The Ledes

Sunday, July 20, 2025

New York Times: “The Cram fire in central Oregon, which is threatening 653 structures, most of them homes, has grown to more than 95,000 acres, making it the largest wildfire of the year so far in the United States.... Moister air and calmer winds are expected to blunt some of the fire’s growth over the weekend. It was 49 percent contained as of late Saturday night local time, according to InciWeb, a government site that tracks wildfires.” 

New York Times: “Torrential rain in parts of the Washington, D.C., area on Saturday led to flash flooding and prompted water rescues in Maryland and Virginia, the authorities said. More than five inches of rain fell in some densely populated Washington suburbs like Silver Spring on Saturday. Several major roads in Montgomery, Prince George’s and Anne Arundel counties in Maryland, as well as in Fairfax County in Virginia, were impassable on Saturday evening. In northwest Washington, D.C., parked cars were inundated with floodwaters.”

AP: “A vehicle rammed into a crowd of people waiting to enter a performance venue along a busy boulevard in Los Angeles early Saturday, injuring 30 people and leading bystanders to attack the driver, authorities said. The driver was later found to have been shot, according to police, who were searching for a suspected gunman who fled the scene along Santa Monica Boulevard in East Hollywood.... Twenty-three victims were taken to hospitals and trauma centers, according to police. Seven were in critical condition, the Los Angeles Fire Department said in a statement.... The driver, whose gunshot wound was found by paramedics, was also taken to a hospital.”

The Wires
powered by Surfing Waves
Help!

To keep the Conversation going, please help me by linking news articles, opinion pieces and other political content in today's Comments section.

Link Code:   <a href="URL">text</a>

OR here's a link generator. The one I had posted died, then Akhilleus found one, but it too bit the dust. He found yet another, which I've linked here, and as of September 23, 2024, it's working.

OR you can always just block, copy and paste to your comment the URL (Web address) of the page you want to link.

Note for Readers. It is not possible for commenters to "throw" their highlighted links to another window. But you can do that yourself. Right-click on the link and a drop-down box will give you choices as to where you want to open the link: in a new tab, new window or new private window.

Thank you to everyone who has been contributing links to articles & other content in the Comments section of each day's "Conversation." If you're missing the comments, you're missing some vital links.

INAUGURATION 2029

Hubris. One would think that a married man smart enough to start up and operate his own tech company was also smart enough to know that you don't take your girlfriend to a public concert where the equipment includes a jumbotron -- unless you want to get caught on the big camera with your arms around said girlfriend. Ah, but for Andy Bryon, CEO of A company called Astronomer, and also maybe his wife, Wednesday was a night that will live in infamy. New York Times link. ~~~

Commencement ceremonies are joyous occasions, and Steve Carell made sure that was true this past weekend (mid-June) at Northwestern's commencement:

~~~ Carell's entire commencement speech was hilarious. The audio and video here isn't great, but I laughed till I cried.

CNN did a live telecast Saturday night (June 7) of the Broadway play "Good Night, and Good Luck," written by George Clooney and Grant Heslov, about legendary newsman Edward R. Murrow's effort to hold to account Sen. Joe McCarthy, "the junior senator from Wisconsin." Clooney plays Murrow. Here's Murrow himself with his famous take on McCarthy & McCarthyism, brief remarks that especially resonate today: ~~~

     ~~~ This article lists ways you still can watch the play. 

New York Times: “The New York Times Company has agreed to license its editorial content to Amazon for use in the tech giant’s artificial intelligence platforms, the company said on Thursday. The multiyear agreement 'will bring Times editorial content to a variety of Amazon customer experiences,' the news organization said in a statement. Besides news articles, the agreement encompasses material from NYT Cooking, The Times’s food and recipe site, and The Athletic, which focuses on sports. This is The Times’s first licensing arrangement with a focus on generative A.I. technology. In 2023, The Times sued OpenAI and its partner, Microsoft, for copyright infringement, accusing the tech companies of using millions of articles published by The Times to train automated chatbots without any kind of compensation. OpenAI and Microsoft have rejected those accusations.” ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: I have no idea what this means for "the Amazon customer experience." Does it mean that if I don't have a NYT subscription but do have Amazon Prime I can read NYT content? And where, exactly, would I find that content? I don't know. I don't know.

Washington Post reporters asked three AI image generators what a beautiful woman looks like. "The Post found that they steer users toward a startlingly narrow vision of attractiveness. Prompted to show a 'beautiful woman,' all three tools generated thin women, without exception.... Her body looks like Barbie — slim hips, impossible waist, round breasts.... Just 2 percent of the images showed visible signs of aging. More than a third of the images had medium skin tones. But only nine percent had dark skin tones. Asked to show 'normal women,' the tools produced images that remained overwhelmingly thin.... However bias originates, The Post’s analysis found that popular image tools struggle to render realistic images of women outside the Western ideal." ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: The reporters seem to think they are calling out the AI programs for being unrealistic. But there's a lot about the "beautiful women" images they miss. I find these omissions remarkably sexist. For one thing, the reporters seem to think AI is a magical "thing" that self-generates. It isn't. It's programmed. It's programmed by boys, many of them incels who have little or no experience or insights beyond comic books and Internet porn of how to gauge female "beauty." As a result, the AI-generated women look like cartoons; that is, a lot like an air-brushed photo of Kristi Noem: globs of every kind of dark eye makeup, Scandinavian nose, Botox lips, slathered-on skin concealer/toner/etc. makeup, long dark hair and the aforementioned impossible Barbie body shape, including huge, round plastic breasts. 

New York Times: “George Clooney’s Broadway debut, 'Good Night, and Good Luck,' has been one of the sensations of the 2024-25 theater season, breaking box office records and drawing packed houses of audiences eager to see the popular movie star in a timely drama about the importance of an independent press. Now the play will become much more widely available: CNN is planning a live broadcast of the penultimate performance, on June 7 at 7 p.m. Eastern. The performance will be preceded and followed by coverage of, and discussion about, the show and the state of journalism.”

No free man shall be seized or imprisoned, or stripped of his rights or possessions, or outlawed or exiled, or deprived of his standing in any other way, nor will we proceed with force against him, or send others to do so, except by the lawful judgment of his equals or by the law of the land. -- Magna Carta ~~~

~~~ New York Times: “Bought for $27.50 after World War II, the faint, water stained manuscript in the library of Harvard Law School had attracted relatively little attention since it arrived there in 1946. That is about to change. Two British academics, one of whom happened on the manuscript by chance, have discovered that it is an original 1300 version — not a copy, as long thought — of Magna Carta, the medieval document that helped establish some of the world’s most cherished liberties. It is one of just seven such documents from that date still in existence.... A 710-year-old version of Magna Carta was sold in 2007 for $21.3 million.... First issued in 1215, it put into writing a set of concessions won by rebellious barons from a recalcitrant King John of England — or Bad King John, as he became known in folklore. He later revoked the charter, but his son, Henry III, issued amended versions, the last one in 1225, and Henry’s son, Edward I, in turn confirmed the 1225 version in 1297 and again in 1300.”

 

Contact Marie

Email Marie at constantweader@gmail.com

Constant Comments

Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts.

Success is not final, failure is not fatal; it is the courage to continue that counts. — Anonymous

A nation of sheep will beget a government of wolvesEdward R. Murrow

Publisher & Editor: Marie Burns

I have a Bluesky account now. The URL is https://bsky.app/profile/marie-burns.bsky.social . When Reality Chex goes down, check my Bluesky page for whatever info I am able to report on the status of Reality Chex. If you can't access the URL, I found that I could Google Bluesky and ask for Marie Burns. Google will include links to accounts for people whose names are, at least in part, Maria Burns, so you'll have to tell Google you looking only for Marie.

Tuesday
Jan292019

The Commentariat -- January 30, 2019

Afternoon Update:

Eileen Sullivan of the New York Times: "President Trump on Wednesday pushed back against his intelligence chiefs' national security assessments, saying 'the Intelligence people seem to be extremely passive and naive when it comes to the dangers of Iran,' and he defended his own, more positive appraisals of threats to the United States posed by North Korea and the Islamic State. 'Perhaps Intelligence should go back to school,' Mr. Trump said.... In a series of Twitter posts the day after senior American intelligence officials briefed Congress and directly contradicted some of Mr. Trump's rosier estimations, the president reasserted his own conclusions and trumpeted his accomplishments on critical national security matters. He said the Islamic State's control in parts of Iraq and Syria 'will soon be destroyed,' and that there was a 'decent chance of Denuclearization' in North Korea." Ms. McC: Because he says so. If these people are so naive, why did Trump appoint them to positions so vital to our national security?

Erica Werner, et al., of the Washington Post: "President Trump warned Wednesday that lawmakers would be 'wasting their time' if they do not discuss a wall or physical barrier along the Southern border as part of a deal to stave off another government shutdown. But some Democrats said their starting point in the new negotiation is no money for physical barriers of any kind."

Hey, Wisconsin, You've Been Had. Natalie Kitroeff & Patricia Cohen of the New York Times: "Foxconn, the giant Taiwan-based company that announced plans for a $10 billion display-making factory in Wisconsin, now says it is rethinking the project's focus because of 'new realities' in the global marketplace. The project was hailed by President Trump at a groundbreaking last June as the 'eighth wonder of the world' and an example of his efforts to attract foreign investment to create manufacturing jobs.... Foxconn is a supplier to Apple and other tech giants. It was lured to Wisconsin in 2017 after former Gov. Scott Walker and state lawmakers agreed to more than $4 billion in tax credits and other inducements over a 15-year period. Those subsidies amounted to $15,000 to $19,000 per job annually, for a plant that the company said would employ as many as 13,000 workers...."

Nicole Perlroth of the New York Times: "... it wasn't until ... more than a week after [Michele] Thompson first notified Apple of [a serious security flaw on an Apple app which her son Grant discovered], that Apple raced to disable Group FaceTime and said it was working on a fix. The company reacted after a separate developer reported the FaceTime flaw and it was written about on 9to5mac.com, a news site for Apple fans, in an article that went viral. The FaceTime problem has already been branded 'FacePalm' by security researchers, who say Apple's security team should have known better.... The company has not addressed how the flaw passed through quality assurance, why it was so slow to respond to Ms. Thompson's urgent warnings, or whether it intends to reward the teenager whose mother raced to alert the company to the bug in the first place."

Trump May Have Planned a Dirty Campaign as Early as April 2016. Betsy Woodruff & Erin Banco of the Daily Beast: "Days after Donald Trump rode down an escalator at Trump Tower [in 2015] and announced he'd run for president, a little-known consulting firm with links to Israeli intelligence started gaming out how a foreign government could meddle in the U.S political process.... The firm conducted an analysis of how illicit efforts might shape American politics. Months later, the Trump campaign reviewed a pitch from a company owned by that firm's founder -- a pitch to carry out similar efforts. The founder of the firm, called Wikistrat, has been questioned by Special Counsel Robert Mueller's team as they investigate efforts b foreign governments to shape American politics during the 2016 presidential campaign.... In April 2016, senior Trump campaign official Rick Gates reviewed a pitch produced by a company called Psy Group [owned by Wikistrat's founder Joel Zamel].... After Trump became the party's official nominee, Zamel met with Donald Trump Jr. and discussed the plan, which echoed both the real election interference already underway by the Kremlin and the scenario Wikistrat gamed out the year before.... It's unclear if the Psy Group plans ever went forward."

*****

Top Intelligence Officials Testify Trump Is a Liar and/or a Loon. Sort of. David Sanger & Julian Barnes of the New York Times: "A new American intelligence assessment of global threats has concluded that North Korea is 'unlikely to give up' all of its nuclear stockpiles, and that Iran is not 'currently undertaking the key nuclear weapons-development activity' needed to make a bomb, directly contradicting two top tenets of President Trump's foreign policy. Dan Coats, the director of national intelligence, also challenged Mr. Trump's insistence that the Islamic State had been defeated, a key rationale for his decision to exit from Syria. The terrorist group, the annual 'Worldwide Threat Assessment' report to Congress concluded, 'still commands thousands of fighters in Iraq and Syria,' and maintains eight branches and a dozen networks around the world.... Gina Haspel, the C.I.A. director, said the North Korean government 'is committed to developing a long-range nuclear-armed missile that would pose a direct threat to the United States.'... Perhaps the strongest rebuke of Mr. Trump's security priorities comes in what is missing from the threat assessment: any rationale for building a wall along the southwestern border.... The assessment also argues that while Russia's ability to conduct cyberespionage and influence campaigns is similar to the one it ran in the 2016 American presidential election, the bigger concern is that 'Moscow is now staging cyberattack assets to allow it to disrupt or damage U.S. civilian and military infrastructure during a crisis.' It specifically noted the Russian planting of malware in the United States electricity grid.... Taken together, the report paints a picture of threats vastly different from those asserted by Mr. Trump." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

     ... Update. Kevin Drum: "Keep in mind that the heads of the intelligence agencies are all Trump appointees. And apparently they all agree that he's an idiot." ...

