The Commentariat -- July 14, 2015
Internal links & defunct videos removed.
Afternoon Update:
The New York Times is updating reactions to the international nuclear agreement with Iran. "The Iran nuclear deal was welcomed by world leaders like David Cameron of Britain, Vladimir V. Putin of Russia, U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon and Pope Francis." ...
... Nicholas Fandos of the New York Times: "Hillary Rodham Clinton took her campaign to Capitol Hill on Tuesday, where she made overtures to Congressional Democrats and spoke cautiously -- and with a potential eye toward the future -- about the Iran nuclear deal announced earlier in the day." ...
... Alan Rappeport of the New York Times: "Statements from [GOP] White House hopefuls warned of nuclear chaos in the Middle East, criticism of President Obama's abilities as a negotiator, and calls on Congress to stop the deal in its tracks." ...
... Julian Borger of the Guardian outlines the key points of the agreement. ...
... Joby Warrick of the Washington Post: "In a remarkable reversal, the goal of freezing Iran's progress toward a weapons capability was achieved not with warplanes but with handshakes."
*****
President Obama spoke this morning about the Iran deal:
... David Sanger & Michael Gordon of the New York Times: "Iran and a group of six nations led by the United States have agreed to a historic accord to significantly limit Tehran's nuclear ability for more than a decade in return for lifting international oil and financial sanctions against Iran, a senior Western diplomat involved in the negotiations said on Tuesday. The deal, which President Obama had long sought as the biggest diplomatic achievement of his presidency, culminates 20 months of negotiations. A formal announcement of the agreement was expected later on Tuesday, when foreign ministers from Iran and the six nations it has been negotiating with will meet at a United Nations complex in Vienna." ...
... The Guardian is liveblogging developments. ...
... This guy -- this president and Secretary Clinton and Secretary Kerry -- when someone disagrees with their nuanced approach, where it's all kind of so sophisticated it makes no sense. You know what I'm saying -- big-syllable words and lots of fancy conferences and meetings -- but we're not leading, that creates chaos, it creates a more dangerous world. --Jeb! last week
In case you were wondering the the Doofus is qualified to be president. -- Constant Weader
... David Sanger: "For President Obama, the deal struck Tuesday morning with Iran represents ... a bet that by defusing the country's nuclear threat -- even if just for a decade or so -- he and his successors would have the time and space to restructure one of the United States' deepest adversarial relationships. Mr. Obama will be long out of office before any reasonable assessment can be made as to whether that roll of the dice paid off.... Nothing in the deal announced Tuesday eliminates Iran's ability to eventually become a nuclear threshold power -- it just delays the day.... [When] Mr. Obama [said in] his first inaugural address ... [that he would] 'extend a hand if you are willing to unclench your fist,' even to governments 'who cling to power through corruption and deceit and the silencing of dissent,' there was little doubt that he had Iran's leaders in mind. At the time, it was also meant as a signal that the era of George W. Bush had ended, and that a renewed reliance on diplomacy had begun."
The price of nuance is uncertainty. The price of simpleness is war. -- Constant Weader
... Peter Beaumont of the Guardian: "Israel's prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu, moved pre-emptively to denounce the deal on Iran's nuclear programme, even before the details had emerged. Heading a chorus of condemnation from Israeli politicians -- including members of his rightwing coalition -- Netanyahu said the emerging agreement was a 'capitulation', and a mistake of historic proportions.... Netanyahu's combative comments came as criticism of his handling of the diplomacy around Iran has grown over the past two days, as a deal appeared increasingly imminent. Leading the charge have been Netanyahu's political opponents, among them Yair Lapid, head of the Yesh Atid party, who denounced Netanyahu's diplomatic campaign as a 'colossal failure'." ...
... Michael Crowley of Politico: "During their 2008 battle for the Democratic nomination, Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton argued bitterly about Iran. When Obama said he would meet with Iran's leader without preconditions, Clinton called him 'reckless and naïve.' After Clinton threatened to destroy Tehran if it used nuclear weapons against Israel, Obama likened her to George W. Bush. But now, Clinton and Obama are inextricably linked on the subject, thanks to the nuclear deal reached in Vienna today. As her former rival's secretary of state, Clinton helped to launch the historic diplomacy with Iran. And, should she succeed him as president, its fate could depend on how committed Clinton is to making it work." ...
