The Ledes

Sunday, July 20, 2025

New York Times: “The Cram fire in central Oregon, which is threatening 653 structures, most of them homes, has grown to more than 95,000 acres, making it the largest wildfire of the year so far in the United States.... Moister air and calmer winds are expected to blunt some of the fire’s growth over the weekend. It was 49 percent contained as of late Saturday night local time, according to InciWeb, a government site that tracks wildfires.” 

New York Times: “Torrential rain in parts of the Washington, D.C., area on Saturday led to flash flooding and prompted water rescues in Maryland and Virginia, the authorities said. More than five inches of rain fell in some densely populated Washington suburbs like Silver Spring on Saturday. Several major roads in Montgomery, Prince George’s and Anne Arundel counties in Maryland, as well as in Fairfax County in Virginia, were impassable on Saturday evening. In northwest Washington, D.C., parked cars were inundated with floodwaters.”

AP: “A vehicle rammed into a crowd of people waiting to enter a performance venue along a busy boulevard in Los Angeles early Saturday, injuring 30 people and leading bystanders to attack the driver, authorities said. The driver was later found to have been shot, according to police, who were searching for a suspected gunman who fled the scene along Santa Monica Boulevard in East Hollywood.... Twenty-three victims were taken to hospitals and trauma centers, according to police. Seven were in critical condition, the Los Angeles Fire Department said in a statement.... The driver, whose gunshot wound was found by paramedics, was also taken to a hospital.”

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INAUGURATION 2029

Hubris. One would think that a married man smart enough to start up and operate his own tech company was also smart enough to know that you don't take your girlfriend to a public concert where the equipment includes a jumbotron -- unless you want to get caught on the big camera with your arms around said girlfriend. Ah, but for Andy Bryon, CEO of A company called Astronomer, and also maybe his wife, Wednesday was a night that will live in infamy. New York Times link. ~~~

Commencement ceremonies are joyous occasions, and Steve Carell made sure that was true this past weekend (mid-June) at Northwestern's commencement:

~~~ Carell's entire commencement speech was hilarious. The audio and video here isn't great, but I laughed till I cried.

CNN did a live telecast Saturday night (June 7) of the Broadway play "Good Night, and Good Luck," written by George Clooney and Grant Heslov, about legendary newsman Edward R. Murrow's effort to hold to account Sen. Joe McCarthy, "the junior senator from Wisconsin." Clooney plays Murrow. Here's Murrow himself with his famous take on McCarthy & McCarthyism, brief remarks that especially resonate today: ~~~

     ~~~ This article lists ways you still can watch the play. 

New York Times: “The New York Times Company has agreed to license its editorial content to Amazon for use in the tech giant’s artificial intelligence platforms, the company said on Thursday. The multiyear agreement 'will bring Times editorial content to a variety of Amazon customer experiences,' the news organization said in a statement. Besides news articles, the agreement encompasses material from NYT Cooking, The Times’s food and recipe site, and The Athletic, which focuses on sports. This is The Times’s first licensing arrangement with a focus on generative A.I. technology. In 2023, The Times sued OpenAI and its partner, Microsoft, for copyright infringement, accusing the tech companies of using millions of articles published by The Times to train automated chatbots without any kind of compensation. OpenAI and Microsoft have rejected those accusations.” ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: I have no idea what this means for "the Amazon customer experience." Does it mean that if I don't have a NYT subscription but do have Amazon Prime I can read NYT content? And where, exactly, would I find that content? I don't know. I don't know.

Washington Post reporters asked three AI image generators what a beautiful woman looks like. "The Post found that they steer users toward a startlingly narrow vision of attractiveness. Prompted to show a 'beautiful woman,' all three tools generated thin women, without exception.... Her body looks like Barbie — slim hips, impossible waist, round breasts.... Just 2 percent of the images showed visible signs of aging. More than a third of the images had medium skin tones. But only nine percent had dark skin tones. Asked to show 'normal women,' the tools produced images that remained overwhelmingly thin.... However bias originates, The Post’s analysis found that popular image tools struggle to render realistic images of women outside the Western ideal." ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: The reporters seem to think they are calling out the AI programs for being unrealistic. But there's a lot about the "beautiful women" images they miss. I find these omissions remarkably sexist. For one thing, the reporters seem to think AI is a magical "thing" that self-generates. It isn't. It's programmed. It's programmed by boys, many of them incels who have little or no experience or insights beyond comic books and Internet porn of how to gauge female "beauty." As a result, the AI-generated women look like cartoons; that is, a lot like an air-brushed photo of Kristi Noem: globs of every kind of dark eye makeup, Scandinavian nose, Botox lips, slathered-on skin concealer/toner/etc. makeup, long dark hair and the aforementioned impossible Barbie body shape, including huge, round plastic breasts. 

New York Times: “George Clooney’s Broadway debut, 'Good Night, and Good Luck,' has been one of the sensations of the 2024-25 theater season, breaking box office records and drawing packed houses of audiences eager to see the popular movie star in a timely drama about the importance of an independent press. Now the play will become much more widely available: CNN is planning a live broadcast of the penultimate performance, on June 7 at 7 p.m. Eastern. The performance will be preceded and followed by coverage of, and discussion about, the show and the state of journalism.”

No free man shall be seized or imprisoned, or stripped of his rights or possessions, or outlawed or exiled, or deprived of his standing in any other way, nor will we proceed with force against him, or send others to do so, except by the lawful judgment of his equals or by the law of the land. -- Magna Carta ~~~

~~~ New York Times: “Bought for $27.50 after World War II, the faint, water stained manuscript in the library of Harvard Law School had attracted relatively little attention since it arrived there in 1946. That is about to change. Two British academics, one of whom happened on the manuscript by chance, have discovered that it is an original 1300 version — not a copy, as long thought — of Magna Carta, the medieval document that helped establish some of the world’s most cherished liberties. It is one of just seven such documents from that date still in existence.... A 710-year-old version of Magna Carta was sold in 2007 for $21.3 million.... First issued in 1215, it put into writing a set of concessions won by rebellious barons from a recalcitrant King John of England — or Bad King John, as he became known in folklore. He later revoked the charter, but his son, Henry III, issued amended versions, the last one in 1225, and Henry’s son, Edward I, in turn confirmed the 1225 version in 1297 and again in 1300.”

 

Contact Marie

Email Marie at constantweader@gmail.com

Constant Comments

Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts.

Success is not final, failure is not fatal; it is the courage to continue that counts. — Anonymous

A nation of sheep will beget a government of wolvesEdward R. Murrow

Publisher & Editor: Marie Burns

I have a Bluesky account now. The URL is https://bsky.app/profile/marie-burns.bsky.social . When Reality Chex goes down, check my Bluesky page for whatever info I am able to report on the status of Reality Chex. If you can't access the URL, I found that I could Google Bluesky and ask for Marie Burns. Google will include links to accounts for people whose names are, at least in part, Maria Burns, so you'll have to tell Google you looking only for Marie.

Monday
Feb042019

The Commentariat -- February 5, 2019

Late Morning/Afternoon Update:

Sheryl Stolberg of the New York Times: "When President Trump delivers his State of the Union address on Tuesday night to Congress -- his first under divided government -- the left wing of the ascendant House Democrats will have a rare opportunity to confront him.... The new Democrats -- many of them women, and many of them people of color -- are planning to send their own pointed messages to the president with their choices of guests and attire. Many women will wear white -- the color of the women's suffrage movement -- to spotlight issues like reproductive rights and equal pay. Representative Steny H. Hoyer of Maryland, the Democratic leader, will be handing out white lapel ribbons to the men.... Members of Congress each get one ticket to bring a guest to the State of the Union address; sometimes they invite family members, but more often they use their tickets to make a point. Addressing gun violence is high on the agendas of several Democrats.... Mr. Trump's immigration policy is also top of mind for Democrats this year. Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman, Democrat of New Jersey, is bringing Victorina Morales, an undocumented immigrant who spoke out about her work at Mr. Trump's golf resort in Bedminster, N.J." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Sorry, but it isn't exactly "left wing" to return to Eisenhower-era policies.

So Much for Bipartisanship. Jordain Carney of the Hill: "President Trump and Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) traded barbs on Tuesday ahead of the president's second State of the Union address. Trump knocked the Senate Democratic leader for criticizing his upcoming speech, which the president will deliver to a joint session of Congress on Tuesday night. 'I see Schumer is already criticizing my State of the Union speech, even though he hasn't seen it yet. He's just upset that he didn't win the Senate, after spending a fortune, like he thought he would. Too bad we weren't given more credit for the Senate win by the media!' Trump said in a tweet. Trump's tweet came after Schumer used back-to-back floor speeches this week to knock the administration, saying it's mired in 'chaos.' Schumer, during a Senate floor speech on Tuesday, predicted Trump would use his prime time remarks to make policy promises that he won't keep."

