The Commentariat -- June 12, 2014
Jonathan Weisman of the New York Times: "Representative Eric Cantor of Virginia, the No. 2 House Republican, will resign as majority leader within weeks, according to leadership aides, setting off a scramble to remake the party's upper ranks. The move follows a stunning defeat in a primary election on Tuesday in which voters rejected him in favor of a more conservative candidate, and culminates a precipitous fall for Mr. Cantor, who was thought to be a likely successor to Speaker John A. Boehner."
Former U.S. Representative for Virginia's 7th congressional district, serving since 2001, served as Minority Whip from 2009-2011 and Majority Leader from 2011 - June 10, 2014 when I was handed one of the most embarrassing losses in modern political history. Really regret opposing the extension of unemployment benefits now and calling the Tea Party 'a tremendous positive influence' in 2010. Will count votes (badly) for food. -- Craigslist ad
Nate Cohn of the New York Times: "Democratic spoilers probably did not contribute enough votes to account for Mr. Cantor's margin of defeat.... Mr. Brat fared best in heavily Republican Hanover County, while Mr. Cantor kept the race closer in the more competitive Richmond inner suburbs.... Turnout was still far, far higher in Republican precincts. Democratic areas did not contribute a large number of votes.... Mr. Brat's wide margin of victory sets a high bar for arguing that Democratic voters made the difference. And since Mr. Brat ran so strongly in Republican territory, it's hard to see that he needed Democratic votes to push him over the top." ...
... David Fahrenthold, et al., of the Washington Post: "... a look back at Cantor’s defeat shows that it was a real rejection by a broad swath of his district’s Republican voters. And there were warning signs that it was coming: the heckling of Cantor in that convention speech and defeats of his acolytes in low-level party elections this year.... When Virginia's districts were redrawn in 2010, the state's legislature altered Cantor's district and removed some heavily Democratic precincts in the Richmond area. They swapped in heavily Republican New Kent County, east of the state capital. Cantor supported the move, which was supposed to make his safe seat even safer from Democrats. But that was a miscalculation: Cantor had misjudged who his real enemy was." ...
... Shane Goldmacher of the National Journal: Eric Cantor's pollster tries to explain why his poll showed Cantor with a 34-point lead.
... Steve M.: GOP voters fired Cantor because he failed to do his real job: providing "the essential constituent service of declaring that Obama, other Democrats, and liberalism are destroying civilization as we know it every time they can possibly get within range of a microphone or camera." ...
... "All Politics Is Local." Trip Gabriel of the New York Times: "At a time of deep cynicism about government, [voters in Cantor's district] described Mr. Cantor as a man who had succumbed to Washington and forgotten where he came from.... At a time when voters say they crave authenticity, they did not believe he displayed it. And amid the widespread rage of Republican voters at the Obama administration, the line between a leadership position and being sufficiently antagonistic to the White House proved to be impossible for Mr. Cantor to navigate." ...
I do think that this outcome does provide some evidence to indicate that the strategy of opposing nearly everything and supporting hardly anything is not just a bad governing strategy, it is not a very good political strategy either. -- Josh Earnest, Deputy White House Press Secretary
... Evan McMorris Santoro of BuzzFeed: "Earnest pointed out that a sponsor and advocate for the Senate [immigration reform] bill, Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, won his Republican primary on the same night Cantor lost his." ...
... David Baker of the San Francisco Chronicle: Gov. Rick Perry "attributed this week's stunning defeat of House Majority Leader Eric Cantor in Virginia's Republican primary to not spending enough time with constituents." CW: ... proving that even a numbskull isn't wrong all of the time. Now see Perry's remark highlighted below. ...
... Gail Collins ruminates on Cantor's loss. ...
... See also today's comment by James S., who speaks with authority. CW: I think he's got something there. Also, there's this: for any number of reasons, people just don't like or trust Eric Cantor. ...
... Here's Ezra Klein's take on "lessons learned." ...
... Also from Klein: "'Truly, what divides Republicans pales in comparison to what divides us as conservatives from the Left and their Democratic Party,' Eric Cantor said in his speech announcing his intention to step down as House Majority Leader. Cantor's right about that. And it's why his surprising defeat won't change Washington much at all." ...
... Oh, Why Can't Our Leaders Be More Like Ted Cruz? Brian Beutler of the New Republic: "... the two Republican leaders most responsible for the party's insurgent-like opposition to the Obama agenda -- Cantor, and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell -- are the base's most reviled.... In the end the right's beef with him -- as with McConnell -- was about more than just affect. It was about his willingness to use power politics and procedural hijinks to cut conservatives out of the tangle when expedient. The lesson of his defeat isn't that immigration reform is particularly poisonous, but that the right expects its leaders to understand they can't subsume the movement's energy for tactical purposes, then grant it only selective influence over big decisions. ...