... Nahal Toosi of Politico: "... the presidential candidates who have threatened to cancel the deal -- so far all of them Republicans -- can keep their promise by using the presidency's executive authority to reimpose suspended U.S. sanctions on Iran and withdrawing from panels involved in implementing the accord. That abrupt approach may be quick, but it also carries risks. For one thing, a sudden U.S. withdrawal could anger the European and Asian countries also involved in the deal, making them less inclined to reimpose their own sanctions on a country they consider an alluring trading partner. The international business community may resist efforts to once again seal off a youthful, well-educated nation with vast energy reserves. And Iran could respond to the U.S. move by resuming elements of its nuclear program, which the West has long suspected is aimed at making weapons. 'If we try to reimpose sanctions on Iran and no one follows, then we have the worst of all worlds,' said Robert Einhorn, a former Iran nuclear negotiator at the State Department."
Aristocracy Issue. Today we have a President-for-Life, a Candidate-for-Life & a Columnist-for-Life. Sadly, none of these fellows is the One Anointed by God who buys his shirts at Kohl's for practically nothing (which is apparently a presidential qualifier). (See full Walker announcement speech, linked below).
Martin Matishak of the Hill: "An internal Veterans Affairs Department report states that about one-third of the veterans waiting to receive medical care from the agency have already died. A review of veteran death records provided to the Huffington Post found that, as of April, 847,822 veterans were awaiting healthcare and that of those, 238,647 were already deceased. The report was handed over by Scott Davis, a program specialist at the VA's Health Eligibility Center in Atlanta. He also sent copies to the House and Senate VA panels and to the White House."
Matthew Rosenberg of the New York Times: "The Pentagon is finalizing a plan to allow transgender people to openly serve in the military beginning early next year, Defense Secretary Ashton B. Carter said Monday."
Julie Davis of the New York Times: "President Obama announced on Monday that he was commuting the sentences of 46 federal drug offenders, more than doubling the number of nonviolent criminals to whom he has granted clemency since taking office.... In a letter written to each of the inmates in which he personally notifies them that their sentences have been commuted, Mr. Obama says he has chosen them out of the thousands who apply for clemency because 'you have demonstrated the potential to turn your life around.'" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... The Washington Post has brief profiles of the 46 people whose sentences President Obama has commuted.
Mark Berman of the Washington Post: "The executive committee of the Boy Scouts of America has unanimously approved a resolution that would drop the group's ban on openly gay leaders, a key step that sends the resolution to the organization's national board later this month. If the national executive board ratifies the change when it meets on July 27, it would become official Scouts policy, a little more than two months after the organization's president [-- former Defense Secretary Robert Gates --] cast the ban as an existential threat to the group." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Catherine Thompson of TPM: "Wake Up, Sheeple! The Military Exercise That Drove Texas Insane Is Finally Here. The multi-state U.S. military training exercise dubbed 'Jade Helm 15,' which has spawned myriad conspiracy theories and vexed public officials who struggled to allay the concerns of constituents, is finally here. The 'unconventional warfare' exercise is scheduled to begin Wednesday and run until Sept. 15. Training is planned for certain areas of Texas, Arizona, New Mexico, Utah, Louisiana, Mississippi and Florida. California, Colorado and Nevada had originally been listed as areas where the training was to take place but have since been left out." CW: I'm quaking in my jack-boots. If I'm not immediately turned into a pod-person, I'll try to let you know what it's like in my re-education camp. Toward the end, I'll probably tell you it's absolutely wonderful. USA, USA! Obama, President-for-Life!
Le jour de gloire est arrivé!:
... Thanks to D. C. Clark for reminding us that today is Bastille Day. Ken Walsh in U.S. News: President "Obama also is scheduled to speak Tuesday at the annual NAACP convention in Philadelphia and discuss the criminal justice system, focusing on what he considers the excessive incarceration of African-American men, an Obama adviser said."
Columnist-for-Life. Annals of "Journalism," Ctd. Ian Millhiser of Think Progress: "It is a testament to the Washington Post opinion page's tolerance for a diversity of viewpoints -- even when those viewpoints are offensive or rooted in objectively false claims -- that the paper continues to publish [George] Will's column."
Presidential Race
By Paul Jamiol."Primary Amnesia." Jeff Greenfield, in Politico Magazine, reminds us how early primary campaign indicators gave little hint of the final results. CW: My Trump Bouffant is already falling flat.
