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INAUGURATION 2029

Marie: I don't know why this video came up on my YouTube recommendations, but it did. I watched it on a large-ish teevee, and I found it fascinating. ~~~

 

Hubris. One would think that a married man smart enough to start up and operate his own tech company was also smart enough to know that you don't take your girlfriend to a public concert where the equipment includes a jumbotron -- unless you want to get caught on the big camera with your arms around said girlfriend. Ah, but for Andy Bryon, CEO of A company called Astronomer, and also maybe his wife, Wednesday was a night that will live in infamy. New York Times link. ~~~

Commencement ceremonies are joyous occasions, and Steve Carell made sure that was true this past weekend (mid-June) at Northwestern's commencement:

~~~ Carell's entire commencement speech was hilarious. The audio and video here isn't great, but I laughed till I cried.

CNN did a live telecast Saturday night (June 7) of the Broadway play "Good Night, and Good Luck," written by George Clooney and Grant Heslov, about legendary newsman Edward R. Murrow's effort to hold to account Sen. Joe McCarthy, "the junior senator from Wisconsin." Clooney plays Murrow. Here's Murrow himself with his famous take on McCarthy & McCarthyism, brief remarks that especially resonate today: ~~~

     ~~~ This article lists ways you still can watch the play. 

New York Times: “The New York Times Company has agreed to license its editorial content to Amazon for use in the tech giant’s artificial intelligence platforms, the company said on Thursday. The multiyear agreement 'will bring Times editorial content to a variety of Amazon customer experiences,' the news organization said in a statement. Besides news articles, the agreement encompasses material from NYT Cooking, The Times’s food and recipe site, and The Athletic, which focuses on sports. This is The Times’s first licensing arrangement with a focus on generative A.I. technology. In 2023, The Times sued OpenAI and its partner, Microsoft, for copyright infringement, accusing the tech companies of using millions of articles published by The Times to train automated chatbots without any kind of compensation. OpenAI and Microsoft have rejected those accusations.” ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: I have no idea what this means for "the Amazon customer experience." Does it mean that if I don't have a NYT subscription but do have Amazon Prime I can read NYT content? And where, exactly, would I find that content? I don't know. I don't know.

Washington Post reporters asked three AI image generators what a beautiful woman looks like. "The Post found that they steer users toward a startlingly narrow vision of attractiveness. Prompted to show a 'beautiful woman,' all three tools generated thin women, without exception.... Her body looks like Barbie — slim hips, impossible waist, round breasts.... Just 2 percent of the images showed visible signs of aging. More than a third of the images had medium skin tones. But only nine percent had dark skin tones. Asked to show 'normal women,' the tools produced images that remained overwhelmingly thin.... However bias originates, The Post’s analysis found that popular image tools struggle to render realistic images of women outside the Western ideal." ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: The reporters seem to think they are calling out the AI programs for being unrealistic. But there's a lot about the "beautiful women" images they miss. I find these omissions remarkably sexist. For one thing, the reporters seem to think AI is a magical "thing" that self-generates. It isn't. It's programmed. It's programmed by boys, many of them incels who have little or no experience or insights beyond comic books and Internet porn of how to gauge female "beauty." As a result, the AI-generated women look like cartoons; that is, a lot like an air-brushed photo of Kristi Noem: globs of every kind of dark eye makeup, Scandinavian nose, Botox lips, slathered-on skin concealer/toner/etc. makeup, long dark hair and the aforementioned impossible Barbie body shape, including huge, round plastic breasts. 

New York Times: “George Clooney’s Broadway debut, 'Good Night, and Good Luck,' has been one of the sensations of the 2024-25 theater season, breaking box office records and drawing packed houses of audiences eager to see the popular movie star in a timely drama about the importance of an independent press. Now the play will become much more widely available: CNN is planning a live broadcast of the penultimate performance, on June 7 at 7 p.m. Eastern. The performance will be preceded and followed by coverage of, and discussion about, the show and the state of journalism.”

 

Contact Marie

Email Marie at constantweader@gmail.com

Constant Comments

Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts.

Success is not final, failure is not fatal; it is the courage to continue that counts. — Anonymous

A nation of sheep will beget a government of wolvesEdward R. Murrow

Publisher & Editor: Marie Burns

I have a Bluesky account now. The URL is https://bsky.app/profile/marie-burns.bsky.social . When Reality Chex goes down, check my Bluesky page for whatever info I am able to report on the status of Reality Chex. If you can't access the URL, I found that I could Google Bluesky and ask for Marie Burns. Google will include links to accounts for people whose names are, at least in part, Maria Burns, so you'll have to tell Google you looking only for Marie.

Sunday
Nov192017

The Commentariat -- November 19, 2017

Afternoon Update:

The Editors of Al.com, which is produced by Alabama's major newspapers, endorse Democrat Doug Jones for Senate. ...

... Brian Stelter of CNN: "The Alabama Media Group stripped the editorial across its Sunday front pages. The unusual step comes 10 days after misconduct allegations first surfaced against Moore, the Republican nominee for the state's Senate seat. The editorial doubles as an endorsement of Moore's opponent, Democrat Doug Jones. It appears in The Birmingham News, Mobile Press-Register and The Huntsville Times and it is prominently featured on the papers' shared website AL.com."

Jason Burke & Emma Graham-Harrison of the Guardian: "Zimbabwe's president, Robert Mugabe, is facing the end of his 37-year rule, as he prepares to address the nation after his party sacked him as its leader and told him to resign as head of state. Expectation was mounting that he would resign on Sunday night after Zimbabwean state TV said he would 'address the nation live from State House'. In an extraordinary meeting in Harare, the capital, on Sunday morning more than 200 Zanu-PF leaders voted to sack Mugabe as the party's leader and demanded that the 93-year-old 'resign forthwith from his position as head of state' or face impeachment."

*****

Steve M.: "We're now living in an era of post-popularity democracy. Republicans simply believe, with good reason, that they don't need popular proposals in order to retain power. They believe they can survive extraordinarily unpopular proposals [like their current tax bill], because gerrymandering, vote suppression, disciplined propaganda efforts by Fox News and the rest of the right-wing media, and massive amounts of money from the plutocrats who like what they propose will get them through.... Republican voters will put up with anything from their party's elected officials as long as those officials make clear that they're defying the wishes of the hated Democrats." --safari

Juliet Eilperin & Anne Gearan of the Washington Post: "A combination of public and private pressure prompted President Trump to overturn his administration's recent move to allow elephants shot for sport in Zimbabwe and Zambia to be imported back to the United States as trophies, according to interviews with several individuals briefed on the decision. Trump's announcement Friday that he was putting the decision 'on hold' until he could personally review it marked animal welfare activists' first federal victory since the president took office in January, and came just hours after the White House press secretary had defended the idea of renewing the controversial trophy imports.... Political appointees at Interior did press for [lifting the ban on importing trophy elephant remains], which is a top priority for hunting industry allies of Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke.... A similar change affecting African lion trophies had gone mostly unnoticed since it took effect last month, and it is not clear whether Trump was aware of that earlier decision.... It is unclear who will conduct the review of the import decision, since Trump vowed on Twitter to do it himself, and whether lion trophy imports will also face fresh scrutiny."

Kathryn Watson of CBS News: "The top U.S. nuclear commander said Saturday he would push back against President Trump if he ordered a nuclear launch the general believed to be 'illegal,' saying he would look to find another solution. Air Force Gen. John Hyten, commander of the U.S. Strategic Command (STRATCOM), told an audience at the Halifax International Security Forum in Halifax, Nova Scotia, on Saturday that he has given a lot of thought to what he would say if a president ordered a strike he considered unlawful.... Hyten said he has been trained every year for decades in the law of armed conflict, which takes into account specific factors to determine legality -- necessity, distinction, proportionality, unnecessary suffering and more. Running through scenarios of how to react in the event of an illegal order is standard practice, he said." ...

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: We'll have to wait to see what better-informed analysts than I have to say, but right now U.S. law gives the president the final say or whether or not to launch a nuclear strike. Hyten seems to be suggesting he has the final say -- based on a document that describes itself not as definitive law or even as the "official" Army position but as a "teaching document." On its face, Hyten's description of the scenario in which he would "school" the president on the law & the president would demur sounds ridiculous. It seems to me that if this President -- or any president -- told the nuclear commander to launch a strike & the commander declined, the POTUS could relieve him of his command & go down the line (Saturday-night-massacre style) until he found an officer who would comply with the presidential order. In any even, Hyten's claim does not make me feel all better about the what the Crazy Guy in the White House might do to "start World War III," as Bob Corker worries.