... Turtle Vows to Beat Harebrain. Ted Barrett of CNN: "Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is pushing an amendment to a Middle East policy bill that would acknowledge 'al Qaeda, ISIS and their affiliates in Syria and Afghanistan continue to pose a serious threat to us here at home,' a move seen as a sharp rebuke to ... Donald Trump's push to withdraw US troops from Syria. 'It would recognize the dangers of a precipitous withdrawal from either conflict and highlight the need for diplomatic engagement and political solutions to the underlying conflicts in Syria and Afghanistan,' McConnell said Tuesday from the Senate floor, announcing the amendment to the bill, which is currently being debated. Exact timing for the final vote on the bill, which at this point enjoys bipartisan support, has not yet been determined. McConnell added that, 'while it is tempting to retreat to the comfort and security of our own shores, there is still a great deal of work to be done.....we're not the world's policemen, but we are the leaders of the free world.'"

John Hudson & Ellen Nakashima of the Washington Post: "Russian officials made a secret proposal to North Korea last fall aimed at resolving deadlocked negotiations with the Trump administration over the North's nuclear weapons program, said U.S. officials familiar with the discussions. In exchange for North Korea dismantling its nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles, Moscow offered the country a nuclear power plant. The Russian offer, which intelligence officials became aware of in late 2018, marked a new attempt by Moscow to intervene in the high-stakes nuclear talks as it reasserts itself in a string of geopolitical flash points from the Middle East to South Asia to Latin America.... It's unclear how President Trump will view Moscow's proposal. For months, he has embraced an unorthodox approach to the negotiations, but his aides are likely to strenuously oppose any major Russian role in a final agreement."

This Russia Thing, Etc., Ctd.

Alex Ward of Vox: "If you're a US president, it's probably not a great idea to meet with a foreign leader who meddled in your country's elections without some way to record what's being discussed. But that's just what President Donald Trump apparently did -- again. According to the Financial Times, Trump spoke to Russian President Vladimir Putin during last November's G20 summit in Argentina without a US official present to take notes. First lady Melania Trump was by the president's side during the chat, but no staff joined them. The White House had previously acknowledged that both leaders met for an 'informal' talk but didn't disclose that Trump had no official member of his team present. Putin did have someone, though: his translator, although it's unclear if that person wrote anything down.... Trump continually finds ways to meet with Putin privately.... The administration apparently has no notes of any of the many Trump-Putin interactions over a two-year span. And at least on one occasion in 2017, Trump told his translator after an official meeting with Putin not to share details of the meeting with staff. Trump actually seized his notes." ...

... William Sumner of Daily Kos: "The Trump-Putin meeting came days after Trump had formally cancelled a meeting with Putin over Russia's attack on a trio of Ukrainian ships in international waters. A Russian account says that the two men spoke for about 15 minutes about topics that included the Russian attack and events in Syria. There is no U.S. account. Neither Trump nor anyone else has offered any summary of the discussion. Three weeks after the discussion, Trump unexpectedly announced that he would withdraw all U.S. forces from Syria. That decision, by which Trump abandoned U.S. allies and further upset the balance in the region, directly led to the resignation of Defense Secretary Jim Mattis. On his way out the door, Mattis made it clear that Trump's actions were a threat to the security of the U.S. and the region.

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: Mueller should subpoena Melanie to try to find out what-all Hubby & his Puppet Master discussed. It would be a shame, I guess, if she ended up lying to investigators & ended up in an orange jumpsuit. But I really don't care, do you? P.S. Ned Price, a former CIA intelligence office & aide to President Obama, pointed out on MSNBC that the Financial Times' source was Russian, as if Putin was "reminding" Trump that the Russians had kompromat on him & he had better follow Putin's "suggestions." Former national security advisor to President Obama Ben Rhodes made similar remarks on MSNBC.

Scott Stedman in Medium: "The developer of the proposed Trump Tower in Moscow that was negotiating with Michael Cohen and the Trump Organization appears to have an unaccounted 6 billion rubles or $90,000,000 after it received a loan from Sberbank in the weeks following the agreement with Trump.... The inconsistency between the stated amount of the loan and the actual amount of money available to IC Expert from Sberbank has not been previously reported.... Though there is no public evidence that any money flowed between any Trump associates and IC Expert, a letter from IC Expert CEO Andrey Rozov to Trump's lawyer Michael Cohen in September 2015 revealed a plan to use a company in the United States to handle any matters relating to Trump Tower Moscow.... It is unclear if such a corporation was ever incorporated in the United States." --s (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Mark Mazzetti & Adam Goldman of the New York Times: "President Trump's longtime adviser Roger J. Stone Jr. pleaded not guilty on Tuesday to felony charges in the special counsel investigation during a brief federal court appearance in which ... Mr. Stone appeared solemn and said little. During the 15-minute proceeding, a lawyer for Mr. Stone, Robert C. Buschel, entered the plea on his client's behalf to charges of obstruction, witness tampering and making false statements. After the hearing, Mr. Stone declined to comment to a throng of reporters following him through the courthouse and outside...." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)...

... Mimi Rocah in the Daily Beast: "Acting Attorney General Matthew Whitaker ... [said] -- in a completely inappropriate public statement -- that he 'thinks' the [special counsel's] investigation is 'close to being completed.'... But there is much about this indictment and other public aspects of the Mueller probe that I do believe support the conclusion that the investigation into whether or not there was a criminal conspiracy is not yet over.... I am talking here about criminal conspiracy, such as conspiracy to violate the campaign finance laws by soliciting or accepting a donation from a foreign entity (Russia or WikiLeaks); and/or conspiracy to defraud the United States by interfering in our free and fair elections; or participation in a computer hacking scheme." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Justin Rohrlich of Quartz: "After the sanctions were officially lifted [on three companies controlled by Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska, his company] En+ announced the addition of seven new directors to its board.... Three are Russian, two are British, and two are American.... [One of the Americans is] Christopher Bancroft Burnham, chairman and CEO of Cambridge Global Capital LLC.... [He] served as Under Secretary General for Management of the United Nations [where he worked alongside Trump's current national security adviser John Bolton].... [He] is a former Vice Chairman at Deutsche Bank Asset Management and co-founded and led Deutsche Bank's direct private equity group, RREEF Capital Partners.... The En+ release makes no mention of one other notable position Burnham also held: member of Donald Trump's presidential transition team." --safari: Maybe Mr. Burnhan is legit, but given the circumstances maybe they could've found one person NOT directly linked to Agent Orange? (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Ken Vogel of the New York Times: "Democrats in Congress are raising ethical concerns about connections between Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and a billionaire Republican donor who stands to benefit financially from the Trump administration's decision to lift sanctions on the Russian oligarch Oleg V. Deripaska's companies. In a letter to Mr. Mnuchin, a Democratic member of the House Intelligence Committee [Jackie Speier (Calif.)] said Mr. Mnuchin's connection to an entertainment business owned in part by the donor, Len Blavatnik, a business partner of Mr. Deripaska's, represented a potential conflict of interest.... Other Democrats are also considering taking steps to investigate Mr. Mnuchin's connections to Mr. Blavatnik, including Senator Ron Wyden of Oregon, the top Democrat on the Senate Finance Committee." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

     ... The story has been substantially updated. "'We are seeking an explanation as to how you managed your own potential conflicts of interest arising from your personal and professional relationships with major Rusal shareholder Len Blavatnik, a key beneficiary from your decision to delist Rusal,' the lawmakers, Representative Elijah E. Cummings of Maryland, the chairman of the House Oversight and Reform Committee, and Senator Ron Wyden of Oregon, the ranking Democrat on the Senate Finance Committee, said in [a] letter [to Mnuchin]."

     ... Excuse Us While We Backpedal. Mrs. McCrabbie: According to MSNBC, Treasury had admitted that Mnuchin was once a guest on Blavatnik's yacht, not a "frequent guest" as the Cummings-Wyden letter suggested, and that Treasury changed its assertion that Mnuchin had "no business relationship" with Blavatnik to Mnuchin's having "no direct business relationship" with Blavatnik. The letters from Speier & from Cummings-Wyden are fun reading." Not sure if Treasury is still claiming the suggestions of Mnuchin's "conflict of interest or ethical problem [is] 'absurd.'"

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Sure sounds like an international gang of thieves, doesn't it?

Karoun Demirjian of the Washington Post: "A planned Senate Judiciary Committee vote on William P. Barr's nomination to serve as attorney general has been delayed for a week, as Democrats continue to raise concerns about whether he would allow special counsel Robert S. Mueller III to finish his probe and publicize the results unimpeded. The delay, which is customary for high-profile nominations, is not expected to impede Barr's chances of being confirmed by the full Senate. But it is the latest reflection of the deep partisan tension surrounding Barr's nomination, most of which centers on Democrats' desire to protect Mueller's probe from being unduly constrained." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

The Trump Shutdown, Ctd. Month Two

     ... Via New York mag.

Delusions of Competence. Alayna Treene & Jonathan Swan of Axios: "Jared Kushner ran a white board planning session last week at the White House with the Koch network and other people who worked with him on criminal justice reform. The purpose: to see if the administration can replicate the approach they took to pass criminal justice reform to overhaul America's immigration system.... Kushner and his team met with faith leaders, Hispanic leaders and prominent conservatives. Some have expressed skepticism that Kushner -- a New York liberal with no background in immigration policy or politics -- could succeed where so many of his predecessors have failed.... Two senior White House officials told Axios they are stunned that Kushner thinks he could be the mediator who solves one of the most intractable problems in American politics for the past 20 years: immigration reform. One senior White House official told Axios that Kushner's success in criminal justice reform has no bearing whatsoever on his ability to succeed on immigration."

The Turtle Speaks. Marianne Levine of Politico: "Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said Tuesday that he would be open to a bipartisan proposal that would put an end to government shutdowns. At a press conference Tuesday, McConnell said he hopes that shutdowns can be avoided in the future and would consider a proposal to stop them from occurring. McConnell's remarks come as several lawmakers have proposed anti-shutdown legislation in the wake of the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, which ended Friday. 'I'd be open to anything that we could agree on, on a bipartisan basis, that would make them pretty hard to occur again,' McConnell said. 'There's some differences about how to craft that but I'm certainly open to it.' He added: 'I think this is an example of government dysfunction which should be embarrassing to everyone on a bipartisan basis.'" ...

... AP: "Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell on Tuesday criticized both tactics that ... Donald Trump has threatened to wield if congressional bargainers fail to craft a border security deal he supports: triggering a fresh government shutdown or declaring a national emergency so he can divert federal funds into building his prized border wall. 'I'm for narrow or broader,' McConnell, R-Ky., told reporters when asked to describe the breadth of a bipartisan border security accord that he'd back. 'I'm for whatever works that would prevent the level of dysfunction we've seen on full display here the last month and also doesn't bring about a view on the president's part that he needs to declare a national emergency.'... Reporters had not specifically asked McConnell about a shutdown or a possible emergency declaration, and it was noteworthy that [he] ... volunteered his opinions." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Taken together, McConnell's remarks of yesterday form a surprising break with the Lord High Executive. I have no idea how long this will last (one day?), but his willingness to speak out, rather than reserve his remarks for closed-door meetings, suggests the Crafty Turtle is really, really enjoying -- and is contributing to -- Trump's weakening power. Assuming Trump doesn't lose a primary challenge in 2020, we can be sure McConnell -- who also faces a 2020 Senate run -- will return to the Trump fold.

