The Conversation -- June 30, 2025
Way Beyond Stupid. Brad Plumer of the New York Times: “Senate Republicans have quietly inserted provisions in ... [Donald] Trump’s domestic policy bill that would not only end federal support for wind and solar energy but would impose an entirely new tax on future projects, a move that industry groups say could devastate the renewable power industry. The tax provision, tucked inside the 940-page bill that the Senate made public just after midnight on Friday, stunned observers.... Those tax credits were at the heart of the Inflation Reduction Act, which Democrats passed in 2022 in an attempt to nudge the country away from fossil fuels, the burning of which is driving climate change. [Mr.] Trump, who has mocked climate science, has instead promoted fossil fuels and demanded that Republicans in Congress unwind the law.”
No Surprise Here. Sylvan Lane & Sarah Fortinsky of the Hill: Donald “Trump urged Senate Republicans on Sunday to overrule the chamber’s parliamentarian in order to pass key parts of his sweeping domestic policy bill. In a Sunday post on Truth Social, the president backed a call from Rep. Greg Steube (R-Fla.) and other GOP hard-liners to ignore rulings from Senate Parliamentarian Elizabeth MacDonough. 'Great Congressman Greg Steube is 100% correct. An unelected Senate Staffer (Parliamentarian), should not be allowed to hurt the Republicans Bill. Wants many fantastic things out. NO! DJT,' Trump wrote. The parliamentarian is the nonpartisan Senate official responsible for determining whether parts of laws meant to be passed through budget reconciliation comply with the rules for that process. Budget reconciliation bills can pass the Senate with simple majorities, thereby averting the filibuster. But those provisions must follow specific instructions passed through a budget resolution and not expand the deficit past the window laid out in the bill.... Overturning the parliamentarian would require support from at least 51 senators on the floor.”
Tillis to Spend More Time with His Family. Deirdre Walsh of NPR: "Republican Sen. Thom Tillis of North Carolina announced on Sunday that he would not seek reelection next year. Tillis was one of the most high-profile Republicans to say he could not support ... [Donald] Trump's 'Big Beautiful Bill,' Republicans' massive tax and spending bill, in its current form. Trump on social media had attacked him as 'a talker and complainer, NOT A DOER!' and threatened to support primary challengers to him next year.... '... the choice is between spending another six years navigating the political theatre and partisan gridlock in Washington or spending that time with the love of my life Susan, our two children, three beautiful grandchildren, and the rest of our extended family back home. It's not a hard choice, and I will not be seeking re-election.'" (Also linked yesterday.) The New York Times story, by Annie Karni, is here. ~~~
~~~ Al Weaver of the Hill: Donald “Trump on Sunday celebrated Sen. Thom Tillis’s (R-N.C.) announcement that he wouldn’t seek reelection next year. '“Great News!' Trump wrote on Truth Social on Sunday evening.” ~~~
~~~ Marie: We'll see how "great" the news is. I don't know who-all Republicans have on tap to run for Tillis' seat, but generally speaking, it's harder for a "green" candidate to win than it is for an incumbent. So I sure hope a Democrat wins that seat because of Trump's standard-issue vengeance binge against Tillis. ~~~
~~~ Justin Green of Axios: "Fresh off announcing he'll retire next year, Sen. Thom Tillis gave a lengthy floor speech Sunday night attacking cuts to Medicaid in the 'big, beautiful bill.'... The Senate's version of the 'big, beautiful bill' would result in 12 million more people without health insurance in 2034 than today, the Congressional Budget Office projects." ~~~
~~~ Sarah Fortinsky of the Hill: “Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) said Sunday that the Senate version of ... [Donald] Trump’s massive spending bill 'will betray the very promise' the president made when he pledged not to interfere with people’s Medicaid benefits.... 'What do I tell 663,000 people in two years or three years, when President Trump breaks his promise by pushing them off of Medicaid because the funding’s not there anymore, guys? I think the people in the White House … advising the president are not telling him that the effect of this bill is to break a promise,' Tillis said in his floor speech.” IOW: Tillis says Trump doesn't know WTF he's doing. MB: Suggesting Trump is merely ignorant is probably too kind; I think he just doesn't care.
Murkowski Got Hers. This from yesterday's New York Times liveblog: “When Senate Republicans released the latest version of their sprawling domestic policy package in the wee hours of Saturday morning, it contained a number of new provisions that might have seemed out of place.... But the seemingly random items ... appeared to be aimed at winning the support of a critical Republican holdout whose vote could make or break the measure: Senator Lisa Murkowski.... As G.O.P. leaders scrounged on Saturday for the votes to pass the legislation, they seem to have addressed many of her concerns, insulating Ms. Murkowski’s state from some of its most painful cuts while including an assortment of other Alaska-friendly provisions in the bill. The latest version ... would provide a new tax exemption to fishers from villages in western Alaska. There is now an exemption from new work requirements for food assistance. And several provisions have been added that would funnel federal dollars to Alaskan health care providers. There is even a provision that would allow certain Alaskan whaling captains to deduct more of their expenses.” (Also linked yesterday.) ~~~
~~~ Ron Filipkowski on BlueSky: "Lisa Murkowski cuts a last minute deal solely to benefit Alaska, exempting it from some of the more odious parts of the bill to secure her vote and sell out the rest of the US. Yeah this stuff sucks and hurts a lot of people, but I got Alaskans exempted so the hell with you." Thanks to RAS for the link. MB: This kind of horsetrading is hardly unusual. An infamous example was the 2010 "Cornhusker Kickback" in which Democratic Senator Ben Nelson of Nebraska demanded a $100MM Medicaid bonus for Nebraska for his vote on the Obamacare bill. That kickback was ultimately cut from the bill, but other special considerations found their way into the final bill. (Also linked yesterday.)
