The Commentariat -- March 2, 2016
Presidential Race
The New York Times is liveblogging the primary elections.
Democrats
Patrick Healy & Amy Chozick of the New York Times: "took full command of the Democratic presidential race on Tuesday as she rolled to major victories over in Texas, Virginia and across the South and proved for the first time that she could build a national coalition of racially diverse voters that would be crucial in the November election. Based on results from Democratic primaries and caucuses in 11 states, Mrs. Clinton succeeded in containing Mr. Sanders to states he was expected to win, like Vermont and Oklahoma, and overpowering him in predominantly black and Hispanic areas that were rich in delegates needed for the Democratic nomination." ...
Alabama: The New York Times has projected Clinton to be the winner with less than one percent of the precincts reporting.
Arkansas: The New York Times has projected Clinton to be the winner with less than one percent of the precincts reporting.
Colorado: The Times has projected Sanders to be the winner with 35 percent of the precincts reporting.
Georgia: The New York Times has projected Clinton to be the winner with 3 percent of the precincts reporting.
Massachusetts: The Times had the state leaning Clinton; now, with 5 percent of the vote counted, they have it leaning Sanders. Oops! At 9:00 pm, the Times has Massachusetts leaning Clinton. Update: With 91 percent of the votes counted, the Times has projected Clinton as the winner.
Minnesota: The Times has projected Sanders to be the winner with 43 percent of the precincts reporting.
Oklahoma: The Times has projected Sanders to be the winner with 51 percent of the precincts reporting. Sanders currently has 52 percent of the vote; Clinton has 41 percent.
Tennessee: The Times has projected Clinton to be the winner with less than one percent of the precincts reporting.
Texas: The Times has projected Clinton to be the winner with 2 percent of the precincts reporting.
Vermont: The Times has projected Sanders to be the winner with 4 percent of the precincts reporting.
Virginia: The New York Times has projected Clinton to be the winner with 44 percent of the precincts reporting.
Ed Kilgore: "On Super Tuesday Hillary Clinton took some measured steps forward towards winning the Democratic presidential nominating contest. Meanwhile Bernie Sanders took some measured steps backwards towards his original role as a protest candidate trying to 'keep Hillary honest' and carry the torch for progressives dismayed by the last two Democratic presidents."
Steve Annear of the Boston Globe: "Bill Clinton’s presence inside a polling location in Boston on Super Tuesday raised concerns about whether the former president violated state rules on election campaigning.... A video clip showing Bill Clinton shaking hands with election clerks at Holy Name [school gym], alongside Mayor Martin J. Walsh, had some people on Twitter questioning the former president’s appearance indoors.... [Massachusetts] Secretary of State William F. Galvin told the New York Times that he had to remind election workers that 'even a president can’t go inside and work a polling place.'”
Republicans
Alexander Burns & Jonathan Martin of the New York Times: "won sweeping victories across the South and in New England on Tuesday, a show of strength in the Republican primary campaign that underscored the breadth of his appeal and helped him begin to amass a wide delegate advantage despite growing resistance to his candidacy among party leaders. Mr. Trump’s political coalition — with his lopsided victories in Alabama, Georgia, Massachusetts and Tennessee, and narrower ones in Arkansas, Vermont and Virginia — appears to have transcended the regional and ideological divisions that have shaped the in recent years." ...
Alaska: Polls close at midnight ET. at 1:00 am ET, with 10 percent of the voted counted, Alaska is leaning Trump. at 2:00 am, Cruz is up by 3, & the Times has the state leaning Cruz. Update: With all precincts reports, Cruz carried Alaska, 36 percent to Trump's 34 percent.
Alabama: The Washington Post has projected Trump to be the winner with 0 percent of the precincts reporting.
Arkansas: The Washington Post has projected Trump to be the winner with 28 percent of the precincts reporting.
Georgia: The New York Times has projected Trump to be the winner with 2 percent of the precincts reporting.
Massachusetts: The Times has projected Trump to be the winner with 0 percent of the precincts reporting.
Minnesota: The Times has projected Rubio to be the winner with 53 percent of the precincts reporting.
Oklahoma: The Times has projected Cruz to be the winner with 51 percent of the precincts reporting. Cruz currently has 34 percent of the vote; Trump has 30 percent.
Tennessee: The Times has projected Trump to be the winner with less than one percent of the precincts reporting.