The Daily Beast: "President Trump's aides and advisers have made a habit of showing him only positive polls to cheer him up, Politico reports. Aides and advisers cited in the report said they show him polls 'designed to make him feel good,' usually those that focus solely on his base.... Several senior aides and advisers said the Trump administration only becomes concerned when support slips in his base." --safari


Jeremy Herb & Evan Perez
of CNN: "The attorney for Jared Kushner ... is pushing back against the Senate Judiciary Committee after the panel accused Kushner of not disclosing key documents.... Attorney Abbe Lowell wrote that there were no 'missing documents' as the committee has alleged, while criticizing the panel's leaders for going to the media on Thursday with their accusations.... Lowell went point-by-point through the panel's letter to argue that Kushner was being forthcoming with the documents that had been turned over." ...

... Benjamin Hart of New York: "Either Jared Kushner is trying to hide something, or his memory is very poor for a 36-year-old. On Friday, the New York Times and NBC News reported that the 'Russian backdoor overture and dinner invite' Kushner failed to disclose to Senate investigators involved a banker with close ties to Vladimir Putin.... Kushner's failure to disclose the records is just the latest example of his consistent evasiveness on all things Russia-related.... Kushner continues to dissemble about which Russians he spoke to and when he spoke to them."

Trump's Russian Rendezvous? Tony Doris of the Palm Beach Post: "Days before President Trump flies into town for Thanksgiving, one of the world's most expensive yachts, owned by Russian oligarch Roman Abramovich, sailed into the Port of Palm Beach Friday afternoon. The 533-foot Eclipse, valued at $400 million to $500 million, comes equipped with a pool, helipad, submarine and room for a crew of 92, according to marine websites.... According to the MarineTraffic app, she plans to head south on the Intracoastal Waterway, toward downtown West Palm Beach. Note to Transportation Security Administration: That would put a Russian submarine within a mile or so of the winter White House. Bloomberg Politics has reported that presidential son-in-law Jared Kushner has met Abramovich one-on-one and with their wives on a number of occasions. No word on whether Abramovich, 51, said to be a close ally of Russian President Vladimir Putin, has met President Trump or will spend time with him during the stay."

Caroline Orr of Shareblue: "Despite repeated denials, it is now clear that the Trump campaign had extensive and prolonged contact with Russians, and that senior officials -- including Corey Lewandowski and recently indicted Paul Manafort, two of the campaign's three managers, as well as Trump's son and son-in-law -- were aware of it. According to a count by the Washington Post, Trump campaign officials interacted with Russians at least 31 times throughout the campaign, including at least 19 known meetings. These contacts involve at least nine members of the Trump campaign -- at least, that's how many have been made public. All of this occurred as Russia was also manipulating social media, paying U.S.-based activists, and weaponizing hacked emails from the Democratic National Committee in an effort to influence the 2016 election. 'The Russians were all over the Trump campaign,' wrote Adam Goldman, one of the authors of the latest New York Times piece [on Trump campaign contacts with "Alexander Torshin, a leading figure in Russian President Vladimir Putin's party who has been linked both to Russian intelligence services and organized crime.]. ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Also yesterday, Ken Delanian of NBC News was reporting on MSNBC that Donald Trump, Jr., met with Torshin at an NRA dinner, after Kushner sent out a campaign memo saying Torshin's efforts should be squelched. According to Delanian, the White House (or Junior's attorney; I forget) said that Junior & Torshin were not sitting at the same table at the NRA meeting & the two just happened to stop & chat at some point during the event. Okay, then; everything's good. I cannot find a print version of Delanian's on-air reporting.


Tany Basu
of The Daily Beast: "Beyond making graduate education impossible for the foreseeable future should it pass, the new tax bill has the potential to stymie fundamental science research in labs. Here's how. The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act that passed the House by 227 Republican votes on Thursday repeals Section 1204 of the new bill, which, under the current tax code, offered an exemption for 'Interest Payment on Qualified Education Loans, Tuition & Related Expenses, Interest on United States Savings Bond, Qualified Tuition Reduction, and Employer-Provided Education Assistance.' In plain English, that means that tuition waivers were not considered taxable income and were therefore exempt. The proposed new tax code, however, views that waiver as taxable income." --safari ...

... AND here's how the GOP "tax reform" bill will also raise unemployment among well-educated young people. Jessica Silver-Greenberg, et al., of the New York Times: "... in 19 states, government agencies can seize state-issued professional licenses from residents who default on their educational debts. Another state, South Dakota, suspends driver's licenses, making it nearly impossible for people to get to work. As debt levels rise, creditors are taking increasingly tough actions to chase people who fall behind on student loans. Going after professional licenses stands out as especially punitive. Firefighters, nurses, teachers, lawyers, massage therapists, barbers, psychologists and real estate brokers have all had their credentials suspended or revoked." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: This is much like debtors' prison, which -- although it has been illegal in the U.S. since some time in the 1800s -- persists in municipalities that jail people who can't afford to pay fines (Ferguson, Mo., for instance). It's a Catch-22. Can't afford to pay off your education loans? Then you can't work in the field in which you're trained (and would probably pay you more than the crappy jobs you could get outside your area of expertise). Obviously, as the punitive GOP tax bill would make the cost of education appreciably higher, the number of grads who can't pay down their student loans will increase. The GOP "tax reform" bill is an anti-jobs bill designed to hurt the best workers the most. ...

... The Hits Just Keep on Coming. Here's another winner in the "Worst Part of GOP 'Tax Reform'" contest: ...

... Washington Post Editors: "MONEYBALL POLITICS took a great leap forward when the Supreme Court opened the door to campaign contributions from corporations and unions in the 2010 case Citizens United v. FEC. Now the Republican-controlled House has passed a tax bill that, should it become law, would unleash another tidal wave of change. It would permit churches, charities and foundations to engage in candidate-specific politicking and enable donors to reap tax breaks for political contributions for the first time.... Churches and church-affiliated groups generally don't even have to file IRS returns, so there will be no information about who these contributors are.... Churches, charities and foundations already enjoy the right to advocate for issues. There is no need to give these groups a new cash window and make them servants of special interests seeking to further warp the nation's electoral politics."

Kathryn Watson: "Outspoken Republican Sen. Jeff Flake of Arizona was heard on a hot mic Saturday saying the Republican Party will be 'toast' if it is defined by figures like President Trump and Alabama Republican Roy Moore. Flake, whose comments were caught on a microphone of ABC local affiliate KNXV, was speaking with a friend at the time after finishing a town hall on tax reform. '[If we] become the party of Roy Moore and Donald Trump, we are toast,' Flake is overheard saying to Mesa, Arizona, Mayor John Giles." ...

... Max Greenwood of the Hill: "Sen. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.) on Saturday declared there was 'no news here,' after reports surfaced of the Arizona Republican warning that the GOP will be 'toast' if it aligns itself with President Trump and Alabama Senate candidate Roy Moore (R). 'No news here,' Flake tweeted. 'I've been saying this to anyone who will listen.'"

Senate Race

William Saletan of Slate: "... many of [Roy] Moore's supporters ... believe that if you have the right principles, all other truth follows.... With God, and with a good man like Moore, there can be no error. This mentality, known in Christian scholarship as 'presuppositionalism,' sustains evangelical support for President Trump, according to Molly Worthen, a professor at the University of North Carolina.... People who think this way dismiss inconvenient facts.... Anyone who claims that Moore is innocent, or that it's impossible to know who's telling the truth, is up against a mountain of evidence." Saletan runs down the evidence, along with Moore's self-incriminating remarks.

Bob Brigham of RawStory: "A South Carolina preacher is continuing to support Republican senate nominee Roy Moore in Alabama, an apparent reversal of his previously claimed focus on wanting to protect children from sexual predators. Pastor Franklin Raddish of the Capitol Hill Independent Baptist Ministries has dismissed recent allegations of powerful men as attacks that are part of a so-called 'war on men.' 'More women are sexual predators than men,' Rev. Raddish claimed. 'Women are chasing young boys up and down the road, but we don't hear about that because it's not PC,' Rev. Raddish alleged." --safari ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Sorry I haven't done much today. But I'm all tuckered out because I always spend Saturday nights chasing young boys up & down the road. (Medlar has a tendency to get aggravated about this, but as I've explained to him again & again, it's all good because on Sunday I go to Rev. Raddish's church & confess my sins, which of course washes them away.)


Daniel Politi
of Slate: Tony Perkins, "the head of the Family Research Council, allegedly kept quiet about claims that an Ohio Republican lawmaker assaulted a teenage boy in a hotel two years ago. Perkins was told that then-candidate for the Ohio legislature Wesley Goodman's allegedly fondled a supporter's son during a conference in Washington, according to the Washington Post.... The apparent actions by Goodman apparently didn't come as a surprise to Perkins who referred to 'similar incidents' in a letter. Perkins called on Goodman to step down from the race, but he continued and eventually won a seat in the legislature in November. Goodman, now 33, resigned his seat earlier this week after state lawmakers learned about 'inappropriate behavior related to his state office,' according to Ohio's House speaker. Goodman, who is married and repeatedly touted his faith and anti-LGBT views, was reportedly seen having sex with a man in his office."

