The Commentariat -- January 30, 2018
Afternoon Update:
** As Plot Lines Converge. Devlin Barrett & Karoun Demirjian of the Washington Post: "The Justice Department's inspector general has been focused for months on why Andrew McCabe, as the No. 2 official at the FBI, appeared not to act for about three weeks on a request to examine a batch of Hillary Clinton-related emails found in the latter stages of the 2016 election campaign, according to people familiar with the matter.... A key question of the internal investigation is whether McCabe or anyone else at the FBI wanted to avoid taking action on the laptop findings until after the Nov. 8 election, these people said. It is unclear whether the inspector general has reached any conclusions on that point.... On Monday, McCabe left the FBI, following a meeting with FBI Director Christopher A. Wray in which they discussed the inspector general's investigation, according to people familiar with the matter.... McCabe was aware of the matter by late September or early October at the latest, according to the people familiar with the matter." ...
... Mrs. McCrabbie Note of Caution: It's not ridiculous to suspect the reporters' sources are members of the notorious Nunes Gang. Another likely possibility: The New York City-based Giuliani Gang, which has infiltrated the FBI branch there.
Daniella Diaz of CNN: "Rep. Paul Gosar said he requested that US Capitol Police arrest undocumented immigrants attending ... Donald Trump's State of the Union address on Tuesday.... The Arizona Republican, who is known as an immigration hardliner, tweeted his request that police 'consider checking identification of all attending the State of the Union address and arresting any illegal aliens in attendance.' He added they should "arrest those using fraudulent social security numbers and identification to pass through security.' A considerable number of Democratic lawmakers are bringing undocumented immigrants to Trump's State of the Union address amid the immigration debate that's shaking out on Capitol Hill." Thanks to Akhilleus for the link. Mrs. McC: These people are such twisted SOBs they don't know they're twisted SOBs -- in fact, they boast about it.
Floor Me Once..., Floor Me Twice.... Say Congress wrote a bill, & you were the president* who signed that bill into law, a law which required your administration -- within six months -- to compile a list of Russian oligarchs involved in corruption & therefore whom the U.S. should sanction. How would you go about putting together that list? Wouldn't you assign multiple staff from, say, the CIA, the NSA, the State Department, the Treasury, providing input & sharing information & analysis? Something like that. Well, no, not if you were President* Trump. If you were Trump, you would crib that list -- not from U.S. intelligence agencies & other government sources, but from the magazine rack next to your golden throne. ...
... The Most Farcical Presidency in American History. Natasha Turak of CNBC: "The U.S. Treasury Department's list released Monday detailing 210 Russian oligarchs and close political affiliates of President Vladimir Putin bears a striking resemblance to a list of Russia's richest citizens published in Forbes Magazine in 2017. In fact, almost all 96 oligarchs listed in the unclassified annex of the report, who have a net worth of at least $1 billion, can be found in Forbes' ranking of the '200 richest businessmen in Russia 2017.'" ...
... John Hudson of BuzzFeed: "On Tuesday, a Treasury Department spokesperson confirmed to BuzzFeed News that the unclassified annex of the report was derived from Forbes' ranking of the '200 richest businessmen in Russia 2017.'" ...
... Sylvan Lane of the Hill: At a Senate Banking hearing this morning, "Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Tuesday [-- in response to outrage over his handling of Russian sanctions --] the Trump administration will impose financial sanctions on dozens of wealthy Russians despite the president declining a congressional deadline to do so. Mnuchin said that a report issued Monday on suspected financiers of Russian government political efforts is not a substitute for financial restrictions Congress mandated in a bill passed last year.... Trump announced Monday night that th current regiment of financial sanctions on Russia was doing enough to deter the country's unstabilizing political and military actions, declining to add others."
Stephanie Kirchgaessner & Nick Hopkins of the Guardian: "The FBI inquiry into alleged Russian collusion in the 2016 US presidential election has been given a second memo that independently set out some of the same allegations made in a dossier by Christopher Steele, the British former spy. The second memo was written by Cody Shearer, a controversial political activist and former journalist who was close to the Clinton White House in the 1990s. Unlike Steele, Shearer does not have a background in espionage, and his memo was initially viewed with scepticism, not least because he had shared it with select media organisations before the election. However, the Guardian has been told the FBI investigation is still assessing details in the 'Shearer memo' and is pursuing intriguing leads.... The Shearer memo was provided to the FBI in October 2016 ... by Steele -- who had been given it by an American contact -- after the FBI requested the former MI6 agent provide any documents or evidence that could be useful in its investigation.... Among other things, both documents allege Donald Trump was compromised during a 2013 trip to Moscow that involved lewd acts in a five-star hotel.... There is no evidence that the Clinton campaign was aware of the Shearer memo."
