All Our Presidents Are Losers
As noted in today's Commentariat, Peter Beinert thinks he has picked a winner for the Republican presidential nomination: "Don't laugh, Beinert writes in the Atlantic, "Rand Paul is the 2016 Republican frontrunner.... He has built-in advantages in Iowa and New Hampshire, a party moving in his direction, and formidable fundraising potential."
I suppose Paul could win the GOP nomination, but he will not be the next President of the United States. Here's why:
At the 1952 Democratic convention, John F. Kennedy lost to Estes Kefauver in balloting for the vice-presidential nomination.
Lyndon Johnson lost three elections. In 1941 he ran for a special election for the U.S. Senate & lost to Texas Gov. Pappy O'Daniel. “Landslide Lyndon” ran for the Senate again in 1948, and though he lost at the ballot box, he “won” through voter fraud. At the 1960 Democratic convention, Johnson lost the presidential nomination to Kennedy on the first ballot.
Richard Nixon of course lost the presidency to Kennedy that year, and lost the governorship of California to incumbent Pat Brown (Jerry's father) two years later.
Jerry Ford never lost an election before he became president, but he also was never elected president. Nixon had appointed him vice president to replace Spiro Agnew, who resigned after pleading no-contest to criminal charges. When Ford did run for president, he lost.
Jimmy Carter came in third in a primary race for governor of Georgia in 1966.
Ronald Reagan lost in his bid for the Republican presidential nomination in 1976.
George Bush I ran for the U.S. Senate in 1964 & lost in the general election. He lost to Democrat Lloyd Bentsen in another Senate bid in 1970. He lost a presidential primary bid to Reagan in 1980.
Bill Clinton lost a Congressional bid in 1974. After being elected governor of Arkansas in 1978, he lost a re-election bid in 1980.
George W. Bush lost a Congressional race in 1978.
Barack Obama lost a Congressional primary race (by a margin of two to one!) in 2000.
Rand Paul has never lost an election.


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Reader Comments (5)
Frank Rich: "As I’ve said before — and before Christie’s fall — the front-runner for that nomination, at this early date at least, is Rand Paul." The 'Centrist' Republicans fall....
There's more on O'Donnell, too at: http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2014/01/mcdonnell-and-christie-rise-and-fall-together.html
Marie,
Wow. Great review of presidential candidates.
I welcome Li'l Randy as the GOP nominee. Unless the Democrats pass over Hillary for Jeremiah Wright, that election would be a referendum on Teabagging in the 21st Century. It probably wouldn't put a stake in their hearts (they have none), but it would give everyone a chance to see exactly how small their real power base is and might be enough to pull the party back into the orbit of reason. No one could say, if he lost, that he wasn't the guy the "real conservatives" wanted.
There would be plenty of Romney and Rove Republicans who would hold their nose and vote for the little shit but I believe (at least I hope) that independents would run the other way. He may get a boost from Daddy's libertarian followers, but I'm guessing that Randy is too fragile for the rough and tumble of what will be a year long election run. As Charlie Pierce likes to say, there's a five minute rule in effect for both Pauls and there are beaucoup opportunities over the course of a year to say stupid things. Just look at the Rat. And he wasn't nearly as crazy or extreme as Li'l Randy.
So bring it on.
Hillary is sittin' pretty. Does she have the wisdom to not sell-out the masses to the corporate 1%?
@citizen625: I haven't seen much evidence she does. And as we well know, Mister Hillary was and is a master sell-out artiste.
Marie
Re: The betting line; I would not rule out a Rand win in 2016; let's see what transpires in the next couple of years. Young people are a fickle bunch in my opinion and the "urge to get yours" might entice more than one young voter to pull the voting handle of self-interest.