Sarah Ferris of Politico: "House Democrats plan to put Republicans on the spot Wednesday with a vote to condemn future government shutdowns, even as the threat of another border wall showdown remains just weeks away. Democratic leaders will force a vote on a resolution that states that 'shutdowns are detrimental to the nation and should not occur,' according to a draft of the measure obtained by Politico. The symbolic vote, led by Rep. Jennifer Wexton (D-Va.), does nothing to ward off the next shutdown threat. But it will draw unwanted attention to a House GOP conference that privately loathes the prospect of another shutdown battle when existing budgets run out on Feb. 15. Republicans will have to go on record on whether to oppose another shutdown even as ... Donald Trump's close advisers continue to insist it's a possibility as a hard-line tactic to demand border money."


President* Hip O. Crite-Lyer. Jonathan O'Connell
, et al., of the Washington Post: "President Trump's company plans to institute E-Verify, a federal program that allows employers to check whether new hires are legally eligible to work in the United States, in every one of its golf clubs, hotels and resorts, following a Washington Post report that its club in Westchester County, N.Y., employed undocumented immigrants for years.... The move is the first acknowledgment by the president's private business that it has failed to fully check the work status of all its employees, despite Trump's claims during the 2016 campaign that he used E-Verify across his properties. At the time, he called for the program to be mandatory for all employers. The decision by the Trump Organization is not likely to head off calls for an investigation by congressional Democrats, who on Tuesday began gathering signatures for a letter to FBI Director Christopher A. Wray seeking a probe into whether the president's company broke the law by hiring undocumented workers. The company's new embrace of E-Verify highlights the sharp disconnect between Trump's hard-line rhetoric on undocumented immigrants -- including his dark warnings that they threaten the country's safety and steal American jobs -- and what appears to have been a lax approach by his own business to checking the legal status of its workers."

Maya Averbuch & Kevin Sieff of the Washington Post: "The United States on Tuesday returned a Honduran asylum seeker to Mexico, marking the beginning of a sweeping new policy that forces asylum seekers to wait in Mexico as their claims are processed in American courts. Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen planned to visit the San Ysidro port of entry later in the day to 'assess implementation' of the new regulation, according to a DHS statement. The policy is one of the most dramatic changes to the American asylum system in decades -- an attempt by the Trump administration to deter migration by reducing the number of migrants who live and work in the United States while awaiting their court dates. Already the plan has raised numerous human rights concerns, not to mention a flurry of logistical questions that neither the United States nor Mexico has been able to answer." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Numerous states introducing Bible Literacy classes, giving students the option of studying the Bible. Starting to make a turn back? Great! -- Donald Trump, in a tweet Monday

I was 's pastor for 5 years . I assure you, he had the 'option' to come to Bible study. He never 'opted' in. Nor did he ever actually enter the church doors. Not one time. -- David Lewicki, in a tweet yesterday

Michael Brice-Saddler of the Washington Post: "Former New Jersey governor Chris Christie took several shots at White House senior adviser Jared Kushner in his new book 'Let Me Finish,' alleging that in an act of spite, Donald Trump's son-in-law coordinated his removal from the president's transition team shortly after the 2016 election. He claims Kushner was still 'seething' from events that took place more than a decade prior -- when Christie, as a U.S. attorney, prosecuted Kushner's father, Charles, for tax evasion, witness tampering and illegal campaign contributions, sending the elder Kushner to prison for 14 months.... While discussing the case Tuesday [Christie said]: 'Mr. Kushner pled guilty, he admitted the crimes. So what am I supposed to do as a prosecutor?' Christie asked. 'If a guy hires a prostitute to seduce his brother-in-law, and videotapes it, and then sends the videotape to his sister in an attempt to intimidate her from testifying before a grand jury, do I really need any more justification than that?' He added, 'It's one of the most loathsome, disgusting crimes that I prosecuted when I was U.S. attorney,' Christie said during a segment with PBS's 'Firing Line With Margaret Hoover. And I was a U.S. attorney in New Jersey, Margaret -- so we had some loathsome and disgusting crime going on there!'" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: You know, many children of criminals or just plain creeps rebuke the offending parent, especially when the parent has hurt family members. But apparently not Jared. Maybe it's a mob family thing.

Next Tuesday night, will be the warm-up act for the real deal: Stacey Abrams. -- Sen. Chuck Schumer, in a tweet Thursday afternoon ...

... Felicia Sonmez & Vanessa Williams of the Washington Post: "Democrats have tapped Georgia's Stacey Abrams to deliver the response to President Trump's State of the Union address, Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.) announced Tuesday. Abrams narrowly lost the state's race for governor in November after a lengthy dispute over blocked votes. She will address the nation in a prime-time speech shortly after Trump finishes his address to a joint session of Congress next Tuesday night. 'She is just a great spokesperson. She's an incredible leader. She has led the charge for voting rights, which is at the root of just abouteverything else. ... I.m very excited that she.s agreed to be the respondent to the president,' Schumer told reporters." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Presidential Race 2020

It's AOC's Fault. Daily Beast: "Billionaire former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz says he can't run for president as a Democrat because he doesn't like Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's proposal to slap a 70-percent marginal tax rate on income above $10 million. 'I respect the Democratic Party. I no longer feel affiliated because I don't know their views represent the majority of Americans. I don't think we want a 70 percent income tax in America,' he said.... '... I believe that if I ran as a Democrat, I would have to say things that I know in my heart I do not believe, and I would have to be disingenuous.'" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Gee, a billionaire who runs for president because he wants his own taxes to stay low -- historically low. What kind of billionaire would do that? Oh. ...

... Cameron Joseph of TPM: "Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) took a shot Tuesday at former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz's chances of mounting a serious presidential campaign, the latest salvo in a budding feud between the progressive senator and her potential 2020 rival. 'We have a billionaire who says he wants to jump into the race and the first issue he's raised is "no new taxes on billionaires." Let's see where that goes,' she replied derisively when TPM asked if she was worried Schultz could play a spoiler role in the 2020 presidential election."

... Buy Your Fancy Coffee Someplace Else. Josh Marshall: "If you are upset with the Koch Brothers, there's not a lot you can do unless you buy a lot of industrial oil extraction machinery (yes, I know they own some other companies.) But a whole lot of us buy coffee and we pretty much all have other options."

Benjy Sarlin of NBC News: "Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., has made a splash with her plan for a 'wealth tax' on the super-rich.... While wealth taxes aren't a new invention and a handful of developed nations currently have them in place, they are on the decline: The number nations that are members of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development with a wealth tax dropped from 12 to four from 1990 to 2017, according to a report by the organization last year. With inequality hitting new heights, though, Democrats running for president have made finding new ways to tax the rich and distribute the benefits downward a key part of their economic message.... A wealth tax is an inefficient way to collect taxes. While the IRS can easily check the price of a publicly traded stock, it may be hard to value a privately held company or a rare art collection until it's sold, which is often a source of legal battles in calculating estate taxes. But unlike an estate, which is taxed once at death, the government would have to figure out the value every year.... The OECD's report found that countries with wealth taxes have tended to collect relatively similar amounts of revenue over time even as the overall wealth in their countries increased at much faster rates." ...

     ... Mrs. McC: I still think a wealth tax looks unconstitutional. If you look at the Sixteenth Amendment, you'll see why. (And no, "capitation," in this context does not mean "Off with their heads." But that's an idea.) ...

... Schultz Is So White. Timothy Burke of the Daily Beast: Howard Schultz "was loudly mocked in 2015 for launching a 'Race Together' campaign, which was done to spark conversations about racial inequality among patrons of his coffeeshop empire but which critics called tone deaf.... Schultz, in his new book, apologized for the 2015 campaign, acknowledging that it was 'patronizing.' But if more evidence is needed that race could become a complicating factor in a possible presidential run, one need look no further than the former CEO's music store. Starbucks, which sold music alongside coffee from 1994 to 2015, had, what could only be described as, a flat and white selection of tunes to offer.... There is only one disc offered in the online catalog under the 'hip-hop' label. It's an album titled 'All You Need Is Love' featuring songs from U2, The Dave Matthews Band and John Legend.... In selling music in his coffee shops, Schultz insisted that Starbucks would 'transform the retail record industry. That didn't happen.

Tim Arango of the New York Times: "Eric M. Garcetti, the two-term mayor of Los Angeles who has flirted with higher office the last two years by crisscrossing the country and raising money for the Democratic Party, said Tuesday he was not running for his party's nomination for president. Mr. Garcetti has spent the better part of two years saying he was actively considering running for president, but explained Tuesday that he wanted to continue his work in Los Angeles.... No sitting mayor has ever been elected president." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Lest you think it's silly for a relatively unknown mayor to run for president, bear in mind that it's a lot harder to run a city the size of L.A. than it is to sit atop a family business like the Trump Organization. Moreover, Los Angeles has a diverse population of about 4 million residents. That's more than the estimated populations of about half of U.S. states, most of which are far less ethnically diverse.


Trump's Tariffs Are Awesome, Ctd. Gabrielle Coppola
of Bloomberg News: "Harley-Davidson Inc. barely broke even in the last quarter of a year in which the struggling American icon got caught up in ... Donald Trump's trade wars. Th motorcycle maker's shares plunged the most in a year.... Trump attacked Harley last year after it announced plans to shift some U.S. production overseas to sidestep levies imposed by the European Union.... U.S. retail sales tumbled 10 percent in the three months ended in December, the eighth consecutive quarterly drop.... Trump said in August that he'd back a boycott of the company’s bikes for moving production out of America." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Coppola appears to let Trump at least partially off the hook for Harley's problems: "But the motorcycle maker has more than tariffs and angry tweets to blame for its performance," she wrote. Really? Isn't it possible/highly likely that there is a huge correspondence between Trumpbots & potential HOGs? So when Trump knocked Harley & suggested a boycott of the company, surely some would-be buyers -- say, maybe 10 percent -- took heed, formal boycott or no.

Amy Wang of the Washington Post: "A Vatican official who handles sexual abuse cases for the Catholic Church has quit two months after being accused of sexual abuse. On Monday, Hermann Geissler resigned from his position as chief of staff in the Congregation for the Doctrine of the Faith, a body that handles discipline in sexual abuse cases within the Catholic Church, according to a statement from the Holy See's press office. Geissler maintained his innocence but said he was resigning to protect the church."

Beyond the Beltway

Illinois. "MAGA Country." TMZ: "'Empire' star Jussie Smollett was brutally attacked by 2 men who beat him up, put his head in a noose and screamed, 'This is MAGA country.' Sources directly connected to Jussie tell TMZ, the actor arrived in Chicago from New York late Monday, and at around 2 AM he was hungry and went to a Subway. We're told when shortly after he walked out on his way home, someone yelled, 'Aren't you that f***ot 'Empire' n*****?' The 2 men -- both white and wearing ski masks -- viciously attacked Jussie as he fought back, but they beat him badly and fractured a rib. They put a rope around his neck, poured bleach on him and as they left they yelled, 'This is MAGA country.' Jussie took himself to Northwestern Memorial where he was treated. He was discharged later Tuesday morning." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

New York. Michael Sisak of the AP: "Former New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman used nearly $340,000 in political campaign funds to pay the law firm that represented him during an investigation of allegations that he physically abused several women, according to campaign finance reports reviewed by The Associated Press. The practice is legal, but reform activists say Schneiderman and other politicians are exploiting lax campaign finance rules. 'By and large, if you are an elected official, you can use your campaign contributions as a Get Out of Jail Free card,' said Blair Horner, the executive director of the New York Public Interest Research Group.... Schneiderman, a Democrat and nemesis of President Donald Trump, announced his resignation hours after The New Yorker published an expose saying four women had accused him of slapping or choking them. Some said Schneiderman was a heavy drinker."

Texas. Never Mind. Alexa Ura of the Texas Tribune: "Officials in five large [Texas] counties -- Harris, Travis, Fort Bend, Collins and Williamson -- told The Texas Tribune they had received calls Tuesday from the secretary of state's office indicating that some of the voters whose citizenship status the state said counties should consider checking should not actually be on those lists. The secretary of state's office incorrectly included some voters who had submitted their voting registration applications at Texas Department of Public Safety offices, according to county officials. Now, the secretary of state is instructing counties to remove them from the list of flagged voters.... It's ... unclear how many people will be removed from the original list of approximately 95,000 individuals.... Donald Trump and [anti-immigration bigot Texas] Attorney General Ken Paxton have pointed to the numbers to raise unsubstantiated claims of voter fraud. But election officials have pointed out that it's possible that many of the individuals could have become naturalized citizens since they obtained their driver's licenses or ID cards."

