The Ledes

Tuesday, July 15, 2025

New York Times: “Most of the Mid-Atlantic remained under severe weather warnings early Tuesday morning, as a series of slow-moving storms unleashed heavy rains and flash flooding from New York to Virginia. The National Weather Service said the eastern seaboard would continue to experience heavy rainfall on Tuesday, likely causing disruptions to millions of commuters, especially in the New York area, which saw flash flooding overnight. Videos on social media showed commuters on New York’s subway clambering up stairs as water gushed down onto platforms. In New Jersey, one train station was completely flooded and impassable on Monday night. And news media filmed rescue crews coming to the aid of people stuck on flooded roads in Scotch Plains, N.J.” This is part of the pinned item in a liveblog.

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INAUGURATION 2029

Commencement ceremonies are joyous occasions, and Steve Carell made sure that was true this past weekend (mid-June) at Northwestern's commencement:

~~~ Carell's entire commencement speech was hilarious. The audio and video here isn't great, but I laughed till I cried.

CNN did a live telecast Saturday night (June 7) of the Broadway play "Good Night, and Good Luck," written by George Clooney and Grant Heslov, about legendary newsman Edward R. Murrow's effort to hold to account Sen. Joe McCarthy, "the junior senator from Wisconsin." Clooney plays Murrow. Here's Murrow himself with his famous take on McCarthy & McCarthyism, brief remarks that especially resonate today: ~~~

     ~~~ This article lists ways you still can watch the play. 

New York Times: “The New York Times Company has agreed to license its editorial content to Amazon for use in the tech giant’s artificial intelligence platforms, the company said on Thursday. The multiyear agreement 'will bring Times editorial content to a variety of Amazon customer experiences,' the news organization said in a statement. Besides news articles, the agreement encompasses material from NYT Cooking, The Times’s food and recipe site, and The Athletic, which focuses on sports. This is The Times’s first licensing arrangement with a focus on generative A.I. technology. In 2023, The Times sued OpenAI and its partner, Microsoft, for copyright infringement, accusing the tech companies of using millions of articles published by The Times to train automated chatbots without any kind of compensation. OpenAI and Microsoft have rejected those accusations.” ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: I have no idea what this means for "the Amazon customer experience." Does it mean that if I don't have a NYT subscription but do have Amazon Prime I can read NYT content? And where, exactly, would I find that content? I don't know. I don't know.

Washington Post reporters asked three AI image generators what a beautiful woman looks like. "The Post found that they steer users toward a startlingly narrow vision of attractiveness. Prompted to show a 'beautiful woman,' all three tools generated thin women, without exception.... Her body looks like Barbie — slim hips, impossible waist, round breasts.... Just 2 percent of the images showed visible signs of aging. More than a third of the images had medium skin tones. But only nine percent had dark skin tones. Asked to show 'normal women,' the tools produced images that remained overwhelmingly thin.... However bias originates, The Post’s analysis found that popular image tools struggle to render realistic images of women outside the Western ideal." ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: The reporters seem to think they are calling out the AI programs for being unrealistic. But there's a lot about the "beautiful women" images they miss. I find these omissions remarkably sexist. For one thing, the reporters seem to think AI is a magical "thing" that self-generates. It isn't. It's programmed. It's programmed by boys, many of them incels who have little or no experience or insights beyond comic books and Internet porn of how to gauge female "beauty." As a result, the AI-generated women look like cartoons; that is, a lot like an air-brushed photo of Kristi Noem: globs of every kind of dark eye makeup, Scandinavian nose, Botox lips, slathered-on skin concealer/toner/etc. makeup, long dark hair and the aforementioned impossible Barbie body shape, including huge, round plastic breasts. 

New York Times: “George Clooney’s Broadway debut, 'Good Night, and Good Luck,' has been one of the sensations of the 2024-25 theater season, breaking box office records and drawing packed houses of audiences eager to see the popular movie star in a timely drama about the importance of an independent press. Now the play will become much more widely available: CNN is planning a live broadcast of the penultimate performance, on June 7 at 7 p.m. Eastern. The performance will be preceded and followed by coverage of, and discussion about, the show and the state of journalism.”

No free man shall be seized or imprisoned, or stripped of his rights or possessions, or outlawed or exiled, or deprived of his standing in any other way, nor will we proceed with force against him, or send others to do so, except by the lawful judgment of his equals or by the law of the land. -- Magna Carta ~~~

~~~ New York Times: “Bought for $27.50 after World War II, the faint, water stained manuscript in the library of Harvard Law School had attracted relatively little attention since it arrived there in 1946. That is about to change. Two British academics, one of whom happened on the manuscript by chance, have discovered that it is an original 1300 version — not a copy, as long thought — of Magna Carta, the medieval document that helped establish some of the world’s most cherished liberties. It is one of just seven such documents from that date still in existence.... A 710-year-old version of Magna Carta was sold in 2007 for $21.3 million.... First issued in 1215, it put into writing a set of concessions won by rebellious barons from a recalcitrant King John of England — or Bad King John, as he became known in folklore. He later revoked the charter, but his son, Henry III, issued amended versions, the last one in 1225, and Henry’s son, Edward I, in turn confirmed the 1225 version in 1297 and again in 1300.”

NPR lists all of the 2025 Pulitzer Prize winners. Poynter lists the prizes awarded in journalism as well as the finalists in these categories.

 

Contact Marie

Email Marie at constantweader@gmail.com

Constant Comments

Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts.

Success is not final, failure is not fatal; it is the courage to continue that counts. — Anonymous

A nation of sheep will beget a government of wolvesEdward R. Murrow

Publisher & Editor: Marie Burns

I have a Bluesky account now. The URL is https://bsky.app/profile/marie-burns.bsky.social . When Reality Chex goes down, check my Bluesky page for whatever info I am able to report on the status of Reality Chex. If you can't access the URL, I found that I could Google Bluesky and ask for Marie Burns. Google will include links to accounts for people whose names are, at least in part, Maria Burns, so you'll have to tell Google you looking only for Marie.

Sunday
Feb042018

The Commentariat -- February 5, 2018

It Is Treasonous Not to Applaud the Dear Leader. Jordan Fabian of the Hill: "President Trump accused Democrats on Monday of 'treasonous' behavior during his State of the Union address. Trump took aim at Democratic members of Congress who refused to applaud during his speech when he mentioned his achievements over the past year. 'Can we call that treason? Why not?' the president said during a speech in Ohio. 'They certainly didn't seem to love our country very much.'" Mrs. McC: We are down the rabbithole now. And here I was incensed Trump implied one Democratic Congressman was a criminal. Now it turns out they're all traitors. Hang 'em by the neck until dead. ...

... Jim Fallows of the Atlantic briefly reviews several books about the Trump presidency, whatever one wants to call it. "And whether you prefer 'Trumpocracy,' 'dying democracy,' 'tribalism,' or 'fascism' to describe the disease, these books leave no doubt that treatment is needed, now." ...

... President* Accuses Congressman of Illegal Leaking; Says He "Must Be Stopped." Michael Shear, et al., of the New York Times: "President Trump accused a top Democratic lawmaker on Monday of being 'one of the biggest liars and leakers in Washington,' calling Representative Adam Schiff of California 'Little Adam Schiff' and accusing him of illegally leaking confidential information from the House Intelligence Committee. In an early-morning tweet, Mr. Trump ominously said that Mr. Schiff 'must be stopped,' though he did not elaborate. The president's insult came as Mr. Schiff is expected to call for a vote on Monday afternoon for the Intelligence Committee to release a Democratic rebuttal to the classified memo that the panel's Republicans released on Friday, which accuses federal law enforcement officials of abusing their powers to spy on a former Trump campaign official.... 'Little Adam Schiff, who is desperate to run for higher office, is one of the biggest liars and leakers in Washington, right up there with Comey, Warner, Brennan and Clapper!,' Mr. Trump tweeted, referring to former James B. Comey, the former F.B.I. director; Senator Mark Warner, Democrat of Virginia; John O. Brennan, the former C.I.A. director; and James R. Clapper Jr., the former director of national intelligence. 'Adam leaves closed committee hearings to illegally leak confidential information. Must be stopped!'" ...

     ... Mrs. McC: It is hard to imagine another president cavalierly and without evidence accusing a sitting member of Congress of criminal behavior. But there you go. ...

... President* Casually Provokes International Incident with Ally. Karla Adam of the Washington Post: "President Trump took a swing at Britain's beloved National Health Service on Monday, tweeting that Britons were marching in the streets because their universal health-care system was financially strapped and dysfunctional, and got a swift rebuke from the British prime minister. 'The Democrats are pushing for Universal HealthCare while thousands of people are marching in the UK because their U system is going broke and not working. Dems want to greatly raise taxes for really bad and non-personal medical care. No thanks!' he wrote. But the thousands of Britons who took to the streets over the weekend were marchingin support of the NHS and calling for greater government funding.... A spokesman for [PM Theresa] May said that 'the prime minister is proud of our NHS, that is free at the point of delivery....'... 'I may disagree with claims made on that march but not ONE of them wants to live in a system where 28m people have no cover[,' tweeted British health secretary Jeremy Hunt.]... Responding to Trump's comments, the march organizers said they were campaigning against a U.S.-style health-care system that they said is 'expensive, inefficient and unjust.'" Inspiring Trump's attack: right-wing Brit Nigel Farage on the Fox News segment, who said the NHS was "pretty much at a breaking point" because of a "population crisis." i.e., too many A-rabs. Emphasis added. ...

