The Commentariat -- November 20, 2017
Anne Gearan of the Washington Post: "President Trump called elephant hunting a 'horror show' Sunday and strongly suggested he will permanently block imports of elephant trophies from two African nations despite his administration's earlier approval of the practice. Following strong bipartisan criticism of the administration's decision to allow imports of trophy carcasses, a practice was halted under the Obama administration, Trump had moved Friday to put the imports on hold.... Trump wrote [on Twitter] that he would be 'very hard pressed to change my mind that this horror show in any way helps conservation of Elephants or any other animal.'" ...
... Mrs Bea McCrabbie: You can't fool me. Trump doesn't care about anything or anybody who isn't named Donald J. Trump Senior, so why he is suddenly so into saving the elephants? Because he wants to punish Junior, the Great White Hunter, for royally screwing up the Russia thing: "That's the last time you get near an elephant's ass, Kid, unless I push your head up one at the zoo."
Donald Trump Is Still a Self-Absorbed, Whiney Prick. Benjamin Hoffman of the New York Times: "A day after LaVar Ball, the outspoken father of the basketball players LiAngelo and Lonzo Ball, played down President Trump's involvement in getting LiAngelo safely out of China without any criminal charges, the president fired back on Twitter.... 'Now that the three basketball players are out of China and saved from years in jail, LaVar Ball, the father of LiAngelo, is unaccepting of what I did for his son and that shoplifting is no big deal. I should have left them in jail!'... Later in the day, Trump doubled down on his claim that LaVar Ball was ungrateful for his son's release: 'Shoplifting is a very big deal in China, as it should be (5-10 years in jail), but not to father LaVar. Should have gotten his son out during my next trip to China instead. China told them why they were released. Very ungrateful!'" ...
... AND since every day is Pick on Black People Day at the Trump House... Louis Nelson of Politico: "... Donald Trump singled out Oakland Raiders football player Marshawn Lynch Monday morning, suggesting that the running back had shown 'great disrespect' by *sitting* for the U.S. national anthem and standing for the Mexican one before his team's game on Sunday, played in Mexico City.... Lynch has not publicly explained his anthem protests, but did arrive at a road game in Denver last month wearing an 'everybody vs. Trump' t-shirt."
Donald Trump Is Still Donald Trump. Sarah Kaplan of the Washington Post: Members of the White House staff who aren't completely crazy can't figure out how to explain why Trump has mocked Al Franken for a relatively minor sexual attack but won't say anything about Roy Moore's allegedly preying on teenaged girls.
** Mike Levine of ABC News: "Special Counsel Robert Mueller's team [is] investigating whether ... Donald Trump sought to obstruct a federal inquiry into connections between his presidential campaign and Russian operatives has now directed the Justice Department to turn over a broad array of documents, ABC News has learned. In particular, Mueller's investigators are keen to obtain emails related to the firing of FBI Director James Comey and the earlier decision of Attorney General Jeff Sessions to recuse himself from the entire matter, according to a source who has not seen the specific request but was told about it. Issued within the past month, the directive marks the special counsel's first records request to the Justice Department, and it means Mueller is now demanding documents from the department overseeing his investigation.... Mueller's investigators now seek ... any [DOJ] communications with White House counterparts, the source said.... The latest move suggests the Special Counsel is still actively digging into, among other matters, whether Trump or any other administration official improperly tried to influence an ongoing investigation."
The Best People. Esme Cribb of TPM: "Secretary of the Treasury Steve Mnuchin on Sunday said he 'didn't realize' photographs of himself and his wife, actress Louise Linton, holding a sheet of the first $1 bills to bear Mnuchin's signature, would be posted online." ...
... Mrs. McCrabbie: The photographer works for the AP, which, you know, takes photos for, um, publication. Contrary to your belief, Mr. Secretary, press photographers do not show up to take pictures for "Steve & Louise's Excellent Family Scrapbook." The photographer, Jacquelyn Martin, was surprised by just about everything Munchkin, et ux., did. Apparently she was unaware of just how egocentric & clueless these geniuses were....
... Lois Beckett of the Guardian: "As Republicans push for legislation that would cut taxes for the rich while increasing taxes on lower-income Americans, Trump’s treasury secretary [Steve Mnuchin] said he was flattered to be compared to a James Bond villain.... 'I guess I should take that as a compliment that I look like a villain in a great, successful James Bond movie,' the treasury secretary told Fox News on Sunday." --safari
Family Values! Lachlan Markay of The Daily Beast: "[T]he first family is far from the only group of relatives staffing the Trump administration. A Daily Beast examination of public records reveals that there are at least 20 families, joined by either blood or marriage, in which multiple members hold some federal post or appointment. They include the families of some of Trump's most prominent campaign supporters and agency officials, including one cabinet officer. The posts range from senior White House staff to more ceremonial and advisory positions." --safari: If you look closely at the picture, does Eric not have a giant booger peeking out of his nose??? Poor Eric!