Way Beyond

Back to the Drawing Board. Again. Heather Stewart & Daniel Boffey of the Guardian: British PM "Theresa May was handed a two-week deadline to resuscitate her Brexit deal last night after she caved to Tory Eurosceptics and pledged to go back to Brussels to demand changes to the Irish backstop. With just 59 days to go until exit day, MPs narrowly passed a government-backed amendment, tabled by the senior Tory Graham Brady, promising to replace the Irish backstop with unspecified 'alternative arrangements'. But within minutes of the Commons result the European council president, Donald Tusk, announced that the EU was not prepared to reopen the deal.... On a dramatic day in Westminster the House of Commons also served notice that it would not support the government if it pursued a no-deal Brexit, undermining what May regards as one of her key bargaining chips...."

News Ledes

Chicago Tribune: "A fresh blast of frigid arctic air sent temperatures plummeting overnight and produced dangerously cold conditions that prompted schools, cultural institutions and government buildings including courthouses to call off business for Wednesday. All of northeast Illinois, northwest Indiana and southern Wisconsin was under a wind chill warning starting at 6 p.m. Tuesday until noon Thursday, with a wind chill advisory in effect until the warning period begins. Wednesday was expected to see air temperatures that range from minus 15 to minus 26, according to the National Weather Service. Gov. J.B. Pritzker issued a disaster proclamation Tuesday to provide resources to officials across the state."

"Neither snow nor rain nor heat nor gloom of night stays these couriers from the swift completion of their appointed rounds." Mostly. WGN-TV: "The extreme cold is causing the United States Postal Service to suspend delivery Wednesday, including western Illinois. In a statement, USPS said: 'Due to projected deteriorating weather conditions related to Polar Vortex Jayden, postal delivery operations will be suspended for ... Minnesota, Western Wisconsin, Iowa, Western Illinois. Retail operations at local offices will be available, but may be limited. There will be no collection mail pick up from businesses or collection boxes. Additionally, there will be no residential or commercial package pick-up services,' the statement said. Delivery is also suspended in South Dakota, potions of Montana, Kansas, Missouri and Nebraska."

Monday
Jan282019

The Commentariat -- January 29, 2019

Afternoon Update:

Top Intelligence Officials Testify Trump Is a Liar and/or a Loon. Sort of. David Sanger & Julian Barnes of the New York Times: "A new American intelligence assessment of global threats has concluded that North Korea is 'unlikely to give up' all of its nuclear stockpiles, and that Iran is not 'currently undertaking the key nuclear weapons-development activity' needed to make a bomb, directly contradicting two top tenets of President Trump's foreign policy. Dan Coats, the director of national intelligence, also challenged Mr. Trump's insistence that the Islamic State had been defeated, a key rationale for his decision to exit from Syria. The terrorist group, the annual 'Worldwide Threat Assessment' report to Congress concluded, 'still commands thousands of fighters in Iraq and Syria,' and maintains eight branches and a dozen networks around the world.... Gina Haspel, the C.I.A. director, said the North Korean government 'is committed to developing a long-range nuclear-armed missile that would pose a direct threat to the United States.'... Perhaps the strongest rebuke of Mr. Trump's security priorities comes in what is missing from the threat assessment: any rationale for building a wall along the southwestern border.... The assessment also argues that while Russia's ability to conduct cyberespionage and influence campaigns is similar to the one it ran in the 2016 American presidential election, the bigger concern is that 'Moscow is now staging cyberattack assets to allow it to disrupt or damage U.S. civilian and military infrastructure during a crisis.' It specifically noted the Russian planting of malware in the United States electricity grid.... Taken together, the report paints a picture of threats vastly different from those asserted by Mr. Trump."

Mark Mazzetti & Adam Goldman of the New York Times: "President Trump's longtime adviser Roger J. Stone Jr. pleaded not guilty on Tuesday to felony charges in the special counsel investigation during a brief federal court appearance in which the often flamboyant Mr. Stone appeared solemn and said little.During the 15-minute proceeding, a lawyer for Mr. Stone, Robert C. Buschel, entered the plea on his client's behalf to charges of obstruction, witness tampering and making false statements. After the hearing, Mr. Stone declined to comment to a throng of reporters following him through the courthouse and outside...." ...

... Mimi Rocah in the Daily Beast: "Acting Attorney General Matthew Whitaker ... [said] -- in a completely inappropriate public statement -- that he 'thinks' the [special counsel's] investigation is 'close to being completed.'... But there is much about this indictment and other public aspects of the Mueller probe that I do believe support the conclusion that the investigation into whether or not there was a criminal conspiracy is not yet over.... I am talking here about criminal conspiracy, such as conspiracy to violate the campaign finance laws by soliciting or accepting a donation from a foreign entity (Russia or WikiLeaks); and/or conspiracy to defraud the United States by interfering in our free and fair elections; or participation in a computer hacking scheme."

Scott Stedman in Medium: "The developer of the proposed Trump Tower in Moscow that was negotiating with Michael Cohen and the Trump Organization appears to have an unaccounted 6 billion rubles or $90,000,000 after it received a loan from Sberbank in the weeks following the agreement with Trump.... The inconsistency between the stated amount of the loan and the actual amount of money available to IC Expert from Sberbank has not been previously reported.... Though there is no public evidence that any money flowed between any Trump associates and IC Expert, a letter from IC Expert CEO Andrey Rozov to Trump’s lawyer Michael Cohen in September 2015 revealed a plan to use a company in the United States to handle any matters relating to Trump Tower Moscow.... It is unclear if such a corporation was ever incorporated in the United States." --s

Justin Rohrlich of Quartz: "After the sanctions were officially lifted [on three companies controlled by Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska, his company] En+ announced the addition of seven new directors to its board.... Three are Russian, two are British, and two are American.... [One of the Americans is] Christopher Bancroft Burnham, chairman and CEO of Cambridge Global Capital LLC.... [He] served as Under Secretary General for Management of the United Nations [where he worked alongside Trump's current national security adviser John Bolton].... [He] is a former Vice Chairman at Deutsche Bank Asset Management and co-founded and led Deutsche Bank's direct private equity group, RREEF Capital Partners.... The En+ release makes no mention of one other notable position Burnham also held: member of Donald Trump's presidential transition team." --safari: Maybe Mr. Burnhan is legit, but given the circumstances maybe they could've found one person NOT directly linked to Agent Orange? ...

... Ken Vogel of the New York Times: "Democrats in Congress are raising ethical concerns about connections between Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and a billionaire Republican donor who stands to benefit financially from the Trump administration's decision to lift sanctions on the Russian oligarch Oleg V. Deripaska's companies. In a letter to Mr. Mnuchin, a Democratic member of the House Intelligence Committee [Jackie Speier (Calif.)] said Mr. Mnuchin's connection to an entertainment business owned in part by the donor, Len Blavatnik, a business partner of Mr. Deripaska's, represented a potential conflict of interest.... Other Democrats are also considering taking steps to investigate Mr. Mnuchin's connections to Mr. Blavatnik, including Senator Ron Wyden of Oregon, the top Democrat on the Senate Finance Committee." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Sure sounds like an international gang of thieves, doesn't it?

Karoun Demirjian of the Washington Post: "A planned Senate Judiciary Committee vote on William P. Barr's nomination to serve as attorney general has been delayed for a week, as Democrats continue to raise concerns about whether he would allow special counsel Robert S. Mueller III to finish his probe and publicize the results unimpeded. The delay, which is customary for high-profile nominations, is not expected to impede Barr's chances of being confirmed by the full Senate. But it is the latest reflection of the deep partisan tension surrounding Barr's nomination, most of which centers on Democrats' desire to protect Mueller's probe from being unduly constrained."

Maya Averbuch & Kevin Sieff of the Washington Post: "The United States on Tuesday returned a Honduran asylum seeker to Mexico, marking the beginning of a sweeping new policy that forces asylum seekers to wait in Mexico as their claims are processed in American courts. Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen planned to visit the San Ysidro port of entry later in the day to 'assess implementation' of the new regulation, according to a DHS statement. The policy is one of the most dramatic changes to the American asylum system in decades -- an attempt by the Trump administration to deter migration by reducing the number of migrants who live and work in the United States while awaiting their court dates. Already the plan has raised numerous human rights concerns, not to mention a flurry of logistical questions that neither the United States nor Mexico has been able to answer."

Felicia Sonmez & Vanessa Williams of the Washington Post: "Democrats have tapped Georgia's Stacey Abrams to deliver the response to President Trump's State of the Union address, Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.) announced Tuesday. Abrams narrowly lost the state's race for governor in November after a lengthy dispute over blocked votes. She will address the nation in a prime-time speech shortly after Trump finishes his address to a joint session of Congress next Tuesday night. 'She is just a great spokesperson. She's an incredible leader. She has led the charge for voting rights, which is at the root of just about everything else. ... I'm very excited that she's agreed to be the respondent to the president,' Schumer told reporters."

"MAGA Country." TMZ: "'Empire' star Jussie Smollett was brutally attacked by 2 men who beat him up, put his head in a noose and screamed, 'This is MAGA country.' Sources directly connected to Jussie tell TMZ, the actor arrived in Chicago from New York late Monday, and at around 2 AM he was hungry and went to a Subway. We're told when shortly after he walked out on his way home, someone yelled, 'Aren't you that f***ot 'Empire' n*****?' The 2 men -- both white and wearing ski masks -- viciously attacked Jussie as he fought back, but they beat him badly and fractured a rib. They put a rope around his neck, poured bleach on him and as they left they yelled, 'This is MAGA country.' Jussie took himself to Northwestern Memorial where he was treated. He was discharged later Tuesday morning."

*****

The Trump Shutdown, Month Two, Ctd.

Sheryl Stolberg of the New York Times: "The fate of President Trump's $5.7 billion demand for a border wall is now in the hands of a 17-member bipartisan panel that includes some of the most senior members of Congress and, perhaps more tellingly, lacks the most vocal immigration hard-liners on Capitol Hill. Under the agreement Mr. Trump reached last week with congressional Democrats, a committee of Republican and Democratic lawmakers from both chambers -- known as a conference committee -- has until Feb. 15 to come up with a border security package.... The conference panel's members, appointed by House and Senate leaders, are drawn exclusively from the appropriations committees in each chamber, which have a long history of working in a bipartisan way."

Burgess Everett, et al., of Politico: "The Senate GOP has no appetite for another political debacle and is pushing Trump away from closing the government again.... If that [appropriations] committee fails, as many on the Hill privately believe is likely, Trump has touted two paths to again try to build his wall: a shutdown or a national emergency on the border. 'The preferred manner of going forward would be some type of executive action vs. shutdown. But that doesn't mean that shutdown is off the table,' said Meadows, who helped push Trump to shut down the government in the first place. Senate Republicans loathe both options, but for now, they'd choose almost anything over another funding lapse. As Sen. Mitt Romney (R-Utah) put it: 'I don't think we want to face another shutdown. And I certainly don't think we want to have emergency action taken. So the president and Congress will have to come together.'... Some Republican centrists are even suggesting that a bipartisan border agreement could withstand a veto threat." ...

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: When dealing with a simpleton, the solution is appropriately simple. In the "definitions" section of this part of the omnibus bill, simply define "wall" as a "fence or similar barrier which under no circumstance shall include a concrete, cinderblock, brick or similar masonry structure or barrier." That definition might need some fleshing out; for instance, adding that a certain (large) portion of "wall" is "virtual," i.e., electronic surveillance, etc. You get the idea. In the body of this section, use the term "wall" liberally and in short sentences. Hell, call this whole section of the bill "Border Wall." Then Trump can point to the title & simple sentences as a "win" for His Greatness. Idiot.

