The Commentariat -- November 10, 2017
Afternoon Update:
Travis Gettys of the Raw Story: "Special counsel Robert Mueller is investigating Mike Flynn and his sons alleged plot to kidnap a Muslim cleric living in the U.S. and hand him over to Turkey in exchange for millions of dollars. The former national security adviser to ... Donald Trump and his son, Mike Flynn Jr., would have been paid up to $15 million for delivering Fethullah Gulen to the Turkish government, according to sources familiar with the investigation who spoke to the Wall Street Journal." ...
... Mrs. McCrabbie: So congratulations, folks! You are residents of a country in which the top national security advisor to the president is being investigated for kidnapping & rendition to a harsh foreign government. Unless, that is, your DACA renewal app was lost in the mail. In which case, you'll have to leave. ...
... How Cruel Is the Trump Administration? Liz Robbins of the New York Times: "Dozens of young immigrants mailed [DACA] renewal forms weeks before they were due. But their paperwork was delayed in the mail and [their applications were] denied for being late.... On Thursday, in a rare admission from a federal agency, the U.S. Postal Service took the blame..... But the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services agency said nothing more could be done; the decisions were final. Because DACA is an executive order, signed by President Barack Obama in 2012, and not a statute, applicants cannot appeal the decision.... Still, immigrants and their advocates viewed the agency's unwillingness to revisit their applications as harsh and unfair.... On Sept. 5, Attorney General Jeff Sessions announced after months of speculation that the Trump administration was canceling the program. Recipients were allowed to keep their permits until they expired at the end of the current two-year term. The administration also offered a brief renewal window for recipients whose permits were expiring before March 5, which set off a scramble across the country from legal service providers to assist applicants."
Ben Kamisar of the Hill: "Sen. Mike Lee (R-Utah) has requested to be removed from Alabama GOP Senate nominee Roy Moore's fundraising pitches after a Thursday investigative report from the Washington Post detailed accusations of inappropriate sexual conduct between a 32-year-old Moore and a minor.... The fundraising pitch attempted to discredit the allegations and included pictures of Lee, as well as Sens. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Rand Paul (R-Ky.)." ...
... Mrs. McCrabbie: That's funny, because back when Lee already knew all the stuff that Alex Shephard mentions in the post linked below, Lee wrote, "Judge Moore's tested reputation of integrity is exactly what we need in Washington, D.C., in order to pass conservative legislation and protect the liberty of all Americans." So, um, kicking Muslims out of Congress would be "conservative legislation"; dating girls half your age is creepy? Making homosexuality illegal is "protecting the liberty of all Americans," but molesting a 14-year-old is over the line? Why don't you tell us where your line is, Mike? ...
... Here's a lesson from Steve M. that we all know by heart: "Don't believe Republicans when they sound reasonable. They inevitably defer to those on their side who aren't. That's how we got our president." ...
... Luckily, Some Alabama Lawmakers Are Sensitive & Sensible. Brad Reed of the Raw Story: "Republican Alabama State Representative Ed Henry said on Friday that he wanted someone to bring charges against the women who accused GOP Senate candidate Roy Moore of making sexual advances on them when they were teenagers.... 'If they believe this man is predatory, they are guilty of allowing him to exist for 40 years,' Henry fumed. 'I think someone should prosecute and go after them. You can't be a victim 40 years later, in my opinion.'" ...
... Mrs. McCrabbie: Maybe we should mention here that Anthony Weiner resigned from Congress, under pressure from Democrats -- including Nancy Pelosi & Barack Obama -- and he is now in jail, serving time for doing virtually what Roy Moore (allegedly) did person-to-person.
*****
Andrew Restuccia & Michael Tatarski of Politico: "... Donald Trump Friday delivered a broadside against unfair trade practices, warning of a coming crackdown from the United States on 'violations, cheating or economic aggression.' But in a bid to avoid souring his blossoming relationship with China and other nations in the region, he stopped short of placing the blame for everything from product dumping to currency manipulation and predatory industrial policies on other countries. 'The current trade imbalance is not acceptable. I do not blame China or any other country -- of which there are many -- for taking advantage of the United States on trade,' Trump said during a speech at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit [in Da Nang, Vietnam]. I wish previous administrations in my country saw what was happening and did something about it. They did not, but I will.'... During his speech, Trump roundly rejected multilateral trade deals like the Trans-Pacific Partnership, which he withdrew from on his third day in office."
... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: All hat, no cattle. So far, all Trump has "done" is to undo Obama's work on trade negotiations with Asia-Pacific countries. While many groups found fault with the TPP, when what Trump does is less than nothing, I doubt many of his listeners were all skeert they'd lose any economic advantages over the U.S. Trump isn't a do-nothing president*. He's an undo-everything president*. ...
... Benjamin Hart of New York: "On his way to Asia last weekend, President Trump told reporters that he planned to meet with his favorite autocrat, Vladimir Putin, specifically to seek out the Russian's help with North Korea. The tête-à-tête was meant to take place in Vietnam, where both leaders donned peculiar shirts on Friday to attend the annual APEC trade summit. But White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders said that no formal meeting had been planned between the two, citing 'scheduling conflicts.'... Sanders left open the possibility that the two would 'bump into each other and say hello,' which, judging by past experience, may be code for 'have a long, private conversation that isn't disclosed until days later.'"
** Mark Hosenball of Reuters: "The same political research firm that prepared a dossier on Trump campaign ties to Russia had unrelated information on Clinton Foundation donors that a Russian lawyer obtained and offered to ... Donald Trump's eldest son last year, three sources familiar with the matter said.... The sources told Reuters that the negative information that Russian lawyer Natalia Veselnitskaya wanted to give to Republican Trump's campaign at a June 2016 meeting in New York had been dug up by Fusion GPS in an unrelated investigation.... Glenn Simpson, one of Fusion GPS' founders, met with Veselnitskaya about that litigation before and after her meeting with Trump Jr., Kushner and Manafort, according to a source familiar with the matter. However, a source familiar with 10 hours of testimony Simpson gave the Senate Judiciary committee in August said he told investigators he did not know of Veselnitskaya's Trump Tower meeting until reports of it appeared in the media." ...
... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: Hilarious. As Trump whines about how horrible it was for Clinton to pay a British intelligence operative for digging up dirt on him, his son was eagerly encouraging Russian nationals to give the Trump campaign dirt on Clinton prepared by the same firm -- but financed by a hostile foreign interest (thus illegal under U.S. Law). And then Junior hinted at a quid pro quo for the hostile nation in return for the Clinton dirt. You always know that when Trump accuses an opponent of something, he has done the same thing -- and then some. This story, so far, is getting no traction in the popular press. But it should. ...
... Pamela Brown, et al., of CNN: "White House senior policy adviser Stephen Miller has been interviewed as part of special counsel Robert Mueller's Russia probe, according to sources familiar with the investigation. The interview brings the special counsel investigation into ... Donald Trump's inner circle in the White House. Miller is the highest-level aide still working at the White House known to have talked to investigators. Miller's role in the firing of FBI Director James Comey was among the topics discussed during the interview as part of the probe into possible obstruction of justice, according to one of the sources." ...
... Ken Dilanian & Jonathan Allen of NBC News: "After a business meeting before the Miss Universe Pageant in 2013, a Russian participant offered to 'send five women' to Donald Trump's hotel room in Moscow, his longtime bodyguard told Congress this week, according to three sources who were present for the interview. Two of the sources said the bodyguard, Keith Schiller, viewed the offer as a joke, and immediately responded, 'We don't do that type of stuff.' The two sources said Schiller's comments came in the context of him adamantly disputing the allegations made in the Trump dossier, written by a former British intelligence operative, which describes Trump having an encounter with prostitutes at the hotel during the pageant. Schiller described his reaction to that story as being, "Oh my God, that's bull----," two sources said.... One source noted that Schiller testified he eventually left Trump's hotel room door and could not say for sure what happened during the remainder of the night. Two other sources said Schiller testified he was confident nothing happened.... Schiller was grilled about the Moscow trip as part of four hours of testimony before the House Intelligence Committee." ...