Texas: The Times has projected Cruz to be the winner with 2 percent of the precincts reporting.
Vermont: With 84 percent of precincts reporting, the Times says the state is leaning toward Trump, who has 33 percent of the vote. However, Kasich is close at 31 percent. Update: With 97 percent of the vote counted, the Times has declared Trump the winner.
Virginia: The New York Times has projected Trump to be the winner with 84 percent of the precincts reporting. Trump currently has 36 percent of the vote; Rubio has 31 percent.
The Party of Drumpf. New York Times Editors: "... voters ... are leaning, in unbelievable numbers, toward a man whose quest for the presidency revolves around targeting religious and racial minorities and people with disabilities, who flirts with white supremacists and the Ku Klux Klan, who ridicules and slanders those who disagree with him.... Those who could challenge Mr. Trump — Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio — are not only to the right of Mr. Trump on many issues, but are embracing the same game of exclusion, bigotry and character assassination." ...
... CW: Perhaps the Grey Lady should remove her rose-colored blinders & read Driftglass's explanation of why those voters are "leaning in unbelievable numbers" toward a fascist who would dispense with freedom of the press & "sue them and win lots of money" because the paper is "one of the most dishonest media outlets I've ever seen in my life. The worst, the worst. The absolute worst. They have an agenda that you wouldn't believe. And they're run by incompetent people. Yes, yes, I know Driftglass is not now nor will he ever be a member of the club, but the Times is aware of outsider journalism (whence their reporters often get their leads), so it wouldn't hurt if they occasionally took a peek at an outsider's POV. ...
Ha Ha. M. J. Lee of CNN: "Disaffected Republicans are discussing everything from skipping the Republican National Convention in July to running a conservative candidate as an independent or third-party candidate -- with the ultimate goal of denying Trump the presidency. One of the names frequently mentioned in this hypothetical is Mitt Romney, the 2012 GOP presidential nominee, even though he has shown no desire to run another campaign but has shown a zest for attacking Trump."
Tim Alberta of the National Review: "It’s either Donald Trump or a contested convention.... Cruz emerged from Tuesday second in the delegate race and best positioned, at least mathematically, to challenge Trump for the nomination.... [But] southern, conservative, Evangelical-heavy areas were once thought to be hostile to the bombastic, thrice-married Manhattan billionaire. Instead, Trump turned the Bible Belt into his personal political playground. Now the race shifts to friendlier terrain. Come mid-March, the primaries will award delegates in chunks from states in the midwest, the mid-Atlantic, and the sun belt, with bigger, more-diverse electorates. After that, April sees the race move to Trump’s wheelhouse: the northeast." Via Greg Sargent. ...
... Greg Sargent scans the GOP "leadership"'s evolving attitudes toward a Trump nomination. There's no consensus, but there seems to be movement toward "At least he's not Hillary." Nice bumper-sticker material. ...
... The Trumpinator. Ben Kamisar of the Hill: "Donald Trump warned Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) that he'll have to pay the price if he doesn't get along with a President Trump after Ryan repudiated him for failing to disavow backing from David Duke. 'I'm going to get along great with Congress. Paul Ryan, I don't know him well, but I'm sure I'm going to get along great with him,' the front-runner for his party's nomination said during his Super Tuesday speech. 'And if I don't, he's going to have to pay a big price.'" CW: Are you missing Obama yet, Paul? ...
... Jennifer Jacobs for USA Today: "Donald Trump lashed out again at the news media — specifically the Des Moines Register, part of the USA Today Network — for reporting on some black college students who said his campaign ejected them from his presidential rally in Georgia on the eve of the big Super Tuesday vote.... The police chief in Valdosta confirmed Tuesday that the students were correct when they said Trump aides ordered them out of the campus stadium. But Chief Brian Childress said Trump and his detail were justified in removing the students for disorderly behavior. The night before, Trump’s spokeswoman Hope Hicks had called USA Today’s article about the incident a 'false report,' saying neither Trump nor the campaign had anything to do with asking the students to leave. Trump kept up that narrative during his Super Tuesday stop in Columbus, targeting this reporter, who writes for The Des Moines Register and is a correspondent for USA Today.... The Trump campaign had earlier in the day refused to credential USA Today for the candidate's appearance in Palm Beach on Tuesday night. ...
