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INAUGURATION 2029

Marie: I don't know why this video came up on my YouTube recommendations, but it did. I watched it on a large-ish teevee, and I found it fascinating. ~~~

 

Hubris. One would think that a married man smart enough to start up and operate his own tech company was also smart enough to know that you don't take your girlfriend to a public concert where the equipment includes a jumbotron -- unless you want to get caught on the big camera with your arms around said girlfriend. Ah, but for Andy Bryon, CEO of A company called Astronomer, and also maybe his wife, Wednesday was a night that will live in infamy. New York Times link. ~~~

Commencement ceremonies are joyous occasions, and Steve Carell made sure that was true this past weekend (mid-June) at Northwestern's commencement:

~~~ Carell's entire commencement speech was hilarious. The audio and video here isn't great, but I laughed till I cried.

CNN did a live telecast Saturday night (June 7) of the Broadway play "Good Night, and Good Luck," written by George Clooney and Grant Heslov, about legendary newsman Edward R. Murrow's effort to hold to account Sen. Joe McCarthy, "the junior senator from Wisconsin." Clooney plays Murrow. Here's Murrow himself with his famous take on McCarthy & McCarthyism, brief remarks that especially resonate today: ~~~

     ~~~ This article lists ways you still can watch the play. 

New York Times: “The New York Times Company has agreed to license its editorial content to Amazon for use in the tech giant’s artificial intelligence platforms, the company said on Thursday. The multiyear agreement 'will bring Times editorial content to a variety of Amazon customer experiences,' the news organization said in a statement. Besides news articles, the agreement encompasses material from NYT Cooking, The Times’s food and recipe site, and The Athletic, which focuses on sports. This is The Times’s first licensing arrangement with a focus on generative A.I. technology. In 2023, The Times sued OpenAI and its partner, Microsoft, for copyright infringement, accusing the tech companies of using millions of articles published by The Times to train automated chatbots without any kind of compensation. OpenAI and Microsoft have rejected those accusations.” ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: I have no idea what this means for "the Amazon customer experience." Does it mean that if I don't have a NYT subscription but do have Amazon Prime I can read NYT content? And where, exactly, would I find that content? I don't know. I don't know.

Washington Post reporters asked three AI image generators what a beautiful woman looks like. "The Post found that they steer users toward a startlingly narrow vision of attractiveness. Prompted to show a 'beautiful woman,' all three tools generated thin women, without exception.... Her body looks like Barbie — slim hips, impossible waist, round breasts.... Just 2 percent of the images showed visible signs of aging. More than a third of the images had medium skin tones. But only nine percent had dark skin tones. Asked to show 'normal women,' the tools produced images that remained overwhelmingly thin.... However bias originates, The Post’s analysis found that popular image tools struggle to render realistic images of women outside the Western ideal." ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: The reporters seem to think they are calling out the AI programs for being unrealistic. But there's a lot about the "beautiful women" images they miss. I find these omissions remarkably sexist. For one thing, the reporters seem to think AI is a magical "thing" that self-generates. It isn't. It's programmed. It's programmed by boys, many of them incels who have little or no experience or insights beyond comic books and Internet porn of how to gauge female "beauty." As a result, the AI-generated women look like cartoons; that is, a lot like an air-brushed photo of Kristi Noem: globs of every kind of dark eye makeup, Scandinavian nose, Botox lips, slathered-on skin concealer/toner/etc. makeup, long dark hair and the aforementioned impossible Barbie body shape, including huge, round plastic breasts. 

New York Times: “George Clooney’s Broadway debut, 'Good Night, and Good Luck,' has been one of the sensations of the 2024-25 theater season, breaking box office records and drawing packed houses of audiences eager to see the popular movie star in a timely drama about the importance of an independent press. Now the play will become much more widely available: CNN is planning a live broadcast of the penultimate performance, on June 7 at 7 p.m. Eastern. The performance will be preceded and followed by coverage of, and discussion about, the show and the state of journalism.”

 

Contact Marie

Email Marie at constantweader@gmail.com

Constant Comments

Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts.

Success is not final, failure is not fatal; it is the courage to continue that counts. — Anonymous

A nation of sheep will beget a government of wolvesEdward R. Murrow

Publisher & Editor: Marie Burns

I have a Bluesky account now. The URL is https://bsky.app/profile/marie-burns.bsky.social . When Reality Chex goes down, check my Bluesky page for whatever info I am able to report on the status of Reality Chex. If you can't access the URL, I found that I could Google Bluesky and ask for Marie Burns. Google will include links to accounts for people whose names are, at least in part, Maria Burns, so you'll have to tell Google you looking only for Marie.

Wednesday
Mar112020

The Commentariat -- March 12, 2020

Afternoon Update:

New York Times (from the paper's live market updates): "Stocks continued their plunge on Thursday, as President Trump's latest effort to address the coronavirus outbreak -- a ban on the entry from most European countries to the United States -- disappointed investors who have been waiting for Washington to take steps to bolster the economy. Trading was turbulent, with stocks staging a brief comeback as investors reacted to the Federal Reserve's decision to offer at least $1.5 trillion worth of loans to banks to help smooth out the functioning of the financial markets. But the selling picked up again by midafternoon. The S&P 500 closed down about 9.5 percent, its biggest daily drop since the stock market crashed in 1987, on what came to be known as Black Monday. The decline has left stocks in the United States firmly in a bear market -- a term that signifies a decline of 20 percent from the most recent highs. For the Dow Jones industrial average, the drop of 10 percent was also its worst since the 1987 stock market crash." ~~~

~~~ Pippa Stevens & Fred Imbert of CNBC: ";The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 10%, posting its largest one-day percentage drop since the October 1987 crash. That day, the Dow collapsed by more than 22%. The S&P 500 joined the Dow in closing Thursday's session squarely in a bear market, down more than 20% from the all-time highs set just a month ago. The indexes also ended an 11-year bull run, the longest on record. It took the Dow just 19 trading days fall from a record high into a bear market. The S&P 500′s move was even swifter, taking the broad index just 16 trading days to tumble into a bear market. Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Advisory Group, said the economic damage is 'deep and profound' and that 'until we get to spring time when hopefully this goes away, we as investors are all flying blind.' The Federal Reserve announced extraordinary funding actions of more than $1 trillion to ease strained capital markets in the wake of the coronavirus sell-off. The news gave stocks a brief boost before they headed lower again."

     ~~~ Mrs. McCrabbie: Maybe it isn't a coincidence that the markets crash when a Republican is president: 1929, 1987, 2008, 2019. This time an "adjustment" was inevitable, but Trump's indifference & incompetence was the immediate cause for the past week's tumble. BTW, Mr. Bleakley there, with his brilliant belief that the virus will "hopefully go away in the spring, tra la," is suffering from a severe case of festering Trumpophilia.

Mike Stobbe & Matthew Perrone of the AP: "The U.S. lag in coronavirus testing is 'a failing,' a top federal health official said Thursday, and public health experts say they still don't have a good understanding of how widely the new virus has spread. The effort initially was hobbled by delays in getting testing kits out to public health labs, but the stumbles have continued, leading scientists to conclude that the virus has already spread far wider than government officials are reporting. U.S. health officials, for example, promised nearly a month ago to tap into a national network of labs that monitor for flu. That system is only just getting started. On Thursday, Dr. Anthony Fauci of the National Institutes of Health agreed that the U.S. needs to improve how it's testing. 'The system is not really geared to what we need right now,' he said. 'That is a failing. It is a failing, let's admit it.'"

Eric Levitz of New York: "In response to this mounting [pandemic] crisis, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell called on Congress to waste no time in commencing its previously planned vacation.... McConnell insisted that the Senate would not pass any legislation addressing the coronavirus emergency until it took a seven-day breather.... Hours later, however, McConnell changed course. After calls from multiple Senate Republicans to cancel the impending recess, the Senate Majority Leader announced that his caucus would work through next week on compromise legislation.... Even [if going ahead with the recess was] a bluff, McConnell's stance was insane. It's hard to imagine a more politically toxic talking point than, 'Democrats may want to take immediate action on this public health emergency, but the Republican Party believes it is entitled to a weeklong break before tackling such a demanding project.'"

Mrs. McCrabbie: Joe Biden just gave a speech on what is needed to combat the coronavirus pandemic. The contrast between Biden's remarks with Trump's robotic teleprompter performance last night was jarring. Biden's speech was fairly perfect. I hope Trump watched to get a glimpse of what it means to "be presidential." ~~~

** Washington Post Breaking News: "A Brazilian official who met President Trump and Vice President Pence at Mar-a-Lago on Saturday has tested positive for coronavirus. Fabio Wajngarten, a spokesman for Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, tested positive for covid-19, Brazilian officials said. Wajngarten stood next to Trump and Pence, a photograph taken in Florida shows. Trump said he 'isn't concerned' about the development, according to a White House pool report." (From the WashPo's live updates for today.) ~~~

     ~~~ Mrs. McCrabbie: Trump may be trying to pin the severity of the coronavirus pandemic on pence, but Mother pence has brought the calico curtains down from the attic & is embroidering "25th Amendment" into the hems.

Lucy Bayly of NBC News: "The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 2,000 points Thursday morning after ... Donald Trump's long-awaited response to the coronavirus epidemic triggered a massive sell-off on Wall Street. The S&P 500 plunged by 7 percent, triggering a circuit breaker, which halts all trading on the New York Stock Exchange for 15 minutes. All three major averages sank after Trump's Oval Office address Wednesday night failed to satisfy traders who were hoping for more concrete steps to allay any economic slowdown from the viral outbreak."

Rebecca Shabad of NBC News: "Vice President Mike Pence said Thursday that there has been 'irresponsible rhetoric' from people who have downplayed the seriousness of the U.S. coronavirus outbreak. In an interview on the 'Today' show, Savannah Guthrie asked what message Pence sends to people who aren't afraid of the coronavirus and think it's just politics and hype, quoting from ... Donald Trump who said on Monday that the 'fake news media and their partner, the Democrat Party, is doing everything to inflame the coronavirus situation.' 'There's been some irresponsible rhetoric, but the American people should know President Trump has no higher priority than the health and safety and well being of the people of this country,' Pence said in response but it was not clear who he was referring to."

The Unflappable Nancy Pelosi. Heather Caygle & John Bresnahan of Politico: "... for all Trump's omnipresence on Twitter and cable TV, [Speaker Nancy] Pelosi remains the dominant figure on Capitol Hill when it comes time to actually getting something accomplished.... The [coronavirus] episode plays to her strengths as the longtime Democratic leader: Figure out your goals, move quickly, and build your support on the fly, while always keeping your eye on the magic 218-vote number. The sheer variety of national emergencies Pelosi has faced during her 17 years as House Democratic leader is stunning, and represents the turbulent nature of 21st century American life -- Iraq, Hurricane Katrina, the 2008 financial crisis, the federal government shutdowns of 2013 and 2018-19, and Trump's recent impeachment, are among the highlights.... 'I've gone through a number of these crises with her as the leader and she is unflappable,' said Rep. Emanuel Cleaver (D-Mo.). 'The last thing we need is some kind of a hot-headed leader trying to figure out what we can do to hurt the other side,' he added. 'She don't play that game.'"