... Whaddaya mean "unfit for office"?

Kaitlan Collins & Tal Kopan of CNN: "The White House is dismissing an immigration deal brokered by a bipartisan group of lawmakers as a non-starter just hours before it is expected to be formally introduced in the Senate. Arizona Republican Sen. John McCain and Delaware Democratic Sen. Chris Coons are slated to introduce a bill Monday that would grant eventual citizenship to young undocumented immigrants who have been in the country since 2013 and came to the US as children, but it does not address all of the President's stated immigration priorities, like ending family-based immigration categories -- which Republicans call 'chain migration' -- or ending the diversity visa program." Mrs. McC: Big surprise, right?

Nora Ellingsen, et al., of Lawfare obtained FOIA documents proving that Trump & his administration lied when they claimed in May 2017 that one reason for firing James Comey was that he did not have the backing of rank-&-file FBI personnel. For instance, "The president of the FBI Agents Association, Thomas O'Connor, called Comey's firing a 'gut punch.'... [Instead, there was] a reaction of 'shock' and 'profound sadness' at the removal of a beloved figure to whom the workforce was deeply attached. It also shows that no aspect of the White House's statements about the bureau were accurate -- and, indeed, that the White House engendered at least some resentment among the rank and file for whom it purported to speak." The article includes a a pdf of the entire FBI documentation Lawfare received. ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: I really would like Mrs. Huckleberry to have to answer to Bob Mueller for her remarks. She claimed "she personally had 'heard from countless members of the FBI that are grateful and thankful for the president's decision.'" Okay, fine, Mrs. H. Produce "countless" letters, phone logs, etc. It may not be a crime to lie to the American people but to invent a false narrative to cover up the "real reason" for firing Comey is to participate in obstruction of justice. And that is a crime. ...

... Ed Kilgore: "Whatever else the firing of Comey and subsequent actions by the White House to stop the Russia investigation signify, they show a reckless disregard for the impact on the FBI, which was not demoralized until Trump demoralized it. All the loose GOP talk in connection with the Nunes memo of 'cleansing' the FBI has got to be making the atmosphere a lot worse, particularly among career types who must be in profound shock -- if not seized by hysterical laughter -- by the suggestion that the Bureau has been in the grips of some sort of leftist cabal." Mrs. McC: Yes, but Trumpetmaster Putin is awfully happy to see a U.S. intelligence agency in turmoil.

Hey, Who Reads the Footnotes? Kyle Cheney of Politico: "Republican leaders are acknowledging that a footnote to an FBI application to surveil former Trump campaign adviser Carter Page disclosed the potential political origins of a controversial private dossier cited by the application, undermining the argument of a secret memo they released on Friday and bringing new Democratic pressure on the GOP to declassify more information about the bureau's actions.... 'Neither the initial application in October 2016, nor any of the renewals, disclose or reference the role of the DNC, Clinton campaign, or any party/campaign in funding Steele's efforts, even though the political origins of the Steele dossier were then known to senior and FBI officials,' the memo alleged. But in an appearance on Fox & Friends, [Devin] Nunes was asked about reports over the weekend that the FBI application did refer to a political entity connected to the dossier.... Nunes conceded that a 'footnote' to that effect was included in the application, while faulting the bureau for failing to provide more specifics." ...

... Nancy LeTourneau of the Washington Monthly: "Only a couple of weeks ago, Republicans cooked up a conspiracy theory about a so-called 'secret society' at the FBI that was attempting to bring down the Trump administration. But something that got overlooked during the run-up to the release of the Nunes memo indicates that it was actually a group of Republican members of the House Intelligence Committee that had a secret group meeting to undermine the Mueller investigation. This announcement came on the same day the committee voted to release the memo. 'The House Intelligence Committee, led by Republicans, has opened a new investigation into both the Department of Justice and the FBI. Ranking Member Adam Schiff, D-Calif., told reporters the Democratic minority was informed of the apparently new investigations Monday night 'for the first time.' According to committee rules, the majority has to consult with the minority before opening an investigation. Schiff said Monday night there was no such consultation." The Nunes secret society has worked for weeks & continues to do so behind closed doors. ...

... ** Digby has a good piece in Salon on winger hypocrisy: "In an epic example of projection, the party that launched partisan probes for decades now claims to be horrified." ...

... ** Jonathan Chait: "Once again, as the facts have emerged in full, the underlying conclusions [of the Nunes memo] hyped by conservatives have melted away.... But ... the collapse of the factual underpinnings beneath the conservatives' claims left no impression on them whatsoever. There is no sense of chastening or remorse on the right. To the contrary, Republicans retain all of their initial fervor to use the memo to prosecute their targets in the deep state.... Cultivating distrust in institutions that are designed to play a neutral, mediating role is one of the central functions of conservative politics. It is a game that conservatives know how to win, because they are waging asymmetric warfare. There is no good way for an institution to withstand partisan attack when its existence relies upon maintaining some distance from partisanship.... There is no way to refute bad-faith criticism."

Patrick Rucker of Reuters: "Mick Mulvaney, head of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, has pulled back from a full-scale probe of how Equifax Inc failed to protect the personal data of millions of consumers, according to people familiar with the matter." Mrs. McC: Because protecting Americans' personal data is so wrong.

** Wow! Robert Barnes of the Washington Post: "The Supreme Court on Monday denied a request from Pennsylvania Republicans to delay redrawing congressional lines, meaning the 2018 elections in the state will probably be held in districts far more favorable to Democrats. Justice Samuel A. Alito Jr., who hears emergency requests from the state, turned down the petition without obvious objection from his colleagues. The Pennsylvania Supreme Court last month ruled that the state's Republican legislative leaders had violated the state Constitution by unfairly favoring the GOP. Although there are more registered Democrats than Republicans in the state, Republicans hold 13 of 18 congressional seats. It is the most significant victory by critics of the way most congressional and legislative districts are drawn and a sign that their efforts will be felt as early as this fall's midterm elections." Mrs. McC: Thanks, Sam. And I mean that. ...

     ... Barnes spells out why this is a big deal -- and a significant change in Supreme Court "philosophy": "The justices are traditionally reluctant to order changes in an election year, for one thing. And they have never thrown out a state's redistricting plan because they found it so infected with partisan bias that it violates voters' constitutional rights."

*****

Elise Viebeck & Shane Harris of the Washington Post: "Republican members of the House Intelligence Committee dissented Sunday from President Trump's view that corruption has poisoned the special counsel's investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election. In a sign of a growing rift within the House GOP, four members of the panel dismissed the idea pushed by Trump and other Republicans that a controversial memo criticizing how the FBI handled elements of its Russia probe undermines the investigation led by Robert S. Mueller III into possible coordination between Trump associates and the Kremlin. The memo's release Friday by the Intelligence Committee has raised fears Trump will fire Mueller or Deputy Attorney General Rod J. Rosenstein, who oversees the probe. Rep. Trey Gowdy (R-S.C.), who helped draft the memo, said Trump should not fire Rosenstein and rejected the idea that the document has bearing on the investigation. 'I actually don't think it has any impact on the Russia probe,' Gowdy, who also chairs the House Oversight Committee, said on CBS's 'Face the Nation.'" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: In fairness to Trump, he had only "a few hours" to read the memo, so he has had to rely on Sean Hannity to find out what it says. (In the linked commentary, Jonathan Chait doubts that "a few hours" alone with a memo is any guarantee he Trump would read it. "(The television isn't going to watch itself)," Chait explains. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Shane Harris: Former CIA Director "John Brennan accused Rep. Devin Nunes (R.-Calif.), the chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, of selectively releasing information to accuse law enforcement officials of improperly obtaining a warrant to monitor the communications of a former Trump campaign adviser. 'It's just appalling and clearly underscores how partisan Mr. Nunes has been,' Brennan said in an interview on NBC's 'Meet the Press.' 'He has abused the chairmanship of [the Intelligence Committee],' Brennan said.... He emphasized that the dossier played 'no role whatsoever' in an assessment by all U.S. intelligence agencies that Russia had interfered in the 2016 election. He added that intelligence agencies were also developing their own information on Russia's interference 'on multiple fronts' and that the FBI had its own sources of information." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Jonathan Landay & Doina Chiacu of Reuters: "On Monday, the House intelligence panel will consider whether to release a memo from Democratic lawmakers that is expected to outline what they see as flaws in the Republican memo. Two sources told Reuters ... on Sunday that the intelligence committee would consider declassifying the Democratic memo on Monday and making it public. One said the meeting would take place at 5 p.m. (2200 GMT) and that there would be a vote. A Democratic member of the intelligence committee, Representative Michael Quigley, said on Sunday he was concerned that Trump could censor the Democratic memo that must be sent to him for a five-day security review before it is released under the same rule by which the Republican document was made public." ...

