The Conversation -- August 19, 2024
Grace Ashford, et al., of the New York Times: "George Santos, the disgraced former Republican congressman from New York whose penchant for lying led to one of the oddest sideshows in modern U.S. politics, pleaded guilty on Monday to wire fraud and aggravated identity theft. While Mr. Santos's plea will allow him to avoid a trial on a total of nearly two dozen charges -- including money laundering and stealing public funds -- it all but ensures he will face at least two years in prison and as long as two decades. The trial was set to begin next month.... Mr. Santos repeatedly insisted that he would defend his innocence in court, only to reverse course as the opportunity approached."
Rhona Tarrant of CBS News: "... Donald Trump shared AI-generated images of women wearing 'Swifties for Trump' t-shirts to his Truth Social account on Sunday, including a satirical post that claimed Taylor Swift fans were turning to Trump after security concerns forced the cancellation of her Vienna concerts earlier this month. Trump captioned the post 'I accept!' and shared screenshots of four X posts that show women wearing 'Swifties for Trump' t-shirts, as well as a fabricated image of Taylor Swift that reads, 'Taylor wants you to vote for Donald Trump.' Swift has not endorsed a presidential candidate in this election but endorsed President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2020 race." ~~~
~~~ You can see Trump's post here. Thanks to RAS for the link. MB: Of the 10 photos posted, it appears 8 are A.I.-generated. Two, of the same young woman, are real.
The Bluff Cannot Hold. Michael Bender of the New York Times: "Senator JD Vance of Ohio on Monday accused Vice President Kamala Harris and Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota of misleading the public about their records and taking relatively few questions on the campaign trail. But Mr. Vance's attacks, made to supporters at an appearance in Philadelphia, also trained the spotlight on his own less-than-direct answers to specific questions, including whether he and ... Donald J. Trump would support an increase in the federal minimum wage and whether his own opinions have changed on the need for a federal abortion ban."
Jamie Gangel & Gregory Krieg of CNN: "Retired federal appeals court Judge J. Michael Luttig, a prominent conservative legal scholar put on the bench by President George H.W. Bush, is endorsing Vice President Kamala Harris over ... Donald Trump, whose candidacy he describes as an existential threat to American democracy. It will be the first time Luttig, a veteran of two Republican administrations, has voted for a Democrat. 'In the presidential election of 2024 there is only one political party and one candidate for the presidency that can claim the mantle of defender and protector of America's Democracy, the Constitution, and the Rule of Law,' Luttig wrote in a statement obtained exclusively by CNN. 'As a result, I will unhesitatingly vote for the Democratic Party's candidate for the Presidency of the United States, Vice President of the United States, Kamala Harris.'"
The New York Times is live-updating news of the Democratic convention. (Copies & partial copies of some entries after about 6:45 pm ET, when the convention was gaveled in, appear in Tuesday's Conversation.) ~~~
Neil Vigdor: "Democratic National Committee operatives projected a series of messages onto the facade of Donald Trump's 92-story condo-hotel tower in Chicago last night, a move that was intended to goad the former president on the eve of the party's convention. Some of the messages read 'Trump-Vance "Weird as Hell"' and "Project 2025 HQ."'..."
Maggie Astor: "Several organizations focused on combating climate change joined forces on Monday for a $55 million advertising campaign in support of Vice President Kamala Harris, embracing what they describe as the economic upside of the Democratic Party's environmental efforts. The campaign will include ads in at least six swing states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin."
Nicholas Fandos: "Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York, a leader of the Democratic party's progressive wing, will speak tonight in prime time from the convention floor, according to an aide to the congresswoman. The high-profile speaking slot is a sharp contrast to 2020, when she was allotted just 90 seconds to symbolically nominate Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont."
Jazmine Ulloa: "In Chicago, the Hispanic Caucus meeting at the D.N.C. this morning opened with a video of Vice President Kamala Harris speaking about her immigrant mother and how she was overlooked because of her accent.... The room breaks into applause for Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota, the Democratic vice-presidential nominee, as he drops in to make brief remarks."
Chris Cameron: "Delegates representing Democratic voters who cast 'uncommitted' ballots in the party's primaries held a news conference this morning, reiterating their calls for Vice President Kamala Harris and the Democratic Party to call for an arms embargo against Israel, and an end to its deadly military campaign in Gaza."
