The Commentariat -- Feb. 5, 2014

Annie Lowrey & Jonathan Weisman of the New York Times: " A Congressional Budget Office analysis released Tuesday predicted that the Affordable Care Act would shrink the work force by the equivalent of more than two million full-time positions and recharged the political debate over the health care law, providing Republican opponents fresh lines of attack and putting Democrats on the defensive. The nonpartisan budget office's analysis, part of a regular update to its budget projections, was far more complicated than the Republican attack lines it generated." ...

... The Washington Post story, by Zachary Goldfarb, is here. CW: Goldfarb's lede, which I think is stupid: "The Affordable Care Act will reduce the number of full-time workers by more than 2 million in coming years, congressional budget analysts said Tuesday, a finding that sent the White House scrambling to defend a law that has bedeviled President Obama for years." My gut reaction: this is mostly great news! People who don't want to work -- but who stayed on the job only to retain health insurance -- will retire, opening up jobs for those who want/need to work. That should help push down the unemployment rate, & better yet, might mean increased wages because of a shrinking labor pool. The only bad bit, as reported in the Times, "... it will also have an effect on businesses, the report said, including by encouraging them to reduce employee hours to avoid the 'employer mandate.'" (Gee, Congress could write a law to largely prevent businesses from working around the law. Oh, wait, Congress can't do squat about anything.) I'll see what Krugman sez. ...

     ... UPDATE. Krugman responds here and here (this 2nd response he labeled "extremely wonkish," so I didn't even try to read it.

... For those of you who enjoy reading CBO reports, this is a lovely day. ...

... Dylan Scott of TPM: "... the political press ... either misrepresented what the report said -- or shrugged off the actual facts, opting instead to speculate on what the political spin would mean for the horse race." Scott runs down "the best of the bad reporting...." Not surprisingly, Tuck Chodd is one of the worst offenders, managing -- by my reckoning -- to get 3 or 4 things wrong in 140 characters or less. That's quite a feat. ...

... Ross Douthat tries for a graf or two to sound reasonable, but the thrill of dumping on ObamaCare is too much to contain, & he bursts into orgiastic conservospeak:

... we may be dealing here with something that ... actually reflects a more universal dilemma of welfare-state liberalism: Namely, that when the government moves to help people at the bottom of the income distribution, its assistance often creates perverse incentives.... That Obamacare redistributes resources to the poor is undeniable. That it helps them rise out of poverty has always been more uncertain. And this projection is a data point for the case that it might reduce financial hardship while actively disincentivizing upward mobility overall.

... CW: Yeah, Ross, being able to purchase health insurance is going to disincentive people from being hostages to employer-based insurance. Now, some people can retire early from jobs they hate & do what they want to do in their later years. Whatever that is might not be "productive," but I'll bet a few of those disincentivized people will start there own small businesses; then they can get some respect from Republicans -- see **ed links below. ...

... Glenn Kessler, the Washington Post fact-checker, does note that some people could be "disincentiveized" to work full-time because of the ACA subsidies, which are means-tested; that is, "at a certain point, a person has to choose between earning more money or continuing to get the maximum help with health insurance payments." So Douthat may be theoretically right on this point. In any event, Kessler gives Republicans & the press three Pinocchios. ...

... Greg Sargent on a means of spoonfeeding facts to wingers & stupid reporters: "CBO director Douglas Elmendorf is set to testify before the House Budget Committee tomorrow. One committee lawmaker can ask him the following question: Is it true that your report found that Obamacare will result in over two million lost jobs? And so, this doesn't have to be a partisan argument. Tomorrow we can find out what the CBO's own director has to say about it. There shouldn't be any need for this to be represented by neutral news org as an unresolvable he-said-she-said standoff." ...

... Joan McCarter of Daily Kos agrees with me: "as usual, [the right wing] ignores what the CBO really says.... In fact, the CBO actually confirms one of the things supporters of the new law said it would do: provide people who can't or don't want to work full time, who want to quit their jobs to stay at home with their children or to start a new business, the freedom to do just that. Right there in the report on page 117 (yes, that's a lot of pages for conservatives to read) it says: 'The estimated reduction [in CBO's projections of hours worked] stems almost entirely from a net decline in the amount of labor that workers choose to supply rather than a net drop in businesses demand for labor. [...]." Thanks to Victoria D. for the link. ...

... So does this person, whoever she or he may be:

To put that in context, I have no doubt that if we eliminated Social Security and eliminated Medicare, there would be many 95-year-olds that would choose to work more hours than they're working today just so they could survive, feed themselves and have health insurance. -- Anonymous "Senior White House Official"

... So do the New York Times Editors: "The Congressional Budget Office estimated on Tuesday that the Affordable Care Act will reduce the number of full-time workers by 2.5 million over the next decade. That is mostly a good thing, a liberating result of the law."

