The Ledes

Thursday, July 3, 2025

CNBC: “Job growth proved better than expected in June, as the labor market showed surprising resilience and likely taking a July interest rate cut off the table. Nonfarm payrolls increased a seasonally adjusted 147,000 for the month, higher than the estimate for 110,000 and just above the upwardly revised 144,000 in May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday. April’s tally also saw a small upward revision, now at 158,000 following an 11,000 increase.... Though the jobless rates fell [to 4.1%], it was due largely to a decrease in those working or looking for jobs.”

Washington Post: “A warehouse storing fireworks in Northern California exploded on Tuesday, leaving seven people missing and two injured as explosions continued into Wednesday evening, officials said. Dramatic video footage captured by KCRA 3 News, a Sacramento broadcaster, showed smoke pouring from the building’s roof before a massive explosion created a fireball that seemed to engulf much of the warehouse, accompanied by an echoing boom. Hundreds of fireworks appeared to be going off and were sparkling within the smoke. Photos of the aftermath showed multiple destroyed buildings and a large area covered in gray ash.” ~~~

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The Ledes

Wednesday, July 2, 2025

New York Times: “The Rev. Jimmy Swaggart, who emerged from the backwoods of Louisiana to become a television evangelist with global reach, preaching about an eternal struggle between good and evil and warning of the temptations of the flesh, a theme that played out in his own life in a sex scandal, died on July 1. He was 90.” ~~~

     ~~~ For another sort of obituary, see Akhilleus' commentary near the end of yesterday's thread.

Help!

To keep the Conversation going, please help me by linking news articles, opinion pieces and other political content in today's Comments section.

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Thank you to everyone who has been contributing links to articles & other content in the Comments section of each day's "Conversation." If you're missing the comments, you're missing some vital links.

INAUGURATION 2029

Commencement ceremonies are joyous occasions, and Steve Carell made sure that was true this past weekend (mid-June) at Northwestern's commencement:

~~~ Carell's entire commencement speech was hilarious. The audio and video here isn't great, but I laughed till I cried.

CNN did a live telecast Saturday night (June 7) of the Broadway play "Good Night, and Good Luck," written by George Clooney and Grant Heslov, about legendary newsman Edward R. Murrow's effort to hold to account Sen. Joe McCarthy, "the junior senator from Wisconsin." Clooney plays Murrow. Here's Murrow himself with his famous take on McCarthy & McCarthyism, brief remarks that especially resonate today: ~~~

     ~~~ This article lists ways you still can watch the play. 

New York Times: “The New York Times Company has agreed to license its editorial content to Amazon for use in the tech giant’s artificial intelligence platforms, the company said on Thursday. The multiyear agreement 'will bring Times editorial content to a variety of Amazon customer experiences,' the news organization said in a statement. Besides news articles, the agreement encompasses material from NYT Cooking, The Times’s food and recipe site, and The Athletic, which focuses on sports. This is The Times’s first licensing arrangement with a focus on generative A.I. technology. In 2023, The Times sued OpenAI and its partner, Microsoft, for copyright infringement, accusing the tech companies of using millions of articles published by The Times to train automated chatbots without any kind of compensation. OpenAI and Microsoft have rejected those accusations.” ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: I have no idea what this means for "the Amazon customer experience." Does it mean that if I don't have a NYT subscription but do have Amazon Prime I can read NYT content? And where, exactly, would I find that content? I don't know. I don't know.

Washington Post reporters asked three AI image generators what a beautiful woman looks like. "The Post found that they steer users toward a startlingly narrow vision of attractiveness. Prompted to show a 'beautiful woman,' all three tools generated thin women, without exception.... Her body looks like Barbie — slim hips, impossible waist, round breasts.... Just 2 percent of the images showed visible signs of aging. More than a third of the images had medium skin tones. But only nine percent had dark skin tones. Asked to show 'normal women,' the tools produced images that remained overwhelmingly thin.... However bias originates, The Post’s analysis found that popular image tools struggle to render realistic images of women outside the Western ideal." ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: The reporters seem to think they are calling out the AI programs for being unrealistic. But there's a lot about the "beautiful women" images they miss. I find these omissions remarkably sexist. For one thing, the reporters seem to think AI is a magical "thing" that self-generates. It isn't. It's programmed. It's programmed by boys, many of them incels who have little or no experience or insights beyond comic books and Internet porn of how to gauge female "beauty." As a result, the AI-generated women look like cartoons; that is, a lot like an air-brushed photo of Kristi Noem: globs of every kind of dark eye makeup, Scandinavian nose, Botox lips, slathered-on skin concealer/toner/etc. makeup, long dark hair and the aforementioned impossible Barbie body shape, including huge, round plastic breasts. 

New York Times: “George Clooney’s Broadway debut, 'Good Night, and Good Luck,' has been one of the sensations of the 2024-25 theater season, breaking box office records and drawing packed houses of audiences eager to see the popular movie star in a timely drama about the importance of an independent press. Now the play will become much more widely available: CNN is planning a live broadcast of the penultimate performance, on June 7 at 7 p.m. Eastern. The performance will be preceded and followed by coverage of, and discussion about, the show and the state of journalism.”

No free man shall be seized or imprisoned, or stripped of his rights or possessions, or outlawed or exiled, or deprived of his standing in any other way, nor will we proceed with force against him, or send others to do so, except by the lawful judgment of his equals or by the law of the land. -- Magna Carta ~~~

~~~ New York Times: “Bought for $27.50 after World War II, the faint, water stained manuscript in the library of Harvard Law School had attracted relatively little attention since it arrived there in 1946. That is about to change. Two British academics, one of whom happened on the manuscript by chance, have discovered that it is an original 1300 version — not a copy, as long thought — of Magna Carta, the medieval document that helped establish some of the world’s most cherished liberties. It is one of just seven such documents from that date still in existence.... A 710-year-old version of Magna Carta was sold in 2007 for $21.3 million.... First issued in 1215, it put into writing a set of concessions won by rebellious barons from a recalcitrant King John of England — or Bad King John, as he became known in folklore. He later revoked the charter, but his son, Henry III, issued amended versions, the last one in 1225, and Henry’s son, Edward I, in turn confirmed the 1225 version in 1297 and again in 1300.”

