The Commentariat -- July 9, 2018
Late Morning/Afternoon Update:
Maggie Haberman of the New York Times: "President Trump has decided on his nominee to the Supreme Court after spending Monday morning working the phones primarily seeking input about two judges who were said to be the finalists, Brett M. Kavanaugh and Thomas M. Hardiman, people familiar with the discussions said. Those who discussed the president's decision, and spoke on the condition of anonymity, did not disclose the name of the president's selection. Mr. Trump had been going back and forth between Judge Kavanaugh, the favorite of the White House counsel, Donald F. McGahn II, and Judge Hardiman, whom the president's sister, Maryanne Trump Barry, a former colleague of Judge Hardiman's, has pressed him to choose."
Stephanie Murray of Politico: "... Donald Trump on Monday attacked a New York Times story that reported how his administration attempted to weaken a World Health Assembly resolution to promote breastfeeding, saying women shouldn't be denied access to formula.... 'The failing NY Times Fake News story today about breast feeding must be called out. The U.S. strongly supports breast feeding but we don't believe women should be denied access to formula. Many women need this option because of malnutrition and poverty,' Trump said in a tweet.... 'Our report is accurate. You can read it here,' the Times tweeted, [linking to the story]."
Julia Ainsley of NBC News: "A federal judge has agreed to extend Tuesday's deadline for the government to reunite 102 migrant children under the age of 5 who were separated from their parents under President Donald Trump's 'zero tolerance' policy. Judge Dana Sabraw asked government attorneys to provide an update by Tuesday morning on which children will be reunited, who will require more time, and to deliver a proposed timeline for reuniting the remaining children with their parents."
Heather Stewart of the Guardian: "Boris Johnson has resigned as foreign secretary, becoming the third minister in 24 hours to walk out of the government rather than back Theresa May's plans for a soft Brexit. The prime minister hammered out a compromise with her deeply divided cabinet in an all-day meeting at Chequers on Friday.... After the Chequers summit, it emerged that Johnson had referred to attempts to sell the prime minister's Brexit plan as 'polishing a turd'.... Johnson's departure will deepen the sense of crisis around May, and increase the chances that she could face a vote of no confidence."
*****
** Words Fail. Andrew Jacobs of the New York Times: "A resolution to encourage breast-feeding was expected to be approved quickly and easily by the hundreds of government delegates who gathered this spring in Geneva for the United Nations-affiliated World Health Assembly.... Then the United States delegation, embracing the interests of infant formula manufacturers, upended the deliberations.... When [efforts to water down the resolution] failed, they turned to threats.... If Ecuador..., which had planned to introduce the measure..., refused to drop the resolution, Washington would unleash punishing trade measures and withdraw crucial military aid. The Ecuadorean government quickly acquiesced.... In the end, the Americans' efforts were mostly unsuccessful. It was the Russians who ultimately stepped in to introduce the measure -- and the Americans did not threaten them." Read the whole story. Mrs. McC: The irresponsibility, depravity & corruption of the Trump administration is so deep and broad, it boggles the mind. See Akhilleus's comment in yesterday's thread. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... David Atkins in the Washington Monthly: "If you said a few years ago that this would be a real news story in 2018, no one would believe you. But here we are." ...
... David Boddiger of Splinter: "It's bad enough that Trump and his enforcers are putting children into cages on our own soil. Now, they are showing that they care little about children's health in the rest of the world, either. This administration is -- make no mistake -- an enemy of children, particularly those from low-income families and nations." ...
... Kevin Drum explains the dynamics: "You have to give them credit: big business gets what they pay for when they buy a Republican administration. But even big business can't overcome Trump's love for Vladimir Putin." Mrs. McC: Pretty simple. ...