... Sarah Kliff of the Washington Post disagrees. But she covers much more of what the CBO report estimates, & her take is well worth reading. She outlines the good, the bad and the ugly of the report, & she calls the 2 million fewer employees "the ugly." ...

... Dana Milbank polishes his Village People creds, calling the CBO report "grim news for the White House and for Democrats on the ballot in November." ...

... Josh Barro of Business Insider elaborates on my theory that the reduced work force could lead to increased wages: "Here's a key implication of that finding that most people are glossing over: Obamacare will drive wages up: The price of labor, like any good or service, is determined by supply and demand.... More broadly, Obamacare alters the employer-employee relationship in a way that empowers employees. When an employee is dependent on his job not just for a wage but for health insurance, he is less able to threaten to leave if he doesn't get a raise. Severing the work-insurance link strengthens the employee's hand in bargaining -- which is bad for employers and good for workers.... This helps explain why so many business owners have been apoplectic about the law." ...

... CW: I like the way contributor Marvin Schwalb explains it in terms so simple even Chuck Todd could understand:

... what [the CBO report] actually says is that the ACA will create 2 million job openings. No net loss, actually a big gain.

... The White House could use some help from Dr. Schwalb. James Oliphant of the National Journal has a point: "The White House Is Still Terrible at Explaining Obamacare. Obama might be right about the jobs impact of the ACA, but his team's inability to relay that says everything about Democrats' 2014 problem." CW: In other words, if only the Obama could explain the ACA in 140 characters (in the same way Chuck there was able mangle & mischaracterize many aspects of the CBO report). Unfortunately, when Obama tries, it comes out like this: "And if you like your health insurance, you can keep it."

Ransom Demand of the Week. Alex Rogers of Time: "With some House Republicans spoiling for another fight over lifting the country's borrowing limit, leadership is eyeing a repeal of an obscure provision in the new health law.... Many Republicans are calling the [risk corridors] program a government bailout of insurance companies, including Representative Steve Scalise, Republican of Louisiana, who chairs a coalition of House conservatives. 'I think it would be a real tough position to sell to say that when we're running out of money, when we're maxing out our credit card, we should also be borrowing money from China to bail out insurance companies,' Scalise told Time last month." ...

     ... CW: What Rogers doesn't report is that the risk corridors program, rather than being a bail-out program as Scalise claims, is a money-maker for the government. As Sarah Kliff reported yesterday (linked above), the CBO "is projecting that the federal government will take in $16 billion from health plans that are essentially making a profit on the exchange -- and will redistribute $8 billion to other insurers running a loss. That means $8 billion in net savings for the federal government.... This is a pretty significant obstacle for Republican efforts to repeal the risk corridors."

** Ed Kilgore: "One of the most amusing subtexts of what is appearing to be a disastrous House GOP retreat last week is that Eric Cantor spent time trying to tutor his troops on how to talk to people who (a) don't own their own businesses, and (b) don't view themselves as second-class citizens for working for somebody else.... The small-business obsession of the GOP is what has passed for economic populism in their ranks -- a chance to identify a constituency outside the plutocracy.... Cantor may be laying out an impossible objective for Republicans in appealing to people they can't quite respect as the source of anything good other than votes." ...

... ** Paul Waldman of the American Prospect: "After years of worrying primarily about the concerns of people who own businesses, [Republicans ha]ve elevated to gospel truth that the businessman's virtue is unassailable, that his rewards are justly earned, and that no effort should be spared to remove all obstacles from his path." ...

** Tom Edsall in the New York Times on the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade agreement secret negotiations: "The case of trade reflects a larger shift in the balance of power. As multinational or 'stateless' capital diminishes the sovereignty of individual countries, including the United States, and strengthens the autonomy of international corporations, it weakens the already fragile economic security of millions of out-of-work Americans. Their plight appears to be unheeded in the world of 'advisory committees.' One can only fear what comes next." Edsall gives specifics (or as specific as one can get when only the White House & top corporatists really know what's cooked into the agreement). ...

     ... CW: More evidence that it is not just ideologically-crazed Republicans who "deify" "savvy businessmen." Many Democrats, including Presidents Clinton & Obama, are also in the pockets of the Masters of the Universe.

Ed O'Keefe of the Washington Post: "The Senate voted 68 to 32 Tuesday afternoon to approve a new, five-year farm bill that the House passed last week. The measure heads next to President Obama, who is expected to sign it in the coming days. After nearly four years of haggling between Democrats and Republicans, the $956.4 billion package was unveiled last week and sailed through Congress in just a matter of days." ...