Sarah Ferris, et al., of Politico: "The U.S. Capitol will cease all public tours through at least the end of March amid mounting fears of a widespread coronavirus outbreak, according to multiple people familiar with the decision. Speaker Nancy Pelosi informed members of the decision in a Wednesday afternoon meeting, which is intended to help prevent the spread of the virus across the sprawling Capitol campus, where many senior-aged lawmakers are already at higher risk. The restriction applies to all tours -- public, staff-led and member-led. By the end of the week, the Capitol complex will be restricted to official business only, people familiar with the decision said. The move -- which was made jointly by congressional leaders, Capitol security officials and medical staff -- comes amid mounting pressure from lawmakers and aides to restrict public access to the building."

Gary Fineout of Politico: "Joe Biden is in line to deliver a knockout punch to Bernie Sanders in Florida in Tuesday's Democratic primary, according to a new poll that gives the former vice president a staggering 44-point lead over his opponent. Biden is lapping Sanders in voter support, with support from 66 percent of likely Democratic primary voters to 22 percent for Sanders, according to a University of North Florida poll taken March 5-10."

~~~~~~~~~~

Travel Bans Я Us. Washington Post Breaking News: "In a Wednesday evening national address, President Trump announced [a] ban on travel between U.S. and Europe for 30 days, beginning Friday at midnight. The ban will not include travel to and from the United Kingdom. The president said he is directing the Small Business Administration to provide low-interest loans to affected small businesses, and calling on Congress to increase funding for this program by an additional $50 billion, and to provide 'immediate payroll tax relief.' He is also instructing the Treasury Department to defer tax payments without interest or penalties for certain individuals and businesses that have been impacted." An NBC News report is here. You can watch Trump deliver the address in a montone here. ~~~

     ~~~ Mrs. McCrabbie: Worth noting: the U.K. has a higher number of coronavirus cases than the majority of European countries. But Anglo-Saxon, ~~~

~~~ AND. Laura McGann of Vox: "President Trump just used the powerful symbol of his office to attempt to divide us. Seated behind his desk in the White House Wednesday, Trump looked into the camera and warned Americans of an enemy who has infiltrated our borders. We are at war, he said, with a 'foreign virus.'... When he should have been calling on Americans to come together, he attempted to make us afraid of all of Europe.... Linking outsiders to germs, of course ... [has] been part of many dark chapters in world history.... And Trump's big announcement ignores the fact that the virus is already in the United States, spreading locally.... Medical experts reacted critically to Trump's ban by pointing out that it ignores the work that really needs to be done, such as testing to assess the full scale of the crisis and mass communication with the public about how to prevent the spread." ~~~

~~~ Paul LeBlanc of CNN: "The President's reference to the virus as 'foreign' echoes a tweet he shared earlier this week promoting a US southern-border wall as a way to protect Americans from the 'China Virus.' Trump, adding his own comment to the tweet, said, 'Going up fast. We need the Wall more than ever!' The post was met with fierce pushback from critics, including Democratic presidential front-runner Joe Biden, who tweeted, 'A wall won't stop a virus. Racism won't stop a virus. Do your job.'" ~~~

~~~ AND a Xenophobia Dividend for Trump. Ryan Heath of Politico: "... Donald Trump's new European travel restrictions have a convenient side effect: They exempt nations where three Trump-owned golf resorts are located." ~~~

~~~ Peter Baker of the New York Times: "President Trump on Wednesday night blocked most visitors from continental Europe to the United States and vowed emergency aid to workers and small businesses as the World Health Organization declared the coronavirus a global pandemic, stock markets plunged further and millions of people cut themselves off from their regular lives. In a prime-time address from the Oval Office, Mr. Trump outlined a series of measures intended to tackle the virus and its economic impact as he sought to reassure Americans that he was taking the crisis seriously after previously playing down the scope of the outbreak. He said he would halt travelers from Europe other than Britain for 30 days and asked Congress to support measures like a payroll tax cut. 'The virus will not have a chance against us,' Mr. Trump declared in his 10-minute speech, reading from a teleprompter in an uncharacteristic monotone." ~~~

     ~~~ Mrs. McCrabbie: This was as close to a hostage video as you'll witness a president* give. The guys with the guns surely were just off-camera. As far as the virus "not having a chance against us," Trump is depending on the kindness of strangers. Beating the coronavirus depends upon all Americans acting responsibly & making life-altering sacrifices. Yet Trump has trained his lemmings to follow his example of criminal self-interest. Are they now to turn around and become model citizens, often at great personal cost, while Trump swans around preceded by a band of servants bearing sanitary wipes? I don't think so. It isn't just that Trump has fucked up management of the official coronavirus response; he also has created an environment in which members of his "base" are ever-more disinclined to do their unofficial part. ~~~

~~~ Yo, Trump: No Country Is an Island. And that includes Australia, which looks a lot like an island. but where Tom Hanks & Rita Wilson, who are visiting the country, have announced they tested positive (because people can get tested there) for Covid-19. Both Hanks & Wilson are over 60 years old.

Jonathan Chait: “... Trump revealed in his Oval Office speech that he does not comprehend the most basic facts. Trump's speech had no mention of the central problem..., which is the lack of a functioning testing regime. Having falsely promised on Friday that everybody who currently wants a test can get one, Trump simply ignored the question altogether.... While he did urge the audience to wash their hands, he likewise ignored the question of public gatherings, which is being resolved without any apparent input from the administration.... His primary public health gesture was the announcement of a travel ban from Europe. The explanation for this measure was terrifyingly ignorant. 'We have seen fewer cases of the virus than are now present in Europe,' he boasted. This may not even be true. (It is possible that the U.S. only knows about fewer cases because of its atrocious testing regime.)... Perhaps most astonishingly, the White House had to retract two policy announcements that Trump erroneously made.... Trump announced his European travel ban would apply to 'trade and cargo,' before the White House announced this was an error. Trump also told his audience, 'I met with the leaders of health insurance industry who have agreed to waive all co-payments for coronavirus treatments, extend insurance coverage to these treatments and to prevent surprise medical billing.' The Insurance Industry quickly announced it had only agreed to cover testing, not treatment, for the coronavirus."

The New York Times' live updates of coronavirus developments are here. A few "highlights" as of 8 am ET: "The European Commission, the governing body of the European Union, issued a scathing statement condemning [Trump's travel ban]. 'The coronavirus is a global crisis, not limited to any continent and it requires cooperation rather than unilateral action,' it said. 'The European Union disapproves of the fact that the U.S. decision to impose a travel ban was taken unilaterally and without consultation.'... Tens of thousands of Americans in Europe scrambled to figure out what they needed to do before the 30-day travel ban goes into effect on Friday, many unclear on the scope of the ban and worried that their flights home would be canceled.... The coronavirus is increasingly altering American life, as churches shut their doors, large gatherings in some regions are forbidden and the N.B.A. suspended the rest of its season...." ~~~

~~~ The Guardian's live updates are here.

Fred Imbert & Thomas Franck of CNBC (at about 8 am ET): "Futures contracts tied to the major U.S. stock indexes dove early Thursday after an address from ... Donald Trump failed to quell concerns over the possible economic slowdown from the coronavirus. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial average, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 all traded at the so-called limit down threshold, off by 5%. Dow futures implied a loss of more than 1,100 points at the open. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), which tracks the S&P 500, was down more than 5% in the premarket."

Robert Costa, et al., of the Washington Post: "President Trump, in an explosive tirade Monday, urged Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin to encourage Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell to do more to stimulate the economy, three officials familiar with the exchange said, revealing the president's mounting fury as his administration struggles to corral economic fallout from the novel coronavirus.... During that tense Monday meeting in the Oval Office, Trump fumed that Powell never should have been appointed and is damaging the nation and his presidency. He then told Mnuchin, who had encouraged Trump to nominate Powell in 2017, to engage with the chair and ask him to take more dramatic steps to arrest the stock market's plummet.... Trump's ... also suggested to other officials that they call the Fed chair and ask him to consider further interest rate cuts, the officials said.... Trump has blamed Powell in the past for the stock market's poor performance, [for instance,] in 2018, when it was sliding because of anxiety about Trump's trade war with China...." ~~~

     ~~~ Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: To take a trip down memory lane, let us recall that Trump appointed Powell after he fired Janet Yellin because she was too short to lead the Fed. Of course, Trump would be blaming Yellin now for not doing the same things Powell is not doing. AND ~~~

~~~ Asawin Suebsaeng & Sam Brodey of the Daily Beast: "... negotiations around ... a [coronavirus economic] package have been complicated by the fact that ... Donald Trump can't stand the idea of negotiating one-on-one with ... Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi. Indeed, he suspects that she would use the moment to try to humiliate him. Two senior Trump administration officials described a president who, out of an intense bitterness toward the House Speaker, has shuddered at the prospect of being in the same room with her.... Instead, Trump has deputized some of his more prominent lieutenants to handle the delicate negotiations. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin, in particular, has emerged as one of the administration's top envoys to Capitol Hill.... The president and the Speaker have not spoken at all in recent days, according to her office. The president has also not spoken to Democratic Senate leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY), according to his office." ~~~

     ~~~ Mrs. McCrabbie: Instead of listening to Trump's proposals to help himself & his friends, Democrats should force Republicans to use this crisis as an opportunity to pass legislation guaranteeing paid sick leave for all workers. ~~~

     ~~~ BUT. Dave Jamieson of the Huffington Post: "Democrats hoping to pass an emergency paid sick leave bill to deal with the fallout from the coronavirus were stymied by Senate Republicans on Wednesday. Sen. Patty Murray (D-Wash.) tried to speed the measure up for a vote on the Senate floor through a procedural maneuver, but an objection from Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-Tenn.) prevented the bill from bypassing the Republican-controlled health committee.... Although the bill is bottled up for now, Democrats could try to attach the measure to another legislative package aimed at dealing with the virus. Democrats proposed the emergency legislation in both chambers last week." ~~~

~~~ MEANWHILE. Cristina Marcos & Mike Lillis of the Hill: "House Democrats late Wednesday night introduced emergency legislation to help reduce the economic impact of the coronavirus outbreak by providing financial backing to those most immediately affected, including an expansion of paid sick leave and unemployment benefits. A vote is expected Thursday, just before lawmakers leave Washington for a previously scheduled week-long recess. The bill is expected to pass easily through the House, though it remains unclear when -- or if -- the Republican-controlled Senate will take it up.... The legislation largely mirrors the principles laid out by Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) earlier this week to ensure paid sick leave for all workers, bolster unemployment insurance, guarantee free coronavirus testing and expand federal food assistance for low-income families and children." Mrs. McC: Funny, innit, how the "do-nothing" Democrats are able to write, introduce & presumably pass effective legislation while Republicans, uh, do nothing but obstruct?