... Philip Carter, in Slate: "Trump betrayed the intelligence community to save his own skin.... Trump signaled ... that ... between the integrity of government investigations and his own political interests, he'll choose the latter. If he's willing to overrule his senior intelligence and law enforcement leaders over something so inconsequential and fake as the Nunes/Patel memo, it's frightening to think what he would choose in an actual crisis, when we really need him to put America first." ...

... E.J. Dionne invokes Hannah Arendt's The Origins of Totalitarianism to put Devin Nunes' memo in context. ...

... Make That "Memos." Jonathan Swan of Axios: "'The memo' -- which pitted the Justice Department against the White House and brought ugly partisan sniping into stark relief -- is only the beginning. Republican sources close to Devin Nunes tell me he's assured them there's much more to come.... Republicans close to Nunes say there could be as many as five additional memos or reports of 'wrongdoing.'... A Republican member briefed on Nunes' investigations told me: 'There are several areas of concern where federal agencies used government resources to try to create a narrative and influence the election. Some have suggested coordination with Hillary Clinton operatives, [Sidney] Blumenthal and [Cody] Shearer, to back up the false narrative.' I'm told the Nunes team has discussed producing additional reports or disclosures that don't require declassification." ...

This Week in Wingnutia. Republicans have increasingly claimed that the memo written by GOP staff members of the House Intelligence Committee, which was declassified by President Trump on Friday, shows how the FBI conspired with Democrats to interfere in the election and even spy on the Trump campaign. [For instance:]

#FISAMemo shows real collusion between Dem operatives & key officials at the FBI & DOJ to spy on the #Trump campaign & interfere in the 2016 election. The politicization of our intelligence & law enforcement agencies should concern every American. More: https://t.co/ajJzczgB78 -- [Rep.] Raúl R. Labrador [RTP-Id.], February 2, 2018

... The GOP memo provides no evidence that the FBI spied on the Trump campaign. Instead, it shows that the court order for surveillance of Page was obtained weeks after Page and the Trump campaign had said Page was no longer part of the campaign. Trump has asserted that he never even met or spoke to Page. Moreover, the GOP memo confirms that the separate investigation into Russian contacts with the Trump campaign was prompted by information that was not contained in the Steele dossier. One wonders if Republicans making claims of FBI spying on the Trump campaign have even read the memo. -- Glenn Kessler of the Washington Post (Thanks to MAG for the link.) ...

... Juan Cole: "The confident pronouncements by pundits and politicians that the Nunes memo is a dud, dead on arrival, neglect to consider the main tactic of the Republican right wing for some time now. It is a conspiracy theory, and conspiracy theories carried Trump to the White House and many Republicans into Congress or state legislatures.... Nunes and Trump know that Rupert Murdoch's lying Fox Cable News will be happy to become The Nunes Memo Network 24/7. They know that Sinclair radio stations ... will play it up big time. They know that NewsMax and Breitbart and other right wing webzines will beat this drum continually.... They already have 36% of voters and just need to create doubts in or support for Trump in 15% of voters who are independents, and they keep winning politically." --safari ...

... Molly McKew in Politico Magazine: "Russian bots and their American allies gamed social media to put a flawed intelligence document atop the political agenda.... The #releasethememo campaign came out of nowhere. Its movement from social media to fringe/far-right media to mainstream media so swift[ly] that both the speed and the story itself became impossible to ignore. The frenzy of activity spurred lawmakers and the White House to release the Nunes memo, which critics say is a purposeful misrepresentation of classified intelligence meant to discredit the Russia probe and protect the president." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: That is to say, having helped elect Trump, Putin/Russia is now helping to protect him from U.S. law enforcement agencies. Think about that. There is a reason the Founders went out of their way to try to protect the presidency from foreign coups (the president & veep must be native-born). See also Emoluments Clause (a/k/a Title of Nobility Clause). Unfortunately, the Founders could not foresee bots. So congratulations! Many of you have now become subjects of the nation ostensibly ruled by Prince Donaldovich von Putin von Clownstick. The rest of you will be deported.

     ... Update: AND, as safari pointed out in yesterday's Comments, the whole exercise has given Russian intelligence a view of the timeline of the surveillance of Page & thus a good idea of what the U.S. has on him & on the Russians with whom he interacted. This is really why DOJ & FBI officials said releasing the memo was so reckless, & other intelligence officials (like former CIA director Brennan )are so bent out about it.>

... ** Ezra Klein of Vox, reviews How Democracies Die: "Demagogues and authoritarians do not destroy democracies. It's established political parties, and the choices they make when faced with demagogues and authoritarians, that decide whether democracies survive.... '2017 was the best year for conservatives in the 30 years that I've been here,' Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said this week. 'The best year on all fronts.'... If you want to know why congressional Republicans are opening an assault on the FBI in order to protect Trump, it can be found in that comment." Read on. --safari

Alan Rappeport of the New York Times: "In mid-April, hundreds of members of the payday lending industry will head to Florida for their annual retreat featuring golf and networking at a plush resort just outside Miami. The resort just happens to be the Trump National Doral Golf Club. It will cap a year in which the industry has gone from villain to victor, the result of a concentrated lobbying campaign that has culminated in the Trump administration's loosening regulatory grip on payday lenders and a far friendlier approach by the industry's nemesis, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.... Two weeks ago, [Mick] Mulvaney[, whom Trump installed as the new head of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau] put the brakes on a contentious rule, ushered in by [Obama appointee Richard] Cordray, that was set to impose tight restrictions on short-term payday loans." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: This is just one of a thousand cuts Trump & Co. have used to bleed ordinary Americans. Trump's pretense of populism was the biggest cons ever pulled on a gullible public. But it sure is nice of these chiselers to kick back a little something to Trump by way of their annual confab.

David Sanger & William Broad of the New York Times: "A treaty committing the United States and Russia to keep their long-range nuclear arsenals at the lowest levels since early in the Cold War goes into full effect on Monday. When it was signed eight years ago, President Barack Obama expressed hope that it would be a small first step toward deeper reductions, and ultimately a world without nuclear weapons. Now, that optimism has been reversed. A new nuclear policy issued by the Trump administration on Friday, which vows to counter a rush by the Russians to modernize their forces even while staying within the treaty limits, is touching off a new kind of nuclear arms race.... The Pentagon envisions a new age in which nuclear weapons are back in a big way -- its strategy bristles with plans for new low-yield nuclear weapons that advocates say are needed to match Russian advances and critics warn will be too tempting for a president to use. The result is that the nuclear-arms limits that go into effect on Monday now look more like the final stop after three decades of reductions than a way station to further cuts." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Thanks, generals! Nothing like tempting Trump to go nuclear. Fortunately, I guess, he won't be going nuclear against Russia.

Dan Barry, et al., of the New York Times: "For more than a year, an F.B.I. inquiry into allegations that Lawrence G. Nassar, a respected sports doctor, had molested three elite teenage gymnasts followed a plodding pace as it moved back and forth among agents in three cities.... Nearly a year passed before agents interviewed two of the young women.... The accumulating information included instructional videos of the doctor';s unusual treatment methods, showing his ungloved hands working about the private areas of girls lying facedown on tables. But as the inquiry moved with little evident urgency, a cost was being paid. The New York Times has identified at least 40 girls and women who say that Dr. Nassar molested them between July 2015, when he first fell under F.B.I. scrutiny, and September 2016, when he was exposed by an Indianapolis Star investigation. Some are among the youngest of the now-convicted predator's many accusers -- 265, and counting.... The [FBI's] silence had dire consequences, as the many girls and young women still seeing Dr. Nassar received no warning."

** Julia Manchester of the Hill: "Sens. John McCain (R-Ariz.) and Christopher Coons (D-Del.) will introduce immigration legislation on Monday in an effort to reach a budget deal before the federal government's current funding runs out on Friday, The Wall Street Journal reported. The bipartisan piece of legislation provides recipients of the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program, commonly known as 'Dreamers,' an opportunity for citizenship while ordering a study to figure out what border security measures are needed, according to the Journal. Senate aides told the Journal that the plan would provide people who have resided in the U.S. since Dec. 31, 2013, with legal status and a path to citizenship. The Journal reported that the legislation is similar to House legislation introduced by Reps. Will Hurd (R-Texas) and Pete Aguilar (D-Calif.)." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: On its face, this plan sounds so simple sensible I don't see how it can pass. And giving Trump a "study" is perfect, though I don't suppose he'd settle for that. I'm hearing screams of "Amnesty!" P.S. In case you forgot, the federal government will run out of money again at the end of this week. ...