Jennifer Rubin of the Contrarian: This is “the worst bill in modern history.... Even those who mouthed concerns about the draconian cuts, including Sens. Susan Collins (R-Maine) and Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) fell into line, voting to move the bill forward. They are daring voters not to hold them accountable for their monstrous hypocrisy.... [Yet this] reverse-Robin-Hood scheme is deeply unpopular in every recent public poll.... Perhaps the scariest poll for Republicans was one from Maine showing Collins sure has reason for 'concern': Her favorability is a miserable 14% with disapproval at 57%.... Donald Trump might strong-arm enough Republicans to vote for a bill that constitutes not only the largest Medicaid cut in history but also a historic transfer of wealth from middle- and low-income Americans to the wealthiest. However, he cannot save them from voters.”
⭐Don Moynihan on Substack: "Tax cuts were the only major piece of pre-pandemic policy Trump was able to pass in his first term, and he realizes that his other policies are broadly unpopular and will not stand on their own terms. So they are all being shoved in together into a massive piece of legislation that would fundamentally change America, and pushed as quickly as possible before the public fully understands what is in there.... One very simple way to make sense of the bill is to look at which income categories win and lose in terms of flow of resources. Here, the pattern is clear: the rich do better *at the expense* of the poor.... The Trump administration wants to spend much more on the security state.... The Budget Lab at Yale estimated that somewhere like $4 to $4.5 trillion would be added to the deficit by the Senate bill [but removes investments in Americans' futures that would give them the wherewithal to pay off the debt].... The bill also seeks to kill off support for alternative energy funding...." ~~~
Matina Stevis-Gridneff of the New York Times: “Canada’s government announced on Sunday night that it would cancel a tax on American technology companies that led ... [Donald] Trump to suspend trade talks between the two countries, handing an important victory to Mr. Trump. Prime Minister Mark Carney discussed the decision to scrap Canada’s digital services tax with Mr. Trump on Sunday, Mr. Carney’s office said. In a sign that trade talks were resuming, Canada’s finance minister, François-Philippe Champagne, spoke with the United States Trade Representative, Jamieson Greer, on Sunday, according to Mr. Carney’s office. The tax, which had been due to take effect on Monday, became the latest flashpoint in difficult negotiations between the United States and Canada on Friday, when Mr. Trump said the talks were off. On social media, Mr. Trump called the levy a 'blatant attack' and said he would inform Canada within a week about the duties 'they will be paying to do business with the United States of America.'” MB: Like all narcissistic bullies, Trump -- the original “blatant attacker'” -- can dish it out, but he can't take it. ~~~
~~~ Politico's story is here.
John Hudson & Warren Strobel of the Washington Post: “The United States obtained intercepted communication between senior Iranian officials discussing this month’s U.S. military strikes on Iran’s nuclear program and remarking that the attack was less devastating than they had expected.... The communication, intended to be private, included Iranian government officials speculating as to why the strikes directed by President Donald Trump were not as destructive and extensive as they had anticipated.... The intercepted signals intelligence is the latest preliminary information offering a more complicated picture than the one conveyed by the president, who has said the operation 'completely and totally obliterated' Iran’s nuclear program.”
David French of the New York Times: “... as bad as ... cranks like Kash Patel, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Pete Hegseth ... are, their influence is ultimately limited — first by Trump himself, who feels completely free to overrule and disregard any decision they make for the sake of his own interests and whims, and second by time itself. Trump’s political appointees won’t be in American government for long, and while they can inflict lasting damage during their short tenures, the next president can replace them and at least start the process of repair. Emil Bove [-- Trump’s nominee to serve on the Third Circuit Court of Appeals --] however, would be a problem for a very long time. At 44 years old, he’s been nominated for a lifetime appointment.... That means he’d long outlast Trump in the halls of American power, and if past performance is any measure of future results, we should prepare for a judge who would do what he deems necessary to accomplish his political objectives — law and morality be damned.”
Marianne LeVine, et al., of the Washington Post: “Trump administration officials have vowed to hold companies accountable for employing people who are in the country illegally — no matter which industry they are in or how big or small they might be. But the Department of Homeland Security’s enforcement operations have overwhelmingly focused on arresting workers rather than punishing employers. Since the start of the year, Immigration and Customs Enforcement has posted news releases regarding approximately two dozen raids on the “Worksite Enforcement” section of its website. Local news outlets have documented dozens more. The Washington Post was able to identify only one employer charged after the raids ICE has publicized.” MB: When is ICE going to raid a Trump property -- and arrest Eric? I suspect the Trump are employing undocumented workers, just as they have in the past.
