crime. Incoming Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador has suggested a U.S.-Mexico-Canada agreement to invest in Central America in order to address the root causes of immigration." (Also linked yesterday.) ...

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: As far as I know, this is the first time in history a POTUS* has declared a National Emergy. So I guess this makes the caravan of "criminals & unknown Middle Easterners" like, historic. ...

... Trump Baffles Caravaners. Karla Zabludovsky of BuzzFeed News: "... Donald Trump attempted to stoke new fears, tweeting that 'criminals and unknown Middle Easterners are mixed in.'... 'What?' Melvin Gómez, 32, exclaimed in English. 'Most of us come from Honduras. It's small, we all know each other. We would know.' The criminals 'must be the children, the women. The diapers must be the bombs,' said Irineo Mujica, director of Pueblo Sin Fronteras, the organization that coordinated a smaller caravan in April, during a press conference Monday.... The president's claim can be traced back to a statement earlier this month from Guatemalan President Jimmy Morales that has been twisted as it's made its way to Trump. Morales claimed that his country, unrelated to the caravan, has arrested and deported over 100 members of ISIS. That has been merged in the last week with right-wing coverage of the migrants' journey to produce headlines like '100 ISIS Terrorists Caught in Guatemala as Migrant Caravan of Military-Aged Males Marches to U.S.' (According to the head of Suchiate Civil Protection, only about third of the caravan is adult males -- the rest is made up of women and children.)" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Trump could just call up the CIA to find out if "criminals & unknown Middle Easterners" had actually infiltrated the caravan. But facts do not fit his objectives, so he shamelessly lies to the American people. One would think even Trumpbots would be angry when their leader lied to them to frighten them. But no. More on Trump's use of fearmongering & lies to drum up support linked under "Election 2018" below. ...

... Alternative Facts. Matt Shuham of TPM: "White House Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders, following in President Donald Trump's footsteps, did her own conspiracy mongering about a caravan of asylum seekers and migrants traveling through Mexico toward the U.S. border Monday. Speaking to reporters at the White House, as quoted by CNN's Kaitlan Collins and CBS News' Mark Knoller, Sanders said the President 'absolutely' has evidence of 'unknown Middle Easterners' traveling with the caravan. She didn't respond to TPM's request to see the evidence.... Trump has provided no evidence for his claims, either." --s ...

... Paul Waldman in the Washington Post: "... we shouldn't be surprised if a few days before the midterm election, Trump does something dramatic -- like following through on his threat to send the military to the border -- to make sure that immigration dominates news coverage right before the election. It has already become clear that touting his accomplishments isn't getting the job of holding off a Democratic wave done.... So Trump ... falls back on what he always does: hate and fear. It might work, but the odds don't look good. By the way, if it fails and Democrats take the House, at least for the next two years he'll be able to say that Democrats really are stymieing his agenda [which is what he's claiming now, even tho Republicans control all three branches of government]." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Kareem Fahim of the Washington Post: "Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said Tuesday that the killing of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi was a 'planned' and 'brutal' murder and called on Saudi Arabia to extradite 18 suspects to Turkey to face justice for the crime.... While Erdogan did not address the most explosive allegations that have surfaced during the investigation -- including that Khashoggi was dismembered after he was killed -- the president provided the most detailed timeline yet of the days and hours leading up the murder on Oct. 2, including allegations that a team of Saudi agents who were dispatched to Istanbul had carefully prepared for Khashoggi' s death. The Saudi team that planned the murder was first alerted, Erdogan said, after Khashoggi visited the consulate on Friday, Sept. 28.... Beginning three days later, on Oct. 1, teams of Saudi agents begin arriving in Istanbul, with one team visiting wooded areas in and around Istanbul, 'for reconnaissance,' to identify a possible place to dispose of a body, Erdogan said. After another team arrived at the Istanbul consulate, 'the hard disk on the consulate camera is removed,' he added." Mrs. McC: This is as far as the report goes, or went, as of 6:30 am ET. The Times story, linked next, has even less as of the same time. ...

... Richard Pérez-Peña of the New York Times: "President Recep Tayyip Erdogan of Turkey, having promised to reveal the 'naked truth' of a Saudi plot to kill the journalist Jamal Khashoggi, said on Tuesday that a team including Saudi generals had flown in to carry out the mission.... Mr. Erdogan said that he would call King Salman of Saudi Arabia and ask that the case be adjudicated in Istanbul, not Riyadh or elsewhere in Saudi Arabia." ...

... David Jackson & Susan Page of USA Today: "... Donald Trump on Monday questioned the account Saudi officials have given him about the death of journalist Jamal Khashoggi but said he still believed it was 'a plot gone awry.' In an exclusive interview with USA Today, he indicated he would oppose efforts to cease arms sales to the kingdom in response.... In characterizing the Khashoggi incident as a 'plot gone awry,' Trump indicated that he thought the journalist wasn't deliberately lured into the consulate to be murdered. Saudi officials last week said Khashoggi's death followed a 'brawl' inside the building, an explanation that drew skepticism from some on Capitol Hill.... Turkish officials have said Khashoggi's body was cut up with a bone saw. Asked about that detail as a possible indication of wrongdoing, Trump sounded incredulous. 'Do you know there was a bone saw?' he replied." ...

... Mark Landler & Maggie Haberman of the New York Times: "Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin met with Saudi Arabia's crown prince, Mohammed bin Salman, in Riyadh on Monday, discussing counterterrorism and economic ties amid growing questions about whether the prince had a role in the killing of a dissident journalist. A Treasury spokesman said the meeting was focused on combating terrorist financing and corralling Iran's influences in the region and that the two men discussed the investigation into the death of the journalist, Jamal Khashoggi.... The meeting, which had not been previously scheduled, came at the request of the Saudi government...." (This is an update to the story linked immediately below & yesterday.) ...

... Maggie Haberman: "Jared Kushner on Monday said the White House is still 'fact-finding' on the circumstances of the dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi's death, but he said it has its 'eyes wide open' as the investigations into how he died continue.... 'We're getting facts in from multiple places. Once those facts come in, the secretary of state will work with our national security team to help us determine what we want to believe.'... He made the remarks in his first televised interview since the 2016 election, conducted by the political activist Van Jones, at the 'Citizen by CNN' forum in Manhattan." Mrs. McC: "What we want to believe"??? (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... John Hudson, et al., of the Washington Post: "CIA Director Gina Haspel departed for Turkey on Monday amid a growing international uproar over Saudi Arabias explanation of the killing of journalist Jamal Khashoggi, according to people familiar with the matter. The visit by the U.S. spy chief comes as Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in a speech planned for early Tuesday vows to reveal the full extent of what his aides are calling a Saudi-directed murder and attempted coverup. The arrival of the director suggests an effort by the U.S. intelligence community to assess the information the Turks have, including what Turkish officials have said is audio that captures the killing. Intelligence officials are increasingly skeptical of the Saudi account and have warned President Trump that the idea that rogue operators flew to Istanbul and killed Khashoggi without the knowledge or consent of Saudi leaders is dubious, a White House official said. On Monday, Trump told reporters that 'I am not satisfied with what I've heard' from Saudi Arabia and pledged to get to the bottom of what happened." ...