... Eric Cantor isn't the only person who misled voters with a claim that David Brat was "a liberal professor." Brat himself claims on his Website "that he tested his rural values against the intellectual elite while at Princeton." But Brat never attended Princeton University; instead, he got a master of divinity from Princeton Theological Seminary which has no association with Princeton U., except that the two institutions are in the same town. ...
... CW Update. Come to think of it, I too was "at Princeton." Since I once lived not far from there, I went to Princeton numerous times for shopping, dining, etc. Prepositions matter: "at Princeton" v. "in Princeton." I also have been at (and to) Harvard, Yale, Vassar, Berkeley, etc. -- that is, I visited the campuses for one reason or another. Here, "at" is the proper preposition, but it has two meanings. So maybe Brat hung out on the Princeton campus, picking "intellectual" fights with passing "elites." I guess in that scenario, he was at Princeton. ...
... Charles Pierce: "In brief, Brat's job, and the support he got from the Raving-Loon Industrial Complex, all was financed in some way or another by the same vast lagoon of plutocratic payola with which we've all become sadly familiar." ...
... Igor Volsky of Think Progress: "David Brat ... tried to avoid answering specific policy questions in one of his first national television interviews.... Pressed for his position about raising the minimum wage, the economic professor demurred, saying 'I don't have a well-crafted response on that one.' ... The conversation grew even more strained when [Chuck] Todd asked Brat if he supports arming the Syrian rebels. The GOP nominee immediately tried to dismiss the issue, saying, 'hey Chuck, I thought we were just going to chat today about the celebratory aspects.'" With video. ...
... Garance Franke-Ruta of Yahoo! News: "The campaign manager for the tea party-backed Republican who ousted House Majority Leader Eric Cantor ... is a 23-year-old class of 2013 Haverford College graduate who posted a slew of provocative opinions on a public Facebook page that was removed from view overnight following David Brat's victory. From comparing George Zimmerman's shooting of unarmed black teenager Trayvon Martin to abortion to calling for the abolition of the Food and Drug Administration and encouraging the adoption of the silver monetary standard, Zachary Werrell -- one of just two paid staffers for the upstart campaign of ... David Brat -- sought in 2012 and 2013 to build a public profile as a socially conservative libertarian voice." ...
... CW: Brat is no Christine I-Am-Not-a-Witch O'Donnell, but he isn't exactly coming across as a polished candidate. Maybe he's beatable, even in a Republican district. ...
... Eric, We Hardly Knew Ye. Dana Milbank: "The ouster of the only non-Christian Republican in Congress by a primary challenger running as an immigration hard-liner is a crucial moment for the GOP because it risks cementing the party’s demographic troubles.... In the Jewish tradition, burial generally occurs within a day of death. Cantor's GOP colleagues took that further, dumping him instantaneously -- and unceremoniously -- after his unexpected political demise." ...
... CW: Cementing? Seems to me the cement hardened long ago, albeit the party faithful saved a block to tie to Cantor's feet before dumping him in the James River.
AP: "The FBI has opened a criminal investigation into the Department of Veterans Affairs after a scathing watchdog report that found systemic problems in the medical system for military veterans, FBI director James Comey said Wednesday."
Spencer Ackerman of the Guardian: "US defense secretary Chuck Hagel forcefully rejected criticism for trading five Taliban leaders for army sergeant Bowe Bergdahl in a combative appearance before a congressional committee on Wednesday. Hagel aggressively and at times angrily defended the trade, saying he took its risks damn seriously' and making conspicuous reference to his Vietnam combat experience." ...
... Stephanie McCrummen of the Washington Post: "... before he joined the Army, Sgt. Bowe Bergdahl was discharged from the Coast Guard for psychological reasons, said close friends who were worried about his emotional health at the time. The 2006 discharge and a trove of Bergdahl's writing -- his handwritten journal along with essays, stories and e-mails provided to The Washington Post -- paint a portrait of a deeply complicated and fragile young man who was by his own account struggling to maintain his mental stability from the start of basic training until the moment he walked off his post in eastern Afghanistan in 2009.... Typically, a discharge for psychological reasons would disqualify a potential recruit.... In 2008, the Army was meeting recruitment goals by issuing waivers that allowed people with criminal records, health conditions and other problems to enlist." ...
... CW: This new information, which is consistent with bits & pieces previously reported, suggests to me that the Army bears a good deal of responsibility for Bergdahl's situation. They accepted into service & sent to an isolated war zone in an undisciplined unit a young man known to have psychological problems. ...
... CW P.S. This past Sunday, Dr./Sen. Tom Coburn said he'd viewed the "proof of life" video of Bergdahl released by the Taliban & diagnosed his mental condition as having "been drugged ... either with an anti-psychotic or hypnotic drug." Well, Dr. Coburn, OB-GYN, you're a lousy senator, too. As Steve Benen noted in the linked post, "... the right needs to believe that Bergdahl's health wasn't failing -- and here's Coburn 'speaking as a doctor' to give his party a new talking point."