Perry Bacon of NBC News: "... the policy ideas [Hillary] Clinton articulated [in her economics speech Monday] were generally of the more establishment wing of her party. Many of the proposals, like expanding sick leave for workers and preschool for young children, have been staples of President Obama's agenda. Increasing Social Security benefits, breaking up large banks, creating tuition-free college, all ideas proposed [by Bernie] Sanders and backed by [Elizabeth] Warren, went unmentioned by Clinton. The former secretary of state avoided proposing a drastic overhaul of Wall Street regulations, unlike another Clinton opponent, ex-Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley. Clinton's team has suggested the former secretary of state is listening closely to the Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz. But she also avoided many of the ideas he has laid out to fix the economy: increasing marginal tax rates for the wealthy, investing more than $1 trillion on an infrastructure program that would employ lots of American workers, and making aggressive attempts to rein in CEO pay.... Clinton did not take a position on the [Trans-Pacific Partnership] agreement.... Her speech was a kind of populism-lite." ...
... Kevin Drum of Mother Jones has the abridged Hillary speech: policy prescriptions minus the fluff. ...
... Tim Dickinson of Rolling Stone: "... much of what Clinton proposed sounded like it was written by Bob Dole's economic team, including her promise to 'push for broader business tax reform to spur investment in America.'... But Clinton didn't leave the Democratic base out in the cold. Many of her most specific policy proposals are unmistakably progressive." ...
... Charles Pierce: "... this speech, at least, was not the clean break from the past that she really needs." CW: Get over it, Charles. Hillary is no Bernie. Bernie is the guy everybody hoped Barack would be. If you voted for Obama in a 2008 primary, you voted against the person who is still Hillary. ...
... Jim Tankersley of the Washington Post: "There are very few unspoken rules among major-party candidates for president, and Bernie Sanders is breaking one of them. He's saying that America's leaders shouldn't worry so much about economic growth if that growth serves to enrich only the wealthiest Americans.... 'Unchecked growth -- especially when 99 percent of all new income goes to the top 1 percent -- is absurd,' he said. 'Where we've got to move is not growth for the sake of growth, but we've got to move to a society that provides a high quality of life for all of our people....'"
Greg Sargent: Democratic candidates should relish the contrast between their brand of international diplomacy & GOP candidates' belligerent postures. (See Lindsey Graham quote below.)
Hanna Trudo of Politico: "Hours after announcing his candidacy for president, [Scott] Walker took to the airwaves in an interview with Sean Hannity of Fox News to defend his anti-union track record of success in his home state, as well as attempt to refute remarks made against him. The left claims they're for American workers, and they've got lame ideas, things like minimum wage,' Walker said. 'We need to talk about how we get people skills and qualifications they need to get jobs that go beyond minimum wage.'" ...
... Tim Alberta of the National Journal: "Walker has mastered the art of governing in a manner that mobilizes the party faithful while campaigning in a way that doesn't scare off moderates, independents, and even some Democrats. This misdirection has been the source of much of Walker's political success.... In a National Journal magazine profile last year, the governor's friends and foes alike remarked on his unique ability -- demonstrated over the past two decades -- to wrap a fierce ideological agenda in a neighborly, nonthreatening persona.... According to Walker allies, he's going to pursue exactly the opposite strategy Romney used in 2012. Whereas Romney started in the middle and moved rightward throughout primary season, Walker is starting on the right and will shift toward the middle." ...
... Josh Kraushaar of the National Journal: No, Scott Walker doesn't have the crossover appeal he claims to have. "Walker's success [in winning Wisconsin elections] had as much to do with the political calendar and the state's polarized electorate as it did with crossover appeal. He won only 6 percent of Democratic voters in his 2014 reelection. Many African-American voters simply stayed home during Walker's gubernatorial campaigns, while a disproportionate number of college students sat out the contentious June 2012 recall election -- which took place after campuses' spring semester concluded. That's not likely to repeat itself if he's the GOP presidential nominee." ...
... Brian Beutler: "... Walker's biggest liability may be this: He is incredibly dull. Not just plodding-speaker dull, though he's often that, too, but an actually boring person.... His boringness is encapsulated by this sequence of 37 incredibly boring tweets, going back more than four years." CW: Here's a typical tweet "Drove my car over to get an oil change @ a place near our home & then got groceries." Beauter: "Walker abbrevi8es like a tween. His life turns on snow, dairy, hot ham, Kohls, haircuts, Packers, Badgers, and watching American Idol while eating chili." ...