John Cassidy of the New Yorker makes a compelling argument that Trump started out as a weak president*, & has only grown weaker. "The White House's victories, such as the passage of a tax-reform bill, 'usually involve Trump having adopted the position of the congressional Republicans, not the other way around,' [scholar Matthew] Glassman noted." ...

... Case in Point. Haley Byrd of CNN: "As ... Donald Trump prepares to once again make a bipartisan appeal in his State of the Union address Tuesday, members of Congress are linking arms on one of his favorite issues: trade. Yet they're working against the president, seeking to limit his authority to impose tariffs unilaterally on national security grounds, as he did last year on steel and aluminum, sparking a dispute with the European Union and alienating close partners such as Canada and Mexico. Multiple Republican lawmakers are working alongside Democrats to put forward legislation curtailing Trump's existing national security tariff powers."

"The Plan to Keep Trump's Taxes Hidden." Nancy Cook of Politico: "The new House Democratic majority is widely expected to test one of Donald Trump's ultimate red lines by demanding the president's personal tax returns -- and the Trump administration has been gearing up for months to fight back hard. Trump's Treasury Department is readying plans to drag the expected Democratic request for Trump's past tax filings, which he has closely guarded, into a quagmire of arcane legal arguments. At the same time, officials intend to publicly cast the request as a nakedly partisan exercise. The two-pronged scheme was developed by a handful of top political appointees and lawyers inside the department -- with the ultimate goal of keeping the president's past returns private.... But whatever the members or staffers find must remain private -- and that's where the request of Trump's returns becomes potentially tricky for Democrats. A related section within the Internal Revenue Code says any federal employee who leaks tax information is committing a felony, punishable by up to five years in prison." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: That's ridiculous. The public has a right to know if (ha ha) Trump lied about his assets, liabilities & tax avoidance schemes. His taxes should be released, in full, to the public, so tax experts can go at them & help Congress and the public understand what's behind the numbers.

The Lie Heard 'Round the World. Azeen Ghorayshi, et al., of BuzzFeed News: "BuzzFeed News is today publishing a cache of internal Trump Organization documents that lay bare the secret negotiations [re: a Trump Moscow tower] that continued long after [Michael] Cohen claimed the deal had been abandoned. The documents, many of which have been exclusively obtained by BuzzFeed News, reveal that -- despite Trump's claim that the development was never more than a passing notion -- the effort to get the tower built was long-running, detail-oriented and directly entwined with the ups and downs of his campaign. As Trump went from rally to rally, vociferously denying any dealings in Russia, his representatives, Michael Cohen and his associate Felix Sater, worked with Trump Organization lawyers and even Ivanka Trump to push forward negotiations to build a 100-story edifice just miles from the Kremlin. The fixers believed they needed Putin's support to pull off the lucrative deal, and they planned to use Trump's public praise for him to help secure it. At the same time, they plotted to persuade Putin to openly declare his support for Trump's candidacy. 'If he says it we own this election,' Sater wrote to Cohen."

Ryan Nobles, et al., of CNN: "Virginia Gov. Ralph Northam remained in power Monday but is having a difficult time finding allies, begging his Cabinet members to give him the chance to prove he was not the person pictured in a racist photo that surfaced Friday. Northam oversaw a regularly scheduled Cabinet meeting Monday morning that a source inside the meeting described as 'solemn.' According to that source, the governor specifically said that if he resigns, he would be resigning as a 'racist for life,' and that the only way he can clear his name is to stay in office and convince people that he is not in that photo and that the photo does not represent who he is."

*****

David Nakamura of the Washington Post: "Facing growing political head winds, President Trump on Tuesday will try to convince the nation that his presidency remains strong and viable in a State of the Union address that aides described as a sincere appeal to broaden his governing coalition. But Trump is also expected to reaffirm his demand for Congress to support his hard-line immigration agenda and offer a robust defense of foreign policy initiatives that have engendered fierce criticism from Democrats who have asserted newfound power to try to blunt his agenda. The dynamic suggests that any attempt from the usually truculent president to proffer a nod to bipartisanship and cooperation during his prime-time remarks is almost certain to be short-lived and viewed as duplicitous by his critics." Mrs. McC: By his critics? One hardly needs to be a critic to notice Trump is duplicitous. ...

     ... OR, as the headline writer at New York's "Daily Intelligencer" put it, "The theme of Trump's State of the Union: Republicans and Democrats should come together ... to give me my wall." No link.

Matt Stevens & Mihir Zaveri of the New York Times report the list of Trump's guests for the SOTU. One is "Joshua Trump, a sixth-grade student from Wilmington, Del., who ... has 'been bullied in school due to his last name,' the White House's announcement said. (He is not related to the president.)... Last year, Mrs. Trump -- who has said she is the 'most bullied person' in the world -- introduced her 'Be Best' public awareness campaign, which seeks to teach children to be kind." Mrs. McC: This is part of the "poor, pitiful (in this case, fake) billionaire" syndrome; see also poor, pitiful Howard Schultz, who has been subjected to "an assault" because he's thinking of running an independent presidential campaign that would very likely give Trump a second term. Story linked below. ...

... Sophie Weiner of Splinter: "... everyone is embarrassed by things about themselves when they're in sixth grade. It's normal and totally understandable. What's not normal? Going to the State of the Union as 'the kid bullied because he has the same last name as the president.' Joshua, here's some advice, from one person with an easily ridiculed name to another: in order to transcend it, you gotta own it. Getting invited to the State of the Union as 'that bullied kid' is NOT gonna make things easier for you with the kids at school. If your name wasn't already inextricably linked to the president's, it is now." ...

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: A normal president would invite a kid to the SOTU who had been bullied because s/he was a member of a minority, say, a Muslim or a transgender kid. However, this President* gets a kick out of bullying these very same groups. But bullied because the kid is a Trump? Oh, the humanity! ...

... Amanda Arnold of New York: "... Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announced on Monday that she was bringing Ana Maria Archila [to the SOTU], one of the women who famously confronted Senator Jeff Flake in an elevator during Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation hearings."

This Russia Thing, Etc., Ctd.

Maggie Haberman & Ben Protess of the New York Times: "President Trump's inaugural committee was ordered on Monday to turn over documents about its donors, finances and activities to federal prosecutors in Manhattan, according to two people familiar with the investigation into the committee's activities. Prosecutors are seeking documents related to all of the committee's donors and event attendees; any benefits handed out, including tickets and photo opportunities with the president; federal disclosure filings; vendors; contracts; and more, one of the people said.... In the subpoena, investigators also showed interest in whether any foreigners illegally donated to the committee, as well as whether committee staff knew that such donations were illegal, asking for documents laying out legal requirements for donations. Federal law prohibits foreign contributions to federal campaigns, political action committees and inaugural funds." ...

... Matt Naham of Law & Crime: "... prosecutors have shown interest in investigating whether wealthy donors gave money in exchange for access into and influence within the Trump administration. That news came out of the the Southern District of New York's investigation of former Trump attorney Michael Cohen. The Wall Street Journal reported that the investigation was made possible in no small part because of materials seized during April 2018 raids on Cohen's home, office and hotel room[.]... It had already been reported as far back as April that Mueller was investigating whether 'wealthy Russians illegally funneled cash donations directly or indirectly into Donald Trump's presidential campaign and inauguration.' Sources said at the time claimed that Mueller had a theory that 'straw donors' (particularly Americans) acted as 'a vessel through which they could pump money into the campaign and inauguration fund.'"

... Marcy Wheeler: "My guess is that SDNY is only now getting around to digging into what is surely a vast swamp of corruption because Mueller asked them to wait until his inauguration related equities were done. Which may be consistent with reports that his investigation is coming to a head, perhaps pending just the Mystery Appellant, Andrew Miller, and William Barr's confirmation. Which may mean that after the results in Mueller's Russian investigation soften Trump up, this investigation will just be ripening, possibly even at a time where Trump can be indicted."

Emma Loop, et al., of BuzzFeed News: "A Russian-born lobbyist who attended the controversial Trump Tower meeting in June 2016 received a series of suspicious payments totaling half a million dollars before and after the encounter. Documents reviewed by BuzzFeed News show that Rinat Akhmetshin, a Soviet military officer turned Washington lobbyist, deposited large, round-number amounts of cash in the months preceding and following the meeting, where a Russian lawyer offered senior Trump campaign officials dirt on Hillary Clinton."

Darren Samuelsohn of Politico: "A federal judge on Monday pushed back by a week Paul Manafort's sentencing date while she considers allegations that the former Trump campaign chairman lied to special counsel Robert Mueller's office and a grand jury in violation of the terms of his guilty plea.... Earlier Monday, [Judge Amy] Jackson held a closed-door hearing for 4½ hours with Manafort, his lawyers and Mueller's office, where she was set to go over the evidence that the special counsel has presented about Manafort's alleged violations of the guilty plea."