Alex Gangitano of the Hill: Donald “Trump said [Sunday] that there will be a temporary pass issued for migrants working at farms and in the hospitality industry to allow employers to have more control after the administration sent mixed messages about exceptions in its mass deportation efforts.... 'What I do have, I cherish our farmers. And when we go into a farm and we take away people that have been working there for 15 and 20 years, who were good, who possibly came in incorrectly. And what we’re going to do is we’re going to do something for farmers where we can let the farmer sort of be in charge. The farmer knows he’s not going to hire a murderer.... But you know, when you go into a farm and you set somebody working with them for nine years doing this kind of work, which is hard work to do and a lot of people aren’t going to do it, and you end up destroying a farmer because you took all the people away — it’s a problem. You know, I’m on both sides of the thing. I’m the strongest immigration guy that there’s ever been, but I’m also the strongest farmer guy that there’s ever been, and that includes also hotels and, you know, places where people work, a certain group of people work,' the president added.... 'We’re working on it right now. We’re going to work it so that, some kind of a temporary pass, where people pay taxes, where the farmer can have a little control as opposed to you walk in and take everybody away.'” MB: Thanks, Trump. Really appreciate the clarity. I guess this means that your boy Eric, being a lot like a farmer who can pick out murderers, will not be arrested & detained in El Salvador, after all.
These inner-city rats, they live off the federal government. And that’s one reason we’re $37 trillion in debt. And it’s time we find these rats and we send them back home, that are living off the American taxpayers that are working very hard every week to pay taxes. -- Sen. Tommy Tuberville (R-Ala.), on New Yorkers who voted for Zohran Mamdani for mayor ~~~
~~~ Nobody Is Safe. Paul Krugman: “... while Tuberville stands out even within his caucus as an ignorant fool, his willingness to use dehumanizing language about millions of people shows that raw racism is rapidly becoming mainstream in American politics.... You can see the resurgence of raw racism all across Trump administration policies, large and small.... The One Big Beautiful Bill Act is set to massively increase ICE’s funding — basically setting up a huge national secret police force.... I personally don’t have any illusions of safety. Yes, I’m a native-born white citizen. But my wife and her family are Black, and some of my friends and relatives are foreign-born U.S. citizens. Furthermore, I’m Jewish, and anyone who knows their history realizes that whenever right-wing bigotry is on the ascendant, we’re always next in line.... Everyone who cares about keeping America America needs to take a stand against the resurgence of bigotry. Because the truth is that we’re all rats now.”
“Too Many Mosquitoes.” Fighting Fascism with Alacrity & Humor. Jake Spring of the Washington Post: “The Trump administration wants national parks visitors to report signs or other information that’s 'negative about either past or living Americans,' and posted QR codes on signs across the country encouraging people to submit comments. Instead of rooting out examples of anti-American ideology, however, commenters have responded by criticizing mosquitos and staffing cuts and praising the parks’ natural beauty as well as its employees.... Many called for undoing funding cuts and rehiring staff who were fired by the Trump administration.... Positive comments — along with direct criticisms of Trump’s policies — vastly outnumbered those that were critical of educational materials.... Visitor complaints about the parks themselves generally had little to do with the administration’s aims.”
Marie: I would say the Trump Voter Challenge that RAS found needs a bit of refinement. (For instance, Trump did not grab someone by the pussy on camera, as the challenge claims.) But the idea of developing a simple card like this is a good idea. Pass 'em out at GOP gatherings, even at Trump rallies. The argument is one that, properly framed, simple people can understand. And I've never heard a politician put it this way. (Also linked yesterday.)
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New York. Chelsia Marcius of the New York Times: “Zohran Mamdani, who campaigned for mayor on the theme of making New York City more affordable, said in a major national television interview that during a time of rising inequality, 'I don’t think we should have billionaires.' Mr. Mamdani, the likely winner of the Democratic primary for mayor of New York, said in an appearance on 'Meet the Press' on Sunday that more equality is needed across the city, state and country, and that he looked forward to working 'with everyone, including billionaires, to make a city that is fairer for all of them.' At the same time, Mr. Mamdani, a democratic socialist, asserted that he is not a communist, a response to an attack from ... [Donald] Trump. 'I have already had to start to get used to the fact that the president will talk about how I look, how I sound, where I’m from, who I am — ultimately because he wants to distract from what I’m fighting for,' Mr. Mamdani said.” ~~~
~~~ Fascist Rule No. 1: Everyone Must "Behave." Rebecca Falconer of Axios: "Trump in an interview on Sunday doubled down in his assertion that Mamdani is a communist and said the likely Democratic primary winner must 'do the right thing' if he's elected mayor of NYC or else he'll withhold federal funding. 'I can't imagine it, but let's say this, if he does get in I'm going to be president and he is going to have to do the right thing, but they're not getting any money...,' Trump said on Fox News' 'Sunday Morning Futures.' 'Whoever's mayor of New York is going to have to behave themselves or the federal government is coming down very tough on them financially.'"