NPR lists all of the 2025 Pulitzer Prize winners. Poynter lists the prizes awarded in journalism as well as the finalists in these categories.

 

Contact Marie

Email Marie at constantweader@gmail.com

Constant Comments

Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts.

Success is not final, failure is not fatal; it is the courage to continue that counts. — Anonymous

A nation of sheep will beget a government of wolvesEdward R. Murrow

Publisher & Editor: Marie Burns

I have a Bluesky account now. The URL is https://bsky.app/profile/marie-burns.bsky.social . When Reality Chex goes down, check my Bluesky page for whatever info I am able to report on the status of Reality Chex. If you can't access the URL, I found that I could Google Bluesky and ask for Marie Burns. Google will include links to accounts for people whose names are, at least in part, Maria Burns, so you'll have to tell Google you looking only for Marie.

Friday
Jan112013

The Commentariat -- Jan. 12, 2013

The President's Weekly Address:

     ... The transcript is here.

Greg Sargent: "In a move that will significantly ratchet up the brinksmanship around the debt ceiling, the four members of the Senate Democratic leadership are privately telling the White House that they will give Obama full support if he opts for a unilateral solution to the debt ceiling crisis, a senior Senate Democratic leadership aide tells me. The four Democratic leaders -- Senators Harry Reid, Chuck Schumer, Dick Durbin and Patty Murray -- have privately reached agreement that continued GOP intransigence on the debt ceiling means the White House needs the space to pursue options for raising it that don't involve Congress...."

... Brett LoGiorato of Business Insider has a copy of the Democratic leaders' letter to the President. The Senators don't offer an opinion on what steps Obama should take but LoGiorato hears they prefer a 14th Amendment solution. ...

... Jed Lewison of Daily Kos: "Republicans, of course, believe the Senate Democratic letter is an outrage, but ... over here in the real world, the letter is nothing but common sense. In fact, it's so obvious that it's common sense that even though we have already reached the debt limit, nobody complained when the .. treasury secretary informed Congress he was taking extraordinary measures to avoid default.... President Obama has not become Hitler and he hasn't become Stalin.... He hasn't even become FDR.... This isn't what dictatorship looks like: this is what a president with a tea party Republican House looks like.... Extraordinary measures will give way to superextraordinary measures. But as long as it is legal, it's exactly what the president should and must do."

Harry Enten of the Guardian: "There is much discussion that acting by executive order would be seen as a 'totalitarian' action and provoke a backlash. Nonsense, so long as the order is supporting a measure the public favors." Enten points out that when Obama effected a modified "Dream Act" by executive order -- after years of Congressional failure to pass a bill -- public opinion, which has previously favored the central element of the bill, did not change. Ergo, he could do the same for gun regulations that already have majority public support. ...

... CW: what we're seeing in the President's "end runs around Congress" are attempts to put in place measures which the majority favors but which a minority in Congress has blocked. Obama's "totalitarian" moves more closely represent democratic principles than do Congress's continuing efforts to subvert the public will. I would argue that even his most unpopular achievement -- the Affordable Care Act, which of course did pass Congress but was/is unpopular -- is still closer to what the public wanted than the Big Fat Nothing that preceded it. The fact is that the public is pretty much against every Republican policy. ("Lower taxes" doesn't count.) Congressional Republicans are not just obstructing Obama & Democrats; they are obstructing the majority of the people. ...

... BUT Jessica Dye & Rachelle Younglai of Reuters: "The White House would be taking a risk if it tries to make a constitutional end-run around Congress' authority to raise the debt ceiling, legal experts said." CW: The story concentrates on the 14th Amendment argument. It doesn't mention the President's obligation to pay bills incurred under Congressional spending acts & authorizations. The potential failure here is not the President's but the Congress's. In view of the consequences of the failure to ensure the full faith & credit of the U.S., the President should honor the laws that authorized the spending, not the petulance of irresponsible hostage-takers who would stiff U.S. creditors.

Michael Cooper of the New York Times: "As Washington focuses on what Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. will propose next week to curb gun violence, gun and ammunition sales are spiking in the rest of the country as people rush to expand their arsenals in advance of any restrictions that might be imposed." ...

     ... CW: this means the country is overrun with paranoid nuts & conspiracy theorists and/or gangsters. No normal, law-abiding person who thought he might need a new hunting rifle one of these days would rush out & buy it now in fear that Joe Biden was going to shut down gun & ammo sales. ...

... Dick Cavett: "One of the worst things said in the awful succeeding days ... came, surprisingly, straight from the White House. I was appalled to see the president ruin a movingly delivered statement about the shooting of the kids by closing with, 'God has called them all home.' Talk about not blaming the shooter. So it was God who did it. It's not hard to imagine a kid hearing the president's words and asking, 'Mommy, is God going to call me home?'" Read the whole column; Cavett covers a lot of ground.

... Alex Seitz-Wald of Salon: sorry, Drudge, Hitler did not collect everybody's gun; rather, he liberalized the Weimar Republic's strict gun laws. Thanks to contributor Barbarossa for the link. ...

... David Edwards of Raw Story: James Yeager, "the CEO of a Tennessee company that specializes [in] weapons and tactical training, is threatening to 'start killing people' if President Barack Obama moves forward with gun control measures." CW: somebody explain to me, please, why the feds have not arrested this guy for assault, inciting violence & treason (and whatever else), jailed him & confiscated his firearms & ammo. There is something wrong with a government which considers this "free speech." ...

... Okay, a tiny step in the right direction. Newschannel 5, Nashville: "Tennessee Department of Safety and Homeland Security has suspended the handgun carry permit of a local man who threatened to 'start killing people' to protect his Second Amendment right. In a statement released Friday officials said they had suspended the handgun carry permit of James Yeager, CEO of Tactical Response based on 'material likelihood of risk of harm to the public'."