... CW: I'd love to know what constitutes "disorderly" at a Trump rally. If you didn't watch the video I posted yesterday of snippets from Trump's rally in Virginia, you might want to take a look. Unless the black students were shooting people, they weren't "disorderly" by Trump rally standards. ...
... Olivia Nuzzi of the Daily Beast: "Donald Trump is paying himself to run for president. Between June 16, when he announced his candidacy from the lobby of Trump Tower, through the end of 2015, the Trump campaign spent $2.2 million patronizing Trump businesses. The majority — $2 million — was spent on Tag Air Inc., where Trump is CEO.... Whether or not this is legal is a tricky question. By law, candidates cannot profit from their own campaigns." ...
... CW: That's funny, because Trump doesn't care. He once bragged that "It’s very possible that I could be the first presidential candidate to run and make money on it.” I suppose President Trump will just disband the Federal Election Commission & declare the law null, void & unprosecutable.
Andrew Sprung has a very good piece titled "Trump the Incompetent." He uses the WashPo's reporting on Trump Mortgage to demonstrate the "distilled essence of Trump's art of the debacle:... 1. Ignore market signals.... 2. Fail.... 3. Blame surrogates.... 4. Stiff everyone.... 5. Lie about it when everyone's forgotten." Read the whole post. Via Paul Waldman.
Erik Wemple of the Washington Post: Sean Hannity & Bill O'Reilly of Fox "News" rescue Donald Trump from his know-nothing moments on his white supremacist supporters. ...
... Derek Thompson of the Atlantic profiles Trump supporters: white, undereducation, fearful, resentful, racist & receptive to authoritarian leadership.
Glenn Blain & Dareh Gregorian of the New York Daily News: "Super Tuesday has gotten off to a not-so-super start for Donald Trump - a state appeals court has denied his bid to toss out a lawsuit that charges his Trump University was a fraud. In a unanimous ruling, a four judge panel of the state Appellate Division said the state Attorney General's office is 'authorized to bring a cause of action for fraud' - despite the bloviating billionaire's claims to the contrary." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... Justin Wolfers of the New York Times: "It’s unsurprising that 'Donald Trump' has been the most searched-for candidate in the United States over the past 24 hours. More surprising: The runner-up is neither Marco Rubio nor Ted Cruz. Instead, that honor goes to 'Donald Drumpf.' The comedian John Oliver mocked Mr. Trump by urging the audience of his HBO show Sunday night to adopt the candidate’s real family name.
... Jonathan Chait: "The fact that Trump threatens rather than promotes conservative interests has enabled conservative intellectuals to see certain truths that they once obscured: There are deep strands of racial resentment and anti-intellectualism running through the Republican electorate. But these angry spasms of half-recognition attempt to quarantine Trump from a political tradition of which he is very much a part." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
** Sam Biddle of Gawker: Ted Cruz celebrated his wins in Texas & Oklahoma at a bar called the Redneck Country Club. "This may or may not shock you, but the Redneck Country Club is owned by an extreme, open racist by the name of Michael Berry, who hosts a racist radio program that includes a blackface 'comedian' named 'Dr. Rev. Shirley Q Liquor,' who provides a routine of vile black stereotypes for Berry’s white listeners.... And Media Matters points out, Berry, a friend of Cruz’s for decades, has referred to blacks as 'jungle animals' and 'pack animals,' and tweeted in defense of a KKK billboard promoting white purity ('nothing wrong with it'). So remember: Donald Trump is the GOP candidate with a racist affiliation problem" ...
... CW: Seriously, this shocks me. Of course I know Ted is an asshole, but I didn't know he was a flagrant, flaming racist asshole. Earlier this week, he tweeted, "Really sad," in response to Trump's refusal to disavow the KKK & David Duke. "You're better than this," he wrote to Trump. "We should all agree, racism is wrong, KKK is abhorrent." Evidently just a teensy weensy bit wrong & a widdle biddy bit abhorrent.
"Goodbye, Rubio Tuesday." Jonathan Chait: "... it was only a few days, when Marco Rubio was poised to seize back the inside lane of the Republican nomination race.... In the days since, Rubio’s plan has come to pieces.... For all its struggles at vote-garnering, Rubio’s campaign has excelled at one thing: winning the nebulous 'expectations game.'... Tuesday, reports leaked that Rubio’s campaign was telling supporters it could win four states. This turned his 1-for-11 showing from a disappointment into an absolute debacle.... He is closer to becoming a joke than the front-runner.” ...