... Steve M.: on why the "elite media" won't cover for Walker the way they did for Dubya: "I think Walker will try to lull the press into thinking he's a moderate, and I think the press would like to be lulled into thinking the GOP nominee is a moderate, but I don't think Walker can pull it off. But it won't be for a good reason. It'll be because the press thinks Walker is an unsexy stupid hick." Read the whole post. ...
... CW: Steve doesn't say so, but his thesis suggests that the "elite media" would cover for Jeb! just as they did for Dubya. Hillary could learn something from Steve's post & Dubya's interaction with the boyz on the bus: she could start sitting on the press bus & yukking it up with the people who are going to characterize her on the pages of American journals. She could have a no-policy rule, & just talk about the grandbaby & that time she came under enemy fire in Bosnia. She does have to figure out a way to make the press like her.
... CW: Walker's tweets remind me of one-sided phone conversations I often overhear in restaurants -- an elderly lady calls a friend (or relative) & relates every thing she has done that day: she got up at 7:45, she had oatmeal for breakfast, & so forth. Tomorrow's "conversation" will be just like today's, unless she goes nuts & has wheat toast. Her own daily routines seem to be all that animate her. I always feel sorry for these poor, dull-witted, self-centered old gals. I don't feel sorry for Scott Walker. ...
... If you have forgotten why Walker wasn't graduated from Marquette, Annie Laurie cites an old WashPo report that looked into it. CW: Here's a hypothesis: At the end of four years, Walker, despite his comments to the contrary, was a full year short of credits to graduate. I don't know what percentage of his studies his parents financed, but most parents would pull the plug after four years of their son's pursuit of a four-year degree. ...
I am certain: This is God's plan for me and I am humbled to be a candidate for President of the United States. -- Scott Walker, in an e-mail to supporters
... Peter Montgomery of Right Wing Watch: "Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker ... has sent an email to activists declaring that his presidential run 'is God's plan for me.' 'My relationship with God drives every major decision in my life,' starts the note, which is clearly designed to appeal to Religious Right voters who make up a major part of the GOP base vote, particularly in the early primary states Iowa and South Carolina." ...
... CW: Were I a believer, like the folks on Scottie's mailing list, I would be mighty put off by a fellow who claimed he was God's chosen one. ...
Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, who announced his presidential bid on Twitter this morning and will have a launch event later today in Waukesha, has sent an email to activists declaring that his presidential run "is God's plan for me."
... Colin Campbell of Business Insider: "A contact-lens and eyeglass company is having a blast after realizing its logo shares similarities with that of Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker's (R) presidential campaign. Both Walker's campaign and America's Best Contacts and Eyeglasses feature a cartoonish, four-part American flag logo as the "E" in their names. The same flag icon is also their stand-alone logos when the text is removed." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
CW: MIKE HUCKAB
and RICK P
RRY must be among Scottie's rivals who are really pissed they didn't think of this first.
Ezra Klein: "Quite a bit of Bush and the GOP's economic agenda really does revolve around pushing Americans to work longer hours or more years. But the means differ sharply by class. For the rich, Republicans want to push them to work more through tax cuts; for the poor and middle class, Republicans want to push them to work more through social service cuts. Bush has endorsed raising the Social Security retirement age, which would push workers to spend more years in the labor force, and repealing Obamacare, which makes it easier for workers to retire early. Republicans want to sharply cut Medicaid and food stamps, and perhaps add a work requirement to one or both programs. At the same time, tax cuts on the rich continue to be core to the Republican agenda. This, too, is an effort to increase the time Americans spend working -- in this case, by giving the well-off reason to work more hours, more jobs, or more years."
CW: As the termites crawl out of the woodwork to chew up the international Iran agreement, let's give Lindsey Graham a heads-up for setting the chew bar high. Josh Rogin of Bloomberg: "The newly announced deal between Iran and six world powers is 'akin to declaring war on Israel and the Sunni Arabs,' and will be a huge problem for Hillary Clinton, according to GOP presidential candidate and Senator Lindsey Graham, who promised to not uphold the deal if he is elected next year."