... Mrs. McCrabbie: IMO, Schiller just verified the first half of the Steele dossier's "golden rain" story. We won't ever know what happened next, but Schiller's testimony gives a great deal of credence to the possibility that Trump did have some kind of "room service" at the Moscow Ritz, courtesy of Kremlin pimps. As such, Schiller's testimony is both surprising & useful. ...
... Ryan Nakashima & Barbara Ortutay of the AP: "Disguised Russian agents on Twitter rushed to deflect scandalous news about Donald Trump just before last year's presidential election while straining to refocus criticism on the mainstream media and Hillary Clinton's campaign, according to an Associated Press analysis of since-deleted accounts. Tweets by Russia-backed accounts such as 'America_1st_' and 'BatonRougeVoice' on Oct. 7, 2016, actively pivoted away from news of an audio recording in which Trump made crude comments about groping women, and instead touted damaging emails hacked from Clinton's campaign chairman John Podesta."
John Kelly Really Is a Nasty, Racist Prick. Nick Miroff of the Washington Post: "On Monday, as the Department of Homeland Security prepared to extend the residency permits of tens of thousands of Honduran immigrants living in the United States, White House Chief of Staff John F. Kelly called Acting Secretary Elaine Duke to pressure her to expel them, according to current and former administration officials. Duke refused to reverse her decision and was angered by what she felt was a politically driven intrusion by Kelly and Tom Bossert, the White House homeland security adviser, who also called her about the matter, according to officials with knowledge of Monday's events, who spoke on the condition of anonymity...." Also worth reading is the part about DHS Secretary nominee Kirstjen Nielsen. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Matt Yglesias of Vox: "Top White House economic adviser Gary Cohn's background as a Goldman Sachs executive leaves him more experienced in the art of talking t really rich people than communicating with the public. That ends up making this interview with CNBC's John Harwood, published this morning, an extraordinary document, because when Harwood pushes him on a few points, Cohn ends up basically surrendering and admitting the plain truth about the Republican tax plan: that it's a bonanza for big businesses and the rich, whose main benefit for normal people is a vague hope that prosperity will trickle down from those at the top." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... AND here's Gary Cohn telling John Harwood that repealing the estate tax "benefits a lot of different people." Mrs. McC: Yes, in that Gary Cohn and Donald Trump and (poor) Wilbur Ross and David Koch and Charles Koch are "a lot of different people." Cohn's assertion was in response to Harwood's question, "Are you seriously saying with a straight face that getting rid of the estate tax is about farmers and not about very wealthy families?" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... Mrs. McCrabbie: Okay, so that and the trickle-down stuff has broken the last of my stash of finely-calibrated Bullshitometers, BUT then Cohn says to Harwood, "The most excited group out there are big CEOs, about our tax plan." "This," as Jonathan Chait admits, "is 100 percent true." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... Jim Tankersley, et al., of the New York Times: "Senate Republicans outlined their vision on Thursday for overhauling the tax code, proposing a one-year delay in President Trump's top priority of cutting the corporate tax rate while reinstating some prized tax breaks used by middle-class families. The Senate bill differs significantly from the House version approved by the Ways and Means committee on Thursday: It would preserve some popular tax breaks, including ones for mortgage interest and medical expenses, and would maintain a bottom tax rate of 10 percent for lower earners. But it would also jettison the state and local tax deduction entirely and delay the enforcement of a 20 percent corporate tax rate until 2019, which could rankle the White House and mute the economic growth projections that Republicans are counting on to blunt the cost of the tax cuts." ...
... Mrs. McCrabbie: Why does the Senate bill eliminate the state & local tax deduction? Because there are no GOP senators from blue states (while there are GOP House members from blue states), & blue states have high state & local taxes. So the Senate bill is a transfer of wealth not just from the middle class to the rich, but also from blue states to red. Of course this adds insult to injury inasmuch as blue states -- in general -- already are among the biggest donor states while red states -- in general -- are more likely to be takers. As for Medlar & me, we're going to get hit hard. I resent giving more of my money to the Koch brothers. ...