... Washington Post Editors: "Contrary to what its apologists claim, the 2014 farm bill is not a hard-won triumph for bipartisanship. Instead, it is a case study in everything that's wrong with Congress. This is a bill of, by and for the agriculture lobby, which, through sheer power and self-interested persistence, ground down reform advocates over three years. The premise of the legislation -- that this country would be at risk of shortages and soaring food prices without multiple layers of central planning in agriculture -- is simply not true." ...

... Mark Bittman of the New York Times reiterates how horrible the farm bill is, but no one expects President Obama to veto it. He should, however, veto the Keystone XL pipeline project.

David Nakamura of the Washington Post: "The Obama administration on Wednesday will announce the creation of seven 'climate hubs' aimed at helping farmers mitigate the risk of catastrophic events, such as fires, droughts, floods and invasive pests...."

AP: "President Barack Obama is praising CVS Caremark for its decision to stop selling tobacco products at its drugstores. Obama says CVS is setting a 'powerful example,' and says the decision will help his administration's efforts to reduce tobacco-related deaths and disease and bring down health care costs." See also today's News Ledes.

Matt Friedman of the Star-Ledger: "U.S. Rep. Rob Andrews, who has served in Congress for nearly a quarter century, said today he will resign in two weeks to head the government affairs department at a top Philadelphia law firm. The surprise announcement ends the political career of the South Jersey Democrat, who for years was touted as a strong candidate for statewide office but had been politically wounded by a campaign finance scandal and was under investigation by his colleagues in the House.... Andrews said it's up to Gov. Chris Christie to decide whether to call a special election to fill his seat or allow it to remain vacant until the term expires next January." ...

... David Fahrenthold of the Washington Post: "In his 23 years in Congress, Rep. Robert E. Andrews (D-N.J.) has written 646 different pieces of legislation." None of them became law.

Congressional Leader Explains Journalism. Spencer Ackerman of the Guardian: "A senior US legislator has accused the former Guardian journalist Glenn Greenwald of illegally selling National Security Agency documents provided to him by the whistleblower Edward Snowden. Representative Mike Rogers, chairman of the House intelligence committee, suggested Greenwald was a 'thief' after he worked with news organizations who paid for stories based on the documents." CW: If you're looking for someone more dangerous than Ed Snowden, Mike Rogers steps up to quash that First Amendment silliness.

The Drones Are Coming. But They Won't Find Jesse. Tal Kopan of Politico: "Former wrestler and Minnesota Gov. Jesse Ventura says he has gone 'off the grid' in Mexico to avoid drones knowing where he is. Ventura spoke with CNBC's 'Closing Bell' from an 'undisclosed location in Mexico' on Tuesday, prompting the hosts to ask him where he was and why he was there."

Ha! AP: "A U.N. human rights committee denounced the Vatican on Wednesday for 'systematically' adopting policies that allowed priests to rape and molest tens of thousands of children over decades, and urged it to open its files on the pedophiles and the bishops who concealed their crimes. In a devastating report, the U.N. committee also severely criticized the Holy See for its attitudes toward homosexuality, contraception and abortion and said it should change its own canon law to ensure children's rights and their access to health care are guaranteed."

Here's the AP report on the "debate" last night between the "Science Guy" & a "Creationist Guy." If you want to watch the Creationist Guy's video of this event (i.e., you have almost 3 hours to fritter away), it's here. Lawrence O'Donnell thought the debate was terrific. ...

     ... Update: Elizabeth Dias of Time liveblogged the debate. Reading her synopsis -- instead of watching the vid -- would save you a lot of time.

More New Jersey News

Chris Christie's "Deceptive Behavior." Abbott Koloff of the Bergen Record: "Christie's aides dug deep into the past, referencing an incident from 1979 when [David] Wildstein was a high school student and running for a seat on the Livingston school board. A teacher, they said, accused Wildstein of 'deceptive behavior.' However, they did not mention that Wildstein and the teacher, Albert Adler, later made up and said they simply had a 'misunderstanding.'" ...

... Maureen Dowd is quite good on Chris Christie's obsession with high school. ...

... Jon Stewart on the Christie-Wildstein non-relationship:

Congressional Races

Sam Frizell of Time: "Sandra Fluke, the Democratic activist and attorney who achieved fame in 2012 after radio host Rush Limbaugh called her a 'slut', has decided to run for state Senate instead of Congress." AND here's the L.A. Times story, by Seema Mehta. ...

... BUT. Nia-Malika Henderson of the Washington Post: "Spiritual guru and friend of Oprah Marianne Willamson is running for the seat which Henry Waxman is vacating.

