The Commentariat -- August 10, 2020
Afternoon Update:
@about 5:55 pm ET, the Secret Service just rushed Trump out of the press room while he was giving a so-called press briefing. The White House is on lockdown. CNN says there's some kind of commotion going on outside. Update: Trump just returned @6pm ET. He said, "There was a shooting outside of the White House.... The shooting was done by law enforcement.... Reporter John Roberts reported that he heard shots."
Quint Forgey of Politico: “... Donald Trump on Monday accused Sen. Ben Sasse [R-Neb.] of being a 'RINO' who had 'gone rogue' by scolding the White House for a recent collection of executive actions meant to provide assistance to Americans amid the coronavirus pandemic. 'RINO Ben Sasse, who needed my support and endorsement in order to get the Republican nomination for Senate from the GREAT State of Nebraska, has, now that he's got it (Thank you President T), gone rogue, again,' Trump wrote on Twitter. 'This foolishness plays right into the hands of the Radical Left Dems!'... 'The pen-and-phone theory of executive lawmaking is unconstitutional slop,' Sasse said Saturday night. '... President Trump does not have the power to unilaterally rewrite the payroll tax law. Under the Constitution, that power belongs to the American people acting through their members of Congress.'"
Ashley Parker of the Washington Post: "President Trump is increasingly trying to run against a Joe Biden of his own making. Rather than look for campaign ammunition in the former vice president's long track record of politically vulnerable votes and policy proposals, Trump has instead chosen to describe Biden as a godless Marxist bent on destroying the country with a radical agenda that would make Che Guevara blanch.... To hear Trump tell it, the former vice president and longtime U.S. senator is 'the most extreme left-wing candidate in history.' Biden is going to 'abolish the police' and 'abolish the suburbs.' Biden is even 'against God.' In lobbing such extravagant attack on Biden, Trump has concocted a profile of the presumptive Democratic nominee at odds with much of Biden's personal and professional life -- a cartoonish depiction so distant from the reality of Biden that the hits don't always resonate." ~~~
~~~ Mrs. McCrabbie: It looks to me as if Trump decided some while back that he would be running against Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren, but he is so inflexible that he can't adapt to the reality of his actual presidential opponent. So while Ron Johnson & Bill Barr are still planning to play the fake Ukraine card, Trump -- perhaps because of the pain of impeachment -- abandoned that tack & adopted the nonexistent Radical Joe.
Betsy Swan of Politico: "Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) has issued the first subpoena of his Senate probe into the origins of special counsel Robert Mueller's investigation: to FBI Director Christopher Wray. The subpoena, which Politico reviewed, demands documents but not testimony. Specifically, it asks for 'all documents related to the Crossfire Hurricane investigation' -- the FBI's counterintelligence probe into Russian interference in the 2016 U.S. election. That probe scrutinized Americans close to then-candidate Donald Trump for their links to Kremlin officials. Mueller took over the probe in May 2017."
AP: "Puerto Rico on Sunday was forced to partially suspend voting for primaries marred by a lack of ballots as officials called on the president of the U.S. territory's elections commission to resign. The primaries for voting centers that had not received ballots by early afternoon are expected to be rescheduled, while voting would continue elsewhere, the commission said."
Reid Wilson of the Hill: "California's top public health expert quit abruptly Sunday afternoon amid questions about the accuracy of the number of coronavirus cases the state had reported in recent weeks. In an email to staffers, California Department of Public Health Director Sonia Angell said she would leave her position, effective immediately. California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) will appoint ... [a new] acting director of the Department of Public Health .... [and a new] acting public health officer.... The leadership shakeup comes just days after data glitches delayed processing of up to 300,000 records related to the virus. The Los Angeles Times reported that two separate errors held up the reporting of test results, potentially leading to a significant undercounting of new coronavirus cases in one of the hardest-hit states in the country."
Don Babwin of the AP: "Hundreds of looters descended on downtown Chicago early Monday following a police shooting on the city's South Side, with vandals smashing the windows of dozens of businesses and making off with merchandise, cash machines and anything else they could carry, police said. When police shot a man after he opened fire on officers Sunday afternoon, the incident apparently prompted a social media post hours later urging looters to converge on the business district, Police Superintendent David Brown told a news conference. Some 400 additional officers were dispatched to the area after the department spotted the post. Over the next several hours, police made more than 100 arrests and 13 officers were injured, including one who was struck in the head with a bottle, Brown said. Brown dismissed any suggestion that the chaos was part of an organized protest of the shooting, instead calling it 'pure criminality' that included occupants of a vehicle opening fire on police who were arresting a man they spotted carrying a cash register."