Cameron: "The Democratic party platform, released last night ahead of the nominating convention, has a few sections that are out of date: It erroneously mentions a 'second term for President Biden 19 times, nearly a month after ... Vice President Kamala Harris took over the top of the ticket."
Ernesto Londoño: "Demonstrators marching in Chicago said they remained hopeful that Vice President Kamala Harris would come out in favor of cutting military aid to Israel. During a gathering that has been peaceful and often joyful, many voters said they intended to support third-party candidates or refrain from voting in November."
Eric Lee: "Gov. JB Pritzker of Illinois welcoming President Biden to Chicago upon his arrival at Soldier Field."
Nicholas Bogel-Burroughs: "A small group of demonstrators calling for an end to the war in Gaza broke off from the main protest march that started at Union Park a few hours ago.... About 50 Chicago police officers -- roughly equal to the breakaway group of protesters -- have arrived to assist the police officers who were already here.... A group of riot police with helmets and batons are now entering from the other side, closing off the breakaway protest groups on either end.... The police detained at least four protesters who had broken away from the main protest group and gone through one of the security perimeter gates, including taking one protester to the ground and then dragging him away. Several protesters had been lobbing signs and cans at the police."
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Presidential Race
Axios has a rundown of the main speakers at the Democratic National Convention, which begins today.
Jonathan Martin of Politico in Politico Magazine: "Democrats are a healthier, better organized, more hierarchical and even ruthless party.... This doesn't mean [Vice President] Harris is sure to prevail in November. Her challenges and those of the party remain.... As David Axelrod, the longtime Democratic strategist puts it, the Great Summer Swap of 2024 only handed the party a chance to compete -- it hardly guaranteed victory. Happy Days aren't here again just yet. That Democrats made such a wrenching decision, though, illuminates a crucial distinction between the parties. Saddled with an aging and unpopular incumbent president, Democrats used President Biden's disastrous debate performance to stage what was effectively a front-bench putsch. Orchestrated by other party leaders, Biden's ouster revealed how pragmatic, cold-eyed and unsentimental Democrats have become in the age of Trump.... The non-MAGA Republicans only wish they could pull off what their opposition did last month."
Rebecca O'Brien & Nicholas Nehamas of the New York Times: "... Vice President Kamala Harris and her running mate, Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota, headed out on a brief bus tour on Sunday to fire up voters in perhaps the most crucial battleground state in the 2024 election.... Ms. Harris and Mr. Walz were joined on the outing by their spouses, Doug Emhoff and Gwen Walz, traveling in two new campaign buses from the Pittsburgh airport, where they arrived on Air Force Two to greet a small group of supporters. The Pittsburgh and Philadelphia areas are the two main drivers of Democratic support in Pennsylvania, a state whose 19 electoral votes could decide the presidency. Recent polling shows a neck-and-neck race there between Ms. Harris and ... Donald J. Trump, with some surveys showing Ms. Harris gaining a narrow edge recently.... Speaking to a crowd of supporters outside the Rochester campaign office on Sunday, Ms. Harris appeared to suggest that Mr. Trump was a 'coward.'... Over the last several years there's been this kind of perversion that has taken place, I think, which is to suggest that the measure of the strength of a leader is based on who you beat down,' Ms. Harris said -- though she did not name Mr. Trump. 'Anybody who's about beating down other people is a coward.'" ~~~
~~~ Reuters' story on the cowardly lyin' Trump is here.
Anumita Kaur of the Washington Post: "Former Republican congresswoman Barbara Comstock endorsed Kamala Harris's presidential bid on Sunday, joining another former Virginia representative [Denver Riggleman] in crossing party lines while the state's GOP establishment remains firmly in Donald Trump's camp. 'After Jan. 6, after Donald Trump has refused for four years to acknowledge that he lost, and his threats against democracy, I think it's important to turn the page,' Comstock said during a CNN interview Sunday. 'That's why I will be voting for the vice president.'" The Hill's report is profiles President Biden. (Also linked yesterday.)
Peter Baker & Zolan Kanno-Youngs of the New York Times evaluate Kamala Harris's tenure as vice president. (Also linked yesterday.)