... Niraj Warikoo of the Detroit Free Press reports on what it's like for one 39-year-old family man to be deported from the U.S. to a country where he hasn't lived since he was 10 years old. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Amy Wang of the Washington Post writes of a chemistry professor, husband & father whom ICE is about to deport. He has lived in the U.S. for 30 years. ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: It would appear both of these men could embark on a path to citizenship under the McCain-Coons bill. Since they both apparently have been good citizens for decades, why wouldn't we want them to stay here & continue the life they've built? Well, maybe because these men are not from Scotland, Germany or Norway & we're nasty xenophobes & racists. But other than that.

Congressional Races

Nick Corasaniti & Kate Zernike of the New York Times rehash the case against Sen. Bob Menendez (D-N.J.) which federal prosecutors dropped last week after the judge threw out many of the charges, following a mistrial caused by a hung jury. Menendez is up for re-election this year. Mrs. McC: Uh, still not the best candidate.

The Best Candidates. Jay Silverstein of Newsweek: "Arthur Jones, [an Illinois] anti-Semite..., is ... the only GOP candidate for a congressional spot representing parts of Chicago and its suburbs.... His campaign website features a page called 'Holocaust?' that includes a typed note calling the murder of six million Jews by Nazis 'the biggest, blackest, lie in history' and falsely claiming there is no proof of the Holocaust beyond 'a few professional concentration camp survivors.' The website also features a page calling the Confederate flag 'a symbol of White pride and White resistance' and the LGBT rainbow flag 'an attack on traditional Christian morality and religious freedom.' Jones' campaign includes the slogan, 'It's time to put America First!.'... Jones last ran for office in 2016, when he expressed his support for Trump's candidacy, noting that his only concern was that Trump's daughter Ivanka is married to a Jew, Jared Kushner. (He has since said he regrets voting for Trump because the president has 'surrounded himself with hoards of Jews.')... The Illinois Republican Party ... made clear it has no support for the man who seems to destined to represent it this year.... Jones is all but guaranteed to lose in November to one of the Democratic candidates -- incumbent Representative Dan Lipinski or challenger Marie Newman -- since the 3rd Congressional District leans heavily to the left."

Gubernatorial Race

The Best Candidates. Natasha Korecki of Politico: "A new ad that's been denounced as anti-immigrant, 'racist,' 'sexist' and 'transphobic,' is causing an uproar in Illinois, with leaders from both parties calling for its removal. But Republican state Rep. Jeanne Ives, whose campaign produced the ad in her primary election challenge to Gov. Bruce Rauner, is refusing to pull the spot, saying it exposes Rauner's 'betrayal' of GOP voters. The new ad mockingly thanks the governor for clearing a path in support of a series of social issues. Then it taps just about every conservative bogeyman in Illinois politics, and every lightning-rod cultural issue."

Sunday
Feb042018

The Commentariat -- February 4, 2018

Afternoon Update:

Elise Viebeck & Shane Harris of the Washington Post: "Republican members of the House Intelligence Committee dissented Sunday from President Trump's view that corruption has poisoned the special counsel's investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election. In a sign of a growing rift within the House GOP, four members of the panel dismissed the idea pushed by Trump and other Republicans that a controversial memo criticizing how the FBI handled elements of its Russia probe undermines the investigation led by Robert S. Mueller III into possible coordination between Trump associates and the Kremlin. The memo's release Friday by the Intelligence Committee has raised fears Trump will fire Mueller or Deputy Attorney General Rod J. Rosenstein, who oversees the probe. Rep. Trey Gowdy (R-S.C.), who helped draft the memo, said Trump should not fire Rosenstein and rejected the idea that the document has bearing on the investigation. 'I actually don't think it has any impact on the Russia probe,' Gowdy, who also chairs the House Oversight Committee, said on CBS's 'Face the Nation.'" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: In fairness to Trump, he had only "a few hours" to read the memo, so he has had to rely on Sean Hannity to find out what it says. (In the linked commentary, Jonathan Chait doubts that "a few hours" alone with a memo is any guarantee he Trump would read it. "(The television isn't going to watch itself)," Chait explains. ...

... Shane Harris: Former CIA Director "John Brennan accused Rep. Devin Nunes (R.-Calif.), the chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, of selectively releasing information to accuse law enforcement officials of improperly obtaining a warrant to monitor the communications of a former Trump campaign adviser. 'It's just appalling and clearly underscores how partisan Mr. Nunes has been,' Brennan said in an interview on NBC's 'Meet the Press.' 'He has abused the chairmanship of [the Intelligence Committee],' Brennan said.... He emphasized that the dossier played 'no role whatsoever' in an assessment by all U.S. intelligence agencies that Russia had interfered in the 2016 election. He added that intelligence agencies were also developing their own information on Russia's interference 'on multiple fronts' and that the FBI had its own sources of information." ...

... Molly McKew in Politico Magazine: "Russian bots and their American allies gamed social media to put a flawed intelligence document atop the political agenda.... The #releasethememo campaign came out of nowhere. Its movement from social media to fringe/far-right media to mainstream media so swift[ly] that both the speed and the story itself became impossible to ignore. The frenzy of activity spurred lawmakers and the White House to release the Nunes memo, which critics say is a purposeful misrepresentation of classified intelligence meant to discredit the Russia probe and protect the president." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: That is to say, having helped elect Trump, Putin/Russia is now helping to protect him from U.S. law enforcement agencies. Think about that. There is a reason the Founders went out of their way to try to protect the presidency from foreign coups (the president & veep must be native-born). See also Emoluments Clause (a/k/a Title of Nobility Clause). Unfortunately, the Founders could not foresee bots. So congratulations! Many of you have now become subjects of the nation ostensibly ruled by Prince Donaldovich von Putin von Clownstick. The rest of you will be deported. ...

... Niraj Warikoo of the Detroit Free Press reports on what it's like for one 39-year-old family man to be deported from the U.S. to a country where he hasn't lived since he was 10 years old.

*****

The Gray Lady Removes Her Dainty Gloves. Sharon LaFraniere, et al., of the New York Times: "The war between the president and the nation's law enforcement apparatus is unlike anything America has seen in modern times.... The president has engaged in a scorched-earth assault on the pillars of the criminal justice system in a way that no other occupant of the White House has done. The president's focus on a memo drafted by Republicans on the House Intelligence Committee and released on Friday reflected years of conspiracy-minded thinking by Mr. Trump.... At the start of his administration, Mr. Trump targeted the intelligence community for his criticism. But in recent months, he has broadened the attacks to include the sprawling federal law enforcement bureaucracy that he oversees, to the point that in December he pronounced the F.B.I.'s reputation 'in tatters' and the 'worst in history.'" ...

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: Simple mental acuity test notwithstanding, this is the New York Times' news arm -- not the editorial pages -- announcing the POTUS* is nuts. See also Emily Cochrane's story linked late yesterday morning. She pulled no punches, either, on Trump's Lie-o'-the-Day, even tho it was the sort of lie (one in which a measure of judgment is needed as opposed to a cold hard fact, like how many people showed up at an event) to which the paper would have applied the he-said/she-said standard a couple of years back. ...

... Renato Mariotti in a New York Times op-ed: "... Mr. Trump's approval of the release of the [Nunes] memo and his comments that releasing it could make it easier for him to fire [Deputy AG Rod] Rosenstein could help Robert Mueller, the special counsel, prove that Mr. Trump fired James B. Comey, then the F.B.I. director, with a 'corrupt' intent -- in other words, the intent to wrongfully impede the administration of justice -- as the law requires.... The memo also offers the outlines of a broader probable cause case against [former Trump campaign aide Carter] Page.... The fact that the warrant was renewed three times indicates that the F.B.I. obtained useful intelligence each time -- a judge wouldn't have approved a renewal if the prior warrant came up empty.... Because the allegations in the memo are legally irrelevant, I would be surprised if the memo was more than a short-lived publicity stunt." ...

... Massimo Calabresi & Alana Abramson of Time: "Former Trump campaign adviser Carter Page bragged that he was an adviser to the Kremlin in a letter obtained by Time that raises new questions about the extent of Page's contacts with the Russian government over the years. The letter, dated Aug. 25, 2013, was sent by Page to an academic press during a dispute over edits to an unpublished manuscript he had submitted for publication, according to an editor who worked with Page. 'Over the past half year, I have had the privilege to serve as an informal advisor to the staff of the Kremlin in preparation for their Presidency of the G-20 Summit next month, where energy issues will be a prominent point on the agenda,' the letter reads.... 'I just came to see him as a kook,' the editor says." ...

Until now, we could only really accuse House Republicans of ignoring the President's open attempts to block the Russia investigation. But with the release of the Nunes memo ... we can only conclude that House Republicans are complicit in the effort to help the President avoid accountability for his actions and the actions of his campaign. -- Rep. Jerry Nadler (D-N.Y.), in a rebuttal to the Nunes memo ...