Hannah Denham of the Washington Post: "Eastman Kodak shares plummeted 40 percent at the open Monday after a federal agency paused its deal to help produce generic drugs until 'allegations of wrongdoing' are resolved[.] Last month, under an agreement aimed at reducing U.S. reliance on China, the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation, or DFC, announced it would give the photography pioneer a $765 million loan that would allow it to retrofit its factories to make the ingredients.... Last Tuesday, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) asked the Securities and Exchange Commission to launch an insider trading inquiry, citing the unusually high volume of trading activity the day before the deal was announced. On July 27, day before the loan was announced, more than 1 million shares of Kodak stock exchanged hands, more than quadruple its daily average, she said in a letter to SEC Chairman Jay Clayton. Its stock price jumped 20 percent that day, she wrote, and more than 200 percent on July 28, when the loan was announced. Warren also noted that shortly before the announcement, Kodak Executive Chairman James Continenza bought about 46,700 shares."
Hannah Denham of the Washington Post: "McDonald's Corp. is suing its former chief executive to recover his severance and compensation package, alleging he lied about multiple sexual relationships with employees. The fast food giant made the announcement in a Monday filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Steve Easterbrook was terminated on Nov. 3, 2019, after the company's board found he violated policy with 'a consensual relationship with an employee,' McDonald's said. His compensation, benefits and stock were potentially worth nearly $42 million, the Wall Street Journal reported." A New York Times story is here.
Sergei Kuznetsov of Politico: "Protests broke out across Belarus on Sunday evening after an exit poll predicted an overwhelming victory for authoritarian incumbent President Aleksander Lukashenko. Independent Belsat television showed large crowds being attacked by police in Minsk, amid reports that a few local polling stations were saying that in their counts opposition candidate Svetlana Tikhanovskaya was doing better than Lukashenko."
Bassem Mroue of the AP: "Lebanon's government resigned Monday amid widespread public fury at the country's ruling elite over last week's devastating explosion in Beirut. The move risks opening the way to dragged-out negotiations over a new Cabinet amid urgent calls for reform. Prime Minster Hassan Diab headed to the presidential palace to submit the Cabinet's group resignation, said Health Minister Hamad Hassan. It follows a weekend of anti-government protests in the wake of the Aug. 4 explosion in Beirut's port that caused widespread destruction, killed at least 160 people and injured about 6,000 others. The moment typified Lebanon's political dilemma. Since October, there have been mass demonstrations demanding the departure of the entire sectarian-based leadership over entrenched corruption, incompetence and mismanagement."
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The Trumpidemic, Ctd.
How Trump Killed Tens of Thousands of Americans. William Saletan of Slate: "On July 17..., Donald Trump sat for a Fox News interview [link fixed] at the White House. At the time, nearly 140,000 Americans were dead from the novel coronavirus. The interviewer, Chris Wallace, showed Trump a video clip in which Robert Redfield, the director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, warned of a difficult fall and winter ahead. Trump dismissed the warning.... 'Everybody thought this summer it would go away,' said Trump. 'They used to say the heat, the heat was good for it and it really knocks it out, remember? So they got that one wrong.' Trump's account was completely backward. Redfield and other U.S. public health officials had never promised that heat would knock out the virus. In fact, they had cautioned against that assumption. The person who had held out the false promise of a warm-weather reprieve, again and again, was Trump.... He had gotten it from Xi Jinping, the president of China, in a phone call in February. The phone call, the talking points Trump picked up from it, and his subsequent attempts to cover up his alliance with Xi are part of a deep betrayal.... Trump collaborated with Xi, concealed the threat, impeded the U.S. government's response, silenced those who sought to warn the public, and pushed states to take risks that escalated the tragedy. He's personally responsible for tens of thousands of deaths.... This article ... documents Trump's interference or negligence in every stage of the government's failure: preparation, mobilization, public communication, testing, mitigation, and reopening." ~~~
~~~ Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: This is why I've been calling the U.S. epidemic the "Trumpidemic" for some while. Like you, I've been watching. Saletan argues that this "truth, unlike Trump's false narrative, is scattered in different places. It's in emails, leaks, interviews, hearings, scientific reports, and the president's stray remarks." That's why he attempts to put the evidence all together in one story.
