The Commentariat -- July 27, 2012
“Deleveraging Shock.” Paul Krugman: what happens when "everyone is trying to pay down debt at the same time. Household borrowing has plunged; businesses are sitting on cash because there's no reason to expand capacity when the sales aren't there; and the result is that investors ... [have] no place to put their money. So they’re buying government debt, even at very low returns, for lack of alternatives.... They are in effect begging governments to issue more debt. And governments should be granting their wish, not obsessing over short-term deficits.... It's simply crazy to be laying off schoolteachers and canceling infrastructure projects at a time when investors are offering zero- or negative-interest financing."
... "... add The New York Times editorial page to the list of the converted [a/k/a A**HOLES -- see video above]. We forcefully advocated the repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act. 'Few economic historians now find the logic behind Glass-Steagall persuasive,' one editorial said in 1988. Another, in 1990, said that the notion that 'banks and stocks were a dangerous mixture' 'makes little sense now.' ... Having seen the results of this sweeping deregulation, we now think we were wrong to have supported it."
Euripides, Banking Guru. Rob Urban & Sharon Smyth of Bloomberg News: "faced with mounting mortgage delinquencies are following the advice of 5th-century BC playwright Euripides: Time heals. Banks restructure loans rather than foreclose, extend terms to as long as 45 years, grant payment holidays of up to a year when borrowers are only required to make interest payments, or add guarantors to loans, often children who will eventually inherit the property." CW: Another argument for a classical education.
Conor Friedersdorf of the Atlantic: "An investigation undertaken by law clinics at NYU, Fordham, Harvard, and Stanford has concluded, after eight months of study, that the NYPD abused Occupy Wall Street protesters and violated their rights on numerous occasions during the 2011 protests that radiated out from Zuccotti Park. Their report ... focuses on transgressions against international law." Friedersdorf lists some of the incidents which -- because of independent documentation -- appears most credible.
Presidential Race
CW: for those of you who are discouraged that millions of Americans will vote for a guy who in 24 hours insults our "special" Anglo-Saxon friends, reveals their state secrets & spends the evening collecting bribes from the local fat cats, here's some better news from Nate Silver: "Mr. Obama's chances of winning the Electoral College rose in our model, to 66.4 percent from 65.0 percent, mostly because the stock market gain slightly bolstered the model's economic index." CW: these numbers are volatile, but they beat "Romney leads Obama."
England is just a small island. Its roads and houses are small. With few exceptions, it doesn't make things that the rest of the world wants to buy. And if it hadn't been separated from the continent by water, it almost certainly would have been lost to Hitler's ambition. -- Mitt Romney, from his book No Apology
WE Are Amused at our Veddy, Veddy Diplomatic GOP Presidential Candidate -- who has repeatedly stepped in it & pissed off our lovely Anglo-Saxon friends across the pond. Definitely not ready for primetime. Special relationship, my ass (or as Willard would say, "my backside"):
... Gaffe No. 1 begins a minute in:
... We are holding an Olympic Games in one of the busiest, most active, bustling cities anywhere in the world. Of course it's easier if you hold an Olympic Games in the middle of nowhere. -- David Cameron, British Prime Minister, responding to Romney's remark & alluding to the 2000 Olympics Romney ran in The Middle of Nowhere, Utah ...
... Adam Gabbatt of the Guardian: "From criticising the biggest sporting event Britain has held in over 40 years, to 'looking out of the backside of 10 Downing Street', Mitt Romney's first foreign trip of his presidential candidacy hasn't gone quite as well as he might have hoped. As the former Massachusetts governor continues to gaffe his way across London, [Gabbatt provides] a round-up of Romney's red-facers. So far." ...
... Boris Johnson, Mayor of London, comments before a crowd of thousand's on one of Romney's gaffes:
... "Worse than Sarah Palin." Sam Coates of the Times of London: "... senior figures in all three political parties suggested that they had not been overwhelmed by Mr Romney in person and were disappointed by his Olympics gaffe.... One diplomatic source said of the encounters: 'It is worse than Sarah Palin in terms of basic diplomacy.' Another said: 'There is none of the stardust of his opponent.'" ...
... Alex Spillius of the Telegraph: "His derisory comments questioning Britain's preparedness for the Olympics in an interview with NBC were a strange way to build bridges with a country that he says should be restored as the umbilical ally of the United States, and a strange way to demonstrate the persuasive qualities needed as leader of the free world.... His comments to NBC ... showed how poorly he understands the land of his forefathers.... A standard [Romney campaign] refrain is to run down Europe -- not a hard case to make at the moment -- and that includes us. Not once have I heard him praise Britain or extol the special relationship he now belatedly trumpets. He even reprised his dislike of the [British National Health Service] shortly before leaving for these shores...." ...