... However, as Todd Frankel of the Washington Post points out, even red states are home to thousands of upper-middle-class voters who will be the goats of GOP tax "reform." Frankel cites, for instance, residents of Atlanta suburbs who balance their family budgets on "deductions for mortgage and student loan interest and state and local taxes.... Both the House version, which passed out of a critical committee Thursday, and the Senate version, released Thursday, target this group of upper-middle-class Americans to raise revenue to offset other tax cuts. The tax push illustrates the political risks of attacking provisions favored by prosperous but far-from-rich suburbanites, a powerful voting bloc that often faces the financial stress of living in increasingly pricey neighborhoods. Many in the GOP already are worried about losing their grip on this important group after Tuesday's result in the Virginia governor's race, where Democrat Ralph Northam crushed Republican Ed Gillespie by running up votes in the dense areas outside cities." ...
... Noah Lanard of Mother Jones: "On Thursday, Senate Republicans released a tax cut plan that closely tracks the business-friendly bill introduced last week in the House. But that bill has little chance of becoming law in its current form thanks to a Senate rule that requires 60 votes for legislation that adds to the deficit beyond 10 years. In the past five days, three different studies have found that the House bill would provide nearly half of its benefits to the top 1 percent of Americans, while raising taxes on tens of millions of middle-class families. The Senate bill generally sticks to that approach...." ...
... Damian Paletta & Mike DeBonis of the Washington Post: "Senate Republicans on Thursday plan to propose delaying a cut in the corporate tax rate from 35 percent to 20 percent until 2019, four people briefed on the planning said, a major departure from President Trump's insistence on immediate changes that he says are necessary to spur the economy.... The one-year delay would lower the cost of the tax cut bill by more than $100 billion, and negotiators are trying to preserve as much revenue as they can for other changes. But it could also delay decisions by companies to move back to the United States from overseas or have companies hold off on other decisions as they wait for the corporate rate to fall." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Josh Delk of the Hill: "Prosecutors have told Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) to expect federal charges to be filed against his longtime neighbor for his violent attack on Paul, sources told Fox News on Thursday. The Saturday attack, which left Paul with six broken ribs, is believed to have been politically motivated, Fox says.... [The neighbor Rene] Boucher has pleaded not guilty to a fourth-degree assault charge."
Matt Friedman of Politico: "A juror who was excused Thursday afternoon [because of a previously-scheduled vacation] from U.S. Sen. Robert Menendez's federal corruption trial said that if she had stayed on, she would have found Menendez 'not guilty on every charge.' Evelyn Arroyo-Maultsby also said other jurors' feelings about the case are mixed and she believes the result may be a hung jury."
John Cassidy of The New Yorker: "Trumpism didn't collapse on Tuesday. It did get a bloody nose, however. And, for many Democrats, the Trump backlash that was evident from Maine to Virginia raised hopes of a much bigger victory in next year's midterm elections.... In the first big set of votes since Trump became President, the America that reviles him and his backward-looking, monochromatic vision of the country stood up and made itself heard.... If he were a bigger, better person, he'd take heed of Tuesday's results and adopt a more tolerant and inclusive stance. That won't happen, of course. Trump and Trumpism won't go away of their own accord: their opponents will have to defeat them. And, in that pursuit, they have taken an encouraging first step." --safari
Senate Race
Let's see how things are going for ole Shalt-Not-Covet-Thy-Neighbors'-Daughters Roy Moore:
Michael Scherer of the Washington Post: "A growing chorus of Senate Republicans including Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) have called on Senate candidate Roy Moore to withdraw from a special election in Alabama if allegations prove true that the former judge initiated a sexual encounter with a 14-year-old girl nearly four decades ago.... Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) called on Moore to step aside as well -- and without couching his statement with 'if true' language.... The state Republican Party has the power to disqualify Moore from the election, though it is too late to remove his name from the ballot, according to the Alabama secretary of state.... Alabama state law does allow write-in votes to be cast in general elections, as long as the names are for living people and written in without using a rubber stamp or stick-on label. Despite a state law barring candidates from appearing twice on ballots in the same election cycle, Sen. Luther Strange (R-Ala.), who lost in the primary to Moore, would be an eligible write-in candidate, said John Bennett, an official at the state secretary of state's office." ...