I know [Williamson] would like to replace the Department of Defense with the Department of Peace... She thinks she can come to Washington and get things done by waving a magic wand. She doesn't understand how long it takes to get things done. It took 10 years for the Clean Air Act, 8 for Ryan White HIV/AIDS, 15 for legislating tobacco products. -- Rep. Henry Waxman (D-Calif.)

Craig Jarvis of the Raleigh (North Carolina) News & Observer: "Singer Clay Aiken will officially announce his campaign for Congress on Wednesday, injecting a nationally known personality into what has been a quiet Democratic primary to produce a challenger to U.S. Rep. Renee Ellmers." CW: The story embeds Aiken's campaign announcement video, which is far more amateurish than "American Idol."

News Ledes

New York Times: "Four people were arrested in Lower Manhattan on Tuesday evening with more than 350 bags of heroin as part of the investigation into the death of the actor Philip Seymour Hoffman, the authorities said."

Washington Post: "The Obama administration has sharply curtailed drone strikes in Pakistan after a request from the government there for restraint as it pursues peace talks with the Pakistani Taliban, according to U.S. officials. 'That's what they asked for, and we didn't tell them no,' one U.S. official said. The administration indicated that it will still carry out strikes against senior al-Qaeda targets, if they become available, and move to thwart any direct, imminent threat to U.S. persons."

New York Times: "CVS/Caremark, the country's largest drugstore chain, announced on Wednesday that it planned to stop selling cigarettes and other tobacco products by October. The company's move was yet another sign of its metamorphosis into becoming more of a health care provider than a largely retail business, with its stores offering more miniclinics and health advice to aid customers visiting its pharmacies."

New York Times: "Google reached a tentative settlement with European antitrust authorities on Wednesday, ending a lengthy competition investigation into the American tech company's practices that could have led to billions of dollars in penalties. The agreement should mean that the tech giant will avoid a fine as well as a finding of wrongdoing that could limit its future activities on the Continent."

The Commentariat -- Feb. 4, 2014

Peter Beinert in the National Journal on "The End of American Exceptionalism."

David Nakamura of the Washington Post: "New momentum in Congress for a sweeping overhaul of border control laws has prompted White House allies to demand that President Obama halt deportations of millions of illegal immigrants, many of whom would be allowed to remain in the country under a legislative deal. The advocates, including the AFL-CIO and pro-immigration groups, argue that Obama should use his executive authority to expand a 2012 decision that halted deportations of young people brought to the United States illegally by their parents. The administration's aggressive approach to enforcement -- which has resulted in nearly 2 million deportations during Obama's tenure -- makes little sense at a time when Congress could be on the verge of providing legal relief, advocates say." CW: Gee, these people seem to want the President to become "increasingly lawless" (see yesterday's Commentariat).

Chuck Grassley Is Not Dead. Ben Goad of the Hill: "The top Republican on the Senate Judiciary Committee called Monday for the Obama administration to lay clear its legal case in defense of the president's plan to tackle policy goals through executive actions. Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) is asking the Justice Department to disclose by Valentine's Day all of its 'opinions, analyses and conclusions' in support of the president's authority to rely so heavily on the power of his office." CW: Holder should skip the paperwork & just send Grassley a nice Valentine's card.

Hostage Takers in Search of a Ransom Demand. Sahil Kapur of TPM: "Republicans want something in return for acting to avert a self-inflicted default on the country's debt, but they can't figure out what. House Republicans discussed the issue last Friday at their annual all-member retreat in Maryland. As of Monday afternoon, they still hadn't come up with a ransom demand in order to free the proverbial hostage ahead of a late February deadline."

John Cassidy of the New Yorker: "... if the Obama Administration is able to bring about transformative change during the remainder of its existence, John Kerry, rather than the President, is likely to be its agent. In seeking diplomatic settlements to the standoffs in Syria, Iran, and Israel-Palestine, Kerry has become, perhaps, the most important Secretary of State since Henry Kissinger."

Steve Benen: "A month ago, proponents of a bipartisan bill on new Iranian sanctions had reason to be optimistic.... This week, supporters effectively shelved the entire bill.... Obama wanted some breathing room for the international negotiations. As of yesterday, that's exactly what he's earned."

** Kerry Sheridan of AFP: "The amount of harmful pollutants released in the process of recovering oil from tar sands in western Canada is likely far higher than corporate interests say, university researchers said Monday. Actual levels of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon (PAH) emissions into the air may be two to three times higher than estimated, said the findings in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, a peer-reviewed US journal. The study raises new questions about the accuracy of environmental impact assessments on the tar sands, just days after a US State Department report said the controversial Keystone pipeline project to bring oil from Canada to Texas would have little impact on climate change or the environment." ...

     ... CW: This seems like a pretty big deal to me, yet the only major news organization to report it -- as far as I could tell -- was Agence France Presse. 