~~~ Anita Kumar of the Washington Post (March 11 @ 4:10 pm ET): "... Donald Trump is reluctant to declare an expansive emergency to combat the escalating coronavirus outbreak, fearful of stoking panic with such a dramatic step, according to three people familiar with the situation. Instead, the president is expected to sign within days what the White House calls a more limited designation to allow the federal government to cover small business loans, paychecks for hourly workers and delay tax bills, giving him a way to begin boosting the economy without waiting for Congress to sign off on an economic stimulus package.... There's no deadline for a decision, but one of the people familiar with the talks said Trump's aides will not give the president a final verdict until Jared Kushner ... talks to relevant parties and presents his findings to the president." Mrs. McC: Oh, great. ~~~

~~~ "It's All up to Jared Now." Kevin Drum of Mother Jones: "We are doomed.... And the 'final verdict' rests on the shoulders of Jared Kushner, who hasn't proven himself competent at anything over the past three years, let alone matters of infectious disease control."

Ben Winck of Business Insider: "US stocks slid on Wednesday as investors mulled the timeline for the White House's stimulus measures in response to the coronavirus outbreak. All three major indexes tanked roughly 5%, erasing gains made during Tuesday's rebound. The drop ushered in another day of heightened volatility from coronavirus risks and the escalating oil-market war between Russia and Saudi Arabia.... The Dow Jones industrial average slid into a bear market -- or a more than 20% decline from its February 19 high -- ending the equity benchmark's longest period of expansion. Here's where major US indexes closed on Wednesday: S&P 500: 2,741.38, down 4.9%[;] Dow Jones industrial average: 23,553.53, down 5.9% (1,465 points)[;] Nasdaq composite: 7,952.05, down 4.7%[.]"

Jamie Ducharme of Time: "The World Health Organization (WHO) on March 11 declared COVID-19 a pandemic, pointing to the over 118,000 cases of the coronavirus illness in over 110 countries and territories around the world and the sustained risk of further global spread. 'This is not just a public health crisis, it is a crisis that will touch every sector,' said Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, WHO director-general, at a media briefing. 'So every sector and every individual must be involved in the fights.' An epidemic refers to an uptick in the spread of a disease within a specific community. By contrast, the WHO defines a pandemic as global spread of a new disease, though the specific threshold for meeting that criteria is fuzzy." (Also linked yesterday.)

David Nakamura, et al., of the Washington Post: "Big cities are moving to shut down large public gatherings to protect against the coronavirus, but President Trump is scheduled to depart Washington on Thursday for a three-day visit to Las Vegas, where he will deliver remarks to an estimated crowd of 1,500 at the Republican Jewish Coalition national meeting. Conference organizers and the city's elected officials said the event is a go even though about one-quarter of those who signed up for the conference have dropped out. High-profile speakers, including former U.N. ambassador Nikki Haley, remain on the agenda. And Trump and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo are speaking at a preconference dinner with prominent Jewish Republicans on Thursday evening." Mrs. McC: I'm guessing members of the Republican Jewish Coalition are mostly elderly people from New Rochelle.

     ~~~ Update: According to MSNBC, the White House cancelled this event late Wednesday night.

Quint Forgey & Nolan McCaskill of Politico: "The nation's top health officials cautioned Wednesday that the U.S. will see more coronavirus cases as the domestic outbreak spreads, a stark warning that comes as Congress looks to head off the outbreak's economic impact and global health organizations declare it a full-blown pandemic. More than 1,000 people in the U.S. have already been diagnosed with the coronavirus in 38 states, leaving at least 29 people dead. But Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, told members of the House Oversight Committee that 'we will see more cases, and things will get worse. How much worse ... will depend on our ability to do two things: to contain the influx in people who are infected coming from the outside and the ability to contain and mitigate within our own country,' Fauci said.... Fauci ... not[ed] that it's 10 times more lethal than influenza, which kills nearly .01* percent of Americans who get it each year." (Also linked yesterday.) ~~~

     ~~~ * Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: Blake (linked immediately below) cites this figure at 0.1 percent. I thought I'd better listen to the tape, which is here. Blake is right. So the common flu is ten times as bad as Politico reports, making the projected coronavirus mortality rate ten times as great, too. But still, only one percent (for coronavirus) by that calculation. However, it's worth noting that since older people & those with underlying health issues are more likely to contract coronavirus, the percentage of mortality in the elderly/ill population will be higher than that for the entire population. Update: AND, as Victoria pointed out at the end of yesterday's thread, the mortality rate for this at-risk population is higher than for the general population.

     ~~~ Aaron Blake of the Washington Post: "Over and over again [during his testimony, Anthony Fauci] differed with President Trump’s talking points that play down the threat posed by the novel coronavirus, and he even differed with decisions Trump has made." Blake goes over a list of where Fauci's testimony disagreed with Trump's ignorant pronouncements. "... what Fauci said puts Trump in a box. Now when he trots out assertions such as the flu comparison, Fauci's comments will be right there as a counterpoint from a true health expert." Worth a read. ~~~

     ~~~ Brad Reed of the Raw Story: "During a House Oversight Committee hearing on the virus, Rep. Michael Cloud (R-TX) tried to get Dr. Anthony Fauci ... to say that the media was overhyping the dangers posed by the coronavirus." Cloud's attempt backfired, big-time. Includes video of the exchange. Mrs. McC: Cloud's questions are a good barometer of how right-wing media have so imbued even members of Congress, who should be capable of grasping an existential crisis occurring on their watch, that -- like Trump -- they have no idea of what's going on.

~~~ Noah Higgins-Dunn & Berkeley Lovelace of CNBC: "... Donald Trump has summoned top U.S. health officials to an emergency meeting at the White House Wednesday morning, cutting a congressional hearing on Capitol Hill short, said Rep. Carolyn Maloney, chairwoman of the House Oversight and Reform Committee. 'This morning we were informed that President Trump and Vice President Pence have called our witnesses to an emergency meeting at the White House. We don't know the details, just that it's extremely urgent,' Maloney, D-NY, said before opening a hearing on the nation's preparedness and response to the coronavirus outbreak that has swept across the nation." Mrs. McC: That's one way to muzzle top government health experts. (Also linked yesterday.) ~~~

~~~ Update. AND Here's the CYA Move. Aram Roston & Melissa Taylor of Reuters: "The White House has ordered federal health officials to treat top-level coronavirus meetings as classified, an unusual step that has restricted information and hampered the U.S. government's response to the contagion, according to four Trump administration officials." Mrs. McC: So we'll never know if Wednesday's meeting had a purpose other than to shorten the Congressional hearing. The officials said that dozens of classified discussions about such topics as the scope of infections, quarantines and travel restrictions have been held since mid-January in a high-security meeting room at the Department of Health & Human Services (HHS), a key player in the fight against the coronavirus. Staffers without security clearances, including government experts, were excluded from the interagency meetings, which included video conference calls, the sources said. 'We had some very critical people who did not have security clearances who could not go,' one official said. 'These should not be classified meetings. It was unnecessary.'" (Also linked yesterday.)

Annals of "Journalism," Ha Ha Ha

Jeremy Peters & Michael Grynbaum of the New York Times: "Sean Hannity used his syndicated talk-radio program on Wednesday to share a prediction he had found on Twitter about what is really happening with the coronavirus: It's a' fraud' by the deep state to spread panic in the populace, manipulate the economy and suppress dissent. 'May be true,' Mr. Hannity declared to millions of listeners around the country. As the coronavirus spreads around the globe, denial and disinformation about the risks are proliferating on media outlets popular with conservatives. 'This coronavirus?' Rush Limbaugh asked skeptically during his Wednesday program, suggesting it was all a plot hatched by the Chinese. 'Nothing like wiping out the entire U.S. economy with a biothreat from China, is there?' he said. The Fox Business anchor Trish Regan told viewers on Monday that the worry over coronavirus 'is yet another attempt to impeach the president.'" ~~~

     ~~~ Mrs. McCrabbie: I was wondering what "expert" Hannity found to assert coronavirus was a deep-state fraud. Well, as the "expert" describes himself on his Twitter account, his name is Shiva Ayyadurai, and part of his "name" is "MIT Ph.D. Inventor of Email." It turns out Ayyandurai does have several degrees from MIT, including a Ph.D. But you probably won't be surprised to learn he did not "invent email." Plus, I always look forward to meeting people who introduce themselves by boasting about their real & invented accomplishments from several decades past.

Margaret Sullivan of the Washington Post: "... now the mind-meld of Fox News and Trump is potentially lethal as Trump plays down the seriousness of the coronavirus and, hearing nothing but applause from his favorite information source for doing so, sees little reason to change. There's one person who could transform all that in an instant: Fox founder Rupert Murdoch, the Australian-born media mogul who, at 89, still exerts his influence on the leading cable network -- and thus on the president himself.... Imagine if Murdoch ordered the network to end its habit of praising him as if he were the Dear Leader of an authoritarian regime and to instead use its influence to drive home the seriousness of the moment."

Presidential Race

Julia Manchester & Morgan Chalfant of the Hill: "The coronavirus outbreak is hitting the presidential campaigns hard, forcing the cancelation of rallies and campaign events, and forcing a Sunday debate between Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders to play out before a nearly empty arena. The outbreak is canceling sporting events, closing schools and sending workers home, and it may also pose a challenge to the signature rallies of President Trump, who so far has insisted he will move forward with campaign appearances as he seeks to project confidence in his administration's handling of the virus.... [BUT] On Wednesday, the White House announced that Trump would cancel events scheduled for this weekend in Colorado and Nevada 'out of an abundance of caution' due to the coronavirus outbreak. Trump was expected to attend fundraisers and speak at the Republican Jewish Coalition conference on the trip." AND ~~~

~~~ Matthew Choi of Politico: "... Donald Trump late Wednesday canceled campaign events in Colorado, Nevada and Wisconsin as coronavirus infections spread across the country. 'Out of an abundance of caution from the Coronavirus outbreak, the President has decided to cancel his upcoming events in Colorado and Nevada,' White House press secretary Stephanie Grisham said in a statement. Tim Murtaugh, director of communications for the Trump reelection campaign, later tweeted that Trump would also not make it to a Catholics for Trump event on March 19 in Milwaukee. Murtaugh cited an 'abundance of caution because of the coronavirus outbreak,' and said that it would be rescheduled."