Dorothy Wickenden of the New Yorker speaks with Steve Coll & Jane Mayer to discuss President Obama's national security nominations — John Kerry, Chuck Hagel & John Brennan:

... Ray McGovern in Common Dreams: "... there is at least a hope that Brennan's confirmation hearing might provide an opening for the Senate Intelligence Committee to force out the secret legal justifications and the operational procedures for the lethal drone program that has expanded under Obama.... Former CIA colleagues who served with Brennan before and during the war with Iraq assert that there is absolutely no possibility that Brennan could have been unaware of the deliberate corruption of intelligence analysis." Read the whole column. Thanks to Kate Madison for the link. ...

... Amy Davidson of the New Yorker: "... the last time [Brennan']s name came up for the job [of CIA director], after Obama won in 2008, he didn't get it because he seemed so close to the torture program perpetrated while he was a senior official at the C.I.A. If he has greater distance now, it is only because more time has passed, not because there has been any true accounting; if anything, we have slid into an odd state of complacency about the torture in the Bush years, watching it in movies and wondering whether it worked, rather than asking who might be culpable." ...

... Joshua Keating of Foreign Policy read up on Brennan and shares what he learned. A long, informative read.

Jonathan Weisman of the New York Times: "Senator John D. Rockefeller IV of West Virginia, the scion of the Rockefeller family who established himself as a liberal voice in Congress, said on Friday that he would retire in 2014 at the completion of his fifth term in the Senate." ...

Right Wing World

** ... Never mind 2014. Let's move along. Charles Pierce: "The people who worship at the crypt of David Broder now meditate deeply on the possibility that [New Jersey Gov. Chris] Christie, a career bully, may be the guy who ends this terrible era of 'partisanship' and 'divisiveness' -- for which, of course, the blame must always be placed on Both Sides, and not on the fact that one of our political parties is demented."

For those of you who cannot believe anyone would really say what Doctor/Congressman Phil Gingrey said about rape -- story linked in yesterday's Commentariat -- Steve Benen has the audio tape:

Meanwhile, Kate Madison's former ward, little Kenny Cuccinelli, now the Virginia AG, has taken a bold stand in favor of (other people's) civil disobedience. Alexander Burns of Politico: "Virginia Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, the presumptive GOP gubernatorial nominee and a rising national figure on the right, told an Iowa-based radio show Wednesday night that opponents of a federal mandate for contraception coverage should be willing to 'go to jail' to fight the law." Kenny, a Roman Catholic, told his bishop he should go to jail to fight contraception access. Kenny didn't suggest he'd join the bishop. He's the attorney general, for Pete's sake!

Charles Pierce: as "the nation's courtier press already is desperate for a Republican candidate in 2016 who boldly will seem to seize the banner of Not Insane, they eventually will cast their eyes southward again to 'Bobby' [Jindal] who, we are relentlessly told, represents some sort of 'moderate' form of Republicanism," and who now is relentlessly pursuing the idea of shifting the tax burden of the Bayou State to its poorest residents. Jindal proposes to eliminate both state income & corporate taxes & shift to a hefty, regressive sales tax. That's what passes for "moderate" in Right Wing World. ...

... ** Ed Kilgore: "... just beneath the surface of a generation of anti-tax rhetoric has lurked a powerful desire to raise taxes on the non-wealthy in order to cut them for 'job creators.' It has been implicit for years in various 'flat tax' schemes or consumption tax 'reform' schemes, and of course in the ill-suppressed rage over the 'lucky ducky' working poor with no income tax liability.... Jindal's tax increase gambit should help put to rest the loose and easy talk we keep hearing about Republican governors offering their party a new and moderate face. Jindal is often touted in such talk, and between his tax 'ideas' and his cutting-edge school voucher program designed to shovel public dollars to conservative evangelical madrassas, his image as a pragmatic 'centrist' is becoming less credible each day."

Steve Benen: "Jim DeMint, taking the 'think' out of 'think tank." 

AND, if one reads closely, one might think former Alaska Half-Gov. Sarah Palin has been palling' around with terrorists. One of her possible terrorist pals is going to prison for 26 years for "plotting to stockpile illegal weapons and take violent action against the government."

AP: "More than 34,000 people have signed an online petition calling on the Obama administration to build the 'Star Wars' inspired super-weapon ['Death Star'] to spur job growth and bolster national defense. But in a posting Friday on the White House website, Paul Shawcross, an administration adviser on science and space, says a Death Star would cost too much to build -- an estimated $850 quadrillion -- at a time the White House is working to reduce the federal budget. Besides, Shawcross says, the Obama administration 'does not support blowing up planets.'" CW: I think $850 quadrillion looks like this: $850,000,000,000,000,000. Ill bet the GOP's national defense plan has room for at least some Death Star R&D -- say, one measly quadrillion.

News Ledes

ABC News: "House Speaker John Boehner has invited President Barack Obama to deliver the State of the Union speech on Feb. 12.... The White House says it has accepted the invitation."

Reuters: "New York Governor Andrew Cuomo declared a public health emergency on Saturday, giving pharmacists permission to administer flu vaccinations to more people as officials seek to stem the worst flu outbreak in that state in several years."

AP: "French airstrikes overnight in Mali drove back Islamist rebels from a key city and destroyed a militant command center, the French defense minister said Saturday, as West African nations authorized the immediate deployment of troops to the country. The al-Qaida-linked militants, who have carved out their own territory in the lawless desert region of northern Mali over the past nine months, recently pressed closer to a major base of the Malian army, dramatically raising the stakes in the battle for the vast West African nation." ...

... Reuters: "Niger will send 500 soldiers to join an international military campaign in Mali led by West African regional bloc ECOWAS to quash advances by Islamist rebels, Foreign Minister Mohamed Bazoum told Reuters on Saturday."

AP: "Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is convinced that a lone gunman wasn't solely responsible for the assassination of his uncle, President John F. Kennedy, and said his father believed the Warren Commission report was a 'shoddy piece of craftsmanship.'"

ABC News: "A former Army staff sergeant who helped repel one of the deadliest attacks against U.S. forces in Afghanistan will receive the Medal of Honor. Staff Sgt. Clinton Romesha, 31, becomes only the fourth living recipient of the nation's highest award for valor from the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan."

USA Today: "Lance Armstrong plans to make an admission about doping in an interview with Oprah Winfrey scheduled to tape Monday at his home in Austin, Texas, a person with knowledge of the situation said."