... Martin Longman of the Booman Tribune: "The Trump administration demonstrated almost every flaw they have here. They put the interests of corporate lobbyists ahead of the health of babies. They showed a complete contempt for science and the consensus of the international community. They abused their power and threatened well-meaning and innocent nations simply because they could. They negotiated in bad faith and behaved like extortionists. And then their bullying act immediately stopped when confronted by Russia because this administration always seeks to please Russia and only confronts them when all other alternatives have been exhausted. The message is clear. If you are a political leader of a small or medium sized country, America will strong-arm you and try to prevent you from doing things based on science if that will hurt some powerful corporations. The way to stand up to America is to go running into the arms of Vladimir Putin." ...
... Emily Stewart of Vox: "Trump in a 2011 deposition reportedly became upset when an attorney named Elizabeth Beck requested a break to pump breast milk for her three-month-old daughter.... Beck told CNN in 2015 that Trump called her 'disgusting.' Trump's lawyer, Allen Garten, didn't dispute the assertion, and Trump acknowledged to CNN he 'might have said that.'... He also called a 2012 TIME Magazine cover showing a mother breastfeeding her toddler 'disgusting.'"
Lisa Rein of the Washington Post: "Federal agencies on Monday begin implementing executive orders from President Trump on how to confront employee unions, following strict guidelines likely to escalate tensions that have been building since the president took office.... Trump's executive orders represent a broadening of the get-tough initiatives that have played out in individual agencies since he took office, including recent efforts to force unions to move out of government-paid office space and to rein in the use of official work time by union representatives who deal with employee grievances and disciplinary matters."
** Jonathan Chait makes the case that Trump is a Russian asset: "As Trump arranges to meet face-to-face and privately with Vladimir Putin later this month, the collusion between the two men metastasizing from a dark accusation into an open alliance, it would be dangerous not to consider the possibility that the summit is less a negotiation between two heads of state than a meeting between a Russian-intelligence asset and his handler." It all began in 1987, when Trump visited Moscow. "Trump returned from Moscow fired up with political ambition.... In July 2013, Trump visited Moscow again. If the Russians did not have a back-channel relationship or compromising file on Trump 30 years ago, they very likely obtained one then.... It would have been strange if Russia didn't help Trump. After all, Russians covertly support allied politicians abroad all the time.... Trump ... acts like a man with a great deal to hide...." This is a long piece, accumulating the "known-knowns" & hypothesizing about how they all fit together....
...** David Edwards of RawStory (July 5): "Seth Abramson, a professor and legal analyst, on Thursday provided what he said was 'evidence of criminal collusion' between President Donald Trump's 2016 campaign and the Russian government. In a massive Twitter thread, Abramson said that there was a 'clear pattern' of actions taken by the Trump campaign before and after the election which points to a conspiracy to undermine U.S. sanctions against Russia. Abramson came to the conclusion that there was 'likely' collusion with Russia after examining the Trump campaign's activities in four European countries -- Italy, Greece, Hungary and Austria -- which wanted sanctions to be lifted.... The legal analyst went on to break down the Trump campaign's actions in each country." --safari
Shane Harris of the Washington Post: "Rudolph W. Giuliani ... said Sunday that he has counseled the president against granting a pardon to his longtime fixer Michael Cohen, at least for now. 'I have advised the president, which he understands: no discussion of pardons,' Giuliani said in an appearance on ABC News's 'This Week.' But he seemed not to rule out that the president might change his mind. 'You can't abridge your power to do it. That's something you can decide down the road, one way or the other,' Giuliani said." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... Ed Pilkington of the Guardian: "... Rudy Giuliani has warned Robert Mueller ... that the White House is close to refusing to grant an interview with the president. Giuliani took the increasingly belligerent tone of the White House up a notch on Sunday.... Speaking on This Week on ABC News, he accused the special counsel of assembling a team of investigators around him that included 'very, very severe partisans working on an investigation that should have been done by people who are politically neutral'. Asked whether they had made a decision on whether or not Trump should participate in an interview with the inquiry, he replied: 'We have not determined he will not sit down with Mueller, but we are close to that.'" ...
... Louis Nelson of Politico: "The Russia investigation led by special counsel Robert Mueller is 'the most corrupt investigation I have ever seen,'... Rudy Giuliani told ABC News on Sunday morning." Mrs. McC: Apparently Rudy is unaware of House Republicans' "investigations," most of which are corrupt. ...