Alexei Oreskovic of Reuters: "Facebook, Microsoft, Yahoo and Google on Monday began publishing details about the number of secret government requests for data they receive, hoping to show limited involvement in controversial surveillance efforts. The tech industry has pushed for greater transparency on government data requests, seeking to shake off concerns about their involvement in vast, surreptitious surveillance programs revealed last summer by former spy contractor Edward Snowden."

American "Justice." Timothy Williams of the New York Times: "The number of exonerations in the United States of those wrongly convicted of a crime increased to a record 87 during 2013, and of that number, nearly one in five had initially pleaded guilty to charges filed against them, according to a report to be released on Tuesday as part of a project led by two university law schools."

** Jonathan Alter in the New Yorker: Former Defense Secretary Robert "Gates was ... one of the shrewdest public servants of his generation -- which helps to explain why his many failures and missed calls have been all but air-brushed out of accounts of his career." CW: Alter's observations about Obama's relationship with the military brass are instructive.

Natalie Villacorta of Politico: The Obamas & Bidens pay tribute to Joan Mondale, who died Monday.

Melissa Eddy of the New York Times: "The Chaos Computer Club, a leading hacker organization based in Germany, filed a criminal complaint against Chancellor Angela Merkel and members of her government on Monday, accusing them of violating the law by helping intelligence agencies in the United States and Britain to spy on German citizens. The move comes days after Secretary of State John Kerry visited Berlin to try to smooth over relations that have been strained by revelations of the extent of the National Security Agency's surveillance activities in Germany."

Congressional Elections 2014

Rebecca Leber of Think Progress: "The National Republican Congressional Committee has set up a number of websites that look like they could be a Democratic candidate's campaign page, unless you read the fine print. They may even violate a Federal Election Commission regulation.... The NRCC has set up these pages for various congressional opponents, including Amanda Renteria (CA), Martha Roberston (NY), Kyrsten Sinema (AZ), Ann Kirkpatrick (AZ), Alex Sink (FL), and John Tierney (MA). Each follow a similar format; they list the candidate's name 'for Congress' to ask for donations."

Aaron Blake of the Washington Post: "Women's rights activist Sandra Fluke appears to be moving forward with a run for Congress. Fluke has filed with the California state Democratic Party to seek its endorsement in the race for retiring Rep. Henry Waxman's (D-Calif.) seat, according to the state party Web site."

Outside the Beltway

Darryl Isherwood of NJ.com: "Gov. Chris Christie confirmed tonight that his office has been subpoenaed by the U.S Attorney in the ongoing investigation into politically motivated lane closures at the George Washington Bridge. Christie revealed the subpoena during the 'Ask the Governor' program on New Jersey 101.5 radio." ...

... Geoff Mulvihill & Angela delli Santi of the AP: "Christie's office initially denied that he knew about the traffic problems until after they were over, pointing to several statements from the governor. But on TownSquare Media's 'Ask the Governor' on Monday, Christie acknowledged for the first time that he may have been aware of the closures at the time. But he said that if he was, they did not get his attention.... Christie said what he learned when is not important. He dismissed the scrutiny over that detail as 'a game of gotcha.'" ...

... Curiouser & Curiouser. Steve Benen: "Christie said during the radio interview last night that he's 'curious' about 'what happened here' and remains 'really anxious to find out.' It's unclear, however, why he didn't ask Bridget Ann Kelly why the scheme was hatched before her dismissal." ... Here's a piece of the interview:

... Jason Grant of Star-Ledger: "Bridget Anne Kelly, considered a crucial figure in unraveling the George Washington Bridge lane closures, is refusing to produce documents and information requested under subpoena by the state legislative committee investigating the controversy, The Star-Ledger has learned. In a letter issued today by the lawyer for Kelly, who last month was fired as Gov. Chris Christie's deputy chief of staff after emails emerged showing she had apparently orchestrated the lane closures, Kelly cited both her Fifth Amendment right against self-incrimination and Fourth Amendment right against wrongful search and seizure."

... Mark Lagerkvist of New Jersey Watchdog: "A state police bodyguard to Chris Christie is facing criminal charges in Pennsylvania -- despite his attempt to use his ties with the New Jersey governor to avoid arrest. Trooper William A. Carvounis, 35, is accused of stealing $267 in gun supplies and other goods from a Cabela's store near Hamburg. His arraignment is scheduled for Feb. 10 in Berks County Court of Common Pleas.... New Jersey pays Carvounis a base salary of $95,198 a year -- plus roughly $16,000 for meals, uniform cleaning and other allowances, according to a state payroll database. That does not include his overtime pay, exempt from public disclosure by state regulation" CW: Are all of Chris Christie's staff scum?