Are you better off today than you were four years ago? Here's Rhode Island casting its delegate votes for president in the 2020 virtual Democratic National Convention": ~~~
Colby Itkowitz & Hannah Allam of the Washington Post: "From the moment Vice President Kamala Harris emerged as the surprise Democratic presidential nominee..., Donald Trump began arguing that she was anointed through a 'coup' rather than chosen by primary voters. After barely mentioning election integrity at the Republican convention in July, Trump is now casting the upcoming election as 'rigged' against him and baselessly labeling any hurdle in his path as election interference. 'This was an overthrow of a president. This was an overthrow,' Trump said at a rally in Wilkes-Barre, Pa., on Saturday, referring to Harris replacing Biden on the ticket.... This was a coup.' Trump's efforts to undermine confidence in this year's election are reminiscent of the tactics he used in the 2020 campaign and indicate how he could again seek to delegitimize the results if he loses, setting the stage for another combustible fight over the presidency, election and national security experts said." ~~~
~~~ Marie: If you're thinking, "So what?" see Nick Corasaniti's report & Rachel Maddow's op-ed, linked below. And if you still think the GOP plot to steal the election if necessary won't work, think of the corrupt Supremes. There's a high possibility that five or six crooked justices could rule that an operational plot was Constitutional.
Miranda Nazzaro of the Hill: "Fox News chief political analyst Brit Hume on Sunday argued that while former President Trump could win the November election, voters' dislike of him makes him 'not a majority candidate.'... While Trump has a 'very hard, solid base of support,' Hume argued, it does not go above 40 to 45 percent. 'So, his weakness is the predicate for our politics going back now three elections,' Hume said. 'He was able to surmount Hillary Clinton, a uniquely unpopular opponent, but he couldn't beat Biden, and you know, you look at the losses in the midterms -- or the disappointing results in the midterms -- it's all about one thing, it's about that.' In the end, the enthusiasm felt among his supporters will not be enough to make him a 'majority candidate,' Hume said."
Trump & Vance, Expert Statisticians
As a result of Kamala's inflation price hikes, they've cost the typical household a total of $28,000. These are numbers coming from the government. They are not coming from me. -- Donald Trump, media event in Bedminster, N.J., August 15
Trump might have picked up the $28,000 figure from "a random statistic in a blog post." -- Glenn Kessler, Washington Post
Senator Jay Dee Gets His "Crime Stats" from the Movies. Jazmine Ulloa & Chris Cameron of the New York Times: "Senator JD Vance of Ohio, the Republican vice-presidential nominee, on Friday defended his past unsubstantiated claims about immigration in which he suggested that early waves of Italian, Irish and German immigration led to higher crime and interethnic conflict, by citing the movie 'Gangs of New York.'... 'Well, first of all, I also said there were a lot of benefits to that wave of immigration, but has anybody ever seen the movie "Gangs of New York"? That's what I'm talking about,' he said. 'We know that when you have these massive ethnic enclaves forming in our country, it can sometimes lead to higher crime rates.'... Historians and criminologists say there are no empirical studies to support claims like those made by Mr. Vance. The studies that do exist have repeatedly concluded that immigrants are less likely to commit crimes than people born in the United States.... Tyler Anbinder, a historian who ... served as a historical adviser for the movie 'Gangs of New York,' said immigrants in New York during the film's time period and since have not committed crime disproportionate to their population numbers and have almost always been arrested at lower rates than natives."
Azi Paybarah, et al., of the Washington Post: "More than $247 million was spent in the first six months of this year on television, streaming platform and digital ads that mention immigration, according to AdImpact, which tracks campaign advertising. That is $40 million more than ads that mention any other issue. Over 90 percent of the ads supported Republican candidates and were paid for by their campaigns or political action committees backing them.... Taken as a whole, the ads convey an unrealistic portrait of the border as being overrun and inaccurately characterize immigrants generally as a threat, of which there is little evidence. FBI data show U.S. border cities are among the nation's safest. And a 2023 report from a group of economists found immigrants are at least 30 percent less likely to be incarcerated than U.S.-born individuals.... Footage [show Border Patrol agents teargassing migrants storming the border] was taken during the Trump administration, but in dozens of ads, it is paired with voice-over and text tying it to Democrats."