.. To wit: Annals of Journalism, Ctd. Margaret Sullivan of the Washington Post on Marcy Wheeler's decision to inform on a source, then write about it: "In addition to the knowledge of her source's inside information, Wheeler said, she had reason to believe that the source was involved with efforts to compromise her website and other communications. And perhaps most important, that he was involved in cyberattacks -- past and future -- that had done and could do real harm to innocent people.... But what motivated her recent revelation that she went to the FBI has plenty to do with politics: She is disgusted by the way House Republicans are, in her view, weaponizing their oversight responsibilities and making it all too likely that FBI informants will have their names revealed.... Without knowing all the details, it's hard to judge whether she was right. But it's not hard to see that her decision was a careful and principled one."...
...Sarah Burris of RawStory: "Rep. Devin Nunes (R-CA) is demanding that special counselor Robert Mueller release all of his information to the House Intelligence Committee, but according to one colleague he's not working with his fellow members on it, much less keeping them abreast. In an interview with MSNBC's Kassie Hunt, Rep. Mike Quigley (D-IL) was asked about the Nunes request and revealed he's not much for government transparency.... 'We haven't had notification from Mr. Nunes about anything he's going to do for months now,' Quigley said.... Quigley said that Nunes also put a halt to anyone being able to issue 'subpoenas on documents and people of critical interest.'" --safari
America's Addictions. Tom Engelhardt of Tom Dispatch: "When you think of addiction in America today, one thing comes to mind: the opioid epidemic.... According to the National Center for Health Statistics, almost 64,000 Americans died of opioid overdoses in 2016 (more than died in the Vietnam War), an average of 175 people a day.... The United States, however, has two other crises that, in the long run, will cost Americans far more.... This country (and above all its media) is addicted to Donald J. Trump.... [T]he unprecedented way he continues to draw attention ... represents a victory of the first order for him of a unique, almost incomprehensible sort.... And then there's that other twenty-first-century all-American addiction, in some ways far stranger than the Trumpian one and likely to be no less costly in the long run: addiction to war.... [As much as they don't want a bright, shiny new war the Generals] can't imagine leaving the old ones behind either. And that's America's war addiction in a nutshell." --safari
John Hudson & Adam Taylor of the Washington Post: "Secretary of State Mike Pompeo shot back against North Korea on Sunday, saying the regime's criticism that U.S. negotiators acted in a 'gangster-like' way during his two-day visit to Pyongyang was unfounded. 'If those requests were gangster-like, the world is a gangster,' said Pompeo, noting that U.S. demands for North Korea to denuclearize were supported by a consensus among U.N. Security Council members. The secretary of state also said that despite a critical statement released by North Korea's Foreign Ministry on Saturday night, he thought the two sides had made progress during the meeting and that his North Korean counterpart, Kim Yong Chol, negotiated in 'good faith.'... Pompeo added that the United States and world powers would maintain economic sanctions against North Korea until full denuclearization was achieved." ...
... Nick Wadhams of Bloomberg: Mike Pompeo's "trip [to North Korea] reflects the difficulty for Pompeo in dealing with one of the world's most reclusive and unpredictable regimes, which can shift from threats to warm words and back again at speed. It comes as pressure mounts on him to show progress on the delicate task of getting North Korea to move forward on nuclear disarmament, including the issue of verification, and make good on ... Donald Trump's claimed accomplishments from the Singapore summit.... The specifics of what happened behind closed doors remain unclear. Whether Pompeo somehow annoyed his counterpart, or pressed too hard, or whether the North Koreans are simply reverting to their hot-and-cold tactics, is hard to say. But the regime made sure to have the final word, and it was not pleasant."...