Dan Friedman of Mother Jones: "The House intelligence committee is set to vote Wednesday to formally send the Justice Department transcripts of interviews from the panel's investigation into Russian election interference, a step that could help special counsel Robert Mueller charge some witnesses with lying to Congress.... A notice of a closed committee business meeting says the panel will 'take votes related to the transmission of certain committee transcripts' to the DOJ on Wednesday. The notice doesn't specify how many interviews that includes, but Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.), the committee's chairman, has said he wants to move as fast as possible to turn over to Mueller transcripts of the more than 50 witness interviews that the panel conducted during its investigation." Probably tops on the list are Donnie Junior & Jared Kushner, whom Democrats suspect lied to the committee.


Aaron Blake
of the Washington Post runs down a number of the contradictory remarks Trump made in his CBS interview, which aired Sunday. As Daniel Dale wrote (tweet below), interviewers would do well to slow down. Mrs. McC: That might help, but it might not. I've heard interviewers ask follow-up questions that highlight some contradiction, & Trump just completely changes the subject: "Why didn't you do your homework, Donnie?" "The dog ate it." "You don't have a dog." "I'm an underprivileged kid from Jamaica, Queens who doesn't even have a pet. You should be saying great things about me." An interviewer would have to go back & back to the initial question until Trump finally ripped the mike out of his lapel & trounced out in a huff. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Eric Levitz of New York: "In an interview with CBS News, the president said that he does not want his youngest son Barron to play youth football because 'I just don't like the reports that I see coming out having to do with football ― I mean, it's a dangerous sport....' [BUT]... As evidence of football's devastating effects on the human brain mounted -- and the NFL responded by implementing (demonstrably inadequate) rule changes to modestly reduce the risk of its athletes suffering from Chronic Traumatic Encephalopathy (CTE) -- the president argued that the game had grown insufficiently violent. 'Today, if you hit too hard, if they hit too hard, "15 yards, throw him out of the game,"' Trump groused in 2017. 'They had that last week, I watched for a couple of minutes. Two guys, just really, beautiful tackle -- "Boom, 15 yards."... They're ruining the game ... they want to hit.' These remarks heavily implied that Trump sees the lives of (disproportionately African-American) NFL players as fundamentally less valuable than those of wealthy, white people like himself." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Ahmed Aboulenein & John Davison of Reuters: "Iraqi President Barham Salih said on Monday that ... Donald Trump did not ask Iraq's permission for U.S. troops stationed there to 'watch Iran.'... U.S. troops in Iraq are there as part of an agreement between the two countries with a specific mission of combating terrorism, Salih said, and that they should stick to that. Trump said it was important to keep a U.S. military presence in Iraq so that Washington can keep a close eye on Iran 'because Iran is a real problem,' according to a CBS interview broadcast on Sunday. 'Don't overburden Iraq with your own issues,' Salih said. 'The U.S. is a major power ... but do not pursue your own policy priorities, we live here.'" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Michelle Goldberg: "The latest edition of 'Freedom in the World,' ... the pro-democracy nonprofit ... Freedom House's flagship report, has just been released. For the second year in a row, the United States had a score of 86, down from 94 in 2009.... America now falls below not just Canada and the Nordic countries, but also Greece, Latvia and Mauritius. 'The current overall U.S. score puts American democracy closer to struggling counterparts like Croatia than to traditional peers such as Germany or the United Kingdom,' the report said.... It usually takes more than two years for a democracy to collapse.... If Americans increasingly ignore Trump's words, foreign leaders don't. Authoritarianism is on the rise all over the globe -- according to the Freedom House report, this is the 13th consecutive year that global freedom has declined. Trump's presidency is a consequence of this trend, but it's also become an accelerant of it."

Victoria Guida: "Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell met for dinner with ... Donald Trump on Monday evening, the first time the two men have spoken since Powell was sworn in as the central bank's chief last February. Powell, who has been the target of months of criticism from the president over the central bank's interest rate policy, stressed that the Fed's decisions on rates would remain nonpolitical, according to a statement from the Fed." ...

... Heather Long of the Washington Post: "After the central bank raised interest rates in December, Trump was so irate that he asked close advisers whether he could fire Powell. The Fed is supposed to be independent from politics, and it is hard to remove a Fed governor except for 'cause,' which has typically been interpreted by courts as egregious wrongdoing. Top White House officials have come out and said they do not believe the president has the authority to remove Powell, although the president never said he would not try to do it.... It is rare for a president to meet with the Fed chair, although not unprecedented. President Barack Obama met with then-Chair Janet L. Yellen in 2016, for example. But presidents are not supposed to dictate Fed policy.... Former Fed chairman Paul Volcker details his awkward encounter at the White House with President Ronald Reagan and his chief of staff Jim Baker.... Volcker recalls Baker saying, 'The president is ordering you not to raise interest rates before the election,' and Volcker 'walked out without saying a word.'... 'Paul Volcker is viewed as Moses of central banking for standing up to the president,' said Richard Fisher, the former head of the Dallas Fed."

All the Worst People. Victoria Guida & Ben White of Politico: "... Donald Trump is expected to tap Treasury Department official David Malpass as the U.S. pick to lead the World Bank, according to senior administration officials, a clear sign the administration wants to rein in the international financial institution. Malpass, Treasury's undersecretary for international affairs, has said global organizations like the World Bank 'have grown larger and more intrusive' and 'the challenge of refocusing them has become urgent and more difficult.' The institution aims to reduce global poverty by making loans, with a sizable portion flowing to China and India.... The U.S. has historically been allowed to choose the head of the World Bank, although that dynamic has more recently faced pushback from other nations. Nominating someone who has been so openly critical of the bank could intensify that resistance."

Andrew Kaczynski & Paul LeBlanc of CNN: "... Donald Trump's pick to be United Nations ambassador once hosted a panel on unfounded conspiracy theories that Islamic fundamentalists are secretly trying to destroy America by changing the country's institutions and culture and imposing Sharia law. Heather Nauert, a former host for 'Fox and Friends' and the current spokeswoman for the State Department, pushed the theory in a 2009 Fox News hourlong special webcast titled 'Terror from Within' that is still available on the network's website. Nauert fielded input from anti-Muslim activists Frank Gaffney and Robert Spencer, as well as Canadian journalist Tarek Fatah, who is a prominent Muslim critic of aspects of Islam."

** Arming Our Enemies -- Thanks, Donald & Jared! Nima Elbagir, et al., in a CNN report: "Saudi Arabia and its coalition partners have transferred American-made weapons to al Qaeda-linked fighters, hardline Salafi militias, and other factions waging war in Yemen, in violation of their agreements with the United States, a CNN investigation has found. The weapons have also made their way into the hands of Iranian-backed rebels battling the coalition for control of the country, exposing some of America's sensitive military technology to Tehran and potentially endangering the lives of US troops in other conflict zones. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, its main partner in the war, have used the US-manufactured weapons as a form of currency to buy the loyalties of militias or tribes, bolster chosen armed actors, and influence the complex political landscape, according to local commanders on the ground and analysts who spoke to CNN.... After CNN presented its findings, a US defense official confirmed there was an ongoing investigation into the issue.... Previous CNN investigations established that US-made weapons were used in a series of deadly Saudi coalition attacks that killed dozens of civilians, many of them children. The developments also come as Congress, outraged with Riyadh over the murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi last year, considers whether to force an end to the Trump administration's support for the Saudi coalition, which relies on American weapons to conduct its war."

Burgess Everett & Marianne Levine of Politico: "Many Senate Republicans are deeply opposed to ... Donald Trump declaring a national emergency to build his border wall, with enough resistance that the president might ultimately be forced to veto a measure intended to block him. Interviews with a dozen GOP senators on Monday revealed broad efforts to wave Trump from doing an end run around Congress, part of an effort to avoid a politically perilous floor vote that could place them at odds with the president."

Jordain Carney of the Hill: "Senate Democrats blocked abortion-related legislation on Monday night in the wake of a political firestorm sparked by a Virginia abortion-rights bill last week. Sen. Ben Sasse (R-Neb.) tried to pass legislation that penalizes doctors who fail to 'exercise the proper degree of care in the case of a child who survives an abortion or attempted abortion.' But Sasse was blocked by Sen. Patty Murray (D-Wash.), who argued that U.S. laws already prohibit infanticide and warned that Republicans were misrepresenting the [Virginia] bill.... Sasse's attempted to pass the legislation comes after Virginia Gov. Ralph Northam (D) provoked outrage among anti-abortion groups, GOP lawmakers and the White House over his comments about a bill that would have made it easier for women to get third trimester abortions if their health was threatened by pregnancy."

Andrew Desiderio of Politico: "Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen has agreed to testify before a key House panel after weeks of contentious negotiations with Democrats. Nielsen will appear before the House Homeland Security Committee on March 6.... The agreement comes after Rep. Bennie Thompson (D-Miss.), the chairman of the committee, threatened last week to issue a subpoena to compel Nielsen to testify. Democrats said Nielsen was refusing to testify in front of the panel this month."