(If the video doesn't start at 6:54 min. in for you, start it there):

     ~~~ Mrs. McCrabbie: This is how you accept your own defeat but not the defeat of your platform.

~~~ Sydney Ember, et al., of the New York Times: "Senator Bernie Sanders said on Wednesday that he was continuing his campaign for the Democratic presidential nomination despite suffering big primary losses this week, and that he planned to attend the scheduled debate on Sunday against former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. Mr. Sanders, appearing at an afternoon news conference here, said he was not quitting the race and wanted to debate Mr. Biden, who handily defeated Mr. Sanders in four states on Tuesday." Politico's story is here. (Also linked yesterday.)

Jordain Carney of the Hill: "Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee Chairman Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) cancelled a vote scheduled for Wednesday afternoon on a subpoena stemming from his months-long probe into Hunter Biden and Burisma Holdings. 'Out of an abundance of caution, and to allow time for you to receive additional briefings, I will postpone a vote to subpoena records and an appearance from former Blue Star Strategies consultant Andrii Telizhenko about his work for the lobbying firm,' Johnson said in a note to committee members...." (Also linked yesterday.)


Robert Barnes
of the Washington Post: "The Supreme Court on Wednesday said the Trump administration may continue its 'Remain in Mexico' policy for asylum seekers while lower-court challenges continue, after the federal government warned that tens of thousands of immigrants amassed at the southern border could overwhelm the immigration system. The justices reversed a decision of a panel of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 9th Circuit that had ordered the policy be suspended Thursday along parts of the border. As is usual in emergency rulings, the court's unsigned, one-paragraph order did not provide the majority's reasoning. Only Justice Sonia Sotomayor noted her dissent."

Chris Francescani & Aaron Katersky of ABC News: "Harvey Weinstein was sentenced to 23 years on sex crime convictions in New York on Wednesday. That sentence includes 20 years for criminal sexual assault in the first degree, which stems from an accusation from former "Project Runway" production assistant Mimi Haley, and three years for rape in the third degree, which stems from an accusation from Jessica Mann, who is now being named by ABC News as she told the district attorney's office after a verdict was reached she does not object to being named publicly. The sentences are set to run consecutively." (Also linked yesterday.) The Washington Post's story is here.

Betsy Swan & Spencer Ackerman of the Daily Beast: "Chelsea Manning tried to take her life on March 11, her legal team told The Daily Beast. 'She was taken to a hospital and is currently recovering,' said the statement from her legal team.... Manning is still set to appear in court for a hearing on Friday, where a federal judge will rule on a motion to terminate civil contempt sanctions against her."

@Hattie: To write in the Comments section, "Trump tested positive for Covfefe-19," you have to type "<b>Trump</b> tested positive for <i>Covfefe-19</i>." This is true no matter what device you're using.

Tuesday
Mar102020

The Commentariat -- March 11, 2020

Late Morning/Afternoon Update:

Jamie Ducharme of Time: "The World Health Organization (WHO) on March 11 declared COVID-19 a pandemic, pointing to the over 118,000 cases of the coronavirus illness in over 110 countries and territories around the world and the sustained risk of further global spread. 'This is not just a public health crisis, it is a crisis that will touch every sector,' said Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, WHO director-general, at a media briefing. 'So every sector and every individual must be involved in the fights.' An epidemic refers to an uptick in the spread of a disease within a specific community. By contrast, the WHO defines a pandemic as global spread of a new disease, though the specific threshold for meeting that criteria is fuzzy."

Quint Forgey & Nolan McCaskill of Politico: "The nation's top health officials cautioned Wednesday that the U.S. will see more coronavirus cases as the domestic outbreak spreads, a stark warning that comes as Congress looks to head off the outbreak's economic impact and global health organizations declare it a full-blown pandemic. More than 1,000 people in the U.S. have already been diagnosed with the coronavirus in 38 states, leaving at least 29 people dead. But Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, told members of the House Oversight Committee that 'we will see more cases, and things will get worse. How much worse ... will depend on our ability to do two things: to contain the influx in people who are infected coming from the outside and the ability to contain and mitigate within our own country,' Fauci said.... Fauci ... not[ed] that it's 10 times more lethal than influenza, which kills nearly .01 percent of Americans who get it each year."

Mrs. McCrabbie: Bernie Sanders just made a remarkable speech. I'll post a video of it when one becomes available. I swear Bernie is the finest human being I ever didn't want to win the nomination. Joe Biden is a fine person, too, but he's no Bernie (and I didn't want Joe to win the nomination, either). Here we go (if the video doesn't start at 6:54 min. in for you, start it there):

     ~~~ This is how you accept your own defeat but not the defeat of your platform.

~~~ Sydney Ember, et al., of the New York Times: "Senator Bernie Sanders said on Wednesday that he was continuing his campaign for the Democratic presidential nomination despite suffering big primary losses this week, and that he planned to attend the scheduled debate on Sunday against former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. Mr. Sanders, appearing at an afternoon news conference here, said he was not quitting the race and wanted to debate Mr. Biden, who handily defeated Mr. Sanders in four states on Tuesday." Politico's story is here.

Jordain Carney of the Hill: "Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee Chairman Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) cancelled a vote scheduled for Wednesday afternoon on a subpoena stemming from his months-long probe into Hunter Biden and Burisma Holdings. 'Out of an abundance of caution, and to allow time for you to receive additional briefings, I will postpone a vote to subpoena records and an appearance from former Blue Star Strategies consultant Andrii Telizhenko about his work for the lobbying firm,' Johnson said in a note to committee members...."

Chris Francescani & Aaron Katersky of ABC News: "Harvey Weinstein was sentenced to 23 years on sex crime convictions in New York on Wednesday. That sentence includes 20 years for criminal sexual assault in the first degree, which stems from an accusation from former "Project Runway" production assistant Mimi Haley, and three years for rape in the third degree, which stems from an accusation from Jessica Mann, who is now being named by ABC News as she told the district attorney's office after a verdict was reached she does not object to being named publicly. The sentences are set to run consecutively."

Fred Imbert of CNBC: "Stocks plummeted on Wednesday in another volatile session as Wall Street worried about a possible fiscal stimulus package aimed at curbing slower economic growth due to the coronavirus outbreak. The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded 850 points lower, or more than 3%. The S&P 500 slid 3% while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.7%."

Noah Higgins-Dunn & Berkeley Lovelace of CNBC: "... Donald Trump has summoned top U.S. health officials to an emergency meeting at the White House Wednesday morning, cutting a congressional hearing on Capitol Hill short, said Rep. Carolyn Maloney, chairwoman of the House Oversight and Reform Committee. 'This morning we were informed that President Trump and Vice President Pence have called our witnesses to an emergency meeting at the White House. We don't know the details, just that it's extremely urgent,' Maloney, D-NY, said before opening a hearing on the nation]s preparedness and response to the coronavirus outbreak that has swept across the nation." Mrs. McC: That's one way to muzzle top government health experts. ~~~

~~~ Update. AND Here's the CYA Move. Aram Roston & Melissa Taylor of Reuters: "The White House has ordered federal health officials to treat top-level coronavirus meetings as classified, an unusual step that has restricted information and hampered the U.S. government's response to the contagion, according to four Trump administration officials." Mrs. McC: So we'll never know if Wednesday's meeting had a purpose other than to shorten the Congressional hearing. The officials said that dozens of classified discussions about such topics as the scope of infections, quarantines and travel restrictions have been held since mid-January in a high-security meeting room at the Department of Health & Human Services (HHS), a key player in the fight against the coronavirus. Staffers without security clearances, including government experts, were excluded from the interagency meetings, which included video conference calls, the sources said. 'We had some very critical people who did not have security clearances who could not go,' one official said. 'These should not be classified meetings. It was unnecessary.'"

~~~~~~~~~~

The New York Times' live election results for the Democratic presidential nomination are here. ABC News' live updates are here. The Guardian's liveblog of the election & related developments is here.

Alexander Burns & Jonathan Martin of the New York Times: "Joseph R. Biden Jr. took command of the Democratic presidential race in decisive fashion on Tuesday, marshaling a powerful multiracial coalition in the South and the Midwest that swept aside Senator Bernie Sanders and completed Mr. Biden's rapid transformation from a sometimes-fumbling underdog into his party's likely nominee. Replicating the combination of voters that delivered him broad victories a week ago on Super Tuesday, Mr. Biden won Michigan, Missouri and Mississippi with overwhelming support from African-Americans and with large margins among suburban and rural white voters. Mr. Biden was also named the winner in Idaho, leaving little doubt by the end of the night that Mr. Sanders had lost his recent status as the progressive front-runner in a race defined for months by feuding and factionalism on the moderate wing of the Democratic Party. North Dakota and Washington remained too close to call early Wednesday morning.... Addressing supporters Tuesday night in Philadelphia, in a tone that was more sober than celebratory, Mr. Biden said voters had put him 'a step closer to restoring decency, dignity and honor to the White House' and moved to unify the party with an appeal to supporters of Mr. Sanders. 'We share a common goal,' Mr. Biden said, 'and together we'll defeat Donald Trump.'" ~~~

     ~~~ Update. Marty Johnson of the Hill: "Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) defeated former Vice President Joe Biden in the North Dakota Democratic presidential primary on Tuesday, prevailing in a state he had also won in 2016. With 100 percent of precincts reporting, Sanders received 53 percent of the vote, while Biden got just under 40 percent. North Dakota awards 14 pledged delegates, tying Wyoming for hosting the smallest nominating race in the continental United States." ~~~

     ~~~ Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: What a pathetic, inglorious end to a drama that began with at least a dozen candidates better-suited to go one-on-one with Trump and to handle the rigors of the presidency.

Bernie Sanders went home to Vermont & did not speak Tuesday night, according to MSNBC election anchors.

Zach Montellaro of Politico: "The Democratic National Committee says this Sunday's debate between Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders in Phoenix will be held without an audience over concerns about the spreading coronavirus. DNC communications director Xochitl Hinojosa said the decision was made "at the request of both campaigns and out of an abundance of caution."

Jacob Pramuk of CNBC: "Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden's presidential campaigns canceled rallies set for Cleveland on Tuesday night due to coronavirus concerns, the first disruptions the outbreak has caused in the 2020 Democratic primary. In separate announcements, the Democratic presidential contenders' campaigns said they exercised caution about holding large public gatherings after hearing guidance from public health officials." Mrs. McC: At the top of his victory speech, Biden said that Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine (R) had called both campaigns to request that they not hold rallies in Cleveland because of the virus.

Bo Erickson of CBS News: "Joe Biden had a heated exchange with a construction worker who accused him of trying to take Americans' guns away during a campaign stop in Michigan.... The former vice president was touring an assembly plant under construction for Fiat Chrysler, shaking hands with and praising the electrical workers union members who are building the plant.... 'You are actively trying to end our Second Amendment right and take away our guns, [a] worker told Biden. Biden replied: 'You're full of sh[it].'" The argument went on, & Biden urged the worker, "Don't be such a horse's ass." Here's the conversation, with subtitles, between Biden & the horse's ass:

Alex Isenstadt of Politico: "With Biden emerging as the likely Democratic nominee, Trump has launched a concerted, near-daily campaign to raise doubts about the 77-year-old's mental acuity. The president has been bolstered by a conservative echo chamber flooding social media with video clips highlighting Biden's gaffes. The effort provides a window into how Trump -- who's been dogged by questions about his own mental fitness -- regularly picks apart his political opponents. He has an unmatched ability to zero in on his foe's biggest vulnerability or insecurity, and through sheer repetition bake it into the public consciousness. Unfortunately for Biden, his performance on the campaign trail has given Trump plenty to work with." (Also linked yesterday.)