... Martin Chulov of the Guardian: "At about noon on Tuesday two regional leaders are due to make landmark addresses. In Riyadh, the de facto ruler of Saudi Arabia, Mohammed bin Salman, will open an investment showpiece declaring the kingdom open for business. In Ankara, the Turkish president, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, is expected to make a speech that may well shut down the beleaguered kingdom. Such are the stakes when Erdoğan takes to a podium to discuss the death of the Saudi dissident Jamal Khashoggi that the region may not be the same when he's finished.... In some quarters of the royal court, a palpable sense of panic has taken hold. Erdoğan has the Saudis ... right where he wants [them].... Khaled al-Faisal, the governor of Mecca, returned after seeing Erdoğan and was really worried, one senior member of the royal family has revealed. 'He wasn't budging, he didn't want to listen to anything we said. Al-Faisal came back and told the King we have a crisis.'" --s ...

... Robin Wright of the New Yorker: "At 2:52 P.M., [Mustafa al]-Madani walked out of the consulate's back door in [Jamal] Khashoggi's clothes -- except for the shoes.... According to Turkish surveillance video, broadcast by CNN on Monday, Madani and an accomplice -- who had a hoodie over his head and was carrying a white plastic bag -- took a taxi to a crowded mosque and went into a public men's toilet. When they came out, Madani was back in his blue-and-white shirt, which presumably had been in the white plastic bag, and was still wearing his tennis shoes. Surveillance cameras then caught them tossing the bag, which likely contained Khashoggi's clothing at that point, into a dumpster. With that, the last trace of the Saudi dissident disappeared.... The idea of a rogue operation gone wrong ... no longer seems credible. Before Madani left the consulate in Khashoggi's clothes, he put on a false beard that resembled Khashoggi's facial hair. Like the bone saw that the team allegedly carried, a fake beard is a prop that they would presumably have needed to bring with them, especially given how fast the switch played out." ...

... Carlotta Gall of the New York Times: "In the continuing frenzy of media attention to the murder of Jamal Khashoggi before a much-anticipated statement by President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Turkish media have published poignant photographs of Mr. Khashoggi and his fiancée in the last hours and days of his life. Mr. Khashoggi and Hatice Cengiz, who is Turkish, are seen holding hands as they visit the local marriage office and enter the building where they had bought an apartment that they were furnishing before he went to the appointment at the Saudi Consulate from which he never emerged. Ms. Cengiz has been provided with police protection.... Social media trolls have attacked Ms. Cengiz in Arabic and Turkish in recent days, questioning the extent of her relationship with Mr Khashoggi." ...

... Murder by Skype. Reuters: "... according to two intelligence sources..., Saud al-Qahtani, a top aide for Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman..., ran journalist Jamal Khashoggi's brutal killing at the Saudi consulate in Istanbul by giving orders over Skype.... According to one high-ranking Arab source with access to intelligence and links to members of Saudi Arabia's royal court, Qahtani ... began to hurl insults at Khashoggi over the phone. According to the Arab and Turkish sources, Khashoggi answered Qahtani's insults with his own.... A Turkish intelligence source relayed that at one point Qahtani told his men to dispose of Khashoggi. 'Bring me the head of the dog', the Turkish intelligence source says Qahtani instructed.... The Arab source and the Turkish intelligence source said the audio of the Skype call is now in the possession of Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan. The sources say he is refusing to release it to the Americans.... On Saturday, Saudi state media said King Salman had sacked Qahtani and four other officials over the killing carried out by a 15-man hit team." ...

... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: Those of you old enough to remember the Iran-Contra scandal may find the name Khashoggi sounds familiar. That's because one of the central characters in the arms-for-hostages scheme was international arms dealer Adnan Khashoggi, who was the uncle of journalist Jamal Khashoggi. And, in the small-world department, Adnan's sister, the writer Samira Khashoggi, married billionaire Mohamed Al-Fayed. Their son Dodi Fayed had a romantic relationship with Britain's Princess Diana; the two of them died in a car crash in Paris. A short while after their deaths, I developed a conspiracy theory -- which I didn't believe, mind you -- that the crash was a cover for Diana to escape the constant hounding of paparazzi. In my imaginary scenario, Dodi & Diana are alive & well, & Diana is living secretly in the Middle East under the protection of Al-Fayed. Now, in light of the strange murder of Jamal Khashoggi, my nutty theory sounds a little less far-fetched (but it still is nutty). But at least it's a happier ending for an ill-starred princess.

Trump as Role Model. The Daily Beast: "A man arrested for allegedly groping a female passenger on a flight from Houston to New Mexico told police officers the president of the United States 'says it's OK to grab women by their private parts,' according to a criminal complaint filed Monday. The man, identified as Bruce Alexander, 49, is accused of groping a woman's breast when she was sleeping on the Southwest Airlines flight on Sunday." --s

Consider the Source. Karen Freifeld & Nathan Layne of Reuters: "Under an unusual arrangement, Paul Manafort's attorney has kept Donald Trump informed about the former campaign chairman's meetings with prosecutors investigating Russian meddling in the 2016 U.S. election and, according to Trump's lawyer, Manafort has not said anything damaging about the president.... [Rudy] Giuliani said the conversations were occurring under a so-called joint defense agreement, which allows lawyers who represent different clients to exchange information without violating attorney-client privilege. Legal experts said it was unusual for such an agreement to remain in effect after a person pleads guilty and agrees to cooperate with prosecutors as Manafort has done. Manafort is talking to Special Counsel Robert Mueller 'about a lot of things, none of which are incriminating with regard to the president,' Giuliani said in one of several conversations with Reuters this month. Giuliani said he was told by [Manafort attorney Kevin] Downing that Manafort had met with Mueller's team roughly a half dozen times.... Legal experts said Manafort's lawyer may be trying to remain on good terms with the Trump camp in the hopes that Manafort will ultimately receive a presidential pardon."

Everything Is Going Very Smoothly. Maggie Haberman & Katie Rogers of the New York Times: "An argument last February between the White House chief of staff, John F. Kelly, and Corey Lewandowski, an informal adviser to President Trump, turned into a physical altercation that required Secret Service intervention just outside the Oval Office, according to a half-dozen people familiar with the events. The episode, details of which have not been previously reported, is the latest illustration of the often chaotic atmosphere Mr. Trump is willing to tolerate in the White House as well as a reflection of the degree to which Mr. Kelly's temper can be provoked.... Mr. Kelly grabbed Mr. Lewandowski by the collar and tried to have him ejected from the West Wing.... Mr. Kelly, a retired four-star Marine Corps general, was widely hailed as the lone grown-up who could corral a staff full of bombastic and competing personalities when he was appointed in summer 2017. But Mr. Kelly has shown little inclination to curb his own instinct for confrontation, from scuffling with a Chinese official during a visit to Beijing last year to last week's profanity-laced shouting match with John R. Bolton, the national security adviser, after a meeting with the president."

Josh Hafner of USA Today: "An Air Force official admitted the branch's multiple purchases of coffee cups that break easily and cost $1,280 each 'is simply irresponsible,' vowing to pursue ways to fix the mugs instead of continually buying new ones. Buying and replacing the special mugs, which can reheat liquids aboard air refueling tankers in flight, has cost the Air Force $326,785 since 2016, Air Force Secretary Heather Wilson said in a letter. The letter, dated last Wednesday to Sen. Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, came after Grassley questioned 'yet another report of wasteful spending in the Department of Defense' in an earlier letter."