Presidential Race 2020

Mister Schultz's Etiquette Rule No. 1: [Howard Schultz] said the terms 'people of wealth' and 'people of means' are preferred to referring to people as 'billionaires.'

Like many a rube, I am so politically incorrect. Next some bumpkin will be calling a certain "person of wealth" an idiot. No, wait. Make that "total idiot." -- Mrs. Bea McCrabbie

See also other suggestions: "wealth extractors," "money hoarders," "poverty profiteers." ...

... Shia Kapos of Politico: "Former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz on Monday night said he will take three to four months before deciding whether he'll run for president in 2020 as an independent. 'I promise I would do nothing whatsoever to be a spoiler to re-elect Donald Trump. Nobody wants to see this president leave office more than me,' he said during a stop on his book tour in Chicago. He spoke during a Q&A with Chicago businesswoman and Starbucks Vice Chair Mellody Hobson, who compared the reports of the possibility of an independent run to 'dropping a bomb.'... Schultz said he expected push-back 'but not to the degree of an assault,' he told the crowd." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: The story should be titled "What a Total Idiot Howard Schultz Is." That's apparent in just two comments cited above, tho there's more. First, there's the "everybody's picking on poor, pitiful, billionaire/'person-of-means' me." Then there's the empty assurance he won't be a spoiler. Really? How is that gonna work, Howard? Schultz gave no clue, no doubt because he has no clue. ...

... Schultz's Own Research Confirms He's a Spoiler. Jonathan Chait: "Change Research found Schultz's favorable rating among the public is 4 percent, with 40 percent viewing him unfavorably, and the rest not knowing who this person is.... Perhaps in an effort to push back against this [Mrs. McC: these] data, Schultz's team released very partial internal polling data. Somewhat suspiciously, the data did not show what information the respondents were given about Schultz, to possibly prompt them to support him. The bottom-line figures showed Schultz drawing a whopping 17 percent of the national vote in a three-way race with Trump and either Kamala Harris or Elizabeth Warren. The same figures showed Trump beating both Democrats 33 to 32 percent. In other words, Schultz's own polling indicates he would lose badly, and would throw the race to Trump.... Fox News reports that Schultz 'told advisors that he was shocked by the stridency of the attacks made by Democrats,' a fact that, if true, would indicate an ignorance of the political system so proud it would be disqualifying." Mrs. McC: And we now know it's true because Schultz publicly expressed surprise at the "assault" on him. As Sen. Brown said....


... MEANWHILE. Ben White
of Politico: "... polling suggests that when it comes to soaking the rich, the American public is increasingly on board. Surveys are showing overwhelming support for raising taxes on top earners, including a new Politico/Morning Consult poll released Monday that found 76 percent of registered voters believe the wealthiest Americans should pay more in taxes. A recent Fox News survey showed that 70 percent of Americans favor raising taxes on those earning over $10 million -- including 54 percent of Republicans. The numbers suggest the political ground upon which the 2020 presidential campaign will be fought is shifting in dramatic ways, reflecting the rise in inequality in the United States and growing concerns in the electorate about the fairness of the American system." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Paul Krugman explains that "if there's a real opening for an independent, that candidate will look more like George Wallace than like Howard Schultz. Billionaires who despise the conventional parties should beware of what they wish for." That is, there is a viable call for racist, economic populist politicians, but there's little or no call for socially liberal, economic conservative politicians. ...

... Helaine Olen of the Washington Post: "There is increasing angst in the circles of the wealthy about more frequent calls from prominent Democratic politicians to raise taxes on the richest Americans.... Blame Donald Trump. Like no one else, Trump proves that the United States' 40-year infatuation with tax cuts and trickle-down economics was a sham. Instead of trusting the wealthiest that the money would flow down, the dollars, like heat in an apartment, always went to the top. Take the 2017 tax reform package. The wealthiest Americans were the recipients of almost all the large and permanent reductions, while the rest of us were left with mere scraps -- which will sunset at the end of 2025. The Trump administration promised the corporate tax cuts would trickle down in the form of salary increases.... No such luck.... In addition, Republicans weaponized the tax code, seeming to punish voters who disproportionately voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016. The ability to deduct state and local taxes on federal returns was capped at $10,000, something that impacted residents of high-cost metropolitan areas.... It's hard not to suspect future generations will look back at this period and wonder what took us so long to demand the Trumps of the world pay their fair share of the tax bill."

Beyond the Beltway

Jonathan Martin & Alan Blinder of the New York Times: "Gov. Ralph Northam of Virginia, abandoned by allies in the Democratic Party and besieged by demands that he resign, met with his cabinet Monday morning as state legislators returned to a Capitol thrown into chaos by the governor's insistence on staying in office despite revelations that a photograph showing people in blackface and Ku Klux Klan robes was displayed on his medical school yearbook page. But even after meeting Sunday night with a group of his African-American aides, most of whom told him the only way he could clear his name would be to quit, Mr. Northam was giving no indication that he intended to step down. As Mr. Northam dug in, his onetime allies in the state and national Democratic Party intensified their pleas that he quit, angry and embarrassed at the prospect of being saddled with a governor suddenly compromised by his past." .(Also linked yesterday.) ..

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Northam also must be "consulting" with Megyn Kelly. ...

... Oh, Great. Jonathan Martin: "Lt. Gov. Justin Fairfax of Virginia issued a statement Monday morning denying an unsubstantiated allegation of sexual assault that a right-wing media site published amid extraordinary political turmoil in the state that has raised the possibility of Mr. Fairfax becoming the next governor. In a statement issued at 2:55 a.m., aides to Mr. Fairfax -- a Democrat who has drawn national attention as Gov. Ralph Northam considers resigning over past racist behavior -- said the allegation was 'false' and that Mr. Fairfax had 'never assaulted anyone -- ever -- in any way, shape or form.' The aides said that Mr. Fairfax is considering 'appropriate legal action against those attempting to spread this defamatory and false allegation.'" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Theresa Vargas of the Washington Post: "The statement came after the online publication, Big League Politics, ran a story under the headline: 'UPDATE: Stanford Fellow Hints At Possible Justin Fairfax Sex Assault.' The story was based on a private Facebook post from the woman, which the publication said it had obtained from a friend of hers who had permission to share it. In their response, Fairfax's staff members, pointed out that the woman first approached The Washington Post with the allegation shortly before he was inaugurated and The Post 'carefully investigated the claim for several months.' The woman approached The Post after Fairfax won election in November 2017 and before he was inaugurated in January 2018 inauguration, saying she felt like she had an obligation to speak out.... Fairfax and the woman told different versions of what happened in [a] hotel room [in 2004] with no one else present. The Washington Post could not find anyone who could corroborate either version. The Post did not find 'significant red flags and inconsistencies within the allegations,' as the Fairfax statement incorrectly said.... The Washington Post did not run a story.&" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Alejandro de la Garza of Time: "In the midst of the ongoing controversy over a racist photograph on Virginia Gov. Ralph Northam's medical school yearbook page, a photograph of Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) posing in front of a Confederate flag is making the rounds on social media.... The photograph of McConnell, which apparently shows the senator posing in front of a large Confederate flag, had previously surfaced in 2015, according to Snopes. The photo was allegedly taken at a Sons of Confederate Veterans event in the early '90s." Includes photo. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Jamelle Bouie of the New York Times: "In American politics, lawmakers can get a pass for almost anything short of open allegiance to racist ideologies or the explicit use of racist imagery. There is a logic to this dynamic, even as it produces absurd results, like forceful condemnations of racism from a Virginia Republican Party that fielded an unapologetic neo-Confederate for Senate just over three months ago or calls for Northam's resignation from a Republican National Committee that otherwise stands firmly behind President Trump.... If racism is principally a problem of power and resources -- of race hierarchy and the denial of life, liberty and opportunity to blacks and other nonwhites -- then our political culture ought to expand the offenses that earn the kinds of swift condemnation we've seen over the last few days. Voter suppression and the lawmakers who back it deserve the same contempt we save for open racial bigotry; officials behind policies rooted in prejudice, like the travel ban or child separation, ought to be forced from office.... We should care about racist imagery, but we should care even more about our still-segregated society."

New Jersey. Katherine Landergan of Politico: "Gov. Phil Murphy signed legislation Monday that will gradually raise New Jersey's minimum wage to $15 an hour for most workers by 2024, making it the fourth state to approve a policy that not long ago was considered a pipe dream in Democratic circles."