Thursday
Jan102013

The Commentariat -- Jan. 11, 2013

The New York Times eXaminer has several excellent columns up on WikiLeaks/Bradley Manning.

OMG. OB/GYN Phil Gingrey, who also happens to be a Congresscritter (R-Ga.), tells the Marietta Daily Journal that former Rep. Todd Akin (R-Mo.) was "partially right" about "legitimate rape" because women who are "tense and uptight" often cannot ovulate. (Gingrey does add a caveat: "a woman may have already ovulated 12 hours before she is raped, you're not going to prevent a pregnancy there ... because the horse has already left the barn, so to speak.") See, ladies, if you do get pregnant as the result of rape, there's a good chance you really wanted it. So it was consensual. And that makes you a slut.

"Mint That Coin!" Paul Krugman explains the debt ceiling & the trillion-dollar coin to shut-ins. ...

... Jamelle Bouie of the American Prospect sees the trillion-dollar-coin as a powerful negotiating tool. It tells Republicans that, ultimately, President Obama has all the leverage. He can ignore any & all of their demands, not just because he has the public (& the business community) on his side, but also because he always has the coin as a legal go-around. ...

... Hey, look -- Fox "News" is as stupid as Congress. Bet you're all surprised. Screenshot via Jed Lewison of Daily Kos:

... CW: Brian Beutler of TPM gets into a lot of tea-leaf-reading in this post on GOP debt-ceiling strategy, but his bottom line is what's important: "John Boehner will have a small margin for error. And if he misses, it will leave him more or less where he was after his fiscal cliff Plan B fell apart, and he'd be the one forced to choose between surrender and economic havoc." For all his bluster, Boehner knows that he cannot count on his caucus to go along with any deal that recognizes real-world exigencies. It isn't just back-stabbing backbenchers, either; Boehner's top two lieutenants & some committee heads voted against the tax-&-spending deal.

Julie Pace & Erica Werner of the AP: Vice President "Biden is scheduled to meet with video game representatives Friday as the White House explores cultural factors that may contribute to violent behavior." ...

... Michael Shear of the New York Times: "Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. will present President Obama with proposals for stemming gun violence by Tuesday, setting in motion legislative and executive actions that will encompass guns, ammunition, mental health services and violent images in popular culture.... Mr. Biden did not say whether he would recommend a renewal of the 1994 assault weapons ban, which expired in 2004. But he cited several other measures, including efforts to limit the availability of high-capacity magazines and the need for what he called 'near universal background checks' that would go beyond doing checks at gun shows." ...

It is unfortunate that this administration continues to insist on pushing failed solutions to our nation's most pressing problems. We will not allow law-abiding gun owners to be blamed for the acts of criminals and madmen. -- NRA statement, issued after its representatives met with the Vice President ...

... Reid Epstein of Politico: "President Barack Obama is trying an end run around the NRA -- rallying groups as varied as churches, medical organizations, retailers and the Rotary Club to build support for new gun regulations." ...

... Steve Holland of Reuters: "More than a hundred scientists from virtually every major U.S. university told Biden's task force in a letter that research restrictions pushed by the NRA have stopped the United States from finding solutions to gun violence. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has cut gun safety research by 96 percent since the mid-1990s, according to one estimate. Congress, pushed by the gun lobby, in 1996 put restrictions on CDC funding of gun research. Restrictions on other agencies were added in later years." ...

... Contributor Mushiba recommends this post by Joan Chittister of the National Catholic Reporter re: the Newtown massacre. Chittister is in error when she writes, "In the United States 88.8 people per 100 own a gun." I know this because I made the same mistake. That is the approximate rate of guns/population in the U.S., but the percentage of adults who live in households with guns is far less than that -- about 47 percent. That is, for a lot of gun owners, one is not enough. Nonetheless, Chittister punchline is beyond reproach, IMHO.

... Robbie Brown of the New York Times: Keith "Ratliff's passion for firearms made him something of a celebrity on the Internet, where he helped make scores of videos about high-powered and exotic guns and explosives. His YouTube channel, called FPSRussia, became the site's ninth largest, with nearly 3.5 million subscribers and more than 500 million views. But last week..., the police in northeast Georgia found him dead at his office on Jan. 3, shot once in the head. He was surrounded by several guns, but not the one that killed him. The Georgia Bureau of Investigation is treating it as a homicide." ...

Half of all mass killings in the United States have occurred since the assault weapons ban expired in 2005, half of all of them in the history of the country. -- Former President Bill Clinton, at the Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, Jan. 9 (CW: I linked a story on this yesterday)

... the available data shows that Clinton was way off-base in his assertion, making an exaggerated claim -- which his office would not even defend. -- Glenn Kessler of the Washington Post

** Banks. Always. Win. Jessica Silver-Greenberg: "Federal banking regulators are trumpeting an $8.5 billion settlement this week with 10 banks as quick justice for aggrieved homeowners, but the deal is actually a way to quietly paper over a deeply flawed review of foreclosed loans across America, according to current and former regulators and consultants."

Edward Wyatt of the New York Times: "Banks and other lenders will be prohibited from making home loans that offer deceptive teaser rates or require no documentation from borrowers, and will be required to take more steps to ensure that borrowers can repay.... The rules, being laid out by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and taking effect next January, will also set some limits on interest-only packages or negative-amortization loans, where the balance due grows over time." ...

... New York Times Editors: "... the rules ... include some features that could hurt lower-income borrowers." ...

... Peter Eavis of the New York Times: "As part of a fervent lobbying effort, banks warned repeatedly that strict regulations could crimp lending at a time when the housing market was just starting to get back on its feet. Regulators seemed to give some credence to that concern. Citing the 'fragile state' of the housing market, the bureau said it would allow new mortgages to meet more flexible standards for affordability during a phase-in period of up to seven years."

President Obama nominates Jack Lew to be Secretary of the Treasury (see also yesterday's Commentariat for some details:

... Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) won't be voting to confirm Jack Lew. He says why here. ...