There's Always More to the Story. Caroline Orr of Shareblue: "Former Oklahoma Republican state Sen. Ralph Shortey, who also served as the Trump's campaign chair in the state, agreed this week to plead guilty to child sex trafficking charges after getting caught earlier this year offering to pay a teenage boy for sex. According to The Oklahoman, Shortey was found in a hotel room with a teenage boy on March 9. A subsequent investigation by local and federal officials revealed a series of text messages in which Shortey offered to pay the teen in exchange for 'sexual stuff.'" In February, Shortey introduced a bill in the state legislature to punish "sanctuary cities," partly because he was concerned about immigrants who engaged in sex trafficking. "There's a trail of death from Honduras to the United States of America, and the families are giving their children and others over to coyotes and to human traffickers," Shortey argued. ...
... Mrs. McC: What with his being an admitted sex offender, it could be that Shortey isn't getting one of those jobs Trump has been handing out to "all the best people" -- who worked on his campaign. Well, at least till Shortey gets out on parole.
Ellie Smith of ABC News: "'I want to see changes in that [Senate tax] bill, and I think there will be changes,' Sen. Susan Collins of Maine told ABC News Chief Anchor George Stephanopoulos on 'This Week' Sunday. She said one problem with the bill is the inclusion of a provision that would repeal the Affordable Care Act's mandate that most people must have health insurance or face a penalty." ...
... Mulvaney Claims He Will Oblige the Lady of Maine. Nolan McCaskill of Politico: "White House budget director Mick Mulvaney said Sunday that the administration wants to repeal part of Obamacare in Congress' tax bill but is 'OK with taking it out' if 'it becomes an impediment.... Donald Trump has called for Congress to include a repeal of the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate in its tax bill. The Congressional Budget Office has projected that doing so would save the government $338 billion over a decade but result in 13 million more Americans being uninsured by 2027." ...
... Kate Zernike & Abby Goodnough of the New York Times: People who receive subsidies to help cover the cost of health insurance "complicate the argument of Senate Republicans who are counting on repeal of the so-called individual mandate to free up hundreds of billions of dollars to pay for an array of tax cuts to corporations and individuals. They are assuming that without a mandate, many people would no longer buy insurance, so the government would spend billions of dollars less on the subsidies the health law provides to help those under a certain income level pay their premiums. But polling data, analysis from a private forecasting agency and interviews with people who buy coverage through the Affordable Care Act marketplaces suggest the savings could be far less, largely because many people who qualify for the subsidies will still want to take advantage of them.... Nearly 60 percent of people who buy their own insurance receive subsidies...." ...
... Mrs. McCrabbie: In other words, Trump & Senate Republicans have dreamed up a lose-lose-lose situation. The cost of insurance will skyrocket as healthier people, who don't think they need insurance, will drop it, leaving the pool of insureds sicker. But the federal cost of paying out the subsidies also will skyrocket, because the higher costs of insurance will make more people eligible for the subsidies. In addition, people who suddenly get sick people will have to wait to sign up for insurance, so they'll be sicker by the time they get to the doctor. And let's not forget that the more unhealthy Americans are, the worse-off the economy. People who have jobs can't get to work regularly, so productivity will drop, lowering profits. Many businesses will have to shell out sick pay for non-working employees. People who don't get sick pay won't be able to buy as much stuff. That is, we'll have lower demand, so, necessarily, less supply. And GDP goes south. Idiots!
... Eric Levitz of New York: "The Trump tax cuts are zipping through Congress at the legislative version of light speed.... Tax policy is about a lot more than generating revenue. Every tax code rewards certain kinds of economic activity and disincentives others. In the United States, we are especially reliant on tax incentives for shaping our industrial policy and providing social welfare. The tax bills sprinting through the House and Senate would restructure these incentives, in ways that the public scarcely appreciates, and that even experts need more time to fully understand.... Here's a rundown of ten consequences those cuts could have for our economy" --safari ...
... Jonathan Chait of New York: "In such a compressed period of time, they couldn't avoid opening up enormous opportunities for gaming and arbitrage even if they wanted to. And there's little reason to believe they want to, with their plan essentially having been created by and for the business lobby. The tax code is imperfect now. Once the Republicans get through with it, it will be in desperate need of reform." --safari ...
... Rebekah Entralago of ThinkProgress: "... Mick Mulvaney told CNN's Jake Tapper Sunday that the president 'is not going to sign a bill that raises taxes on the middle class, period.' Unfortunately for Mulvaney, both the House and Senate tax bills would do just that, but he's now trying to spin millions of people losing their health insurance as them getting a tax break." --safari ...