... Mike Memoli of NBC News: "NBC News has exclusively obtained a six-page rebuttal to the Nunes memo from Rep. Jerry Nadler of New York, the top Democrat on the House Judiciary Committee, which was to be circulated to all House Democrats on Saturday.... Nadler is one of the small number of lawmakers who has viewed the highly sensitive documents that are the basis of Nunes' memo. The rebuttal focuses on four key points.... That [Rep. Devin] Nunes' memo fails to demonstrate that the government lacked enough evidence beyond a dossier from former British spy Christopher Steele to obtain a FISA warrant on [Carter] Page. That Steele's expertise on Russia and organized crime would have outweighed any concerns a FISA court would have had about the funding of Steele's work by partisan actors -- funding sources that Steele may not have even known about. That Nunes' memo 'provides no credible basis whatsoever' for removing Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein.... That Nunes' memo shows that Republicans 'are now part and parcel to an organized effort to obstruct' [Robert] Mueller's probe." Unlike the Democratic House Intelligence Committee's rebuttal, Nadler's rebuttal does not contain classified information. ...

     ... A pdf of Nadler's memo -- which he describes as a "legal analysis" -- is here. ...

... Rats Clinging to a Stinking Ship. Dan Balz of the Washington Post: "This was the week when the Republican Party finally went all in with President Trump.... The turnaround in the relationship came from two directions.... Big majorities of Republicans said they approved of the job Trump was doing, and his personal ratings were far better than those of [Paul] Ryan, [Mitch] McConnell or any other prominent Republican leader.... The other major turning point came from the inside, with the passage of the tax cut in late December.... The Nunes memo moves the relationship to a different place. Its release puts much of the Republican leadership fully behind the president in his efforts to discredit the Russia investigation.... The fact that the memo's release came with the imprimatur of the House speaker and many other leading Republicans only adds weight to what has become a Trump-led effort to muddy the eventual conclusions of the investigation." ...

... Katelyn Polantz of CNN: "A federal judge told the Department of Justice to explain why the release of the House Intelligence Committee's memo today shouldn't force investigators to acknowledge the existence of more records related to foreign surveillance.... The Freedom of Information Act lawsuit, filed by the James Madison Project and USA Today reporter Brad Heath in April, sought records from the FBI of FISA applications and authorizations for surveillance of the Trump Organization..., Donald Trump, his campaign and associated people. A filing from USA Today's lawyers Friday pointed out that the ate-October 2016 issuance of the FISA warrant on [Carter] Page matched the month that Trump claims the Obama administration started wiretapping his phones at Trump Tower in New York." ...

Katie Rogers & Matthew Rosenberg of the New York Times introduce us to the "real author" of the Nunes memo -- Kashyap Patel, a 37-year-old lawyer & screw-up. Patel, for instance, was apparently the catalyst for a federal judge's issuing this "Order of Ineptitude." Mrs. McC: Are we surprised that Devin Nunes picks/attracts the same quality of staff our dear leader hires? ...

... A Note of Caution. Amy Sorkin of the New Yorker: "In the context of FISA, it wouldn't have taken much to get a warrant, with or without [Christopher] Steele, especially given [Carter] Page's business relations in Russia. Although the memo notes that the application was one involving 'probable cause,' under Title I of FISA, rather than the even more lax Section 702 of Title VII, one problem that the memo does illustrate is how easy it is to get permission to spy on Americans; the FISC is non-adversarial and almost never says no. And ... whatever one thinks of Page, any American with whom he had been in contact might have been drawn into the surveillance, too. (The government calls this 'incidental' contact.) Republicans, including [Devin] Nunes, have not been as interested in abuses of FISA that do not involve their President, and recently passed on a chance to reform the standards of Section 702, in particular. (Many Democrats have been absent, too.) But critics of Trump should also not fall into the trap of elevating that process.... Otherwise, they risk landing in the same territory as Trump, who, in a tweet on Thursday, claimed that the 'investigative process' had once been 'sacred' -- until it was directed at him." ...

... Part of the Problem. Judd Legum of ThinkProgress: "Hannity summarized the Nunes memo for his 4 million viewers. Every word is a lie." Most Hannity fans will take him at his word & accept his "summary." Of the few who bother to read the memo, some won't understand it, & some will think they're just not good enough at reading "legal documents" (of which Nunes' memo is not one) to cull from it whatall Hannity has "explained." Not a single Hannity viewer will realize the memo is just smoke-&-mirrors hackery.

Emoluments. Cristina Alesci & Curt Devine of CNN: "An employee for the federal agency supervising the lease for the Trump hotel in Washington spent more than $900 for a stay there last year, according to a document reviewed by CNN -- the first publicly know movement of federal taxpayer dollars into the highly scrutinized business. The federal employee worked for the General Services Administration, the agency which supervises the lease of the Old Post Office building to the Trump Organization. The GSA reimbursed the employee for a majority of the charges, which was in line with the agency's policy on per diem expenses, according to a person familiar with the document.... Multiple other federal agencies have paid Trump companies for lodging or services since Trump's inauguration. CNN previously reported that the US Secret Service paid the Mar-a-Lago Club $63,700 between roughly February and April of 2017. The payments were categorized as hotel costs on government expense forms. In September, the Washington Post credited Property of the People for obtaining a receipt from the US Coast Guard that showed Mar-a-Lago billed the government $1,092 for a two-night stay. That charge was listed as a rack rate, which usually refers to a non-discounted price." Donald Trump can profit personally from these payments....

The Best People, Ctd.

... Juliet Eilperin & Brady Dennis of the Washington Post: "The White House will withdraw its controversial nominee to head the Council on Environmental Quality, Kathleen Hartnett White.... Hartnett White, who once headed the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality and now serves as a fellow at the Texas Public Policy Foundation..., [testified] in the fall before the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee ... that while humans probably contribute to current warming, 'the extent to which, I think, is very uncertain.'... Just days before she testified, the federal government released its Climate Science Special Report, a collaboration among more than a dozen agencies that found 'no convincing alternative explanation' other than human influence for the warming the world has experienced in the past 70 years.... In November, more than 300 scientists from around the country signed a letter urging the Senate to reject her confirmation.... Before being nominated, Hartnett White criticized the 2007 Supreme Court decision finding that the federal government had the legal authority to regulate carbon dioxide as a pollutant under the Clean Air Act.... In 2016, she described carbon dioxide -- emissions of which rank as one of the primary ways human activity contributes to climate change -- as a key asset to the planet." ...

... Aaron Davis & Jack Gillum of the Washington Post: "The Trump administration's nominee to coordinate billions of dollars in assistance to migrants around the world has suggested in social-media posts that Islam is an inherently violent religion and has said Christians in some cases should receive preferential treatment when resettling from hostile areas. In tweets, social media posts and radio appearances reviewed by The Washington Post, Ken Isaacs, a vice president of the Christian relief organization Samaritan's Purse, made disparaging remarks about Muslims and denied climate change -- a driving force behind migration, according to the agency the State Department has nominated him to lead.... Isaacs was announced Thursday as the Trump administration's pick to become director general of the United Nations' International Organization for Migration, or IOM.... Trump's pick could be at risk of being the first U.S. nominee since the late 1960s to lose an election by the group's voting members, according to several people involved in international relief coordination."

The Party of Debt, Ctd. Heather Long of the Washington Post: "The federal government is on track to borrow nearly $1 trillion this fiscal year -- Trump's first full year in charge of the budget. That's almost double what the government borrowed in fiscal year 2017. Here are the exact figures: The U.S. Treasury expects to borrow $955 billion this fiscal year, according to a documents released Wednesday. It's the highest amount of borrowing in six years, and a big jump from the $519 billion the federal government borrowed last year. Treasury [Mrs. McC: that would be Steve Mnuchin] mainly attributed the increase to the 'fiscal outlook.' The Congressional Budget Office was more blunt. In a report this week, the CBO said tax receipts are going to be lower because of the new tax law.... This is the first time borrowing has jumped this much (as a share of GDP) in a non-recession time since Ronald Reagan was president.... Trump didn't mention the debt -- or the ongoing budget deficits -- in his State of the Union address.... Investors are concerned about all the additional borrowing and the likelihood of higher inflation, which is why the interest rates on U.S. government bonds hit the highest level since 2014. That, in turn, partly drove the worst weekly sell-off in the stock market in two years.... [Trump] campaigned on reducing the national debt." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: The experts attributed the U.S. stock market plunge last week largely to a low unemployment rate here & abroad, which would lead to higher production costs. My guess is the freefall had more to do with the ballooning U.S. debt -- the opposite of what should happen in a strong economy. Once again, Mnuchin & Wall Street are facing the fact that trickle-down economics is a con -- even if they won't say so. ...

