The Commentariat -- March 28, 2016
Afternoon Update:
How Do You Say "Keystone Kops" in Flemish? Andrew Higgins & Aurelien Breeden of the New York Times: "The Belgian authorities on Monday conceded another enormous blunder in their investigation into the attacks last week on Brussels. They freed a man they had charged with terrorism and murder, acknowledging that he had been mistakenly identified as a bomber in a dark hat and white coat in an airport surveillance photo. The man, who was arrested on Thursday and charged on Friday, was released after three days in custody, during which some officials publicly vilified him as a terrorist. On Monday, the police said that the real attacker remained at large and they issued a new plea to the public to help identify one of the men who blew up a departures area at Brussels Airport."
Margaret Hartmann explains Trump's threatened to sue, well, somebody in Louisiana: "Donald Trump has been facing many unfair challenges in his quest for the GOP presidential nomination, from Establishment plots to derail his candidacy to shadowy forces that set the delegate requirement at the 'arbitrary number' of 1,237 (also known as math). Now the front-runner has vowed to fight back, after being cruelly robbed of ten delegates thanks to Louisiana's primary rules.... Of course, a winner like Trump has no use for that kind of logic. Everyone knows America's primary process isn't great, and threatening frivolous lawsuits is Trump's preferred method of fixing things."
Charles Pierce makes mincemeat of Nicholas Kristof. I couldn't agree more. I realize Kristof was off in Afghanistan or somewhere when several decades ago I was reading -- in MSM, BTW, not in the Daily Worker -- about the grotesque income disparity that was growing in the U.S. Now to pretend, as Kristof does, that no one in the MSM was fact-checking Trump or challenging his trumped-up Trumpisms is a de facto admission that one is not even reading the NYT editorial pages, much less most of the other mainstream outlets.
Jack Holmes of Esquire: Secretary of John Kerry says leaders of other countries are "shocked" by the American "circus of campaigning" wherein certain unnamed presidential candidates are talking "about banning Muslim immigrants..., surveilling Muslim neighborhoods and also water-boarding."k
Krugman has more on trade deficits in a blogpost.
*****
CW: If, like me, you are a bit hazy on the fundamentals of international trade, Irwin & Krugman are mighty helpful. I think I'd start with Irwin (I did, only because the Times published it earlier), because he's willing to write in terms that even Trump could understand -- if Trump ever heeded the advice of anyone other than himself. But, as he says, he doesn't.
** "Cutting the Trade Deficit Won't Make America Great Again." Neil Irwin of the New York Times explains macroeconomics to Donald (& Bernie): "Trade deficits are not inherently good or bad; they can be either, depending on circumstances. The trade deficit is not a scorecard.... In fact, trying to eliminate the trade deficit could mean giving up some of the key levers of power that allow the United States to get its way in international politics.... The choice is stark: A country running a trade surplus must either let its currency rise or let money flow back to its trading partners.... Money flowing into a country [-- the country with the trade deficit --] is usually considered a good thing.... Part of what makes the United States powerful is the great importance of the dollar to global finance. And part of the price the United States pays for that status is a stronger currency and higher trade deficits than would be the case otherwise." ...
... CW: In fairness to Bernie, I think he's more interested in what's in the trade agreements & how the deals will affect American workers, not in the size of the trade deficits they may maintain or increase. As Krugman explained a while back, modern "trade agreements" are mostly about intellectual property rights & international dispute settlements. ...
... Paul Krugman: "... the Democratic nominee won't have to engage in saber-rattling over trade. She ... will, rightly, express skepticism about future trade deals, but she will be able to address the problems of working families without engaging in irresponsible trash talk about the world trade system. The Republican nominee won't.... If you're generally a supporter of open world markets -- which you should be, mainly because market access is so important to poor countries -- you need to know that whatever they may say, politicians who espouse rigid free-market ideology are not on your side." ...
... Jack Mahoney has an excellent comment on Krugman's column, but I don't know how to isolate it, so you'll have to hunt it down.
... CW: All that aside, the most jarring thing for me in Krugman's piece is his lede: "There's a lot of things about the 2016 election that nobody saw coming...." There is? I would have said "there are," even though I acknowledge "a lot" is singular as a stand-alone term. So I went to grammarly, where I got an answer that made me feel better (link fixed).