Way Beyond

Richard Pérez-Peña of the New York Times: "Seven European Union countries on Monday recognized Juan Guaidó as the legitimate leader of Venezuela, turning decisively against President Nicolás Maduro after he refused their demand to schedule a new presidential election. The countries -- Austria, Britain, Denmark, France, Germany, Spain and Sweden -- joined the United States, Canada, Australia and much of Latin America in withdrawing recognition of Mr. Maduro's government and acknowledging Mr. Guaidó, the opposition leader, as the interim president pending elections." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Sunday
Feb032019

The Commentariat -- February 4, 2019

Afternoon Update:

Jonathan Martin & Alan Blinder of the New York Times: "Gov. Ralph Northam of Virginia, abandoned by allies in the Democratic Party and besieged by demands that he resign, met with his cabinet Monday morning as state legislators returned to a Capitol thrown into chaos by the governor's insistence on staying in office despite revelations that a photograph showing people in blackface and Ku Klux Klan robes was displayed on his medical school yearbook page. But even after meeting Sunday night with a group of his African-American aides, most of whom told him the only way he could clear his name would be to quit, Mr. Northam was giving no indication that he intended to step down. As Mr. Northam dug in, his onetime allies in the state and national Democratic Party intensified their pleas that he quit, angry and embarrassed at the prospect of being saddled with a governor suddenly compromised by his past." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Northam also must be "consulting" with Megyn Kelly. ...

... Oh, Great. Jonathan Martin: "Lt. Gov. Justin Fairfax of Virginia issued a statement Monday morning denying an unsubstantiated allegation of sexual assault that a right-wing media site published amid extraordinary political turmoil in the state that has raised the possibility of Mr. Fairfax becoming the next governor. In a statement issued at 2:55 a.m., aides to Mr. Fairfax -- a Democrat who has drawn national attention as Gov. Ralph Northam considers resigning over past racist behavior -- said the allegation was 'false' and that Mr. Fairfax had 'never assaulted anyone -- ever -- in any way, shape or form.' The aides said that Mr. Fairfax is considering 'appropriate legal action against those attempting to spread this defamatory and false allegation.'" ...

... Theresa Vargas of the Washington Post: "The statement came after the online publication, Big League Politics, ran a story under the headline: 'UPDATE: Stanford Fellow Hints At Possible Justin Fairfax Sex Assault.' The story was based on a private Facebook post from the woman, which the publication said it had obtained from a friend of hers who had permission to share it. In their response, Fairfax's staff members, pointed out that the woman first approached The Washington Post with the allegation shortly before he was inaugurated and The Post 'carefully investigated the claim for several months.' The woman approached The Post after Fairfax won election in November 2017 and before he was inaugurated in January 2018 inauguration, saying she felt like she had an obligation to speak out.... Fairfax and the woman told different versions of what happened in [a] hotel room [in 2004] with no one else present. The Washington Post could not find anyone who could corroborate either version. The Post did not find 'significant red flags and inconsistencies within the allegations,' as the Fairfax statement incorrectly said.... The Washington Post did not run a story." ...

... Alejandro de la Garza of Time: "In the midst of the ongoing controversy over a racist photograph on Virginia Gov. Ralph Northam's medical school yearbook page, a photograph of Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) posing in front of a Confederate flag is making the rounds on social media.... The photograph of McConnell, which apparently shows the senator posing in front of a large Confederate flag, had previously surfaced in 2015, according to Snopes. The photo was allegedly taken at a Sons of Confederate Veterans event in the early '90s." Includes photo.

Richard Pérez-Peña of the New York Times: "Seven European Union countries on Monday recognized Juan Guaidó as the legitimate leader of Venezuela, turning decisively against President Nicolás Maduro after he refused their demand to schedule a new presidential election. The countries -- Austria, Britain, Denmark, France, Germany, Spain and Sweden -- joined the United States, Canada, Australia and much of Latin America in withdrawing recognition of Mr. Maduro's government and acknowledging Mr. Guaidó, the opposition leader, as the interim president pending elections."

Ben White of Politico: "... polling suggests that when it comes to soaking the rich, the American public is increasingly on board. Surveys are showing overwhelming support for raising taxes on top earners, including a new Politico/Morning Consult poll released Monday that found 76 percent of registered voters believe the wealthiest Americans should pay more in taxes. A recent Fox News survey showed that 70 percent of Americans favor raising taxes on those earning over $10 million -- including 54 percent of Republicans. The numbers suggest the political ground upon which the 2020 presidential campaign will be fought is shifting in dramatic ways, reflecting the rise in inequality in the United States and growing concerns in the electorate about the fairness of the American system."

Ahmed Aboulenein & John Davison of Reuters: "Iraqi President Barham Salih said on Monday that ... Donald Trump did not ask Iraq's permission for U.S. troops stationed there to 'watch Iran.'... U.S. troops in Iraq are there as part of an agreement between the two countries with a specific mission of combating terrorism, Salih said, and that they should stick to that. Trump said it was important to keep a U.S. military presence in Iraq so that Washington can keep a close eye on Iran 'because Iran is a real problem,' according to a CBS interview broadcast on Sunday. 'Don't overburden Iraq with your own issues,' Salih said. 'The U.S. is a major power ... but do not pursue your own policy priorities, we live here.'"

Aaron Blake of the Washington Post runs down a number of the contradictory remarks Trump made in his CBS interview, which aired Sunday. As Daniel Dale wrote (tweet below), interviewers would do well to slow down. Mrs. McC: That might not help. I've heard interviewers ask follow-up questions that highlight some contradiction, & Trump completely changes the subject: "Why didn't you do your homework, Donnie?" "The dog ate it." "You don't have a dog." "I'm an underprivileged kid from Jamaica, Queens who doesn't even have a pet. You should be saying great things about me." An interviewer would have to go back & back to the initial question until Trump finally ripped the mike out of his lapel & trounced out in a huff. ...

... Eric Levitz of New York: "In an interview with CBS News, the president said that he does not want his youngest son Barron to play youth football because 'I just don't like the reports that I see coming out having to do with football ― I mean, it's a dangerous sport....' [BUT]... As evidence of football's devastating effects on the human brain mounted -- and the NFL responded by implementing (demonstrably inadequate) rule changes to modestly reduce the risk of its athletes suffering from Chronic Traumatic Encephalopathy (CTE) -- the president argued that the game had grown insufficiently violent. 'Today, if you hit too hard, if they hit too hard, "15 yards, throw him out of the game,"' Trump groused in 2017. 'They had that last week, I watched for a couple of minutes. Two guys, just really, beautiful tackle -- "Boom, 15 yards."... They're ruining the game ... they want to hit.' These remarks heavily implied that Trump sees the lives of (disproportionately African-American) NFL players as fundamentally less valuable than those of wealthy, white people like himself."

*****

The Laziest President* in American History. Alexi McCammond & Jonathan Swan of Axios: "A White House source has leaked nearly every day of President Trump's private schedule for the past three months.... This unusually voluminous leak gives us unprecedented visibility into how this president spends his days. The schedules, which cover nearly every working day since the midterms, show that Trump has spent around 60% of his scheduled time over the past 3 months in unstructured 'Executive Time.' We've published every page of the leaked schedules in a piece that accompanies this item. To protect our source, we retyped the schedules in the same format that West Wing staff receives them.... Trump, an early riser, usually spends the first 5 hours of the day in Executive Time.... He spends his mornings in the residence, watching TV, reading the papers, and responding to what he sees and reads by phoning aides, members of Congress, friends, administration officials and informal advisers.... Some days, Executive Time totally predominates. For instance, he had 1 hour of scheduled meetings on Jan. 18 (with acting chief of staff Mick Mulvaney and Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin) and 7 hours of Executive Time." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: I suspect this is the most Trump can manage. He's a fat old guy, his diet is terrible, (and who knows? he might be taking energy-sapping meds). As a result, he doesn't have much energy. Since Ronny Jackson will once again be performing & reporting on Trump's annual physical exam, we'll never know what's wrong with his health & ability to function. ...

... David Boddiger of Splinter: "Scrolling down the retyped presidential schedule published by Axios from Nov. 7, 2018 to Feb. 1, one can count how many times the term 'Executive Time' appears. It's mind-blowing.... And it shows, according to the news site, that Trump is the most unstructured and undisciplined president, probably ever.... Since the midterms, Trump has spent 297 hours in executive time. During the same period, he had 77 hours of scheduled meetings, policy planning, and strategy sessions.... At the end of the day, usually around 6 p.m. or before, Trump reportedly returns to his residence, where he watches more TV and tweets, among other things. His days are longer when he travels, the report said.... This weekend, while Trump continues to claim the country faces a 'crisis' at the southern border over immigration and a lack of a border 'wall,' he visited the Trump National Golf Club in Jupiter, FL, where he played golf with Jack Nicklaus and Tiger Woods on Saturday." ...

... Kevin Drum: "The only question is whether Trump's schedule is so empty because he doesn't want to meet anyone or because no one wants to meet him." ...