The New & Improved Jim Crow. Nick Corasaniti of the New York Times: "Since the [Republican] takeover [in May], the Georgia State Election Board has approved a host of rules on certifications and investigations backed by right-wing election activists who claim, falsely, that the 2020 election was stolen from Mr. Trump. The moves underscore a sharp rightward turn for what is supposed to be an apolitical body.... If there is another chaotic challenge to the election results this November, Georgia is shaping up to be a hot spot, as it was in 2020." ~~~
~~~ Rachel Maddow, in a New York Times op-ed: "Since Donald Trump and Ronna McDaniel, the then-chair of the Republican National Committee, phoned local officials in Michigan in November 2020 to encourage them not to certify vote totals, Republicans have quietly seeded county and state election boards with eager allies. Election boards across the country now include Republican officials who have not only propounded Mr. Trump's lies about the last presidential election being 'stolen,' they have tested how far they can go in denying the certification of the vote.... In the past three and a half years, the ad hoc certification ploys that failed to flip the last presidential election to Mr. Trump have been professionalized and systematized by Republican officials and their allies.... In Georgia, the State Election Board approved a rule this month that gives election officials in each of the state's 159 counties the option to delay or refuse certification in order to make a 'reasonable inquiry' into the results.... The point of ... certification refusals may not be to falsify or flip a result, but simply to prevent the emergence of one. If one or more states fail to produce official results, blocking any candidate from reaching 270 electoral votes, the 12th Amendment prescribes ... a vote in the newly elected House of Representatives to determine the presidency. Each state delegation would get one vote; today, Republicans control 26 state delegations; Democrats control 22; and two are evenly divided."
Fake Impeachment Report Caps Fake Impeachment Investigation. Luke Broadwater of the New York Times: "House Republicans on Monday formally made the case for impeaching President Biden, releasing a lengthy report accusing him of corruption and seeking to allow his family to profit off his office in connection with foreign business deals made by his son Hunter, who has been charged with felony tax crimes. In the 291-page document, released on the day that Democrats gather in Chicago to begin their party convention, Republicans call Mr. Biden's conduct 'egregious' and say he should be impeached for abuse of power and obstruction. But the report contains no proof that Mr. Biden, when he was vice president, engaged in any corrupt quid pro quo to benefit his son's business partners, and Republicans admit they have no direct evidence that he ordered any interference into a Justice Department investigation into Hunter Biden.... Like the impeachment investigation itself, the report -- prepared by the Oversight, Judiciary and Ways and Means Committees after a monthslong investigation -- appears to be orchestrated for maximum political impact."
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Minnesota. We Think We Can, We Think We Can. Katie Robertson of the New York Times: "Many metropolitan newspapers across the country have narrowed their ambitions in recent years, closing regional bureaus and cutting back statewide coverage in an effort to trim costs. The Star Tribune in Minneapolis is taking the opposite tack. The paper will now be called The Minnesota Star Tribune, its chief executive announced on Sunday, and it will use an injection of money from its billionaire owner [Glen Taylor] to expand its coverage beyond the Twin Cities into other parts of the state. Steve Grove, the publisher and chief executive, said the push, which includes hiring reporters in various parts of the state, was part of an effort to as much as triple the publication's paid digital subscriptions over the next five years."
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Israel/Palestine, et al. The New York Times' live updates of developments Monday in the Israel/Hamas war are here. Here's part of the pinned item (@ 8 am ET): "Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken met with officials in Israel on Monday at what he called 'a decisive moment' for diplomatic negotiations aimed at reaching a cease-fire in Gaza and securing the release of hostages. After months without progress, talks that ended in Qatar on Friday and were expected to resume this week in Egypt represented 'probably the best, maybe the last, opportunity to get the hostages home, to get a cease-fire, and to put everyone on a better path to enduring peace and security,' Mr. Blinken said as he met with President Isaac Herzog in Tel Aviv."
News Ledes
New York Times: "Phil Donahue, who in the 1960s reinvented the television talk show with a democratic flourish, inviting audiences to question his guests on topics as resolutely high-minded as human rights and international relations, and as unblushingly lowbrow as male strippers and safe-sex orgies, died on Sunday at his home on the Upper East Side of Manhattan. He was 88."
New York Times: "Ruth Johnson Colvin, who founded what became one of the world's largest organizations of volunteers tutoring basic language skills to functionally illiterate peoples in America and other lands, opening doors to citizenship and better lives, died on Sunday at her home in Syracuse, N.Y. She was 107."