Gubernatorial Race?

Max Greenwood of the Hill: "Ohio Supreme Court Justice Bill O'Neill apologized on Saturday for posting on Facebook a day earlier bragging about his sexual exploits. O'Neill, who is running for Ohio governor as a Democrat, received massive backlash Friday for detailing his sexual history with '50 very attractive females,' in response to mounting sexual misconduct allegations against prominent political figures.... [However, he qualified his apology.] 'If I offended anyone, particularly the wonderful women in my life, I apologize,' he wrote on Facebook Saturday. 'But if I have helped elevate the discussion on the serious issues of sexual assault, as opposed to personal indiscretions, to a new level ... I make no apologies.'" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: You think you've "elevated the discussion" in boasting about your "blondes" & "redheads"??? You were a pig on Friday & you're a pig today ... AND you're toast. Pulled pork on a hot bun, maybe, with a side of anus of oinker.


Katie Rogers & Sheryl Stolberg
of the New York Times: "A day after the latest in a dizzying series of sexual assault revelations enveloped Senator Al Franken and rattled the Capitol, politicians and comedians were left trying to assess the line between predatory behavior and an inexcusable mistake, as calls mounted for him to resign." The reports cites numerous former colleagues -- all women -- who said Franken was not sexually abusive. Mrs. McC: We might want to bear in mind, of course, that women at Fox "News" said the same thing about Roger Ailes., who definitely was a sexual predator. ...

... Mark Stern of Slate writes a compelling case for Al Franken's resignation from the Senate: "The hypocrisy of Franken's reaction is galling. Following the Harvey Weinstein scandal, the senator wrote an impassioned Facebook post declaring that sexual harassment is 'appalling' and 'far too common.' He added that it 'takes a lot of courage to come forward, and we owe them our thanks.' Franken then praised Gretchen Carlson for writing about 'the disappointing responses women often face when they go public both embolden harassers and encourage victims to stay silent.' Now Franken has issued the exact kind of 'disappointing response' that Carlson bemoaned, attempting to dismiss the accusation against him as a botched joke that his victim misremembered."

Mark Townsend of the Guardian: "The Observer has gained access to a secret hitlist of almost 100 prominent individuals targeted by Harvey Weinstein in an extraordinary attempt to discover what they knew about sexual misconduct claims against him and whether they were intending to go public. The previously undisclosed list contains a total of 91 actors, publicists, producers, financiers and others working in the film industry.... The names, apparently drawn up by Weinstein himself, were distributed to a team hired by the film producer to suppress claims that he had sexually harassed or assaulted numerous women." --safari ...

... Wherein Maureen Dowd argues that rampant sexual assault by powerful men like Harvey Weinstein is all the Clintons' fault.

The Source of Their Rage? Rank Hypocrisy. David Ferguson of RawStory: "The New York Times Nicholas Kristof reported Saturday on the results of the annual Youth Risk Behavior Survey, which found that people living in so-called blue states have lower rates of teen pregnancy, divorce and prostitution than their counterparts in conservative states.... In a survey of 32 states, the states with the highest percentage of teens who are sexually active were Mississippi, Delaware, West Virginia, Alabama and Arkansas. As Kristof noted, 'All but Delaware voted Republican in the last presidential election.'... Of the 10 states with the highest teen birth rates, nine voted Republican in 2016. Of the 10 states with the lowest teen birth rates, nine voted Democratic.... Red state marriages are more likely to end in divorce, the survey found. Furthermore, rates of marital infidelity and prostitution are higher in conservative states." --safari ...

     ... Kristof's column is here. Among the reasons for the red state/blue state dichotomy Kristof reports: "When evangelical kids have sex, they're less likely to use birth control -- and that may be a reason (along with lower abortion rates) that red states have high teen birthrates.... [In blue states, parents] believe in comprehensive sex education and reliable birth control.... Statistical analysis suggests that religious conservatives end up divorcing partly because they marry early, are less likely to go to college and are disproportionately poor. So the deeper problem seems to be the political choices that conservatives make, underinvesting in public education and social services (including contraception). This underinvestment leaves red states poorer and less educated -- and thus prone to a fraying of the social fabric." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: This phenomenon has been evident for a long time. It's bad news for the Republican/libertarian view of social services. The fact is that liberal values, translated into programs that tend toward equalizing opportunities, have myriad social & economic benefits. Young people who have reasonable hopes of a sunny future are much more likely to take the precautions necessary to ensure that future. Most Reality Chex readers know that because, to some degree or another, that's what they did.

Mark Berman of the Washington Post: "The U.S. Navy said a Japanese tugboat 'drifted into' a destroyer during a scheduled exercise Saturday, causing 'minimal damage' to the warship and no reported injuries. The USS Benfold, a guided-missile destroyer, appears to have sustained scrapes on its side and remains at sea, according to the Navy's 7th Fleet, which is based in Japan. The tugboat lost propulsion before drifting into the warship, the Navy said in a statement.... This incident occurred amid heightened scrutiny of the 7th Fleet in the wake of numerous embarrassing accidents, including two fatal collisions involving guided-missile destroyers.

Beyond the Beltway

Election Results. AP: "LaToya Cantrell, a City Council member who first gained a political following as she worked to help her hard-hit neighborhood recover from Hurricane Katrina, won a historic election Saturday that made her the first woman mayor of New Orleans. The Democrat will succeed term-limited fellow Democrat Mitch Landrieu as the city celebrates its 300th anniversary next year." ...

     ... The Times-Picayune story, written before most results were in, is here.

Max Greenwood: "A former Oklahoma state senator has pleaded guilty to a child sex trafficking charge, The Oklahoman reported Saturday. Former state Sen. Ralph Shortey, a Republican, had been accused of offering to pay a 17-year-old boy for 'sexual' stuff' earlier this year. Federal prosecutors will drop three additional child pornography charges against him in exchange for his guilty plea.... Child sex trafficking carries a mandatory minimum sentence of 10 years in prison, and a maximum sentence of life in prison." --safari

Way Beyond

Puppets. Julian Borger in the Guardian: "The same patterns were apparent in the Brexit vote, Donald Trump's shock victory, the surge of the Front National in France and the dramatic ascent of Five Star Movement in Italy, from the pet project of a comedian, Beppe Grillo, to the second most powerful force in Italy. In all cases, libertarians [Assange, Snowden, Farage] viscerally opposed to centralised power made common cause with a brutally autocratic state apparatus in Moscow, an American plutocrat with a deeply murky financial record, and the instinctively authoritarian far right. All in the name of disruption of government and liberal norms in western democracies. So why are the pioneering crusaders of total transparency and freedom of information lining up alongside the most powerful exponents of disinformation and disruption?" --safari

News Lede

Tennessean: "Country Music Hall of Famer, Nashville Songwriters Hall of Fame inductee and Grand Ole Opry member Mel Tillis died early Sunday morning at the Munroe Regional Medical Center in Ocala, Florida...."

Friday
Nov172017

The Commentariat -- November 18, 2017

Thomas Kaplan of the New York Times: "The White House asked Congress on Friday for $44 billion in additional relief in response to this year's devastating hurricanes, but facing rising budget deficits and pushing a tax cut that could cost $1.5 trillion, the administration also suggested that lawmakers make spending cuts to offset disaster costs. Republicans have been conspicuously quiet about the ballooning national debt as they press to enact deep tax cuts before the end of the year. The deficit for the 2017 fiscal year totaled $666 billion, an increase of $80 billion from the previous year. And spending continues to climb." Mrs. McC: Republicans are trying to squeeze blood out of a turnip, & if you're not Warren Buffett or Donald Trump, you're the turnip. ...

... How much Donald Trump knows about macroeconomics? Nothing: ...

... ** Binyamin Appelbaum of the New York Times: "President Trump has promised to cut federal taxes and reduce the nation's trade deficit with the rest of world -- two economic priorities that are in direct conflict with each other. A wide range of experts agree that cutting taxes is likely to increase the trade deficit.... In fact, a larger trade deficit is not a byproduct of the tax plan -- it is the heart of the plan.... The connection between tax cuts and trade deficits is not controversial.... Republicans are proposing to reduce federal revenue through a $1.5 trillion tax cut without a commensurate reduction in federal spending. To pay for the tax cuts, the government will need to borrow more dollars, some of which will come from foreign investors. Foreigners will get those dollars by selling more goods and services to Americans, which will widen the trade gap.... One widely cited economic simulation, the Penn Wharton Budget Model, projects that the tax plan approved by the House on Thursday would increase the trade deficit by about $800 billion over 10 years. That would increase the annual trade deficit about 16 percent from its 2016 total of $502 billion." ...