"Interesting Times." Nicholas Confessore of the New York Times: "As the Republican Party collapses on itself, conservative leaders struggling to explain Mr. Trump's appeal have largely seized on his unique qualities as a candidate.... But the story is also one of a party elite that abandoned its most faithful voters, blue-collar white Americans, who faced economic pain and uncertainty over the past decade as the party's donors, lawmakers and lobbyists prospered.... While wages declined and workers grew anxious about retirement, Republicans offered an economic program still centered on tax cuts for the affluent and the curtailing of popular entitlements [CW: Grrrr!] like Medicare and Social Security." CW: Quite a good autopsy of the Republican party, even though Confessore doesn't explain why Trump's positions on immigration & trade are, among other things, stoopid. (See also Nate Cohn's post, linked below.)
... CW: To me, the most challenging job for Democrats is to explain why those policies are stoopid. I don't think the presidential candidates, much less most down-ballot candidates, are up to it. For one thing, it can't be done in sound bytes. When they try, as Clinton did in Ohio, they bungle it. This is the quote that stuck: "We're going to put a lot of coal companies and coal miners out of business." Her overall message was excellent. As Tim McDonnell of Mother Jones wrote, "That comment was immediately preceded by a promise to invest in the clean-energy economy in those places, and immediately followed by a pledge to 'make it clear that we don't want to forget those people.'" Besides, those coal miners would be much better off making solar panels in a nice, clean, well-lit factory than working underground in unsafe mines. ...
... Greg Sargent: "There is a lot of talk about how Ryan and Trump now represent warring opposites inside the GOP, and that's true. But if anything, what this polarity really illustrates is the paralysis of GOP elites in the face of Trumpism's appeal. Not even clever Luntzian messaging may be able to bail them out this time. Trump is peddling a scam, but at least it's a new scam."
E. J. Dionne: "In November, one of the most contentious campaigns in our history could end in a catastrophe for our democracy. A major culprit would be the U.S. Supreme Court, and specifically the conservative majority that gutted the Voting Rights Act in 2013.... Before the Supreme Court undermined Voting Rights Act enforcement, radical changes in voting practices such as Maricopa's drastic cut in the number of polling places [in heavily minority/Democratic-leaning areas only] would have been required to be cleared with the Justice Department.... Arizona has shown us what could happen. We have seven months to prevent what really could be an electoral cataclysm." Thanks, Supremes!
Nick Gass of Politico: Fidel "Castro ripped into [President Obama] ... in El Granma, the official state newspaper of the Cuban Communist Party, bringing up Obama's relative youth, the failed Bay of Pigs invasion in 1961 and the role of both countries in ending the apartheid in South Africa and elsewhere...." When he was in Cuba, Obama did not meet with Fidel.
Presidential Race
Del Wilber of the Los Angeles Times: "Federal prosecutors investigating the possible mishandling of classified materials on Hillary Clinton's private email server have begun the process of setting up formal interviews with some of her longtime and closest aides, according to two people familiar with the probe, an indication that the inquiry is moving into its final phases. Those interviews and the final review of the case, however, could still take many weeks, all but guaranteeing that the investigation will continue to dog Clinton's presidential campaign through most, if not all, of the remaining presidential primaries." ...
I Want My Blackberry!... Hubris of the Luddite. Robert O'Harrow of the Washington Post: "Hillary Clinton's email problems began in her first days as secretary of state. She insisted on using her personal BlackBerry for all her email communications, but she wasn't allowed to take the device into her seventh-floor suite of offices, a secure space known as Mahogany Row.... From the earliest days, Clinton aides and senior officials focused intently on accommodating the secretary's desire to use her private email account.... Throughout, they paid insufficient attention to laws and regulations governing the handling of classified material and the preservation of government records, interviews and documents show. They also neglected repeated warnings about the security of the BlackBerry while Clinton and her closest aides took obvious security risks in using the basement server [in the Clinton home in Chappaqua, N.Y]." ...