Thanks, Trump! Caitlin Emma & Jennifer Scholtes of Politico: "The five-week partial government shutdown cost the U.S. economy about $3 billion in forgone economic activity that won't be recovered, the Congressional Budget Office said in a new report Monday. Because the IRS was among the agencies unfunded during the shutdown, it had to slow down some compliance work. For that reason, CBO estimates tax revenue will be about $2 billion lower in fiscal 2019 and that 'much of the lost revenue ... will not be recouped.'... These CBO estimates did not include indirect effects. As the shutdown dragged on ... the 'risks to the economy were becoming increasingly significant,' including the blow to businesses that could not get federal permits, government-backed loans or grants, the budget scorekeeper said.... The agency projected that an overall $11 billion in losses due to the shutdown over ... Donald Trump's border wall will be offset by a projected $8 billion boost for the GDP through the remainder of the year." (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... Ashley Boucher of the Guardian: "The former superintendent [Curt Sauer] of Joshua Tree national park has said it could take hundreds of years to recover from damage caused by visitors during the longest-ever government shutdown.... The park reopened Monday after the record 35-day shutdown, and park workers returned to a state of chaos, including damaged trees, graffiti and ruined trails.... 'There are about a dozen instances of extensive vehicle traffic off roads and in some cases into wilderness,' David Smith, the current ... park superintendent [said].... 'Joshua trees were actually cut down in order to make new roads,' he added." --s

Devan Cole & Kevin Bohn of CNN: "... Donald Trump's second State of the Union address will not take place on Tuesday, an aide to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi told CNN.... Trump's director of strategic communications Mercedes Schlapp said Monday that the White House has been in discussions with Pelosi's office about rescheduling the address and that 'we should have a response soon.'" Mrs. McC: She should wait, IMO, till after the government is funded. (Also linked yesterday.) ...

     ... Update. Mrs. McCrabbie: Surprisingly, Speaker Pelosi did not take my advice: ...

     ... Michael Collins of USA Today: "House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has invited ... Donald Trump to deliver the State of the Union address at the Capitol on Feb. 5." Mrs. McC: This is a mistake. Trump will deliver the same bound-and-gagged-women pile of horrorscapes he & Stephen Miller dreamed up for the original speech. I will not be listening. (Also linked yesterday.)

This Russia Thing, Etc., Ctd.

Sharon LaFraniere & Katie Benner of the New York Times: "Matthew G. Whitaker, the acting attorney general, announced on Monday that the special counsel, Robert S. Mueller III, is wrapping up his investigation of Russian interference in the 2016 presidential campaign and whether the Trump campaign cooperated with Moscow's operation. 'The investigation is, I think, close to being completed, and I hope that we can get the report from Director Mueller as soon as possible,' Mr. Whitaker said. His impromptu remark, at the end of a news conference about an unrelated case, was a highly unusual confirmation of the state of the special counsel's investigation. Justice Department policy ordinarily prohibits public comment on open criminal inquiries, and Mr. Mueller has refused to publicly discuss the investigation since he was appointed in May 2017 to oversee it.... Mr. Whitaker's comments appeared to take even Justice Department officials by surprise. As soon as he described the special counsel's work as nearly over, a spokeswoman shut down the news conference, declaring hastily: 'That's all the time for today. Thank you so much.'"

Matt Zapotosky of the Washington Post: "Michael Cohen, Donald Trump's fixer turned vocal adversary, has swapped out his attorneys, one of his representatives said Monday, asserting that Cohen wanted new representation as he navigates testifying in various congressional inquiries. Lanny J. Davis ... said in a statement that Cohen is bringing on Michael Monico and Barry Spevack -- two veteran Chicago-based lawyers ... -- to replace Guy Petrillo and Amy Lester, who had represented him as he went through proceedings in federal court in Manhattan. A person familiar with the matter said Cohen had fallen behind in his bills to Petrillo and Lester, although Davis disputed that this led to the change.... On Monday, Rep. Adam B. Schiff (D-Calif.) said Cohen had agreed to appear voluntarily before the House Intelligence Committee on Feb. 8 for nonpublic testimony. He already had been issued a subpoena to appear before the Senate Intelligence Committee, also a closed-door session, and is expected to do so Feb. 12, Davis has said. Cohen had been scheduled to appear in public before a third panel -- the House Oversight Committee -- that same month but backed out last week, citing threats from President Trump and his lawyer, Rudolph W. Giuliani, as well as 'advice of counsel.'"

Kevin Breuninger of CNBC: "A federal judge Monday canceled former Trump campaign chief Paul Manafort's sentencing in his Virginia case, which was scheduled for Feb. 8, according to a filing. U.S. District Judge T.S. Ellis wrote that Manafort's 'current dispute' in a separate federal case in Washington, D.C., makes it 'prudent and appropriate to delay sentencing in this case.' Mueller's team had previously aimed to delay Manafort's sentencing in Virginia until the special counsel determined that he had finished cooperating with ... Robert Mueller's investigators."

Sara Murray & Katelyn Polantz of CNN: "A defense attorney for Andrew Miller, who's fighting a subpoena from Robert Mueller's investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election, learned Monday afternoon that the special counsel still wants witness testimony for a federal grand jury. Paul Kamenar, the defense attorney, says the assertion from Mueller's team made clear to him that Mueller and the Justice Department are considering an additional indictment of Roger Stone or have plans to charge others.... Miller [is] a former employee of Stone's whom Mueller subpoenaed in mid-2018 to testify to the grand jury. In a court hearing about Miller's testimony, a judge made clear that Mueller sought information Miller had about Stone's communications regarding Wikileaks and Russian hackers around the time they disseminated damaging hacked Democratic emails."

Eric Tucker of the AP: "... Donald Trump's pick for attorney general, William Barr, says Vice President Mike Pence is among the officials with whom he has discussed the special counsel's Russia investigation. Barr said in written responses to Senate questions made available Monday that he and Pence have had occasional conversations since the spring of 2017 on matters including policy and personnel. Some of those conversations included 'general discussion of the Special Counsel's investigation in which I gave my views on such matters as Bob Mueller's high integrity and various media reports. In these conversations, I did not provide legal advice, nor, to the best of my recollection, did he provide confidential information,' Barr told Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse, a Rhode Island Democrat."

Matt Miller, speaking on MSNBC, made a point in regard to the revelation in Chris Christie's book that Trump thought firing Michael Flynn would "end the Russia investigation," an assertion Christie, a former federal prosecutor, says caused him to LOL. Flynn "resigned" Feb. 13, 2017. The Trump-Christie dinner was Feb. 14. Thus, it appears Trump fired Flynn not because "he lied to mike pence," which was Trump's cover story, but to "end the Russia investigation." Miller thinks Christie just earned himself an interview with Bob Mueller.


President* Pandermore. Caitlin Oprysko
of Politico: "... Donald Trump on Monday cheered on the controversial push to introduce Bible literacy classes to public schools. 'Numerous states introducing Bible Literacy classes, giving students the option of studying the Bible. Starting to make a turn back? Great!' Trump said in a tweet. Trump's tweet came half an hour after Fox News' 'Fox & Friends aired a segment on the subject, though his tweet is not quite accurate. A handful of states are making pushes to introduce elective courses in schools that lawmakers say would teach the Bible in terms of its historical context, and though none have passed, critics have pointed out that such bills could blur the constitutional line separating church and state." Mrs. McC: Apparently it is impossible to explain the First Amendment to Donald Trump.

Mujib Mashal of the New York Times: "American and Taliban officials have agreed in principle to the framework of a deal in which the insurgents would guarantee to prevent Afghan territory from being used by terrorists, and that could lead to a full pullout of American troops in return for larger concessions from the Taliban, the chief United States negotiator said Monday. The American envoy, Zalmay Khalilzad, said those concessions must include the Taliban's agreeing to a cease-fire and to talk directly with the Afghan government, issues that the insurgents have doggedly opposed in the past. 'We have a draft of the framework that has to be fleshed out before it becomes an agreement,' Mr. Khalilzad said in an interview with The New York Times in Kabul.... After nine years of halting efforts to reach a peace deal with the Taliban, the draft framework, though preliminary, is the biggest tangible step toward ending a two-decade war...." (Also linked yesterday.)

Edward Wong, et al., of the New York Times: "The Trump administration imposed sanctions against Venezuela's state-owned oil company on Monday, seeking to cripple the government of embattled President Nicolás Maduro by cutting off its main source of cash. The move marked the first punitive step by the United States to force Mr. Maduro to give up power since the opposition leader, Juan Guaidó, declared himself interim president last week after years of accusations of corruption in Venezuela at the expense of its people. The sanctions prohibit most American businesses from engaging in transactions with the oil company, Petróleos de Venezuela, S.A., or Pdvsa. Administration officials said the financial penalties are expected to block $7 billion in assets and result in $11 billion in export losses over the next year for Venezuela's government, starving it from its most important source of revenue and foreign currency." ...

... This Is a National Security Advisor? Travis Waldron of the Huffington Post: "Trump administration officials maintained Monday that 'all options' ― including the use of military force ― are on the table concerning its attempts to remove Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro from power. And if National Security Adviser John Bolton's notebook is to be believed, deploying troops to the region may be closer to reality than not. During a White House press briefing meant to detail new sanctions on Maduro and Venezuela's state-owned oil company, Bolton was photographed holding a yellow legal pad that read, '5,000 troops to Colombia,' a country sharing a border with Venezuela. The potential security breach was quickly spotted by observers on Twitter after an Associated Press picture from the briefing was published atop stories at NBC and other outlets." Mrs. McC: Wonder if Bolton uses Gmail, like some other government officials, and an unsecured iPhone, a la Trump.

David Sanger, et al., of the New York Times: "The Justice Department unveiled sweeping charges on Monday against the Chinese telecom firm Huawei and its chief financial officer, Meng Wanzhou, outlining a decade-long attempt by the company to steal trade secrets, obstruct a criminal investigation and evade economic sanctions on Iran. The pair of indictments, which were partly unsealed on Monday, come amid a broad and aggressive campaign by the United States to try to thwart China's biggest telecom equipment maker. Officials have long suspected Huawei of working to advance Beijing's global ambitions and undermine America's interests and have begun taking steps to curb its international presence."

AP: "The author of a new tell-all book about the White House under President Donald Trump says one of Trump's top policy advisers spoke dismissively about refugees. Stephen Miller, who has pushed Trump to adopt stricter immigration policies, is quoted as saying, 'I would be happy if not a single refugee foot ever again touched American soil.'... [The author Cliff] Sims writes that, any time a refugee or immigrant committed a 'gruesome' crime, Miller would walk over to the White House press office to demand that press releases be issued about the cases." --s

AP: "The head of Mexico's immigration agency said Monday that his country won't accept migrants younger than 18 while they await the resolution of their U.S. asylum claims. National Immigration Institute Commissioner Tonatiuh Guillen also said Mexico won't extend the policy beyond a single border crossing, the El Chaparral crossing in Tijuana. Mexican officials had previously said the United States expressed interest in extending the 'remain in Mexico' policy to other border crossings. But Guillen said Mexico will accept only asylum seekers aged 18 to 60 at El Chaparral.... The U.S. has witnessed a surge in asylum claims, especially from Central American families.... With a backlog of more than 800,000 cases, it can take years to settle cases." --s

Scott Bixby of The Daily Beast: "Arrests of undocumented immigrants at courthouses in New York state by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement have become so sudden and aggressive that bystanders think they have just witnessed a kidnapping, according to a new report issued Monday. In 'The Courthouse Trap: How ICE Operations Impacted New York's Courts in 2018,' released by the Immigrant Defense Project on Monday, the nonprofit group outlines changes in the enforcement arm of the U.S. immigration system that have resulted in 1700 percent increase since President Donald Trump took office." --s

Make America Sick Again. Annie Snider of Politico: "The Trump administration will not set a drinking water limit for two toxic chemicals that are contaminating millions of Americans' tap water, two sources familiar with the forthcoming decision told Politico. [The chemicals] are present in the bloodstreams of an estimated 98 percent of Americans. And it comes less than a year after the White House and the Environmental Protection Agency faced criticism for delaying publication of a health study on the chemicals, which a White House aide had warned could trigger a 'public relations nightmare.'... EPA's decision means the chemicals will remain unregulated under the Safe Drinking Water Act, according to sources familiar with a still-unreleased draft plan that acting administrator Andrew Wheeler signed off on in late December.... The chemicals, known as PFOA and PFOS, have been linked to kidney and testicular cancer, hypertension and other ailments. Major chemical companies like 3M as well as the Defense Department would face billions of dollars in liability[.]" --s ...