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: We could have a contest to see who can come up with the worst feature of the GOP tax bill. Trouble is, the contest would be like the ones they have in kindergarten -- everybody wins. ...

... Here's a Winner, with a BUT. Josh Delk of the Hill: "The latest version of the Senate Republican tax reform bill includes a break for companies that manage private jets. A measure in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act would lower taxes on some of the payments made by owners of private aircraft to management companies that help maintain, store and staff those planes for owners. The language would exempt owners or leasers of private aircraft from paying taxes on certain costs related to the upkeep and maintenance of the jets, according to a description from the Joint Committee on Taxation." Uh-oh, looks as if Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) & Warren Buffett are behind this little scheme. Brown's spokesperson claims jet owners themselves don't actually get a break. Uh-huh.

... Joe Williams of Roll Call: "Alaska Republican Sen. Lisa Murkowski suggested Thursday that her vote on the current version of theSenate GOP tax overhaul is contingent on the passing of a separate bill to stabilize the individual health insurance market. The tax legislation now includes a section to repeal the individual mandate in the 2010 health care law -- a provision that opens up more than $300 billion in revenue -- but could also threaten the viability of the overall law. The measure has caused some heartburn for moderate Republicans, particularly Murkowski and Sen. Susan Collins of Maine, two of the three senators who helped sink the GOP effort to repeal the health care law this summer." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Well, that's nice, but why don't Murkowski & Collins care about all the other crap that's in the bill? ...

... Steve Benen on the Sherrod Brown/Orrin Hatch dust-up (see yesterday's Commentariat): "... it's hard not to wonder if Hatch's outburst was the result of his genuine belief that Sherrod Brown's argument is 'bullcrap' or if it was because the truth hurts. The Republican National Committee [Friday] morning highlighted the committee clash and said the GOP chairman 'set the record straight' -- which, in reality, is the opposite of what actually happened.... As the Washington Post's Greg Sargent put it, the exchange 'perfectly captured the GOP's whole handling of the tax debate -- in all its dishonesty, misdirection and bottomless bad faith.'... Note, as part of diatribe, Hatch added, 'If we worked together, we could pull this country out of every mess it is in.' Hatch was in the process of pushing a partisan tax plan, written in secret, passed without so much as a meaningful hearing. Perhaps this was the wrong time to lecture committee members on the benefits of bipartisan cooperation."


I'm Shocked, Shocked, to Find that Money-Laundering Is Going on Here. -- Ivanka Trump. Aggelos Petropoulos
[of Reuters?] & Richard Engel of NBC News: "An NBC News investigation into the Trump Ocean Club [in Panama City, Panama], in conjunction with Reuters, shows that the project was riddled with brokers, customers and investors who have been linked to drug trafficking and international crime. [Mauricio] Ceballos, who investigated the project, went as far as to call the skyscraper 'a vehicle for money laundering.'... Ceballos, who says he investigated transactions related to the Trump Ocean Club during his stint as an anti-corruption prosecutor in Panama, describes the building as a magnet for international organized crime, particularly from Russia.... The investigation revealed no indication that the Trump Organization or members of the Trump family engaged in any illegal activity, or knew of the criminal backgrounds of some of the project's associates. But [Alexandre] Ventura[, a real estate salesman,] said that the Trumps never asked any questions about the buyers or where the money was coming from.... Ventura says that the Trump family, and Ivanka Trump in particular, was involved in the details of the Trump Ocean Club, and that she interacted with him extensively.... 'The Trump Organization has to approve everything because of his name on the project,' Ventura said, describing the project as Ivanka Trump's 'baby.'... The Trump Organization was not the actual developer of the Panama tower.... For this deal, the Trump Organization would license its brand, operate the hotel and sell its expertise in managing the building, receiving a cut of every condo sale." ...

     ... Paul Waldman: "... it's fascinating how one Trump property after another winds up being associated with mobsters, criminals, and money launderers. Must be just a coincidence! It's also incredible when you consider how many years and millions of dollars Republicans devoted to investigating Whitewater, a two-bit land deal on which the Clintons lost some money. Is there going to be a congressional investigation of this, or the other shady Trump deals? Of course not."

Jenna Johnson of the Washington Post: "President Trump's decision to mock Sen. Al Franken (D-Minn.) for groping a sleeping woman while posing for a photo has once again made him a central figure in the national discussion about sexual assault, harassment and misconduct -- and has again brought attention to past accusations against the president himself.... Trump did not mention that [Franken accuser Leeann] Tweeden also accused Franken of kissing her against her will -- the same thing that at least eight women have publicly accused Trump of doing.... As a growing number of prominent men have publicly faced accusations, Trump has been selective in responding, largely on the basis of whether the accused is an ally or foe and focusing relatively little on the alleged victims. Trump called his own accusers 'horrible, horrible liars' and threatened to sue them, while coming to the defense of friends such as political commentator Bill O'Reilly and former Fox News chief executive Roger Ailes, accused of harassment or assault. Trump has also been mostly silent on Republican U.S. Senate candidate Roy Moore of Alabama.... Trump has also said he was not surprised by accusations against film producer Harvey Weinstein, a major Democratic donor; released an ad during the presidential campaign calling former New York congressman Anthony Weiner a 'pervert;' and hosted a campaign news conference with three women who had accused former president Bill Clinton of sexual assault or misconduct, calling those women 'very courageous.'" ...

** Like everything else Trump touches, he hijacks it with his chronic dishonesty and childishness. The intense, angry and largely ignorant tribalism afflicting our politics predates Trump’s arrival on the scene. But he has infused it with a psychopath’s inability to accept that social norms apply to him. -- Mark Salter, longtime adviser to Sen. John McCain --

Very well said. Salter catches the essence of Trump. -- Mrs. Bea McCrabbie ...

... Peter Baker of the New York Times: "... the notion that Mr. Trump himself would weigh in given his own history of crude talk about women and the multiple allegations against him surprised many in Washington who thought he could not surprise them anymore. A typical politician with Mr. Trump’s history would stay far away from discussing someone else’s behavior lest it dredge his own back into the spotlight." Mrs. McC: This is quite a good synthesis of the state of the conversation in Washington, incorporating several shorter stories. My favorite is Mrs. Huckleberry's rationale for Trump's behavior, which goes something like this: "He won, so STFU." ...

Emily Cochrane of the New York Times: "President Trump said on Friday that he will uphold a government ban on hunters bringing trophies of elephants that were killed in Zimbabwe into the United States, pending a further review. His evening Twitter message reversed a decision by his own administration that was announced this week and promoted as recently as Friday afternoon by ... Sarah Huckabee Sanders." Mrs. McC: Guess Trump is mad at Junior, Ace Elephant Hunter, after all.


** Matt Apuzzo
, et al., of the New York Times: "A senior Russian official who claimed to be acting at the behest of President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia tried in May 2016 to arrange a meeting between Mr. Putin and Donald J. Trump, according to several people familiar with the matter. The news of this reached the Trump campaign in a very circuitous way. An advocate for Christian causes emailed campaign aides saying that Alexander Torshin, the deputy governor of the Russian central bank who has been linked both to Russia’s security services and organized crime, had proposed a meeting between Mr. Putin and Mr. Trump. The subject line of the email, turned over to Senate investigators, read, 'Russian backdoor overture and dinner invite,' according to one person who has seen the message. The proposal made its way to the senior levels of the Trump campaign before Jared Kushner ... sent a message to top campaign officials rejecting it, according to two people who have seen Mr. Kushner’s message.... Mr. Torshin’s request ... came just weeks after a self-described intermediary for the Russian government told a Trump campaign aide, George Papadopoulos, that the Russians had 'dirt' on Mr. Trump’s rival, Hillary Clinton, in the form of 'thousands of emails.'... The latest disclosure about Mr. Torshin, who is a leading figure in Mr. Putin’s party, United Russia, shows the direct involvement of a high-ranking Russian official in the Kremlin’s outreach to the campaign.” ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: So now we know what that "dinner invite" was, which was a mystery yesterday when it appeared as the subject of an e-mail from Jared Kushner which he accidentally forgot to turn over to Senate investigators. ...

... Manu Raju of CNN: "A West Virginia man ... proposed setting up a meeting with Russians and the Trump campaign last year to discuss their 'shared Christian values,' raising new questions for investigators to explore as part of their Russia inquiry. Current and former US intelligence and law enforcement officials, as well as other intelligence experts, say that Russians sought to employ covert tactics to find entry points into the Trump campaign. And more broadly, experts say, Russian intelligence services have sought to court conservative organizations, including religious groups, to build alliances in the United States.... The Trump campaign appears to have rejected the meeting request -- and seemed to believe it was serious enough to suggest that the matter should be handled by the State Department...." ...