... Suzi Parker of the Washington Post: "Rule number one when visiting a foreign country: Don't insult it.... [Romney's visit] is such a stark contrast from when Obama visited London in July 2008. He was cheered in the streets with 'Yes We Can.' (So far, no reports of massive cheering for Romney can be found.)" ...
... Matt Yglesias proves that Mitt is right: "English" houses really are small. ...
... David Taintor of TPM has a bit more on the Brits' reactions to Romney's insults. ...
... Ditto Holly Bailey of Yahoo! News. ...
... A video recap from the Democratic National Committee:
... AND Alex Altman of Time has an excellent overview of Romney's rolling gaffes. "Romney's blunders have undercut the entire purpose of the trip, which was to prove he could adequately represent U.S. interests with international leaders despite his scant foreign policy experience. He hasn’t met that standard so far." ...
... CW: Okay, this "gaffe" isn't so funny. Steve Chaggaris of CBS News: Romney revealed that he met with the leader of MI6, the British intelligence agency, which he was supposed to "keep under wraps." MI6 would not acknowledge the meeting. Includes video of Romney giving reporters an apparently classified account. He's just not all that smart. ...
... The Upside: Romney dissed Americans in London, too. NBC Reporters: "... those of us that have traveled overseas and been involved in these VERY limited press avails have rarely seen heads of democracies TOTALLY ignore their own press corps but answer ANOTHER press corps' questions." ...
... AND There's This: Ashley Parker & Landon Thomas of the New York Times: "After a day made long by his remarks about London's readiness for the Olympic Games, Mitt Romney found a friendlier audience here on Thursday night at fund-raisers heavily populated with American financiers...." ...
... NOW, on to Israel where Romney will make friends with ordinary people by visiting a deli & ordering a ham sandwich before heading to Poland to regale the locals with hilariously offensive Polish jokes. ...
... AP: "Michelle Obama formally opened her stint as leader of the U.S. Olympics delegation on Friday morning, attending a breakfast with American Olympians and saying she was 'just in awe' of their company." Obama, who eschewed the new American practice of disparaging the host country and sharing its state secrets in public remarks, was rewarded with social invitations from Queen Elizabeth II and Britain's first lady Samantha Cameron.
Jonathan Chait of New York: "Last night, Brian Williams asked Romney [see video above] to distinguish his approach to economic growth from Bush's. The answer was a mere recapitulation of his plans.... Romney did not make the slightest attempt to distinguish his approach from Bush’s. Of course that is because it's the same thing! Every single idea Romney listed -- low taxes, free trade, less regulation, developing energy, etc. -- was part of Bush's program.... Conservative rhetoric almost uniformly fails to acknowledge that even pre-crash growth under Bush was absolutely miserable."
** NEW. A very good piece by Jonathan Alter on "You Didn't Build That": "Romney said the president's gaffes reflected his 'strange' views, and supporters such as former New Hampshire Governor John Sununu said such beliefs were 'un-American.' In fact, it's the DIY libertarians -- who deny our 223-year nexus between government and business -- who are out of sync with U.S. history.... Like it or not, our private sector has always operated with at least some indirect government help. And it's perfectly legitimate for the president to point that out."
PolitiFact on "You Didn't Build That": "In speeches and videos, the Romney campaign has repeatedly distorted Obama's words. By plucking two sentences out of context, Romney twists the president's remarks and ignores their real meaning.... Romney also conveniently ignores Obama's clear summary of his message, that 'the point is ... that when we succeed, we succeed because of our individual initiative, but also because we do things together.'" ...
... More Proof that People Vote Republican Because They're Stupid or Delusional. Michael Van Sickler of the Tampa Bay Times: Mitt Romney's "We Did Build This" Farce put on another road-show event in Tampa featuring two local business people boasting about how they got no help at all from the government. One teensy problem: most of their work is on government projects. In addition, both get a leg up on government contracts because of their minority status, something they don't get in the private sector. CW: reading these people's rationalizations for their anti-government views just leaves you shaking your head -- or wanting to shake some sense into theirs. ...
... Aviva Shen of Think Progress runs down a list of Romney's stellar examples of totally "independent" businesspeople who "Did Build This" -- with a lot of help from the government.
... "It's a Weekday, So It's Time for Another Misleading Edit of an Obama Quote." Dave Weigel of Slate:
What He Said: I'll cut out government spending that's not working, that we can't afford, but I'm also going to ask anybody making over $250,000 a year to go back to the tax rates they were paying under Bill Clinton, back when our economy created 23 million new jobs, the biggest budget surplus in history and everybody did well. Just like we've tried their plan, we tried our plan -- and it worked. That's the difference. That's the choice in this election. That's why I'm running for a second term.