The Washington Post's live updates of coronavirus developments Monday is here: "The number of coronavirus cases reported to date in the United States topped 5 million on Sunday, meaning that more than a million cases have been reported in the past 17 days alone. The tally has doubled since late June, and now accounts for approximately a quarter of all cases reported worldwide."
Ron Lieber & Stacy Cowley of the New York Times: "President Trump, in announcing his executive measures on Saturday, said he was bypassing Congress to deliver emergency pandemic aid to needy Americans. But his directives are rife with so much complexity and legal murkiness that they're unlikely, in most cases, to bring fast relief -- if any. Because Congress controls federal spending, at least some of Mr. Trump's actions will almost certainly be challenged in court. They could also quickly become moot if congressional leaders reach an agreement and pass their own relief package. Speaker Nancy Pelosi of California on Sunday dismissed Mr. Trump's actions as unconstitutional and said a compromise deal was still needed. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said he would be open to further talks with Democratic leaders: 'Anytime they have a new proposal, I'm willing to listen.'" ~~~
~~~ Heather Long of the Washington Post has a pretty good overview of what is actually in -- and what is not in -- Trump's executive actions. ~~~
~~~ Deal-Maker? How about Muckmaker. Tony Romm, et al., of the Washington Post: "... Trump's attempts to circumvent the partisan logjam on Capitol Hill instead may be illustrating the limits of executive power — and the costs that can come from invoking it. In this case, a more long-lasting legislative solution may have been delayed with the White House deciding to act on its own, said Daniel Hemel, a law professor at the University of Chicago, in an interview Sunday.... 'Unfortunately, the president's executive orders, described in one word, could be paltry, in three words, unworkable, weak and far too narrow, Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.) said Sunday on ABC News. In response to the expiring aid, Trump on Saturday signed an order that would offer $400 a week in federal unemployment benefits. To pay for the program, the president said he would tap $44 billion in federal funds that are allocated for natural disaster.... But states would have to contribute $100 a week to each worker's check.... Beyond the legal questions surrounding the maneuver, many states are facing severe budget deficits..., and several economists and lawmakers said governors may be unlikely to sign onto the program." ~~~
~~~ Scott Lemieux in LG&$: "Trump's memo purporting to extend unemployment benefits is an awful program on the merits that is also entirely outside the president's legal authority[.]... The purported extension of the eviction moratorium, meanwhile, is a joke -- it is to protecting tenants what Susan Collins is to oversight of the Trump administration, a mildly sternly worded letter to HUD suggesting that it would be neat if tenants had some kind of eviction protection maybe. He wasn't even willing to take actions that were plausibly within the scope of executive power[.]... Trump's offer to people about to be devastated by his failure to deal with a historic pandemic is 'nothing,' and any reporter who portrays it as anything else is either malicious or incompetent." Lemieux extensively cites a blogpost by Jack Balkin, who describes the charade at Bedminster thusly: "President Trump's effort to relieve the pressure he and Senate Republicans have been feeling over the expiration of enhanced unemployment benefits is a failure on every level. It provides too little in aid. It will miss many families in need. It will expire very soon. It likely cannot be implemented in some states. And it is transparently unlawful.” Lemieux also cites a portion of Heather Long's analysis, linked above. ~~~
The Lord and the Founding Fathers created executive orders because of partisan bickering and divided government. -- White House economic adviser Peter Navarro, on NBC News on Sunday, explaining God's hand, one supposes, in Constitutionally-murky presidential orders
It should be noted that on Saturday Trump signed only one executive order, which itself was a directive that "the Secretary of Health and Human Services and the Director of the CDC shall consider whether any measures temporarily halting residential evictions of any tenants for failure to pay rent are reasonably necessary to 'prevent the further spread of COVID-19.'" The other actions were "memoranda." I don't know if the Lord created memoranda, too. -- Mrs. Bea McCrabbie ~~~
~~~ He First Rode Down upon the Stair, the Big Fat Man Who Wasn't There. Again. Toluse Olorunnipa & Ashley Parker of the Washington Post: "Already largely absent from intense negotiations for a coronavirus stimulus package, President Trump fully distanced himself from the thorny legislative process by leaving Washington on Thursday for a weekend at his private golf resort in New Jersey. After talks on Capitol Hill collapsed, Trump assembled some of his dues-paying club members to watch him complete the final step of what has become a familiar routine in his turbulent presidency: signing a legally dubious executive order after failing to reach a deal with Congress.... He has frequently relied on showmanship and pageantry to try to turn negotiating failures into victories.... The four documents the president signed Saturday were neither 'bills' nor 'acts,' despite his comments referring to them as such, and their effectiveness and legality are already being called into question by Democrats and some Republicans in the Congress he is attempting to bypass."