Joanne Freeman of The Atlantic: "The politics of outrage is fast becoming a political norm, each flare-up lowering the bar of acceptable rhetoric and producing an upswing in belligerent posturing. But Trump didn't invent this emotion-laden mode of political warfare ...; it has a long and storied history that predates even that notorious poisoner of the political realm, Newt Gingrich.... We often link such outrage with protest, but in truth, political power holders have long used anger, fear, and intimidation to preserve the status quo.... But bullying power holders often pay a price, fueling a backlash through the contagion of rage. It happened in the 1850s. And recent weeks have suggested much the same. Kavanaugh's howling outrage enraged women.... Trump's threats against the press have had a similar impact.... Republican outrage is enraging and empowering resistance. But ... resistance and violence aren't one and the same. Channeled properly and put to purpose, outrage can prove formative, inspiring civic engagement, political involvement, and organized protest, thereby leading to reform and change. And in a democratic politics, it is assertive, heartfelt, organized resistance -- not brute violence -- that best brings positive outcomes." --s

Election 2018

Ashley Parker, et al., of the Washington Post: "President Trump has settled on a strategy of fear -- laced with falsehoods and racially tinged rhetoric -- to help lift his party to victory in the coming midterms, part of a broader effort to energize Republican voters with two weeks left until the Nov. 6 elections. Trump's messaging -- on display in his regular campaign rallies, tweets and press statements -- largely avoids much talk of his achievements and instead offers an apocalyptic vision of the country, which he warns will only get worse if Democrats retake control of Congress.... The president believes his best contrast with Democrats is on immigration and is looking for a way to keep the issue in the news until the midterms, advisers said.... Over the past several weeks, the president has begun focusing on a 'Jobs Not Mobs' message -- portraying Democrats as 'too dangerous to govern,' a threat to Medicare and Social Security, supporters of voter fraud, and funders of caravans of migrants.... Unlike two years ago -- when some Republicans were hesitant to follow their nominee's lead in using divisive rhetoric -- Republicans are now more eagerly following the president's cues, including in their own campaign rhetoric and ads." ...

.... Alexander Burns & Astead Herndon of the New York Times: "President Trump on Monday sharply intensified a Republican campaign to frame the midterm elections as a battle over immigration and race, issuing a dark and factually baseless warning that 'unknown Middle Easterners' were marching toward the American border with Mexico. The unsubstantiated charge marked an escalation of Mr. Trump's efforts to stoke fears about foreigners and crime ahead of the Nov. 6 vote, as he did to great effect in the presidential race. Mr. Trump and other Republicans are insistently seeking to tie Democrats to unfettered immigration and violent crime, and in some instances this summer and fall they have attacked minority candidates in nakedly racial terms. Mr. Trump is now railing daily in speeches and on Twitter against the migrant caravan moving north through Central America.... The caravan has dominated conservative talk radio and Fox News, where there has also been loose speculation about a link to terrorism. The apparently groundless inclusion of 'unknown Middle Easterners' to the caravan echoes Mr. Trump's longstanding practice of amplifying fears about Islamic militants on the campaign trail. 'That is an assault on our country and in that caravan you have some very bad people and we can't let that happen to our country,' the president said at a rally in Houston on Monday night. Mr. Trump suggested without any proof that the opposition was involved in instigating the caravan. 'I think the Democrats had something to do with it,' he said." ...

... Daniel Dale of the Toronto Star: "Democrats will kick seniors off their health insurance. Democrats will end insurance protections for people with health problems. Democrats will destroy the Social Security retirement system. Democrats will give illegal immigrants free cars. Democrats will abolish America's borders. Democrats are behind the latest migrant caravan from Latin America. That caravan includes people from the Middle East. False, false, false, false, false, false, false.... Donald Trump made a brief attempt to campaign on his record of accomplishments but, as the November congressional elections approach, he has traded that shiny new positivity for the well-worn tactic that helped him win the presidency in 2016: a blizzard of fear-mongering and lies, many of them about darker-skinned foreigners." ...

... Caroline Orr of Shareblue: "Trump's authoritarian tendencies were on full display Monday night as he took the stage at a campaign event for GOP Sen. Ted Cruz, and proceeded to dive headfirst into an angry, unhinged, and at times terrifying rant riddled with lies, bigotry, and fearmongering at its most extreme. Using rhetoric straight from the dictator's playbook, Trump offered up an apocalyptic vision of America in which criminals are hiding around every corner, 'badpeople' are pouring over the border, and 'violent mobs' are taking over the streets. Furthermore, he warned, if Democrats take control of Congress in November, these fictional threats will 'destroy' the very fabric of the nation. The speech reflected the campaign strategy that Trump and the GOP have settled on in the final stretch leading up to midterms, which is one based on fear and fear alone. With few accomplishments to speak of, Republicans have apparently decided that if they can't motivate people to vote for them, they'll scare people into it, instead. Trump's rhetoric on Monday night embodied the GOP's fear-based campaign strategy, which itself mirrors tactics used by oppressive autocratic regimes, not usually democratic nations." ...

We're going to be putting in a 10% tax cut for middle income families next week. We've been working on it for a few months. It's brand new. -- Donald Trump, at the Cruz campaign rally, Monday

Fact check: No one knew about this until Saturday. And Congress is out until November, so they won't be 'putting it' anywhere. -- Christina Wilkie of CNBC, in a tweet Monday ...

But Beto O'Rourke will buy you a pony. And send you a monthly allowance for its feed & care. -- Mrs. Bea McCrabbie ...

     ... Also too, Trump admitted during the speech he was a "nationalist," to which the Texas crowd responded, "You Ess Ay, You Ess Ay, You Ess Ay." Via Dominque Jackson of the Raw Story. ...

... AND It's Working. Dan Balz & Scott Clement of the Washington Post: "The contest for control of the House remains close and hard fought, according to a new Washington Post-Schar School poll of the most-contested districts in the country, with Democrats holding a statistically insignificant lead over Republicans. The latest survey shows only a marginal change in the race during October, with 50 percent currently supporting the Democratic candidate in their district and 47 percent backing the Republican. Candidates from the two parties collectively are running almost even in 48 contested congressional districts won by President Trump in 2016, while Democrats hold the advantage in 21 competitive districts won by Hillary Clinton. The Democrats' lead in those Clinton districts has narrowed a bit since the beginning of the month." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: This would be a good place to say, I guess, that Republican voters are the U.S.'s version of Chicken Little. They so easily succumb to sky-is-falling irrational fears that the most transparent lies drive them. The dimmest, most susceptible Chicken Littles are Second Amendment diehards; they are sure they needs guns, or arsenals, to protect them from the thundering hordes. Gun ownership, in most cases, isn't about safety; it's about cowardice and bullying. And the truth of course is that the chickens-and-bullies are much more dangerous to the U.S. than are a caravan of people "yearning to breathe free." ...

... Bad News. Adam Edelman of NBC News: "Republican-affiliated voters have outpaced Democratic-affiliated voters in early voting in seven closely watched states, according to data provided by TargetSmart and independently analyzed by the NBC News Data Analytics Lab. GOP-affiliated voters have surpassed Democratic-affiliated ones in early voting in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Montana, Tennessee and Texas, the data showed. Only in Nevada have Democratic-affiliated voters exceeded Republican-affiliated voters so far in early voting, according to the data.... [BUT] Republicans typically dominate early voting by absentee ballots, while Democrats tend to have the advantage with in-person early voting. So, for example, the entire early voting picture in Florida, which has yet to begin in-person voting, is incomplete."