... Nate Cohn of the New York Times: "The night could not have gone much worse for , perhaps the only Republican with a good chance to beat Mr. Trump in a one-on-one contest." ...
The Grifters. Steve M.: "What's the difference between [Rubio & Carson] right now? As far as can see, the only difference is that Carson is staying in the race so that the flow of small to medium-size checks from churchgoing heartlanders won't stop altogether, and Rubio is staying in the race so the flow of somewhat larger checks from Republican one-percenters won't dry up. They both like the money. They both like the attention. Carson's hoping to sell a million copies of a godly campaign memoir and Rubio's hoping to position himself for 2020. But it's still all about that grift. Everyone acknowledges that about Carson, but most people think Rubio operates on a higher plane. Remember, though, Rubio's the guy who charged lots of personal expenses on a GOP credit card. He's the guy who was in debt until a billionaire named Norman Braman bailed him out. They're two of a kind. Let's admit that, at least." ...
... Jonathan Easley of the Hill: "Ben Carson will not drop out of the GOP presidential race, even if he doesn’t take home any delegates on Super Tuesday, close friend and adviser Armstrong Williams told The Hill." ...
... Which is totally sensible because ... Al Weaver of the Washington Examiner: "... his campaign admits that it's not clear at all that Carson has a viable path to victory, and they don't have a plan to win." ...
... Scammer-in-Chief: CW: Of course if the main goal of your campaign is not the presidency but the jackpot, then it does make sense to stay to the bitter end. Send money, people. There's a God-fearing Christian who is pretending to run for president who needs your hard-earned cash to send on to his so-called consultants. And maybe take a kickback here & there. Who knows?
GOP Leaders Beat up on Last Nearly-Sane Guy Standing. Tarini Parti of BuzzFeed: "On Tuesday night as return after return came in and Marco Rubio failed to break through, many establishment Republicans grew angrier that John Kasich was still in the race. One of them was Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, who has become increasingly frustrated with Kasich behind closed doors, three sources told BuzzFeed News. In the coming days, McConnell will be urged to more aggressively try behind the scenes to push Kasich out, sources say." ...
... CW: I believe Kasich will drop out soon, without any pressure from the Turtle & other GOP "establishment leaders." BTW, if anybody feels sorry for these "leaders" (so leaderish they typically don't have the guts to be quoted on the record), get over it. Flacking for Marco is unconscionable. ...
... Charles Pierce: John Kasich is cranky but evidently not crazy: "I know that human beings affect the climate.... I know we need to develop all of the renewables, and we need to do it in an orderly way." CW: The next thing you know, he'll be saying science is a good thing. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Charles Pierce: "As near as I can tell, there's only one elected Republican who's out there being completely principled about what's happening to his party.... [Sen. Ben] Sasse [RTP-Neb.] is every bit the soul of wingnut chewiness that Ted Cruz is. His Tea Party street cred is unassailable." Sasse called for a third-party candidate if Trump wins the GOP nomination. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Michael Barbaro of the New York Times: "Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey is awkwardly adapting to a new role: Donald J. Trump’s yes man. During Mr. Trump’s victory news conference on Tuesday night in Florida, Mr. Christie stood behind him during the business mogul’s entire speech, offering the constant nods, a gaze of admiration and unrelenting affirmation usually reserved for a political spouse." ...
If you mute this Trump speech, it looks like they're holding a bachelor auction but no one will bid on Chris Christie. -- Chris Burke, on Twitter ...
Play it with the audio, which you can mute (lower right-hand corner):
— Ronan Farrow (@RonanFarrow) March 2, 2016
... Margaret Hartmann: "Just days after Trump appeared to kick Christie off his stage in Tennessee, directing him 'get on the plane and go home,' the governor elected to stand in Trump's shot. Twitter quickly went to work, attempting to determine if the troubled look on Christie's face was a sign that he's realized his political future is now in the hands of the guy from The Apprentice, or a desperate attempt to alert the media that Trump has taken his loved ones hostage." ...
... CW: If you also watch Christie's introduction of Trump at the victory party, you'll be even more convinced Trump is holding Christie hostage. Instead of the irrepressible glee that usually accompanies a big win, Christie delivers his words in a near monotone, a sober (or pained) expression on his face -- in the manner of a hostage delivering a videotaped speech his captors wrote & forced him to make for the folks back home.