The End of Marriage as We've Known It for a Couple of Weeks. Sahil Kapur of Bloomberg: "Republican presidential candidate Rick Santorum said Monday he wants a constitutional amendment that defines marriage as between a man and a woman in all 50 states, less than three weeks after the Supreme Court legalized same-sex marriage nationwide.... The remarks put Santorum to the right of rivals such as Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, who are pushing a different kind of constitutional amendment that would allow states to decide whether to allow or ban same-sex marriage...." ...
... Dana Milbank: "Polls put Rick Santorum in 11th place out of 15 Republican presidential candidates. Given that next month's debate will accept only the top 10 candidates, that's like being the 11th person in line for a 10-man lifeboat.... Had they used the same standards in the debates last time [2012], 'I wouldn't have been included and yet I was on the way to winning the Iowa caucuses. So to me, it's a miscarriage.'" ...
... Alex Pappas of the Daily Caller: "As reigning victor of the Iowa caucuses, Rick Santorum is arguing he should be guaranteed a spot on the Republican presidential debate stage regardless of his polling numbers. 'I call it the Masters exemption,' the former Pennsylvania senator said during an hour-long discussion with The Daily Caller on Monday. After winning the Masters, professional golfers automatically receive a invitation to compete for the rest of their lives." CW: I think it would be GREAT if Santorum appeared in every GOP presidential debate till the end of his days. Santorum, BTW, won the the caucuses by 34 votes. That surely qualifies him as Candidate-for-Life.
TMZ: "Donald Trump tells TMZ he is contacting the FBI to investigate threats just made by a man claiming to be the son of escaped Mexican drug lord El Chapo. Trump is reacting to a tweet reportedly made by El Chapo's son, in which he blasts Trump for saying El Chapo is 'everything that's wrong with Mexico.' The tweet was written in Spanish, with the rough English translation, 'Keep f***ing around and I'm gonna make you swallow your bitch words you f***ing whitey milks***tter (that's a homophobic slur).'" CW: I do think TMZ is the proper outlet for Trump News. ...
... Caitlin Cruz of TPM: "One of the nation's most prominent immigration hardliners said on Sunday that Republican presidential hopeful Donald Trump needs to develop some tact when peddling his harsh anti-immigrant beliefs. Former Rep. Tom Tancredo (R-CO) told the Denver Post that the real estate mogul 'needs to be a little bit more artful' when talking about his views on immigration. Tancredo has had an extreme obsession with immigration and border issues. Some highlights include his claim that then-Supreme Court nominee Sonia Sotomayor was a member of the 'Latino KKK' for her membership with National Council of La Raza and that Miami was becoming 'a Third World country.'"
Beyond the Beltway
David Goodman of the New York Times: "New York City reached a settlement with the family of Eric Garner on Monday, agreeing to pay $5.9 million to resolve a wrongful death claim over his killing by the police on Staten Island last July, a lawyer for the family said."
This Is Sensible. Katherine Krueger of TPM: "An all-Republican county commission in Missouri voted unanimously Monday to observe a full calendar year of 'mourning' after the Supreme Court's gay marriage decision, a protest that will include lowering flags to mark the somber occasion. Flags at the Dent County Courthouse and Judicial Building will now fly at 'below half-staff' on the 26th day of every month from July 2015 until July 2016, the Salem News reported, to mark the day SCOTUS handed down the ruling that legalized same-sex marriage nationwide."
Way Beyond
Dave Graham & Alexandra Alper of Reuters: "The dramatic escape on Saturday of the world's most notorious drug lord [Joaquin 'El Chapo' Guzman] has raised pressure on Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto to curb corruption and the drug gangs that play an outsized and violent role in his country.... Members of the ruling party and opposition alike are convinced that the escape had to have been an inside job. The mile-long tunnel would have required noisy digging equipment and produced tons of dirt to be disposed of, they note. Moreover, the tunnel came up exactly under the shower in Guzman's cell, which suggests that the drug lord's accomplices had detailed information about the prison's design."
News Ledes
AP: "Greece's finance ministry says the draft bill needed to start talks on Greece's third bailout has been submitted to Parliament. The bill will be discussed Wednesday and voted on later than night. It includes reforms to Greece's consumer tax."
AP: "Italy's finance minister says that only Italy, France and Cyprus supported a compromise deal with Greece, while the rest of the eurozone nations fell in behind Germany's hard-line position."