Arkansas. Andrew DeMillo of TPM: "[F]our early voting sites in Garland County [Arkansas] were temporarily closed part of the morning after complaints that Susan Inman, the Democrat running for secretary of state, was not listed on the touchscreen ballot, County Election Commission Chairman Gene Haley said. Before the problem was discovered, 222 ballots without Inman's name had been cast. The sites reopened after Inman's name was added." --s

California. Rory Appleton of The Fresno Bee: "Elizabeth Heng, the Republican challenging Democrat Jim Costa in California's 16th Congressional District, appears to have violated several tax and election laws stemming from a Washington, D.C., property she claimed as her principal residence, a review of various public documents shows. Washington property records show Heng claimed a condominium as her principal residence despite living and actively campaigning in Fresno. She also collected rent on the property while receiving a tax credit meant for permanent residents and improperly registered to vote in California while technically claiming residency more than 3,000 miles away." --s

Nevada. Twelve family members of Adam Laxalt, the Republican candidate for governor of Nevada, write an op-ed denouncing his candidacy in the Reno Gazette Journal: "We are writing as members of the Laxalt family who have spent our lives in Nevada, and feel compelled to protect our family name from being leveraged and exploited by Adam Laxalt, the Republican candidate for governor.... But as this Election Day nears, we feel compelled to speak publicly about why we believe that Adam Laxalt is the wrong choice for Nevada's governorship." --s

Texas. Jeremy Wallace of the Houston Chronicle: "Thousands of people were already camped out at a key early voting location in Houston on Monday morning, hours before voting was even set to begin. Nearly 2,000 people stood in line outside of the Metropolitan Multi-Service Center on West Gray near River Oaks in a scene that looked more like a Black Friday shopping morning.... [Rep. Beto] O'Rourke was across the street firing up his supporters with a bullhorn.... O'Rourke has a half-dozen rallies planned all over the Houston area on Monday to start early voting. Those rallies come as U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz brings in ... Donald Trump for a rally to back his campaign at the 18,000-seat Toyota Center." The headline: "Shocking turnout for first day of early voting in Houston." ...

Beto O'Rourke greets early voters outside the Metropolitan Multi-Services Center on Monday, in Houston. Houston Chronicle photo.     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Hey, P.D., have you noticed that Beto looks like a Kennedy? Today is the first time it occurred to me. ...

     ... Update. Zach Despart of the Houston Chronicle: "Less than six hours in, Harris County [Houston] voters on Monday set a new record for the first day of early voting in a midterm election, County Clerk Stan Stanart said.... The numbers were on pace to beat the first-day turnout during the 2008 general election, when 39,201 voters cast ballots. Typically, far more voters turn out in general elections than midterms." (The Chron has a 3-free-articles-per-month limit.)

C'mon..., Ted:

Virginia. R-Full of Shit. Josh Israel of ThinkProgress: "Rep. Dave Brat (R-VA), who is facing a toss-up re-election race against Democrat Abigail Spanberger in Virginia's 7th Congressional District, made a bunch of demonstratively dishonest claims in an interview Monday on a conservative radio show. But one of his lies was false for about 1.9 trillion reasons.... Brat told host John Fredericks that Republicans do not deserve the blame for massively increasing the budget deficit and national debt [and] made the absurd claim that the tax cuts were actually fully paid for." --s

Colorado & Washington State. Two especially interesting comments about voting near the end of yesterday's thread, one from Linda in Denver, Colorado, & one from Ken W., who votes in Washington State.

Election 2020. Ryan Hutchins of Politico: "New Jersey Democrats are clearing the way for Sen. Cory Booker to run for reelection and president at the same time -- and they're not being bashful about their motivations. State lawmakers on Monday quickly introduced and advanced a bill that that would ensure no one could mount a legal challenge should Booker -- or, in theory, another federal elected official -- decide to run for the White House while trying to retain his current job."

Tierney Sneed of TPM: "Plans to depose Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross will remain on hold in the Census citizenship case, with the Supreme Court on Monday granting the Trump administration's request to halt the deposition, which was ordered by a lower court. The Supreme Court, however, will allow the deposition of a top Justice Department official [John Gore] to go forward, and will also permit additional discover in the case that was ordered by the lower court but that the Trump administration also sought to block.... The order, a temporary stay pausing the lower court's decision in favor of the deposition, set a deadline of next Monday for the Trump administration to ask that the court fully consider the move to depose Ross. If the Justice Department does not ask for that full review by the deadline, the Ross deposition will be allowed to go forward." --s ...

... Robert Barnes & Tara Bahrampour of the Washington Post: "The Supreme Court on Monday shielded Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross from answering lawyers' questions in a lawsuit challenging his decision to add a citizenship question to the 2020 Census form.... The court's action makes it unlikely that Ross will have to give a deposition in the case but allows the suit to go forward, at least temporarily. The court said it would entertain other objections from the government before the trial, which is scheduled to start in New York on Nov. 5. The unsigned order seemed like an attempt by the court to avoid a 5-to-4 split in its first politically significant action since the addition of new Justice Brett M. Kavanaugh." ...

... The Supreme Stooge. Ian Millhiser of ThinkProgress: "In a brief opinion joined only by Justice Clarence Thomas, Neil Gorsuch cast his lot on Monday with the Trump administration's effort to rig the 2020 Census in order to reduce the political influence of immigrant communities. Should this plan ultimately succeed, it is likely to shift power towards white people and away from Latinos.... Gorsuch's opinion ... suggest[s] that he and Thomas agree that the Trump administration should be able to add the citizenship question to the Census..., credulously suggesting that the citizenship question may be justified to help the Justice Department 'enforce the Voting Rights Act of 1965.'" --s

Sarah Mervosh, et al., of the New York Times: "An explosive device was found on Monday in a mailbox at a home of George Soros, the billionaire philanthropist who is a favorite target of right-wing groups, in a suburb north of New York City, the authorities said. A law enforcement official confirmed that the device was found near Mr. Soros's home. It did not explode on its own, and bomb squad technicians 'proactively detonated' it, the official said. Federal and state law enforcement officials responded to the scene in Katonah, N.Y., a hamlet in the upscale town of Bedford in northern Westchester County, after the Bedford Police Department received a call about a suspicious package at about 3:45 p.m. 'An employee of the residence opened the package, revealing what appeared to be an explosive device,' the police said in a statement. 'The employee placed the package in a wooded area and called the Bedford police.'"

Darryl Fears of the Washington Post: "An oil spill that has been quietly leaking millions of barrels into the Gulf of Mexico has gone unplugged for so long that it now verges on becoming one of the worst offshore disasters in U.S. history. Between 300 and 700 barrels of oil per day have been spewing from a site 12 miles off the Louisiana coast since 2004, when an oil-production platform owned by Taylor Energy sank in a mudslide triggered by Hurricane Ivan. Many of the wells have not been capped, and federal officials estimate that the spill could continue through this century. With no fix in sight, the Taylor offshore spill is threatening to overtake BP's Deepwater Horizon disaster as the largest ever. As oil continues to spoil the Gulf, the Trump administration is proposing the largest expansion of leases for the oil and gas industry, with the potential to open nearly the entire outer continental shelf to offshore drilling. That includes the Atlantic coast, where drilling hasn't happened in more than a half century and where hurricanes hit with double the regularity of the Gulf." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Fiona Harvey & Jonathan Watts of the Guardian: "Microplastics have been found in human stools for the first time, according to a study suggesting the tiny particles may be widespread in the human food chain. The small study examined eight participants from Europe, Japan and Russia. All of their stool samples were found to contain microplastic particles.... Based on this study, the authors estimated that 'more than 50% of the world population might have microplastics in their stools', though they stressed the need for larger-scale studies to confirm this.... Previous studies on fish have also found plastics in the gut. Microplastics have been found in tap water around the world, in the oceans and in flying insects. A recent investigation in Italy also found microplastics present in soft drinks." --s

Surprise! Good Pay Is Good for Workers. Noam Scheiber of the New York Times: "A research team including economists from the University of Washington has put out a paper showing that Seattle's recent minimum-wage increases brought benefits to many workers employed at the time, while leaving few employed workers worse off.... Large stacks of academic papers have shown that, for the average worker, a minimum-wage increase does more good in raising pay than it hurts by prompting some employers to cut back on hiring or hours.... This new paper, issued Monday, has a unique pedigree: Last summer, the same authors released a paper showing that Seattle's minimum-wage increases had large costs for workers. Because employers reduced hours in response to the city’s rising minimum wage in 2016, the researchers found, average pay fell by an eye-popping $125 a month, or about 6.6 percent. (They did not observe such effects for a minimum-wage increase the year before.)... Conservative politicians and news outlets quickly hailed the findings."