... AND Ivanka Trump Is Not an Economist
We spend less than any country in the developed world on children between the ages of zero and 5. It's just a fact, we don't invest enough resources. -- Ivanka Trump, remarks during an interview with Tucker Carlson, November 6
Trump uses the factoid to advocate for the GOP tax plan, which she says would help middle-income families pay the high cost of child care.... Trump pulled her talking point from an Obama-era CEA white paper advocating for expanding pre-kindergarten programs. And even though the white paper found that the United States spends less than almost every OECD country on early-childhood education, the proposed tax cuts wouldn't boost the United States' rank. And more important, the tax cuts Trump cites could increase taxes on 40 percent of families with children.... The missing context helps to explain why she stumbled through the talking point in her interview. -- Nicole Lewis of the Washington Post
Esme Cribb: "Sen. Al Franken (D-MN) has no plans to resign after a radio host accused him of forcibly kissing and groping her years ago, according to a spokesperson. 'No,' a spokesperson for Franken told the Star Tribune on Saturday. 'He is spending time with his family in Washington, D.C., and will be through the Thanksgiving holiday.'"
Liz Mair in The Daily Beast: "For at least two years now, Western politics has been rocked by attempt after attempt to bring down the establishment and put outsiders of diverse and frequently conflicting political philosophies in charge of government. Those movements have largely failed.... The establishment still reigns, even if the names and faces have been shuffled a bit. But it may well be wiped out thanks to sexually harassing, threatening, assaulting, and predatory behavior it has too long tolerated, and which is now being exposed, ending careers, threatening some members with potential criminal records, and more." --safari
Senate Race
Jones Stands Alone. Jess Bidgood of the New York Times: "... the Democratic candidate [for the Senate special election in Alabama, Doug] Jones, is a respected former prosecutor best known for convicting two Ku Klux Klan members for the 1963 bombing of the 16th Street Baptist Church in Birmingham, who was raising the possibility of a truly competitive race even before the accusations against Mr. Moore. But opportunity has knocked on the door of a Democratic operation with the lights out. With a fairly anemic state party, there is little existing infrastructure for routine campaign activities like phone banks or canvassing drives. National Democrats, while helping to pour in money, are taking pains to keep the race at arm's length, figuring their presence could hurt rather than help Mr. Jones. There are no beloved statewide officeholders or popular party elders to rally the troops." ...
... The Editors of Al.com, which is produced by Alabama's major newspapers, endorse Democrat Doug Jones for Senate. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... Brian Stelter of CNN: "The Alabama Media Group stripped the editorial across its Sunday front pages. The unusual step comes 10 days after misconduct allegations first surfaced against [Roy] Moore, the Republican nominee for the state's Senate seat. The editorial doubles as an endorsement of Moore's opponent, Democrat Doug Jones. It appears in The Birmingham News, Mobile Press-Register and The Huntsville Times and it is prominently featured on the papers' shared website AL.com." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... Erik Wemple of the Washington Post: Roy "Moore's camp has twice threatened the Alabama Media Group, home to AL.com, according to a letter from a lawyer for the company. 'You have accused AL.com of making "false reports and/or careless reporting" about multiple subjects related to your clients,' reads the letter from John Thompson of Lightfoot Franklin White LLC. 'Your letter demands that AL.com retract and recant its prior stories and that it "cease and desist" from any further reporting about your clients,' reads the letter. 'AL.com hereby rejects your demand,' it continues.... The letter states, 'You have not explained how anything that AL.com has reported is untrue, inaccurate or erroneous, nor do you provide any support for your position.'... Not content to merely play defense against the threats from Moore, the AMG letter notes that litigation from the Senate candidate would 'also reveal other important information about your clients.'"
Not Good. Lois Beckett of the Guardian: "Resistance to a ban on military-style assault weapons is strongest among millennials, according to a new Quinnipiac poll released this week. It's a finding that experts said might be driven by the popularity of first-person shooter video games such as Call of Duty and the increasing prominence of military-style guns in the consumer market. A large majority of Americans say they support a ban on the sale of assault weapons." --safari ...
... John Naughton in the Guardian argues that it is the tech elites' ignorance more than their crass materialism that has led them to create such a giant mess: "Now mathematics, engineering and computer science are wonderful disciplines -- intellectually demanding and fulfilling. And they are economically vital for any advanced society. But mastering them teaches students very little about society or history -- or indeed about human nature. As a consequence, the new masters of our universe are people who are essentially only half-educated. They have had no exposure to the humanities or the social sciences, the academic disciplines that aim to provide some understanding of how society works, of history and of the roles that beliefs, philosophies, laws, norms, religion and customs play in the evolution of human culture. We are now beginning to see the consequences of the dominance of this half-educated elite." ...