Kyle Cheney & Rachel Bade of Politico: "Speaker Paul Ryan urged Republican colleagues Tuesday to avoid overstating the findings of a classified House intelligence committee memo that alleges misconduct by FBI officials investigating Trump campaign contacts with Russia. In a closed-door meeting with House Republicans at the Capitol, Ryan (R-Wis.) also urged lawmakers not to connect the findings of the memo with the probe being run by special counsel Robert Mueller, according to a source in the room. Ryan pleaded with members not to oversell the memo and to distinguish it from Mueller's investigation." ...
... MEANWHILE. Mike Emanuel of Fox "News": "House Speaker Paul Ryan called Tuesday to 'cleanse' the FBI as he openly backed the release of a controversial memo that purportedly details alleged surveillance abuses by the U.S. government. 'Let it all out, get it all out there. Cleanse the organization,' Ryan, R-Wis., said. He added: 'I think we should disclose all this stuff. It's the best disinfectant. Accountability, transparency -- for the sake of the reputation of our institutions.' The striking remarks came at a breakfast with anchors and reporters ahead of ... Donald Trump's State of the Union address; much of the session was off the record."
Carolyn Johnson of the Washington Post: "Three major employers, Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway and JP Morgan Chase, announced Tuesday they were partnering to create an independent company aimed at reining in health-care costs. There were almost no details available about how the company would function or how it would disrupt and simplify the complicated fabric of American health care. But there's no doubt that the companies, which collectively employ more than 1 million workers worldwide, have a real interest in ratcheting down their spending on health care. Health care premiums are split between employers and employees and have been growing much faster than wages."
Brian Fung & Mark Berman of the Washington Post: "The Hawaii employee who sent out a false alarm earlier this month warning of an incoming missile attack said he misheard a message played during a drill and believed a ballistic missile was actually heading for the state, according to a federal investigation. This contradicts the explanations previously offered by Hawaii officials, who have said the Jan. 13 alert was sent because the employee hit the wrong button on a drop-down menu."
*****
At 10:00 am ET, the top New York Times story is about how upset Trump's supporters are they he might not be leading the Hail Trump! salute & wearing his Pepe the Frog badge at tonight's SOTU speech. Mrs. McC: I'm not reading or linking the story, but there's a good chance it contains some disgusting sentiments.
Nicholas Fandos of the New York Times: "Republicans on the House Intelligence Committee, apparently disregarding Justice Department warnings that their actions would be 'extraordinarily reckless,' voted Monday evening to release a contentious secret memorandum said to accuse the department and the F.B.I. of misusing their authority to obtain a secret surveillance order on a former Trump campaign associate. The vote threw fuel on an already fiery partisan conflict over the investigations into Russia's brazen meddling in the 2016 presidential election. Republicans invoked a power never before used by the secretive committee to effectively declassify the memo that they had compiled. Democrats called the three-and-a half-page document a dangerous effort to build a narrative to undercut the department's ongoing Russia investigation, using cherry-picked facts assembled with little or no context." This story is breaking fast & @ 7:00 pm ET, the NYT is not yet on top of it. ...
... Chris Matthews of MSNBC News is a jerk, but he's right about this: "It looks like a slow-motion Saturday Night Massacre.... It's a purge." ...
... Ken Dilanian & Alex Johnson of NBC News: "... legal experts say the release of such classified surveillance details would be extraordinary on two counts: It could spill extremely sensitive secrets, and it could undermine the secrecy of a pending criminal investigation.... Republican House members have said the memo suggests that the FBI obtained its original Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, or FISA, warrant to conduct surveillance on [Trump campaign screwball Carter] Page by citing the dossier compiled by former British intelligence operative Christopher Steele, which was funded in part by Democrats. In fact, U.S. officials say the FBI had many other sources of information -- including intelligence from foreign governments -- suggesting possible collusion between the Trump campaign and Russia, in addition to the dossier. If the Republicans believe a national security warrant was obtained improperly, [Frank] Figliuzzi[, a former chief of FBI counterintelligence,] said, they could have alerted the Justice Department's inspector general or the judges on the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court, who sign the warrants. Instead, he said, they are taking a path that seems designed to inflict damage on the Russia investigation." ...