Michelle Goldberg: A.J. Delgado, who had a child with former Trump campaign honcho & married guy Jason Miller, filed court papers claiming "that Miller had made a previous girlfriend pregnant and then put abortion-inducing medication in her smoothie. In September the website Splinter, part of Gizmodo Media, reported on the filing, noting that Miller denied the allegations. In response, Miller ... [sued] the report's author, Katherine Krueger, and Gizmodo Media for $100 million. When Krueger's boyfriend, a co-host of the cult left-wing podcast Chapo Trap House, called Miller a 'rat-faced baby killer' in a tweet, Miller added him to the suit. Representing Miller are two veterans of the team that sued Gawker Media into oblivion for publishing a sex tape of the wrestler Hulk Hogan, a case partly bankrolled by Trump-supporting billionaire Peter Thiel. (Gizmodo is a spinoff of Gawker.)... People on the right [are] using the courts against their critics."

Michael Finnegan & Javier Panzar of the Los Angeles Times: "Michael Avenatti, the lawyer for porn actress Stormy Daniels, was hit with a personal judgment of $4.85 million Monday for his failure to pay a debt to a former colleague at his longtime Newport Beach firm. Less than an hour after his defeat in the Los Angeles lawsuit, the firm, Eagan Avenatti, suffered another setback at a trial in Santa Ana: The Irvine Co. won a court order evicting Avenatti and his staff from their suite at the Fashion Island mall for failing to pay the last four months of rent. The twin blows came as Avenatti was heading to New Hampshire for his third visit to the state that kicks off the 2020 presidential primaries. He is exploring a run for the Democratic nomination, and his troubled financial history could emerge as a significant campaign issue if he joins the race." (Also linked yesterday.) ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie Note to Avenatti: Two things we have in common: we both despise Donald Trump & neither of us is going to get his job. ...

... Seems Very Trumpy. Kate Briquelet of the Daily Beast: "Civil court filings paint a picture of Avenatti as a hard-charging attorney who enjoyed the luxe life -- jetting around the world to race cars with a Saudi prince and treating his wife and their friends to luxury villas in Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. Yet he and his companies owed hundreds of thousands in unpaid taxes and in compensation to one former colleague, who claims Avenatti stiffed him out of millions in law-firm profits. A review of court documents reveals that Avenatti, his former law firm Eagan Avenatti, and his former company Global Baristas, the majority owner of the Seattle-based Tully's coffee chain, have owed millions in unpaid federal and state taxes in Washington and California, as well as hundreds of thousands in past-due rent to landlords."

Sunday
Oct212018

The Commentariat -- October 22, 2018

Late Morning/Afternoon Update:

Maggie Haberman of the New York Times: "Jared Kushner on Monday said the White House is still 'fact-finding' on the circumstances of the dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi's death, but he said it has its 'eyes wide open' as the investigations into how he died continue.... 'We're getting facts in from multiple places. Once those facts come in, the secretary of state will work with our national security team to help us determine what we want to believe.'... He made the remarks in his first televised interview since the 2016 election, conducted by the political activist Van Jones, at the 'Citizen by CNN' forum in Manhattan." Mrs. McC: "What we want to believe"???

Paul Waldman in the Washington Post: "... we shouldn't be surprised if a few days before the midterm election, Trump does something dramatic -- like following through on his threat to send the military to the border -- to make sure that immigration dominates news coverage right before the election. It has already become clear that touting his accomplishments isn't getting the job of holding off a Democratic wave done.... So Trump ... falls back on what he always does: hate and fear. It might work, but the odds don't look good. By the way, if it fails and Democrats take the House, at least for the next two years he'll be able to say that Democrats really are stymieing his agenda [which is what he's claiming now, even tho Republicans control all three branches of government]."

Darryl Fears of the Washington Post: "An oil spill that has been quietly leaking millions of barrels into the Gulf of Mexico has gone unplugged for so long that it now verges on becoming one of the worst offshore disasters in U.S. history. Between 300 and 700 barrels of oil per day have been spewing from a site 12 miles off the Louisiana coast since 2004, when an oil-production platform owned by Taylor Energy sank in a mudslide triggered by Hurricane Ivan. Many of the wells have not been capped, and federal officials estimate that the spill could continue through this century. With no fix in sight, the Taylor offshore spill is threatening to overtake BP's Deepwater Horizon disaster as the largest ever. As oil continues to spoil the Gulf, the Trump administration is proposing the largest expansion of leases for the oil and gas industry, with the potential to open nearly the entire outer continental shelf to offshore drilling. That includes the Atlantic coast, where drilling hasn't happened in more than a half century and where hurricanes hit with double the regularity of the Gulf."

Michael Finnegan & Javier Panzar of the Los Angeles Times: "Michael Avenatti, the lawyer for porn actress Stormy Daniels, was hit with a personal judgment of $4.85 million Monday for his failure to pay a debt to a former colleague at his longtime Newport Beach firm. Less than an hour after his defeat in the Los Angeles lawsuit, the firm, Eagan Avenatti, suffered another setback at a trial in Santa Ana: The Irvine Co. won a court order evicting Avenatti and his staff from their suite at the Fashion Island mall for failing to pay the last four months of rent. The twin blows came as Avenatti was heading to New Hampshire for his third visit to the state that kicks off the 2020 presidential primaries. He is exploring a run for the Democratic nomination, and his troubled financial history could emerge as a significant campaign issue if he joins the race." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie Note to Avenatti: Two things we have in common: we both despise Donald Trump & neither of us is going to get his job.

Zachary Basu of Axios: "In a string of Monday morning tweets about the caravan of Honduran migrants currently in Mexico, President Trump stated the United States will begin cutting off foreign aid to Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador. 'Sadly, it looks like Mexico's Police and Military are unable to stop the Caravan heading to the Southern Border of the United States. Criminals and unknown Middle Easterners are mixed in. I have alerted Border Patrol and Military that this is a National Emergy. Must change laws! ... Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador were not able to do the job of stopping people from leaving their country and coming illegally to the U.S. We will now begin cutting off, or substantially reducing, the massive foreign aid routinely given to them.'... Critics argue Trump's approach would over the long-term actually increase immigration from the three countries, which are struggling with high rates of poverty and violent crime. Incoming Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador has suggested a U.S.-Mexico-Canada agreement to invest in Central America in order to address the root causes of immigration."

*****

Americans Prefer Idiots. Emily Birnbaum of the Hill: "President Trump's approval rating before the November elections has jumped to a higher level than former President Obama's ahead of the 2010 midterms, according to a new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll. The poll found Trump's approval rating at its highest level for that poll yet, at 47 percent. Obama's approval rating was 45 percent around the same time in 2010, according to a similar NBC/Wall Street Journal poll taken in late October 2010." Mrs. McC: And we're never going to hear the end of it.