... Paul Singer of USA Today: "Six New Jersey newspapers issued a joint editorial Tuesday calling on Gov. Chris Christie to resign in the wake of his failed presidential campaign and his subsequent endorsement of rival Donald Trump. The six newspapers including the Asbury Park Press, the Cherry Hill Courier-Post and the Morristown Daily Record — all Gannett-owned papers that are part of the USA Today Network — were apparently spurred to editorial outrage by a Monday press conference in which Christie refused to answer questions about anything other than his nomination of a state Supreme Court judge. Asked why, Christie replied, 'Because I don't want to.' 'We’re fed up with Gov. Chris Christie’s arrogance,' the papers wrote. 'We’re fed up with his opportunism. We’re fed up with his hypocrisy.'"
Other News & Opinion
Adam Liptak of the New York Times: "The Supreme Court on Wednesday will hear its first major abortion case in almost a decade, one that has the potential to revise constitutional standards and to affect millions of women. Justice Antonin Scalia’s death last month may have muted the prospect of truly bold action, but even a 4-to-4 tie would have enormous consequences because it would leave in place an appeals court decision that could drive down the number of abortion clinics in Texas to about 10, from roughly 40."
Tierney Sneed of TPM: "During a Tuesday meeting at the White House with President Obama, GOP Senate leaders remained unbowed in refusing to consider his nominee to the Supreme Court, according to top Democrats present. 'They were adamant. They said no, we are not going to do this at all. We are going to do what has never been done before,' Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) told reporters at a stakeout after Tuesday's meeting...." ...
... Oliver Knox of Yahoo! News: "One aide to a vulnerable Senate Republican, who requested anonymity, jokingly suggested that there might be another, very different source of pressure as early as Tuesday night. 'I’m not sure we want to be in the business of telling voters that we’d rather risk having Donald Trump nominate the next Supreme Court justice,' he said." ...
... Paul Waldman: "So on the one hand, people like McConnell are saying Trump is a lunatic who can’t be trusted, but on the other hand they’re saying he’s the one who ought to make this appointment. Got it." ...
... Of course he can be trusted, Paul. Eric Hananoki of Media Matters: "Donald Trump ally Roger Stone said that Fox News senior judicial analyst Andrew Napolitano is 'probably Trump's number one pick for the U.S. Supreme Court.' Napolitano believes in 9/11 conspiracy theories, is a 'contrarian' on President Abraham Lincoln's legacy, and doesn't believe 'the right to vote' is a 'fundamental right.'" CW: Also, too, Napolitano is 65 years old, so he'll be getting wackier soon.
Zach Carter of the Huffington Post: DNC Chair & Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-Fla.) has joined Republicans' efforts to gut the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau's regulation of payday lenders. "She's also attempting to gin up Democratic support for the legislation" that would curb the CFPB's rules. "The misleadingly titled Consumer Protection and Choice Act would delay the CFPB's payday lending rules by two years, and nullify its rules in any state with a payday lending law like the one adopted in Florida [which is a joke].... Consumer groups are appalled by the bill." CW: Thanks, Debbie. It's always great when a Democratic leader goes out of her way to stick it to the most helpless Americans. ...
... It would be super to have your BFF Hillary Clinton weigh in. Inquiring reporters???
Beyond the Beltway
Mitch Smith of the New York Times: "The Republican governor of South Dakota on Tuesday vetoed a bill that would have restricted bathroom access for transgender students and made the state the first to adopt such a measure. Gov. Dennis Daugaard put out a statement late in the day saying that the bill did 'not address any pressing issue' facing the state, and that it would have put schools in the 'difficult position of following state law while knowing it openly invites federal litigation.' The measure was pushed by conservative legislators who said it was an effort to protect the privacy of all students. But it appeared to conflict with the Obama administration’s interpretation of federal civil rights law and seemed likely to be headed for a court challenge.” CW: Well, good on Gov. Daugaard.
Laurel Andrews of the Alaska Dispatch News: "A Superior Court judge dismissed the Alaska Legislature’s lawsuit to halt Gov. Bill Walker’s Medicaid expansion Tuesday. In his decision and order, Superior Court Judge Frank Pfiffner concluded that the state acted within the bounds of the law when it expanded Medicaid.... Whether the Legislature would appeal the ruling was still being considered Tuesday, Senate Majority spokeswoman Michaela Goertzen said, but 'I know that’s something that (the Senate majority) has said in the past that they would likely do.'"