Margaret Sullivan of the New York Times: Times "reporter Kate Zernike broke a story based on a letter from David Wildstein's lawyer saying that the former ally of Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey 'had the evidence to prove' that Mr. Christie knew about the now infamous lane closings at the George Washington Bridge in real time last September.... Later, within the hour, the story was changed to soften the wording from 'had the evidence' to 'evidence exists.'" Sullivan says the Times should have issued a correction or at least an explanatory note. ...

... Brett Logiurato of Business Insider: "For the second time in three days, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) slammed The New York Times for the paper's report Friday on claims made by former Port Authority official David Wildstein. In a memo circulated to allies and friends on Monday..., Christie's office characterized the report as 'sloppy' and 'misleading.' It uses critical tweets from reporters, as well as a critical column from New York Times public editor Margaret Sullivan, to hammer home its point." CW: Christie doesn't mention that his own evolving Bridgegate story has been "sloppy" & "misleading."

Nullification. Ian Millhiser of Think Progress: "The Missouri Senate's General Laws Committee voted 5-1 last week in favor of a bill that purports to make it a crime for federal law enforcement agents to enforce the nation's gun laws. Under the bill's terms, these agents could be imprisoned for up to a year and be fined up to $1,000. Much of this unconstitutional legislation mirrors a bill Gov. Jay Nixon (D) vetoed last year.... Few principles are more clearly established in American constitutional law than the prohibition on states nullifying federal laws. "

Superbowl Detritus

Jonathan Capehart of the Washington Post: "The pre-Super Bowl interview with President Obama conducted by Bill O'Reilly [Sunday] was not only notable for the Fox News anchor's constant interruptions, but also for his harping on old news.... But the president successfully avoided the rhetorical traps ... and he respectfully stood up to the disrespect ... by giving as good as he got.... Neither the station nor its anchor has shown Obama or his office the respect both deserve. And that 10-minute interview was a perfect illustration of it." ...

... The Washington Post's media blogger Erik Wemple thought O'Reilly did a great job. Which is a good example of why media bloggers should STFU about politics. They don't know what they're writing about.

Matt Flegenheimer of the New York Times: "Billed by organizers as the first 'mass-transit Super Bowl,' Sunday's game drew many visitors to the area's labyrinthine transportation network for the first time. Reviews were decidedly mixed,and there were occasional scenes of large-scale confusion at some of the region's transit hubs."

David Porter of the Bergen Record: "The head of New Jersey's transit agency on Monday defended the response to delays for thousands of fans leaving the Super Bowl by train, as officials sought to understand how ridership estimates could have been so far off base. About 33,000 people took the 7-mile ride between MetLife Stadium and the Secaucus rail transfer station, more than double the highest estimates made by organizers and transportation experts before the game."

News Ledes

Reuters: "Joan Mondale, the wife of former U.S. Vice President Walter Mondale and a champion of the arts, died on Monday, her family said in a statement. She was 83." ...

     ... Update. The Washington Post's obituary is here. The New York Times' obituary is here.

New York Times: "President Hamid Karzai of Afghanistan has been engaged in secret contacts with the Taliban about reaching a peace agreement without the involvement of his American and Western allies, further corroding already strained relations with the United States."

The Commentariat -- Feb. 3, 2014

Nelson Schwartz of the New York Times: "As politicians and pundits in Washington continue to spar over whether economic inequality is in fact deepening, in corporate America there really is no debate at all. The post-recession reality is that the customer base for businesses that appeal to the middle class is shrinking as the top tier pulls even further away.... In 2012, the top 5 percent of earners were responsible for 38 percent of domestic consumption, up from 28 percent in 1995, the researchers found. Even more striking, the current recovery has been driven almost entirely by the upper crust...." ...

... My Yacht Is Bigger than Your Yacht. Matt Yglesias on why consumer inequality is bad for innovation: "... thinking up creative ways for people to show off isn't really the same thing as dreaming up whole new product categories that you can target at the mass market. When the mass market goes away, the smart play is for everyone to focus on branding and exclusivity and zero-sum status competition games rather than on broadly useful new ideas."

NEW. Dominic Rushe of the Guardian: "Janet Yellen was sworn in as the first woman to head the Federal Reserve on Monday, ascending to the top job at the central bank at a time when the US economy seems on a firmer footing but investors are worrying about China and other emerging markets." ...

... Ben White, et al., of Politico: Janet Yellen takes over as chair of the Federal Reserve today; now she must learn to deal with a Congress & a press corps eager to trip her up.