... Something Else Jared Accidentally Forgot. Jeremy Herb & Evan Perez of CNN: "White House senior adviser Jared Kushner told congressional Russia investigators that he did not communicate with WikiLeaks and did not recall anyone on the Trump campaign who had, a source with knowledge of his testimony told CNN. But Kushner did receive and forward an email from Donald Trump Jr. about contact Trump Jr. had with WikiLeaks, according to a new report this week and a letter from the Senate Judiciary Committee.... A Democratic committee source said that Kushner was interviewed at a date when the panels 'did not yet have the documents we needed for the interview.'" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: On most mornings, Ivanka makes sure Jared is wearing pants before he leaves the house. Sometimes he just plain forgets.

... AND Jeff Sessions thinks the whole Russia-Trump-Sessions, et al., conspiracy is so funny that he tells jokes about it. In public. ...

... ** Tim Egan: "The Russians ... uploaded a thousand videos to YouTube and published more than 130,000 messages on Twitter about last year’s election. As recent congressional hearings showed, the arteries of our democracy were clogged with toxins from a hostile foreign power. But the problem is not the Russians — it’s us. We’re getting played because too many Americans are ill equipped to perform the basic functions of citizenship.... As we crossed the 300-day mark of Donald Trump’s presidency on Thursday, fact-checkers noted that he has made more than 1,600 false or misleading claims. Good God. At least five times a day, on average, this president says something that isn’t true. We have a White House of lies because a huge percentage of the population can’t tell fact from fiction." Read on. ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: This is an essential element of the conversation we should be having. Egan's column may be the first time I've seen Americans' primal ignorance named as the root cause of Russia's great success in undermining our democracy. I would add that our often-inane, often-negligent news media are partly at fault, too. Where the public schools have failed our students, the media should pick up the slack by putting stories in context. Oftentimes they do, but too often news reports are limited to the most sensational or salacious aspects of a story. Important as it is for the public to know the facts, so is it essential that people can understand the meaning & implications of those facts. ...

... Should you care to find more evidence for Egan's contention, Michael Tomasky of the Daily Beast obliges: "As I toggled over the home page [of Snopes], I was flabbergasted by what a high percentage of Snopes articles now are devoted to debunking fake news.... I mean, if I may use the phrase, real fake news. Garbage. And more specifically, right-wing garbage. Some stuff that’s in the actual news, though completely distorted, and other stuff that’s just totally made up, that who-knows-how-many thousands, or millions, of people are out there believing." Tomasky provides a number of laughable examples.

Why is that woman vamping for the camera? And what is she doing at the Bureau of Engraving anyway?... For the Love of Money. Mrs. McCrabbie: I missed this story earlier in the week. It seems Steve Mnuchin invited his wife, the Lovely Louise, on a visit to the Bureau of Engraving & Printing to admire the very first sheet of dollar bills with Mnuchin's signature on them. Martin Belam of the Guardian posted a few Twitter reactions to the pix. Here's one suggested caption: "Louise Linton holds the great love of her life. Also pictured, her husband ."

Robert O'Harrow of the Washington Post: "By day, he was a clerk to a federal judge, a Harvard Law School graduate at the start of his career. By night, he was a ghost hunter and a devotee of the macabre. Brett Joseph Talley is now President Trump’s nominee for a lifetime appointment to the federal bench as a U.S. District Court judge in Alabama. Few in memory have been nominated with credentials quite like those of Talley, 36, an Alabama native, a political speechwriter, an author of horror books and a fledgling lawyer who has never tried a case. In 2009 and 2010, he was a member of the Tuscaloosa Paranormal Research Group, a volunteer operation that ... has held all-night vigils and used infrared cameras, handheld sensors and other devices to search for spectral entities in plantation mansions, abandoned hospitals and other buildings.... He is one of four Trump nominees to receive 'not qualified' ratings [from the American Bar Association] this year, the first such ratings to be disclosed by the association in more than a decade."

Ellie Silverman of the Washington Post: "Documents released by law enforcement officials in Montana on Friday show that Greg Gianforte, then the Republican candidate in the state’s special congressional election, told police in May that a reporter from the Guardian had grabbed his wrist during a physical altercation at his campaign headquarters, blaming the 'liberal media' for 'trying to make a story.' His statement appears to contradict the apology he later issued to Ben Jacobs, saying the reporter 'did not initiate any physical contact with me,' raising questions about whether the congressman was truthful with authorities. Gianforte won Montana’s lone U.S. House seat 24 hours after the assault and in June, he pleaded guilty to charges that he assaulted Jacobs and was sentenced to 40 hours of community service, 20 hours of anger management classes and a $385 fine in court costs, according to the Associated Press.” ...

... Julia Wong of the Guardian: "US congressman Greg Gianforte misled police after his assault of Guardian reporter Ben Jacobs in May, falsely stating that Jacobs had initiated physical contact.... shortly after the assault, Gianforte’s campaign spokesman, Shane Scanlon, placed the blame for the violent incident on Jacobs.... That narrative was soon contradicted by audio of the incident captured by Jacobs, as well as the eyewitness accounts of a team of Fox News journalists. Jacobs decried the statement as 'defamatory', and Scanlon was harshly criticized by the political press for lying about the incident.... The police report suggests that the misleading narrative originated from Gianforte himself, however." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: So very hard to believe Gianforte is a liar. Here I thought he was just a thug & a bully.

Democrats Behaving Badly:

Ed O'Keefe of the Washington Post: "Some former female staffers of Sen. Al Franken (D-Minn.) spoke out on Friday in his defense, saying that he had treated women with respect while they worked in his office.... The statement is co-signed by eight former Franken staffers who have worked for him since he was elected to the Senate in 2008.... The statement came on the same day that Leeann Tweeden, the Los Angeles radio news anchor who accused Franken of kissing and groping her against her will, said that she had heard directly from the senator and is willing to meet with him to discuss the allegations.... Tweeden made a round of national television appearances on Friday to discuss her allegations and to reiterate that she accepts Franken’s apologies...." ...

... AND. Cristiano Lima of Politico: "Hillary Clinton slammed ... Donald Trump and Alabama Senate candidate Roy Moore on Friday over their alleged sexual misconduct, criticizing them for not accepting responsibility' and 'apologizing' for their reported transgressions as Sen. Al Franken did.... [Clinton] said Franken’s request to have the Senate ethics panel investigate his sexual misconduct 'is the kind of accountability I’m talking about.' 'I don't hear that from Roy Moore or Donald Trump,' she added during an interview with New York’s WABC radio. 'Look at the contrast between Al Franken, accepting responsibility, apologizing, and Roy Moore and Donald Trump, who have done neither.'... Asked whether there was anything she admired about the Trump’s tenure in office thus far, Clinton replied: 'No. The answer is absolutely no. I didn’t think he’d be as bad as he turned out to be,' she added.” ...

... Ruth Marcus of the Washington Post: "The clamor for Franken’s head is, at best, premature — sentence first, trial (or Senate Ethics Committee investigation) later. At worst, it is alarmingly extreme, absent evidence of a pattern or misbehavior in the Senate. Let us stipulate: ... His behavior was appalling.... The focus is, and should be, on victims. But as employers engage in an overdue reckoning on how to rid workplaces of intolerable conduct, they — we — are going to have to wrestle as well with how to treat the victimizers." ...

... Kate Harding, in a Washington Post op-ed: "As a feminist and the author of a book on rape culture, I could reasonably be expected to lead the calls for Al Franken to step down.... I firmly believe he should suffer social and professional consequences for it. But I don’t believe resigning from his position is the only possible consequence, or the one that’s best for American women.... I am a Democrat because I am a feminist who lives under a two-party system, where one party consistently votes against the interests of women while the other sometimes does not.... Men’s harassment of and violence against women is a systemic issue.... Its roots lie in a patriarchal culture that trains men to believe they are entitled to control women’s bodies — for sex, for sport, for childbearing, for comedy.... If we set this precedent [of ousting known harassers] in the interest of demonstrating our party’s solidarity with harassed and abused women, we’re only going to drain the swamp of people who, however flawed, still regularly vote to protect women’s rights and freedoms.... In a sharply divided political climate where toxic masculinity knows no party, yet is only ever acknowledged by one, we must think about how to minimize harm to women." ...

... Eoin Higgins in the Huffington Post: "Lilian Adams and Zoey Jordan Salsbury were teenagers when they started working on opposite sides of the 2016 Democratic presidential primary. Adams, then 19, joined Hillary Clinton’s campaign and Salsbury, then 18, joined Sen. Bernie Sanders’ campaign.... But each woman says she was sexually harassed by a fellow campaign worker — and that both campaigns were ill-equipped to address the allegations. ...