... Mark Hand of ThinkProgress: "The Trump administration is reviewing steps it could take to prevent state officials from using their authority under the Clean Water Act to deny permits to developers of natural gas pipelines and other energy infrastructure. The administration is reportedly considering issuing an executive order that would limit the ability of states to block natural gas pipelines and other energy projects. But legal experts countered that Trump would not be able to amend the Clean Water Act simply through the issuance of an executive order." --s (Also linked yesterday.)

"Fuck you, Betsy." Benjamin Wermund of Politico: "Education Secretary Betsy DeVos' proposal to change rules for how schools handle sexual assault allegations has turned the federal site for collecting public comments into a cauldron of anger and obscenity. DeVos, one of ... Donald Trump's few remaining original cabinet secretaries, has not become embroiled in any administration scandals during her two years running the Education Department, but she remains enemy No. 1 for many teachers and activists. The comments reflect not only the divisiveness and emotion surrounding assault investigations but how anything DeVos touches can spark hostility.... As of Friday, there were nearly 72,000 comments on the Education Department's proposed rule. The proposal is controversial, viewed by critics as DeVos doing Trump's bidding to protect sexual harassers, pointing to such accusations against the president. The comments are peppered with references to Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh, whose nomination was nearly tanked by sexual assault allegations." (Also linked yesterday.)

Rachel Bade of Politico: "At a panel organizational meeting late last week, House Judiciary Chairman Jerry Nadler (D-N.Y.) agreed to consult with his GOP counterpart for two days before issuing a subpoena to force witnesses to testify. Should ranking Republican Doug Collins of Georgia object, Nadler said he would put the subpoena to a vote of the committee. With a majority on the panel, Democrats would easily prevail on any subpoena question that goes before the full committee — and both parties agree there will likely be many. But Republicans like Collins are singing Nadler's praises just the same.... The new process reflects a transparency that the GOP previously ignored. Republicans changed House rules several years ago so that their panel chairmen could unilaterally subpoena witnesses without consulting with or even notifying Democrats." --s

Make America Hate Again. Allegra Kirkland of TPM: " It's rare for a congressional aide to have her own mini-profile on the Southern Poverty Law Center's website outlining her ties to extremist groups. But such is the case for Connie Hair, chief of staff to Rep. Louis Gohmert (R-TX) and one of the participants at what the New York Times reported was a tense White House meeting last week between President Trump and far-right activists [organized by Ginni Thomas, the longtime conservative activist and wife of Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas] concerned about the threat posed by transgender people and women serving in the military.... But the other attendees mentioned by the Times are worthy of note as well. Beyond Hair, the group reportedly included veteran anti-Islam champion Frank Gaffney and Rosemary Jenks of the anti-immigrant group NumbersUSA. Crystal Clanton, who was hired as an assistant by Ginni Thomas after being booted from conservative youth group Turning Point USA for a text message saying [saying, 'I HATE BLACK PEOPLE. Like fuck them all...I hate blacks. End of story.']...was reportedly on the list of names that Thomas asked to have attend. Whether Clanton ended up actually joining the meeting is unclear." --s

Cameron Joseph of TPM: "If you thought you'd heard the last of Judge Roy Moore, you'd be wrong. The former Alabama Supreme Court Justice whose U.S. Senate bid famously flamed out amidst accusations from multiple women of sexual misconduct isn't done in politics. Moore and his wife Kayla are co-signatories on a letter released Monday by the Conservative Action Project that takes aim at House Democrats' top messaging bill for this Congress, H.R. 1. The letter's signatories include a number of top conservative activists -- including some in President Trump's close orbit." --s

** Ian Millhiser of ThinkProgress: "Lawyers representing a Louisiana abortion clinic and at least two physicians filed an application in the Supreme Court on Monday asking the court to halt a Louisiana law that is identical to a Texas law the justices struck down in 2016. The court is almost certain to deny this application in a 5-4 vote -- possibly as soon as tonight. When it does so, it will effectively mark the end of Roe v. Wade.... [T]hese abortion providers filed this application because a federal appeals court openly defied the Supreme Court's most recent abortion decision. When the court refuses to enforce its own decision, that will send a clear signal to lower court judges throughout the country that they are free to uphold restrictions on abortion.... Should the Supreme Court deny a stay in the [June Medical Services v. Gee] case, moreover, anti-abortion judges will know exactly what that means. It will be a clear signal that they can emulate the Fifth Circuit and openly defy Supreme Court decisions protecting a right to abortion. Roe v. Wade will die a quiet death, and the Supreme Court won't even have to kill it." --s

** Louis Menard of the New Yorker on how the U.S. Supreme Court legalized racial segregation. Mrs. McC: And don't kind yourself; they're at it again.

Presidential Race 2020

Edward-Isaac Dovere, now of the Atlantic: Howard "Schultz, the former Starbucks CEO, says in a 60 Minutes interview ... that he is thinking very seriously about a presidential run -- but he stops short of a full announcement. He makes clear, however, that if he moves forward, he will do so as an independent. Already top Democratic operatives working for presidential candidates and beyond say they're worried that the only thing he'll accomplish is making sure Donald Trump gets reelected. It's more than just sniping at a prospective opponent; word that he might invest in an independent run has many of them clearly worried about how he'd split votes in a general election." (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... Trump Has Figured Out Schultz Is His Best Hope. Brett Samuels of the Hill: "President Trump on Monday taunted Howard Schultz, who is considering a 2020 presidential bid, tweeting that the former Starbucks CEO 'doesn't have the "guts" to run.' 'Watched him on @60Minutes last night and I agree with him that he is not the "smartest person,'" Trump tweeted. 'Besides, America already has that! I only hope that Starbucks is still paying me their rent in Trump Tower!'" (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... Dan Merica, et al., of CNN: "Bill Burton, a former adviser to President Barack Obama, defended his decision to join Howard Schultz's team as the former Starbucks CEO considers an independent presidential bid in 2020, pushing back against suggestions that Schultz could be a spoiler. Burton was one of the original aides to the Obama campaign 12 years ago and went on to be deputy press secretary in the White House. His addition to Schultz's team will lend the former Starbucks CEO credibility but it will also amplify the pushback to Schultz's potential bid from Democrats who believe it would jeopardize their chances at defeating ... Donald Trump. That pushback was palpable in the statement released by Democratic public affairs firm SKDKnickerbocker, Burton's previous employer. 'Bill Burton has left the firm to pursue projects he could not have pursued or participated in at SKDK,' said a spokesperson for the group." ...

... Armado Garcia of ABC News: "Billionaire and former CEO of Starbucks, Howard Schultz, launched his book tour in New York City on Monday, but it's his presidential ambitions that caused a stir at the sold out event inside a Barnes & Noble. As Schultz began to speak at the event, he was interrupted by a heckler who was escorted out by security. 'Don't help elect Trump, you egotistical billionaire a[ss]hole. Go back to getting ratioed on Twitter. Go back to Davos with the other billionaire elite who think they know how to run the world,' the heckler said." Mrs. McC: I'll vote for the heckler. If he runs as a Democrat. ...

... ** Jonathan Chait: Howard "Schultz appears to be one of those rich people who has confused his success in one field with a general expertise in every other field that interests him. His apparently sincere belief that he can be elected president is the product of a sincere civic-minded commitment to the public good and an almost comic failure to grasp how he might accomplish this.... Schultz believes that the large cohort of Americans who identify as 'independents' indicates a market for a centrist candidate positioned between the two parties.... That is not factual." Read on. Mrs. McC: Schultz is like Trump, but less malevolent & more naive. (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... Gene Robinson: "Just what we need, another ego-crazed billionaire with zero experience in government who thinks he is destined to be president. What could go wrong?... He is quite capable of reelecting President Trump.... At present, the specter of a second Trump term looks comfortably remote.... He does have a chance in 2020, however, if the anti-Trump vote is split between two or more candidates.... Perhaps, he should angle for a Cabinet post. Or just have a decaf latte and chill."


Caleb Howe
of Mediaite: "On Meet the Press, venerable news anchor Tom Brokaw ... argued 'the Hispanics' should 'work harder' at assimilation." Mrs. McC: Yeah, they should get them some MAGA hats & listen to more country & western music. Also, less béisbol, more football, & I don't mean soccer. (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... Brokaw Apologizes for Being Parochial Old White Guy. Caitlin Oprysko of Politico: "NBC News veteran Tom Brokaw apologized Sunday evening for comments he made earlier in the day on 'Meet the Press' calling for Hispanics in the U.S. to 'work harder at assimilation.' The comments ... sparked a quick backlash both on social media and on set from PBS "NewsHour" White House correspondent Yamiche Alcindor, who also appeared on the same 'Meet the Press' panel. 'I am sorry, truly sorry, my comments were offensive to many. The great enduring American tradition of diversity is to be celebrated and cherished,' he wrote on Twitter, part of a flurry of posts backtracking on his earlier remarks.... 'I would just say that we also need to adjust what we think of as America. You're talking about assimilation. I grew up in Miami, where people speak Spanish, but their kids speak English,' [Alcindor] ... told Brokaw. 'And the idea that we think Americans can only speak English, as if Spanish and other languages wasn't always part of America, is, in some ways, troubling.'" (Also linked yesterday.)

Benjamin Mayo of 9to5Mac: "A significant bug has been discovered in FaceTime[, an Apple app].... The bug lets you call anyone with FaceTime, and immediately hear the audio coming from their phone -- before the person on the other end has accepted or rejected the incoming call.... Apple has taken Group FaceTime offline in an attempt to address the issue in the interim). Naturally, this poses a pretty privacy problem as you can essentially listen in on any iOS user, although it still rings like normal, so you can't be 100% covert about it. Nevertheless, there is no indication on the recipient's side that you could hear any of their audio.... There's a second part to this which can expose video too[.]" ...

... Julie Wong & Alex Hern of the Guardian: "The flaw was discovered amid increasing concern over privacy by regulators around the globe and -- embarrassingly for Apple -- was exposed on Data Privacy Day, a global event instituted by the Council of Europe in 2007 to raise awareness among businesses and consumers about the importance of protecting privacy. Hours before the bug was first revealed to the public, Tim Cook, Apple's chief executive, had tweeted that 'the dangers are real and the consequences are too important' to not institute 'vital privacy protections'.... The bug was discovered the day before Apple's quarterly results call, already expected to be a fraught affair due to the company's unprecedented decision to slash its revenue forecast by at least $5bn (£3.8bn).... Apple has attempted to distinguish itself from rival technology companies such as Google and Facebook by boasting about its privacy record."

Beyond the Beltway

New Jersey. David Wildstein of the New Jersey Globe: "State Sen. Dawn Addiego will switch parties and become a Democrat, giving Senate President Steve Sweeney and South Jersey Democratic leader George Norcross a major political victory. The four-term senator from Burlington County brings the total number of South Jersey Democratic senators to seven and expands Sweeney's lock on the Senate Democratic caucus." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: In case you think the name "David Wildstein" sounds familiar, you're right. He's the Bridgegate guy who pleaded guilty to two federal felonies. Even though Wildstein & Chris Christie knew each other from high school, don't think he's good enough to be a friend of the newly-minted famous author: As Christie said during the hullabaloo around the Bridgegate scandal, "We didn't travel in the same circles in high school. You know, I was the class president and athlete. I don't know what David was doing during that period of time."

North Carolina. Ian Millhiser of ThinkProgress: "For the last several election cycles, North Carolina has not held democratic elections for its state legislature ... thanks to an aggressive gerrymander that all-but-ensures Republican control in North Carolina. Yet two recent developments -- one of them very recent -- make it exceedingly likely that North Carolina will have free and fair elections in 2020. The first is a lawsuit, Common Cause v. Lewis.... That suit asks the state courts to declare that partisan gerrymandering violates the state constitution, and to 'establish new state House and state Senate districting plans' for 2020. The second development is North Carolina Chief Justice Mark Martin's announcement on Friday that he plans to leave his court in order to become dean of Regent University Law School.... Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper will appoint a replacement for Martin who will serve until the next election. That means that the state Supreme Court, which is already heavily Democratic, is about to have a 6-1 Democratic majority. The state's gerrymandered maps are, to say the least, unlikely to survive contact with such a court.... 2020 is a Census year, whoever prevails in that year's state legislative races will get to draw the maps for the next ten years." --s (Also linked yesterday.)