... Paul Krugman will appear on Bill Moyers' PBS show this evening. Here's a preview in which he talks about the position of Treasury Secretary:

"Behold, the New Democratic Chutzpah." Dave Weigel makes that case that Republicans in both Houses finally may have jumped the shark. The latest over-the-top remarks come from Sen. Jeff Sessions (R-Ala.), the ranking member of the Budget Committee: "Jack Lew must never be secretary of the Treasury." Weigel says Sessions' statement boils down to this: "Barack Obama's nominee ... [has] a dangerous amount in common with Barack Obama." Ergo, Weigel writes, "Every time a Republican threatens an Obama nominee, their job gets easier." Weigel sees the same thing happening elsewhere: Jay Carney's refusal to rule out the trillion-dollar coin, Joe Biden's announcing the likelihood of executive action on gun regulation. CW: let's hope Weigel is right. ...

... Robert Reich: "... when the nation is jeopardized -- whether in danger of defaulting on its debts or succumbing to mass violence -- a president is justified in using his authority to the fullest. The mere threat of taking such actions ... could be useful in pending negotiations with congressional Republicans. They have not shied away from using whatever means available to them to get their way. The President should not be reluctant to play hardball, either."

Reed Abelson & Julie Creswell of the New York Times: "The conversion to electronic health records has failed so far to produce the hoped-for savings in health care costs and has had mixed results, at best, in improving efficiency and patient care, according to a new analysis by the influential RAND Corporation."

Kevin Drum on "runaway" Medicare costs: "First, our population is aging and we're going to pay for that. Deal with it. Second, Medicare is going to have some excess growth above that, and we should look for ways to get that under control. But that excess growth is fairly modest.... Healthcare is a problem. But it's not an insurmountable one.... Our future is not the budgetary nightmare that conservatives keep trying to make it out to be." With a chart to prove it. ...

... CW: pundits usually neglect to point out that there is an easy way to cover almost all of the additional costs of Medicare: hire more workers and pay workers more. The payroll tax is a percentage of income & the tax for Medicare has no cap. The more workers earn, the more they'll pay in. I am pretty sure that the main reason for the Medicare shortfall is income inequality.

New York Times Editors: "An authoritative report issued by the Institute of Medicine this week found that, on average, Americans experience higher rates of disease and injury and die sooner than people in other high-income countries. That is true at all ages between birth and 75 and for even well-off Americans who mistakenly think that top-tier medical care ensures that they will remain in good health.... Likely explanations include a large uninsured population and more limited access to primary care, two problems that should be mitigated by the health care reforms that will kick in next year; higher levels of poverty and income inequality in this country; weaker safety net programs; sedentary lifestyles and obesity; higher rates of drug abuse and traffic accidents that involve alcohol; and greater use of firearms in acts of violence." CW: and Republicans think "cutting entitlements" is a damned good idea.

Sarah Lyall of the New York Times: "... climate change is not just about rising temperatures, but also about intense, unpleasant, anomalous weather of all kinds." Lyall & her fellow reporters list a string of weather horrors. ...

... David Sirota has an excellent post in Salon titled "Your Weatherman Probably Denies Global Warming." Research shows that weather forecasters could educate millions of confused climate-change deniers; of course they won't be doing so if they're deniers themselves. Also, Sirota includes this fun figure, one I've been wanting to know: "... thanks to the U.S. Senate filibuster, lawmakers representing just 11 percent of the population can kill almost any national legislation." ...

... For all the good it will do, Gene Robinson has a reminder for fiscal conservatives/climate-change deniers: "... we're going to deal with climate change whether we like it or not. We're going to spend many billions of dollars over the coming years providing disaster relief in the wake of hurricanes and other destructive weather events. If we're a bit smarter, we'll spend even more to protect our coastal cities from storm surges of the kind that devastated parts of New York.... But if we were really smart, we'd be talking about how to mitigate the ultimate damage by weaning ourselves from coal, oil and other energy sources that produce carbon emissions."

Local News

Sydney Lupkin of ABC News: "Planned Parenthood will face a judge on Friday in Texas, trying to overturn a massive defunding of the family planning nonprofit in the state. They say they're not the only ones suffering. Women like Landon are left scrambling for new doctors, and even non-Planned Parenthood linics find themselves at a crossroads."

Jack Healy of the New York Times: "Nearly six months after a mass shooting in a Colorado movie theater..., and with last month's killings at Connecticut's Sandy Hook Elementary School..., Gov. John W. Hickenlooper of Colorado called Thursday for universal background checks on all gun sales in the state ... in his annual State of the State address.... Democrats, who now control both houses of Colorado's Legislature, rose to their feet and applauded the governor's proposal while Republicans sat silently.... Mr. Hickenlooper, however, stopped short of proposing a ban on assault weapons or outlawing high-capacity ammunition magazines, which are being pursued in New York."

Right Wing World

Ted Cox of DNAinfo Chicago: "Tea Party favorite Joe Walsh [who lost his bid for re-election] says conservatives are losing the 'war' for U.S. voters and encouraged his backers at a South Loop rally to engage in civil disobedience to defy the Affordable Care Act or new gun regulations. At his most aggressive, he told dozens of supporters to 'defy and or break the law and engage in civil disobedience' if faced with federal health care law restrictions or new gun laws." ...

... Scott Keyes of Think Progress: "Lawmakers in two states, Wisconsin and South Carolina, have proposed legislation to arrest any official caught trying to implement Obamacare. In South Carolina, the legislation proposed a possible five-year prison sentence for federal employees or contractors who attempt to enforce the law."

News Ledes

Presidents Obama & Karzai joint press conference:

... New York Times: "President Obama ... said Friday that beginning this spring American forces would play only a supporting role in Afghanistan, which opens the way for a more rapid withdrawal of the troops. Though Mr. Obama said he had not yet decided on specific troop levels for the rest of the year, he said the United States would accelerate the transition of security responsibilities to the Afghans, which had been set to occur at the middle of the year, because of gains by Afghan forces."

AP: "Charting the course for a war's end, President Barack Obama and Afghan President Hamid Karzai meet Friday at the White House to discuss the future of the U.S. role in Afghanistan and the 66,000 American troops in harm's way. The two leaders plan a joint afternoon news conference."