Yeah But. What a disgraceful breach of trust to leak schedules. What these don't show are the hundreds of calls and meetings @realDonaldTrump takes everyday. This POTUS is working harder for the American people than anyone in recent history. -- Madeleine Westerhout, White House staffer, in a tweet

It's called whistleblowing, dear. You know how to whistle, don't you? -- Mrs Bea McCrabbie

Josh Dawsey of the Washington Post: "President Trump declined to say Sunday whether he wants the findings of special counsel Robert S. Mueller III's investigation made public, instead promising to defer to the Justice Department.... Asked about the 34 people Mueller's probe has indicted, the president said none of the charges were related to him or collusion with Russia. In fact, Mueller's team has indicted a number of Trump campaign or administration officials for lying about their interactions with Russia.... The president's comments on the investigation, which the acting attorney general said is wrapping up soon, came in a wide-ranging interview with CBS News. Among the highlights of the interview: The president said he is keeping another government shutdown on the table, outlined disagreements with top intelligence officials, argued that keeping troops in Iraq is vital to watching Iran, contended that having a Cabinet packed with interim secretaries is a plus for his administration and again attacked former defense secretary Jim Mattis by falsely saying he forced him to resign.... He repeatedly cited the costs of having troops all over the world as a reason to bring them home. He struggled to reconcile his criticisms of [President] Obama for telegraphing withdrawals of troops but now doing it himself. 'I'm not telegraphing anything,' he said, minutes after explaining what he wanted to do in Syria.... The president again disagreed with his intelligence chiefs, saying there is a 'very good chance' he can make a deal with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un to give up his nuclear weapons at a summit next month, which the president said was already scheduled. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Here's the transcript of the interview. (Also linked yesterday.) ...

I feel like Trump interviews could benefit from literally slowing down. One of his methods is literal fast-talking, speaking over questions and bombarding the audience with rapid incoherence that falls apart upon a moment of silence and a 'hold on, let's focus on this for a sec.' -- Daniel Dale of the Toronto Star, in a tweet ...

... Dan Friedman of Mother Jones: "... Donald Trump said on Sunday that he is committed to pulling troops out of Afghanistan and Syria. But in at times rambling remarks to CBS's Face the Nation, Trump also said he wants to keep US troops in Iraq to 'watch Iran.'"

Salvador Rizzo of the Washington Post: "Trump portrays [Texas] ... as a crime hub for undocumented immigrants, with rampant cases of voter fraud and thousands of child predators behind bars. Yet his tweets are laden with misleading and inaccurate statistics. The real Texas numbers are far less scary."

Where Are All the Best People? Juliet Eilperin, et al., of the Washington Post: "From the Justice Department to Veterans Affairs, vast swaths of the government have top positions filled by officials serving in an acting capacity -- or no one at all.... To deal with the number of vacancies in the upper ranks of departments, agencies have been relying on novel and legally questionable personnel moves that could leave the administration's policies open to court challenges. The lack of permanent leaders has started to alarm top congressional Republicans who are pressing for key posts to be filled. 'It's a lot, it's way too many," Sen. James Lankford (R-Okla.) said of the acting positions in Cabinet agencies.... By any standard, Trump's administration lags behind its predecessors when it comes to filling top posts throughout the government -- even though the president's party has controlled the Senate for his entire time in office. The Partnership for Public Service, which has tracked nominations as far back as 30 years, estimates that only 54 percent of Trump's civilian executive branch nominations have been confirmed, compared to 77 percent under President Barack Obama."

Jonathan Martin of the New York Times on "the duality of American politics in the Trump era. The largest class of women were just sworn into Congress last month. The congressional black and Hispanic caucuses are as big as they have ever been. Several Democratic candidates for president -- female, black, Hispanic, Asian-American, gay -- reflect the diversity of the country. And on Tuesday night, a leading African-American politician, Stacey Abrams of Georgia, will appear before millions to give the Democratic response to the State of the Union. If President Trump's election amounted to an angry rejoinder to America's first black president, as many on the left believe, Mr. Trump has created a backlash of his own, energizing women and people of color who represent an unmistakable rebuke to his demagogy on race and ethnicity and his misogynistic attacks. But the president is also reshaping Democratic politics in far-reaching ways: His divisive behavior, and the Republican silence that often meets it, has pushed Democrats to try to set an example by aggressively confronting current and past misconduct in their own ranks, as they did with [Virginia Gov. Ralph] Northam...."


Gregory Schneider
, et al., of the Washington Post: "Virginia Gov. Ralph Northam (D) called an unscheduled senior staff meeting Sunday night just before the start of the Super Bowl, as the governor considered resigning after two days of defiance amid a controversy over racist photos in his medical school yearbook. People familiar with the meeting said the governor had not reached a final decision about his fate. It was unclear who was there, besides that it involved senior staffers of color. But Lt. Gov. Justin Fairfax, who would become governor if Northam resigned, was not there, the people said. Calling the Sunday night meeting was a clear signal of Northam's effort to weigh support within the administration as he evaluates his options. Though he pledged on Saturday to stand his ground, he also said he would reconsider if he felt he could no longer be effective. Just a day later, resignation is an active consideration, the people said." ...

... Alan Blinder & Trip Gabriel of the New York Times: "The refusal by Ralph Northam, the Democratic governor of Virginia, to resign after the revelation of a racist photograph is threatening his party's political fortunes in Virginia, where Democrats are on the brink of consolidating power after a decade-long rise in the once-conservative state.... This week is arguably among the most crucial of the year's 46-day legislative session, with an important deadline for bills to advance. The speaker of the House of Delegates, Kirk Cox, and other Republican legislators warned that Mr. Northam's 'ability to lead and govern is permanently impaired.'" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: One thing you can count on is that the inclination to racism & misogyny tracks nearly perfectly with egocentrism. One can hardly expect a racist to fall on his sword for the greater good. Northam may be forced out, but it won't be for want of trying to cling to power. ...

... Christian Vasquez of Politico: "... Donald Trump on Saturday weighed in on Virginia Gov. Ralph Northam's racial controversy -- by taking a shot at his 2017 Republican gubernatorial challenger, Ed Gillespie. 'Ed Gillespie, who ran for Governor of the Great State of Virginia against Ralph Northam, must now be thinking Malpractice and Dereliction of Duty with regard to his Opposition Research Staff. If they find that terrible picture before the election, he wins by 20 points!' Trump tweeted. Gillespie appears to remain a sore spot for Trump.... Gillespie, a former chairman of the Republican National Committee and counselor to George W. Bush, never invited Trump to campaign. After Northam won, Trump tweeted that Gillespie 'did not embrace me or what I stand for.'" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Tom Nichols, in a Washington Post opinion piece: "... while Democrats, and decent people everywhere, have a right to demand that [Virginia Gov. Ralph] Northam step down, Republicans who continue to support a party dominated by Trump can't be taken seriously on this point. Trump's record on race-related issues is abysmal.... For the most part, the party has indulged his race-baiting comments and his crude handling of racial issues. But somehow party leaders, who stand firmly behind him, and a national party that just passed a resolution expressing 'undivided support' for him, seems to have no qualms about calling out Northam.... There are plenty of good arguments for kicking Northam out of his job. The newfound racial piety of a party that sold its soul to Trump isn't one of them." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Amy Gardner, et al., of the Washington Post: A "sweep [of arrests] across eastern North Carolina was one of the most aggressive voting-fraud crackdowns by a Trump-appointed prosecutor -- and also a deliberate choice that demonstrates where the administration's priorities stand. At the time of the arrests [which numbered 20], an organized ballot-tampering effort that state officials had repeatedly warned about was allegedly gearing up in the same part of North Carolina. The operation burst into public view after Election Day in November when the state elections board, citing irregularities in the mail-in vote, refused to certify the results of the 9th Congressional District race. That seat remains unfilled while state officials investigate. The decision by U.S. Attorney Robert Higdon Jr. to focus his office's resources on the prosecution of noncitizens rather than the ballot-tampering allegations in Bladen County comes amid a broad push by President Trump and other Republicans to portray illegal voting as a widespread phenomenon that threatens the integrity of American elections. After the August arrests, Higdon issued subpoenas for millions of records of foreign-born voters from state and local agencies -- a request North Carolina officials have said will consume an enormous amount of time and costs millions of dollars."

** David Leonhardt of the New York Times: "More often than not over the past 40 years, our government has helped the rich at the expense of everyone else. As a result, economic inequality has reached Gilded Age levels. In the face of these trends, the radical response is to do nothing -- or to make inequality even worse, as President Trump's policies have. It's radical because soaring inequality is starting to threaten the basic fabric of American life. Many people have grown frustrated and cynical. Average life expectancy, amazingly, has fallen over the past few years. Over the sweep of history, the main reason that societies have declined, as the scholars Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson have written, is domination 'by a narrow elite that have organized society for their own benefit at the expense of the vast mass of people.'" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: See also Alex Shephard's opinion, linked yesterday, on what Democrats should do about Howard Schultz & his regressive, self-serving fake "middle road." ...