** Whether or not you feel compelled to follow a particular lifestyle or not, you have the ability to decide not to do that. I may have the genetic coding that I'm inclined to be an alcoholic, but I have the desire not to do that, and I look at the homosexual issue the same way. -- Texas Gov. Rick Perry, in San Francisco of all places, in response to a question about the Texas GOP's platform embracing "reparative therapy" for gays ...
... Then again, "reparative therapy" sounds downright humane & considerate compared to this:
Catherine Thompson of TPM: Scott Esk, "a Republican candidate for the Oklahoma state House who boasts that he's looking forward to 'applying Biblical principles to Oklahoma law,' is okay with gay people being stoned to death -- even if he won't legislate the practice himself:
'So just to be clear, you think we should execute homosexuals (presumably by stoning)?' [a] commenter asked. 'I think we would be totally in the right to do it,' Esk replied. 'That goes against some parts of libertarianism, I realize, and I'm largely libertarian, but ignoring as a nation things that are worthy of death is very remiss.'
Dan Balz of the Washington Post: "Conservatives and liberals don't just differ in their political views. They like to live in different places, associate with like-minded people and have opposing views on the value of ethnic and religious diversity in their neighborhoods, according to a major new study by the Pew Research Center." CW: Also, liberals can hardly believe anyone would compare a normal sexual pattern to a debilitating disease. Update: Or stoning! (See Perry & Esk remarks above.) ...
... Here's (Page 1 of) the Pew Report which Balz cites.
Aw Shucks. The Misfortunes of Eric have knocked reviews of Hillary's Magical Book Tour off the front pages. Here's Philip Bump of the Washington Post on Hillary's (true) assertion that she & Bill were "dead broke" when they left the White House in 2001.
Binyamin Appelbaum of the New York Times: "It has been five years since the official end of that severe economic downturn. The nation's total annual output has moved substantially above the prerecession peak, but economic growth has averaged only about 2 percent a year, well below its historical average. Household incomes continue to stagnate, and millions of Americans still can't find jobs. And a growing number of experts see evidence that the economy will never rebound completely."
The Fox "News" Standard of Newsworthiness. Eric Boehlert of Media Matters: "For Fox News, the story about right-wing gun violence [-- the politically motivated killings by Jerad & Amanda Miller --] and the seeds of a bloody political revolution present all kinds of problems for the channel and its outspoken hosts, some of whom have previously championed limitless gun rights, insurrectionism, the Tea Party, and racist rancher [Cliven] Bundy. In the 36 hours after the shooting, Fox News tread lightly around the Las Vegas story, producing regular news updates about the crime spree. But Fox provided almost no commentary, no context, and certainly no collective blame for the executions." Akhilleus linked a Daily Kos post on this same subject in yesterday's Comments.
Beyond the Beltway
AP: "A federal judge ordered Ohio’s elections chief Wednesday to set early voting hours on the three days before elections in a ruling that gives Democrats a victory going into the fall election.
News Ledes
New York Times: "Ruby Dee, one of the most enduring actresses of theater and film, whose public profile and activist passions made her, along with her husband, Ossie Davis, a leading advocate for civil rights both in show business and in the wider world, died on Wednesday at her home in New Rochelle, N.Y. She was 91."
Guardian: "Fighting between Ukrainian government troops and pro-Russian militia is fuelling a worsening humanitarian crisis in eastern Ukraine. Tens of thousands of people are fleeing combat, most of them from the rebel capital of Slavyansk, where almost daily shelling has claimed numerous civilian casualties since late May."
New York Times: " The body of a 19-year-old woman was found hanging by her scarf from a eucalyptus tree in a village in the Indian state of Uttar Pradesh on Thursday morning, the police said. It was the third similar gruesome discovery in the state in two weeks. Relatives of the dead woman, who was last seen alive Wednesday, have filed a report alleging that she was raped and murdered by two men who they say had been bothering her...."
Washington Post: "Iraq was on the brink of disintegration Thursday as al-Qaeda-inspired fighters swept through northern Iraq toward Baghdad and Kurdish soldiers seized the city of Kirkuk without a fight."
New York Times: "An American drone struck a militant compound in Pakistan's tribal belt for the second time in 24 hours on Thursday, killing at least 10 suspected members of the feared Haqqani network, which held the American soldier Sgt. Bowe Bergdahl hostage for five years."
ABC News: "The sun has had three major solar flares on its surface in the past two days that have affected communications on Earth and could send a shockwave through Earth this Friday, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.... The disturbance to Earth's atmosphere can disrupt GPS and communications signals, according to NASA."
... CW: Oh, crap. As luck would have it, on Friday I'll be traveling across mountain roads to a place I don't know how to reach without my GPS. Huh, maybe I should buy a map. Wonder if anybody still sells those.