Washington Post: "The CIA has opened the year with a flurry of drone strikes in Pakistan, pounding Taliban targets along the country's tribal belt at a time when the Obama administration is preparing to disclose its plans for pulling most U.S. forces out of neighboring Afghanistan."

Washington Post: "The Pentagon will impose a freeze on hiring civilians, slash operating costs on military bases and take other immediate steps to trim spending in preparation for the possibility that Congress will fail to reach a deal to avert billions of dollars in additional cuts, defense officials said Thursday. Defense Secretary Leon E. Panetta said he ordered the cutbacks as a precautionary measure because he has grown pessimistic that Congress and the White House will reach agreement."

ABC News: "In a ruling that comes as little surprise, the judge overseeing the Aurora, Colo., theater massacre has ordered that there is enough evidence against James Holmes to proceed to a trial."

AP: "Islamic militants seeking to topple President Bashar Assad took full control of a strategic northwestern air base Friday in a significant blow to government forces, seizing helicopters, tanks and multiple rocket launchers, activists said. The Taftanaz air base in the northern Idlib province is considered the biggest field in the country's north for helicopters used to bomb rebel-held areas and deliver supplies to government troops."

New York Times: "British police and the country's leading children's charity drew a horrific picture on Friday of almost six decades of accusations of sexual abuse of children as young as eight by television host Jimmy Savile, and prosecutors admitted for the first time that they could have brought him to trial before his death but failed to do so." The Guardian story is here: "The report paints a stark picture emphasising the tragic consequences of when vulnerability and power collide. His offending footprint was vast, predatory and opportunistic." The Guardian lists key findings here. The pdf of the actual report is here.

New York Times: "Boeing's newest and most sophisticated jet, the 787 Dreamliner, suffered more mishaps on Friday, when All Nippon Airlines of Japan reported incidents involving planes on two domestic flights." ...

... AP: "The Federal Aviation Administration is undertaking a comprehensive review of the critical systems of Boeing's 787s, the aircraft maker's newest and most technologically advanced plane, after a fire and a fuel leak earlier this week, the agency said Friday."

New York Times: "Senior United States and Russian diplomats met on Friday with Lakhdar Brahimi, the United Nations and Arab League special envoy, to discuss possible mechanisms for ending the Syrian conflict but with little sign that an agreement was close."

Wednesday
Jan092013

The Commentariat -- Jan. 10, 2013

Steve Coll of the New Yorker: "... the statistical election-modeller Samuel Wang, of the Princeton Election Consortium, has argued that we are in an 'asymmetric' period of Republican manipulation of electoral maps. According to Wang's math, twenty-six seats out of the thirty-three-seat Republican advantage in the House can be attributed to gerrymandering in states with legislatures controlled by Republicans. He estimates that, in 2012, the number of American voters disenfranchised by this mapmaking ... was in the neighborhood of four million."

Gail Collins: "Forty years ago this month, the Supreme Court handed down the great abortion rights decision Roe v. Wade.... Every time the anti-abortion movement pushes too far, it reminds people that its cause, no matter how filled with moral fervor, is basically about imposing one particular theology on the rest of the country. Over the long run, the nervous, ambivalent, uncomfortable public won't let that happen." CW: I would argue, as did E. J. Graff is a column I linked the other day, that it is basically about a primitive purity culture, which holds that if women are going to have sex -- consensual or not -- they have to accept the consequences.

** Linda Greenhouse: Robert Bork was one crazy bastard. Or something like that. A very good read.

Kevin Freking of the AP: "The United States suffers far more violent deaths than any other wealthy nation, due in part to the widespread possession of firearms and the practice of storing them at home in a place that is often unlocked, according to a report released Wednesday by two of the nation's leading health research institutions. Gun violence is just one of many factors contributing to lower U.S. life expectancy...." ...

... Philip Rucker of the Washington Post: "The White House is working with its allies on a well-financed campaign in Washington and around the country to shift public opinion toward stricter gun laws and provide political cover to lawmakers who end up voting for an assault-weapons ban or other restrictions on firearms." ...

... Amie Parnes of The Hill: "President Obama will likely take executive action in an effort to tamp down the recent rash of gun violence, Vice President Biden said Wednesday. 'The president is going go act,' said Biden, who is conducting meetings all week on gun control. 'There are executive orders, executive action that can be taken. We haven't decided what that is yet, but we're compiling it all.'" ...

... Linda Feldmann of the Christian Science Monitor: "The Drudge Report website responded with this display: 'White House threatens "executive order" on guns.' Pictured above were two notorious dictators from the 20th century, Adolph Hitler and Josef Stalin." CW: because in the mind of Drudge, curbing mass murder by homicidal maniacs is akin to genocide. This is about as upside-down as a mind can go -- which probably means Matt Drudge will be mentally disqualified from owning firearms & ammo. ...

... Evan McMorris-Santoro of TPM: "... a Republican congressman warned on Wednesday the idea sounded like 'dictatorship' to him.... 'The Founding Fathers never envisioned Executive Orders being used to restrict our Constitutional rights,' Rep. Jeff Duncan (R-SC) said in a statement Wednesday. 'We live in a republic, not a dictatorship.'" CW: Hey, Jeff, the Founding Fathers never envisioned your having a Constitutional right to carry an assault weapon loaded with 100 rounds. ...

... David Firestone of the New York Times: "Most changes to the current system ... has to come through legislation.... But there are several significant steps the president can take on his own." Firestone lists those steps. ...

... Maggie Haberman of Politico: "Former President Bill Clinton said Wednesday he hopes former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords and other gun-control activists bring change to the country in the wake of the Newtown massacre, calling the proliferation of high-capacity weapons 'nuts.' 'Why does anybody need one of those things that carries 100 bullets? The guy in Colorado had one of those,' said Clinton, referring to the movie theater massacre in Aurora, Colo., last year. 'Half of all mass killings in the U.S. occurred since the assault weapons ban expired in 2005.'" ...