... Washington Post Editors: "Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) ... [has a plan better than Elizabeth Warren's wealth tax]: substantially hiking the estate tax on huge inheritances, an alternative to taxing someone's fortune during his or her lifetime.... Mr. Sanders estimates that his plan would raise $315 billion over a decade. That revenue is badly needed. Federal debt as a share of the economy has spiked. Rising generations face huge challenges paying for the health care and pensions of their retiring parents. Meanwhile, the very wealthiest Americans have done extremely well in recent decades, with a drift toward an ever-higher concentration of national wealth at the top." ...

... Chuck Schumer & Bernie Sanders in a New York Times op-ed: "From the mid-20th century until the 1970s, American corporations shared a belief that they had a duty not only to their shareholders but to their workers, their communities and the country.... It created an extremely prosperous America for working people and the broad middle of the country. But over the past several decades, corporate boardrooms have become obsessed with maximizing only shareholder earnings..., helping to create the worst level of income inequality in decades. One way in which this pervasive corporate ethos manifests itself is the explosion of stock buybacks. So focused on shareholder value, companies ... have been dedicating ever larger shares of their profits to dividends and corporate share repurchases.... Fueled by the Trump tax cut, in 2018, United States corporations repurchased more than $1 trillion of their own stock, a staggering figure and the highest amount ever authorized in a single year. This has become an enormous problem for workers and for the long-term strength of the economy.... We are planning to introduce bold legislation to address this crisis. Our bill will prohibit a corporation from buying back its own stock unless it invests in workers and communities first, including things like paying all workers at least $15 an hour, providing seven days of paid sick leave, and offering decent pensions and more reliable health benefits."

Medlar's Sports Report. Ken Belson of the New York Times: "Putting up with pain -- a lot of it -- has for decades been central to the bargain of playing for glory and money in the N.F.L.... To do that, countless players have long ingested far more pills than they should. In recent years though, N.F.L. players, especially linemen, have gotten significantly larger, and pain medication has become far more potent and addictive, with devastating consequences. A study published last year in the Clinical Journal of Sport Medicine found that 26.2 percent of retired players said they had used prescription opioids within the past 30 days. Nearly half of those players said they did not use them as prescribed. Seven percent of retired players -- equal to about 1,500 men -- said they had misused painkillers in the past month, according to a study conducted in 2011 by researchers at Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis."

Mrs. McCrabbie: In response to unwashed's comment below, here's a shot of Trump's NYC penthouse I had not seen before. Trump calls the design style "comfortable modernism":

Way Beyond the Beltway

God Save the Queen. David Herszenhorn of Politico: "If Britain crashes out of the EU, and things go bad in London, Queen Elizabeth II will be ready to make her own exit -- to an undisclosed location. The U.K. government has repurposed Cold War emergency evacuation planning to prepare for the chance of violence and mayhem following a no-deal Brexit, and the need to protect the royal family, the Sunday Times and the Mail on Sunday reported." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Saturday
Feb022019

The Commentariat -- February 3, 2019

Afternoon Update:

The Laziest President* in American History. Alexi McCammond & Jonathan Swan of Axios: "A White House source has leaked nearly every day of President Trump's private schedule for the past three months.... This unusually voluminous leak gives us unprecedented visibility into how this president spends his days. The schedules, which cover nearly every working day since the midterms, show that Trump has spent around 60% of his scheduled time over the past 3 months in unstructured 'Executive Time.' We've published every page of the leaked schedules in a piece that accompanies this item. To protect our source, we retyped the schedules in the same format that West Wing staff receives them.... Trump ... usually spends the first 5 hours of the day in Executive Time.... He spends his mornings in the residence, watching TV, reading the papers, and responding to what he sees and reads by phoning aides, members of Congress, friends, administration officials and informal advisers.... Some days, Executive Time totally predominates. For instance, he had 1 hour of scheduled meetings on Jan. 18 (with acting chief of staff Mick Mulvaney and Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin) and 7 hours of Executive Time." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: I suspect this is the most Trump can manage. He's a fat old guy, his diet is terrible, (and who knows? he might be taking energy-sapping meds). As a result, he doesn't have much energy. Since Ronny Jackson will once again be performing & reporting on Trump's annual physical exam, we'll never know what's wrong with his health & ability to function.

Josh Dawsey of the Washington Post: "President Trump declined to say Sunday whether he wants the findings of special counsel Robert S. Mueller III's investigation made public, instead promising to defer to the Justice Department.... Asked about the 34 people Mueller's probe has indicted, the president said none of the charges were related to him or collusion with Russia. In fact, Mueller's team has indicted a number of Trump campaign or administration officials for lying about their interactions with Russia.... The president's comments on the investigation, which the acting attorney general said is wrapping up soon, came in a wide-ranging interview with CBS News. Among the highlights of the interview: The president said he is keeping another government shutdown on the table, outlined disagreements with top intelligence officials, argued that keeping troops in Iraq is vital to watching Iran, contended that having a Cabinet packed with interim secretaries is a plus for his administration and again attacked former defense secretary Jim Mattis by falsely saying he forced him to resign.... He repeatedly cited the costs of having troops all over the world as a reason to bring them home. He struggled to reconcile his criticisms of [President] Obama for telegraphing withdrawals of troops but now doing it himself. 'I'm not telegraphing anything,' he said, minutes after explaining what he wanted to do in Syria.... The president again disagreed with his intelligence chiefs, saying there is a 'very good chance' he can make a deal with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un to give up his nuclear weapons at a summit next month, which the president said was already scheduled. ...

... Here's the transcript of the interview.

Christian Vasquez of Politico: "... Donald Trump on Saturday weighed in on Virginia Gov. Ralph Northam's racial controversy -- by taking a shot at his 2017 Republican gubernatorial challenger, Ed Gillespie. 'Ed Gillespie, who ran for Governor of the Great State of Virginia against Ralph Northam, must now be thinking Malpractice and Dereliction of Duty with regard to his Opposition Research Staff. If they find that terrible picture before the election, he wins by 20 points!' Trump tweeted. Gillespie appears to remain a sore spot for Trump.... Gillespie, a former chairman of the Republican National Committee and counselor to George W. Bush, never invited Trump to campaign. After Northam won, Trump tweeted that Gillespie 'did not embrace me or what I stand for.'"

Tom Nichols, in a Washington Post opinion piece: "... while Democrats, and decent people everywhere, have a right to demand that [Virginia Gov. Ralph] Northam step down, Republicans who continue to support a party dominated by Trump can't be taken seriously on this point. Trump's record on race-related issues is abysmal.... For the most part, the party has indulged his race-baiting comments and his crude handling of racial issues. But somehow party leaders, who stand firmly behind him, and a national party that just passed a resolution expressing 'undivided support' for him, seems to have no qualms about calling out Northam.... There are plenty of good arguments for kicking Northam out of his job. The newfound racial piety of a party that sold its soul to Trump isn't one of them."

God Save the Queen. David Herszenhorn of Politico: "If Britain crashes out of the EU, and things go bad in London, Queen Elizabeth II will be ready to make her own exit -- to an undisclosed location. The U.K. government has repurposed Cold War emergency evacuation planning to prepare for the chance of violence and mayhem following a no-deal Brexit, and the need to protect the royal family, the Sunday Times and the Mail on Sunday reported."

*****

** John Walcott of Time: "In the wake of ... Donald Trump's renewed attacks on the U.S. intelligence community this week, senior intelligence briefers are breaking two years of silence to warn that the President is endangering American security with what they say is a stubborn disregard for their assessments. Citing multiple in-person episodes, these intelligence officials say Trump displays what one called 'willful ignorance' when presented with analyses generated by America's $81 billion-a-year intelligence services. The officials, who include analysts who prepare Trump's briefs and the briefers themselves, describe futile attempts to keep his attention by using visual aids, confining some briefing points to two or three sentences, and repeating his name and title as frequently as possible. What is most troubling, say these officials and others in government and on Capitol Hill who have been briefed on the episodes, are Trump's angry reactions when he is given information that contradicts positions he has taken or beliefs he holds. Two intelligence officers even reported that they have been warned to avoid giving the President intelligence assessments that contradict stances he has taken in public." Emphasis added. ...

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: mike pence knows this. Mike Pompeo knows this. John Bolton knows this. So do other senior officials & some members of the Cabinet. Why haven't they invoked the 25th Amendment? The House should speed up impeachment proceedings. Waiting for Mueller is no longer a reasonable option.