The Latest "Tale of the Arabian Nights." Tamer El-Ghobashy, et al., of the Washington Post: "Saudi Arabia's foreign minister denied on Sunday that the nation's powerful young crown prince ordered Jamal Khashoggi's killing.... 'This was an operation that was a rogue operation,' Adel al-Jubeir told Fox News. 'This was an operation where individuals ended up exceeding the authorities and responsibilities they had. They made a mistake when they killed Jamal Khashoggi.'... The attempt to distance Mohammed bin Salman from the journalist's demise did little to blunt an international uproar that could test Saudi Arabia's status as a regional power. At the same time, Saudi officials have failed to answer questions about where Khashoggi's remains are and have offered inconsistent narratives for how he was killed, undermining the government's assertion that Khashoggi died after a fistfight broke out when he was confronted by agents seeking to bring him back to Riyadh while he was visiting the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul on Oct. 2. That explanation will face a fresh challenge on Tuesday when Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is expected to reveal details of his government's investigation into the killing of Khashoggi, a move that could directly contradict Saudi Arabia's official account of what happened inside its consulate.... Senior Republicans and Democrats proposed a range of severe punishments, including sanctions on the longtime U.S. ally, the expulsion of the Saudi ambassador and the cutting of arms sales." Mrs. McC: We're counting down those 1,001 tales, and so far every one is fabulous, as in fable. ...

Bob Corker Is Not into Fables. Patrick Temple-West of Politico: "Sen. Bob Corker said on Sunday he thinks Saudi Arabian Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman directed the murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi. 'It is my thinking that MBS was involved in this, that he directed this and that this person was purposely murdered,' said Corker, the top Republican on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee..., on CNN's 'State of the Union.'" ...

... "Murder in the Consulate." Martin Chulov of the Guardian has a very readable account of what is known about the assassination of Jamal Khashoggi. Particular if you haven't been keeping up with the details, Chulov's report is helpful. ...

... Gul Tuysuz, et al., of CNN: "One member of the 15-man team suspected in the death of Jamal Khashoggi dressed up in his clothes and was captured on surveillance cameras around Istanbul on the day the journalist was killed, a senior Turkish official has told CNN. CNN has obtained exclusive law enforcement surveillance footage, part of the Turkish government's investigation, that appears to show the man leaving the consulate by the back door, wearing Khashoggi's clothes, a fake beard, and glasses. The same man was seen in Khashoggi's clothing, according to the Turkish case, at the city's world-famous Blue Mosque just hours [later].... The man in the video, identified by the official as Mustafa al-Madani, was allegedly part of what investigators have said was a hit squad, sent to kill the journalist at the Saudi consulate during a scheduled appointment.... In the apparent cover-up that followed Khashoggi's death, Madani, 57, who is of similar height, age and build to Khashoggi, 59, was used as a decoy for the journalist, according to the Turkish official.... Madani [is] a decade older than the other members of the 15-man [Saudi hit] team.... A senior Turkish official told CNN that the video showed that Madani was brought to Istanbul to act as a body double. 'You don't need a body double for a rendition or an interrogation,' the official said. "... This was a premeditated murder and the body was moved out of the consulate." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: The "body double" claim appeared in one of the stories I've linked in the past several days. It seemed preposterous. Well, CNN has CCTV evidence, including of Madani walking into the consulate earlier in the day wearing casual clothing: a blue-checked shirt, blue pants & sneakers. When he left the consulate through the back door, he was wearing Khashoggi's clothing but, it appears, his own sneakers. ...

... Alternative Facts. Jonathan Swan of Axios: "In a 2007 deposition, Donald Trump said his estimates of his net worth go 'up and down with the markets and with attitudes and with feelings, even my own feelings....'... Now that he's president of the United States, Trump appears to be taking a similar feelings-based method to assessing the number of U.S. jobs gained from his arms deal with Saudi Arabia.... On March 20..., Trump claimed ... 'over 40,000 jobs in the United States.'... Last Saturday, Oct. 13..., he said the deal created 450,000 jobs.... On ... Oct. 17..., 500,000 jobs. On Friday..., 600,000. A few hours later, on Friday evening...'over a million jobs' in total." --s ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Trump's big fish story on jobs the Saudi deal is supposed to be creating gives you an idea of his net worth is, too. ...

... The Leader of the Free World. Juan Cole: "German Chancellor Angela Merkel said on Sunday that Germany would put arms sales to Saudi Arabia on hold in light of the murder in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul of dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi. She said that they 'could not take place in our current circumstances.' Meanwhile, foreign investors sold $1 billion worth of Saudi stock in the past week, as investors question the kingdom's stability with a mad prince at the helm who keeps a bone cutter by his bed." --s ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Who's the sissy? The Bully Boy or the Chick Chancellor?

Andrew Kramer of the New York Times: "President Trump's announcement that the United States would withdraw from a nuclear disarmament treaty with Russia drew sharp criticism Sunday from one of the men who signed it, Mikhail S. Gorbachev, who called the decision reckless and not the work of 'a great mind.' In making his announcement Saturday, Mr. Trump cited Russian violations of the pact, the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, which was signed in Washington in 1987 by President Ronald Reagan and Mr. Gorbachev. Mr. Gorbachev, who is now 87 years old, cast Mr. Trump's decision as a threat to peace. In an interview with the Interfax news agency, Mr. Gorbachev called Mr. Trump's rollback of the disarmament agreement 'very strange.'"

Maya Averbuch & Kirk Semple of the New York Times: "In open defiance of the Mexican and American governments, thousands of Central American undocumented migrants, most of a caravan that has been heading toward the United States for more than a week, resumed their journey on Sunday in southern Mexico.... Most of the migrants on the move on Sunday -- by one local government estimate more than 7,000 people -- had crossed the border illegally in recent days by swimming or rafting across the Suchiate River, which separates Guatemala from Mexico.... On Sunday afternoon, Mr. Trump took to Twitter again..., saying that those migrants seeking asylum must first apply in Mexico. 'If they fail to do that, the U.S. will turn them away,' he said. But Mexican officials have said migrants seeking asylum are under no legal obligation to apply in Mexico.... Such caravans have usually numbered in the hundreds and have passed unnoticed. But the current caravan, by far the largest on record, has angered Mr. Trump, who has seized on it as a campaign issue to fire up his base before the midterm elections. While other caravans have generally withered as they have progressed north, this one has grown, perhaps in part as a result of all the media attention it has received." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: In other words, President Humpty Dumpty is actually attracting refugees with his racist mewlings. ...

... Miram Jordan, et al., of the New York Times: "Facing a surge in migrant families entering the United States and with the midterm elections two weeks away, the Trump administration is weighing an array of new policies that it hopes will deter Central Americans from journeying north. Each of the policies, which range from a new form of the widely criticized practice of family separation to stricter requirements on asylum, would face significant legal and logistical challenges.... The Border Patrol apprehended 16,658 people in family units in September -- a record figure, according to unpublished government data obtained by The New York Times. The total number of families that entered the country in the 2018 fiscal year, which ended Sept. 30, exceeded 100,000 for the first time in recent history.... The most talked-about alternative would be a variation of the family separation policy. Parents would be forced to choose between voluntarily relinquishing their children to foster care or remaining imprisoned together as a family. The latter option would require parents to waive their child's right to be released from detention within 20 days."


Carol Leonnig
, et al., of the Washington Post: "While outwardly quiet for the last month, Robert S. Mueller III's investigators have been aggressively pursuing leads behind the scenes about whether [Roger] Stone was in communication with [WikiLeaks], whose disclosures of emails believed to have been hacked by Russian operatives disrupted the 2016 presidential campaign.... The question of whether Trump associates were in contact with WikiLeaks is at the heart of Mueller's inquiry." Mrs. McC: The WashPo reporters discuss Stone's intereactions with Randy Credico & Jerome Corsi, but they do not mention Peter Smith. ...