... E. J. Dionne on gun control: "A large share of ... Republicans, particularly those from the Northeast, are growing impatient with the extent to which their party's image is being shaped by the wishes and opinions of its most right-wing members, many of them from one-party districts in the South. Suburban Republicans especially need to declare their independence from viewpoints antithetical to those held by the vast majority of their constituents." Dionne thinks some of these MOCs may voice their support for gun legislation. CW: However, they -- and the public -- will have to press the House leadership to even bring up legislation for a vote.

... Wal-Mart Finds Time for Biden. Abram Brown of Forbes: "Wal-Mart has now decided that it will, after all, attend week-long talks about gun legislation at the White House. At first, Wal-Mart declined the Oval Office overtures, a direct invitation from the task force led by Vice President Joe Biden, saying no executives were available.... Wal-Mart [is] ... the nation's largest seller of munitions.... Wal-Mart says it won't make any changes to the way it sells firearms." ...

... Thomas Kaplan & Danny Hakim of the New York Times: "Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo and legislative leaders believe they are close to an agreement on a package of gun laws that includes a restrictive ban on assault weapons, and lawmakers hope to vote on it as soon as next week."

Obama 2.0

NEW. Obama & Lew both mentioned Lew's "penmanship" during the President's nomination announcement today. Lew also mentioned Geithner's. Here's what they're talking about. Oliver Cox of NBC News: "We have ... confirmed that Jack Lew's signature is a series of looped scribbles that resembles the markings left on a notepad when you can't seem to get your pen working. As Treasury secretary, Mr. Lew's signature will be printed on all bills minted during his tenure."

Jackie Calmes & Annie Lowrey of the New York Times: "President Obama will announce on Thursday that he intends to elevate his chief of staff and former budget director, Jacob J. Lew, to be his next secretary of Treasury, according to officials familiar with the decision."

Mark Landler & Steven Greenhouse of the New York Times: "Secretary of Labor Hilda L. Solis announced on Wednesday that she was stepping down, becoming the latest woman to leave President Obama's cabinet at a time when his personnel choices are drawing scrutiny for their lack of female candidates." CW: looks like the President could use some of those binders full of women.

Steven Mufson & David Nakamura of the Washington Post: "White House aides said, however, that [Attorney General Eric] Holder, Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius and Veterans Affairs Secretary Eric Shinseki would remain in their current posts. People familiar with Holder's thinking said he does not expect to stay in office for Obama's entire second term, and perhaps for as little as a few months." CW: the less time, the better. ...

... CW Update. Okay, Holder can stay as long as he wants if he will realize the NRA's fears -- Jordy Yager of The Hill: "... gun-rights groups are suspicious of Holder's involvement and fear he is pushing the White House toward tougher restrictions on gun ownership and increased penalties for illegal firearms." This would at least leave Holder with a legacy of doing something besides whacking whistleblowers & fighting a few state voter suppression laws.

Here's the link to commentary by Noam Scheiber of The New Republic, which P. D. Pepe mentions in today's Comments, on Obama's nomination of Jack Lew. Scheiber, who has written on budget negotiations in which Lew was a principal, writes a balanced assessment.

Juli Weiner of Vanity Fair: "Fun fact: Lew is also a practicing Orthodox Jew, so John McCain and Lindsey Graham's go-to strategy of opposing Obama's nominees on the basis of apathy toward Israel is going to be. . . trickier. Not that John McCain and Lindsey Graham won't try."

Jim Kuhnhenn of the AP: "In selecting Lew to replace Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, Obama not only picks an insider steeped in budget matters but also a tough bargainer. Some Republicans complain that Lew has been unyielding in past fiscal negotiations.... Lew, 57, has often been described as a 'pragmatic liberal' who understands what it takes to make a deal even as he stands by his ideological views."

Alex Massie of The Spectator: "Republicans objecting to Chuck Hagel’s nomination to serve as the new US Defense Secretary have only themselves to blame. Having run Susan Rice out of the running to succeed Hillary Clinton as Secretary of State, there's no way President Obama could stomach losing a second high-profile nomination before he's even formally accepted his second term.... More importantly, the objections to Hagel's nomination are a useful reminder why, at least in terms of foreign policy, this present bunch of Democrats is preferable to their Republican opponents." Via Jonathan Bernstein.

Jamelle Bouie in the Washington Post: "Barring extraordinary circumstances, cabinet nominations are almost always confirmed, as they should be -- the chamber's role is to give advice and consent, not set policy for the administration. But if the mounting opposition to Lew -- and current opposition to Hagel -- is any indication, Republicans are prepared to jettison that norm so that they can block Obama's ability to pursue his agenda.... If the GOP wants to pick cabinet members, then it should start by winning a presidential election."


Good for Nicholas Confessore of the New York Times! "In Washington's running battles over taxes and spending..., [leaders of] Fix the Debt have lent a public-spirited, elder-statesman sheen to the cause of deficit reduction.... But ... many of the campaign's members will be juggling their private interests with their public goals: they are also lobbyists, board members or executives for corporations that have worked aggressively to shape the contours of federal spending and taxes, including many of the tax breaks that would be at the heart of any broad overhaul. While Fix the Debt criticized the recent fiscal deal between Mr. Obama and lawmakers..., companies and industries linked to the organization emerged with significant victories on taxes and other policies.... Close to half of the members of Fix the Debt's board and steering committee have ties to companies that have engaged in lobbying on taxes and spending, often to preserve tax breaks and other special treatment." Some of the more high-profile miscreants: former Senators Sam Nunn (D-Ga.) & Judd Gregg (R-N.H.), Erskine Bowles & Honeywell CEO David Cotes.

Thomas Edsall in the New York Times: "The slow implosion of the Republican Party -- along with the growing strength of a Democratic coalition dominated by low-to-middle-income voters -- threatens the power of the corporate establishment and will force big business to find new ways to reassert control of the policy-making process." And find it they will, as they always have.

Coin Tease. Michael Scherer of Time: "Despite repeated questioning [during yesterday's briefing, Obama Press Secretary Jay Carney] refused to rule out categorically the possibility of minting [a trillion-dollar coin]. But he also made clear that it is not a current option under consideration. 'The option here is for Congress to pay its bills,' Carney said, after flipping to a page in his briefing book that appeared to anticipate the question. 'There is no Plan B. There is no backup plan. There is Congress's responsibility to pay the bills of the United States.'" ...