David Enrich, et al., of the New York Times: "To finance his business's growth [in early 2016], [Donald] Trump turned to a longtime ally, Deutsche Bank, one of the few banks still willing to lend money to the man who has called himself 'The King of Debt.' Mr. Trump's loan request, which has not been previously reported, set off a fight that reached the top of the German bank, according to three people familiar with the request. In the end, Deutsche Bank did something unexpected. It said no. Senior officials at the bank, including its future chief executive, believed that Mr. Trump's divisive candidacy made such a loan too risky, the people said. Among their concerns was that if Mr. Trump won the election and then defaulted, Deutsche Bank would have to choose between not collecting on the debt or seizing the assets of the president of the United States.... The failed loan request ... shows that [Trump] was actively engaged in running his business in the midst of the presidential campaign, and it is likely to attract scrutiny from Democrats on two House committees that are investigating his two-decade relationship with Deutsche Bank." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: The Times reporters have it all wrong. As I wrote earlier, based on Trumpenlogic, "It's not business if you try & fail to complete a deal." See also Akhilleus's comment, yesterday, on Trumpenlogic. Akhilleus does kinda rip it to shreds.

** Dana Milbank: "Sarah Sanders, asked by the Christian Broadcasting Network this week about Trump being the right man for the moment, replied: 'I think God calls all of us to fill different roles at different times, and I think that he wanted Donald Trump to become president, and that's why he's there.' This makes sense, because Trump has of late been acting as if he draws his authority from the divine right of kings. He's asserting his absolute power to act without -- and often in contravention of -- the Democratic House, the Republican Senate, his own intelligence agencies, law enforcement authorities and diplomats, and the will of the American public." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... AND Arwa Mahdawi in the Guardian points to another bit of Sanders "logic": "... it was God that put Trump in power rather than, you know, any of that Russian collusion malarkey." Mrs. McC: All kidding aside, it seems plausible that Sarah's faith in the divine right of King Donald is what allows her to go out every day & defend the indefensible. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

All the Best People, Ctd. Dan Lamothe & Josh Dawsey of the Washington Post: "President Trump has tapped a senior Navy officer that he considered last year to be his Veterans Affairs secretary for promotion to two-star admiral and to be his chief medical adviser, even though there is still an open Pentagon investigation against him into allegations that derailed his VA secretary nomination. The White House sent Rear Adm. Ronny L. Jackson's name for promotion consideration to the Senate on Jan. 15. He was serving as the president's doctor last April when Trump nominated him for the VA post, and withdrew from consideration after accusations of mismanagement and misconduct as White House physician emerged. A spokesman for the Defense Department Inspector General's Office ... said his office's investigation into Jackson is still ongoing." This is an update of a story linked yesterday.

Trump Administration Too Busy to Find the Children It Lost. Jacob Soboroff & Dennis Romero of NBC News: "The Trump administration said in a court filing that reuniting thousands of migrant children separated from their parents or guardians at the U.S.-Mexico border may not be 'within the realm of the possible.' The filing late Friday from Jallyn Sualog, deputy director of the department of Health and Human Services' Office of Refugee Resettlement, was an ordered response in an ACLU lawsuit challenging the government's separation of at least 2,737 children of migrants detained at the border since summer 2017. Sualog said her office doesn't have the resources to track down the children, whose numbers could be thousands more than the official estimate."

Also Too Busy to Provide Heat & Light in Freezing Prison. Annie Correal of the New York Times: "The inmates were held in cramped cells that had no electricity and were frigid cold. Vents in the ceiling were stuffed with clothing or cardboard to keep out icy air. At 2 p.m., the jail population had not yet been fed. Those were the conditions described on Saturday by elected officials in New York City who had visited a federal jail on the Brooklyn waterfront, Metropolitan Detention Center, where more than 1,600 inmates have been largely confined to their freezing, dark cells for nearly a week, since an electrical fire partially cut off power to the jail, prompting management to cancel visits and place inmates on lockdown.... Elected officials said jail officials rejected an offer by the city to supply emergency generators and emergency blankets. On Saturday evening Mayor Bill de Blasio said on Twitter that the city was sending trucks with hundreds of blankets and hand warmers to the jail and that generators were on the way 'whether they like it or not.'" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: This is the same administration that was horrified that armed federal agents, with warrants, entered the homes of poor Roger Stone & frightened his dogs. In a tweet, President* Trump wrote, "Border Coyotes, Drug Dealers and Human Traffickers are treated better" (than Stone was). Trump should be handing out blankets to freezing federal prisoners instead of golfing at Mar-a-Lago.

Yashar Ali of the Huffington Post: "When Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer's longtime communications director Matt House announced he was leaving just after November's midterm elections, the news was met with widespread bipartisan praise for House and his reputation for fairness.... House's departure, however, was not voluntary. HuffPost has learned, through two source with knowledge of the situation, that House was pushed out for allegedly having inappropriate sexual encounters with junior staffers, ending what was a nearly six-year tenure as communications director for the New York Democrat. The sources spoke on the condition of anonymity.... In a text-message statement late Friday, a spokesman for Schumer confirmed that House was forced out after the encounters were alleged[.]" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

** Presidential Race 2020. Alex Shephard of the New Republic: The "kind of mass hysteria has gripped the left [over Howard Schultz's candidacy] ... "bears an unflattering resemblance to the lane-clearing that party officials employed ahead of the 2016 election, coronating Hillary Clinton as the presumptive Democratic nominee well before the Iowa caucuses.... [But] Schultz ... [is] an out-of-touch billionaire with unpopular ideas straight out of the Democratic Party of the 1990s. He presents a stark opportunity for Democrats to show where they stand-by rejecting Clintonism once and for all.... Schultz won't compete in the Democratic primary because, he says, he doesn't believe in universal health care or free college, but it's also because he knows can't win the party's nomination. The question is whether his positions -- few though they may be at this stage -- are broadly popular. The evidence is that they're not.... Rather than treating him as a potential spoiler, Democrats should portray Schultz as emblematic of everything wrong with Trump's America. His opposition to taxing the wealth, support for cutting entitlements, and belief that plutocrats can solve the country's pressing problems make him the perfect villain.... Democrats can use Schultz's political flirtation as a dry-run for the policy arguments they will make over the next two years."

Capitalism Can Kill You. Katie Zezima & Lenny Bernstein of the Washington Post: "Members of the family that owns Purdue Pharma, the company that created the powerful opioid painkiller OxyContin, directed sales representatives to push extremely high doses of the drug and later tried to get involved in opioid addiction treatment as a way to boost profits, according to a lawsuit. Massachusetts Attorney General Maura Healey alleges the Sackler family, which controls Purdue, engaged in frequent acts of deception and misconduct to make as much money as possible, even as OxyContin sparked the nation's opioid crisis and its staggering toll of addiction and death. In parts of the lawsuit, Healey paints a portrait of insatiable greed and disregard for the suffering that the company's main product had caused. 'Eight people in a single family made the choices that caused much of the opioid epidemic,' the lawsuit contends."

Beyond the Beltway

Say What? Jonathan Martin, et al., of the New York Times: "Gov. Ralph Northam of Virginia, facing pressure from his own party to resign, said Saturday he would not quit and denied that he had appeared in Ku Klux Klan robes or in blackface in images from his medical school yearbook that have upended his governorship. 'It was definitely not me,' Mr. Northam, a Democrat, told reporters at a news conference in the governor's mansion.... Pressed on why he initially apologized, Mr. Northam said he had wanted to 'take credit for recognizing that this was a horrific photo that was on my page with my name on it.'... But he may have made his effort to remain in office more difficult by revealing that he had darkened his face with shoe polish for a Michael Jackson costume in a dance contest in Texas in 1984, when he was a young Army officer." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Yeah, he might have. "That isn't me in blackface here even though yesterday I said it was but that was me in blackface over there so I won't resign." Could be a problem. ...

... Marc Caputo of Politico: "... on Saturday, Ralph Northam staked a claim in the annals of most surreal political press conferences, presiding over a 40-minute extravaganza.... Here are six of the strangest moments of the presser." ...

... Laura Vozzella, et al., of the Washington Post: "... [Virginia] State Sen. L. Louise Lucas (D-Portsmouth) said that [Gov. Ralph] Northam called her Saturday morning and told her he did not think [a racist] picture [on his 1984 medical school yearbook page] was of him and he did not plan to resign. 'He should have said that yesterday then,' she said. 'He just told me he didn't think it's him. And I said, "Ralph, this is a day late and a dollar short. It's too late."' Around 10:30 a.m., the state Democratic party tweeted, 'We made the decision to let Governor Northam do the correct thing and resign this morning - we have gotten word he will not do so this morning.' Northam was defying an avalanche of calls to step down from the office he'd assumed not 13 months ago. He spent Friday night huddled with advisers. A meeting with the state's legislative black caucus went poorly. National Democrats, including a host of a 2020 contenders and former vice president Joe Biden, said he must resign. And even home-state allies who regarded him as a dear friend -- including immediate predecessor and patron Terry McAuliffe (D), himself a potential presidential candidate -- said he had to go." See related stories below for context. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Reminds me of Donald Trump, who -- after apologizing for his "locker-room talk" -- reportedly told people that he did not make the recorded "pussy-grabbing" remarks (which Billy Bush verified).