... MEANWHILE, in Florida. Patricia Mazzei of the Tampa Bay Times: "Stephen Bittel's rocky tenure as Florida Democratic Party chairman ended in disgrace Friday after he resigned following accusations from women that he leered at them, made suggestive comments and created an unprofessional work environment.... Elected in January after a contentious internal campaign, Bittel lasted less than a year on the job.His departure marks the latest case of sexual impropriety shaking the state Capitol. Bittel’s position became untenable after all four major Democratic candidates for Florida governor urged his ouster following a Politico Florida report late Thursday in which six women anonymously complained about Bittel’s behavior. They said he was 'creepy' and 'demeaning.' Bittel apologized, but it was not enough." ...

... Gubernatorial Race? Or Not. Lindsey Bever & Marwa Eltagouri of the Washington Post: "An Ohio Supreme Court justice who recently declared his intention to run for governor defended 'heterosexual males' Friday amid mounting accusations of sexual misconduct. Justice William O’Neill took to Facebook on Friday morning to make a statement about what he described as the 'national feeding frenzy about sexual indiscretions,' and in doing so he disclosed details about his sexual history. 'In the last fifty years I was sexually intimate with approximately 50 very attractive females,' O’Neill, a Democrat, wrote. 'It ranged from a gorgeous blonde who was my first true love and we made passionate love in the hayloft of her parents barn and ended with a drop dead gorgeous red head from Cleveland.'... By Friday afternoon, after a storm of bipartisan condemnation from Ohio politicians, the post was deleted. Shortly before 6 p.m., O’Neill posted new comments. 'As an aside for all you sanctimonious judges who are demanding my resignation, hear this. I was a civil right lawyer actively prosecuting sexual harassment cases on behalf of the Attorney General’s Office before Anita Hill and before you were born,' O’Neill wrote. 'Lighten up folks. This is how Democrats remain in the minority,' he wrote.” O'Neill's campaign spokesman is quitting. ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Apparently none of these 50 lucky duckies is a person with, you know, a personality, intellectual attributes, talents, etc. They're all "gorgeous blondes" or "drop-dead gorgeous redheads." "very attractive," or whatever. Pig. ...


Kaitlin Riordan
of KREM TV (Spokane, Washington): "Officials with the Naval Air Station Whidbey Island said one of their aircraft was involved in the obscene skywritings spotted in Okanogan County. Photos sent to KREM 2 by multiple sources show skydrawings of what some people are saying is male genitalia.... In a statement to KREM 2 News navy officials said, 'The Navy holds its aircrew to the highest standards and we find this absolutely unacceptable, of zero training value and we are holding the crew accountable.'"

Way Beyond the Beltway

of the New York Times: "Zimbabwe’s governing party moved on Friday to expel President Robert Mugabe from its ranks, taking the first step in legally ousting the 93-year-old leader following a military intervention two days earlier. A majority of the leaders of the party, ZANU-PF, recommended Mr. Mugabe’s expulsion from the very organization that he had controlled with an iron grip since independence in 1980, according to ZBC, the state broadcaster. Military officers have insisted that their takeover was not a coup, but the party’s leaders appeared on Friday to be providing political cover for the intervention. The party’s central committee, Parliament and Mr. Mugabe’s cabinet could now take steps to officially end his presidency, if he does not resign."

News Lede

Washington Post: "Bobby Baker, a protege of future president Lyndon B. Johnson whose career of wealth and privilege came crashing down in an influence-peddling scandal, died Nov. 12 — his 89th birthday — in St. Augustine, Fla.." ...

     ... As I recall, my father -- who was a T-man -- was one of the team who arrested Baker. -- Marie

Thursday
Nov162017

The Commentariat -- November 17, 2017

Thomas Kaplan & Alan Rappeport of the New York Times: "The House passed a sweeping rewrite of the tax code on Thursday, taking a significant leap forward as Republicans seek to enact $1.5 trillion in tax cuts for businesses and individuals and deliver the first major legislative achievement of President Trump's tenure. The House voted to 227 to 205 to approve the bill, shortly after Mr. Trump came to Capitol Hill to address House Republicans. Thirteen Republicans voted against the bill, and zero Democrats voted for it. The Republicans who voted no were from New York, New Jersey, California and North Carolina." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... The Rich Get Richer & the Poor Get Poorer. New York Times: "The Joint Committee on Taxation, Congress's bipartisan referee on tax policy, said on Thursday that the amended Senate's version of the tax bill will raise taxes on low-income Americans beginning in 2021, in what appears to be a side effect of the bill's decision to repeal the so-called individual mandate that requires most people buy health insurance under the Affordable Care Act. Because of this decision, the joint committee's analysis showed that taxpayers earning less than $40,000 would see their tax bills go up in the second half of the next decade. The committee also forecast that taxpayers earning $75,000 or less would see, as a group, large tax increases in 2027, if the individual tax cuts in the bill expire as scheduled at the end of 2025.... Senator Orrin Hatch of Utah, the Republican chairman of the finance committee, said that the appearance of a tax increase was a mirage that is the result of arcane scoring rules." Emphasis added. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: No doubt people struggling to get by will enjoy their tasty soupe du mirage, will imagine the electricity is still on, & won't even see that illusionary red ink in their bank statement. Or at least the ones who aren't dead from lack of health care will. Ain't we got fun. ...

... Danielle Douglas-Gabriel of the Washington Post: "The repeal and revision of higher-education tax benefits in the bill passed Thursday by the House would cost students and families more than $71 billion over the next decade, according to an official analysis by Congress's Joint Committee on Taxation.... The committee tallied the costs at the request of Sen. Patty Murray (Wash.), the ranking Democrat on the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Pardon my Marxism, but this is intentional. The fewer young people who can afford higher education, the fewer there will be to challenge the offspring of the wealthy to high-paying, career-path jobs. This is just one of a multi-faceted approach to furthering income & wealth inequality.

... Paul Krugman: Nearly everyone hates this plan, including CEOs, who live in the real world. "They realize that even a huge tax cut wouldn't lead to much more spending. And with that realization, the rationale for this tax plan, such as it is, falls apart, leaving nothing but a scheme to make the rich -- especially those who rake in investment income rather than working for a living -- richer at everyone else's expense." ...

... Paul Waldman: "If you're one of those white working-class voters who propelled Donald Trump into the presidency and gave Republicans total control of Washington, the GOP has a message for you: Sucker!... Everyone always knew Republicans were going to cut taxes for the wealthy. They're Republicans; that's what they do. But it's a genuine surprise to see them raising taxes on people with more modest incomes.... it's important to understand that the tax cut is just one phase of a larger project Republicans have been dreaming of for years. Once this bill passes, they'll say that we face enormous deficits (made far worse by their tax cut, of course), and therefore we have no choice but to slash away at the safety net. As John Harwood points out..., they're already preparing to take aim at programs such as Medicaid and Social Security disability, whose largest group of recipients are working-class whites.... Trump's most ardent supporters won't care.... For many Trump voters, the election victory was itself the most important deliverable.... They're less concerned about what happens afterward, which gives Trump and congressional Republicans the ability to take their money and give it to those who need it least... A con ... works best when the marks are only too happy to let you con them." ...

... Mrs. McCrabbie: Contributors P.D. Pepe & Patrick both linked to clips of yesterday's Senate committee hearing on the tax bill. Sorry, P.D., I'm posting Patrick's:

     ... Okay, here's P.D. Pepe's contribution. Old Hatch really acts as if he believes his party's bull. Let me just say that "I used to be poor" is not a defense of a bill that would profit him now that he is not only quite comfortable now but depends on the super-wealthy for their support:

Ali Vitali of NBC News: "... Donald Trump is troubled by the allegations against Roy Moore, but is not calling on the Alabama Republican to quit the Senate race and believes that his fate should be left up to the voters, the president's press secretary said Thursday." ...

... AND Trump is also "troubled" by allegations against Al Franken: "The Al Frankenstien picture is really bad, speaks a thousand words. Where do his hands go in pictures 2, 3, 4, 5 & 6 while she sleeps? ..... And to think that just last week he was lecturing anyone who would listen about sexual harassment and respect for women. Lesley Stahl tape?" ...

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: Trump leaves us all to wonder why he isn't "troubled" by the evidence of his own long history of sexually abusing women.