... Mrs. McCrabbie: I'll have to add that their tremendous success has made these masters of the universe remarkably arrogant. They don't think anyone whom they deem less successful can tell them anything. When President Obama (whom many people would say has been mighty successful) warned Mark Zuckerberg of the consequences of Facebook's spreading fake news, Zuckerberg blew off Obama; in fact, he told the president his warning was "crazy."
** Timothy Shenk of the New Republic: Political scientists Karen Orren & Stephen Skowronek argue that the Framers did not have in mind the kind of government that Barack Obama envisioned: one that "gets stuff done." "As Antonin Scalia observed with characteristic snark, the Constitution 'contains no whatever-it-takes-to-solve-a-national-problem power.'"
Beyond the Beltway
Alexia Campbell of Vox: "The head of Puerto Rico's public utility company [Ricardo Ramos], PREPA, resigned Friday afternoon following a series of blunders in the effort to restore Puerto Rico's power grid.... As of Friday, less than half of the island had power.... The ongoing lack of power is the central factor in the $20 billion to $40 billion in economic losses the island has sustained since the storm.... Chief among PREPA's gaffes is the $300 million contract it signed with Whitefish Energy, a tiny Montana company that was hardly equipped to rebuild Puerto Rico's fragile power grid.... A House committee released the results of its investigation [of the contract] on Monday, and the conclusions were harsh. PREPA was 'inept' and 'dysfunctional.'... The Whitefish deal seriously damaged the credibility of Puerto Rico's government in the eyes of Congress and the American public." --safari
Way Beyond
Jeffrey Moyo of the New York Times: "Robert Mugabe, 93, who ruled Zimbabwe with an iron grip until the military placed him under house arrest last week, stunned the nation on Sunday night by refusing to say whether he would resign. Many political observers and fellow Zimbabweans had been expecting Mr. Mugabe to step down as president after nearly 40 years in power. But the embattled president gave a 20-minute televised speech that acknowledged problems in the nation -- and he vowed to soldier on."...
... Sly Bob. Jason Burke & Emma Graham-Harrison of the Guardian: "Zimbabwe's powerful war veterans have claimed that Robert Mugabe swapped speeches to avoid resigning during a televised address to the nation on Sunday night, as they repeated their call for him to go.... His rambling address on Sunday offered no substantial concessions to his critics, the tens of thousands who have marched calling for his resignation, or the army commanders who led the military takeover last week.... Amid the continuing confusion, CNN reported on Monday that Mugabe has agreed to stand down and has drafted a resignation letter, citing a source familiar with his negotiations with the military. Under the terms of the deal, Mugabe and his wife, Grace, would be granted full immunity, CNN said." --safari
Philip Oltermann of the Guardian: "Exploratory talks to form Germany's next coalition government collapsed shortly before midnight on Sunday when the pro-business Free Democratic Party (FDP) walked out of marathon negotiations.... [T]he four parties involved missed several self-prescribed deadlines to resolve differences on migration and energy policy.... The euro slid in Asian trade overnight thanks to the uncertainty in Europe's powerhouse nation." --safari
Gated Countries. Rupert Neate of the Guardian: "Construction has begun on a $2bn (£1.5bn) scheme to reclaim land from the sea around Monaco so that more luxury apartments can be built for the thousands of extra millionaires expected to move to the principality in the next 10 years. Nearly 35 in every 100 Monaco residents are millionaires and more of the global super-rich want to join them. Around 2,700 more are expected to call Monaco home by 2026, according to research by estate agent Knight Frank, taking the total to 16,100 out of a total population of under 38,000." --safari
News Ledes
New York Times: "The Argentine Navy disclosed on Monday that the crew of a missing submarine had been ordered to return to its home port on Wednesday after reporting a battery failure. The revelation was the first official confirmation that the Navy had known since Wednesday -- when the submarine vanished -- that the vessel was contending with equipment malfunction and might have the lost the ability to propel itself.... A multinational effort is underway to try to locate the submarine and its 44-member crew, amid mystery about what happened to the vessel.... The disclosure about mechanical failure is likely to add to fears that the crew has been lost."
New York Times:"Della Reese, the husky-voiced singer and actress who spent almost a decade playing a down-to-earth heavenly messenger on the CBS series 'Touched by an Angel' and became an ordained minister in real life, died on Sunday night at her home in Encino, Calif. She was 86."
New York Times: "Charles Manson, one of the most notorious murderers of the 20th century..., died on Sunday in Kern County, Calif. He was 83 and had been behind bars for most of his life."