...This seems a good time to remember Mike Pompeo's boisterous July 12th tweet 'State Dept team at #singaporesummit delivers for America #swagger' --safari
Adrienne Mahsa Varkiani of ThinkProgress: "A Mexican couple from Brooklyn was detained on July 4 outside the Army base at Fort Drum, near the border with Canada, where they had traveled to celebrate the holiday with their son-in-law before his deployment to Afghanistan.... The couple was born in Mexico, but has lived in New York for two decades, according to their son Eduardo.... In 2007, they received an official Department of Labor work permit. Eduardo said they had valid New York City IDs, which they had used to access military bases before. But this time, military police questioned the ID and asked for a second form of identification. After the couple showed their passports, military called Border Protection agents, who took them to a detention center in Buffalo." --safari
... Natasha Korecki of Politico: "Gov. Bruce Rauner this year reported turning a profit from a health care group that services U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement detention centers, including facilities that hold immigrant families with children. In his most recent statement of economic interests, the multi-millionaire Republican governor disclosed earnings from a private equity fund that owns Correct Care Solutions, a for-profit health care provider that has millions of dollars in government contracts with jails and prisons across the country, including immigrant detention centers. The governor says he relinquished investment decisions to a third party and has no direct ties to Correct Care Solutions." --safari...
Our War in Yemen. Sudarsan Raghavan of the Washington Post: "For nearly a decade, U.S. intelligence officials have considered al-Qaeda's Yemen branch, known as al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula or AQAP, as the most dangerous of all its affiliates.... Over the past year, the shadow war between al-Qaeda and local Yemeni fighters has intensified, largely out of sight and out of the headlines.... The battle being waged by U.S.-backed Yemeni forces against al-Qaeda militants has escalated. In the first year of President Trump's term, the United States conducted far more airstrikes against al-Qaeda militants in Yemen than it had in previous years.... When asked about the U.S. role on the ground, Capt. Bill Urban, a spokesman for the Pentagon's Central Command, said he could not provide specifics due to 'operational security and the safety of our forces.'..."
Senate Race. "Beto-Mania." Ben Schreckinger of Politico: "Fueled by millions in small-dollar donations, [Rep. Beto] O'Rourke[, Texas Democrats' U.S. Senate nominee] is outraising [Sen. Ted] Cruz [ARRRR]. In recent weeks..., Donald Trump's policy of separating migrant families detained at the border has given his campaign a jolt of moral clarity. And voters are responding in a way that Texas Democrats say they have not seen before in modern times.... With his youth and magnetism, O'Rourke, 45, draws comparisons to Barack Obama, but he projects a gawkier sort of charisma.... His delivery is faster and jerkier.... A fluent Spanish speaker, O'Rourke is especially emphatic when he talks about immigration." O'Rourke is far behind Cruz in recent polls.
David McCumber & Thomas Plank of the Montana Standard: "The attendance of four Roman Catholic priests from Montana at ... Donald Trump's political rally in Great Falls Thursday has created a social media firestorm and apparently incurred the displeasure of the priests' superiors in the church. The four, who were seated near the front of the rally, wore their clerical garb, carried 'Make America Great Again' signs, and wore VIP badges. They clapped for Trump as he doubled down on his oft-repeated slur of Sen. Elizabeth Warren as 'Pocahontas,' mocked the #MeToo movement, and questioned the meaning of former Republican President George H.W. Bush's 'Thousand Points of Light' slogan." Mrs McC: I guess these priests also think it's great to tear babies away from their parents & deny them mothers' milk.
Amy Wang of the Washington Post: In Austin, Texas, a 41-year-old white man murdered a young black man in cold blood in the early morning hours of the 4th of July because the young man, Devonte Ortiz, was setting off fireworks. The white guy "was arrested Friday and charged with first-degree murder, police said. He is being held at the Travis County Jail on a $250,000 bond...." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Way Beyond the Beltway
Heather Stewart of the Guardian: "David Davis has resigned as Brexit secretary, shattering the hard-won consensus around Theresa May's Chequers deal and plunging her government into crisis. His resignation was swiftly followed by that of fellow Department for Exiting the EU ministers Steve Baker and Suella Braverman. It force May to reshuffle her government, at the same time as trying to convince backbenchers to support her plan. Davis has told friends he cannot live with the soft Brexit stance agreed between ministers on Friday, which proposes a 'UK-EU free trade area', governed by a 'common rule book'.... The prime minister is facing a growing backlash from the pro-Brexit wing of her party, with MPs warning they are prepared to trigger a leadership contest." Mrs. McC: Apparently these MPs don't care that they're right playing into Russia's hand, even as this is happening. ...