Paul Krugman: "The Republican response to the State of the Union was delivered by Cathy McMorris Rodgers, Republican representative from Washington — and it was remarkable for its lack of content.... So was ["Bette from Spokane"] the best story Ms. McMorris Rodgers could come up with? The answer, probably, is yes, since just about every tale of health reform horror the G.O.P. has tried to peddle has similarly fallen apart once the details were revealed. The truth is that the campaign against Obamacare relies on misleading stories at best, and often on outright deceit.... conservative politicians aren't just deceiving their constituents; they're also deceiving themselves. Right now, Republican political strategy seems to be to stall on every issue, and reap the rewards from Obamacare's inevitable collapse. Well, Obamacare isn't collapsing -- it's recovering pretty well from a terrible start."

Benjamin Bell of ABC News: "President Obama's tenure is becoming 'increasingly lawless' with his embrace of executive orders, which are 'creating a dangerous trend which is contrary to the Constitution,' House Budget Committee Chair Rep. Paul Ryan said today on 'This Week.' ... Despite his criticism, Ryan dismissed the idea of impeaching the president...." ...

... CW: Yo, Paulie. Jamelle Bouie of the Daily Beast: "The American Presidency Project at the University of California, Santa Barbara keeps a tally of every executive order from every president. And where does Obama rank compared to other post-World War II presidents? Second from the bottom.... Since taking control of the House in 2011, Republicans have committed themselves to blockading as much of the administration as possible.... Their only concern -- their only goal -- was to damage Obama's credibility and keep the White House from scoring any points." ...

     ... CW: To his credit, Stephanopoulos brought up the other presidents' orders during the segment, & Ryan responded that it wasn't the number but the scope of Obama's orders. ...

...Yo, Paulie. Matt Yglesias: "Lincoln, for example, issued the Emancipation Proclamation as an extension of his war powers as commander in chief. It was kind of a big deal. FDR took the United States off the gold standard with Executive Order 6102, an extremely envelope-pushing reading of a World War I trade measure. FDR also used executive authority to close all banks across the country as part of an effort to stabilize the economy. Lincoln suspended the writ of habeas corpus." ...

     ... CW: Stephanopoulos didn't call Ryan on that. Wasn't in the script. Although George should have known enough to follow up since it's been in the news a lot, thanks to fake historian & professional hand-wringer Jon Meacham. ...

     ... Meacham, BTW, has said he was sorry. AP: "Jon Meacham wrote in an email Thursday to The Associated Press that he was at best 'imprecise' and at worst 'just plain wrong.'" ...

... P.S. Here are some of the "increasingly lawless," unconstitooshunal executive actions Obama is taking. Why, just last Friday, Josh Hicks of the Washington Post reports, "Obama issued a memorandum ... saying that federal agencies should not look unfavorably upon job-seekers who are unemployed or facing financial difficulties.... Also that day, the White House announced it had secured promises from more than 300 companies that agreed to not show bias against applicants who have been out of work for more than six months." The "scope" there is pretty horrifying, isn't it, Paulie?

Thomas Ferraro & Sandra Maler of Reuters: "U.S. President Barack Obama still wants to hear from other federal agencies before deciding whether to accept the State Department's finding that the Keystone XL pipeline would have no major impact on climate change..., White House Chief of Staff Denis McDonough said...."

Seven-Minute "Justice." Eli Saslow of the Washington Post: "While Congress and the White House make promises about the future of undocumented immigrants..., one of the 57 overwhelmed immigration courts across the country ... is the place where decisions must be made -- day after day, case after case." In the Arlington, Virginia, courtroom, the judge "had an average of seven minutes per case."

New Jersey News

Victoria Cavaliere of Reuters: Assemblyman John Wisniewski, "a New Jersey Democrat leading a probe of the bridge traffic scandal that has engulfed Governor Chris Christie said on Sunday he has seen no evidence to support claims that the governor had been aware of the apparently politically motivated traffic jams as they happened." ...

... Margaret Hartmann of New York with more "good news" for Christie. ...

Marc Santora of the New York Times: "On Monday, the first of what are most likely thousands of pages of documents subpoenaed by the [New Jersey] State Legislature from prominent members of the Christie administration were to be turned over to investigators.... One of the people subpoenaed, Christina Genovese Renna, who worked in the Christie administration, has resigned, she said in a statement issued by her lawyer on Sunday. Ms. Renna, whose last day was Friday, had reported to [Bridget] Kelly...."

Paul Krugman: "... what some of us suspected all along was that Christie didn't yell at people because he was a get-results kind of guy; he yelled at people because he had anger management issues. And his office's bizarre screed against David Wildstein, his former ally now turned enemy, confirms that diagnosis.... If the official Christie position 'This guy is scum. Everyone has always known that he was scum, since he was a teenager. And that's why I appointed him to a major policy position'? What's remarkable here, actually, is how many pundits were taken in by the Christie persona."