Nicole Winfield & Lisa Pane of the AP: "With confirmed coronavirus cases in the U.S. hitting 5 million Sunday, by far the highest of any country, the failure of the most powerful nation in the world to contain the scourge has been met with astonishment and alarm in Europe.... Health officials believe the actual number is perhaps 10 times higher.... Much of the incredulity in Europe stems from the fact that America had the benefit of time, European experience and medical know-how to treat the virus that the continent itself didn't have when the first COVID-19 patients started filling intensive care units.... Mistakes were made in Europe, too, from delayed lockdowns to insufficient protections for nursing home elderly and critical shortages of tests and protective equipment for medical personnel." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Nancy Altman of Social Security Works: "Donald Trump once promised that he would be 'the only Republican that doesn't want to cut Social Security." We now know that what he meant is that cutting Social Security doesn't go far enough for him: He wants to destroy Social Security. Donald Trump's executive order, which seeks to defer Social Security contributions, is bad enough. But his promise to 'terminate' FICA contributions if he is reelected is a full-on declaration of war against current and future Social Security beneficiaries.... Every American who cares about Social Security's future must do everything they can to ensure that Trump does not get a second term." ~~~
~~~ Mrs. McCrabbie: Oh, but Ms. Altman, you are so wrong. Here's how Steve Mnuchin explained to Chris Wallace how the payroll tax deferrals would be paid for, via David of Crooks & Liars: Wallace asked Mnuchin if Trump's action would reduce Social Security benefits. "'That's not the case,' Mnuchin said without evidence. 'There would be an automatic contribution from the general fund to those trusts funds....' 'We're already running huge deficits,' Wallace observed. 'So how are you going to pay for it from the general fund?' 'You just have a transfer from the general fund,' Mnuchin insisted. 'We'll deal with the budget deficit when we get the economy back to where it was before.'" Right.
Ashley Parker of the Washington Post: "More than 3½ years into his presidency, Trump increasingly finds himself minimized and ignored -- as many of his more outlandish or false statements are briefly considered and then, just as quickly, dismissed. The slide into partial irrelevance could make it even more difficult for Trump as he seeks reelection as the nation's leader amid a pandemic and economic collapse.... Biden, meanwhile, has made a core theme of his campaign the argument that Trump's lack of credibility is eroding the presidency, as well as the relevancy of the United States on the world stage.... At times, Biden has tried ignoring Trump altogether -- or, when he does engage, doing so with a tone of exasperated mockery. 'I can't believe I have to say this, but please don't drink bleach,' Biden wrote on Twitter in April.... '[Trump's] problem is that there's also a collective shrug when he attacks Joe Biden,' [Biden's pollster John] Anzalone said. 'He attacks, attacks, attacks, but people don't believe his attacks. They kind of eye-roll and they shrug.'... A Republican Senate aide likened the president to a sleeping grizzly bear. 'If you woke up the grizzly bear, he could destroy anything -- but now he's just hibernating,'..." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
This is the hardest working president in history. He works 24/7 in Bedminster, Mar-a-lago, the Oval Office or anywhere in between. -- White House economic adviser Peter Navarro, on NBC News on Sunday ~~~
~~~ Delusions of Grandeur: The Hardest-Working President* at Work. Jamie Ehrlich of CNN: "White House aides reached out to South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem last year about the process of adding additional presidents to Mount Rushmore, the New York Times reported. According to a person familiar who spoke with the Times, Noem then greeted Trump when he arrived in the state for his July Fourth celebrations at the monument with a four-foot replica of Mount Rushmore that included his face. Noem has noted before Trump's 'dream' to have his face on Mount Rushmore, the Coolidge-era sculpture that features the 60-foot-tall faces of Presidents George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, Abraham Lincoln and Theodore Roosevelt. According to a 2018 interview with Noem, the two struck up a conversation about the sculpture in the Oval Office during their first meeting, where she initially thought he was joking. 'I started laughing,' she said. 'He wasn't laughing, so he was totally serious.'... 'I said, "Mr. President, you should come to South Dakota sometime. We have Mount Rushmore." And he goes, "Do you know it's my dream to have my face on Mount Rushmore?"' Trump also toyed with the idea of adding himself to Mount Rushmore in 2017 at a campaign rally in Youngstown, Ohio." ~~~