... Update. Dan Sabbagh & Jessica Elgot of the Guardian: "Dominic Raab, a Brexit-supporting minister, has been promoted to replace David Davis as Brexit secretary, No 10 has announced."
... Patrick Greenfield of the Guardian: "A woman who was exposed to the nerve agent novichok in Amesbury, Wiltshire, has died in hospital. The Metropolitan police have launched a murder investigation after Dawn Sturgess, 44, from Durrington, died after handling an item contaminated with the nerve agent on 30 June. Her partner Charlie Rowley, 45, who was also taken ill after being exposed to the nerve agent, remains in a critical condition in hospital." Mrs. McC: And Donald Trump is having a friendly tête-à-tête with Vladimir Putin this week. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Sam Mednick of the Guardian: "Over the past three years, there have been a growing number of kidnaps in Congo's conflict-ridden Kivu provinces.... More than 730 people in North and South Kivu have been abducted or kidnapped for ransom since the beginning of the year, according to the Kivu Security Tracker, a joint project between Human Rights Watch and the Congo Research Group.... But the kidnapping of children for ransom is a relatively new phenomenon, particularly in Goma, the capital of North Kivu. Exact figures are hard to come by, but one child protection group in North Kivu says that, in 2017, 215 children were abducted in the province and 34 killed." --safari
Damian Carrington of the Guardian: "A mysterious surge in emissions of an illegal ozone-destroying chemical has been tracked down to plastic foam manufacturers in China, according to an on-the-ground investigation published on Monday. The chemical, trichlorofluoromethane or CFC-11, has been banned around the world since 2010 and is a potent destroyer of ozone.... A shock rise in the gas in recent years was revealed by atmospheric scientists in May.... The Environmental Investigation Agency, a non-governmental organisation, has now identified widespread use of CFC-11 factories in China that make insulating foams.... [T]he companies said the use of CFC-11 was rife in the sector.... Without action, the CFC-11 emissions would delay the recovery of the planet's ozone hole by a decade, scientists estimate." --safari...
... Damian Carrington: "One in three fish caught around the world never makes it to the plate, either being thrown back overboard or rotting before it can be eaten, according to the UN Food and Agriculture Organization." --safari...
... David Roberts of Vox: "A coalition of seven Dutch political parties recently unveiled a climate policy proposal that is breathtaking in its ambition. If it becomes law, it will codify the most stringent targets for greenhouse gas reductions of any country in the world. There are still several steps between the proposal and passage.... It is widely expected to pass in something like its current form by late next summer. It would be the world's eighth national climate law (after the UK, Mexico, Denmark, Finland, France, Norway, and Sweden), but it boasts a few features that make it particularly notable." --safari...
... Juan Cole makes a bold prediction: "[W]e now have a pretty solid estimate for the beginning of the end of oil: 2030 at the latest. After that, it is a long or short spiral down to a cost set by the world need for hydrocarbon-based fertilizer and other lesser uses of oil (none of which come near to generating volume and prices similar to gasoline for automobiles). The end of oil will be huge for US politics, economy and foreign policy. Stay tuned. And if your retirement fund has a significant position in Big Oil, get out of it." --safari
News Ledes
The Guardian's liveblog of developments in the Thai cave rescue operation is here. @7:43 am ET: " Six boys have been rescued and six more and their coach remain in the cave."
Update @9:39 am ET: "The Thai navy Seals have confirmed that eight boys have been rescued from the Tham Luang cave complex in Northern Thailand, after two separate rescue operations. A further four boys were rescued on Monday after four were rescued on Sunday. A further four boys and their coach Ekapol Chantawong remain in the cave. The identities of the rescued boys have not been confirmed."