Justin Wise of the Hill: "Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Ct.) is requesting an investigation into a group of executive branch agencies that are cooperating or considering cooperating with congressional probes into Hunter Biden and his work related to the Ukrainian gas company Burisma. In a letter sent to the inspectors general at the National Archives, State Department, Treasury Department and Department of Homeland Security (DHS), Murphy expressed concern that the agencies are being 'weaponized' by President Trump to hurt his political opponents. He argued that the same agencies refused to cooperate with 'legitimate congressional investigations' into Trump, including ones focused on bringing articles of impeachment against the president."

Senate Races

Alabama. James Arkin of Politico: "... Donald Trump spurned Jeff Sessions and endorsed Tommy Tuberville in the Alabama Senate race Tuesday, an enormous blow to Trump's former attorney general, whom he had excoriated for recusing from the Justice Department's Russia investigation. The endorsement of Tuberville is a major boost for the former Auburn University football coach three weeks before the primary runoff between the two Republicans. Tuberville earned the top spot in last week's primary, narrowly edging out Sessions but falling well short of the 50 percent of the vote needed to avoid a runoff."

Mississippi. Tal Axelrod of the Hill: "Mike Espy won the Senate Democratic primary in Mississippi on Tuesday, setting up a rematch from 2018 with Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R). Espy, a former agriculture secretary and congressman, beat out fellow Democrats Jensen Bohren and Tobey Bartee for the chance to take on Hyde-Smith in November. Espy garnered more than 92 percent of the vote with just over 50 percent of precincts reporting."


Life in the Time of Coronavirus. Sarah Nir & Jesse McKinley of the New York Times: "The National Guard will move in [to New Rochelle, N.Y.]. Schools, churches and synagogues will be shut down. Large indoor gatherings will be officially banned. The sights and rituals of life in this New York City suburb, which had already been altered, took an eerie turn on Tuesday when Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo announced a drastic new step to try to control the spread of the coronavirus in the largest cluster in the United States. State officials created a one-mile radius 'containment area' in New Rochelle, in Westchester County, a move that echoed measures taken in other health crises. The midpoint of the zone was a synagogue that is at the center of the state's worst outbreak."

Sarah Jones of New York: "The story COVID-19 tells about America is an ugly one. There is a class war, and the rich are winning."

Chandelis Duster of CNN: "The Treasury Department is considering extending the April 15 tax filing deadline to curb the financial impact of coronavirus on American households and businesses, according to The Wall Street Journal. A decision on the extension or details on how it would work have not been finalized, the paper reported Tuesday night...."

Dawn Kopecki, et al., of CNBC: "... a top CDC official ... Monday recommend[ed] that people over 60 and anyone with chronic medical conditions buckle down for a lengthy stay home. 'This virus is capable of spreading easily and sustainably from person to person ... and there's essentially no immunity against this virus in the population,' Dr. Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC's National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, told reporters on a conference call, citing World Health Organization data that studied more than 70,000 cases in China.... Most people won't develop serious symptoms, but 15% to 20% of the people who are exposed to the virus get severely sick, she said.... The odds of developing COVID-19 increase with age, starting at age 60. It's especially lethal for people over 80.... The CDC is recommending people with underlying conditions or who are over 60 to stock up on medications, household items and groceries to stay at home 'for a period of time,' she said." Emphasis added. (Also linked yesterday.)

Fred Imbert, et al., of CNBC: "Stocks rose sharply in wild trading on Tuesday as investors weighed the prospects of fiscal stimulus to curb slower economic growth stemming from the coronavirus outbreak. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 1,167.14 points higher, or 4.9%, at 25,018.16. Tuesday's gains for the Dow cut the index's losses from Monday in half. Earlier in the day, the 30-stock average was down 160 points. The S&P 500 was up 4.9% at 2,882.23, notching its best day since Dec. 26, 2018. The Nasdaq Composite also advanced 4.9% to 8,347.40." (This is an update of a story linked yesterday.)

New York Times live market updates: "Buyers moved back into the markets on Tuesday, a day after the coronavirus and a battle among the world's biggest oil producers shook the global financial scene. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 rose more than 2 percent, rebounding from its steepest decline in more than a decade. European stocks also climbed, with many indexes more than 2 percent higher and Asian markets rose as well. Stocks were somewhat buoyed after President Trump on Monday night said he would work with Congress on measures to help the economy amid signs of a worsening outbreak in the United States, including a potential payroll tax cut." (Also linked yesterday.) ~~~

~~~ Yes, but what if Trump made an empty promise about taking substantive measures to mitigate the economic impact of the virus? ~~~

~~~ Eamon Javers & Mike Calia of CNBC: "The White House is not ready to roll out specific economic proposals in its response to the widening impact of the coronavirus outbreak, administration officials told CNBC. The revelation comes as U.S. stock futures pointed toward a sharp rebound at the open Tuesday following the Dow's 2,013-point drop Monday and ... Donald Trump's suggestion that a payroll tax cut and other stimulus measures may be in the works to mitigate economic damage from the virus' spread. Trump has also invited Wall Street executives to meet at the White House on Wednesday to discuss the response. However, inside the administration, some officials were stunned by Trump's claim Monday that he would hold a press conference Tuesday to announce an economic plan. 'That was news to everyone on the inside,' one official said. The actual details of any plan remain up in the air. 'It's not there right now,' an official said. 'A lot of details need to be worked out.' The president's schedule for Tuesday includes a 5:30 p.m. ET media briefing for his coronavirus task force." (Also linked yesterday.) ~~~

~~~ So Then. Erica Werner, et al., of the Washington Post: "President Trump's meeting with Senate Republicans on Tuesday ended without any concrete plan for crafting an economic package that might address the turmoil caused by the coronavirus epidemic, sparking fears that policy makers are far apart on how to deal with growing concerns that the U.S. could enter a recession. At the meeting, Trump discussed his proposal to extend a temporary payroll tax cut for a period of months. Some lawmakers also discussed the idea of targeted infrastructure spending. Both ideas could be used to try and flood the economy with more cash, but there was not a consensus over how to proceed.... Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) has privately told several allies in recent days he personally opposes the payroll tax cut idea Trump has endorsed.... And House Democrats are busily assembling their own package.... House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.) have also been dismissive of the payroll tax cut idea, saying they were focused on addressing the coronavirus specifically. Top House Democrats said Tuesday they planned to move as soon as this week on a relief package that narrowly targeted individuals and families affected by the coronavirus outbreak. The measures floated by Pelosi and other leaders included an expansion of unemployment insurance, food stamps and other public assistance programs as well as allowing for greater sick and family leave." (Also linked yesterday.) ~~~

     ~~~ Mrs. McCrabbie: Uh, no "press conference Tuesday to announce an economic plan." ~~~

~~~ Eamon Javers & Mike Calia of CNBC: "... Donald Trump, in a meeting with Republican lawmakers Tuesday on Capitol Hill, pitched a 0% payroll tax rate for employers and employees that would last through the rest of this year, a White House official told CNBC. There was also discussion of making the payroll tax rollback permanent, said the official, who declined to be named. Payroll taxes are used to fund Medicare and Social Security." Mrs. McC: Sounds as if the Trump "plan" is to eradicate Social Security & Medicare.

Jonathan Chait: "[Monday] evening, President Trump held a press conference and announced he would soon unveil an aggressive plan to head off a recession. 'I will be here tomorrow afternoon,' he promised, 'to let you know about some of the economic steps we're taking, which will be major.'... At his press conference, Trump mentioned a few possibilities for what this package might include. One item is a bailout for owners of hotels.... By the way, did you know that the Trump Organization is in the hotel field?" ~~~

~~~ AND, as Chait also points out, there's this: Jeff Stein, et al., of the Washington Post: "The White House is strongly considering pushing federal assistance for oil and natural gas producers hit by plummeting oil prices amid the coronavirus outbreak, as industry officials close to the administration clamor for help, according to four people familiar with internal deliberations.... One of the companies hardest hit was Continental Resources, founded by Harold Hamm, a Trump supporter and an adviser to the president on energy issues." ~~~

~~~ Mrs. McCrabbie: We've been assuming that Trump can't do too much to help himself & his avaricious friends without Congressional approval. But Covid-19 is by nearly everyone's (except Trump's!) definition of a national emergency. A president* has a lot of power to take extraordinary, counter-Constitutional steps during an emergency. So (1) even if eliminating the FICA tax is an ineffective way to help Americans most vulnerable to economic fallout from the virus & (2) even if it guts the Social Security & Medicare funds & (3) even if it normally requires an act of Congress, Trump can probably just do it. And wouldn't he love to have a fight like that: "I'm lowering your taxes! In your time of need! Democrats are fighting me!" FICA is 7.65 percent of gross salary (more if you earn more than $200K). Very few Americans would be unhappy if the president* made the tax go poof. AND, as Chait points out, Trump's pitch to GOP senators was to eliminate the payroll tax "through the November elections." (I don't know if Trump's "plan" is to eliminate the portion of FICA paid by employers -- which is equal to the portion paid by employees. Trump may not know either.)

It hit the world, we are prepared and doing a great job with it. It will go away. Just stay calm, it will go away. -- Donald Trump, in remarks Tuesday

Philip Rucker, et al., of the Washington Post: "President Trump confronted one of the most perilous days of his presidency Monday by first erupting in a barrage of commentary that failed to calm the cratering financial markets, struggling to inspire confidence that his administration could stop the spread of the novel coronavirus. But by the time the sun set in Washington, Trump sounded momentarily chastened by the turbulence and previewed a raft of emergency measures to shore up the economy. 'We have a very strong economy,' the president told reporters, 'but this blindsided the world.'... Trump's overall handling of the converging crises -- while spreading misinformation and blaming others -- has unsettled many of his Republican allies on Capitol Hill and even inside the White House, where some aides acknowledged that the president is compounding problems with his grievances and conspiratorial mind-set." (Also linked yesterday.) ~~~

     ~~~ Jonathan Chait: "The Washington Post's account ... [linked immediately above] reveals a number of extremely harrowing presidential beliefs about the coronavirus. To wit: 1. Trump is still mad he doesn't get credit for stopping travel from China.... That would have been a great move if the virus had been prevented from spreading into the United States. But it hadn't, and the federal government squandered the time it bought. 2. Trump blames the media for covering the pandemic.... 3. Trump is personally healthier than his opponents.... 4. The coronavirus can't be a problem if he doesn't know any victims yet.... 5. Trump thinks the coronavirus will solve itself.... 'You've just got to live your life' is literally the complete opposite of the correct response."

Quinta Jurecic & Benjamin Wittes of Lawfare in the Atlantic: "Throughout the many disasters that have befallen the Trump administration, one theme has remained a constant: malevolence tempered by incompetence.... Now, however, the disease known as COVID-19 has upended this theme altogether. As the former Justice Department official Carrie Cordero declared on Twitter: 'To invert a @benjaminwittes formulation, the Trump administration #COVID19 response might be characterized as incompetence exacerbated by malevolence.'... The president can't pretend the virus does not exist. He can't suppress news of it, unlike the Chinese Communist Party [re: the severity of the coronavirus outbreak] or the Soviet government in 1986 [on Chernobyl]. But he can berate those who report on it honestly. He can deny its severity. He can lie about it -- all until the moment at which he can't anymore, the moment at which the malevolence no longer covers up the incompetence but amplifies it, at great human cost." (Also linked yesterday.)