... CW: There are reasons for governmental rules & protocols. While sometimes those reasons are questionable or have become outdated, in this case they appear to have been well-justified. Clinton used her position as top dog to break those rules, & it has come back to haunt her in a way that could devastate the country if she loses the general election to Donald Trump because of her obstinacy. grandeur & unwillingness to adapt to the requirements of her job. Yesterday, I mentioned at a dinner party that Hillary had shortcomings, & the first thing one Democrat said was, "Yeah, the emails." Be assured she would pull similar dumb moves when everybody was calling her "Madame President." (Needless to say, President Trump would be many times worse than she in this regard.)
Patrick Healy of the New York Times: "Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont challenged Hillary Clinton on Sunday to a debate in New York before the state's primary on April 19 and expressed concern that Mrs. Clinton might not debate him now that she is far ahead in the race to win the Democratic nomination." ...
... Yamiche Alcindor of the New York Times on covering Bernie: "Unlike our colleagues, especially those who cover Hillary Clinton, we in the Sanders press corps rarely lack access to the candidate."
I'll sue your ass if you're mean to me!Wilborn Nobles of the New Orleans Times-Picayune: "Donald Trump threatened on Sunday (March 27) to file a lawsuit over the number of convention delegates he's being awarded in Louisiana following the state's presidential primary. In a tweet, he said he won the state but will 'get less delegates than Cruz-Lawsuit coming.' The Wall Street Journal, however, reported that Cruz might ultimately get 'as many as 10 more delegates' from Louisiana than Trump.... [Trump garnered the most votes in Louisiana's Republican presidential primary ... with 41.4 percent of the vote, beating Sen. Ted Cruz, who received 37.8 percent.... While they each earned 18 delegates on election night, the five delegates previously awarded to Marco Rubio are now up for grabs -- and the Wall Street Journal said they're expected to back Cruz. In addition, the state has five other delegates who are free to back whichever candidate they want, and are also more likely to support Cruz." ...
... @danpfeiffer replies: "He should sue his own campaign for not knowing some of the basics of delegate rules" Via Politico. CW: Dan Pfeiffer was President Obama's chief communications guy.
Nicki Rossoll & Jessica Harper of ABC News: "Republican presidential frontrunner Donald Trump blamed rival Ted Cruz for starting a spat leading up to a report in the National Enquirer claiming 'political operatives' are looking into rumors that the Texas senator had multiple marital infidelities.... 'I had nothing to do with it. The campaign had absolutely nothing to do with it,' Trump told ABC's Jonathan Karl on 'This Week' Sunday.... In an appearance on Fox News, Cruz said he doesn't believe that Trump had no involvement in the story's publication.... The National Enquirer allegations have not been confirmed by ABC News."
Amy Davidson of the New Yorker: "There are clear stylistic differences between Trump, who tends to call anyone who disagrees with him stupid, weak, or disgusting, and Cruz, who, with a pitying smile, questions dissenters' motives, decency, and patriotism.... The party that talks loudest about American exceptionalism has given us a cast of characters that would be perfectly unexceptional in any backwater oligarchy. What the G.O.P. offers is a choice between two kinds of demagogues: one who insinuates and one who shouts."
Nobody Likes Him, Everybody Hates Him, Guess They'll Endorse Him if They Must. Jonathan Martin & Matt Flegenheimer of the New York Times: "As [Ted] Cruz seeks to unite the disparate factions of the Republican Party that are bonded only by their dead-set opposition to Donald J. Trump, a high-wire act is required: welcoming the top ranks of the same establishment he has spent years excoriating while not abandoning the hard-line conservatives who like him in part because of his attacks on party leaders."
Nate Cohn of the New York Times: "... this year, blue-state Republicans have abandoned the establishment for Donald J. Trump. So far, Mr. Trump has won every non-caucus contest in a state carried by Barack Obama in 2012, with the exception of John Kasich's home state, Ohio.... Mr. Trump's blue-state appeal is a little hard to explain. It's well established that he fares best among less educated voters. Yet his strongest performance ... [was] in Massachusetts, a famously liberal state, where he won 49 percent of Republican voters. His appeal in historically Democratic areas is a reflection of strength among new Republicans -- whether they be white Southerners or white Roman Catholics and working-class voters in the North.... There is evidence both anecdotal and statistical that racism was another factor in the shift of some of these voters to the Republican Party." ...