... The Costco Bump. Thanks, Paul! Avi Selk of the Washington Post: "... Saturday morning, by way of good news [about the GOP tax heist, Paul] Ryan's Twitter account shared a story about a secretary taking home a cool $6 a month in tax savings. 'A secretary at a public high school in Lancaster, PA, said she was pleasantly surprised her pay went up $1.50 a week ... she said [that] will more than cover her Costco membership for the year.'... The tweet was deleted within hours, probably guaranteeing it will never be forgotten, and leaving people baffled as to why Ryan ever thought it would make a good advertisement for the tax plan's supposed middle-class benefit. It's true that the bill is stingy to people at the bottom of the pay scale. In fact, the average tax break for someone making $25,400 a year or less happens to be $60 -- the exact price of a Gold Star Costco membership. And it's true that the bill showers money on those in the top income brackets. But between these extremes, millions of workers should see substantial cuts, ranging into the hundreds and thousands of dollars." Twitterworld turned up its sarcasm dial. See also Akhilleus's comment in yesterday's thread.

News Ledes

CNN: "Two people were killed in a crash involving a freight train and an Amtrak passenger train headed to Miami early Sunday in South Carolina, authorities said. In addition to the fatalities, more than 50 people were injured, according to Derrec Becker of South Carolina Emergency Management Division. Amtrak Train 91 was involved in the crash with a CSX freight train about 2:35 a.m. in Cayce. The lead engine and some passenger cars derailed, Amtrak said in a statement." ...

... Washington Post Update: "An Amtrak train en route from New York to Miami collided with a CSX freight train and derailed near Columbia, S.C., early Sunday, leaving two dead and 116 injured, police and Amtrak officials said. The crash occurred at 2:35 a.m. in Cayce, S.C., about four miles southwest of Columbia, causing the lead engine and 'some passenger cars' to derail, Amtrak said in a statement. There were eight crew members and approximately 139 passengers on board, Amtrak said. The CSX train was empty, according to South Carolina Gov. Henry McMaster (R). The two people killed were Amtrak employees, the railroad said. The Lexington County coroner identified the victims as the train's engineer, Michael Kempf, 54, of Savannah, Ga., and conductor Michael Cella, 36, of Orange Park, Fla." ...

... New York Times Update 2: "Amtrak suffered its third high-profile crash in less than seven weeks early Sunday when a passenger train traveling on the wrong track slammed into a stationary freight train in South Carolina, killing two people and intensifying worries about the safety and reliability of passenger rail service in the United States. Although the crash was the subject of a federal inquiry on Sunday, Amtrak's chief executive, Richard H. Anderson, said that a signal system had been down and that dispatchers from another company, CSX, were routing trains at about the time of the wreck. The passenger train, heading south, was diverted onto a rail siding where, while apparently traveling below the speed limit, it crashed into a CSX train that had been loaded with automobiles."

Friday
Feb022018

The Commentariat -- February 3, 2018

Late Morning Update:

Emily Cochrane of the New York Times: President "Trump, who is in Florida for the weekend, took to Twitter to proclaim his innocence and denounce the investigation a day after the release of the highly contentious classified memo, which he had authorized to be made public. The document claimed that top law enforcement officials had abused their powers to spy on a Trump campaign adviser, Carter Page, who was suspected of being an agent of Russia.... [Trump tweeted,] 'This memo totally vindicates "Trump" in probe. But the Russian Witch Hunt goes on and on. Their was no Collusion and there was no Obstruction (the word now used because, after one year of looking endlessly and finding NOTHING, collusion is dead). This is an American disgrace!'... The memo, while trying to paint the origins of the Russia investigation as tainted, did nothing to clear Mr. Trump of either collusion or obstruction -- the lines of inquiry being pursued by the special counsel, Robert S. Mueller III. The memo in fact undermined Republicans' effort to cast doubt on the roots of the investigation by confirming that the inquiry was already underway when law enforcement officials obtained a warrant from a secret intelligence court to conduct surveillance on Mr. Page." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Cochrane's report is extraordinary. Right near the top, she provides a jarring correction to Trump's false assertions. Not he said/she said but he-said/he-lied. I've seen this kind of reporting happen before in a major media outlet. And then I've seen a correction. Let's see if Cochrane's accurate reporting stands.

Rebecca Morin of Politico: "The Department of Justice on Friday evening filed a motion seeking to dismiss a civil suit former top Trump campaign aide Paul Manafort brought against special counsel Robert Mueller. According to the DOJ's motion, Manafort alleged in his civil suit that 'the Acting Attorney General's order directing the Special Counsel to investigate certain matters exceeds the authority provided by the Department of Justice's Special Counsel regulations.' In addition, he claimed the indictment against him 'exceed the Special Counsel's authority under the Acting Attorney General's order.'... Department of Justice civil division lawyers defending Mueller's office and Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein said: 'These claims lack merit.'"

Victoria Guida of Politico: "The Federal Reserve took action against Wells Fargo for the first time in connection with the massive fake accounts scandal and other customer abuses that have been uncovered at the giant bank since 2016. In an unprecedented enforcement action announced Friday evening -- just as Janet Yellen closed out her final day as Fed chair -- the central bank said it will prevent the San Francisco-based lender from growing any larger than it was at the end of 2017 until it improves its governance and risk management. Wells Fargo will also replace three current board members by April and a fourth board member by the end of the year. The members were not named."

*****

Your Friday Afternoon DocuDud

Adam Goldman, et al., of New York Times: "House Republicans released a disputed memo on Friday compiled by congressional aides that accused the F.B.I. and Justice Department of abusing their surveillance powers to spy on a former Trump campaign adviser, Carter Page. The memo, which has prompted a political firestorm, also criticizes information used by law enforcement officials in their application for a warrant to wiretap Mr. Page, and names the senior F.B.I. and Justice Department officials who approved the highly classified warrant." (This is the same link as appeared yesterday under Eileen Sullivan's byline.)

     ... Here's a pdf of the memo, along with an authorizing letter from White House counsel Don McGahn. ...

... Here's an annotated version, by Aaron Blake of the Washington Post. ...

... President Trump reveals he has no idea what's going on:

... Spencer Ackerman of the Daily Beast: "Asked at the White House if he will now fire [Deputy AG Rod] Rosenstein -- a precursor to firing or constraining Mueller -- Trump said Friday, 'you figure that one out.'"

... Democrats on the House Intelligence Committee, whom the Republican majority on the committee will not yet allow to release a rebuttal memo, have nonetheless written a public response to the release of the Nunes memo: "The premise of the Nunes memo is that the FBI and DOJ corruptly sought a FISA warrant on a former Trump campaign foreign policy adviser, Carter Page, and deliberately misled the court as part of a systematic abuse of the FISA process. As the Minority memo makes clear, none of this is true. The FBI had good reason to be concerned about Carter Page and would have been derelict in its responsibility to protect the country had it not sought a FISA warrant.... The DOJ appropriately provided the court with a comprehensive explanation of Russia's election interference, including evidence that Russian agents courted another Trump campaign foreign adviser, George Papadopoulos." It goes on. ...

... Oops! Ellen Nakashima of the Washington Post: "The court that approved surveillance of a former campaign adviser to President Trump was aware that some of the information underpinning the warrant request was paid for by a political entity, although the application did not specifically name the Democratic National Committee or the Hillary Clinton presidential campaign, according to two U.S. officials.... A now-declassified Republican memo alleged that the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court was duped into approving the wiretap request by a politicized FBI and Justice Department.... But its central allegation -- that the government failed to disclose a source's political bias -- is baseless, the officials said." ...

... Oops! Karen Tumulty & Rosalind Helderman of the Washington Post: "Though President Trump and his allies hope that the controversial release of a GOP-written memo alleging surveillance abuses by the FBI will tarnish the legitimacy of the entire Russia probe, that argument may be undercut by a single sentence buried near the end of the four-page document. It confirms for the first time that the event that set the FBI's counterintelligence investigation in motion was not the surveillance of Trump adviser Carter Page -- a subject upon which most of the memo dwells -- but rather that it was opened as the result of information the bureau had received about ... George Papadopoulos.... 'The Papadopoulos information triggered the opening of an FBI counterintelligence investigation in late July 2016 by FBI agent Pete Strzok,' the memo noted in its final paragraph.... Papadopoulos appears nowhere in the 16 reports that Steele wrote between June and December 2016 that are now known collectively as the Steele dossier." ...

... Matt Ford of the New Republic: "Only in the memo's final paragraph do its authors acknowledge that [George] Papadopoulos's loose lips sparked the FBI probe. They also note that information from Papadopoulos also made its way into the FISA application targeting [Carter] Page, but don't explain further. Instead, the memo pivots to the texts between FBI agents Peter Strzok and Lisa Page [no relation to Carter!], a frequent topic of chatter in conservative media. Trump-aligned outlets often describe their conversations as evidence of an internal FBI conspiracy against the president. But the Wall Street Journal reviewed more than 7,000 text messages between them and reported on Friday that it found 'no evidence of a conspiracy against Mr. Trump.'... The memo's authors apparently intended to suggest that the dossier's dramatic allegations had been debunked. But 'minimally corroborated' indicates that the FBI was able to find evidence supporting at least some of the dossier's contents. In essence, Trump declassified a document attacking the Steele dossier that also undercuts his political defenses against it." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: There's much more to Ford's analysis, including a humorous lede: "It would be easy to compare Congressman Devin Nunes's release of a declassified memo on purported surveillance abuses to Geraldo Rivera opening Al Capone’s vault. But this would be extremely unfair to Geraldo, who didn't know ahead of time that it would be empty." ...