Way Beyond

Baby Steps. Bethan McKernan of the Guardian: "Authorities in the United Arab Emirates have been ridiculed after it emerged that all of the winners of an initiative designed to foster gender equality in the workplace were men.... A United Nations Development Programme study from 2018 found that the UAE was the Gulf country that ranked highest for gender equality and had made significant progress in bringing women into the workforce. The report found that by 2015, 135,000 Emirati women participated in the labour market, compared with just 1,000 in 1975, and 43% of women now hold bachelor's degrees, compared with 23% of men." --s (Also linked yesterday.)

Monday
Jan282019

The Commentariat -- January 28, 2019

Late Morning/Afternoon Update:

Devan Cole & Kevin Bohn of CNN: "... Donald Trump's second State of the Union address will not take place on Tuesday, an aide to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi told CNN.... Trump's director of strategic communications Mercedes Schlapp said Monday that the White House has been in discussions with Pelosi's office about rescheduling the address and that 'we should have a response soon.'" Mrs. McC: She should wait, IMO, till after the government is funded. ...

     ... Update. Mrs. McCrabbie: Surprisingly, Speaker Pelosi did not take my advice: ...

     ... Michael Collins of USA Today: "House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has invited ... Donald Trump to deliver the State of the Union address at the Capitol on Feb. 5." Mrs. McC: This is a mistake. Trump will deliver the same bound-and-gagged-women pile of horrorscapes he & Stephen Miller dreamed up for the original speech. I will not be listening.

Mujib Mashal of the New York Times: "American and Taliban officials have agreed in principle to the framework of a deal in which the insurgents would guarantee to prevent Afghan territory from being used by terrorists, and that could lead to a full pullout of American troops in return for larger concessions from the Taliban, the chief United States negotiator said Monday. The American envoy, Zalmay Khalilzad, said those concessions must include the Taliban's agreeing to a cease-fire and to talk directly with the Afghan government, issues that the insurgents have doggedly opposed in the past. 'We have a draft of the framework that has to be fleshed out before it becomes an agreement,' Mr. Khalilzad said in an interview with The New York Times in Kabul.... After nine years of halting efforts to reach a peace deal with the Taliban, the draft framework, though preliminary, is the biggest tangible step toward ending a two-decade war...."

Thanks, Trump! Caitlin Emma & Jennifer Scholtes of Politico: "The five-week partial government shutdown cost the U.S. economy about $3 billion in forgone economic activity that won't be recovered, the Congressional Budget Office said in a new report Monday. Because the IRS was among the agencies unfunded during the shutdown, it had to slow down some compliance work. For that reason, CBO estimates tax revenue will be about $2 billion lower in fiscal 2019 and that 'much of the lost revenue ... will not be recouped.'... These CBO estimates did not include indirect effects. As the shutdown dragged on ... the 'risks to the economy were becoming increasingly significant,' including the blow to businesses that could not get federal permits, government-backed loans or grants, the budget scorekeeper said."

Mark Hand of ThinkProgress: "The Trump administration is reviewing steps it could take to prevent state officials from using their authority under the Clean Water Act to deny permits to developers of natural gas pipelines and other energy infrastructure. The administration is reportedly considering issuing an executive order that would limit the ability of states to block natural gas pipelines and other energy projects. But legal experts countered that Trump would not be able to amend the Clean Water Act simply through the issuance of an executive order." --s

"Fuck you, Betsy." Benjamin Wermund of Politico: "Education Secretary Betsy DeVos' proposal to change rules for how schools handle sexual assault allegations has turned the federal site for collecting public comments into a cauldron of anger and obscenity. DeVos, one of ... Donald Trump's few remaining original cabinet secretaries, has not become embroiled in any administration scandals during her two years running the Education Department, but she remains enemy No. 1 for many teachers and activists. The comments reflect not only the divisiveness and emotion surrounding assault investigations but how anything DeVos touches can spark hostility.... As of Friday, there were nearly 72,000 comments on the Education Department's proposed rule. The proposal is controversial, viewed by critics as DeVos doing Trump's bidding to protect sexual harassers, pointing to such accusations against th president. The comments are peppered with references to Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh, whose nomination was nearly tanked by sexual assault allegations."

Presidential Race 2020. Edward-Isaac Dovere, now of the Atlantic: Howard "Schultz, the former Starbucks CEO, says in a 60 Minutes interview ... that he is thinking very seriously about a presidential run -- but he stops short of a full announcement. He makes clear, however, that if he moves forward, he will do so as an independent. Already top Democratic operatives working for presidential candidates and beyond say they're worried that the only thing he'll accomplish is making sure Donald Trump gets reelected. It's more than just sniping at a prospective opponent; word that he might invest in an independent run has many of them clearly worried about how he'd split votes in a general election." ...

... Trump Has Figured Out Schultz Is His Best Hope. Brett Samuels of the Hill: "President Trump on Monday taunted Howard Schultz, who is considering a 2020 presidential bid, tweeting that the former Starbucks CEO 'doesn't have the "guts" to run.' 'Watched him on @60Minutes last night and I agree with him that he is not the "smartest person,'" Trump tweeted. 'Besides, America already has that! I only hope that Starbucks is still paying me their rent in Trump Tower!'" ...

... Jonathan Chait: Howard "Schultz appears to be one of those rich people who has confused his success in one field with a general expertise in every other field that interests him. His apparently sincere belief that he can be elected president is the product of a sincere civic-minded commitment to the public good and an almost comic failure to grasp how he might accomplish this.... Schultz believes that the large cohort of Americans who identify as 'independents' indicates a market for a centrist candidate positioned between the two parties.... That is not factual." Mrs. McC: Schultz is like Trump, but less malevolent & more naive.

Caleb Howe of Mediaite: "On Meet the Press, venerable news anchor Tom Brokaw ... argued 'the Hispanics' should 'work harder' at assimilation." Mrs. McC: Yeah, they should get them some MAGA hats & listen to more country & western music. Also, less béisbol, more football, & I don't mean soccer. ...

... Brokaw Apologizes for Being Parochial Old White Guy. Caitlin Oprysko of Politico: "NBC News veteran Tom Brokaw apologized Sunday evening for comments he made earlier in the day on 'Meet the Press' calling for Hispanics in the U.S. to 'work harder at assimilation.' The comments ... sparked a quick backlash both on social media and on set from PBS "NewsHour" White House correspondent Yamiche Alcindor, who also appeared on the same 'Meet the Press' panel. 'I am sorry, truly sorry, my comments were offensive to many. The great enduring American tradition of diversity is to be celebrated and cherished,' he wrote on Twitter, part of a flurry of posts backtracking on his earlier remarks.... 'I would just say that we also need to adjust what we think of as America. You're talking about assimilation. I grew up in Miami, where people speak Spanish, but their kids speak English,' [Alcindor] ... told Brokaw. 'And the idea that we think Americans can only speak English, as if Spanish and other languages wasn't always part of America, is, in some ways, troubling.'"

North Carolina. Ian Millhiser of ThinkProgress: "For the last several election cycles, North Carolina has not held democratic elections for its state legislature ... thanks to an aggressive gerrymander that all-but-ensures Republican control in North Carolina. Yet two recent developments -- one of them very recent -- make it exceedingly likely that North Carolina will have free and fair elections in 2020. The first is a lawsuit, Common Cause v. Lewis.... That suit asks the state courts to declare that partisan gerrymandering violates the state constitution, and to 'establish new state House and state Senate districting plans' for 2020. The second development is North Carolina Chief Justice Mark Martin's announcement on Friday that he plans to leave his court in order to become dean of Regent University Law School.... Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper will appoint a replacement for Martin who will serve until the next election. That means that the state Supreme Court, which is already heavily Democratic, is about to have a 6-1 Democratic majority. The state's gerrymandered maps are, to say the least, unlikely to survive contact with such a court.... 2020 is a Census year, whoever prevails in that year's state legislative races will get to draw the maps for the next ten years." --s

Baby Steps. Bethan McKernan of the Guardian: "Authorities in the United Arab Emirates have been ridiculed after it emerged that all of the winners of an initiative designed to foster gender equality in the workplace were men.... A United Nations Development Programme study from 2018 found that the UAE was the Gulf country that ranked highest for gender equality and had made significant progress in bringing women into the workforce. The report found that by 2015, 135,000 Emirati women participated in the labour market, compared with just 1,000 in 1975, and 43% of women now hold bachelor's degrees, compared with 23% of men." --s

*****

The Trump Shutdown, Ctd., Month Two

Carl Hulse of the New York Times: "The toll exacted on government operations and federal employees by the record 35-day stalemate -- not to mention the political costs to those in the White House and on Capitol Hill -- was so punishing that it is giving momentum to a longstanding call to prohibit the government disruptions that have become a regular facet of Washington hardball.... Members of both parties said it was past time to enact legislation that would essentially mean the government would remain open at existing spending levels when an impasse such as the fight over the border wall was reached, rather than shuttering parts or all of the government." Both Sens. Rob Portman (R-Ohio) & Mark Warner (D-Va.) have introduced legislation that would prevent shutdowns. House "Speaker Nancy Pelosi also welcomed the idea on Friday, saying in a meeting with news columnists that she wanted to explore the possibility of legislation that would serve as a shutdown prevention act." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Weak Prez* Still Issuing Threats. The Week: "In an interview Sunday, President Trump told The Wall Street Journal he does not think lawmakers will be able to come up with a deal to fund a border wall, and another shutdown is 'certainly an option.' A committee of seven senators and 10 House members are trying to reach an agreement on border security, and when asked if he believes they'll be able to come up with a deal before the next government-funding lapse in mid-February, Trump responded, 'I personally think it's less than 50-50, but you have a lot of very good people on that board.' He added that he doubts he would sign any bill that does not give him at least $5.7 billion for the border wall he's long promised, and he suggested he will use emergency powers if necessary to get a barrier up." The firewalled WSJ story is here. ...

... Felicia Sonmez of the Washington Post: "President Trump will secure the U.S. border with Mexico 'with or without Congress,' acting White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney said Sunday, as negotiations over Trump's long-sought border wall begin anew. In an interview on 'Fox News Sunday,' Mulvaney declined to say whether Trump would accept less than the $5.7 billion in funding he has demanded for the wall. But he maintained that Trump is ready to use emergency powers to secure the border if Democrats continue to balk at his demands." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Jonathan Swan of Axios writes yet another autopsy report on the Cave on Wall On Friday morning, "Trump saw a Republican Senate poised to abandon him. Better to cave on his own terms, and in his own words, than watch both parties hang him out to dry. 'I can tell you exactly what happened,' one Republican senator texted me [at the time]. 'The mood at Senate Republican lunch on Thursday resembled what the mood must've been on the Union lines at 4 pm at First Bull Run. I'm amazed only six [Republicans] voted for Schumer's bill. The message from that lunch by VP, Shahira [Knight] and Mitch [McConnell] to POTUS was, it's over. They'll be 70 votes within 48 hours.' White House officials told me they knew their momentum was fading."

Max Boot of the Washington Post: "Trump supporters have been worshiping the god that failed.... His inability to bend the government to his will, even after two years in office, is a sign that (a) the rule of law still prevails and (b) he does not know what he is doing.... The Trump mystique has been based on fear and faith -- fear of immigrant hordes swarming the borders and faith that Trump 'alone can fix it.' The failure of his shutdown dealt another mighty blow to both illusions.... When Republicans were in control of both chambers, he could plausibly threaten lawmakers because of his cultlike hold on 80-plus percent of Republican voters. But his base is only 35 percent or so of the entire electorate, and Democrats are not intimidated by him. His aura of invincibility has been cracked -- and, with special counsel Robert S. Mueller III scheduled to report, the worst is yet to come. Two painful, punishing years loom."