     ... As Jonathan Chait wrote last Friday, "... the most important mystery involving [Peter] Smith is how important his work was to the [Trump] campaign, and where it led. When he met with a cybersecurity expert in 2016, Smith represented himself as working on behalf of Michael Flynn, Trump's chief national security adviser during the campaign.... Smith and Flynn were in regular, close contact.... Investigators have evidence that Smith 'may have had advance knowledge of details about the release of emails from a top Hillary Clinton campaign official by WikiLeaks,' according to the [Wall Street] Journal. If true, this would mean that Smith ... got through to WikiLeaks and was, in some form, a channel of collusion between the hackers and the Trump campaign."


Resolved Mysteries. Frank Dale
of ThinkProgress: "On Friday, Trump's Department of Justice (DOJ) admitted there was no basis for the president of the United States' claims about [Obama tapping his phone during the elections]" --s

All the Best People, Ctd. Casey Michel of ThinkProgress: "Lana Marks has no diplomatic experience, a history of fabricating her past, and a skill-set devoted primarily to making six-figure designer handbags. But there's one hobby that appears to qualify her to become the U.S.'s latest ambassador: a membership at the Mar-a-Lago Club. On Friday, the Palm Beach Daily News reported that ... Donald Trump was poised to tap Marks [originally born in South Africa] to become the U.S.'s next ambassador to South Africa.... Her nomination would mean that Mar-a-Lago ... has now produced at least four individuals Trump has selected as ambassadors. In addition to Marks, Robin Bernstein, one of Mar-a-Lago's founding members, became the U.S. ambassador to the Dominican Republic under Trump. Two other members — Patrick Park and Brian Burns -- were nominated by the president to ambassadorial positions in Austria and Ireland, respectively, but eventually declined the nominations.... As the Palm Beach Daily News wrote, 'Marks has repeatedly been accused of stiffing her attorneys, accountants, landlords and employees.'" --safari: Marks lies about everything, sells overpriced shit to rich folks, and reneges on her payments. Perfect ambassador for Trump's Amerika.

Dan Lamothe of the Washington Post: "A U.S. general was wounded in an attack last week in Afghanistan's Kandahar province that killed two senior Afghan provincial officials and targeted a group that included the senior U.S. commander in the country, four people with knowledge of the assault said. Army Brig. Gen. Jeffrey Smiley is recovering after suffering at least one gunshot wound inside the Kandahar governor's compound, three of the people said..... U.S. military officials in Afghanistan and at the Pentagon have declined to comment on the attack or identify the wounded, describing them only as an American service member, an American civilian and a contractor who is part of the military coalition."

Election 2018

Florida. Miami Herald Editors: "Andrew Gillum [D] is the best candidate to pull Florida back to the center, back to making sure the middle class and working class don't continue to bear the brunt of Tallahassee's misguided spending; back to acting on behalf of the Floridians denied health insurance by the current administration; back to putting public schools, which serve the majority of the state's children, in the spotlight; back to being a leader in the fight against sea-level rise and the degradation of the environment."

Missouri. Danny Hakim of the New York Times: "Josh Hawley's tenure as Missouri's attorney general has been brief. And turbulent. Mr. Hawley, a Republican who is now trying to unseat Senator Claire McCaskill in one of the most closely watched races in the country, took up the job less than two years ago. A former law professor and clerk for Chief Justice John Roberts, he brought a conservative intellectual pedigree but little management experience to the attorney general's office.... A review of public records and internal documents, as well as interviews with current and former employees, reveals a chaotic tenure as attorney general that has been costly for state taxpayers. Judges have criticized the office over its slow pace of discovery, and Mr. Hawley's staff had to renege on a settlement in a high-profile civil case. Mr. Hawley also quietly closed the environmental division and failed to fully vet one of his top supervisors, who departed after a female attorney in the office complained about his conduct." Read on. Even some Republicans can't stomach the little twit. Entitled AND incompetent.

Montana. Missoulian Editors: "... Kathleen Williams [D] is the congressional candidate Montana has been waiting for. Experienced. Knowledgeable. Thoughtful. Measured. Most remarkably, Williams exudes that unique combination of grit and camaraderie that embodies the very best traits of Montanans.... Her campaign to be elected Montana's sole member of the U.S. House has highlighted other important qualities lacking in our current representative. She shows up -- in communities large and small across Montana -- in person, listens carefully and speaks candidly.... U.S. Rep. Greg Gianforte [R-Bully] has been Montana's representative in the House since he won a special election in May 2017. The Missoulian initially endorsed Gianforte for that race, with strong reservations, but was forced to take the unprecedented step of rescinding our endorsement immediately after Gianforte lost his temper and physically attacked a reporter, and then issued statements to police and through his staff that directly contradict his own official admission of guilt."

Texas. New York Magazine seems to have revamped their "Daily Intelligencer" section, & it's pretty great: it provides a running account of political news written by both by their own commentators (as it has done) & other news & commentary outlets. And they don't mind adding their own brief commentary & edits. For instance,

At least he's not lying

He's the president. -- Senator Ted Cruz, when asked whether Trump -- who is now supporting Cruz's reelection campaign after launching numerous personal attacks on him -- was his friend or foe.

West Virginia. Burgess Everett of Politico: "Facing some of the toughest campaigns of their careers, the West Virginia Democrat [Joe Manchin] and his moderate colleagues believe they've received an unexpected gift from [Mitch McConnell].... In a triumphant post-Kavanaugh media tour last week, the Kentucky Republican waxed about his regret over the missed opportunity to repeal Obamacare and the need to reform entitlement programs to rein in the federal deficit. Social Security, Medicaid and Medicare are vital to West Virginia. And in an interview on Saturday as he prepared for the annual Apple Harvest Parade, Manchin called McConnell's comments 'absolutely ridiculous' and said his Republican opponent, Attorney General Patrick Morrisey, would vote to curtail benefits 'in a heartbeat.' Manchin also dredged up Morrisey's support during a 2000 congressional race in New Jersey for partially privatizing Social Security funds. 'He'll be a yes man, 1,000 percent, whatever they ask him to do,' Manchin said of Morrisey and GOP leaders."

Josh Marshall of TPM: "In the last two weeks I've felt a creeping anxiety about the outcome of the November election. But it is less because of what I think is likely than the stakes that are involved.... If Republicans are able to maintain control over the House after the last two years, with the President as unpopular as he's been, with all the signs of Democratic energy, Republicans and President Trump will both draw the lesson that they are invulnerable. Even under the most adverse conditions they didn't pay a real price.... For parallel reasons, Democrats will face a crisis of demoralization.... There is a general consensus ... that the Democrats will need to win the aggregate vote for the House by 6 or 7 percentage points just to win a bare majority of seats.... But after a while it starts to seem like a given, just part of the landscape. But it shows the challenge Democrats are up against. They have to win by a massive margin, maybe as much as 10 percentage points to win a healthy majority. This comes after President Trump became President after getting millions of votes fewer than Hillary Clinton. These are profound challenges and liabilities and Democrats will have to win elections under these skewed rules before they can get power to try to change them." --s ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: What Democrats really need to win to end this cycle of Republican hegemony are state houses & governorships. Republicans still have a structural advantage in the Senate because red Wyoming has the same number of senators as blue California, but in purple states, it is possible to elect Democrats to reverse gerrymandering & Democratic voter suppression.