... JeffBo Straddles the Fence. Max Greenwood of the Hill: "In a statement issued shortly after the memo's release, [Attorney General Jeff] Sessions acknowledged GOP concerns about Department of Justice (DOJ) and FBI officials' actions, but said he remained confident in the agency's employees.... Sessions said he would ensure the DOJ addresses the concerns raised in the memo, which accuses FBI and Justice Department officials of misusing their authority to obtain a secret surveillance warrant on Carter Page.... 'Accordingly, I will forward to appropriate DOJ components all information I receive from Congress regarding this,' he said. 'I am determined that we will fully and fairly ascertain the truth....'" ...

     ... Daily Beast: "Attorney General Jeff Sessions on Friday went off-script during a speech to praise Rod Rosenstein shortly before the release of a GOP-authored memo reportedly targeting the deputy attorney general. During his remarks at a Department of Justice event on sex-trafficking issues, Sessions thanked Rosenstein and Associate Attorney General Rachel Brand, saying, 'Those two -- Rod and Rachel -- are Harvard graduates, they're experienced lawyers. Rod had 27 years in the department. Rachel's had a number of years in the department previously and so they both represent the kind of quality and leadership that we want in the department.'" ...

... Sen. John McCain (R-Az.), Chair of the Senate Armed Services Committee, also issued a statement: "The latest attacks on the FBI and Department of Justice serve no American interests -- no party's, no president's, only Putin's. The American people deserve to know all of the facts surrounding Russia's ongoing efforts to subvert our democracy, which is why Special Counsel Mueller's investigation must proceed unimpeded. Our nation's elected officials, including the president, must stop looking at this investigation through the warped lens of politics and manufacturing partisan sideshows. If we continue to undermine our own rule of law, we are doing Putin's job for him." ...

... Jen Kirby of Vox: "Former FBI director James Comey -- who's been known to subtweet the Trump administration since he went public on Twitter -- reacted with a scoff. 'That's it?' Comey wrote. 'Dishonest and misleading memo wrecked the House intel committee, destroyed trust with Intelligence Community, damaged relationship with FISA court, and inexcusably exposed classified investigation of an American citizen.'... Others familiar with the intelligence community have echoed that sentiment, arguing the release of the memo needlessly undermines the government's intelligence-gathering capabilities beyond the Russia investigation -- namely clandestine agencies' ability to recruit informants and sources." ...

... Spencer Ackerman: "'Deputy Director [Andrew] McCabe testified before the Committee in December 2017 that no surveillance warrant would have been sought from the FISC without the Steele dossier information,' the memo claims, referring to the secret Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court. Asked if that was a true representation, a source familiar with McCabe's testimony responded: '100% not.' A senior Democratic House intelligence committee official agreed." ...

... Bryan Logan of Business Insider: "... Devin Nunes admitted on Friday that he did not view the underlying intelligence on which he based a memo that accuses the FBI and the Justice Department of improperly surveilling Trump associates during the 2016 election. Hours after the memo came out on Friday, Nunes gave an interview on Fox News during which anchor Bret Baier asked him if he wrote the memo. 'Yes,' Nunes replied, saying other Republican lawmakers, like House Oversight Committee chair Trey Gowdy, also contributed. 'Did you read the actual FISA applications,' Baier asked.... 'No, I didn't,' Nunes said, before adding that Gowdy was part of a designated group that reviewed the intelligence, took notes, and reported it back to committee members." ...

     ... Devin Isn't Done. Mark Mazzetti of the New York Times: "In a Fox News interview on Friday, Representative Devin Nunes of California ... said his panel was still proceeding with a separate investigation. He hinted that it focused on the State Department's role in the Russia investigation during the Obama administration.... [AND there's this.] Mr. Trump could have more ammunition in the coming weeks as the Justice Department's inspector general finishes a report widely expected to be critical of the F.B.I.'s handling of the final months of the investigation into Hillary Clinton's private email server. As part of that inquiry, Michael E. Horowitz, the inspector general, has uncovered text messages between two F.B.I. officials working on that case and also the Russia investigation in which they express intense dislike for Mr. Trump. Mr. Horowitz is expected to reserve particularly harsh criticism for the two officials, Peter Strzok and Lisa Page." ...

There Must Be a Pony:

     ... Cristiano Lima of Politico: "Rep. Paul Gosar (R-Ariz.) said on Friday that the House intelligence memo on alleged FBI malfeasance showed 'clear and convincing evidence of treason' by law enforcement officials, despite lingering concerns in the intelligence community over its credibility.... Gosar, in a statement, blasted the FBI's use of a surveillance warrant to gather information about a former Trump campaign adviser, Carter Page.... 'The full-throated adoption of this illegal misconduct and abuse of FISA by James Comey, Andrew McCabe, Sally Yates and Rod Rosenstein is not just criminal but constitutes treason,' Gosar wrote in a statement[, citing the Nunes memo as evidence]." ...

     ... Wonder Where Goser Got His Unhinged Ideas. Joseph Wulfsohn of Mediaite: Friday night, Sean "Hannity said that Former FBI Director James Comey, Former Deputy FBI Director Andrew McCabe, Former Deputy Attorney General Sally Yates, and current Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein were 'all complicit' for approving surveillance on Carter Page. 'The FBI misled and purposefully deceived a federal court while using an unverified, completely phony opposition research bought and paid for by Hillary Clinton to spy on an opposition campaign during a presidential election!' Hannity exclaimed. 'Now that type of abusive power, that type of corruption, that shredding of the Constitution -- it is unprecedented in American history.'" ...

... Matt Zapotosky & Beth Reinhard of the Washington Post provide some background on Bruce Ohr, who shows up as another nefarious character in Devin Nunes' spy novel memo. Looks as if the DOJ has demoted Ohr twice because of his tangential association with Fusion GPS. ...

... Ken Dilanian of NBC News: "House Republicans and their allies have long argued that the House memo released Friday would demonstrate that the Trump-Russia investigation had its roots in an FBI fraud. But the Republican memo doesn't support that theory, even if everything alleged in it is true. (And Democrats, the FBI and the Justice Department insist that much in the memo is deeply misleading.)... As the memo makes clear, the Mueller investigation did not grow out of the dossier, and the memo sheds no light on what role, if any, the dossier has played in the special counsel's inquiry."

... There's No There There. Zack Beauchamp of Vox: "... there is only one conclusion a fair reader [of the Nunes memo] could draw: There is absolutely nothing here. There is no proof in the memo that the FBI is biased against Trump, no proof of abuse of surveillance powers by the FBI, and no proof that the investigation into the Trump campaign's ties to Russia is fundamentally flawed. The memo is a piece of partisan spin, and not a particularly compelling one at that." Beauchamp compares the "grandiose" claims in the memo to the paucity of evidence supporting those claims. ...

... Quinta Jurecic, et al., of Lawfare cover most of the bases in their analysis of the Nunes memo. Here's something that may not have got enough attention: "To the extent the complaint is that the FBI relied on a biased source in [Christopher] Steele, the FBI relies every day on information from far more dubious characters than former intelligence officers working for political parties. The FBI gets information from narco-traffickers, mobsters and terrorists." The lawyers' overall conclusion is something that party leaders like Paul Ryan (and of course President Disgraceful) should have known, but don't know or care: "At the end of the day, the most important aspect of the #memo is probably not its contents but the fact that it was written and released at all. Its preparation and public dissemination represent a profound betrayal of the central premise of the intelligence oversight system.... They revealed highly sensitive secrets by way of scoring partisan political points and delegitimizing what appears to have been lawful and appropriate intelligence community activity." ...

... Paul Rosenzweig, in Politico Magazine, handily demonstrates how -- even if you pretend the Nunes memo is a serious document -- it utterly fails to meet its objectives. For instance, it's supposed to help Trump get rid of Rosenstein. But the initial FISA application on which the memo rests -- the one that supposedly relied entirely on the Steele dossier, was granted in October 2016 -- months before Trump appointed Rosenstein deputy AG. Rosenstein had nothing to do with it. Moreover, since FISA reauthorization apps must rely on new information obtained during surveillance ops, Rosenstein could not have relied on the Steele dossier at all; he & the FBI had to present to the FISA court new info learned in the course of surveilling Page. ...

     ... Mrs. McC: Even though this process is easy for you to understand, it is not something Trump would be able to comprehend. When Trump doesn't want to hear something, he doesn't. So the fact that Rosenstein is "innocent" of relying on the Steele dossier is immaterial. Over at Fox "News" they're still telling Trump that this is worse than a thousand Watergates. That's what he knows. ...