Border Patrol Asked to Find Evidence for Trump's Oft-Repeated Horror Story. Dara Lind of Vox: "It's become a staple of ... Donald Trump's riffs on the horrors of the US-Mexico border...: Human traffickers gag women with tape so they can't even breathe before packing them into vans and driving them across the border illegally. But two weeks after Trump had started talking about tape-gagged women -- when a January 17 Washington Post article had questioned the claim -- a top Border Patrol official had to email agents to ask if they had 'any information' that the claim was actually true. The email ... was sent as a 'request for information' by an assistant Border Patrol chief, apparently on behalf of the office of Customs and Border Protection commissioner Kevin McAleenan.... It asked agents to reply within less than two hours with 'any information (in any format) regarding claims of tape-gagged women -- and even linked to the Post article 'for further info.' Vox's source indicated that they and others in their sector hadn't heard anything that would back up Trump's claims, but wasn't sure if agents in other sectors had provided information. However, no one from the Trump administration has come forward to offer evidence for the claim, either before or after the internal Border Patrol email was sent.... It's extremely hard to prove that such things have never happened -- especially because the president has access to classified information that experts speaking to journalists do not." (Also linked yesterday.)

This Russia Thing, Etc., Ctd.

Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: It occurs to me that a major reason Trump & his allies engaged Russian hackers & WikiLeaks is that fake billionaire Trump is so damned cheap. While Hillary Clinton was paying Fusion GPS & others to collect dirt/oppo research on Trump, Trump was openly asking the Russians to hack her server to find out what she really thought of Andrew Weiner & what medications she might be taking (i.e., her personal emails). Why? Because it cost him nothing personally & the payback would be lifting sanctions & creating "good will" with the guy who had veto power over the Trump Phallic Tower Moscow.

This Russia thing is all over now, because I fired Flynn. -- Donald Trump, to Chris & Mary Pat Christie, February 14, 2017 ...

... Clueless. Maggie Haberman of the New York Times: "President Trump and his son-in-law, Jared Kushner, believed that the 'Russia thing' would end ... [with] the firing of the national security adviser, retired Lt. Gen. Michael T. Flynn..., according to an account in a new memoir by Chris Christie. The incident recounted in Mr. Christie's book, 'Let Me Finish,' is among the anecdotes describing how the president and Mr. Kushner grappled with a campaign and a presidency that Mr. Christie says neither was prepared for.... Mr. Christie describes [Trump] as averse to interpersonal conflict with people he likes, needlessly nasty to some subordinates and prone to trusting people he should not.... Mr. Kushner, whose power has grown recently, appears as a shadow campaign manager and chief of staff in the White House, often giving his father-in-law questionable and problematic advice, according to the book...."

Donald Trump could be the first President to go to the inaugural of his successor in a limo with license plates made by his campaign manager. -- John Kerry, at the Alfalfa Club dinner Saturday

Ken Vogel of the New York Times: "The Trump administration on Sunday lifted sanctions against the business empire of Oleg V. Deripaska, one of Russia's most influential oligarchs.... The Treasury Department announced a deal last month to lift the sanctions in exchange for a restructuring that it said would reduce Mr. Deripaska's control and ownership of the companies. Yet a confidential, legally binding document detailing the agreement showed that Mr. Deripaska and his allies would retain majority ownership of EN+. Representative Lloyd Doggett, a Texas Democrat who has been among the leading critics of the deal, said that allowing it to take effect 'represents just one more step in undermining the sanctions law, which President Trump has obstructed at every opportunity, while Russian aggression remains unabated.'" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Paul Manafort was reportedly millions of dollars in debt to Deripaska. To pay back Deripaska, at no cost to himself, this is the deal Manafort would have arranged, if Manafort were not in jail. Hell, it's possible Manafort did structure this deal.

Barbara McQuade, in a USA Today op-ed: "The indictment of Roger Stone alleges serious crimes to obstruct Congress' investigation into Russian election interference. Beyond that, it also provides clues that more charges are likely.... Flipping Stone does not seem to be Mueller's primary goal.... Some of the language [in the indictment] indicates that Mueller continues to explore coordination between the Trump campaign, WikiLeaks and Russia to interfere with the 2016 election.... the Stone indictment ... suggests a basis for charging conspiracy to defraud the United States [as well as violations of campaign finance laws].... Third, this indictment shows how Mueller regards lies to Congress. Mueller is likely scouring the transcripts of all other Trump associates who have testified before Congress, such as Jared Kushner and Donald Trump Jr., for statements inconsistent with other evidence."

Still Whining. Brett Samuels: "President Trump late Saturday railed against the indictment of Roger Stone, insisting that he did not work with his longtime confidant 'anywhere near the Election' and complaining that the focus should instead be on obstacles his campaign faced in 2016. In a series of tweets, Trump cited allegations in Stone's indictment that data was released during the 2016 campaign to damage then-Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. The president suggested he was subject to similar campaigns, pointing to the so-called Steele dossier, which he dubbed a 'total phony conjob.' The dossier contained several salacious allegations, some of which were unverified, about Trump's relationship to Russia. The dossier was published by BuzzFeed in January 2017, after the election. The president also argued via Twitter he was subjected to 'one sided Fake Media coverage (collusion with Crooked H?),' and 'bias by Facebook and many others.'" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Lauren King & Ali Dukakis of ABC News: "Roger Stone, following a pre-dawn arrest at his home in Florida and ahead of an arraignment in Washington on Tuesday, said that he would discuss cooperating with special counsel Robert Mueller, if asked.... 'Have you ever had any conversations with the president during the campaign or since the campaign about Russia or the Mueller investigation?' [George] Stephanopolous asked. 'None whatsoever,' he said. 'Categorically. ... Zero. Zero.'" Mrs. McC: Okay, case closed. Trump is off the hook. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Rosalind Helderman, et al., of the Washington Post: "In indictments and plea agreements unveiled over the last 20 months, special counsel Robert S. Mueller III has shown over and over again that some of President Trump's closest friends and advisers have lied about Russia and related issues.... The remaining question -- for both Mueller's team, as it works on a final investigative report, and for the American people -- is why.... The deception by Trump advisers that has led to guilty pleas so far does have a common throughline: Much of it centers on their interactions about Russia.... Steve Hall, who retired from the CIA in 2015 after 30 years of running and managing Russia operations, said..., 'In my view, those lies -- what was lied about and under what condition the lies were told -- contribute to a counterintelligence pattern that has begun to emerge pointing to senior members of the Trump team being involved with the Russians.'..." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: I get a kick out of the way some of Trump's defenders give him the benefit of the doubt by arguing that all of Trump's associates are liars & generally untrustworthy.

Ben Zimmer in Politico Magazine on the history of the term "ratfucking." Fascinating, to a words person. Thanks to unwashed for the link. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Brett Samuels of the Hill: "President Trump early Sunday pushed questionable claims about Texas officials reviewing voter rolls to warn of 'rampant' voter fraud and advocate for 'Strong voter ID.' The president alleged that 58,000 noncitizens voted in Texas, and that 95,000 noncitizens registered to vote. His tweet was apparently spurred by a 'Fox & Friends' segment on the figures at about 8 a.m.... In fact, The Texas Tribune reported that the Texas secretary of state's office announced Friday it had flagged 95,000 registered voters who it said should be reviewed to determine whether they are U.S. citizens. Of that group, 58,000 cast a ballot in at least one election from 1996 to 2018, The Texas Tribune reported. The identified individuals provided some form of documentation when obtaining an identification card that showed they were not citizens, the news outlet reported. However, it's unclear how many are still not U.S. citizens, as some may have been naturalized." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Jonathan Swan: "Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham told me that as recently as a couple of weeks ago Trump mused to him about the possibility of using military force in Venezuela, where the U.S. government is currently pushing for regime change using diplomatic and economic pressures.... Graham, recalling his conversation with Trump, said: 'He [Trump] said, "What do you think about using military force?" and I said, "Well, you need to go slow on that, that could be problematic." And he said, "Well, I'm surprised, you want to invade everybody.'" Graham laughed. 'And I said, "... I only want to use the military when our national security interests are threatened.'" 'Trump's really hawkish' on Venezuela, the hawkish Graham added in a phone interview on Sunday afternoon, adding that Trump was even more hawkish than he was on Venezuela. To be clear: There are no signs that the Trump administration is planning to invade Venezuela, and my conversations with senior administration officials signal that the coming pressures to accelerate regime change are diplomatic and economic." ...

... Brent Griffiths of Politico: "Mick Mulvaney on Sunday refused to rule out U.S. military action to address unrest in Venezuela, following a week where ... Donald Trump distanced the U.S. from the country's ruler, Nicolás Maduro, by recognizing an opposition figure as Venezuela's true leader." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Karoli Kuns of Crooks & Liars has a very Crooks-&-Liars take on that meeting Madame Justice Ginni Thomas & her loony friends had with President* Doodah: "Just last week, Virginia 'Ginni' Thomas went to the White House and paid Donald J. Trump a visit, specifically to yell at him about transgender people and also to complain that he wasn't appointing her friends fast enough. It must be nice to have the ear of a Supreme Court Justice, eh? Just last week the Supreme Court ruled that Donald Trump's transgender ban could be upheld while the case moved through the courts. I'm sure Ginni had nothing to do with that.... They prayed. A lot. Because that's what these leftover freaks from the Council for National Policy specialize in: Standing before power and claiming it in the name of Jesus. Their entire goal is to co-opt power, create a theocracy, and bow before the cult of President Jesus...." ...

... digby: "I don't think I need to mention that the Republicans would impeach any liberal Justice whose spouse worked as a far-left activist of this type. It's simply bizarre that this is ok. It's not that a spouse doesn't have the right to have his or her own job. But this kind of political activism should be off limits. But hey --- they do what they want. Rules are for losers." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: I believe that on an Oval Office sofa there is a pillow festooned with shiny gold braid & tassels & words in large block letters needlepointed into the field "RULES ARE FOR LOSERS."

Jay Bookman of The Atlanta-Journal Constitution has a brilliant Twitter thread on the Trumpification of the GOP into a cult managed by the thought police at Faux News and right wing rage radio. --s

Presidential Race 2020. Stacey Solie of the New York Times: "Senator Kamala Harris of California officially kicked off her campaign for the Democratic presidential nomination on Sunday at an outdoor rally where she warned that the nation and the world were at 'an inflection point' in history and called on all Americans to 'speak truth about what's happening' in the Trump era. Before a crowd that her advisers estimated at more than 20,000 people, Ms. Harris threaded together a biography from her years in the Bay Area with her work as a prosecutor and a senator, and set those details against a broader populist vision about 'running to be president of the people, by the people and for all people.'"

I watched the Oscar nominations a few days ago. And afterwards every single actor said what a great honor it was just to be nominated. ... Trust me: It's not. -- John Kerry, Saturday ...

... Eli Watkins of CNN: "Former Defense Secretary James Mattis received a standing ovation Saturday at the annual black-tie Alfalfa Club dinner after delivering a speech in which he honored the troops and talked about the importance of the US' standing abroad, according to a source with knowledge of the event. For the third year running..., Donald Trump skipped the annual event -- but this year, so did the vice president as well as Trump's daughter Ivanka Trump and her husband Jared Kushner.... The rest of the evening was lighter in tone, with former Secretary of State John Kerry delivering a speech replete with jokes about official Washington and himself. Kerry, the outgoing president of the club -- a mainstay of establishment Washington -- handed over his leadership role to newly minted Utah GOP Sen. Mitt Romney at the black tie event. 'This is the only speech in Washington that hasn't been canceled by Nancy Pelosi,' Kerry joked...."

Way Beyond the Beltway

Dictators' Nightmare. Simon Tisdall of the Guardian: "Protests against Omar al-Bashir, the indicted war criminal who has dominated the country for 29 years, are becoming a daily occurrence.... They want him gone.... But the causes of the unrest cannot be bludgeoned away: a struggling economy, low investment, high unemployment, corruption, bad governance and a potentially disastrous lack of opportunity for new generations of young people.... Recent weeks have seen protests in Algeria, Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, Libya and Morocco. Once again, the political temperature is rising.... Western governments, too, are repeating the mistakes made before the first Arab spring: backing dictatorships that supposedly suit their interests while ignoring bad behaviour.... This will not continue indefinitely. In Egypt, as in Sudan and elsewhere, pressure is building. A second explosion cannot be far off." --s

News Lede

New York Times: "The polar vortex is back and the forecasts are dire: A quick punch of snow, followed almost immediately by a life-threatening level of cold that a generation of Midwesterners has never experienced. Already on Monday, the misery was on full display.... In Milwaukee, St. Paul and Minneapolis, public schools called off classes. Gov. Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan sent most state workers home early. By midday, more than 1,400 flights across the country had been canceled, according to FlightAware."