Kenneth Vogel & Rachel Shorey of the New York Times: "Republicans entered the final month of the campaign with more money in the bank than the Democrats, providing them with vital ammunition as they wage a furious effort to hold on to control of Congress.... Overall, Democrats have outraised Republicans $1.29 billion to $1.23 billion.... [But that] does not capture all of the money at play in the final weeks, including spending by nonprofit groups that do not disclose their donors, as well as seven- and even eight-figure donations that major donors or their advisers say have been -- or are expected to be -- given to super PACs after the period reflected in Saturday's filings.... But the analysis provides a broad assessment of the relative financial strength of the two parties in what is expected to become the first midterm election to surpass $5 billion in total spending." --s ...

... Maggie Severns of Politico: "The super PACs wrestling for the House and Senate majorities this fall are dramatically outpacing their fundraising in other recent cycles, new Federal Election Commission disclosures show, as big-money political spending continues to fuel heated battles for the House and Senate. The fundraising boom is bipartisan: House Majority PAC, Congressional Leadership Fund, Senate Majority PAC and Senate Leadership Fund had raised more than $400 million combined as of Oct. 1 ... as post-Citizens United super PAC spending on politics grows.... [Sheldon] Adelson has charged ahead of other Republican donors to become far and away the biggest funder of the midterms in his party this year, having now donated at least $115 million to GOP causes." --s

Jelani Cobb of the New Yorker: "Literacy tests, poll taxes, and grandfather clauses ... have been consigned to the history books, but one need look no further than the governor's race in Georgia to see their modern equivalents in action. The race between the Republican, Brian Kemp, Georgia's secretary of state, and the Democrat, Stacey Abrams, the former minority leader of the state House of Representatives ... is a virtual tie. But Kemp has invoked the so-called exact-match law to suspend fifty-three thousand voter-registration applications, for infractions as minor as a hyphen missing from a surname.... [And more.] The events in Georgia are part of a broader political project. The xenophobia and the resentment that Donald Trump stirred up during the 2016 election are fundamentally concerns about the future of the American electorate.... According to the Brennan Center for Justice, ninety-nine bills designed to diminish voter access were introduced last year in thirty-one state legislatures. Many of the recent Republican-led efforts stem from the Supreme Court's 2013 decision in Shelby v. Holder.... [But voter suppression is occurring in states outside the South, too.] Ohio, Wisconsin, Indiana, and Iowa ... have passed strict voter-I.D. or roll-purge laws."

Doug Pagitt, in a USA Today op-ed: "Religious leaders have given up moral ground at every renewed show of support for this administration and Congress. They stood by as families were torn apart at our border.... They cheered as health care was stripped away from the poor and the sick. And they fell in line to support the newly confirmed Justice Brett Kavanaugh, who was credibly accused of harming multiple women. These are ... antithetical to what Jesus preached.... [The leaders'] insistence on walking in lockstep with the Republican Party often is primarily motivated by a single issue: abortion.... The Republican Party has used the issue of abortion as a tool to manipulate religious leaders across the country.... Franklin Graham, who uses the imagery of the Good Samaritan in his organizational name, mocks it by turning a blind eye to the women who raised accusations against Kavanaugh.... In such a time as this, evangelicals are called to dislodge control of Congress from Republicans who have abandoned our values. The Good News of God compels us to use our vote as a tool for the common good of all people, for if good is not accessible and common to all, it is not good; it is privilege." Thanks to Aunt Hattie for the lead.


** Roberts' Naked Partisanship. Stephanie Kirchgaessen
of the Guardian: "Supreme court justice Brett Kavanaugh once lobbied in support of a controversial judge who is now tasked with reviewing more than a dozen ethics complaints filed against him during his own confirmation process. Emails sent to the Senate judiciary committee and obtained by the Guardian show that beginning in 2001, Kavanaugh was involved in a high-stakes campaign to ensure that Timothy Tymkovich, another staunch conservative and a former Colorado solicitor general, would secure a lifetime appointment as a federal judge.... The revelation could create new concerns about the politicization of the supreme court.... The chief justice of the supreme court, John Roberts, asked Tymkovich to examine more than a dozen judicial ethics complaints filed against Kavanaugh while he was technically still a circuit court judge." --s ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: When I looked up Tymkovich's background at the time news broke that Roberts was passing the Kavanaugh ethics complaints on to him, all I found out was that he was an arch-conservative. The fact that he is not only a Friend of Brett's but also Beholden to Brett shows us exactly what we suspected: that Roberts' intent was to sweep Kavanaugh's bad behavior under the rug. They all belong to a Clique of the Right-eous, and you and I don't.

Jessica Silver-Greenberg & Natalie Kitroeff of the New York Times: "Pregnancy discrimination is widespread in corporate America. Some employers deny expecting mothers promotions or pay raises; others fire them before they can take maternity leave. But for women who work in physically demanding jobs, pregnancy discrimination often can come with even higher stakes. The New York Times reviewed thousands of pages of court and other public records involving workers who said they had suffered miscarriages, gone into premature labor or, in one case, had a stillborn baby after their employers rejected their pleas for assistance -- a break from flipping heavy mattresses, lugging large boxes and pushing loaded carts.... Refusing to accommodate pregnant women is often completely legal. Under federal law, companies don't necessarily have to adjust pregnant women's jobs, even when lighter work is available and their doctors send letters urging a reprieve. The Pregnancy Discrimination Act is the only federal law aimed at protecting expecting mothers at work. It is four paragraphs long and 40 years old. It says that a company has to accommodate pregnant workers' requests only if it is already doing so for other employees who are 'similar in their ability or inability to work.'" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Although for years there has been a bipartisan bill in Congress to update the Pregnancy Discrimination Act, Republican leaders have stalled it. Those evangelicals & others who support Republicans because abortion might give some thought to protecting women who want to have babies but whom GOP leaders refuse to protect.

Beyond the Beltway

When Wall Street Vultures Meet State Pensions. Gary Rivlin of The Intercept: "By 2016, the credit rating agency Standard & Poor's declared Kentucky's the worst-funded state pension system in the country. At that point, the state was meeting only 37.4 percent of its funding obligation -- half the national median of 74.6 percent.... Hedge funds and private equity typically charge ... fees roughly 10 times what a pension fund would pay to invest in a plain vanilla stock fund.... In 2009, the year it began investing in hedge funds, KRS paid $13.6 million in annual management fees. Five years later, that figure had ballooned to $126 million.... Kentucky's gamble on alternatives has proven a lousy investment. Had KRS simply matched the performance of the median pension fund in the five years ending in December 2014, the pension would have produced an additional $1.75 billion in earnings.... Former Goldman Sachs banker Susan Webber, writing as Yves Smith on the financial website Naked Capitalism, described KRS as 'a contender both [for] the title of the most corrupt and the most incompetent public pension fund in the U.S.'" --s ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: This is what happens when you put Tea Partiers in charge of the government: corruption AND wasteful spending. See also Danny Hakim's story on Josh Hawley's excellent management skills, linked above.

News Lede

New York Times: "... in one of the most celebrated commando raids of World War II, Norwegian resistance fighter [Joachim] Ronneberg and his demolition team sneaked past guards and a barracks full of German troops [at a Nazi hydroelectric plant in Norway's Telemark], stole into the plant, set explosive charges and blew up Hitler's hopes for a critical ingredient to create the first atomic bomb. Mr. Ronneberg, the last surviving member of the 1943 raid and one of the most decorated war heroes of a nation renowned for valorous resistance to the 1940-45 German Occupation, died on Sunday in Alesund, Norway, his daughter, Birte Ronneberg, said. He was 99."