... Scott Lemieux of the American Prospect provides more argument about why the trillion-dollar coin is legal. Besides, "in the context of a minority party transforming what has always been a symbolic vote into a yearly threat to destroy the functioning of the American government, it's difficult to take the argument that norms should preclude a lawful but unprecedented response from the Obama administration seriously." ...

... In case I've never mentioned it, Congressional Republicans Are Incredibly Stupid. Matt Yglesias of Slate: "The biggest and weirdest myth out there about the $1 trillion platinum coin is the idea that it would require a large quantity of platinum to make one. The National Republican Campaign Committee, for example, is out there warning that 'The amount of platinum needed to mint a coin worth $1 trillion would sink the Titanic.' ... Saying that the government would need a lot of platinum is like saying a $100 bill needs to have 100 times as much cotton in it as a $1 bill. Nobody would be able to fit them into their wallets.... [Ergo,] the metallic content of a coin is entirely irrelevant to its monetary value and has been for a long time." CW: mmm, is that a $100 bill in your pocket or are you just glad to see me? If you missed it, read Joe Weisenthal's piece I linked yesterday. This idea that the trillion-dollar coin has to be as big as the Titanic comes from that same misunderstanding of what money is. It's a very short hop from this misapprehension to believing the federal deficit is "immoral." (See Jon Chait's post on that, also linked yesterday.)

Michael de la Merced & Ben Protess of the New York Times: "The American International Group will not join a lawsuit against the federal government over its $182 billion financial crisis bailout, the company said on Wednesday. The decision by A.I.G.'s board follows a public uproar that erupted after The New York Times reported on Monday night that the company was weighing whether to join a $25 billion lawsuit filed by its former chief executive, Maurice R. Greenberg, on behalf of fellow shareholders."

Happy Birthday, Richard Nixon -- RIP, Campaign Finance Law. Kathy Keily & Bill Allison of the Sunlight Foundation in the Huffington Post: "It was actually Nixon who, in 1971, signed into law the Federal Election Campaign Act, limiting the amount of money that could be donated to congressional and presidential campaigns and requiring that those donations be reported. And he was also responsible for the strengthening of that law: The Watergate scandal that drove the nation's 37th president to resign on Aug. 9, 1974, in the middle of his second term, also prompted Congress to pass more regulations on campaign contributions and to create the Federal Election Commission."

Inauguration

Josh Israel of Think Progress: "The Presidential Inauguration Committee announced Tuesday that the President Obama has selected Pastor Louie Giglio of the Georgia-based Passion City Church to deliver the benediction for his second inauguration. In a mid-1990s sermon identified as Giglio's, available online on a Christian training Web site, he preached rabidly anti-LGBT views." Includes audio of sermon. CW: couldn't Obama get somebody to vet these yokels? Really, he has to lose Louie. ...

... ** So Long, Giglio. Update. Ali Weinberg & Andrew Mach of NBC News: "A pastor chosen by President Obama to deliver the inaugural benediction later this month has withdrawn amid controversy over anti-gay remarks he made more than a decade ago. In a mid-1990s sermon, Rev. Louie Giglio, an Atlanta minister and founder of the Passion Conferences, a group dedicated to uniting students in worship and prayer, advocated for 'ex-gay' therapy and urged listeners to prevent the 'homosexual lifestyle' from becoming accepted."

Henry Jackson of the AP: "Tickets to President Barack Obama's inauguration are supposed to be free, but they're being peddled on eBay and Craigslist for up to $2,000 apiece. Congressional offices and the Presidential Inaugural Committee, which are both distributing tickets to inaugural events, are trying to clamp down on the black market. So far, their efforts haven't stopped online entrepreneurs."


Barry Svrulga
of the Washington Post: "... on Wednesday, [Barry] Bonds and [Roger] Clemens were denied entry to the Baseball Hall of Fame, a sharp rebuke not only to those two stars, but an apparent condemnation of the steroids-tainted period in which they played the game.... For the first time since 1996, the baseball writers elected no one to the Hall. Among those rejected were Sammy Sosa, the slugger who sits eighth on the all-time home run list and who joined Clemens and Bonds on the ballot for the first time. Mark McGwire, who sits 10th on the all-time home run list, failed again, receiving his lowest percentage in seven years of eligibility. McGwire has admitted steroid use. Sosa was widely suspected of it. The vote was the latest emphatic, if expected, pronouncement that the vast majority of the 569 writers who cast ballots are not ready to elect even the best performers if there are fears they used drugs."

News Ledes

New York Times: "Bomb blasts in two Pakistani cities killed at least 115 people on Thursday and wounded more than 270, offering harrowing evidence of how the country's myriad internal conflicts could destabilize it as elections approach."

Boston Globe: Boston "Mayor Thomas M. Menino declared a public health emergency Wednesday morning because of the expanding flu outbreak. Health care centers across the city will be offering free vaccines to anyone who hasn't yet been immunized. The city has 700 confirmed cases of flu so and four flu-related deaths. Last year Boston had only 70 confirmed cases."

Reuters: "Afghan lawmakers said on Wednesday disaster and civil war would follow if Washington pushed ahead with a suggestion to withdraw all its troops from the country after 2014." CW: also, they feared there would be no way for them to steal any more American cash.

New York Times: "Three Kurdish women, including a founding member of a leading militant group fighting for autonomy in Turkey, were shot to death at a Kurdish institute in central Paris, police officials said on Thursday, potentially complicating fragile efforts to negotiate a cease-fire in the decades-old conflict.

AP: "A community in Quebec's Far North is calling for outside help to free about a dozen killer whales trapped under a vast stretch of sea ice. Locals in Inukjuak said the mammals have gathered around a single hole in the ice -- slightly bigger than a pickup truck -- in a desperate bid to get oxygen." CW: cue climate deniers to cite this as disproof of global warming.

AP: "Junior Seau, one of the NFL's best and fiercest players for nearly two decades, had a degenerative brain disease when he committed suicide last May, the National Institutes of Health told The Associated Press on Thursday. Results of an NIH study of Seau's brain revealed abnormalities consistent with chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE)."