... Spencer Ackerman of the Daily Beast: "... the vote followed negotiations by both the FBI and the committee to give greater access for the bureau, to a memo that the FBI has not seen and which the Justice Department warned might harm counterintelligence investigations should it be released without vetting." ...
... Adam Goldman & Matt Apuzzo of the New York Times: "Andrew G. McCabe has stepped down as the F.B.I.'s deputy director, a move that was widely expected as he has repeatedly come under fire from Republicans in Congress and from President Trump. Mr. McCabe made his intentions known to colleagues on Monday, an American official said. He will immediately go on leave and plans to retire when he becomes eligible in mid-March." Mrs. McC: Well, the Von Trump Family Shitslingers can dance around the campfire tonight carrying McCabe's head on the end of stake. They're such WINNERS! (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... New Lede: "Andrew G. McCabe abruptly stepped down on Monday as the F.B.I.'s deputy director after months of withering criticism from President Trump, telling friends he felt pressure from the head of the bureau to leave, according to two people close to Mr. McCabe." ...
... David Graham of the Atlantic: "Two days before Christmas, Trump tweeted, 'FBI Deputy Director Andrew McCabe is racing the clock to retire with full benefits. 90 days to go?!!!'... McCabe was expected to stick around until March. Instead, he abruptly departed Monday, though he'll still be collecting those benefits. The deputy director is taking what is ominously known as 'terminal leave' -- he has accrued enough leave to depart his post now but not officially retire until benefits vest."
... The Nastiest Ass in the U.S.A. Carol Lee of NBC News: "The day after he fired James Comey as director of the FBI, a furious ... Donald Trump called the bureau's acting director, Andrew McCabe, demanding to know why Comey had been allowed to fly on an FBI plane from Los Angeles back to Washington after he was dismissed, according to multiple people familiar with the phone call. McCabe told the president he hadn't been asked to authorize Comey's flight, but if anyone had asked, he would have approved it, three people familiar with the call recounted to NBC News. The president was silent for a moment and then turned on McCabe, suggesting he ask his wife how it feels to be a loser -- an apparent reference to a failed campaign for state office in Virginia that McCabe's wife made in 2015. McCabe replied, 'OK, sir.' Trump then hung up the phone." ...
... digby's headline: "Good God what an asshole."
... Another Time Trump Lost It. Jennifer Jacobs of Bloomberg: "... Donald Trump's frustrations with the Russia investigation boiled over on Air Force One last week when he learned that a top Justice Department official had warned against releasing a memo that could undercut the probe, according to four people with knowledge of the matter. Trump erupted in anger while traveling to Davos after learning that Associate Attorney General Stephen Boyd warned that it would be 'extraordinarily reckless' to release a classified memo written by House Republican staffers.... For Trump, the letter was yet another example of the Justice Department undermining him and stymieing Republican efforts to expose what the president sees as the politically motivated agenda behind Special Counsel Robert Mueller's probe. Trump's outburst capped a week where Trump and senior White House officials personally reproached Attorney General Jeff Sessions and asked White House Chief of Staff John Kelly to speak to others -- episodes that illustrate Trump's preoccupation with the Justice Department." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... David Atkins in the Washington Monthly: "In the last 24 hours we've seen two stories of Trump throwing deranged temper tantrums related to the FBI probe.... Donald Trump has spent his entire life insulated from repercussions by his father's money, and by an entire coterie of much more intelligent and talented people protecting him from his actions. A fixer like Roy Cohn takes care of everything for him: every woman he assaults or uses gets paid off or destroyed in the press, every business partner or contractor he burns gets pennies on the dollar or countersued, every bad investment and scam that would put a normal person into the poorhouse or worse gets taken care of through clever legal and accounting jujitsu.... The problem for Trump is that there is no fixer for the situation he is in. He famously asked 'Where's my Roy Cohn?' when the walls of the Russia investigation slowly began to close in around him.... What will he do when the pressure becomes too much to bear? ... When that day comes, it will be a trial for American democracy like few before it." ...