Sean Illing of Vox: “'Politicians lie, but this is different,' says [Robert Dallek] a historian who studies presidential history, and estimates the Trump administration easily ranks among the most corrupt in American history.... Dallek estimates that historical examples of corruption, like that of the Warren G. Harding administration, don't hold a candle to how Trump and his people have conducted themselves in the White House. History will judge Trump, and it will not be kind." Illing interviews Dallek. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Juan Cole: "The US is usually number 1 in the German research firm Gfk's rankings, headed up by political consultant Simon Anholt. They ask some 22,000 people around the world to rank countries on six scales. This year it fell five full places to number 6. No such fall has taken place since 2004, when Americans elected George W. Bush to a second term. And in the past, falls only lasted for a year. Angela Merkel is the leader of the free world, not Trump.... The finding about the US decline is alarming and could be a sign that Trump is dragging the country down. In turn, that is important because many US goals require international cooperation.... The dimensions [Gfk measures] are governance, people, culture, exports, immigration-investment and tourism." --safari

Trump Klub. Andrew Kaczynski, et al. of CNN: "The head of faith-based and neighborhood partnerships at the Department of Homeland Security has said in the past that the black community is responsible for turning cities into 'slums' and argued that Islam's only contribution to society was 'oil and dead bodies,' a CNN KFile review of his time as a radio host reveals. Rev. Jamie Johnson was appointed in April by then-Secretary of Homeland Security John Kelly.... In 2008, during a discussion on 'The Right Balance' on Accent Radio Network, Johnson said he believed black people were anti-Semitic out of jealousy of the success of Jewish people.... 'And it's an indictment of America's black community that has turned America's major cities into slums because of laziness, drug use and sexual promiscuity.'" --safari ...

     ... Update. Kaczynski Strikes Again. Eli Rosenberg of the Washington Post: "A political appointee in the Department of Homeland Security abruptly resigned after the disclosure Thursday he previously made derogatory remarks about black people and Muslims on conservative talk radio. Rev. Jamie Johnson, who was appointed the head of the DHS's Center for Faith-Based & Neighborhood Partnerships in April, appeared on the program in 2008. The comments resurfaced Thursday after CNN published a report about them...."


Tucker Higgins
of CNBC: "Russian Ambassador Sergey Kislyak said on Wednesday that it would take him more than 20 minutes to name all of the Trump officials he's met with or spoken to on the phone. 'First, I'm never going to do that,' he said. 'And second, the list is so long that I'm not going to be able to go through it in 20 minutes.'" ...

... The Plots Thickens. Elizabeth Preza of RawStory: "A Turkish-Iranian gold trader [Reza Zarrab] scheduled to go to trial in New York on Monday is no longer in the U.S. prison system, but remains in federal custody, prompting speculation he may be cooperating with investigators as part of a plea deal -- and helping to build ... Robert Mueller's case against Donald Trump's former national security adviser Michael Flynn.... Last week, the Wall Street Journal reported special counsel Robert Mueller is investigating allegations that just before Trump's inauguration, Flynn met with senior Turkish officials at the 21 Club restaurant in New York to discuss a possible quid pro quo while in office. Investigators are reportedly looking into whether Flynn and Turkish officials discussed releasing Zarrab." --safari ...

... Katie Zavadski of the Daily Beast: "Mueller is reportedly looking at a December meeting blocks from Trump Tower where Michael Flynn -- shortly before Trump became president and named him national security adviser -- was reportedly offered upward of $15 million if he could help Turkey win the extradition of cleric Fethullah Gülen as well as the release of gold trader Reza Zarrab.... Zarrab's arrest in Miami last march, while he was on vacation with his family, ignited a bitter war of words between the Turkish government and the Manhattan U.S. attorney's office. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has said he asked then-Vice President Joe Biden about arranging for the release of the 34-year-old trader, a dual Turkish and Iranian citizen who's socialized with the Turkish president and is married to a popular Turkish singer." ...

... Esme Cribb of TPM: "Special counsel Robert Mueller ... issued a subpoena in October to more than a dozen members of ... Donald Trump's campaign, the Wall Street Journal reported late Thursday." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Hope Mueller didn't waste much paper on a subpoena for Jared Kushner because Kushner isn't all that forthcoming with incriminating documents: ...

... Natasha Bertrand of Business Insider: "... Jared Kushner forwarded emails concerning a 'Russian backdoor overture and dinner invite' to Trump campaign officials and failed to produce those emails to the Senate Judiciary Committee, says a letter the senators sent Kushner's lawyer on Thursday. Kushner also failed to produce emails on which he was copied involving communication with WikiLeaks and with a Belarusan-American businessman named Sergei Millian, the senators said. Millian most recently headed a group called the Russian-American Chamber of Commerce.... The senators also said Kushner had not produced any phone records.... The Wall Street Journal and ABC reported earlier this year that Millian was 'Source E' in the dossier alleging ties between Trump and Russia." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Josh Dawsey of Politico: "Jared Kushner is still working with an interim security clearance 10 months into ... Donald Trump's administration, according to White House officials and others with knowledge of the matter. The top adviser and Trump son-in-law, who joined Trump for part of his Asia tour this month, has continued to work on sensitive foreign policy issues and other matters while his application for a permanent clearance remains under review, these people said. On Thursday, Sens. Chuck Grassley and Dianne Feinstein -- who jointly oversee the Senate Judiciary Committee's Russia probe -- requested documents from Kushner including 'transcripts from other committee interviews, additional documents from previous requests, communications with (former national security adviser) Michael Flynn and documents related to his security clearance.' Grassley and Feinstein said Kushner, citing confidentiality, declined to produce documents connected to his security clearance application, which includes a form that has been repeatedly amended to list Kushner's contacts with foreign officials." ...

... Conservative Michael Gerson of the Washington Post: "In all of [the Russia scandal], there is a spectacular accumulation of lies. Lies on disclosure forms. Lies at confirmation hearings. Lies on Twitter. Lies in the White House briefing room. Lies to the FBI. Self-protective lies by the attorney general. Blocking and tackling lies by Vice President Pence. This is, with a few exceptions, a group of people for whom truth, political honor, ethics and integrity mean nothing.... The Trump administration will be remembered for many things. The widespread, infectious corruption of institutions and individuals may be its most damning legacy." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: I'm happy to see Gerson wrap VP Pious into this conspiracy of liars. That twerp has gotten too much of a pass for his convenient ignorance of any wrongdoing that comes to light.

Lee Ann Caldwell & Garrett Haake of NBC News: "A bipartisan group of senators Thursday unveiled legislation to improve background-checks for gun sales, a narrow measure that attempts to address the recent spate of mass shootings. The bill represents an incremental update to existing law but has the best chance of any effort to pass through Congress in recent years, with the weight of support from senior Senate Republicans behind it and no public opposition from the gun lobby. The bill, crafted by Sens. John Cornyn, R.-Texas, and Chris Murphy, D-Conn., would attempt to better enforce current law and strengthen the National Instant Criminal Background Check system to ensure all background check information is uploaded."

Thomas Moriarty of NJ.com: "A hopelessly deadlocked jury brought an end to the corruption trial of U.S. Sen. Robert Menendez Thursday with the declaration of a mistrial, after a contentious 11-week courtroom drama that concluded without a final act. The government now must decide whether to retry the Democratic lawmaker from New Jersey and co-defendant Salomon Melgen, a wealthy Florida ophthalmologist, who are accused of swapping lavish gifts for government favors." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)


Jennifer Steinhauer
of the New York Times: "Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, Democrat of New York, who holds Hillary Clinton's former seat, said on Thursday that Bill Clinton should have resigned the presidency after his inappropriate relationship with an intern came to light nearly 20 years ago. Asked directly if she believed Mr. Clinton should have stepped down at the time, Ms. Gillibrand took a long pause and said, 'Yes, I think that is the appropriate response.'... A spokesman later said that Ms. Gillibrand was trying to underscore that Mr. Clinton's actions, had they happened in the current era, should have compelled him to resign. Still, it was a remarkable statement from a senator who enthusiastically backed Mrs. Clinton's presidential bid last year but has been deeply involved in legislative efforts to curb sexual abuse and harassment in the military and on college campuses.... Earlier, she said she would give all the donations her campaign had received from [Al] Franken's political action committee to Protect Our Defenders, which helps those assaulted in the military. She also introduced the 'Me Too Congress Act' on Thursday to address yearslong and rampant sexual misconduct on Capitol Hill." ...