Scott Raab of Esquire: "[Sunday] was meant to be Chris Christie's Super Bowl party, literally. Instead, the Hindenburg, engulfed by flames, is crashing right before our eyes.... By attacking Wildstein via e-mail with a popgun -- 'He was publicly accused by his high school social studies teacher of deceptive behavior,' one of the e-mail's bullet points, is, hands-down, the most hilarious and hapless political attack ever launched -- Christie calls further attention to his own thug life in office."

David Fahrenthold of the Washington Post writes a positive story about Christie's high school days & how fondly his friends remember that young Chris -- after seeking their advice -- stopped his father from suing to keep a better catcher off the school's baseball team, even tho that meant Chris spent most of his senior year on the bench (or in the dugout -- whatever). Also, after high school, Christie kept up with his school friends, which they also think is very, very nice. ...

     ... Jonathan Chait is not impressed: "Well, he had been the starting catcher on the baseball team, and a better player transferred to the school and took his starting spot, and Christie decided not to sue to keep the kid out of school.... The story notes that Christie did not reject this idea out of hand.... Nor did he reject it on moral grounds. Rather, he simply decided it was too risky.... This, concludes the Post, is evidence of Christie's generosity of spirit.... We await future reports of other episodes displaying Christie's lack of vindictiveness. Like the time some dude cut in front of him in line at the deli, and Christie was going to have him beaten within an inch of his life but decided not to because there were security cameras." ...

     ... CW: That is, Christie is only a bully & a conniving backstabber when he thinks he can get away with it. What neither Fahrenthold nor Chait mentions is this: since the new catcher was a better player than Christie, presumably he improved the team's performance. I thought the whole idea of team sports was that everybody does what's best for the team.

Josh Marshall of TPM on why Christie "is toast even if he's innocent." Marshall runs down Christie's defenses, & reminds us that the defenses sound as bad as accusations.

Superbowl News

President Obama endures another attack by interview with Bill O'Reilly of Fox "News," the network that carried the game:

... Margaret Hartmann: "You'll never guess what the Fox News anchor wanted to talk about: Obamacare, Benghazi, and the IRS scandal. As O'Reilly interrupted and scoffed at any answers he didn't like (almost all of them), the president made some jabs at his employer. After saying O'Reilly's assertions were proven inaccurate in 'multiple hearings,' Obama added, 'these kinds of things keep on surfacing in part because you and your TV station will promote them.'" Plus a tweet from Hillary Clinton. ...

... Marc Ambinder in the Week: "O'Reilly's questions were grossly, wholly ridiculous. They don't exist as legitimate questions except in the way that they justify the masturbatory self-indulgence of Fox News' elite worldview, which increasingly, if not entirely, is self-pitying. These questions exist because if they didn't, our world view would fall apart. Worst presidential interview ever." ...

... CW: I respectfully disagree with Ambinder. In O'Reilly's 2011 Superbowl interview, he interrupted the President 48 times. (In fairness, O'Reilly interrupted Obama numerous times yesterday, but not 48):

#boycottcoke. Elias Isquith of Salon: "Coca-Cola's multilingual Super Bowl ad is driving Twitter xenophobes crazy. Apparently singing 'America the Beautiful' in multiple languages is worthy of a boycott." Here's the "offending" ad:

     ... Tom Kludt of TPM with more outrage from monolingual conservatives. ...

     ... Ian Crouch of the New Yorker failed to notice how "unAmerican" the Coke ad was: "After hours of jingoistic and military-heavy pre-game festivities on Fox, in which the network implored viewers at home and around the world to recognize the might and greatness of America, Coke managed to evoke patriotism in just a minute, with a multilingual version of 'America, the Beautiful.'" Well, the New Yorker. 'Nuff said.

You can watch the full Seinfeld episode of "Comedians in Cars Getting Coffee" here; an ad ran during the Superbowl halftime.

Dylan Then. "Advertising signs that con you....":

Dylan Now. "Because we believe in the zoom and the roar and the thrust..., we will build your car":

News Ledes

New York Times: "Even as the international effort to destroy Syria's vast chemical weapons stockpile lags behind schedule, a similar American-backed campaign carried out under a cloak of secrecy ended successfully last week in another strife-torn country, Libya. The United States and Libya in the past three months have discreetly destroyed what both sides say were the last remnants of Col. Muammar al-Qaddafi's lethal arsenal of chemical arms."

AFP: " US Secretary of State John Kerry came under further attack Monday by Israeli hawks who accuse him of manipulating the threat of an economic boycott to pressure Israel into peace concessions. The latest war of words between the two allies erupted Saturday after Kerry warned that Israel was facing a growing campaign of delegitimization which would likely worsen if peace talks with the Palestinians collapsed."