~~~ The New York Times story, by Jonathan Martin & Maggie Haberman (August 8) is here. ~~~
~~~ Peter Wade of Rolling Stone: "Adding to the already odd ask is the fact that the federal government is in charge of such matters, not the state, and the National Park Service has addressed the subject several times with a hard no, citing instability to the structure making it impossible to make additions." Mrs. McC: On the other hand, maybe Trump isn't as dumb as he seems (tho he probably is). As Martin & Haberman note, "Some of [Noem's] allies believe she'd also be open to the interior or agricultural secretary roles in a second Trump term ahead of the 2024 race." The National Park Service is a unit of the Interior Department. Do you suppose Trump would make Noem Secretary of the Interior in exchange for her carving his fat face on Mount Rushmore -- or at least "acting" Secretary? Uh, yeah.
This Is Not Believable. Karen DeYoung of the Washington Post (at 12:18 pm ET): "White House national security adviser Robert C. O'Brien said Sunday that Trump 'has told the Russians many, many times not to interfere' in U.S. elections, but he declined to specify the substance of those conversations or when they had taken place." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Presidential Race
Mario Nicholais of the Lincoln Project: "In fifteen years practicing election law, I have never seen anything as craven and shameful as the Kanye con job Donald Trump and his sycophants have attempted in Wisconsin. After combing through two challenges to Kanye West's nomination signatures at the behest of The Lincoln Project, I have come to two conclusions: not only should Kanye be kept off the ballot, but law enforcement should investigate and prosecute several individuals involved in the effort. Trump and his supporters have spent recent days attempting to place the music mogul on presidential ballots across the country. They believe that a black celebrity on the ballot will pull votes from Joe Biden, who enjoys overwhelming support from Black Americans, and help a flailing Trump campaign in November. Nevermind that West's family and friends issued a public plea for him to seek mental health help just two weeks ago. Nevermind that West cannot qualify for enough state ballots to actually win the presidency. Nevermind that the fundamental assumption -- that black voters will vote for a black man based solely on the color of his skin -- is a profoundly racist position." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Beyond the Beltway
A Real-Life Crime Story. Unfinished Business. Allyson Waller of the New York Times: Nearly 50 years after Luis Archuleta shot now-retired Denver police officer Daril Cinquanta, Cinquanta tracked down Archuleta, living under an assumed name in Northern New Mexico. "An F.B.I. affidavit [which, sadly, is not reproduced here] tells a sweeping story of Mr. Archuleta's return to Colorado, and later, his second escape from confinement."
Way Beyond
Austin Ramzy & Tiffany May of the New York Times: "The Hong Kong police on Monday arrested seven people, including Jimmy Lai, the media tycoon and critic of the Chinese Communist Party, on charges of violating the territory's new national security law, making him the most high-profile target of the sweeping legislation imposed by Beijing. Mr. Lai's arrest highlighted concerns by activists and opposition figures that the new security law would be used to silence critical voices and curb the city's freewheeling press as part of a broader move against democracy advocates." An AP report is here.
News Lede
Washington Post: "One woman is dead and others are injured after an explosion in Baltimore on Monday morning. The 'major gas explosion' that involved three houses at Labyrinth and Reistertown roads has left multiple people, including children, trapped according to the Baltimore Fire Department." An AP story is here.