... Amy Wang, et al., of the Washington Post: "Broadcaster and model Leeann Tweeden said Thursday that Al Franken 'forcibly kissed' and groped her during a USO tour in 2006, two years before the Minnesota Democrat's election to the U.S. Senate -- prompting Franken to apologize and call for a Senate ethics investigation into his actions. 'You knew exactly what you were doing,' Tweeden wrote in a blog post for Los Angeles radio station KABC, for which she works as a morning news anchor. 'You forcibly kissed me without my consent, grabbed my breasts while I was sleeping and had someone take a photo of you doing it, knowing I would see it later and be ashamed.'... Tweeden's blog post included an image of Franken looking into a camera, his hands either over or on Tweeden's chest as she slept.... Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.), Franken's home state colleague, also didn't immediately respond to inquiries. She is co-sponsor of a bill unanimously approved by the Senate last week that will mandate sexual harassment training for all senators and their staffs.... On Tuesday, House Speaker Paul D. Ryan (R-Wis.) announced that the House will adopt a policy change to make anti-harassment training mandatory for all members and staff. That announcement followed a congressional hearing during which members publicly came to terms with sexual harassment as a pervasive problem on Capitol Hill. Female lawmakers aired tantalizing details, albeit without naming names, of unwanted sexual comments and advances taking place in their midst." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Nicholas Fandos of the New York Times: "The swift, unsparing response came from Republicans and Democrats alike. Mitch McConnell, Republican of Kentucky and Chuck Schumer, Democrat of New York, the Senate leaders, wasted no time before forwarding the matter to the Senate Ethics Committee -- a move supported by Democrats, including Mr. Franken. Lawmakers did stop short of meting out a punishment on a fellow senator, and it appeared that Mr. Franken would be able to weather the disclosure.... While his fellow senators rushed to rebuke him, Mr. Franken hunkered down out of sight, skipping four votes in the Senate and the Democrats' regularly scheduled luncheon.... Republicans, eager to talk about sexual accusations other than Mr. Moore's, tried to turn the allegations to their political favor."

... Esme Cribb of TPM: "Sen. Al Franken (D-MN), accused on Thursday of forcibly kissing and groping a woman on a USO tour in 2006 before he was in office, has made the prevention of sexual assault and violence against women one of his signature issues as a lawmaker. Franken on Thursday said he 'certainly' did not remember the incident 'in the same way' as Leeann Tweeden, who accused Franken of kissing her over her protestations and later groping her in a photograph. Franken offered his 'sincerest apologies.'" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Via Politico, here's the text of Franken's full apology, made after his initial statement. (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... A Curious Twist. Josh Delk of the Hill: "Former Trump campaign adviser Roger Stone appeared to know there were sexual misconduct allegations involving Sen. Al Franken (D-Minn.) hours before they became public. Stone has been banned from Twitter, but at 1 a.m. on Thursday morning an account connected to him tweeted a quote from the Republican political operative. 'Roger Stone says it's Al Franken's "time in the barrel". Franken next in long list of Democrats to be accused of "grabby" behavior," read the tweet from Enter the Stone Zone.... After Tweeden's account went public, Enter The Stone Zone tweeted again, sharing a Politico report about the allegations." ...

     ... Gets Curiouser. Karen Wehrstein of Daily Kos: "... and: InfoWars knew too.... [The tweets from Stone & InfoWars surrogates are] all within nine minutes of each other -- from 1:12 to 1:21 a.m. Nov. 16. Several hours later, Leeann Tweeden, who is connected with Fox as a six-year employee of Fox Sports, and has appeared on Hannity, issued her Franken accusation." Following this, Putinbots started tweeting furiously about Franken." ...

... Philip Bump of the Washington Post looks at immediate fallout & possible consequences for Franken. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Michelle Goldberg makes a multi-faceted argument on why Franken should not resign, but she concludes, "I would mourn Franken's departure from the Senate, but I think he should go, and the governor should appoint a woman to fill his seat. The message to men in power about sexual degradation has to be clear: We will replace you." ...

     ... Kevin Drum: "No. The message to men in power should be: we will treat you fairly. That should be our message to everyone, the guilty and the innocent alike. If we get to the point where we sacrifice individuals just for the sake of movement optics, that's where I get off the train." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: I'm with Drum on this. Based on what we know now -- that is, unless we find out Franken is still making "jokes" like this or has abused a number of other women -- he should not resign. I'd favor censure or some other form of reprimand. Since he has joined the Senate, Franken has been a serious legislator, educating himself on the issues, and BTW, championing women's issues & rights. What we've seen in Sen. Franken is a new & improved Al. If that's a facade, then sure, adios, go freeze your ass off in Minnesota. In the meantime, stick around, Al, & atone for your gross mistreatment of a woman who was trying to do a good deed for American servicemen & women. ...

... Steve M.: "... if Franken stays, every Alabama Republican voter who's on the fence about Roy Moore receives a Get Out of Moral Quandary Free card. Hey, the lib harasser gets to stay, so hell yeah, I'm voting for Roy Moore. I still think a Doug Jones victory in Alabama is a long shot, though people who are smarter than I am think it's possible. But it won't be possible if Franken hangs on. That's not the main reason he should go. But he should go." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Okay for Fox "News": Not for the Senate. Bill O'Reilly, who had a sex-abuse pass written into his Fox "News" contract, is also saying that Franken is not fit for the Senate.


Looks as if Poppy Has Been Grabbing Ass for a Long Time. Athena Jones
of CNN: "Former President George H.W. Bush is facing new allegations from a Michigan woman who said he touched her inappropriately while he was in office at an event in April 1992. The woman, now 55, spoke exclusively with CNN and said she was attending a fundraiser for Bush's re-election campaign in Dearborn, Michigan, with her father when the president grabbed her rear end during a photo-op. 'We got closer together for a family photo and it was like "Holy crap!'" she said, describing the moment Bush touched her buttocks. 'It was like a gentle squeeze.'... 'All the focus has been on "He's old." OK, but he wasn't old when it happened to me,' she told CNN.... CNN has spoken with the woman's ex-husband and her best friend, both of whom she told of the incident soon after it occurred." CNN has not published the woman's name, at her request, but it did publish the "family photo," & it reveals that, yeah, Poppy could have been copping a feel. ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Bush seems to regard ass-grabbing as a sort of performance art; that is, he does it for the cameras. "Look! I'm the leader of the free world AND I can abuse women in plain sight! What fun!" This is somewhat similar to Al Franken's not-so-funny photo, except Bush -- a former CIA director -- adds a secretive element to it.

Senate Race

Alan Blinder of the New York Times: "The Alabama Republican Party on Thursday offered unqualified support to the embattled candidacy of Roy S. Moore, ignoring the condemnation of national Republican leaders and brushing aside worries that he could lose a Senate race in a solidly conservative state -- or be expelled from Congress if he wins. Invoking the need for guidance from God, a statement from the party's chairwoman, Terry Lathan, referred only indirectly to the allegations of sexual misconduct and unwanted overtures against women that have upended the Senate race here." ...

... Oliver Darcy of CNN: "U.S. Senate candidate Roy Moore published an open letter to Sean Hannity on Wednesday night pushing back against allegations of sexual abuse.... In the letter, which came one night after Hannity said he would give Moore 24 hours to explain inconsistencies in how he has addressed the allegations before calling on him to step aside in the race, Moore [wrote]..., 'I am suffering the same treatment other Republicans have had to endure.'... Moore said in his letter to Hannity that he was 'in the process of investigating' what he characterized as 'false allegations.'... Hannity responded to Moore's letter at the end of his Wednesday night program and said that the allegations against Moore 'are beyond disturbing and serious.' But Hannity declined to drop his support for Moore...." (Also linked yesterday.)


Ian Millhiser of Think Progress: "During Neil Gorsuch's confirmation hearing for the Supreme Court seat Senate Republicans held open for a year until Donald Trump could fill it, the judge was dogged by questions about a case in which he voted against a trucker who nearly froze to death in a broken down truck. Thursday evening, Gorsuch turned this case into a punchline.... After [the trucker] began to show symptoms of hypothermia, he unhitched the trailer -- despite instructions from a supervisor not to do so -- and left seeking help. He was later fired for 'violating company policy by abandoning his load while under dispatch.'" Gorsuch dissented from the two other judges on the appellate panel, who ruled for the trucker. "A judge may be presented with a law, Gorsuch began his joke, and 'immediately know three things. One, the law is telling me to do something really, really stupid. Two, the law is constitutional and I have no choice but to do that really stupid thing the law demands. And three, when it's done, everyone who is not a lawyer is going to think I just hate truckers.' The joke was a hit with the gathered Federalist Society members, who laughed and clapped uproariously after Gorsuch delivered his punchline." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Gorsuch's "joke" is even worse than Franken's.


Mayra Cuevas & Steve Almasy
of CNN: "A total of 210,000 gallons of oil leaked Thursday from the Keystone pipeline in South Dakota, the pipeline's operator, TransCanada, said. Crews shut down the pipeline Thursday morning and officials are investigating the cause of the leak, which occurred about 3 miles southeast of the town of Amherst, said ... a spokesman for the state's Department of Environment and Natural Resources. This is the largest Keystone oil spill to date in South Dakota, Walsh said. The leak comes just days before Nebraska officials announce a decision on whether the proposed Keystone XL Pipeline, a sister project, can move forward.... In March..., Donald Trump's administration officially issued a permit that approved construction of the Keystone XL Pipeline.... Trump said the new pipeline will be a big win for American workers, but critics say it won't be, because most of the jobs would be temporary." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Yes, but remember that Keystone XL is Xtra Large, so count on Xtra Large spills that will generate a lot of temporary jobs that would open up again & again with each new spill. Always look on the bright side.