What the Romney Camp Says He Said: Just like we've tried their plan, we tried our plan -- and it worked. That's the difference. That's the choice in this election. That's why I'm running for a second term.
... "All out of Context, All the Time." Steve Benen: "Republicans aren't just occasionally taking Obama quotes out of context; they're actually building their entire 2012 campaign strategy around sentiments the president didn't actually say." Benen runs down a few of the more flagrant examples.
Maggie Haberman of Politico: "... the Priorities USA Action ad mocking Mitt Romney on the Olympics came down from YouTube [Thursday] morning, over copyright infringement warnings from the International Olympics Committee." Haberman thinks the whole purpose of the ad was to force both campaigns & their supporters to keep ads featuring the Olympics off the air so Willard can't so easily tout his role in the 2000 Winter Olympics.
The ultra-conservative New Hampshire Union-Leader on Romney's refusal to release his taxes: "How did Romney get himself into this position in the first place? He has been running for office for a long time. His presidential aspirations predate the tax returns in question. What could he possibly have been thinking when he failed to ensure that everything contained in those documents was above reproach? Or was he simply not thinking at all? Surely he could not have arrogantly believed that he could withstand any storm that developed by bluffing his way through it? If so, it hasn't worked."
News Ledes
President Obama signs the United States-Israel Enhanced Security Cooperation Act of 2012:
... Yahoo! News: "The president also announced he would speed another $70 million to Israel to advance the so-called 'Iron Dome' short-range missile defense system, a response to sustained rocket fire from Palestinians in the Gaza Strip."
Crime Still Pays. Telegraph of London: "Jerry del Missier, the former Barclays Bank executive at the centre of the interest-rate rigging scandal that cost the lender £290m, has walked away with a pay-off of almost £9m."
Washington Post: "The shooting suspect in the Colorado theater rampage was seeing a university psychiatrist specializing in schizophrenia in the weeks before the July 20 attack, according to court records released Friday."
Bloomberg News: "The U.S. economy expanded at a slower pace in the second quarter as a softening job market prompted Americans to curb spending. Gross domestic product, the value of all goods and services produced, rose at a 1.5 percent annual rate after a revised 2 percent gain in the prior quarter...."
The Hill: "Senior House and Senate leaders voiced optimism that they could reach agreement on a stopgap spending measure that would prevent a government shutdown shortly before the November election."
New York Times: "Syrian Army helicopters fired on neighborhoods in Aleppo on Friday morning, activists said, as the army readied assault troops and armored columns for a possible invasion of the city, Syria's densely populated commercial capital.... On Friday a member of the Syrian Parliament, [Iklhas Badawi,] had defected and crossed into Turkey." ...
... Reuters: President "Obama is moving cautiously toward greater support for Syrian rebels, as international diplomatic efforts that had been Obama's first preference falter.... The White House has crafted a presidential directive, called a 'finding,' that would authorize greater covert assistance for the rebels, while still stopping short of arming them. It is not clear whether Obama has signed the document...."
Washington Post: "Iran is rapidly gaining new capabilities to strike at U.S. warships in the Persian Gulf, amassing an arsenal of sophisticated anti-ship missiles while expanding its fleet of fast-attack boats and submarines, U.S. and Middle Eastern analysts say. The new systems, many of them developed with foreign assistance, are giving Iran's commanders new confidence that they could quickly damage or destroy U.S. ships if hostilities erupt...."
Cold War Redux. AP: "Russia is talking to Cuba, Vietnam and the Indian Ocean island country of Seychelles about housing Russian navy ships, the nation's navy chief said in remarks reported Friday.... [President Vladimir] Putin ... has grown increasingly eager to challenge Washington."
Reuters: "Barclays Plc revealed a new regulatory probe and more U.S. lawsuits on Friday, making it harder for the British lender to repair the damage to its reputation caused by its role in the interest rate-rigging scandal shaking banks. Despite these latest blows, Barclays beat forecasts with a profit of more than 4 billion pounds ($6.3 billion) in the first six months of the year."
Austerity, as Good an Idea as Ever. Bloomberg News: "Spanish unemployment rose to the highest on record after Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy made it easier to fire workers while implementing the steepest budget cuts in the country's recent democratic history. Unemployment, already the highest in the European Union, rose to 24.6 percent in the second quarter."
New York Times: "Jeff Bezos, the billionaire founder of Amazon.com, and his wife, MacKenzie, have agreed to donate $2.5 million to help pass a same-sex marriage referendum in Washington State, instantly becoming among the largest financial backers of gay marriage rights in the country."
Haaretz: "A day before Romney is due to land in Israel, U.S. President Barack Obama will sign the United States-Israel Enhanced Security Cooperation Act, which is meant to approve and expand military cooperation between the two countries. The act, which Congress passed a week ago, will be signed by the U.S. president at a White House ceremony on Friday."