Niv Elis of the Hill: "Russ Vought, the acting director of the White House Office of Management and Budget, on Tuesday doubled down on proposed cuts to health services and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), despite the coronavirus outbreak. Vought came under intense questioning from Rep. Matt Cartwright (D-Pa.) at a hearing about President Trump's 2021 budget request. It proposed cutting health funding by $9.5 billion, including a 15 percent cut of $1.2 billion to the CDC and a $35 million decrease to the Infectious Diseases Rapid Response Reserve Fund.... Vought responded by saying Trump signed into law the $8.3 billion emergency supplemental package Congress approved last week. That funding, a significant increase over the $2.5 billion emergency request the White House sent over, would apply to current funding, not the funding in question for next year." Mrs. McC: Apparently Vought subscribes to Trump's theory that by next year (or by April!) the virus will just die off. ~~~

Lisa Rein of the Washington Post: "The Trump administration is racing to develop contingency plans that would allow hundreds of thousands of employees to work remotely full time, an extreme scenario to limit the coronavirus that would test whether the government can carry out its mission from home offices and kitchen tables. The Office of Personnel Management, which oversees policy for the workforce of 2.1 million, has urged agency heads in recent days to 'immediately review' their telework policies, sign paperwork with employees laying out their duties, issue laptops and grant access to computer networks. The administration has not issued a widespread mandate, but some offices already have acted. The Securities and Exchange Commission late Monday became the first federal agency in Washington to clear 2,400 employees from its headquarters after discovering that an employee might be infected. That emergency decision follows similar steps by more than a dozen Seattle-area federal field offices, the Interior Department in Denver and NASA's Silicon Valley research center, which either have closed or shifted to telework as some employees tested positive for the virus."

Unfuckingbelievable. Monique Madan of the Miami Herald: "Immigration court staff nationwide were ordered by the Trump administration to take down all coronavirus posters from courtrooms and waiting areas. The Executive Office for Immigration Review, which falls under the Department of Justice, told all judges and staff members in an email Monday that all coronavirus posters, which explain in English and Spanish how to prevent catching and spreading the virus, had to be removed immediately.... 'Per our leadership, the CDC flyer is not authorized for posting in the immigration courts. If you see one (attached), please remove it....' However on Tuesday morning -- just four hours after the Miami Herald published this story -- a Department of Justice spokesman contacted the Herald to say that the 'the signs shouldn't have been removed. It's now being rectified.'" (Also linked yesterday.)

Sheri Fink & Mike Baker of the New York Times: "Even now, after weeks of mounting frustration toward federal agencies over flawed test kits and burdensome rules, states with growing cases such as New York and California are struggling to test widely for the coronavirus. The continued delays have made it impossible for officials to get a true picture of the scale of the growing outbreak, which has now spread to at least 36 states and Washington, D.C.... Faced with a public health emergency on a scale potentially not seen in a century, the United States has not responded nimbly.... As late as last week, after expanding authorizations for commercial and academic institutions to make tests, administration officials provided conflicting accounts of when a significant increase in tests would be available." ~~~

~~~ David Lim & Brianna Ehley of Politico: "A looming shortage in lab materials is threatening to delay coronavirus test results and cause officials to undercount the number of Americans with the virus.... The growing scarcity of these 'RNA extraction' kits is the latest trouble for U.S. labs, which have struggled to implement widespread coronavirus testing in the seven weeks since the country diagnosed its first case.... Mandy Cohen, North Carolina's secretary of health, said that a shortage of extraction kits and other chemicals had hampered testing in her state. 'Folks were saying, "We are sending you the [test] kits," and I don't think they understood at first what exact part of the supply chain we needed,' she said. 'We needed extraction kits.'" ~~~

     ~~~ Mrs. McCrabbie: At his press briefing yesterday, mike pence said, "By the end of this week, there will be more than 4 million more tests made available in jurisdictions around the country. 1 million are already in place thanks to the good work of our top commercial labs that ... President Trump brought together yesterday. LabCorp and Quest are in the process now of distributing and marketing Coronavirus tests all across America. And we're working with state and local officials to ensure that that happens as rapidly as possible." But if I correctly understand Politico's report, the Labcorp & Quest kits are useless if labs don't have "RNA extraction" kits. And they don't.

Jake Lahut of Business Insider: "... following his self-quarantine aboard Air Force One on Monday after he had been in close contact with ... Donald Trump -- in the same car on the way to the flight -- [Rep.] Matt Gaetz [R-Fla.] hit the road and skipped staying in a hotel, electing instead to spend the night in a Walmart parking lot. 'I slept in a Walmart parking lot somewhere off [Interstate] 85,' Gaetz told the Pensacola News Journal from his car as he completed the drive to Florida on Tuesday. Gaetz told reporters that he planned to spend the remainder of his 14-day self-quarantine at home in Okaloosa County, Florida."

Mike DeBonis & Carolyn Johnson of the Washington Post: "Two close congressional allies of President Trump underwent coronavirus testing in recent days in apparent defiance of federal recommendations reserving those tests for patients exhibiting symptoms of infection -- and amid growing concerns about the availability of testing for Americans who are sick. Reps. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.) and Mark Meadows (R-N.C.), the latter of whom Trump named last week as the next White House chief of staff, both said in statements that the tests showed no infection after exposure to a coronavirus carrier at the annual [CPAC] conference last month in suburban Washington. The two lawmakers also said they were exhibiting no symptoms of respiratory illness, raising questions of why they were tested at all. The [CDC] recommends that health-care providers prioritize tests for hospitalized patients who are exhibiting coronavirus symptoms, elderly and medically fragile individuals, along with others who have shown signs of illness.... Gaetz, 37, and Meadows, 60, are not known to belong to any groups at high risk for infection.... There were clues of White House involvement in the testing[.]... Gaetz told the Pensacola News-Journal on Tuesday that he was awaiting the results of his test from the White House physician's office."


Charlie Savage
of the New York Times: "The House has a right to see secret grand-jury evidence gathered in the Russia investigation. an appeals court ruled on Tuesday in a victory for Congress's power to gather information for an impeachment inquiry. In a 2-to-1 decision, a panel on the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit upheld a lower-court ruling that the House had a right to gain access to the information, which was gathered by the special counsel, Robert S. Mueller III, using a grand jury and blacked out in the report on his investigation released last year. The Trump administration had appealed that ruling." (Also linked yesterday.) ~~~

     ~~~ Politico's story, by Josh Gerstein & Kyle Cheney, is here. "Appeals from the Justice Department are all but certain, and the case could still face Supreme Court review." (Also linked yesterday.)

** A Judge Takes on the Supremes. Dahlia Lithwick & Mark Stern: "U.S. District Court Judge Lynn Adelman ... criticizes the five conservative justices on the Roberts Supreme Court in an upcoming Harvard Law review article.... '... the Court's hard right majority is actively participating in undermining American democracy. Indeed, the Roberts Court has contributed to insuring that the political system in the United States pays little attention to ordinary Americans and responds only to the wishes of a relatively small number of powerful corporations and individuals,' [Adelman writes].... The court, he notes, has greatly contributed to income inequality, health care inequality, and the hollowing out of the American middle class."

Will Sommer of the Daily Beast: "Prominent right-wing conspiracy theorist Alex Jones was arrested early Tuesday morning on charges of driving while intoxicated, according to law enforcement. Jones, who as host of the Austin-based InfoWars conspiracy theory outlet has become a prominent force on the fringe right, was arrested on a class-B misdemeanor DWI charge, according to a spokeswoman for the Travis County sheriff's department.... An article on the InfoWars website claimed that Jones was 'caught up in a Travis Co. DWI dragnet' after being pulled over for speeding. In the story, Jones said he had been 'drinking a small amount of sake at a Japanese restaurant.' But ... according to [an arrest affidavit], Jones' wife called the sheriff's department on Monday night to report a 'family disturbance' between her and Jones. Jones' wife added that he had possibly been drinking, according to the report. 'The disturbance now was only verbal but earlier in the day it 'was physical,'" the affidavit reads." Read on.

Monday
Mar092020

The Commentariat -- March 10, 2020

Late Morning/Afternoon Update:

Charlie Savage of the New York Times: "The House has a right to see secret grand-jury evidence gathered in the Russia investigation, an appeals court ruled on Tuesday in a victory for Congress's power to gather information for an impeachment inquiry. In a 2-to-1 decision, a panel on the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit upheld a lower-court ruling that the House had a right to gain access to the information, which was gathered by the special counsel, Robert S. Mueller III, using a grand jury and blacked out in the report on his investigation released last year. The Trump administration had appealed that ruling." ~~~

      ~~~ Politico's story, by Josh Gerstein & Kyle Cheney, is here. "Appeals from the Justice Department are all but certain, and the case could still face Supreme Court review."

Erica Werner, et al., of the Washington Post: "President Trump's meeting with Senate Republicans on Tuesday ended without any concrete plan for crafting an economic package that might address the turmoil caused by the coronavirus epidemic, sparking fears that policy makers are far apart on how to deal with growing concerns that the U.S. could enter a recession. At the meeting, Trump discussed his proposal to extend a temporary payroll tax cut for a period of months. Some lawmakers also discussed the idea of targeted infrastructure spending. Both ideas could be used to try and lood the economy with more cash, but there was not a consensus over how to proceed.... Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) has privately told several allies in recent days he personally opposes the payroll tax cut idea Trump has endorsed.... And House Democrats are busily assembling their own package.... House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.) have also been dismissive of the payroll tax cut idea, saying they were focused on addressing the coronavirus specifically. Top House Democrats said Tuesday they planned to move as soon as this week on a relief package that narrowly targeted individuals and families affected by the coronavirus outbreak. The measures floated by Pelosi and other leaders included an expansion of unemployment insurance, food stamps and other public assistance programs as well as allowing for greater sick and family leave."

Alex Isenstadt of Politico: "With Biden emerging as the likely Democratic nominee, Trump has launched a concerted, near-daily campaign to raise doubts about the 77-year-old's mental acuity. The president has been bolstered by a conservative echo chamber flooding social media with video clips highlighting Biden's gaffes. The effort provides a window into how Trump -- who's been dogged by questions about his own mental fitness -- regularly picks apart his political opponents. He has an unmatched ability to zero in on his foe'’s biggest vulnerability or insecurity, and through sheer repetition bake it into the public consciousness. Unfortunately for Biden, his performance on the campaign trail has given Trump plenty to work with."

Unfuckingbelievable. Monique Madan of the Miami Herald: "Immigration court staff nationwide were ordered by the Trump administration to take down all coronavirus posters from courtrooms and waiting areas. The Executive Office for Immigration Review, which falls under the Department of Justice, told all judges and staff members in an email Monday that all coronavirus posters, which explain in English and Spanish how to prevent catching and spreading the virus, had to be removed immediately.... 'Per our leadership, the CDC flyer is not authorized for posting in the immigration courts. If you see one (attached), please remove it....' However on Tuesday morning -- just four hours after the Miami Herald published this story -- a Department of Justice spokesman contacted the Herald to say that the 'the signs shouldn't have been removed. It's now being rectified.'"

Dawn Kopecki, et al., of CNBC: "... a top CDC official ... Monday recommend[ed] that people over 60 and anyone with chronic medical conditions buckle down for a lengthy stay home. 'This virus is capable of spreading easily and sustainably from person to person ... and there's essentially no immunity against this virus in the population,' Dr. Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC's National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, told reporters on a conference call, citing World Health Organization data that studied more than 70,000 cases in China.... Most people won't develop serious symptoms, but 15% to 20% of the people who are exposed to the virus get severely sick, she said.... The odds of developing COVID-19 increase with age, starting at age 60. It's especially lethal for people over 80.... The CDC is recommending people with underlying conditions or who are over 60 to stock up on medications, household items and groceries to stay at home 'for a period of time,' she said." Emphasis added.

Fred Imbert, et al., of CNBC: "Stocks rallied on Tuesday as Wall Street clawed back some of the massive losses suffered in the previous session. Bets on government intervention to stem the economic downturn from the coronavirus lifted equities. The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded 600 points higher, or 2.6%. The S&P 500 climbed 2.4% while the Nasdaq Composite advanced 2.6%." This is an update of a story linked below.

New York Times live market updates: "Buyers moved back into the markets on Tuesday, a day after the coronavirus and a battle among the world's biggest oil producers shook the global financial scene. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 rose more than 2 percent, rebounding from its steepest decline in more than a decade. European stocks also climbed, with many indexes more than 2 percent higher and Asian markets rose as well. Stocks were somewhat buoyed after President Trump on Monday night said he would work with Congress on measures to help the economy amid signs of a worsening outbreak in the United States, including a potential payroll tax cut." ~~~