... CW: Is this a fair statement? Ninety-nine & 44/100ths percent of people who vote for Donald Trump are pure racists.
Marco's Secret Slush Fund. Shane Goldmacher of Politico: "Marco Rubio's campaign is dead. His secret-money legacy lives on. No presidential candidate fighting for their party's nomination has ever benefited from as much undisclosed cash, and watchdogs worry the pro-Rubio group's unchecked activity serves as a dangerous precedent that will soon become common practice. 'It is now the model for a how a candidate can inject unlimited, secret, corrupting money into their campaigns to benefit their election,' said Fred Wertheimer, president of Democracy 21, a campaign watchdog group. 'That is precisely the kind of model that we do not need in America.'"CW: Thanks, Supremes!
Driftglass on the No-Labels cult of both-siderism. Wait till you get to the part that inspired today's rant. CW: And a reminder of why Al Gore lost the presidential race, one which has nothing to do with Ralph Nader. No, one cannot blame Nader for Joe Lieberman; Gore did that all by himself.
Beyond the Beltway
WOW! Greg Bluestein of the Atlantia Journal-Constitution: "Gov. Nathan Deal on Monday vetoed the 'religious liberty' bill that triggered a wave of criticism from gay rights groups and business leaders and presented him with one of the most consequential challenges he's faced since his election to Georgia's top office. In a press conference at the state Capitol, Deal said House Bill 757 doesn't reflect Georgia's welcoming image as a state full of 'warm, friendly and loving people' -- and warned critics that he doesn't respond well to threats of payback for rejecting the measure.... A steady stream of corporate titans ... urged him to veto the bill -- and threatened to pull investments from Georgia if it became law."
Christians Gone Wild. David Edwards of the Raw Story: "An Easter egg hunt hosted by Pez [in Orange, Connecticut,] turned into a shoving match on Saturday when greedy parents 'rushed the field' and allegedly left some children hurt.... General Manager Shawn Peterson insisted that Pez staff tried to enforce the starting times, but said that the parents were 'kind of like locusts.'" CW: Luckily, the Secret Service will be around for today's Easter egg roll at the White House.
Jesus said, "Let the little children come to me, and do not hinder them, for the kingdom of heaven belongs to such as these." -- Matthew 19:13, New International Version
Jesus said, "Let the little children fend for themselves, and stay out of our way or we shall deck them, for the kingdom of heaven belongs to such as these, but the earth belongs to the strongest among us." -- Matthew 19:13, New Connecticut Version
Way Beyond
Salman Masood of the New York Times: "A powerful blast ripped through a public park in the eastern Pakistani city of Lahore on Sunday evening, killing at least 69 people and wounding around 300, including many children, rescue workers and officials said. The blast, which appeared to be caused by a suicide bomber, occurred in a parking lot at Gulshan-e-Iqbal Park, one of the largest parks in Lahore, said Haider Ashraf, a senior police official in Lahore." ...
... Shashank Bengali of the Los Angeles Times: "A splinter group of the Pakistani Taliban claimed responsibility for the blast, which it said was aimed at Christians celebrating the Easter holiday. Pakistan, an overwhelmingly Muslim nation, has a small Christian minority. Officials said they had not confirmed if Christians were the target." ...
... Shaiq Hussain & Erin Cunningham of the Washington Post: "The death toll in a devastating suicide attack on picnicking families in the city of Lahore rose to 72, with another 230 injured, local media reports said Monday, as Pakistani authorities vowed to hunt down the Islamist militant bombers who claimed they specifically targeted Christians on Easter Sunday."
Steven Mufson of the Washington Post: The Belgian prison system "has become a breeding ground for violent Muslim extremists. Many of those involved in the Paris and Brussels attacks first did short stints behind bars for relatively petty crimes. And there these wayward young people met proselytizers and appear to have acquired a new, lethal sense of purpose.... For the past year, Belgium's Ministry of Justice has been planning to change a prison system widely seen as a school for radicals."
News Lede
AP: "After Syrian government forces recaptured Palmyra from the Islamic State group, Syrian antiquities experts said Monday they were deeply shocked by the destruction the extremists had carried out inside the town museum, with scores of priceless relics and statues demolished."