... Adam Raymond of New York: "Ohio Sen. Rob Portman ... added that Moore's accusers 'are on the record, so I assume' their allegations are true." ...
... Alex Shephard of the New Republic: Republicans' endorsements of Roy Moore "are particularly shameful in the wake of the Post's reporting. But they were shameful from the beginning." Shephard points to a few reasons why: "Moore believes that homosexuality should be illegal. He believes that Muslims should not be allowed to serve in Congress. He does not believe in evolution. He believes that there are communities in the United States living under Sharia law. He believes that 9/11 was divine retribution for the nation's sins. He believes that Barack Obama was not born in America. He was suspended from Alabama's Supreme Court for refusing to recognize gay marriage. He installed a 5,280-pound granite monument of the Ten Commandments on the lawn of Alabama's judicial building."
Like most Americans the president believes we cannot allow a mere allegation, in this case one from many years ago, to destroy a person's life. However, the president also believes that if these allegations are true, Judge Moore will do the right thing and step aside. -- Sarah Sanders, in a statement to the Daily Beast ...
... As the Beast notes, "By putting the ball in Moore's hands, Trump does not go nearly as far as many other Senate Republicans who have demanded that Moore withdraw from the race." Mrs. McC: What do you expect from someone who has repeatedly bragged about sexually abusing women, then dismissed his boasts as "locker-room talk" while saying women he did allegedly abuse were liars & threatening to sue them?
** Stephanie McCrummen, et al., of the Washington Post: Four women who were then between the ages of 14 and 18 "interviewed by The Washington Post in recent weeks say [Roy] Moore [who is the GOP candidate for the U.S. Senate in an Alabama special election] pursued them when ... he was in his early 30s, episodes they say they found flattering at the time, but troubling as they got older. None of the women say that Moore forced them into any sort of relationship or sexual contact." However, he kissed them & one woman, who was 14 at the time, says Moore removed her close & engaged in sexual touching. All four women are named in the story. "In a written statement, Moore denied the allegations. 'These allegations are completely false and are a desperate political attack by the National Democrat Party and the Washington Post on this campaign,' Moore, now 70, said. The campaign said in a subsequent statement that if the allegations were true they would have surfaced during his previous campaigns, adding 'this garbage is the very definition of fake news.'" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
God-Approved. There is nothing to see here. The allegations are that a man in his early 30s dated teenage girls. Even the Washington Post report says that he never had sexual intercourse with any of the girls and never attempted sexual intercourse. Also, take Joseph and Mary. Mary was a teenager and Joseph was an adult carpenter. They became parents of Jesus. -- Jim Ziegler, Alabama state auditor, defending 30-something Roy Moore's sexual advances on a 14-year-old girl (not satire)
... Steve M.: "I'm guessing that more women will come forward and charge that Moore pursued them as teenagers. I imagine Moore will deny those allegations as well. It's quite possible that none of this will stick to him, that he'll be widely defended in the right-wing media, and that he'll still win his election in December. This should be awkward for conservatives, because they've tried to portray the recent wave of sexual predation stories as a massive liberal scandal. Even though Hollywood and media predators have been exposed exclusively by non-conservative journalists, and even though the predators have been made extremely unwelcome after their exposure, the party line on the right has been that liberals have coddled sex criminals." ...
... Ed Kilgore: "Thanks to his long record of hypercontroversial statements compounded by not one but two occasions on which he lost his gavel as chief justice of the Alabama Supreme Court for defiance of federal law, Moore was already more vulnerable than Republicans usually are in Alabama statewide races. The current RealClearPolitics polling average gives him only a six-point lead over Democrat Doug Jones. If the new allegations aren't dispelled very quickly, Moore could be in enough trouble to convince Democrats to make a major investment in Jones, and then anything could happen.... If Moore craters, reducing the GOP Senate margin to 51/49, Democrats could have a real chance of winning back the Senate next year, despite only eight Republican seats being up for reelection." ...
... BUT. digby: Despite his harassment of teenaged beauty contestants, "Trump won Alabama with 62% of the vote. I suspect these sort of things aren't something the state's Republicans particularly care about. Unless it's a Democrat in which case they would be banging on their Bibles and speaking in tongues." ...