~~~ Yes, but what if Trump made an empty promise about taking substantive measures to mitigate the economic impact of the virus? ~~~

~~~ Eamon Javers & Mike Calia of CNBC: “The White House is not ready to roll out specific economic proposals in its response to the widening impact of the coronavirus outbreak, administration officials told CNBC. The revelation comes as U.S. stock futures pointed toward a sharp rebound at the open Tuesday following the Dow's 2,013-point drop Monday and ... Donald Trump's suggestion that a payroll tax cut and other stimulus measures may be in the works to mitigate economic damage from the virus' spread. Trump has also invited Wall Street executives to meet at the White House on Wednesday to discuss the response. However, inside the administration, some officials were stunned by Trump's claim Monday that he would hold a press conference Tuesday to announce an economic plan. 'That was news to everyone on the inside,' one official said. The actual details of any plan remain up in the air. 'It's not there right now,' an official said.... The president's schedule for Tuesday includes a 5:30 p.m. ET media briefing for his coronavirus task force."

Philip Rucker, et al., of the Washington Post: "President Trump confronted one of the most perilous days of his presidency Monday by first erupting in a barrage of commentary that failed to calm the cratering financial markets, struggling to inspire confidence that his administration could stop the spread of the novel coronavirus. But by the time the sun set in Washington, Trump sounded momentarily chastened by the turbulence and previewed a raft of emergency measures to shore up the economy. 'We have a very strong economy,' the president told reporters, 'but this blindsided the world.'... Trump's overall handling of the converging crises -- while spreading misinformation and blaming others -- has unsettled many of his Republican allies on Capitol Hill and even inside the White House, where some aides acknowledged that the president is compounding problems with his grievances and conspiratorial mind-set."

Quinta Jurecic & Benjamin Wittes of Lawfare in the Atlantic: "Throughout the many disasters that have befallen the Trump administration, one theme has remained a constant: malevolence tempered by incompetence.... Now, however, the disease known as COVID-19 has upended this theme altogether. As the former Justice Department official Carrie Cordero declared on Twitter: 'To invert a @benjaminwittes formulation, the Trump administration #COVID19 response might be characterized as incompetence exacerbated by malevolence.'... The president can't pretend the virus does not exist. He can't suppress news of it, unlike the Chinese Communist Party [re: the severity of the coronavirus outbreak] or the Soviet government in 1986 [on Chernobyl]. But he can berate those who report on it honestly. He can deny its severity. He can lie about it -- all until the moment at which he can't anymore, the moment at which the malevolence no longer covers up the incompetence but amplifies it, at great human cost."

~~~~~~~~~~~

Six States Are Holding Democratic Presidential Primaries Today. Domenico Montenaro of NPR: "What we're calling 'Big Tuesday' offers 352 delegates among six states. That's about a quarter of the delegates that were at stake on Super Tuesday. Michigan is the biggest prize, with 125 delegates, followed by Washington (89), Missouri (68), Mississippi (36), Idaho (20) and North Dakota (14). Michigan, Washington and Missouri -- and their combined 282 delegates — make up 80% of the delegates at stake Tuesday." The article has brief descriptions of factors in each state and voting hours.

Todd Spangler of the Detroit Free Press: "Former Vice President Joe Biden, riding a wave of momentum from& primaries in South Carolina and Super Tuesday states, comes into Tuesday's Michigan primary with a 24-point lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders in a new Free Press poll. If Biden's 51%-27% lead in the poll, done by EPIC-MRA for the Free Press and its media partners, holds, it would guarantee him a signature victory in Michigan -- a battleground state that helped ... Donald Trump win the White House four years ago. It could also starve Sanders' formerly front-running campaign of delegates needed for the nomination and call into question how long his effort can remain viable." Mrs. McC: Looks like the primary race will be officially over by tomorrow night. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

But Can He Do Standup? Pete Buttigieg is hosting "Jimmy Kimmel Live" Thursday night. (Link is to a Vulture item; open in private window). (Also linked yesterday.)

Everything Is Going Very Smoothly. Brian Schwartz of CNBC: "... Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence sought to reassure top Republican donors over the weekend that they have everything under control when it comes to the coronavirus outbreak. Trump, who attended a Republican National Committee donor retreat at his private resort at Mar-a-Lago in Florida, told financiers Friday that his administration is making public health and safety a No. 1 priority, according to people with direct knowledge of the matter." ~~~

~~~ Alex Isenstadt of Politico: "First lady Melania Trump has cancelled a California fundraiser she was to hold next week, the White House confirmed. White House press secretary Stephanie Grisham said in a text message that the first lady would not be holding a previously scheduled March 18 fundraiser in Beverly Hills. She said the decision was due to a 'scheduling conflict.' The move comes amid mounting concerns about the coronavirus. Los Angeles County, where the event was to be held, has declared a state of emergency over the outbreak." ~~~

~~~ Travis Gettys of the Raw Story: Donald Trump's "re-election campaign canceled a 'Women for Trump' bus tour featuring his daughter-in-law [Lara Trump] and two top surrogates over concerns about coronavirus exposure related to the Conservative Political Action Conference. Trump has insisted he won't cancel his large campaign rallies, but none are currently scheduled, for the first time in months." ~~~

     ~~~ Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: According to the NYT report by Peter Baker & others, linked below, the White House cited "scheduling conflicts" as the reason for cancelling the bus tour & issued a non-denial denial when numerous reports cited coronavirus as the cause. So t's pretty fair to translate "scheduling conflict" as "prudent fear of contracting coronavirus, but we keep that secret to please the Dear Leader."

Danny Hakim & Glenn Thrush of the New York Times: "President Trump's campaign manager and a circle of allies have seized control of the Republican Party's voter data and fund-raising apparatus, using a network of private businesses whose operations and ownership are cloaked in secrecy, largely exempt from federal disclosure. Working under the aegis of Jared Kushner, the president's son-in-law, with the cooperation of Trump appointees at the Republican National Committee, the operatives have consolidated power -- and made money -- in a way not possible in an earlier, more transparent analog era.... By commanding the party's repository of voter data and creating a powerful pipeline for small donations, the Trump campaign and key party officials have made it increasingly difficult for Republicans to mount modern, digital campaigns without the president's support." ~~~

~~~ The Trump Campaign Is a Scam, Ctd. Peter Stone of the Guardian: "According to the nonpartisan Center for Responsive Politics (CRP), Trump-allied political committees and the Republican party have spent a whopping $18.1m at Trump properties since he launched his 2016 campaign. Republican candidates, elected officials and Pacs have ponied up another $1.2m in the same period. Donald J Trump for President leads the pack, having spent a total of $14.5m since he began his 2016 campaign, with the Republican National Committee in second place at $1.8m and Trump Victory ranking third at $1.6m...." ~~~

     ~~~ Mrs. McCrabbie: Trump's 2016 campaign was a scam which put money in Trump's pocket, but the re-election campaign -- as the Times & Guardian stories make clear -- is a mega-scam. Part of the rubes' contribution to Trump's re-election campaign are really just contributions to his & some of his friends' personal fortunes. It's Trump University on steroids.

"The GOP's Hunterghazi Probe Is about to Get Much Worse. Greg Sargent of the Washington Post: "By shocking coincidence, Senate Republicans are set to take a huge step forward with their efforts to investigate Hunter Biden -- at exactly the moment when Joe Biden is likely to cement his hold on the Democratic nomination.... On Wednesday, the Senate Homeland Security Committee will vote to subpoena someone Republicans view as a crucial witness against Hunter Biden: Andrii Telizhenko, a political consultant who represented Burisma in the United States.... Telizhenko has long played an active role in spreading the debunked conspiracy theory that Ukraine colluded with Democrats in 2016. Our intelligence services have told senators that this is central to Russian disinformation efforts. So Homeland Security Committee Democrats want all senators on the committee to get a classified briefing from the intelligence community on Telizhenko -- to demonstrate that intelligence officials don't view him as credible." GOP senators are not interested in that.

Senate Race. Zack Budryk of the Hill: "Montana Gov. Steve Bullock (D) formally announced his 2020 Senate run on Monday, tweeting his first campaign ad.... The governor, who will challenge Sen. Steve Daines (R), announced his run on the filing deadline." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)


Yun Li & Silvia Amaro of CNBC: "Stock futures rallied back early Tuesday morning after the S&P 500′s worst day since the financial crisis. Around 6:15 a.m. ET Tuesday, futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average indicated an opening surge of 1,100 points on Tuesday. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures also pointed to a sharply higher open for the two indexes on Tuesday. Stock futures erased big losses in after-hours trading Monday and turned positive after ... Donald Trump floated the idea of 'a payroll tax cut or relief' to offset the negative impact from the coronavirus."

Dow's Biggest One-Day Drop Ever. New York Times liveblog of market developments: "It was Wall Street's worst day in more than a decade: Stocks plunged on Monday as a panic that began in the oil market made its way through the global financial system, adding to concerns from already rattled investors about the state of the global economy. The S&P 500, already down 12 percent from its late February high, fell more than 7 percent on Monday. The sudden downdraft meant that trading in the United States was automatically halted early in the day -- a rare occurrence meant to prevent stocks from crashing --; but it resumed after a 15-minute delay. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 2,000 points." (An earlier version of this was linked yesterday.) The CNBC story is here.

Brian Sullivan of CNBC: "Vladimir Putin just sparked what could end up being one of the ugliest oil price wars in modern history, and American oil and gas companies may be the victims. This weekend Saudi Arabia dropped the oil bomb. It not only cut its forward crude price to Chinese customers by as much as $6 or $7 per barrel, but is also reportedly looking to raise its daily crude output by as many as 2 million barrels per day.... OPEC members laid out a proposal to further cut oil output quotas by as much as 1.5 million barrels per day..., but non-OPEC member Russia said 'nyet,' effectively killing it.... It was only three weeks ago that the Trump administration imposed sanctions on Russian oil giant Rosneft for transporting Venezuelan oil.... Connect the dots. Putin reacting to Trump. The Saudis, led by Energy Minister and son of the king Abdulaziz bin Salman, reacting to Putin. And American oil and gas workers and investors are caught in the middle of this epic ego battle. It couldn't occur at a worse time."

Saudi Arabia and Russia are arguing over the price and flow of oil. That, and the Fake News, is the reason for the market drop! -- Donald Trump, in a tweet Monday morning

Shorter Donald: What pandemic? -- Mrs. Bea McCrabbie

Jeff Stein & Erica Werner of the Washington Post: "White House advisers on Monday presented President Trump with a list of policy changes they hope could stem the economic fallout of the coronavirus, including paid sick leave and emergency help for small businesses, according to two senior administration officials. The meeting came on a day when the Dow Jones industrial average fell more than 2,000 points and pressure rapidly builds on federal policymakers to address the growing economic impact of the outbreak. It was also not immediately clear if Trump had decided to act on any of the potential policy options.... The discussions have accelerated as congressional leaders said they are considering their own legislative remedies to address the economic turmoil. Congressional Democrats are discussing how to propose paid sick leave as part of new legislation, and a key Senate Republican is looking at changes to tax policy that could seek to address the heightened fears." An NBC News story is here.

Kevin Liptak of CNN: "Fissures between the White House and national health agencies, including the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, have begun to expand as the coronavirus pandemic spreads to more American states, creating dissonance between ... Donald Trump and the professionals tasked with containing the virus further. The two sides have grown increasingly distrustful of one another, people inside both the CDC and the White House say, as officials on each side question decisions that either appear designed to downplay the growing crisis or to generate further concern.... While health officials have sought to present a realistic and cautious picture of the national situation, Trump and his political allies are hoping to relay an altogether different message: that the virus is contained, Americans face little risk, and life should proceed as normal." (Also linked yesterday.)

Tom Sykes of the Daily Beast: "Donald Trump hasn't been tested for the coronavirus, the White House said late Monday. The admission came hours after the similarly untested Vice President Mike Pence, who is leading the administration's coronavirus task force, said in a press briefing that he had no idea if Trump had been tested or not."

Justine Coleman of the Hill: "Rep. Louie Gohmert (R-Texas) returned to Congress on Monday, despite potentially being exposed to the coronavirus, saying he was advised by a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) physician that going into self-quarantine isn't necessary. Gohmert said a House physician informed him that he could have been exposed to the virus at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), in a Twitter statement posted Monday. The Texas representative said he was then contacted by a CDC physician who said he could go back to Washington." ~~~