... Susan Glasser of Politico Magazine: "Congress late last year received 'extraordinarily important new documents' in its investigation of ... Donald Trump and his campaign's possible collusion with the 2016 Russian election hacking, opening up significant new lines of inquiry in the Senate Intelligence Committee's probe of the president, Sen. Mark Warner (D-Va.) says in an exclusive new interview.... Warner calls out [Rep. Devin] Nunes [R-Calif.], the chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, in arguably more explicit terms than any Democrat has yet, saying he has read the underlying classified material used in the memo and that Nunes misrepresented it as part of a McCarthyite 'secret Star Chamber' effort to discredit the FBI probe of the president.... Warner offers a provocative rationale for why it is we are now seeing such a stepped-up campaign by Trump and his defenders against those who seek to provide us the answers. 'Mueller is getting closer and closer to the truth,' Warner tells me, and 'closer and closer to the truth is getting closer and closer to the president.'... The spectacle on Capitol Hill is sure to continue." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Paul Rosenzweig, in the Atlantic, details why Robert Mueller, Rod Rosenstein, or anybody else in the Justice Department is highly unlikely to indict Trump. "The resolution of the current American crisis is going to be political, not criminal. The future lies with Congress and, ultimately, the electorate, not with prosecutors and the courts." Mrs. McC: I have no idea whether or not Rosenzweig is correct in every particular & conjecture -- many attorney disagree with him -- but his is a sober reality chek for those of us hoping something would be done to rid us of Trump.
What's wrong with this picture?They Screw up Everything, Including M & N. Heather Caygle of Politico: Here's a shot of the official invitation to the event formerly known as the State of the Union address. ...
... Keeping It Classy. John Wagner of the Washington Post: "President Trump is seeking to parlay his first State of the Union address on Tuesday into cash for his reelection campaign by offering supporters a chance to see their name flashed on the screen during a broadcast of the speech. In a fundraising solicitation on Monday, Trump offered those willing to pay at least $35 the opportunity to see their name displayed during a live streaming of the address on his campaign website." ...
... Mrs. McCrabbie: Ah well, their names probably will be misspelled. Let us pause to remind ourselves that the SOTU address is a solemn Constitutional mandate. "[The President] shall from time to time give to the Congress Information of the State of the Union, and recommend to their Consideration such Measures as he shall judge necessary and expedient." (Article II, Sec. 3) The SOTU address or is not a campaign speech even if most presidents in recent memory have treated it as a vehicle for self-promotion. To treat the SOTU like the jumbotron at a ball game might be the sleeziest thing I've ever heard of. The same guy who claimed ball players kneeling for justice were "disrespecting the flag" (they were doing the opposite), also thinks it's A-OK to treat the Constitution as a marketing tool. (The Constitution is far more important than the flag, since the Constitution is the basis of nation while the flag is merely a symbol of it.) I thought Trump had lost the power to floor me. I was wrong. ...
... "Please Don't Call Him Presidential." Michelle Goldberg of the New York Times: "... I'm begging my fellow pundits not to get too excited should Trump manage to read from a teleprompter without foaming at the mouth or saying anything overtly racist. No matter how well Trump delivers the lines in his State of the Union ... he will not become presidential. There will be no turning of corners or uniting the country. At best, Trump will succeed in impersonating a minimally competent leader for roughly the length of an episode of 'The Apprentice.' And if he does, recent history suggests that he will be praised as the second coming of Lincoln." ...
... "The State of the Union Is Awfully Precarious." Michael Tomasky of the Daily Beast: "How does a 'union,' of the sort the president will boast about tonight,go from being a nation of laws to a fiefdom of a dear leader's whim? Through a hundred small steps from Jan. 20, 2017, to now. But for present purposes, let's focus on three. And interestingly ... they're not mostly Donald Trump's fault. They're mostly the fault of his Republican enablers.... we are in imminent -- imminent -- danger of losing the right to call ourselves a republic, a nation of laws."
Patricia Zengerle of Reuters: "The Trump administration said on Monday it would not immediately impose additional sanctions on Russia, despite a new law designed to punish Moscow's alleged meddling in the 2016 U.S. election, insisting the measure was already hitting Russian companies.... Under [a law Congress passed almost unanimously last summer & President Trump signed to avoid the embarrassment of a veto override], the administration faced a deadline on Monday to impose sanctions on anyone determined to conduct significant business with Russian defense and intelligence sectors, already sanctioned for their alleged role in the election. But citing long time frames associated with major defense deals, [an administration spokesperson] said it was better to wait to impose those sanctions.... Shortly before midnight (0500 GMT) on Monday, the Treasury Department released an unclassified 'oligarchs' list [as mandated by the law], including 114 senior Russian political figures and 96 business people.... Critics blasted [Trump] for failing to announce any sanctions."