... Rachel Maddow puts the Roy Moore story in its pathetic context:
... Sophie Tatum of CNN: "... Steve Bannon compared the allegations of sexual misconduct with teens against ... Roy Moore to the bombshell 'Access Hollywood' tape that was released during the 2016 election, accusing The Washington Post of targeting both Moore and Donald Trump politically. 'The Bezos Amazon Washington Post that dropped that dime on Donald Trump is the same Bezos Amazon Washington Post that dropped the dime this afternoon on Judge Roy Moore,' Bannon said Thursday night. 'Now is that a coincidence? That's what I mean when I say opposition party, right?'" ...
... So, naturally ...
... Annals of "Journalism," Ha Ha Ha. Jeet Heer of the New Republic: "No one wants to defend Roy Moore for allegedly courting underage girls. Except Breitbart. In an article today, Breitbart pre-emptively prepared its readers for The Washington Post's explosive report that the Alabama Republican senatorial candidate had relationships with four teenage girls when he was in his 30s. Breitbart had been provided with a letter the Post sent to Moore outlining the charges, which the right-wing web site then presented in the most benign terms imaginable. This was supplemented with attacks on Moore's opponent, Democrat Doug Jones, and the Post (for various sins of liberalism, globalism, and association with Jeff Bezos). ...
... Update. Margaret Hartmann documents other right-wing media responses, many of which followed Breitbart's lead. As Akhilleus predicted, Hannity did manage to partially blame President Obama. "On Fox News, Tucker Carlson [who] ... covered the Harvey Weinstein scandal extensively..., devoted only 46 seconds to the Moore allegations."
... MEANWHILE. Andrew Kaczynski & Chris Massie of CNN: "Roy Moore ... ruled in a 1990s divorce case that a woman who had a lesbian affair couldn't visit her children unsupervised or with her partner, writing that the 'minor children will be detrimentally affected by the present lifestyle' of the mother. Moore, then a circuit judge, was ultimately removed from the case by an Alabama appeals court after the woman and her attorneys argued that he couldn't be impartial because of his views on homosexuality, according to public court documents reviewed by CNN's KFile." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Melena Ryzik, et al., of the New York Times: "Now, after years of unsubstantiated rumors about [comedian] Louis C.K. masturbating in front of associates, women are coming forward to describe what they experienced. Even amid the current burst of sexual misconduct accusations against powerful men, the stories about Louis C.K. stand out because he has so few equals in comedy. In the years since the incidents the women describe, he has sold out Madison Square Garden eight times, created an Emmy-winning TV series, and accumulated the clout of a tastemaker and auteur, with the help of a manager who represents some of the biggest names in comedy. And Louis C.K. built a reputation as the unlikely conscience of the comedy scene, by making audiences laugh about hypocrisy -- especially male hypocrisy.... [In his act,] he has all but invited comparison between his private life and his onscreen work, too: In 'I Love You, Daddy,' which is scheduled to be released next week, a character pretends to masturbate at length in front of other people, and other characters appear to dismiss rumors of sexual predation." ...
... Katherine Shaffstall of the Hollywood Reporter: "The New York premiere of Louis C.K.'s upcoming film, I Love You, Daddy, set for Thursday, has been canceled. Reps for the premiere, due to take place at the Paris Theatre, initially cited 'unexpected circumstances.' A source tells The Hollywood Reporter that New York Times story on the comedian is about to break, and the premiere was canceled in case it is damaging. Additionally, Louis C.K.'s planned appearance on CBS' The Late Show With Stephen Colbert was also canceled...."
Medlar's Sports Report. Adam Kilgore of the Washington Post: "Aaron Hernandez suffered the most severe case of chronic traumatic encephalopathy ever discovered in a person his age, damage that would have significantly affected his decision-making, judgment and cognition, researchers at Boston University revealed at a medical conference Thursday. Ann McKee, the head of BU's CTE Center, which ha studied the disease caused by repetitive brain trauma for more than a decade, called Hernandez's brain 'one of the most significant contributions to our work' because of the brain's pristine condition and the rare opportunity to study the disease in a 27-year-old."