~~~ Justin Wise of the Hill: "Rep. Mark Meadows (R-N.C.), President Trump's newest acting chief of staff, will self-quarantine at his home after learning that he may have come into contact with a person who later tested positive for the novel coronavirus, his office said. 'Out of an abundance of caution, Meadows received testing which came back negative,' Meadows spokesperson Ben Williamson said. 'While he's experiencing zero symptoms, under doctors' standard precautionary recommendations, he'll remain at home until the 14 day period expires this Wednesday.'" ~~~

~~~ Peter Baker, et al., of the New York Times: "Two Republican members of Congress who have spent time with President Trump in the last few days ... put themselves into self-quarantine on Monday because of concern over exposure to coronavirus. Representative Matt Gaetz of Florida, who attended a party with Mr. Trump at his Mar-a-Lago estate over the weekend and traveled with him from Florida to the capital on Monday afternoon, announced an hour after getting off the president's plane that he would remain out of contact with other people for two weeks.... Shortly after takeoff, Mr. Gaetz learned that he had been in touch with an infected person at the Conservative Political Action Conference late last month, according to two people informed about the situation. He then essentially quarantined himself, sitting in a section of the plane alone.... Representative Doug Collins, Republican of Georgia, who toured the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta with Mr. Trump on Friday, likewise went into isolation on Monday after being told by the C.D.C. that it had found a photograph of him with the infected person at the conservative conference. Mr. Collins was on the tarmac when Mr. Trump landed in Atlanta on Friday and shook the president's hand before joining him on the tour of the C.D.C." ~~~

     ~~~ New Lede: "President Trump moved on Monday to curb widening fear over the spread of the coronavirus by announcing that he would work with Congress to bolster the economy through tax cuts and other measures.... Mr. Trump said he would meet on Tuesday with congressional leaders to discuss a 'very substantial' payroll tax cut and legislation intended to protect hourly wage earners who may have to miss work because of the spread of the virus. He said he would also discuss expanding loans by the Small Business Administration." ~~~

     ~~~ Mrs. McCrabbie: Wearing that gas mask for the House vote on coronavirus funding is looking less & less funny, isn't it, Matt? ~~~

     ~~~ Ryan Bort of Rolling Stone: "... Gaetz's office claimed the congressman donned the gas mask as a sincere precautionary measure rather than as a stunt to get headlines, writing that he was simply 'demonstrating his concern.'... The idea that Gaetz brought out a mask out of a genuine concern about COVID-19 spreading through Congress is hard to believe, not only because of his penchant for publicity stunts and the ludicrousness of wearing a freaking gas mask on the House floor, but also because of an interview with Vanity Fair conducted at CPAC in which Gaetz joked about coronavirus. He even lamented how it was taking his name out of the news and that his office might need to find a way to get him infected[.]" ~~~

~~~ Nancy Cook of Politico: "During a rare appearance at the White House briefing room podium on Monday night, Trump said he intended to ask lawmakers for a 'big number' to give Americans relief.... Yet over the course of the day, top Republican senators indicated that they thought it was too early for these types of measures and some White House aides remained cool to the idea." ~~~

     ~~~ Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: It's worth noting that after Trump gave a short spiel about the good job he'd done & how he would work with Congress to come up with a "big number" of tax cuts & SBA loans, he turned the podium over to mike pence and left the room.

Matt Novak of Gizmodo: "When the U.S. House passed an emergency $8.3 billion spending bill to battle the coronavirus epidemic last week, Republican Rep. Paul Gosar of Arizona questioned the tremendous cost. But Gosar announced last night that he and his staff are going into self-quarantine after it was revealed that Gosar recently spent an extended period of time at last month's Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) with someone who's now hospitalized with COVID-19." Mrs. McC: Gosar is such a jerk, in 2018 six of his siblings cut an ad opposing his re-election & endorsing his Democratic opponent. ~~~

~~~ Mrs. McCrabbie: Also probably worth noting: the right-wing event where these Congressmen came in contact with someone infected with the Covid-19 is the same right-wing event at which Mick Mulvaney, our new special envoy to Northern Ireland, said that the intent of the "exaggerated" media coverage of the virus was the result of the fake news' hope that they would "will bring down the president, that's what this is all about." Great plot, media! It seems to be working. ~~~

~~~ Confederates Surprised to Discover Their Leaders Don't Care about Them. Ben Schreckinger of Politico: "A CPAC attendee infected with coronavirus attended multiple days of the conference on a gold-level VIP ticket as well as a Friday night Shabbat dinner associated with the event, according to people familiar with the situation. The infected attendee was a CPAC regular who made a hobby of meeting high-profile conference speakers and taking photographs with them. His gold-level ticket gave him access to a private lounge directly outside the green room for speakers on the conference's main stage. As of early Monday evening, event organizers have contacted 'just over a dozen' people who they have identified as having direct contact with the infected attendee, according to Ian Walters, spokesman for the American Conservative Union, which organizes the annual Conservative Political Action Conference. The ACU's handling of the case has led to grumbling from some conferencegoers, who have complained of a two-tiered system: VIPs have been notified directly even to be told they did not interact with the infected man, while ordinary rank-and-file attendees have by and large been left to wonder, receiving only vaguer information in mass emails."

John Walcott of Time: "An annual intelligence report that has been postponed without explanation by ... Donald Trump's administration warns that the U.S. remains unprepared for a global pandemic, two senior government officials who have reviewed a draft of the report tell Time. The office of the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) was scheduled to deliver the Worldwide Threat Assessment to the House Intelligence Committee on Feb. 12 and the hearing has not been rescheduled, according to staffers and members of the House and Senate intelligence committees.... The final draft of the report remains classified but the two officials who have read it say it contains warnings similar to those in the last installment, which was published on January 29, 2019. The 2019 report warns on page 29 that, 'The United States will remain vulnerable to the next flu pandemic or large-scale outbreak of a contagious disease that could lead to massive rates of death and disability, severely affect the world economy, strain international resources, and increase calls on the United States for support.'"

Kylie Atwood, et al., of CNN: "The US aviation industry and the Trump administration are in a pitched battle over the response to the coronavirus pandemic, three sources familiar with recent calls between officials from several government agencies and US airlines have told CNN. In a series of contentious conversations, agency officials and aviation executives have clashed over the administration's demand that airlines collect new kinds of data from passengers to help officials track potential virus carriers. Airlines say they can't meet that demand right away -- a claim some administration officials say they don't believe...."

Paul Krugman: "... like so much of what is happening in America right now, the coronavirus crisis isn't just about Trump. His intellectual and emotional inadequacy, his combination of megalomania and insecurity, are certainly contributing to the problem; has there ever been a president so obviously not up to the job? But in refusing to face uncomfortable facts, in attributing all bad news to sinister conspiracies, he's actually just being a normal man of his faction. In 2020 we're relearning the lessons of 2008 -- namely, that America's right-wingers can't handle the truth."

A few things Preet Bharara (& others) find slightly wanting in Donald Trump. Mrs. McC: Clean up the list a bit & make it about a third of the ad buy for the Democratic nominee (Joe Biden). Is James Earl Jones still available for voiceovers? Thanks to PD Pepe for the link. (Also linked yesterday.)

AND Nero has a twitter account:

~~~ As Akhilleus mentioned in yesterday's Comments, Trump hasn't let Covfefe-19 interfere with his golf game: ~~~

~~~ Daniel Politi of Slate: "Around the world, leaders and health authorities were struggling to try to get a handle on the rapidly spreading coronavirus. But in the United States..., Donald Trump seems to have thought it would be a great time to hit the links with professional baseball players. On Sunday, the commander in chief played golf with current and former Washington Nationals players at Trump International Golf Club in West Palm Beach. The White House doesn't normally release details about the president's golf outings, but on Sunday, pitcher Patrick Corbin posted a series of photos on his Instagram of the game with the president." Maybe a golf club is the new fiddle bow. (Also linked yesterday.)