... Judd Legum of ThinkProgress: "The [Nunes memo], while rehashing a lot of known facts about the counterintelligence investigation into the Trump campaign, is more notable for what it does not say. The memo does not say that counterintelligence investigation into the Trump campaign started with the Steele dossier[.] The memo does not discuss surveillance of a member of the Trump campaign[.]... The memo all relates to issues with the surveillance of Carter Page beginning in October 2016. Page stepped down from the Trump campaign in September because of controversy regarding his continuing contacts with Russians.... The memo does not present the Steele dossier as the exclusive basis for FISA warrant. The FBI, in an extraordinary statement, said the memo was incomplete and presented a false narrative. This suggests there is additional information about Page that is not disclosed in the memo.... The memo does not establish that the Steele dossier was unreliable[.]... The memo does not include anything that implicates Robert Mueller or his investigation[.]" ...

... Jonathan Chait: "Amid all the lies Donald Trump has told about the Russia scandal, there is one underlying truth: The intelligence community truly fears him and considers him unfit for the presidency. This is not because the intelligence community is traitorous, or left wing, or (as Donald Trump Jr. sneeringly put it) wine-spritzer-drinking elites. It is because the IC had early access to a wide array of terrifying intelligence linking Trump and his orbit to Russia. People who spend their lives protecting their country from foreign threats saw in Trump a candidate who had at some level been compromised by one of them. [Re: the Trump-Russia investigation, Trump] treats the effect as the cause. [FBI agent Peter] Strzok, as the context of his texts reveals, was a moderate Republican who voted for John Kasich in the GOP primary. [Christopher] Steele was a Brit who had not shown any strong passion for American politics. They developed intense preferences in the 2016 election outcome in large part because they had access to intelligence about Trump and Russia. They did not create this intelligence to support their political beliefs....

The stench of bad faith covers the entire effort. Trump has not even bothered to conceal his belief that the memo gives him an excuse to replace Rod Rosenstein, Robert Mueller's supervisor, with a more pliant figure. Trump believes to his core that he is entitled to federal law enforcement run by personal loyalists, and that any investigation of him is per se evidence of disqualifying bias. Nunes's memo places the House Republicans foursquare behind that grotesquely authoritarian belief. ...

... John Cassidy of the New Yorker: "The right-wing argument goes that Clinton operatives cooked up a scandalous piece of fiction, got [Christopher] Steele to pass it along to some Trump-haters in the F.B.I., who then persuaded their bosses at the Justice Department to open an investigation, and here we are, eighteen months later, with Robert Mueller and his investigators hounding an innocent President.... Yet, for the conspiracy theorists, the contents of the memo matter less than the support they've received recently from at least some elements of the Republican Party leadership, including Paul Ryan, the House Speaker, who earlier this week said the memo should be made public and talked about the need to 'cleanse' the F.B.I. Trump is capable of anything. If Trump uses the memo as a pretext to fire Rod Rosenstein..., Ryan and other senior Republicans will be wholly complicit in causing a constitutional crisis."

... See also some fine commentary in yesterday's Comments thread. ...

... Mrs. McCrabbie: According to the Nunes memo, Christopher "Steele was suspended and then terminated as an FBI source for what the FBI defines as the most serious of violations -- an unauthorized disclosure to the media of his relationship with the FBI in an October 30, 2016, Mother Jones article by David Corn." But according to Glenn Simpson's testimony before Congress, it was Steele who terminated his relationship with the FBI after reading a New York Times report of October 31, 2016 which indicated the FBI had found no connection between the Trump campaign & Russian operatives despite Steele's knowledge that the FBI was aware of such connections. ...

... Mrs. McCrabbie: No one seems to notice that among the "disgraceful" people TrumpNunes & Co. are implicitly fingering are the judges on the FISA court. These judges are appointed (with no oversight) by Chief Justice John Roberts, who -- like Rosenstein, Comey, Wray, & Strzok -- is a Republican. The argument in the memo is that at least one of these judges (and possibly as many as four) is a potted rubberstamp plant who blithely issued & renewed surveillance warrants against upstanding American patriot Carter Page based on undocumented assertions in informal memos written by Christopher Steele, a former foreign agent with ulterior political motives (oh, and maybe on a Yahoo! report by Michael Isikoff based on Steele's findings). The treacherous plot against the Donald is remarkably widespread & embedded deep in the Republican party. ...

... Despite all this, Dahlia Lithwick thinks the memo will work as intended: "This memo has the twin benefits of being both incomprehensible and boring. It serves as a glittering distraction from a host of other insanities unspooling around the administration's consequential failures of governance and immolation of normalcy. But the other purpose of this memo, as has long been predicted, is that it serves as scaffolding for Donald Trump to fire deputy attorney general Rod Rosenstein without having to use the pretext that his defining fault is that he is a 'Democrat from Baltimore.'" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: This is the same argument I made before release of the memo. I'm a little less convinced of it now, because the memo itself is even dumber than I thought it would be. But it's still obvious that the only Americans who are going to find out there's no there there are those who don't get their "news" from Fox "News." Perhaps our only hope are late-nite comedians. We'll have to see what, if anything, they do with the memo Monday & Tuesday. Likely, they'll be talking about the Super Bowl instead. ...

AND Another Thing. Shane Harris of the Washington Post: "K.T. McFarland, President Trump's onetime deputy national security adviser, has withdrawn from consideration to be the U.S. ambassador to Singapore, the White House confirmed Friday. McFarland has been under scrutiny in the special-counsel probe into alleged ties between the Trump campaign and Russia. Democratic lawmakers say she may have given inaccurate information about her knowledge of conversations that Michael Flynn, her former boss at the White House, had with Russia's ambassador to the United States during the presidential transition.... Last July, Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) asked McFarland in writing whether she had spoken to Flynn about his contacts with the ambassador during the ... transition. 'I am not aware of any of the issues or events described above,' McFarland replied. But court documents filed in connection with Flynn's guilty plea contradict that statement."


AP: "The Trump administration announced on Friday that it will continue much of the Obama administration's nuclear weapons policy, but take a more aggressive stance toward Russia. It said Russia must be convinced it would face 'unacceptably dire costs' if it were to threaten even a limited nuclear attack in Europe. The sweeping review of US nuclear policy does not call for any net increase in strategic nuclear weapons -- a position that stands in contrast to ... Donald Trump's statement, in a tweet shortly before he took office, that the US 'must greatly strengthen and expand its nuclear capability until such time as the world comes to its senses regarding nukes'.... The Trump nuclear doctrine breaks with Obama's in ending his push to reduce the role of nuclear weapons in US defence policy."

Thomas Heath of the Washington Post: "The Dow Jones industrial average plunged 2.5 percent Friday -- closing down 666 points -- and suffered its worst week in two years as concerns over rising interest rates and inflation from an overheated economy triggered a long-feared sell-off. It was the worst day for stocks since President Trump took office -- and a stark reversal from the optimism that has propelled the markets higher for most of the past year. The market has been on a historic nine-year bull run. The U.S. and world economies are so strong that people think the situation cannot last. Concerns were fueled by a Labor Department report that wages in January were 2.9 percent higher than a year ago and unemployment held at 4.1 percent. A tightening labor market sparked fears that interest rates will rise." ...

... Matt Phillips of the New York Times: "Investors have spent much of the last year shrugging off geopolitical and economic risks.... Instead, they have focused on the strength of the United States economy, driven by banner corporate profits and President Trump's push to lower taxes and reduce regulation. The optimism helped lift stock markets ever higher, extending the boom into its ninth year. Now, investors are suddenly skittish. On Friday, stocks tumbled by more than 2 percent, propelling the market to its worst week in two years. The immediate catalyst was the jobs report, which showed the strong United States economy might finally be translating into rising wages for American workers -- a sign that higher inflation could be around the corner. But what is really worrying investors is that the fuel behind this stock market boom, namely cheap money from global central banks, may disappear sooner than they thought. In recent weeks, the shift in sentiment has played out across the world's largest financial markets. As stocks have sold off, Treasury yields have surged. The dollar has slumped.... In a strange way, investors are nervous that the global economy is doing too well."

Ian Kullgren of Politico: "Humane Society President and CEO Wayne Pacelle resigned Friday amid a spiraling crisis over sexual harassment allegations against him and a former top executive. Things had gotten progressively worse for Pacelle -- one of the most well-known animal rights advocates in the country -- since news broke last week of an internal investigation of allegations dating back to 2005. The board of directors cut the investigation short on Thursday and cleared Pacelle of wrongdoing, but Pacelle, facing a staff revolt and fleeing donors, stepped down less than 24 hours later."

Beyond the Beltway

Eli Rosenberg of the Washington Post: "The ... state employee responsible for sending out the emergency ballistic-missile alert that panicked the state of Hawaii for 38 minutes last month was fired from his job at the Hawaii Emergency Management Agency last week. The agency's top official, Vern T. Miyagi, resigned. [In a TV interview,] the man repeated claims that officials in Hawaii released: that the worker heard 'this is not a drill' at some point during a training exercise and assumed that the threat of an incoming missile was real.... An investigation released by the state described the employee as having a poor work history; other members of the emergency management agency's staff said that they did not feel comfortable with his work."