** Catherine Rampell of the Washington Post: "The White House's immigration plan is ... a sleight of hand designed to help the far right shove through sharp new limits on legal immigration, under the pretense of moderation and reasonableness.... Nearly everyone, Democrat and Republican, wants to protect dreamers.... Yet somehow Trump and his fellow Republicans [and media observers] pretend that any offer to protect dreamers is a painful giveaway, for which Democratic leadership should grovel in gratitude.... the Trump framework packages protection for dreamers -- something both sides demand -- with stuff only the right demands, such as border wall funding, curbs to family-sponsored visas and an end to the diversity visa lottery.... It's not a quid pro quo; it's just quid." ...
... Mrs. McCrabbie: Democrats must, once again, insist upon a "clean" DACA bill. ...
... Charles Pierce: "When the damage done by this administration* is toted up, assuming there will be somebody left to count the cost, the unleashing of Border Patrol and the Immigration and Customs Enforcement division, and the subsequent depredations thereof, are going to rank right at the top of the list. If you want to see real fascism in action, look at what these people have been up to. Somebody leaves water in the desert for undocumented immigrants, and the Border Patrol pours it all out and then arrests the guy.... Meanwhile, ICE has run wild. They are busting parents while their kids are at school. They're publicizing 'sweeps' in cities like they're chasing down Capone or someone. And there's a very good possibility that, in the so-called 'sanctuary cities,' we will see confrontations between ICE agents and local law enforcement. And now we have this latest insanity, whereby technology will be handed to an agency sliding swiftly toward a very dangerous point. From The Verge: 'The system gives the agency access to billions of license plate records and new powers of real-time location tracking, raising significant concerns from civil libertarians...."
Emily Stewart of Vox: "National security officials are reportedly considering a plan to nationalize the United States' next-generation 5G wireless network in an effort to guard against competitive and cybersecurity threats from China. It would be an unprecedented move -- especially from a Republican administration. And so ... Donald Trump's Federal Communications Commission, which would be a major player in such a project, immediately pushed back. This all started Sunday, when Axios reported that officials at the National Security Council have put together a memo saying that America needs a centralized nationwide 5G network within the next three years. It proposes that the best option would be for the US government pay for and build the network and then rent it to carriers like AT&T, Verizon, and T-Mobile." ...
... Mrs. McC: Can hardly wait to see how Trump can screw up my 5G service AND raise the price.
Another One Bites the Dust. Dave Weigel of the Washington Post: "Rep. Rodney Frelinghuysen (R-N.J.), the chairman of the House Appropriations Committee, will retire from Congress at the end of this term, giving a boost to Democratic hopes of winning back the House of Representatives with wins in fast-changing suburbs.... Frelinghuysen, first elected in 1994, represents suburbs and exurbs of New York City that had long voted solidly Republican.... Donald Trump won just 48.8 percent of the vote in Frelinghuysen's 11th Congressional District. Democrats piled into the 2018 campaign, with Mikie Sherrill, a Navy veteran and federal prosecutor, garnering the most attention and largely clearing the field." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Eric Levitz of New York: Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas), who is challenging Sen. Ted Cruz in 2018, outraised Cruz over the last three months. O'Rourke has not taken money from corporate superPACS. Cruz will probably win -- because Texas. But Levitz has written a fine remembrance of just in case:
Ted Cruz is living proof that the invention of high-school debate was a world-historic error on par with the Manhattan Project. He is a seething mass of smug self-regard; a 'populist' who, whilst at law school, refused to study with anyone who hadn't gotten their bachelor's degree at Harvard, Princeton, or Yale; an anti-Establishment gadfly who tried desperately to win a spot in George W. Bush's inner circle; a one-time #NeverTrump conservative who spent much of the past year licking the president's boots; and (almost certainly) a serial killer with a taste for cryptography.... (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Paul Krugman advises his barber not to buy Bitcoin. A very useful column.
Way Beyond the Beltway
A Cautionary Tale. Jason Horowitz of the New York Times: "... political analysts agree that the only sure bet in Italy's coming and critical March 4 elections is that [former Prime Minister Silvio] Berlusconi will return as a major force in Italian, and possibly European, politics. Even if he will not be prime minister immediately (he is barred until next year following a fraud conviction), he is likely to be the kingmaker.... He has been investigated over accusations of mob links. He entered politics in part to protect his vast business interests and then, as the owner of the majority of Italy's commercial television stations, used his sprawling media empire to stay in power. He hosted underage women at what he called 'elegant dinners' but what the world knew as sex-fueled Bunga Bunga bacchanals. He made a habit of embarrassing Italy on the global stage."